The Keystone Speculator's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips short yesterday afternoon at SPX 4023. SPX 4038 is the bull/bear line in the sand that dictates who wins going forward this week.
Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Monday, January 30, 2023
SPX S&P 500 Monthly Chart; Battle at 12-Month MA at 4038 Determines if Cyclical Bear Market Ends and Cyclical Bull Begins
The battle between bulls and bears continues at the SPX 12-mth MA at 4038. Price is at 4038.
If the SPX trends above 4038 heading higher, the bulls will have a few more weeks of fun.
If the SPX is spanked down from 4038, stocks will become soggy and weak. If 3955 fails, Katy bar the door, stocks will begin falling like rocks.
The SPX weekly chart hints at choppy action for a few weeks with additional highs coming in the SPX, on the weekly basis, with a potential significant top in late February early March. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 12:10 PM EST: SPX recovers to 4045 now 7 points above the bull/bear line in the sand. Traders know that stocks are typically bullish going into the Fed decisions so some are likely wanting to front-run the action. On the SPX 2-hour chart, the stochastics and MACD line are weak and bleak (sloping lower) so there is likely a lower low in price ahead this afternoon.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/31/23, at 9:00 AM EST: SPX drops to 4018 in the Monday session. Bears cheer.
Note Added Tuesday at Munch Time, 1/31/23, at 12:00 PM EST: SPX pops to 4044. Bulls cheer.
SPX S&P 500 2-Hour Chart; Overbot; Rising Wedge; Negative Divergence
The SPX 2-hour chart topped-out on Friday with negative divergence the money flow is flat. S&P futures are down -33 points about 3 hours before the opening bell for the US regular trading session.
Traders are getting squeezed out of their shorts creating upside bull fuel and at the same time hesitant long traders feel they have no choice but to buy some stocks since markets are on the move higher. The Federal Reserve rate decision is on Wednesday afternoon when King Powell brings the tablets down from On High to tell traders how to trade. Such is the crony capitalism system.
Stocks are usually up about 80% of the time the day or two in front of a Fed decision, thus Tuesday and Wednesday would be expected to be up moves for equities. This leaves Monday, today, as the window for bears to take things lower and they are. Note, however, the money flow is long and strong so after a pullback in the 2-hour time frame, the SPX will still want to make a higher high in this time frame.
In addition, the MACD is neggie d over the last couple weeks but it is trying to make its way higher in this very short-term (VST) time frame. If you bring up the SPX daily chart, the RSI and MACD are long and strong wanting to see another matching or higher high in price in the daily time frame, after a brief pullback.
The SPX starts the week at 4071 testing the tops from early September and early December. If you bring up a weekly chart, as price prints the matching highs, the RSI and MACD remain long and strong wanting a higher high in the SPX on the weekly basis. The SPX monthly chart is trying to chop sideways but with the weak money flow, and the RSI never reaching oversold territory, there is likely far more stock market pain ahead on the monthly long-term basis (this year).
Trading is a constant balancing of the time frames playing 5-dimensional chess. The 2-hour says down today, which the futures reflect, but then stocks will likely recover on Tuesday and then float higher into the King Powell show. All bets are off then since obviously, Pope Powell may bequeath vast riches upon the wealthy stockholders, or, he may create confusion causing stocks to collapse. Typically, it is best to remain in waiting mode, or even lighten up on positions or take some profits, before King Powell reads his decree.
The charts want matching or higher highs in the SPX in the hourly, daily and weekly timeframes. So the guesstimate forward would be that stocks rally later this week and for the next month but the environment should be choppy and centered around the critical 12-month MA at 4037-4040. Watch this level like a hawk since it tells you the stock market direction for the months ahead.
On the SPX weekly, the RSI is at 55% not the 70% overbot level so that is something on the table (for bulls). The stochastics are overbot right now. The weekly chart has to be monitored since negative divergence will tell you when the top is in. The SPX will likely be soggy for a week, then rally for a week to new highs, the RSI and MACD will run higher, then down a week, then back up a week and perhaps the indicators start to top out, then say, another jog move, down up, so the SPX may be headed for its next significant top about 3 to 8 weeks out. Of course this window will narrow and the top can be pin-pointed and called when the weekly chart goes neggie d.
What's all this mumbo-jumbo talk mean? Whatchu talkin' 'bout Willis? Stocks will likely continue their choppy trek forward but will make higher highs on the weekly basis probably until a significant top in late February early March. The charts will show the path forward. A move higher well into March, maybe April, or even May, may be on the table but that can be known in probably 2 or 3 weeks with the progress of the negative divergence on the weekly chart. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 12:13 PM EST: The spankdown continues with the SPX at 4043 testing the critical 4037-4040 support gauntlet.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/31/23, at 9:03 AM EST: SPX drops to 4018 in the Monday session. Bears cheer.
Note Added Tuesday at Munch Time, 1/31/23, at 12:01 PM EST: SPX pops to 4044. Bulls cheer.
Thursday, January 26, 2023
SPX S&P 500 Monthly Chart with 12 MA Cross; 1-Year Cyclical Bear Market Being Tested
The stock market bears had lots of fun in 2022 riding the cyclical bear market south. The bulls are making noise, however, and threatening to overtake SPX 4036-4040 unleashing an upside orgy in stocks so obscene it would make Caligula blush. The SPX begins today at 4016 about 20 to 25 points below the significant bull/bear line in the sand.
The SPX 12-month MA is the single-most important technical metric of the US stock market. It tells you if stocks are in a cyclical bull or bear and tells you how your portfolio should be balanced and weighed.
Adding to the drama are two other metrics that are now identifying a cyclical bull market in progress going forward. The NYA 40-week MA cross was first to turn bullish signaling a cyclical bull market. Next, only a couple days ago, the slope of the SPX 150-day MA begins moving higher signaling a cyclical bull market ahead.
2 of the 3 metrics dictate that a cyclical bull market has started but King Daddy, the SPX 12-mth MA cross, is not there yet. Since the cyclical bear market is ongoing for the last year, the benefit of the doubt must be given to the bears still yet. The gamechanger would be if the SPX takes out the 4036-4040 resistance gauntlet.
The SPX tested the 12-mth MA at 4036-4040 on Monday but was spanked down. This behavior typically sets up another attack or two of the coveted 4036-4040. The days ahead and couple weeks will tell the tale.
If the SPX fails to signal a cyclical bull market over the next couple weeks and starts trending lower, watch the NYA 40-wk MA cross and the SPX 150-day MA slope. If either of these revert back to a cyclical bear that tells you that the US stock market is going into a crash profile. If the SPX loses the 10-mth MA at 3952 shown above, that spells major trouble for stocks. Don't worry. It will be fun. You simply have to make sure you are holding shorts.
For now, however, the bulls are puffing their chests out proclaiming that they can defeat the 1-year cyclical bear market. Can they? The next couple weeks and 4036-4040 will provide the answer. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 5:18 PM EST: The SPX explodes higher blowing up through the critical 4036-4040 gauntlet in an upside orgy so obscene it does make Caligula blush. The SPX 12-month MA is at 4038 so that is the exact number to focus on. This is such a critical level that price will likely play around here for a while. The SPX will need to come down for a back kiss at 4038 and it will make a bounce or die decision then so there is still some drama to play out before the cyclical story is told. As of tonight, the US stock market has returned into a cyclical bull market but give it a few days since it may chop above and below 4038. Price also blew up through the 50-wk MA at 4031 another bigtime number that will likely need a back test. The bulls are walking around with their chests puffed out. All you have to do is watch SPX 4038 (4031-4038) and know that it decides the future direction of stocks.
Note Added Monday, 1/30/23, at 12:00 PM EST: The SPX 12-mth MA is at 4038 and the SPX price is at 4038. The battle continues.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/31/23, at 9:00 AM EST: SPX drops to 4018 in the Monday session. Bears cheer.
Note Added Tuesday at Munch Time, 1/31/23, at 12:02 PM EST: SPX pops to 4044. Bulls cheer.
Monday, January 16, 2023
SPX S&P 500 2-Hour Chart; Rising Wedge; Overbot; Negative Divergence; Textbook Inverted H&S Pattern Explained; Scaling-Into a Long Position on a Breakout Explained
The SPX (S&P 500; US stock market) goes into the 3-day weekend with the bulls singing a happy tune but they do not realize they shot their load and are out of ammo in the 2-hour time frame.
Today is MLK Day. US markets are closed and will reopen tomorrow. Traders will be greeted by the neggie d on the 2-hour. Stocks are usually bullish into a 3-day weekend so that helped levitate stocks to end the week.
Tuesday is OpEx Tuesday (Keystone's moniker for this day once per month) where a low in stocks on Tuesday typically leads to a high on Wednesday. This price action usually takes place before OpEx on Friday. The BOJ rate decision and comments are key for Tuesday and Wednesday (2-day meeting). PPI is released on Wednesday morning and Housing Starts Thursday morning both may be market-moving. Keystone's housing market indicator signals a housing recession in progress currently. The new moon peaks on Saturday for the month so stocks may be soggy starting from Thursday or Friday into Monday.
Back to the chart above, that has a Christmas feel to it, the red and the green, anyhoo, the red lines show the rising wedge pattern which is bearish and the universal negative divergence across all the chart indicators. Price is out of gas to the upside in the 2-hour time frame. The RSI and stochastics are also overbot agreeable to a pullback.
A spankdown for the stock market is expected to begin the holiday-shortened week. 3950 is strong S/R. The critical 10-mth MA is at 3945-3951 so that is the line in the sand.
If you bring up the SPX daily chart, you see that the chart indicators are long and strong in the daily timeframe. Thus, the pullback in the 2-hour time frame opens the door for a long trade that can be rode for a few days ager the negativity in the 2-hour timeframe is finished.
Of course, any negative news hitting the wires will delay the forecast for a few hours or couple days. There's a juicy gap down at 3925 so that may be what is needed during the pending retreat on the 2-hour. Thus, if you want to day or swing trade, you would want to be short now and looking for the 3910-3950 to show up in a day or two.
A long trade would be waiting for a couple days to see if she checks out the 3910-3950 area, if so, jump on and go for a ride for a few days on the long side.
Big picture, the die is cast. The S&P 500 is at 3999. The 10-mth MA is at 3945-3951. The 12-mth MA is at 4035-4040. Bulls win huge if 4040 is taken out to the upside; an upside orgy is on tap for several weeks forward. Bears win huge if 3945 is taken out because it creates shareholder pain and misery. Choose your poison.
The 2-hour chart above shows the bottom that occurred late December with the positive divergence (green lines). Price stumbled sideways due to the oddball holiday trading period and forms the inverted head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. The head is 3770 and the neckline is 3880 so that is 110 difference. Thus, if price takes out the neckline at 3880, it should run to 3990. Bingo. Old guys say bingo a lot. The inverted H&S pattern is satisfied.
For all of you budding technicians, the blue stars show the typical 3 buying areas for a breakout. Day-traders should pay close attention. For a breakout, the first star shows that the breakout should be bot. Then you wait to see how price behaves. You expect price to come back for the back kiss of the neckline so you do not want to chase price. There, you see price coming back down as would be expected and the SPX comes down for a textbook back test of the inverted H&S neckline.
When price bounces off the neckline, that is a successful back kiss (for the bulls), and successful test of the neckline which becomes firm support going forward. That is the second buy point at the blue star. Then price begins its ascent again as would be expected. A lot higher prices are now expected because of the inverted H&S pattern and chart indicators starting to squeeze out higher highs and of course the successful back kiss.
The SPX then crosses above the initial high after the breakout (blue line) and this is the third buy point for entering a long trade. If you buy one-third of the long position each time and scale-in, you reduce risk and can bail-out of the trade at anytime if price collapses. This same buying procedure can be used for any breakout in any chart time frame. In this instance, the breakout from the inverted H&S on the 2-hour chart is a gift for the day and swing traders who like to play the market in real-time.
If you are risk-averse, and afraid to step outside some days, and like to play it safer, simply wait for the final breakout at the third blue star to enter the long trade in one chunk and that will provide profits, not as much, but this long trade would be less risky (you give up the initial gains when the breakout first occurs).
So look for some sogginess in stocks to begin the week but since it is OpEx Tuesday the professional traders will be champing at the bit to buy. You will have to watch the 2-hour chart to see how things develop. Maybe down Tuesday, up Wednesday, then down Thursday, Friday, maybe into Monday, for the 2-hour chart negativity to play out, then the path higher on the daily chart reestablishes itself for rally-time on the daily basis the following week and for price to come up for higher highs on the daily basis. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23: The neggie d spankdown occurs on the 2-hour. Stocks drop and then Fed Governor Waller proclaims that a more dovish 25-bip hike is likely at the next meeting instead of 50 or 75 bips so it was off to the races higher and the week finishes with a buying frenzy to SPX 3973. Banks, commodities and retail stocks lead the parade higher. You can always count on the Fed, that is beholding to Wall Street and America's wealthy privileged class, to save the day. The move lower on the 2-hour chart was truncated by the happy talk that takes over the technicals since it is news out of left field, and then the charts price in the dovish chatter. The 200-day MA is 3969 so bulls are happy this key moving average is regained. The real game, however is occurring with the 10-mth MA at 3948. There may still be some softness on tap since the 2-hour was not allowed to play-out, the 10-mth will need a back kiss for a bounce or die decision, and the new moon is peaking right now for the month (the darkest outside overnight for the month). It feels like sideways slop. Watch the MACD line on the daily chart on Monday to see if it prints another higher high to indicate that there is another higher high coming for price on the daily basis. It is some funky price action to begin the new year. If you bring up the weekly, price has teased up towards testing the 50-wk MA at 4038 and this move is likely to come on the weekly basis. This sets up the ultimate decision and fate of the US stock market for 2023 when the SPX tests the 12-mth MA at 4032. The big test that is likely ahead at 4032-4038 is for all the marbles in 2023. Thus, maybe down to 3948 on Monday, then some chop but over the next couple weeks or so, say by month end, or as February begins, that epic and historic test at 4032-4038 will likely occur. The chart divergences will tell you who is going to win.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/23/23, at 11:10 AM EST: Wow. The bulls did not waste anytime running to the 50-wk MA at 4030. The SPX is at 4030. Honey, I'm home. The 12-mth MA is at 4037 the decider of a cyclical bull market versus a cyclical bear. The 4030-4040 battlezone decides the fate of the US stock market for the year ahead. Just as the North and the South converged on the hallowed ground of Gettysburg for the epic Civil War battle, the bulls and bears converge on 4030-4040 for a battle for control of the US stock market. The HOD is 4030 with price at 4026. Price hits its head on the critical 4030-4040 resistance and is spanked back but there will be a few more tries ahead.
Sunday, January 15, 2023
NYXBT Bitcoin Weekly Chart; Oversold; Falling Wedge; Positive Divergence; Tight Bands; Bitcoin Looks Bueno for Multi-Week Rally
The prior bitcoin chart talked about the weekly chart setting up for a multi-week rally. Bitcoin is ready to rally higher for a few weeks. The oversold RSI and stochastics are agreeable to a recovery rally on the weekly basis. Ditto the falling green wedge that is a bullish pattern.
The green lines show all the chart indicators positively diverged as price prints the lower low. She is all fueled-up and on the launch pad ready for a move higher on the weekly basis. The pop higher occurs at Thanksgiving but bitcoin struggles due to the lingering negative news around the phony FTX dude Sam the Sham Bankman-that's-Fried, the guy with the fifth-grader voice that is dressed by his Mom each day as if he is going on a play date.
Thus, bitcoin lingers sideways but note that it does not make a lower low on the weekly basis; a lot of, or all of, the bad news is likely priced in. The possie d shows that there is no reason for price to come back down technically; instead it is ready to rock and roll higher. Last week, the fuse was lit and bitcoin jumps +15%. There should be plenty more upside as the muti-week rally kicks off higher.
The purple arrows show the tight standard deviation band squeezes. Tight bands squeeze-out big price moves but they do not predict direction. For that squeeze at Halloween, the move was a flush lower, but as explained with the possie d green lines, there was no will to take price much lower. Typically, the bands will resolve by widening quickly and price continues in the direction it has chosen but not this time. Due to the news on bitcoin and continued fallout from FTX and Fried-brain-man and other cross currents, price tags the lower band and muddles sideways instead of collapsing.
Thus, there is a round two tight band squeeze coming. Same dealio. Direction is not known but a big hint is received with the +15% orgy last week. Considering that price is long overdue for a relief rally, and the weekly chart is possie d, the expectation is for a strong move higher over the next month. The middle band at 18492 was in play and it was already tagged. A move to the upper band at 21.7K is highly likely and may occur anytime over the next couple weeks.
The 50-wk MA is coming down to form a confluence at the 200-wk MA at 24500-ish. This is also where that big gap is at so it is a triple confluence that may serve as a magnet for price pulling it higher first to 21.7K then on to 24K-25K at the gap. Bitcoin is on an island right now that was formed when it fell through the gap last June. Thus, an island reversal pattern has potential.
When bitcoin rallies higher, watch that 24-25K level that is the edge of the island shown as the light blue oval. Price may head higher to 24K-25K and then continue higher in an orderly fashion to 26K and 28K and then 30K to fill that juicy gap, or, bitcoin may create an island reversal where price comes up to the 24K-25K level then bingo, in a heartbeat, price pops back up through the gap from 25K to 30K. Hence, this would be called an island reversal pattern (price jumps the same gap again this time to the upside). The other scenario is simply a gap-fill. You can watch the charts to see what is going to happen.
But those will be things to think about in a few weeks. Back to the here and now, the pink box for the ADX verifies how bitcoin was in a strong trend higher during late 2020 and early 2021 but it petered out in springtime and early summer of 2021. Bitcoin has sh*t the bed for over one year, falling, falling, falling, and yet the ADX is only at 26. Despite the long painful downtrend for bitcoin, the ADX does not consider the over one year move lower to be a strong trend lower. Isn't that something? The ADX needs to get into the high 20's and 30's and higher to verify that the price move is in a strong trend, be it up or down. This lack of a strong trend lower after over one year of the price falling, is another feather in the bull's cap going forward.
The Aroon shows the red bear line overbot and the green bull line oversold. This tells you that all the bears are boasting that bitcoin will collapse and is a piece of trash and they are almost 100% confident it will continue falling in price. The bitcoin bulls are in the same boat almost 0% confident that price can ever rally again or in other words, the bulls are also convinced that bitcoin has lots more pain ahead. You know what happens when everybody and his bro is on one side of the boat expecting bitcoin to collapse going forward, right? It is a contrarian indicator and the Aroon indicates that a rally is likely ahead and a bullish cross somewhere out there in the right margin.
The red lines are shown to recap Keystone's top call in bitcoin during the Fall 2021. It was easy. The red lines clearly show neggie d so anyone that stayed long was a complete idiot since a kid in fifth grade could have told you to sell, Mortimer, sell! Price was also above the moving average ribbon desperately needing a mean reversion lower and the stochastics and RSI were overbot agreeable to a pullback. It's simple. Traders can do fundamental analysis on bitcoin until the cows come home, but if they are not looking at charts, they are losing money.
So down she goes for over a year and the green lines now show the positive divergence set-up to make the bulls happy. Bitcoin will rally for a few weeks forward. Let's see. Bring up the daily chart. You can see the possie d bounce on the daily chart as well and bitcoin price has legs higher in the daily time frame; stoch's are overbot, however. Bitcoin looks bueno for a multi-week rally. The bitcoin monthly chart has a weak and bleak MACD line so after the multi-week joy occurs for price, she will roll over again and probably come down to check the important 13K-14K-ish support.
Thus, stirring all the mumbo-jumbo together and sprinkling on some voodoo dust, bitcoin looks good to rally for a few days say during the week ahead. Then a pullback on the daily basis say the following week. This slight pullback will be no big deal because the multi-week rally will be kicking into gear and bitcoin should rally from now well into and perhaps through February. An upside target of 21.7K then 24K-25K may be on tap by the time February ends. But then price will probably roll over to place a lower low at 13K-14K in March/April so the ride may be crazy town.
Price may rally for a few weeks and top out at the 21.7K then retreat. You will have to follow the charts to see what is happening. Price may go crazy and run to 30K or more printing the island reversal pattern described before coming back down. In general, the bitcoin trade is long for next few weeks.
Keystone is not in bitcoin and does not play it directly. Keystone is old school and trusting your money only to 1's and 0's and a gateway of passwords was never an appealing investment. However, Keystone is holding some RIOT on the long side. The trade is back to flat after last week's euphoria. RIOT popped 41% last week a tasty treat and is set up the same as bitcoin so it should run higher for a few weeks.
GBTC popped +31% last week. Bitcoin and other digital currencies enjoyed an upside orgy of joy last week. GBTC is set up the same as bitcoin and RIOT for a multi-week rally. The only thing that can stop the bitcoin positivity for the next few weeks would be another FTX bankruptcy and goofball CEO making excuses in a fifth grader's voice. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/16/23, at 8:36 AM EST: Bitcoin rockets to 21,428 then retreats to 20.8K. Looks like 21.7K will occur in quick order which makes the test of the gap resistance at 24K-25K more likely going forward.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, at 10:20 AM EST: Bitcoin pops to 21.6K now at 21.3K.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23: USD 101.83 lowest in 8 months. Euro 1.0816. Dollar/yen 128.55. Bitcoin 20.6K.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23: Bitcoin 23,030.
Saturday, January 14, 2023
Coronavirus (COVID-19) Chronology Article 100 Published 1/14/23; Global Covid Hotspots Are China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan; Japan Reports Deadliest Days of the Pandemic; One-Half (50%) of New Covid Cases Worldwide Are in Japan; China Remains Non-Transparent Refusing to Report COVID-19 Data; World Reports 671 Million Total China Virus Cases and 6.73 Million Deaths; US Reports 103.4 Million Total COVID-19 Cases and 1.12 Million Deaths; United States Wave 8 Is Ending with Daily New Covid Cases in a 1-Month Downtrend; End-of-Year Holidays Do Not Create a Superspreader Event; 92% of New US Covid Cases Are the BQ and XBB Variants; Pandemic Likely Transitioning into Endemic Phase Worldwide; Pfizer COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Creating Increase in Ischemic Strokes (Blood Clots); 'Twitter Files' Expose Collusion Between Big Pharma and Social Media Platforms to Stifle Free Speech Concerning COVID-19 Vaccines; Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Tests Positive for Covid; WORLD'S DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES ARE LOWEST SINCE 2020; US COVID INFECTIONS LOWEST IN 18 MONTHS; Singer/Songwriter David Crosby Dies from COVID-19; Billionaire Elon Musk Experiences Major Side Effects from COVID-19 Booster Shot
By K E Stone (Keystone)
Article 100 of the Coronavirus Chronology. Oh my. One hundo
articles with about 800 covid charts over the last 3 years. Keystone needs his
head examined. It is insanity, but considering the rampant stupidity and
self-centeredness of society these days, someone had to step-in and competently
chronicle the heinous once in a century COVID-19 pandemic.
The Coronavirus Chronology is the China Virus Bible. It is a
historical document that folks will read decades from now to understand the
human craziness occurring during the COVID-19 pandemic.
As Trotsky opined, “You may not be interested in war, but
war is interested in you.” Keystone was not interested in writing about the
pandemic, but the pandemic was interested in him, so 1.3 million words later,
still here we are, as Bob sings.
Keystone intends to end the Coronavirus Chronology when the
pandemic transitions into the endemic phase but this changeover has been
elusive as the BQ and XBB variants keep sneaking around in the bushes. Maybe
the chronology can finish-up with Article 101 or 102.
Keystone plans to publish a book or few on the COVID-19
pandemic after the smoke clears. For example, the titles of the articles alone,
such as the top of this page, all 100 of them, will be a standalone book
chronicling all the important events and news of the pandemic in historical
order. Also, a book highlighting the key turning points, mistakes, victories
and conclusions of the pandemic will be on the docket.
Keystone is intimate with the daily covid data for 3 years
and has chronicled all the pandemic infection waves worldwide and within the
United States. He is one of the very few that are qualified to provide constructive
criticism on the handling of the pandemic.
Israel is rumored to be ready to call an end to the COVID-19
pandemic and start of the endemic phase in a couple weeks. A German official
was heard saying he thought the pandemic has transitioned into the endemic
phase. Dr Tedros at the WHO will make the call that the pandemic threat is over
and the endemic phase is at hand but that may be a few weeks away still yet.
In the US, the COVID-19 herd immunity is protecting the
nation with the daily new cases for wave 8 in a downtrend for the last month. The
holidays were not a superspreader event and did not even produce the same
number of cases seen after Thanksgiving. Winter is halfway over and the
Fall/winter infection wave warnings were much ado about nothing. Celebrate!
The tripledemic of flu, RSV and covid in the US is
diminishing this major worry a month ago now in the rearview mirror. Wave 8 may
be the last significant COVID-19 infection wave for the United States.
The Whitehouse and CDC covid fear porn continues via the
democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times,
Washington Post, etc…). Either the people writing the covid news stories do not
understand what is occurring or they may be purposely feeding the coronavirus
fear and panic machine to encourage vaccinations. We have seen that game
before.
The XBB15 variant is the big worry these days but the
picture remains mixed. The CDC has egg on its face since the variant proportiondata has performed a wild whipsaw over the last 3 weeks. The XBB15 variant was
the dominant variant with infections increasing exponentially 2 and 3 weeks ago
but then the variant data flip-flopped and the CDC admitted that the percentage
for XBB15 infections is likely overstated.
BQ11 was the top dog on the variant hill but as seen by the
current data, it flip-flops back to XBB15 again this week. The numbers lack
credibility and are open to criticism because of the flip-flops and then the new
data massages-over the prior week’s numbers. Technical analysis is not possible
if someone keeps going back and changing the numbers.
Nonetheless, the current variant breakdown in the UnitedStates is 43% XBB15, 29% BQ11, 16% BQ1, 4% XBB, 3% BA5, 2% BN1 and 1% BF7. The
BQ’s total 45% together more than XB115 but the XBB’s total 47% compared to the
BQ’s at 45%. It is great to see BA5 retreating to the dustbin of history.
The majority of China’s outbreak is BA5, BA52 and BF7 if you
can believe the bits and pieces of rogue data making their way out of the
communist nation. China does not pose a threat with these variants since the
rest of the world has already been there done that. Note that BF7 has fallen
back as a threat in the United States.
The US and world look good going forward to end the pandemic
phase and even China may face a brighter path forward. The wildcard in 2023 and
what red China needs to worry about is a potential outbreak of the XBB variant
going forward. Some recent scraps of paper and scribbles on the back of
envelopes show that some XBB infections are appearing in China over the last
couple weeks.
This is very worrisome for the Chinese people since all they
have to do is look at Japan’s current nightmare where the XBB variant is
wreaking havoc killing more than 400 people per day. If XBB runs loose in China
with a new infection wave, say anytime now through March, there may be tens of
thousands of Chinese folks dying per day rather than the thousands now. Hope
not.
Chinese folks have been screwed over the last couple years
living like prisoners in lockdowns and then only to see that end but now watch
their elderly parents, relatives and friends pass away without any medicine or
help available. The pain continues.
One last thing on the variant percentages in the United
States. Remember that the variant proportions will continue changing but the total
covid pie is shrinking in size.
US hospitalizations are flatlining at about 40K for the last
week. Flat is better than up. The data is expected to drop considering that
daily new cases are in a downtrend for the last month.
US hospital admissions are curling over to the downside a
great development especially for the old folks. The other day, 17 West
Virginians died from COVID-19 and all of them were either in their 70’s, 80’s
or 90’s. What a cruel twist of fate to make it to your 90’s and die from China
Virus.
The US vaccination rate remains uninspiring. Nurse Goodbody
asks for a different assignment since the vaccination kiosk is too boring.
Spiders build cobwebs around her feet as tumbleweeds roll by. Crickets are
heard in the background. It is lonely waiting for people to step up to take the
shots. She had two visitors to the vaccination booth the other morning one was
asking for directions to the shoe store and the other was the delivery guy.
The news story on Moderna withholding vaccine data from the
FDA during the approval process will only serve to further shake public
confidence in taking the booster shot or beginning the so-called vaccination
process (remember, the CDC changed the definition of a vaccine to accommodate
the emergency approval of the mRNA serum). What a corrupt country.
Americans are not as enthusiastic for the vaccines these
days especially with young healthy people clutching their chests and collapsing
with frequency a few days or weeks after they take the shots and the medical
people and families refusing to disclose vaccination status. All anyone can do
is keep asking.
By officials and families refusing to provide information on
something as simple and direct as when a collapsed person last received a covid
shot, the radar goes up, something stinks, and it is not Keystone, he took a
shower. Obviously, people are hiding something so the conspiracy theorists are
typing away like madmen on their basement keyboards feeding the social media
machine.
More bad news on the covid vaccination front. Over the last
few hours, the CDC says there may be a safety issue with the Pfizer mRNA shot that
may bring on ischemic stroke (blood clots to the brain) in folks over 65 years
old. This is scary stuff.
Remember how the CDC and NIH have been shouting down people
over the last few months that have been raising the blood-clotting issue? What
a corrupt country. Remember how coroners and other doctors and scientists
performing autopsies, and funeral directors preparing bodies, have noticed an
increase in blood clots in people’s dead bodies? Someone needs to explain the
situation to the American people. Another tumbleweed rolls by the vaccination
kiosk.
For the charts, let’s start with the United States and the
daily new COVID-19 cases chart is shown above. The covid picture is bright for
America. Only 29K cases are reported for Thursday and the 7-day MA is down to
40K cases per day. Herd immunity is protecting America.
US cases are trending lower since mid-December with the
Wednesday daily new cases each week dropping from 80K to 74K to 66K to 58K to
48K for this Wednesday; great news. Each hump day the data shows that the trend
is lower and wave 8 is toast. Even better, note the rate of change. For the
peak days of cases each week which typically occur on Wednesday’s, cases
dropped 6K week to week, then 8K, then 8K again, and from last week’s hump day
to this hump day a 10K drop. The trend lower in US daily new cases is steady
and increasing great news.
The US active COVID-19 cases chart is shown above
(bell-curve chart). It is disappointing that the active cases are not falling
off faster but they are headed lower. The US active covid cases peaked at 2.3
million on 1/1/23, ringing in the new year, and now at 2.09 million. Covid is a
pandemic of the elderly these days. The expectation is for the active cases
curve to drop-off faster and form the coveted bell shape to prove wave 8 is
completely finished.
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. 366 Americans
continue dying from COVID-19 per day. The rate was hinting at moving below 200
covid bodies per day but pushes higher again. It is a disgrace. Incompetent
President Biden is unable to decrease the covid death rate in the United States
for the last year. It is shameful that he spends his time on the climate change
follies destroying the energy industry and creating inflation rather than
saving American lives which is why he was elected.
Everybody and his brother keep reporting about the northeast
United States under siege from the XBB15 variant. The talking heads say it is covid
Hell on earth with citizens scrambling for cover. No, it isn’t and it has not
been in recent weeks.
New Jersey and New York are the key states showing the rise
in cases but all the northeast states were painted with the same brush.
Americans do sh*tty subpar work these days and twist information to fit their
chosen political narratives. It is the transition from US excellence to
mediocrity.
The CDC Community Transmission map shows the northeast US
green and yellow which is low-risk and medium-risk, respectively. The orange
high-risk states in the northeast are New Jersey, New York, Connecticut,
Maryland and Delaware. The map also shows elevated infections in Virginia, and
the Carolina’s. Thus, it is more of an East Coast thing rather than northeast
US. These states are on the bad state list below with the exception of Virginia
which is improving.
New Jersey’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The 7-day
MA trendline is flat at 2.6K cases per day trying to roll over from the peak at
3.2K cases per day almost a week ago. New Jersey has to be watched closely and
so far, so good. The expectation is for cases to roll over lower.
In California, Los Angeles County officials say cases now
account for 10% of the COVID-19 deaths occurring in the United States.
Something is wrong with those numbers. It is doubtful that 1 in 10 new covid
deaths in America are in Los Angeles County. The daily new deaths chart for
California does not reflect the trouble.
Covid deaths in the Golden State are at 23 bodies per day so
the entire state accounts for about 6% to 7% of the total covid deaths in
America so it is odd for officials to claim that far more than that are
occurring only in LA County.
Do the LA County hospitals have an incentive to report
higher numbers of covid cases? Or maybe their procedures are resulting in more
deaths being called covid when they may be due to other ongoing health ailments
or RSV or flu? America does sloppy work these days so the questions remain
unanswered. The daily new and active cases charts for California do not show a
problem so there is no need to delay the trip to San Francisco, but be sure towear some flowers in your hair.
The world’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The planet
reports 388K daily new cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA trendline continues
lower at 382K cases per day. Both numbers are under 4 hundo. The day becomes
brighter. Perhaps wave 10 is the final swan song for China Virus?
The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. The
COVID-19 death rate nudges higher at 1.9K deaths per day lousy news. The
elderly are dropping like flies. Japan and America account for a large portion
of the death rate but China continues refusing to provide covid data. There are
thousands of Chinese folks dying per day across the mainland due to China Virus
and the numbers dwarf the 1.9K covid bodies per day rate for the entire planet
that does not include China in the data.
Japan’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Japan’s
current infection wave is an odd one. Note how the daily cases were in retreat
averaging only 120K cases per day one week ago but over the last 2 days the
daily cases are at 176K and 162K cases per day (higher). It is a double wave 8a
and 8b.
There is a good chance that Japan’s daily new cases are
topping-out right now and tomorrow morning’s number, that reports the Friday
cases, will provide a direct comparison to the peak day at 246K cases on
1/6/23. The expectation is that cases will be lower than 246K lighting the
pathway to lower numbers going forward.
Japan’s double wave is funky. What happened? Why is it a
double-wave? The XBB variant was at play for wave 8a but what has occurred
since then? Don’t know. Maybe the XBB15 bug started flexing its muscles
creating wave 8b? A new variant?
The world is in good shape. Japan should peak and recover.
China should improve. The only major worry ahead would be the XBB lineage
infecting China because this new potential infection wave would probably make
the current outbreak of BA5, BA52 and BF7 on the mainland look like child’s
play.
Keep your fingers crossed for the Chinese folks through
March. Scumbag Dictator Xi and the CCP do not care; they are glad the elderly
Chinese are dying-off from covid since the old folks are viewed as a burden to
a communist society. The world is an ugly place, Sonny and Girly.
Oh, damn it. Japan’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. 489
Japanese died from China Flu on Thursday, 1/12/23, the deadliest day of the pandemic.
The 7-day MA is at 401 Japanese deaths per day. The COVID-19 news for the world
and United States is constructive and optimistic but Japan and China are the
bad news twins.
More than 1 in 4 new covid deaths worldwide are on the
island of Japan (remember, China is not reporting their COVID-19 death data
which is thousands per day). The elderly Japanese are culled by covid as the
government looks the other way. Like China, Japan’s aging demographics problem
is improving daily as the crematoriums churn-out human smoke 24/7. Such is the
modern world.
Taiwan’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Taiwan’s
7-day MA for daily new cases curls over to the downside at 23K cases per day a
beautiful sight. The top should be in for daily new cases. Last week, on 1/4/23
and 1/5/23, Taiwan’s cases were 34K and 32K, respectively. On 1/11/23 and
1/12/23, one week later, that allows direct comparisons weekday to weekday, the
cases are 26K and 23K, respectively.
Baby, you look wonderful tonight, or today, as Eric sings.
Taiwan and South Korea are on the road to covid redemption. China
infected Taiwan so the peak in daily cases in Taiwan likely indicate that
China’s current heinous wave probably peaked a couple weeks ago. Hong Kong’s
daily new cases peaked on 12/31/22 so this reinforces the idea that the daily
new cases for the outbreak across mainland China likely peaked as the new year
started.
Singapore is not imposing restrictions on travelers from
China and Thailand reverses its new covid testing requirements on travelers
from the mainland. Both nations do not show any rise in daily infections so
they are in good shape making wise decisions.
China’s outbreak is mainly BA5 and other nations have
already been there done that so China’s infection wave is not a threat to other
countries (as long as a new variant does not appear and this is murky since the
communists are hiding their data).
Singapore is the new financial hub for Asia, along with
Tokyo. Xi and the dirtbag CCP took over full control of Hong Kong so it is now
just another lousy communist city like Beijing and Shanghai. Thailand is
kissing China’s butt because tourism is its number one industry for their
economy.
Brazil’s daily new cases chart is shown above and it is
representative of other South American nations. The new infection curves are 5
weeks up and 5 weeks down for most of the continent. South America was not
vaccinated to the extent of other continents so coronavirus moves robustly through
the populations the last couple years. Some nations relied on
hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin for help.
The natural immunity levels must be robust for these nations
hit the hardest during the first couple years of the pandemic mainly South and
Central America and Africa. As fate would have it, the recent variants are no
big deal for these nations but the countries that coddled and protected their
populations with lockdowns such as China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New
Zealand had to eventually pay the covid piper. Coronavirus is a pay me now or
pay me later proposition.
Germany’s active cases chart is shown above (bell-curve
chart). Remember in November, only a couple months ago, the news was joyous for
the Deutschland with the active covid cases dipping to a new low that tracks
back to late 2021. But that joy was short-lived as another infection wave hit.
The good news is that this wave is toast and Germany’s active cases now print a
lower low at 432K cases comparing back to November 2021. It is great news.
The young German men in lederhosen are chasing the pretty
frauleins in their dirndl dresses again but when you think about it, did they
ever stop? If a man was told he can kiss a pretty girl but it is probable that
he will catch covid, humorously, any man worth his salt will take the kiss. The
virus did not stop love and desire. Coronavirus has run its course in Germany
exhausting the supply of host bodies. COVID-19 is transitioning into the
endemic phase.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 103.4 million. India is next with 44.7 million total virus
cases. France, Germany, Brazil, Japan, South Korea, Italy, UK, Russia, Turkey, Spain,
Vietnam, Australia, Argentina, Taiwan, Netherlands, Iran, Mexico, Indonesia,
Poland and Colombia round out the top 22 worst nations for total COVID-19 cases.
India remains at 44.7 million total cases for the last 6 weeks great news.
COVID-19 has infected 671 million people worldwide. China
(CCP) owes reparations to the world for its sick heinous crime against
humanity. 6.7 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu. 642 million global
citizens have recovered from the virus.
96% (642/671) of the people that become infected with COVID-19
recover in a reasonable time frame. The percentage remains steady for many
months. Worldwide, 1.0% (6.7/670) of the people that are infected with covid
die; 1 in 100 (hit the 1/x button on your calculator).
8.7% (670/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 11 people on earth. 0.09%
of the world’s population (6.7/7670) died from the pandemic so far; 1 in every
1,145 people on earth died from China Virus over the last 3 years.
The latest census data shows that the world has crossed the
8 billion population milestone but the Coronavirus Chronology will continue
using the 7.67 billion number for calculations to remain consistent.
In the United States, 103.4 million people have been
infected with covid. 1.12 million Americans are dead. 100.2 million Americans have
recovered from coronavirus. This equates to 97% (100.2/103.4) of US citizens recovering
after becoming infected with COVID-19.
Those are good odds especially when you look around and see
most people fatter than yourself. Most of the COVID-19 deaths are old or fat
people and heaven help you if you are old and fat. COVID-19 is a pandemic of
the elderly.
In the US, 1.1% (1.12/103.4) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. 1 in every 92 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. 0.34% (1.12/330)
of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 295 Americans over the
last 34 months.
31% (103.4/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid. That is almost at 1 in every 3 Americans.
The latest data and commentaries, even from the CDC is that 80% and maybe 90%
or more of Americans have been infected with COVID-19 over the last 34 months
(many positive tests and illnesses are not reported and some people did not
know they had covid).
The US is defeating wave 8 probably because of the strong
herd immunity in play (vaccinations plus natural immunity).
The United States has 15.4% (103.4/671) of the COVID-19
cases in the world. 2 in every 13 people that become infected with covid on the
planet are Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago,
but not so much in recent months.
The US accounts for 16.6% (1.12/6.7) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
A couple years ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases (bell-curve) chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases
chart is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and
strain on the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases
chart rolls over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and
healthcare workers can breathe easier.
The Keystone Model is very effective and reliable in
predicting the peaks in active cases for countries and US states as shown over
the last couple years. The bad country and bad US state lists below display the
covid trouble spots around the world. At this stage in the pandemic game, the
period between a peak in daily new cases and active cases is 11 days.
The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time covid
hot zones occurring around the world and within the United States. The
chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades
to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in
real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 100 in the Coronavirus Chronology, a milestone, that provides
real-time information for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists,
market participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This one-hundredth article is published on Saturday, 1/14/23.
The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into 2023; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political narratives or media spin. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 100 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the COVID-19 pandemic that is transitioning into the
endemic phase.
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well.
The bad country list below decreases in size as 8 countries
are removed since their active cases curves have rolled over and they are
starting to form the coveted bell shape. The world’s COVID-19 cases are in a
steady downtrend for the last few weeks.
Mexico (Sixth Wave) (have not
reported their data for a week)
1/2/23 New Case Peak Date
1/13/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve moves sideways)
1/7/23 New Case Peak Date
1/18/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
1/5/23 New Case Peak Date
1/16/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
12/31/22 New Case Peak Date (use
Hong Kong dates but data is flawed)
1/11/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve continues higher)
China is in covid Hell with millions of infections occurring per day. Good luck to the Chinese folks, especially the elderly, since the CCP does not care. On the bright side, as explained above, China may have peaked with daily new cases as the year turned 2 weeks ago. Thus, the active cases should flatten-out and rollover to form the coveted bell shape. China will continue struggling but at least the worst of the wave may be in the rearview mirror.
China has to continue worrying about another outbreak that
may be dominant in the XBB strain. If so, it will look like Japan, and China
will be crushed into submission during February and March. The Chinese folks
suffered enough, like all global citizens, so hopefully they are not hit with a
XBB tsunami infection wave. If China can make it into March with cases
decreasing from here to there, that would be a fantastic outcome for the commie
nation and the world.
Eight nations are removed from the bad country list including
Thailand, South Korea, Colombia, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, and
Germany. Thailand imposed travel restrictions on people traveling from China
but then the rules were rescinded. Dirtbag Xi and the CCP likely told Thailand
that they will shut off access for Chinese tourists all together unless
Thailand kneels and obeys. Thailand’s major income stream is tourism so they
kneel and kiss China’s dupa.
South Korea is a surprise but its active cases are rolling
over with daily new cases so that is great news. South America is improving as
the other names suggest. Germany is also on the mend with its active cases
chart highlighted above.
The only countries blocking the world’s path to the endemic
phase is China (including Hong Kong), Japan, Taiwan and South Korea. The news
should improve in the days ahead.
It is a beautiful development that the bad country list is
whittled down to less than a handful of countries. Victory over COVID-19 is
within sight but we must keep marching towards the endemic phase target to make
it become a reality.
The United States bad state list below calls out the states
with rising active COVID-19 cases and the count dwindles to 10 states. America
is in a downtrend with daily cases for the last month as wave 8 ends. The future
is bright so you may need to wear shades.
The holidays are not a superspreader so a US wave 9 is
nowhere in sight. Let’s keep it that way. The path forward is bright and
optimistic but maintain a hairy eyeball on the East Coast.
New York (Eighth Wave)
12/22/22 New Case Peak Date
1/2/23/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days) (curve is rolling over give it a couple more days)
12/28/22 New Case Peak Date
1/8/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
12/29/22 New Case Peak Date
1/9/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flat trying to rollover)
12/30/22 New Case Peak Date
1/10/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is rolling over give it a couple days)
12/30/22 New Case Peak Date
1/10/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is rolling over)
12/31/22 New Case Peak Date
1/11/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is rolling over)
1/4/23 New Case Peak Date
1/15/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
1/4/23 New Case Peak Date
1/15/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve trying to flatten)
1/6/23 New Case Peak Date
1/17/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
1/11/23 New Case Peak Date
1/22/23 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Several states are removed from the bad list including Mississippi, Illinois, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Ohio, Virginia and West Virginia. Virginia is improving but it needs watched very closely.
US wave 8 was created by the Thanksgiving Day and holiday
weekend infections and it is over. Thankfully, wave 9 remains with Godot. The
end-of-year holidays are not a superspreader and the Fall/winter huge US
infection wave, that was supposed to be like waves 3 and 6, never materialized.
It is great news.
As mentioned above, television talking heads are in a tizzy
about covid infections occurring in the northeast US but it is actually more of
an East Coast affair.
The Carolina’s (South Carolina has stopped reporting its
data), Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York and Connecticut
require a hairy eyeball in the days ahead but the cases are very manageable and
no biggie so far. Pay close attention to North Carolina and New Jersey for the
next few days.
Maybe the US bad state list will go away all together over
the next couple weeks. Let’s hope so.
The Coronavirus Chronology is using 8 metrics to assess the
pandemic to endemic transition and the world is not making much headway. (1) The
world’s daily new cases should be below 360K per day to claim endemic status and
cases are at 382K per day. (2) The world’s daily new deaths should be below
1.3K per day and they are 1.9K. Bummer.
(3) For the United States to be in the endemic phase, the
daily new cases should be below or around 10K cases per day and are now at 40K
per day and dropping. (4) US active cases should be below 730K cases (at least
below 1 million) now at 2 million. (5) The US COVID-19 death rate should be
below 180 bodies per day now shamefully over 300 souls per day.
(6) To declare the endemic phase in America, US
hospitalizations should drop below 10K patients and are now flatlining under
40K. (7) The CDC Community Transmission map should turn completely green and
yellow to usher in the endemic phase and 86% of US counties meet these criteria
with 14% remaining in the high-risk orange zone.
(8) Lastly, the public needs to accept that the pandemic is
over and this is already in the endemic column since most Americans have
resumed their normal lives and ignore the COVID-19 news.
It is a sad assessment. There were great gains with about
half the metrics in the endemic camp a few weeks ago but then the latest round
of infection waves smacked a few key countries senseless creating new gloom.
Comically, the only metric in the endemic camp is number 8.
Most people have moved on with life choosing not to pay much
attention to covid anymore. Unfortunately, the data metrics have some work to
do before the confetti can be thrown for the end of the pandemic and start of
the endemic phase.
Actress Jamie Lee Curtis tests positive for COVID-19 and is
recovering at home. She did not disclose her vaccination status. Perhaps people
are starting to not disclose if they are vaccinated or not because they do not
want to be embarrassed having to admit they had another mRNA injection only
days or weeks before catching covid?
Dr Fauci is the bad dream that will not go away. He is the
villain in a class B horror flick that rises up one last time at the end of the
movie right when you think he is toast. Interviewer Cavuto on Fox News
(republican-run media) lays out the red carpet for the Fauch granting him 15
minutes to spew revisionist history about the pandemic.
Keystone did not spend 3 years recording the pandemic for
nothing. He knows where all the covid bodies are buried and will not let anyone
write revisionist history. Fauci does what he does best blaming others for the
pandemic mistakes and missteps while adjusting the halo above his head.
Dr Fauci continues spewing the line that he will cooperate
with Congressional investigations into the origins of COVID-19 as well as the
gain of function research backed by him (NIAID), Collins (NIH) and EcoHealth
Alliance (the pass-through agency where American taxpayer money went to the
Wuhan Laboratories in communist China for nefarious research). Let’s see if Fauci
cooperates once he is officially notified. Fauci is going to spend his
retirement with his lawyers.
Fox News was likely pursuing their own agenda to make it
appear as if they are a more neutral media outlet since they are letting Fauci
speak his talking points. Cavuto tries to craft the image that he is more
center than right but plain and simple, if you work for Fox, or Newsmax, or the
New York Post, or on AM talk radio, you are a right-wing hack, and if you work
for CNN, MSNBC, the broadcast channels (ABC, CBS, NBC), PBS, NPR, New York
Times or Washington Post, you are a left-wing hack. Americans are on to the
tribal game and declare a pox on both their houses.
The endemic phase remains elusive but a happy ending may be
on tap going forward. China’s infection wave likely peaked as the year began
but obviously the trouble will continue for a few weeks. Japan should peak with
daily new cases any day forward. Other nations are in the process of
recovering.
It is a bright and optimistic picture for 2023 especially
since the new variants are not any worse than prior bugs. Wave 10 for the world
and wave 8 for the United States may be the final swan songs for the COVID-19
pandemic. Is it wishful thinking?
It will be interesting to see if any countries step-up and
begin declaring an end to the covid pandemic and if Dr Tedros at the WHO then
decides to wave his staff and proclaim that COVID-19 has transitioned from the
pandemic to endemic phase. That will be a great day when it occurs. China and
Japan need to get with the program.
Note Added 1:00 PM EST: Facing non-stop international criticism for hiding their COVID-19 data, red China releases new information. National Health Commission (NHC) health official Jiao Yahui, no doubt a commie stooge for scumbag Dictator Xi and the CCP (or she would not be allowed to speak), says 59,938 covid deaths occur in Chinese hospitals between 12/8/22 and 1/12/23. Hey filthy liar, how many China Virus deaths occurred in the hospital parking lots since you did not count them? How about the covid deaths at home? The CCP liar claims 5.5K of the 59.9K cases are COVID-19 with the remaining 54.4K deaths due to a combination of COVID-19 and other ailments. The new lies sound like the old lies. Over a 35 day period, Jiao Yahui the liar wants the world to believe that 1.7K Chinese were dying per day. A 3K to 10K death rate and higher is likely closer to reality. There are over 7K crematoriums across the mainland and another 1.8K funeral parlors to process bodies. These facilities are operating 24/7 for the last month billowing black and gray human smoke from their weathered stacks. The hearses and vans carrying yellow body bags are lined up for blocks. Another line of citizens are pushing forwards the caskets of their loved ones waiting patiently for a cremation. With all these crematoriums and funeral homes busier than a one-armed paper hanger, it does not take an Einstein to figure out that there are a lot more than 1.7K Chinese folks dying per day from covid across the vast mainland. Go back and sharpen your pencil little commie stooge and recalculate the numbers as you spend time under Xi's desk. He likes the pretty ones. Note that the proposed 1.7K China covid death rate comes in just below the current 1.9K death rate for the world. Of course, the communists are not going to report a COVID-19 death rate that exceeds what is occurring on the entire planet. What are you, stupid? The China numbers are made up out of whole cloth.
Note Added 2:00 PM EST: Former FDA commissioner Dr Bret Giroir is criticizing former FDA commissioner Dr Scott Gottlieb about past emails, tweets and communications that have come to light indicating that Gottlieb was in contact with Twitter to censor Giroir and others that were touting natural immunity. The Whitehouse, CDC, NIH, Big Pharma and Twitter wanted everyone to get vaccinated and acted like a sick cabal telling people to take the mRNA shots even if they have been infected with covid and likely have some level of natural immunity protection. Giroir is critical of Gottlieb for sitting on the board of Pfizer and at the same time having a thumb on the Twitter scale trying to censor anyone mentioning natural immunity in lieu of Pfizer shots. There is a lot about the pandemic that will have to come out in the wash in the weeks and months ahead. Pfizer pushes back against the news that its vaccine may be causing an increase in ischemic stroke (blood clots) claiming the data does not show a connection. What a circus. Folks, if you are over 70 years old, even over 60, and especially if you are fat, talk to your doctor about the best plan for preventing COVID-19. Covid is a pandemic of the elderly and those with existing health issues.
Note Added 3:00 PM EST: Dr Leana Wen pens a COVID-19 article for the Washington Post (democrat media) under the Opinion Page titled, "We are overcounting covid deaths and hospitalizations. That's a problem." Wen receives criticism from Fox News (republican media) and on social media such as Truth Social (Trump's right-wing Twitter-like site). She posits that the covid deaths and hospitalizations may be overreported. Keystone has been commenting for the last few months about how the elevated cases in New York are fishy which would support Wen's thesis. Hospital directors and administrators admit that there may be overreporting occurring but claim that it is not willful and more likely due to imprecise reporting. It is easy to understand that one nurse or doctor may report a death as covid when another would not. This is the fault of the hospitals and American medical system for not setting a standard for the accurate reporting of COVID-19 deaths; they only had 3 years to develop one. There may be guidelines but if so, people are not following them. Wen receives criticism on Fox News and social media for discussing the overreporting of covid deaths and hospitalizations with people thinking her comments are too little too late but she is used to criticism and people should be happy that Wen is shining a light on these matters. Sunlight is the best disinfectant. In a prior interview, on the mask issue, Wen said her kids are in school and not wearing masks. She cautioned that the mask decisions should be made by the individual and someone may want to take extra precautions if they live with an older person or someone with a weakened immune system. Numerous studies show that masks are ineffective or at best only marginally successful at preventing virus transmission while on the negative side masks hurt childhood educational, social, emotional and mental development. In general, masks are not effective since people do not wear them correctly, and they pick their nose, and eat, and scratch an itch, and pull the mask away from the face to get some fresh air and use the masks over and over when they are not intended for long-term use.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/15/23, 3:00 AM EST: The world crosses the 6.73 million total COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. People yawn. 0.09% of the planet's population has succumbed to China Flu; 1 in every 1,140 earthlings have died from covid. Picture a local theatre or concert venue that typically handles a thousand or so people. The venue is filled and one number is pulled; that person will die from covid. The venue is emptied and a thousand new people are ushered in and one unlucky person is selected from that group to die from covid, and so on. This is repeated until you go through the world's population. Your odds are pretty good that you will not die from COVID-19 especially if you are in good health, eat properly, take vitamins and supplements, and are not overweight (BMI under 25). If you are over 60 years old, however, and especially if over 70, and perhaps fat (BMI above 25), well, let's just say that there is a higher chance that your number will be pulled in that theatre. The world reports 320K daily new cases for Friday a great number that keeps the band marching towards the endemic phase. The 7-day MA is down to 353K cases per day a great development. Why couldn't this occur yesterday because the first metric listed for the endemic phase above is the world's cases falling below 360K per day? The pandemic is making the transition into the endemic phase if only China and Japan will get with the program. 1.8K earthlings are dying from COVID-19 each day but that is better than 1.9K per day.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/15/23, 4:00 AM EST: Finally some good news out of Japan. Daily new cases peaked on 1/6/23 at a huge 246K cases; a quarter-of-a-million Japanese were being infected with covid each day. Japan reports 144K cases for Friday the 13th cutting the weekday-on-weekday comparison by one-half great news that indicates Japan likely topped-out with daily cases. The 7-day MA is down to 146K cases per day moving lower so the wave 8b is in retreat. Give it another day, however, since there were 239K cases on 1/7/23 an elevated number so Japan may surprise with huge cases tomorrow morning when yesterday's infections will be known. The expectation is for another day of say, 144K cases, and that will pave the way to better times ahead for Japan and confirm the top in place. There are 10 million active covid cases in Japan so 8% of the population, 1 in 12 Japanese, are receiving some level of healthcare either for an ongoing COVID-19 infection or for long-covid. The numbers are far higher than what is occurring in other nations on earth so Japan may be overreporting the covid numbers. Japan has a reputation for fudging medical numbers. After the Fukushima nuclear disaster, all the managers of the facility over 50 years old were dead 3 years after the accident but their death certificates list other causes than the obvious radiation poisoning. This way, Japan's corrupt government then touts the ongoing stellar safety record of nuclear power. This is the modern-day world girls and boys. 480 Japanese die from covid on Friday and, along with the 489 souls on Thursday, represent the deadliest days of the pandemic. Lord help the elderly Japanese folks trying to avoid the crematorium. Taiwan's daily new cases are averaging 22K per day continuing to trend lower so the active cases curve should begin rolling over as well great news. China's outbreak remains a mystery but the limited data and media information indicate that the daily cases likely topped-out as the new year turned over. The covid future is so bright, you have to wear shades, as Timbuck 3 sings.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/15/23, 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 19K cases for Friday excellent news. Wednesday's and Friday's are the big data days for each week so to see 19K cases is a fantastic sight. The 7-day MA for US daily cases is down to 37K per day and should begin dropping at a faster rate since the holidays are not a superspreader event and the Fall/winter big infection wave is on a milk carton (missing). The US still needs the active cases to rollover below 2 million which should come in the days ahead since daily cases keep retreating. 341 Americans continue dying from China Virus each day as Sleepy Joe Biden is now mired in a scandal that he mishandled sensitive secret US documents like Trump. All these corrupt individuals are the same. New Jersey reports 3.1K cases for Friday pulling back from recent higher numbers so Joisey should walk a happier covid path going forward. The United States and world looks good for the transition into the endemic phase and no one is happier than Keystone since the final chapters of the Coronavirus Chronology may be coming into sight.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/15/23, 6:00 AM EST: Pretty, smart and athletic Italian tennis star Camila Giorgi is accused of faking a covid vaccine certificate. Her doctor says she has not received any covid vaccines but humorously, the doctor is caught up in a scandal of allegedly providing fake covid serums. The investigations continue. The news proves that Giorgi is not only beautiful but also a smart cookie. She is young and in top physical condition so covid is not a threat for her and she did not want to inject the mRNA serum into her body. Good on her. Giorgi is a smart, beautiful, young and independent-thinking lady. Good luck to her. Four actors in addition to Jamie Lee Curtis mentioned above are testing positive for COVID-19 in California. The common thread and likely reason for the covid illnesses is the interaction occurring among the actors and others prior to the Golden Globes award show.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/15/23, 11:00 AM EST: The CDC and surrogates continue preaching doom and gloom for this winter basing their fear-mongering on wastewater data. The wastewater data should not be relied upon. It does not reflect the United States since many folks have septic systems. In addition, is the data detecting levels of COVID-19 because a hospital worker just flushed a bunch of infected swabs into the sewer system? The wastewater scam is a slush fund for democrat cities. Wastewater data is helpful in identifying variants but this task can likely be performed with a fraction of that wasteful wastewater budget. The CDC needs to put the money into updating daily new virus cases as close to real-time as possible. Keystone called every infection wave in the US for individual states as well as globally for the 200 countries on Earth over the last 3 years. Numerous times, Keystone would tweet to nations, politicians and cities telling them 'hey dummies, you have a new infection wave, warn your population'. All those calls were made based on the technical analysis of the daily new cases data. Hey dummies at the CDC, capiche?
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/16/23, 5:00 AM EST: Happy MLK Day. Where have all the good people gone? The world reports 246K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA trendline is down to 325K cases per day beautiful stuff ushering in the endemic phase. Unfortunately, 1.7K earthlings continue dying from China Virus each day. China continues receiving heat especially after the release of the 60K deaths phony number. Scientists are comparing the 60K statistic, that occurred over 5 weeks, to other nations and the numbers do not stack up. Instead of 1.7K Chinese folks dying per day it is likely in the 5K to 20K deaths or more per day range. The WHO calls for China to be more transparent after the 60K deaths number is released. Dirtbag communists (Xi and the CCP) lie that is what they do. What part of that don't you understand? China likely peaked with daily new cases a couple weeks ago but there are challenges ahead. Chinese folks want to see family and friends during the lunar year holiday and a mass migration across the mainland started a week ago and will continue through the end of the month. In addition, the rural areas are becoming infected with COVID-19 and those poor souls do not have medical help readily accessible and if they did, medicines and treatments are in short supply on the mainland. Even if China makes it through this month and cases are retreating, the big worry would be the XBB lineage spreading in China during February and March. This wave may make the current outbreak look like child's play. The rest of the world is not at much risk from China (unless a new variant develops) since the variants wreaking havoc (BA5, BF7) have already made their way around the globe. The Chinese folks deserve a better government than scumbag Xi and the filthy CCP. The truth of it is that Xi and the CCP are happy that the elderly Chinese are dying since it alleviates the aging demographic problem. Such is life, and death.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/16/23, 6:00 AM EST: Japan reports 132K cases for Saturday so it appears that the top in Japan's daily new cases occurred on 1/6/23 great news. Japan's active cases should peak-out in the days ahead. There is bad news. 503 Japanese die from China Flu on Saturday the deadliest day of the pandemic. The world's covid death rate remains elevated as Japanese folks continue dropping face-down into their sushi. Deaths lag the active cases and hospitalizations that lag the daily new cases. Thus, if Japan's daily cases topped-out a week ago, the active cases and hospitalizations should begin decreasing this week but unfortunately, the death rate will likely remain elevated for another 1 to 3 weeks. Crematorium workers and urn makers are sad for the families but happy for their higher paychecks. Taiwan's top in daily new cases on 1/4/23 is holding. The news is positive sans the ongoing struggles in Japan and China.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/16/23, 7:00 AM EST: The 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 30K cases per day perhaps setting up the 20K's cases per day numbers for the days ahead. Isn't she lovely, as Stevie sings. US active cases are at 2 million and should slip below any day forward to start forming the coveted bell shape and place the final dagger in covid's heart. 296 Americans are dying from COVID-19 each day but no one cares. Goodbye Grandpa Moses, Uncle Black Feather and Great Aunt Carlita. We hardly knew ye. New Jersey active cases slip from 136 million to 134 million. It may not sound like much but it is the first tick lower since November and represents a potential top. Jersey should be on the road to recovery going forward and the load on hospitals will begin easing-up. New York looks to improve going forward. California's active cases are starting to roll over so the busy hospitals will start to see relief each day forward. The world and US are winning the battle against the covid monster that is transitioning into the endemic phase that will only be a shadow of its former pandemic self. As Arnel sings, Don't Stop Believin' that the pandemic will end; it will.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, 3:00 AM EST: The world reports only 204K cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA is falling like a rock down to 310K cases per day. The world has been in a covid rainstorm for 3 years but now the clouds are parting allowing rays of endemic sunlight to penetrate the day. 1.6K earthlings are dying each day from China Flu and this number is starting to track sharply lower as well. Central Europe had added big to the world's cases numbers recently but Italy, France and Germany are in great shape now. Japan, South Korea and Taiwan are improving going forward which will send the world's cases lower. The outbreaks in South America are not as bad as the rest of the world perhaps because this continent, like Africa, has the most natural immunity in their populations. China remains the wildcard and their cases, hospitalizations and deaths are not accurately reflected in the world's numbers. The data for the planet represents the 200 nations on Earth sans communist China that refuses to be a cooperative partner to the the world concerning the pandemic. The communists are dishonest about the origin of COVID-19 which is likely from a lab leak from the Wuhan Labs between August and November 2019, so why would any intelligent person expect filthy Dictator Xi and the CCP to be honest now? 408 Japanese are dying per day from covid the most ever. Goodbye Grandmama Masako and Great Uncle Hiroto.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, 4:00 AM EST: The US reports only 8K daily new cases for Saturday, a single-digit midget, and Sunday's number is not available yet but it will be single-digits, too. The United States and world are improving quickly from the COVID-19 pandemic as international news organizations continue preaching doom and gloom from their mahogany pulpits. The 7-day MA for US daily cases drops to 24K cases per day and with 19K cases on Friday and single digits on the weekend, lower numbers are coming for the 7-day MA trendline. If you listen closely, you can hear that endemic train coming down the tracks with the whistle beginning to blow the pandemic out of town. US active cases are on the verge of losing the 2 million level more good news because the bell shape will form proving the pandemic is toast. Even better, hospitals, clinics and doctors offices will notice conditions improving going forward. 227 Americans continue dying from China Virus each day but the rate is coming down sharply more wonderful news. The covid death rate needs to get down into the 120 to 180 bodies per day range to compare to the regular flu season and provide another checkmark in the endemic column. You do not want to jinx it, but after 3 long pandemic years, the endemic phase is finally coming into view. Three years is enough human misery.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, 5:00 AM EST: Elon Musk continues releasing emails and documents, the Twitter Files, showing collusion between social media companies, the US government and Big Pharma to censor free speech. Big Pharma pressured social media platforms to silence people questioning the vaccines while promoting the messages from pharmaceutical companies and others encouraging COVID-19 vaccinations. No one that follows this stuff is surprised. America is corrupted by the two compromised political tribes that promote their own sick agendas instead of doing what is right for common people. In 2023, 80% of Americans are overweight or obese and they worship at the drug and surgery medical model altar. This is modern-day society.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, 7:00 AM EST: The Paterson School District in Passaic County, New Jersey, rescinds its jackass mandatory mask requirement. The idiot school officials that imposed the mask mandate now say covid cases are declining and the virus appears less of a threat. This is great news since New Jersey is getting hit with slightly higher cases than other states. If New Jersey is improving, the US is golden.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 1/17/23, 9:00 AM EST: In Australia, that is now a sick woke nation, at the Australian Open, tennis star Giorgi is harassed by the media over her vaccination status. She says she had a vaccination shot but it turns out to be from a doctor that may have been providing fake shots. The matter is under investigation. Giorgi is in top physical condition for a human being so she would be intelligent to not have any of the mRNA serum in her body. Giorgi is smarter than the idiots around her badgering and harassing her with vax questions. The funny part is those people know it; they are jealous of her hoping that the spike proteins that are still circulating in their bodies do not cluster in one spot.
Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 1/17/23: If you visit Canada, and do not wear a mask in a hospital, you can be murdered. Whhaaaatttt!!? The National Post posts a horrific and disturbing story and video of an incident at a Toronto Hospital. A woman waiting for care because she is having trouble breathing is not wearing a mask. An over zealous control freak nurse berates the lady then calls security. The security guards grab the lady, presumably to force this lady that has difficulty breathing to wear a mask, the video is obstructed, they haul the lady away in the wheelchair legs dangling lifeless. They killed her for not wearing a stupid mask. Sicko's. What a heinous act truly horrifying for anyone that witnessed it and especially the family. The video is disturbing. It gets worse. Canada has gone full-blown woke under baby tyrannical King Trudeau, that likes to dress up in blackface for parties on the weekends, and the courts decide not to try the two security guards for killing the lady. Isn't that sickening. The guards get away with murder. The family is horrified at the injustice. The murder is on videotape. It is reminiscent of the George Floyd incident in the States. Floyd was the petty thief and counterfeiter that passed a bogus $20 bill at a store and when the cops arrived to arrest him he resisted and struggled. Floyd had to be held down but a cop took it too far and held his knee to Floyd's neck and chest murdering him by suffocation. The cop is now in prison convicted of murder in a court of law. Comparing it to the Canada mask murder, it would be as if the cop that killed Floyd was let off free and a trial would have never occurred. Now do you understand how sick Canada has become under the deranged boy King Trudeau? The medical system is sick, cruel and demented in 2023. Stay away from dirtbag Canada and if you visit beautiful Niagara Falls with your honey, stay on the American side. Human minds are damaged from the pandemic. Sick authoritarians stoke fear to gain greater control over the people.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 4:00 AM EST: The world exceeds the 672 million total COVID-19 cases milestone. The planet reports only 171K daily new covid cases for Monday a sight to behold. Woo-hoo! Yeehaw! A 1-handle! The world's daily new cases have not been below 200K infections per day since July 2020 at the start of the pandemic. It is fantastic news. You can smell the endemic phase in the air. The 7-day MA for the world's daily cases drops to 298K cases per day below 3 hundo not seen since September 2020; great news. THE WORLD'S DAILY NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS ARE DROPPING TO LEVELS NOT SEEN SINCE 2020. Halleluiah. As expected, the global death rate is starting to track lower at a faster rate now below 1.5K covid bodies per day. Japan reports 54K cases for Monday only one-fifth of the peak day at 246K cases on 1/6/23 now in the rearview mirror for almost 2 weeks.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 5:00 AM EST: China's outbreak remains a mystery since the communists are non-transparent with COVID-19 information. The world must remember red China's nefarious actions over the last 3 years. The Chinese people are increasingly unhappy with Xi's handling of the pandemic. They are watching the elderly drop like flies while the communist government does nothing. Chinese folks are taking matters into their own hands trying to find ways to get medicines and drugs for their loved ones. They plead with Chinese companies (controlled by the communist government) for help. Xi and the CCP may be okay with the elderly population being culled by covid but the people know what is going on and the lack of action by the government may lead to serious social unrest in the weeks and months ahead. News reports say Chinese doctors are being told by the communist government (dirtbag Dictator Xi and the CCP) to not list the cause of death as COVID-19 on the death certificates. A covid death in China needs approved by at least three different levels of communist government before it is counted as a covid death. Despite the ongoing covid trouble in China, the demise of the COVID-19 pandemic phase is likely occurring around the world far faster than anyone expects. Just think how surprised they will be in a month when the pandemic is over, the endemic phase is in play going forward, and the global covid cases will no longer require daily or even weekly monitoring. 2023's song starts on an upbeat note sans China's ongoing outbreak.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 6:00 AM EST: The US reports only 9K cases for Monday a weekday; it is great to see data point after data point with good news. It has been a long time coming; 3 years. THE 7-DAY MA FOR US DAILY NEW CASES DROPS TO 21K CASES PER DAY NOT SEEN SINCE JULY 2021; THAT IS 18 MONTHS AGO! It is joyful. US active covid cases slip below 2 million to 1.995 million; we'll take it. The bell shape will form on the active cases chart further verifying the end of the pandemic phase. 199 Americans continue dying from China Flu each day but it is great to see it drop below 2 hundo bodies per day and the rate is falling sharply as cases retreat. US hospital admissions are falling like a rock especially for the over 70 crowd; wonderful news. US COVID-19 hospitalizations have rolled over lower to 32K and this data is a few days old. It is hard for Keystone to remember a day filled with such positive great news about the pandemic. He always told you that 'someday, this pandemic is going to end'.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 7:00 AM EST: West Virginia democrat Governor Justice, 71, tests positive for COVID-19. He is vaccinated like a pincushion cheerleading the jabs for the last couple years and this is his third covid infection if memory serves. The many people in contact with Justice the last few days are undergoing daily covid testing. COVID-19 is a pandemic of the elderly. A college basketball game between the Northwestern Wildcats and Iowa Hawkeyes is cancelled and will have to be rescheduled after many of the Wildcat players contract COVID-19. Anecdotally, the stories these days from people under 60 years old infected with covid are the same whether vaccinated or unvaccinated. These young Americans say they have cold-like symptoms and recover in a couple days regardless of vaccination status. For example, the Wildcat basketball team will likely be good as new by the weekend. Lisa Marie Presley's doctors and family will not provide details on her cardiac arrest. There is a lot of that occurring nowadays. Smells like a heart attack possibly related to her covid shot? That is what people think when officials hide information. Edgy, sometimes raunchy, comedian Chelsea Handler tweets a quick video saying she received the second shot of Moderna (booster?) a short time ago and is deaf in one ear and feeling sick. She asks if anyone else experienced these symptoms after the shot. Keep in mind that Handler loves the spotlight and may be embellishing her symptoms to receive attention and free marketing exposure. Florida republican Governor DeSantis, who may be planning to run for president in the November 2024 election, is pushing to place a permanent ban on masks and vaccines. DeSantis decrees that people should follow the new mantra, "Science Not Censorship" and proclaims, "Being the free state of Florida did not happen by accident."
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 8:00 AM EST: The social media harassment of Keystone and the Coronavirus Chronology continues. Google says the content is violating their rules but they refuse to provide the exact information on the violations. They do this to screw the blog out of advertising revenue and promote their twisted pandemic agenda. Isn't it sickening? It is America. The Twitter Files are an ongoing process shedding sunlight on the nauseating corruption and collusion between social media (Twitter, Google, Facebook, etc...) and Big Pharma, the US government, Biden, FBI, CDC, FDA, NIH, and the democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times, Washington Post, etc..) during the pandemic. It is only a matter of time before the Google Files, Facebook Files and other social media files come to light like the Twitter Files. Hey *ssholes, the pandemic is winding down and the Coronavirus Chronology will be ending so you will not have Keystone to kick around anymore anyway. The beauty of it all is Keystone has all 1.3 million words of the Coronavirus Chronology, the entire daily 3-year history of the pandemic, under lock and key, so anyone planning to play games in the future, or write revisionist history, will be easily outed. If you are a Google *sshole messing with blogger's written text and content and imposing arbitrary censorship because you do not want to hear the truth, your day will come. It would be wise to correct your ways since your paycheck may go to attorney fees in the future. Do you realize that you are violating the First Amendment and crushing an American citizen's right to free speech or are you stupid setting yourself up for legal problems?
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 10:00 AM EST: Bloomberg interviews Pfizer CEO Bourla at the Davos Economic Forum in Switzerland. Davos is an elitist meet and greet where the billionaires tell the millionaires how to live. Bourla cheerleads the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccines; that's his job. He says Pfizer is working on a vaccine to handle new variants, an annual covid vaccine and also a combination vaccine for covid and flu. Bourla interestingly says that 'you can get sick with the same covid variant 3 months after you are infected'. He defends Pfizer's pricing structure for vaccines and claims they are doing all they can to bring the covid shots to underdeveloped countries. Bourla knows how to play the public relations game. When asked about concerns that the public have about the vaccines, Bourla opines that the CDC, FDA and European authorities are making the key decisions on vaccines and the pandemic not the pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer and Moderna. The elite crowd at Davos are Big Pharma friendly so Bourla can espouse comments without fear of rebuttal. Not so on the streets of Davos. The few times that Davos is spotted outside, walking with his bodyguards, reporters are dogging him asking pointed questions such as 'when did he know about the myocarditis and blood clot side effects of the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccines'. Bourla ignores the questions and walks quickly to avoid reporters on the street. Why is he running away and refusing to answer hard questions about the safety and development of the COVID-19 vaccines? What is he hiding?
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 1/18/23, 10:30 AM EST: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell tests positive for COVID-19. He is working from home experiencing mild symptoms.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 1/18/23: Dictator Xi wishes the Chinese people a happy lunar new year as their elderly relatives breathe their last breaths. Xi proclaims that caring for the elderly is the top focus in the pandemic fight. Sure it is dirtbag. The state-run media prints Xi's dribble. He pushes for more vaccinations (the Chinese people do not trust the vaccines and they are junk shots with low efficacy) for older folks especially those in nursing homes but this is little help as an infection wave is occurring. Chinese folks do not have any medicines or treatments available to help older loved ones recover from COVID-19. Xi's words ring hollow. Xi decrees that China "enters a new stage" of the pandemic. Yes, a stage where hundreds of thousands of old people die. China's infection wave of daily cases may be subsiding but the lunar holiday traveling period is reaching its climax now, 1/18/23, through 1/27/23, which brackets the 1/22/23 Lunar New Year. Therefore, adding the 6 to 9-day infection incubation period would target 1/24/23 through 2/2/23 as a window for a big bump higher in COVID-19 cases across mainland China. Hopefully, it does not develop since the Chinese folks have been through enough. Xi makes reference to the rural areas that are now getting hit with more infections but again puts the responsibility on the local officials to figure things out when medicines and treatments are in short supply or not available. Thanks for nothing, a-hole. Xi does not care. He figures that every elderly death gets him one step closer to his long-term Mao-like vision for communist China. Interestingly, the 1.4 billion Chinese population is finally peaking and rolling over after many decades of growth, so he needs to incentivize the young people to make babies. Many young Chinese couples and singles, however, are not thinking about families because life is hard and they worry that it will be too difficult to raise a child properly. If you travel the world, you will find most people are the same everywhere; they simply want to have jobs so they can support their families and have some fun in life without government intrusion and drama, but at the same time everyone realizes that they must live under the rules and decrees of the regime in power be it socialism, communism, crony capitalism, dictatorships, Marxism or fascism. Everybody has a Poison Heart, as Joey would sing at CBGB's.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 1/19/23, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 284K daily new cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA is down to 281K cases per day. Feel free to throw confetti as the remnants of the pandemic parade march through town. The global death rate is at 1.5K deaths per day and dropping sharply; it will be a great day when it goes sub 1,000 covid bodies per day. The outlook ahead is rosy and positive so it would be a shame to get smacked with something out of left field and this is not expected. The latest string of COVID-19 variants are highly transmissible but less lethal (sans the elderly with preexisting health problems) and not creating huge upswings in cases like prior deadly waves. Coronavirus is doing what a virus is expected to do over time becoming more transmissible and less deadly. The virus is running out of host bodies so it needs to make itself easier to spread but this activity also makes the bug less deadly. Japan's daily new covid cases have peaked and are dropping sharply lower at 125K cases per day but 426 Japanese continue dying from China Flu each day another new record for the pandemic. The misery does not end in Japan, or China, until the smoke from the crematoriums subsides.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 1/19/23, at 5:00 AM EST: Taiwan peaks with daily new cases on 1/4/23. Since mainland China infected Taiwan, an assumption can be made that China's infection wave likely peaked a couple weeks earlier which is late December. Obviously, the nasty conditions continue in China and the commie government and state-run media remain obstinate in providing pandemic information to the world. China is likely seeing daily new cases drop, but still at elevated levels with millions of infections daily, and the potential headache ahead is the lunar new year holiday period that may create a substantive pop higher in cases and potentially new infection wave starting 1/24/23 through 2/2/23. If the variants in China remain BA5, BA52 and BF7, the new year bump in cases will not be a biggie, however, if the XBB bugs begin smacking mainland China, that may be a new terrible story to play out ahead. The rest of the world has worked through these variants, or are finishing up with the infection waves, so the Earth's pandemic ball is in China's court. Sadly, the filthy communists (Xi and the CCP) will not inform the world on the case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and most importantly, the variants at play. There was a news story last week that said a few of the XBB variant cases have appeared on the mainland which is concerning for the Chinese people. Xi and the CCP do not care since a new round of dead old people means their vision of a Mao-style China comes into clearer view faster. CNN reports that nurses in China's hospitals are collapsing from working too hard many are sick with covid.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 1/19/23, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports only 23K daily new cases for Tuesday another wonderful number and the 7-day MA is down to 26K cases per day at 18-month lows. The pandemic happy talk continues. As a writer, sleeping with ugly covid for the last 3 years, it is a fantastic experience to see the skies part and a true end to the pandemic within sight. US active cases drop to 1.95 million so hospital admissions and hospitalizations continue lower. US deaths reman stubbornly high always hesitating to commit to a sub 200 covid dead bodies per day rate but with the other metrics retreating sharply, the deaths will follow lower in short order. All it takes is a little Patience, as Axl sings, but this is in short supply after 3 years of pandemic misery.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 1/19/23, at 7:00 AM EST: Progressive New Zealand Prime Minister Ardern resigns appearing stressed-out from the job. Ardern is an incompetent leader and could see the writing on the wall as New Zealanders become increasingly unhappy with her leadership. She is as stupid as she is pretty. Ardern was out touting the misguided climate change agenda while a COVID-19 infection wave was spinning out of control in New Zealand and this occurs after 2 years of draconian lockdowns. A terrible terrorist attack occurs on her watch and her response was taking guns away from citizens. She is a bloomin' idiot. Good riddance to the woke Ardern an incompetent boob. New Zealand will be better off without her; she mishandled the pandemic as nearly did every other nation on Earth. Sweden is one of the few bright spots during the pandemic since they never closed their schools. Get lost Ardern. Beat it. Thanks for nothing.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 1/19/23, at 8:00 AM EST: Novartis CEO Vas Narasimhan tells CNBC at the Davos Forum that the world must prepare for future pandemics. He provides optimistic comments for the current COVID-19 pandemic opining, "I think what we're going to settle into is more of an endemic environment with respect to coronavirus and the covid virus specifically." It is positive news that places another checkmark in the endemic column. Novartis is arriving late to the COVID-19 vaccine party carrying the water and fetching the coffee for Pfizer, BioNTech and Moderna. Narasimhan is positioning Novartis to play a bigger role when the next pandemic occurs. That's his job. Big Pharma is sitting on the living room sofa handing out pills like candy to willing American drug addicts. Such is the US drug and surgery medical model.
Note Added Thursday Evening, 1/19/23: Showbiz 411 media and other outlets report that rock and folk singer/songwriter David Crosby dies at 81 years old from COVID-19. Some outlets say the cause of death is not revealed. Crosby has not been in good health for a few years so he was in the comorbidity risk group, and he was in his 80's in the elderly group, and he was obese. Three strikes and yer out. He was promoting vaccines telling others to take the shots so he must have been up to date with the jabs but the mRNA serum did not protect against his serious illness and demise. God Bless Him. Covid claims another human body. Goodbye David, we hardly knew ye.
Note Added Friday Morning, 1/20/23, at 3:00 AM EST: The world exceeds 6.74 million COVID-19 deaths a grim milestone. That is a lot of dead human bodies the covid monster has claimed after it rose-up from Wuhan, China. The world reports 278K daily new covid cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA is down to 264K cases per day; great numbers. The global covid death rate is dropping nicely but remains too high at 1,584 bodies per day. Japan's 7-day MA for daily new cases drops to 112K cases per day falling like a ton of bricks a wonderful sight. Even better, the current wave 8b cases drop below the low made during wave 8a before the cases skyrocketed again (see charts above). In technical analysis, this means the cases are going to continue dropping like a stone. Japan's active cases remain at record levels at 10.4 million (over 8% of the Japanese population; 1 in 12 people) and should peak and start to reverse to form the bell shape any day forward. Deaths remain elevated with 450 Japanese dying from covid on Wednesday near the deadliest day of the pandemic on 1/14/23 with 503 covid deaths. Over the last 2 days, the7-day MA trendline for Japanese covid deaths ticks lower for the first time from 426 covid bodies per day to 422 deaths per day. You know the drill after 3 years. Daily new cases roll over first followed by active cases and hospitalizations and then the deaths roll over last. Japan is in good shape going forward but obviously the healthcare workers remain busy as wave 8b dies. The Japan Times reports this morning that the classification of COVID-19 will be downgraded to be on par with the seasonal flu. Japanese officials are telling people it is time to 'learn to live with the virus'. South Korea continues improving and mask mandates and requirements are relaxed. China's lunar new year celebrations are in full swing this weekend. COVID-19 is in heaven in China with all the potential host bodies hugging, kissing, singing and having fun. Good luck to the Chinese folks.
Note Added Friday Morning, 1/20/23, at 4:00 AM EST: The United States reports only 33K cases for hump day a beautiful sight since big numbers usually appear mid-week. The 7-day MA trendline for US daily new covid cases is at 30K cases per day. The US active cases continue rolling over to produce the coveted bell shape. Covid deaths remain stubbornly high in the US averaging 332 bodies per day. President Biden, the Whitehouse staff, CDC, NIH, FDA and Big Pharma deserve a flunking grade for not being able to lower the COVID-19 dead body count for over a year. It is shameful; a disgrace. The wealthy are not dying so they do not care and many of these officials are making money off the ongoing misery. Such is the crony capitalism system breathing its last breaths of corruption.
Note Added Friday Morning, 1/20/23, at 5:00 AM EST: The COVID-19 endemic phase has shunned Godot and is now arriving around the world and in America. The pandemic is finally transitioning into the endemic phase after 3 long years. The wildcard is China and more China Virus infections are expected due to the mass traveling taking place during this holiday weekend. A bigger worry is that China likely has not seen the XBB lineage in force yet. China will not provide useful information on the COVID-19 variants at play across the mainland so it is difficult to assess this potential problem. Judging by Japan, if China is hit with the XBB, XBB1 and XBB15 wave, the mainland can be in a world of hurt far worse than the ongoing misery. For now, the Chinese are happy to be rid of lockdowns for the most part and are celebrating the lunar new year holiday covid be damned. You only live once.
Note Added Friday Morning, 1/20/23, at 6:00 AM EST: In the US, the COVID-19 rapid tests are coming under scrutiny because they may not be identifying infections (false negatives). Coronavirus has evolved over time so the tests may not be as effective. NPR (democrat-run media) reports that experts, such as Dr Baird at the University of Washington, say the tests detect the nucleocapsid protein and this has not changed much so the tests should continue doing a good job. Just think. All the drama around covid tests, masks, mandates, vaccines, and people going at each other's throats from pandemic stress, will disappear, for the most part, as the endemic phase arrives and COVID-19 is on par with the seasonal flu.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports 239K daily new cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA trendline is down to 256K cases per day not seen since August 2020. COVID-19 never promised you a rose garden, as Lynn sings, but after 3 years, the endemic buds are finally beginning to bloom and smell wonderful. Isn't it funny to wish for the COVID-19 endemic phase simply because you want the 3 years of pandemic misery to end? Everything in life is relative, as Al would say. 1.6K earthlings are dying from covid each day so this metric needs to drop and it should in the days forward. Japan improves but the active cases have not peaked yet; they should any day. South Korea's daily cases drop to 31K per day at 3-month lows looking good. Taiwan's daily cases are averaging 19K per day and dropping and the active cases chart is rolling over so the independent island nation, that wants nothing to do with the mainland's sick communism, is improving and healing from the mini-infection wave brought on by the infections from the mainland. China claims 80% of the population has had COVID-19 but you cannot believe the filthy lying communists (CCP). And what are the variants at play. If the infections are all pre XBB lineage, good luck.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports 22K cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA trendline is down to 26K daily new cases per day. Keep the good news coming. US active cases are curling over and forming the bell shape to prove the virus is being defeated. The US death rate is coming down sharply but averaging 286 covid bodies per day still yet. It should drop faster going forward. There is more information coming out that the COVID-19 deaths may be overcounted in America. In fairness to doctors, nurses and healthcare workers, they are hit the last few months with infection waves of different covid variants, flu and RSV at the same time and for patients that are elderly and fighting other health problems including obesity. Deciding on the cause of death must feel like a coin-flip for the person filling out the death certificate considering the smorgasbord of factors at play. Human control and greed determine actions. In some nations, such as commie China, the incentive is to not report a death as covid since that is what the CCP tells you to do and you do not want to be thrown into prison or receive a bullet in your head, so you make up some other cause of death. In other countries, such as the US, the tendency is to overreport covid deaths because there may be monetary incentives involved that benefit the hospital or clinic.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23, at 7:00 AM EST: Billionaire Elon Musk, always in the limelight, says he had serious side effects after receiving the second booster shot (fourth total covid vaccine). Musk, that has a flair for the dramatic, tweets; "I had major side effects from my second booster shot. Felt like I was dying for several days. Hopefully, no permanent damage, but I dunno. And my cousin, who is young & in peak health, had a serious case of myocarditis. Had to go to the hospital." After those comments, the Whitehouse, CDC, NIH, FDA and Big Pharma are taking Musk off their Christmas card list. Musk's comments will not help the pitiful uptake of the new COVID-19 booster shots. Musk says the only reason he took the shot is because it is mandated to visit the Tesla factory in Germany.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 1/21/23, at 8:00 AM EST: Rasmussen Reports says 12 million Americans may have had major side effects from the covid vaccines. 1 in 4 people believe they know someone who died from taking the covid vaccine. One-half of Americans believe that there are legitimate concerns and worries about the COVID-19 vaccines. The American medical system, led by Fauci and others, receives a flunking grade during the pandemic. It all started with the Fauci/Trump lie telling Americans that masks were of no use when the video of infected patients during the early days of 2020 showed the doctors, nurses and medics in hazmat suits. It was the major mistake of the entire pandemic. Americans immediately realized that Fauci and Trump were lying about the masks (that are humorously determined to not be of much use in preventing virus infection after all) because of what they saw on television with their own eyes. The lie about masks was told so the government had time to take ownership of every available mask in America to provide the protection to healthcare workers. These two bozo's had such little confidence in Americans that they assumed the worse and that millions of Americans would hoard masks and other PPE (personal protective equipment; masks, shields, gowns, etc..). This mindset and deceit destroyed the American psyche laying the groundwork for mistrust during the pandemic. Hey jackasses, you must tell the truth if you are a leader. People can handle it and want to know the truth and will respect you for providing the information even, especially, if it is bad news. Fauci and Trump needed to tell Americans that a virus was attacking the US and there is not a lot known but the immediate need is to provide masks and other PPE for the healthcare workers. Americans would have leaped into action building an 'esprit de corp' banding together to battle the pandemic. Millions of folks would have drove to the hospitals delivering any masks they had (many did) and a can-do attitude would have been developed from the start to find out what is going on and work together to solve the situation. Fauci and the medical establishment would be trusted since they would be perceived as telling the honest truth. Instead, it was a pack of lies from day one and 3 years later the current Liar-in-Chief, bozo Biden, has not handled the pandemic any better than clown Trump. 1-1/2 times as many Americans are dead from COVID-19 under Biden than Trump. Both are examples of failed leadership. These three idiots, Fauci, Trump and Biden, would not know esprit de corp if it bit them in the nose.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/22/23, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 228K cases for Friday with the 7-day MA down to 241K cases per day. Each day is brighter than the day before as the march towards the covid endemic phase continues. Japan is improving but its active cases chart has not peaked yet; it should any day maybe tomorrow. The global COVID-19 death rate continues dropping but is at an elevated 1.6K bodies per day because Japan continues reporting over 400 bodies per day. 1 in 4 global covid deaths worldwide are on the island of Japan but the death rate should begin dropping any day forward. China's data remains unreliable. Hong Kong's daily new cases peak on 12/31/22 for the current wave. Full control of Hong Kong is in the hands of dirtbag Dictator Xi and the CCP. An assumption can be made that Hong Kong's infection wave is reflective of what is occurring across the mainland and it reinforces the idea that China likely peaked with daily new cases as 2022 ended. The active covid cases for Hong Kong peaked on 1/9/23 so the 9 to 11-day interval between the daily new cases peaking and the active cases peaking is holding for all countries these days. In 2020 and 2021, Asia outperformed the rest of the world in handling the pandemic but much of the credit likely goes to the Asian diet which boosts the immune system. If you want to be healthy, eat like an Asian (beans, rice, algae, fish, legumes, soy, stay away from dairy, etc...). However, as coronavirus mutated, and the variants adjusted to the global playing field, the Asian diet did not help as much. The pandemic carnage in the back half of 2022 in China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia and New Zealand had a lot to do with the government lockdowns that isolated the public and prevented natural immunity from occurring. These countries paid the price. New Zealand PM Ardern resigns mainly because of her poor handling of the pandemic as she traveled the world promoting the misguided climate change agenda. She's clueless with most New Zealanders saying good riddance. The incompetent leadership around the world is on full display during the 3 years of the pandemic and does not paint a confident picture for the planet ahead.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/22/23, at 4:00 AM EST: Beijing officials and Chinese medical officers claim that 80% of China's 1.4 billion people have been infected with COVID-19. Natural immunity is high so the officials decree that there are no worries about an additional infection wave. Communist idiots. Look at Japan, jackasses. China has two potential headaches. The Year of the Rabbit celebrations are in full force with Chinese folks having a good time with friends and family. This activity, a potential superspreader event, will produce an increase in covid cases from now through 2/2/23 (next 11 days) and dictate if a new infection wave begins. Unfortunately, communist China will not provide data to the world to monitor the cases. The expectation would be for another infection wave to occur across the mainland. If it is simply more of the BA5, BA52 and BF7 variants, that supposedly are the main culprits for the December and current wave (you cannot trust any of the communist information), a small bump wave would be expected where cases increase but probably only for a couple-three weeks and the rise in cases will not be a biggie. The main problem for China is the XBB lineage. Since red China refuses to cooperate with the world and will not provide useful variant data or access for independent sampling, the proportion of XBB, XBB1 and/or XBB15 in the Chinese population is unknown. If the virus spread after the lunar new year holiday expands and the XBB lineage is at play, the infection wave in China will likely be worse than the December and January current wave. It is comical for the Beijing officials to proclaim that there are no worries since 80% of the population has had COVID-19, when at the same time the countrywide mask mandate remains in effect. The communist Chinese officials are so confident in their prediction that COVID-19 is over that they are forcing 1.4 billion people to wear a mask and try to maintain social distancing. That's funny. Medical officials outside China are not as confident that the country has turned the corner with covid. The sad truth is that Dictator Xi and the filthy CCP are okay with more virus transmission so it will kill off more old Chinese folks and remedy their aging demographics problem.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/22/23, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 14K daily new COVID-19 cases for Friday fantastic news and the 7-day MA trendline drops to 23K cases per day. The teens are coming! The weekend numbers will be low, hopefully single-digits, so perhaps in a week the US daily cases may be trending below 20K cases per day. US active cases are rolling over but remain at 1.9 million. A faster drop is expected in the days ahead that will form the bell shape on the chart. 244 Americans continue dying from covid each day accounting for about 15% of the daily global deaths or 1 in 7. The CDC Community Transmission map is turning a wonderful green color reflecting the lower virus transmission across the United States. 6% of US counties are orange representing high-risk of COVID-19 transmission down nicely from 13% a week ago. One-half of the orange counties turned yellow (medium-risk) or green (low-risk) over the last 7 days. The high infection areas are mainly on the East Coast and across the southern states. America is on the mend and the pandemic is finally transitioning into the endemic phase. US hospital admissions are dropping faster than a prom dress at midnight. US COVID-19 hospitalizations are falling rapidly now below 30K at 29K patients and this data is 3 days old so perhaps the US is at 27K or 28K covid patients right now in real-time; great news. The COVID-19 pandemic is making the transition into the endemic phase worldwide. China is the odd-man out that will have to be monitored for the next couple months.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 1/22/23, at 6:00 AM EST: Wyoming Governor Gordon tests positive for COVID-19. He is experiencing mild symptoms and isolating at home. Gordon is vaccinated and boosted like a pincushion and this is the second time he is sick with covid. The saga with the collapsed Buffalo Bills player Damar Hamlin continues. Hamlin dropped over from cardiac arrest in the middle of the (American) football game 3 weeks ago in front of a national audience. A stink develops when a CNN headline is exposed that was quickly deleted during the initial days of the event. The headline reads, "Doctor of Damar Hamlin confirms Cardiac Arrest was due to the 4th Booster Vaccine." CNN media is controlled by the democrat tribe and as the Twitter Files have exposed, they work in concert with the Biden Whitehouse. When Trump was in power, Fox News and Newsmax carried his water. Such is America's corrupt crony capitalism system on its last legs. As reported by USA Today, CNN representative Sydney Baldwin says, "This is a fabricated image (the headline)." Hamlin's handlers also refute the headline decreeing that the covid vaccine had nothing to do with his cardiac event. Comically, Hamlin's people and the democrat-run media shout that there is no there there, but at the same time refuse to provide details on his vaccinations. The initial information was that Hamlin had his booster 6 days before he collapsed and the Biden administration probably wants to keep it quiet since the US vaccination rate is already pitiful. The United States will have to ship the COVID-19 vaccines to the third world countries since many Americans feel they have enough covid shots. Doctors and scientists need to study the side effects (myocarditis, blood clots, etc...) from the covid vaccines in detail and tell the American people the truth if they want to restore credibility.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/23/23, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports 170K daily new cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA continues lower at 226K cases per day bringing a sub 200K number in sight. After chronicling the entire COVID-19 pandemic each day for the last 3 years, it is joyful to see the pandemic ending worldwide transitioning into the endemic phase. Coronavirus Chronology Article 101 is to be published tomorrow so maybe with a little luck, Article 102 in the first days of February will be the last chapter of the China Virus Bible. 1,584 earthlings continue dying each from covid each day but this is expected to drop off more sharply going forward. On the bright side, Japan's covid deaths have peaked. Japan's deadliest day of the pandemic is 503 covid corpses on 1/4/23. Saturday, 1/11/23, is 398 covid deaths mostly elderly Japanese folks. The week-to-week comparison is over 100 dead bodies lower than the peak day identifying 1/4/23 as the top. The continued drop in Japanese covid deaths will bring the world's death count lower. Japan's daily new COVID-19 cases drop to 90K per day.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/23/23, at 6:00 AM EST: Chinese folks enjoyed the lunar new year/spring festival holiday weekend and the coming days will determine if the event is a superspreader. Dictator Xi says the COVID-19 pandemic has been "fierce and fast." China says conditions are improving quickly and 12K deaths occur for the week one week ago. It is more CCP lies (the numbers are magnitudes higher). 12K covid deaths equates to a death rate of 1.7K bodies per day. Remember the CCP's prior lie about 60K deaths occurring over a 35 day period? That equates to 1.7K dead bodies per day. Lying China simply took the 60K number and divided it by 5 to get the 12K number. Dictator Xi and the CCP are in the backroom making these numbers up out of whole cloth. The lies are obvious. If a claim is made that deaths are dropping and conditions are improving, the death rate cannot be the same. Filthy Xi and the CCP continue lying to the Chinese population and to the world about the COVID-19 pandemic they thrust upon the planet. They are not even good at lying. Never try to fool a mathematician. The only truth remaining in this modern world is in numbers.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/23/23, at 7:00 AM EST: The 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 21K cases per day. It's beautiful. US active covid cases drop to 1.83 million another puzzle piece falling into place. The bell curve will form on the US active cases chart confirming that covid is being defeated. The US covid death rate is at 225 bodies per day.
Note Added Monday Morning, 1/23/23, at 8:00 AM EST: The 3-year global pandemic is ending but keep your fingers crossed for the Chinese population. It is reasonable to expect a bump higher in cases in China as relatives and friends visit in rural areas. Since China (Xi and the CCP) lies about the COVID-19 pandemic data and information, the Hong Kong data (now a full-blown communist city again under Xi's rule) may provide insight into whether the holiday creates a superspreader event across the mainland. Hong Kong reports 3.5K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is down to 3.8K cases per day both represent lower trends. Many Chinese from the mainland partied in Hong Kong over the weekend. Any pop in daily COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong, especially in the 7-day MA trendline, will indicate what is occurring on the mainland. It will be interesting. The magnitude of the numbers are meaningless since the China and Hong Kong cases are riddled with lies, but the changes in the daily data will provide insight into trend and the ability to determine if mainland China is improving, flatlining, or deteriorating and if the new year was a superspreader. Meanwhile, back at the Peking (Beijing) Palace, the XBB variants are hiding in the bushes.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)