Tuesday, May 31, 2022

SHOP Shopify Weekly and Daily Charts; Falling Wedges; Oversold; Positive Divergence; Tweezer Bottom




Shopify crashes, pulverized into dust. SHOP collapses from 1763 in November to 308 about 3 weeks ago still stumbling around at 375. It is a -83% crash. Traders holding SHOP long lost their shirts. The 20-day MA is 373 so price is trying to poke above to get a rally started. The daily chart shows universal positive divergence that bounced price a couple weeks ago. There is no reason for price to come back down again since all the indicators were possie d but price does slump over after being rejected at the 20-day.

Price does not make a lower low, there was no reason it should considering it is all fueled-up to go higher. The daily chart looks good for more upside perhaps targeting the 50-day MA at 510 and dropping. The falling wedge patterns are bullish.

The weekly chart shows the Tweezer Bottom (blue circle) that typically forecasts a bottom in place (or top if it is a Tweezer Top). The indicators are universally possie d (green lines) which forms a beautiful upside tapestry with the daily chart. The only thing that can likely stop SHOP form rallying in both the daily and weekly time frames is negative news hitting the wires.

On the daily, when price was rejected at the 20 and came back down to the low 4 days ago, not making a lower low, was likely due more to external bad news and not company-specific. A move above the 20-day MA at 373 would be a big deal and a move above the 4 hundo price resistance would be a bigger and more positive signal.

The charts are encouraging and bullish but SHOP is a speculative name. Keystone bot SHOP a couple weeks ago and is holding it on the long side, watching the trade closely, and not married to it. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

NYXBT Bitcoin Daily and Weekly Charts; H&S; Positive Divergence on Daily Chart




Bitcoin is in the news everyday especially when it drops from 48K to 28K in only 6 weeks time a -42% crash. The all-time high for bitcoin is 68412 last November. Bitcoin holders were walking around with their chests puffed out enjoying the holidays but fast forward 6 months and they lost their shirt. Bitcoin tumbles from 68K to 28K over the last 6 months a -59% crash; may as well call it -60%. The luster is off the bitcoin rose.

Now what? Bitcoin is rallying above 31K this morning, 5/31/22, and prints 31.8K before pulling back, as US traders return to work after the Memorial Day holiday. It makes sense since price is bouncing due to the possie d on the daily chart. The 20-day MA needs to be touched and it is at 32K and dropping.

On the daily basis, bitcoin wants to rally, however, the weekly chart is not convinced. The histogram, stochastics and ROC are positively diverged and want price to jump higher so they are conspiring with the daily chart indicators to provide this morning's rally. The RSI and MACD are not cooperating.

The weekly chart clearly shows a head and shoulders pattern (H&S) with the neckline at 29K. That is why price dances at this support line while making the bounce or die decision. It bounces, for now. The head of the H&S is the all-time high at 68K. The problem with the H&S is that the downside target would be zero. This is due to the large magnitude swings in bitcoin. The height of the H&S is 39K (68K minus 39K) but there is only 29K of space remaining below.

Time to call an audible. This rarely occurs. It is usually seen in some high-flying stock or IPO, or currency, where the H&S downside target is zero or negative. The H&S is a bearish pattern so suffice it to say that it wants to see price drop. There are plenty of juicy gaps to fill below. There is a congestion zone from 16.4K to 19.4K so that would serve as a downside target if the neckline fails at 29K. There is also strong support at 10K to 12K.

Looking into the bitcoin crystal ball, the positive divergence on the daily and weekly charts are creating the rally in bitcoin. Watch the daily chart indicators since they will likely become long and strong and indicate a few-day rally. The RSI and MACD on the weekly chart, however, wants price to come back down again on the weekly basis.

Bitcoin is setting-up for a multi-week rally but is not ready until the RSI and MACD turn possie d on the weekly chart. This should occur over the next week or two; simply watch the chart. That will be the start of a multi-week rally in bitcoin starting a week or two out. So bitcoin will likely rally for a few days and move above 32K but then roll back over to the downside and come down to 28-29K again. At that time, about a week or so from now, the weekly chart should be set up with all indicators possie d and that will start a multi-week rally higher for bitcoin.

Of course if negative news hits or some other problem, the charts will react and the doomsday downside H&S targets for bitcoin would become reality instead. Keystone does not own any bitcoin but is currently long RIOT. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 5:56 PM EST: Bitcoin 31673. HOD 32327..

SPX S&P 500 Daily Chart; W Pattern Bottom



The W pattern bottom is one of the most powerful stock chart patterns for bulls especially when the W forms below both the 50 and 200-day MA's. The closing numbers at the bottom of the W are, say, at 3900, and the top of the W is 4080-4100, call it 4100 to keep the math simple. The W pattern is 2 hundo points tall.

The breakout occurs from the 4100 so the upside target to satisfy the W pattern is 4300-ish; call it 4280-4320. This area is exactly where overhead resistance is at from the late April early May price action. The upside 4300 target is also in the vicinity of the 50-day MA resistance at 4277 where it is logical for price to make a bounce or die decision.

The base of the W does not account for the long lower shadows on the darkest days so if the bulls can keep charging, the buying may turn into frenzy with shorts running for the hills creating more upside fuel, and the upside may be more like 3 hundo targeting 4400 which would fill the mid-April gap at 4390-4400.

Note how price parked itself at 4158 for the holiday weekend exactly at price support/resistance (S/R) since March (blue line). A prior chart showed the positive divergence forming forecasting the bottom in the stock market (green  lines) and voila, price bounces due to the possie d. It's not rocket science and Keystone knows rocket science. The indicators are now long and strong wanting price to make more highs.

The SPX should continue higher to satisfy the bullish W pattern. A test of the 50-day MA at 4277 would be expected and a battle at the 4277-4300 resistance. If price breaks through there, 4400 is likely next. Bears need to push the SPX below 4080-4100 to nullify the breakout from the W.

S&P futures are down 19 points with the VIX rising to 27.66.Volatility is higher so stocks are lower. If the W pattern is to work out, Fed Chairman Powell needs to get his jackboot back on the throat of volatility. Powell and Treasury Secretary Yellen are meeting with President Biden after lunch (cough; photo-op). This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 6:02 PM EST: The S&P 500 goes on a wild ride today down at the open, then up then fading into the close; a choppy day. Volatility, chips and banks are all that matter right now. Toss in copper, too.  Vol and chips went bearish this morning causing mayhem but then went back to the bull camp so stocks rally. Banks created more upside then whammo, banks lost their mojo creating sogginess in the stock market into the closing bell. If XLF runs above 35.58, the bigtime rally is on and a wild upside orgy will begin. If XLF, now at 35.47, hits its head on the 35.58 resistance and is spanked lower, the stock market will likely deteriorate and at that point watch the chips and volatility. SPX 4132. HOD 4168. VIX 26.19. SOX 3099 testing the 50-day. XLF 35.47.

Monday, May 30, 2022

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keystone's proprietary trading algorithm, Keybot the Quant, flips to the bull camp on Friday at SPX 4127. The bearish trade ran for 5 weeks but the quant flips to the bull side due to the chips popping higher and volatility sinking.

Bulls need XLF above 35.58 (now at 35.57; only one penny below) to guarantee and continue a big upside rally ahead. Bears need to keep banks weak and pull SOX below 3080 and push VIX above 26.44 if they want to create negativity in the stock market.

Keybot the Quant

Saturday, May 28, 2022

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Chronology Article 78 Published 5/28/22; US Wave 7 Continues; 48 States Dealing with BA2 Omicron Subvariant Outbreaks but Vermont and Massachusetts Already Beating-Down the Bug; United States, Latin and South America, North Korea, China and Taiwan Grapple with COVID-19 Outbreaks; 86 Million Americans Infected with China Virus and 1.03 Million Dead; 530 Million Earthlings Infected with COVID-19 and 6.30 Million Dead; Global COVID-19 Death Rate Below 1.3K Souls Per Day and Dropping; California Governor Newsom Tests Positive for COVID-19; US Pandemic Death Rate Drops Below 200 Souls Per Day; BA4 and BA5 Sublineages Appear in Hong Kong; Shanghai Reopens; Whitehouse Cabinet Officials Walsh and Haaland Test Positive for China Virus












 

By K E Stone (Keystone)

It is a party weekend in America. The COVID-19 virus is excited as a child on Christmas morning ready to jump from person to person during the Memorial Day weekend parties, events, memorials and festivities. US markets, banks and the post office will be closed on Monday for the holiday. Many people use vacation days for extra time off so the coronavirus data may be erratic into the middle of next week.

Considering all the comingling that will be occurring over the next few days, America will likely see a small spike in COVID-19 cases between 6/2/22 and 6/10/22 but this will not stop the partying. It’s time to kick off All Summer Long with Kid Rock. Life is good.

This article will have to be written without delay since Keystone’s big party is tomorrow. The mowing is finished, the charcoal and BBQ is ready to go, the beverages are on the way and the band is setting up aheadof time. Life is sweet. It is doubtful anyone will be wearing masks but it is okay if they do. The partiers run the full gambit from the unvaccinated, like Keystone, to the triple-vaccinated Nurse Goodbody, and probably even a couple quadruple-vaccinated folks mixed in. No one will care. America moves on from the pandemic.

The US daily new cases chart is shown above. America reports 98.2K daily new cases for yesterday; positive news. Friday numbers are typically the largest of the week but Wednesday has this distinction at 121K cases, then 107K cases on Thursday and 98K yesterday.

The peak for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant US wave 7 is 126K daily new cases on 5/20/22. It is great that we are over 1 week past this peak since it hints that the top is in for the daily cases. The 7-day MA remains flat for several days at 100K cases per day. It is positive that the 98K cases yesterday are below the 7-day MA since it pulls the trend line lower.

As mentioned above, the party weekend is going to bump cases higher so US wave 7 may extend sideways for a couple weeks. The 3-day MA is in a sideways chop which is good because it is no longer printing higher highs and higher lows maintaining the upside trend. There is no joy, however, until the 3-day MA prints lower lows and lower highs to establish a downside trend.

Conditions are positive for US wave 7 to peter out in the days and few weeks ahead but the Memorial Day weekend holiday parties are in play. The Easter celebrations extended Italy’s outbreak wave by a month but this was hundreds of thousands of people at or around St Peter’s Square.

In the states, most of the get-togethers this weekend will be small so the wave extension may only be a couple weeks especially if America’s 95%-plus herd immunity (combination of vaccinations and natural immunity) holds. Comically, where’s Fauci? He would always spew guidance before every holiday over the last couple years such as telling people to wear masks. He is probably out partying.

The US active cases chart is shown above. The US active COVID-19 cases rise to 2.7 million but the rate of increase is slowing. Nothing good is happening until wave 7 rolls over to form the coveted bell shape.

The US daily deaths chart is shown above. Shamefully, after 2-1/2 years of the pandemic, 259 Americans continue croaking day after day. Biden is as incompetent at handling the pandemic as Trump; Tweedledumb and Tweedledumber.

Hopefully, Pfizer’s Paxlovid oral pills can be distributed to poor and disadvantaged folks instead of the self-serving elite. The US is expanding the test-to-treat program where Paxlovid can be offered on the spot if a person tests positive for covid so this will improve the US death toll. It is a slow rollout and a disgrace that there is such a lack of urgency as over 20 dozen Americans die each day from the China Virus. It is American mediocrity on full display.

New York’s daily new cases chart is shown above. New York State serves as the poster child for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave 7. New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Vermont and New Hampshire are the first states smacked by BA2. The news is encouraging with the peak in daily cases at 14.3K cases on 5/12/22 now over 2 weeks ago.

New York’s 7-day MA for daily new cases is rolling over lower to 8.6K cases per day off the peak at 10.4K cases per day on 5/12/22; great news. Even better, New York’s active cases chart rolls over lower to 100K cases and is starting to form the coveted bell shape. The New York poster child is on the mend from the BA2 wave which is encouraging news for all other states. Fingers are crossed that the weekend parties do not delay the beat-down of wave 7.

The worlds daily new cases chart is shown above dropping nicely to 606K cases per day. The planet’s daily new covid cases were below 500K per day a couple weeks ago but then shot over 900K cases per day in a heartbeat. It was not a new global virus threat but instead an explosive outbreak in North Korea. Taking away the North Korea cases places the world at that 500K infections per day level and lower.

The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above with the death rate at 1.4K souls per day. The chart continues moving lower but the rate of change lower is diminishing and the deaths are lining-out in a sideways to sideways down direction. After 2-1/2 years, everyone wants the death rate to drop faster but be happy that it simply continues lower.

Note that for waves 1 through 6 the deaths increase during the outbreaks. Not so for wave 7 and the mini-bump wave 8 that is occurring due to North Korea. The good news needs emphasized more as the 6 red higher death rate waves are now replaced with 2 green lower death rates as the outbreaks continue. The China Virus is doing what viruses do. Over time, they become more contagious to find more hosts but in so doing become less lethal. The chart clearly shows this happening in real-time.

North Korea’s (DPRK) daily new cases chart is shown above. The bump in the world’s daily cases over the last 2 weeks is due to the explosive rate of infections in the hermit kingdom. Nearly 400K infections occurred on 5/16/22. 100K infections are reported for yesterday and the 7-day MA is down to 147K cases per day dropping like a rock. North Korea’s active cases are dropping as well so the worst of the outbreak appears over. The world’s cases should begin trekking nicely lower again as cases subside in North Korea.

Taiwan’s daily cases chart is shown above. Oh no. Damn. Taiwan is punched in the face reporting 95K cases yesterday a new record high in infections. The prior high was 90K cases on 5/19/22. It is sad news because it means the active COVID-19 cases and deaths will continue and the outbreak lingers.

16% of the China Flu cases in the world are occurring in Taiwan (1 in 6) and 17% in North Korea. One-third of all COVID-19 cases occurring in the world right now (1 in 3) are in Taiwan and North Korea.

Boom. More misery. Taiwan’s daily death chart is shown above with 126 Taiwanese dying yesterday the deadliest day of the pandemic adding to the 1,911 deaths total. The numbers are small compared to the over 1 million dead from covid in the United States.

Mainland China’s data is always questionable since it is reported through a communist filter. There is friction at the top of the dirtbag CCP with low-life Dictator Xi and scumbag Premier Li diverging in philosophy. Xi wants the zero-covid strategy pursued by all means necessary. Xi is an authoritarian ruler in a communist society so he can never look bad or be proven wrong.

Li is concerned about the cratering Chinese economy. So is the rest of the world since many goods come from red China. Social unrest increases as the Chinese folks begin fighting back against the strong arm of the CCP. Shanghai residents have been locked-up in apartments since late March.

To try and help the economy, the closed-loop systems are employed at factories. Like the Olympics, people are not allowed to leave the closed bubble community. Factory workers sleep on floors or in makeshift bunkhouses as they continue working to pump out widgets.

Workers at the Quanta Computer Inc.’s factory in Shanghai, China, cannot take the isolation anymore. The low-wage workers that have been isolated for weeks go into revolt. There is not enough food to eat so hundreds of workers rush the white-suited guards so they can secure more supplies. The situation deteriorates when workers assemble in front of the manager’s dormitory demanding freedom and better working conditions.

The video of the clashes is surprising since the strong arm of the CCP typically immediately cracks down on this activity. Zero-covid is a failed strategy but if you are a dictator, you will lose power or be killed if you ever admit being wrong. The Chinese people deserve better than the dirtbag CCP. China’s outbreak continues and its negative impact on the global economy.

South Africa’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Wave 5 consists of the BA4 and BA5 sublineages which would target American shores this Fall. It is great news to see the daily cases drop like a rock with wave 5 rolling over. The worldwide pandemic is likely gasping its last breaths. Even better news is the South Africa active covid cases dropping forming the coveted bell shape.

This is great news for the United States since the Fall may not bring the covid doom and gloom like the prior 2 years. The BA4 and BA5 bugs do not pack much of a punch. If the US can work through the current BA2 wave 7, the path ahead through the end of the year is optimistic.

Chile’s daily new cases chart is shown above and the South American nation reports 9.2K cases on 5/27/22 the most for the current wave and not seen in 2 months. The 7-day MA heads higher at 6.3K cases per day. Chile has covid problems as does a few other South and Central American countries.

The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases in the world at 86 million. India is next with 43.1 million total virus cases (unchanged in the last 2 weeks). Brazil, France, Germany, UK, Russia, South Korea, Italy, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam, Argentina, Japan and Netherlands round out the top 15 worst nations. This ranking is steady for 7 weeks without changes with the exception of Japan leap-frogging Netherlands a couple weeks ago.

COVID-19 has infected 530 million people worldwide. China owes reparations to the world for their crime against humanity. 6.30 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim statistic. 501 million global citizens have recovered from the virus. 95% (501/530) of the people that become infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame. Over 500 million earthlings have recovered from COVID-19. Worldwide, 1.2% (6.30/530) of the people that are infected with covid die; 1 in 84.

6.9% (530/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 14 people on earth. 0.08% of the world’s population (6.30/7670) died from the pandemic; 1 in every 1,217 people on earth died from China Virus.

In the United States, 86 million people are infected with covid. 1.03 million Americans are dead. 82 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus. This equates to 95% (82/86) of US citizens recovering after becoming infected with COVID-19.

In the US, 1.2% (1/86) of the people infected with COVID-19 die. 1 in every 84 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 330 Americans over the last 2-1/2 years.

26% (86/330) of the American population of 330 million people have been infected with covid; 1 in every 4 Americans (3.8 to be exact). The CDC says one-half the US population, 50%, have been infected by COVID-19 and have some level of antibody protection.

The United States has 16% (86/530) of the COVID-19 cases in the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so much in recent weeks and months.

The US accounts for 15.9% (1/6.30) of the China Flu deaths in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans. 11 months ago, it was 1 in 5.

The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model, the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active cases chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can breathe easier.

The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where citizens follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Australia), the active cases curve will peak, on average, 11 days after the peak in daily new cases.

For the Western countries, such as the US and European nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on average, 28 days after the peak in new cases. It takes about 2 weeks longer for a free society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian state because lockdowns are not strictly followed or enforced.

All projections below for countries and the US states continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day in reference to the Keystone Model.

The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average (MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.

An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another 10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in real-time.

The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This is Article 78 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors, nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists, counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations, traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both domestically (USA) and internationally.

This seventy-eighth article is published on Saturday, 5/28/22. The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from early 2020 into 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.

Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century, as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad, devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other way.

All 78 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga.

The seventy-sixth article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 76 Published 5/7/22; US BA2 Omicron Subvariant Wave 7Worsens with Cases Rising in 37 States Including New York, Florida andCalifornia; 83.5 Million Americans Infected with China Virus and 1.02 MillionDead; 517 Million Earthlings Infected with COVID-19 and 6.27 Million Dead;Global Coronavirus Deaths Drop Below 2K Deaths Per Day; Pandemic ImprovesWorldwide but Infections Rising in China, Taiwan, South Africa and UnitedStates; Whitehouse Warns that 100 Million Infections May Occur through End ofYear; Worldwide COVID-19 Infections Drop Below 500K Cases Per Day; North KoreaReports Explosive Outbreak and 6 Deaths; Taiwan Reports Deadliest Day Ever

The seventy-seventh article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 77 Published 5/17/22; US BA2 Omicron Subvariant Wave 7Continues with Infections Rising in 39 States; 84 Million Americans Infectedwith China Flu and 1.03 Million Dead; 523 Million Earthlings Infected withCOVID-19 and 6.29 Million Dead; Global Cases End Downtrend Now Moving HigherAgain; Global COVID-19 Death Rate Continues Lower Below 1.6K Souls Per Day; FDAApproves Pfizer/BioNTech Booster Shot for 5 to 11 Year Old’s; Monkeypox; USWave 7 Exceeds 100K Cases Per Day; One-Third of Global COVID-19 InfectionsOccurring in North Korea; Pandemic Treaty; US Senate Fails to Approve $48Billion Small Business COVID-19 Relief Act of 2022; Court Injunction KeepsTitle 42 in Place; CDC Finally Acknowledges 1 Million American Deaths formCOVID-19; Over 500 Million Earthlings Recover from China Virus; Taiwan ReportsDeadliest Day Ever

The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well with the Worldometer data leading the others by a few days. The Worldometer data is far superior for forecasting since it is updated more reliably in real-time.

The countries with rising active cases charts are highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The peaks in daily new cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on the Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curves are extremely important since it represents the maximum stress on healthcare workers and the medical systems.

It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over to form the bell shape for the troubled nations at the bottom of the list since they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases. Hospitalizations lag the daily cases by a week or two and deaths lag hospitalizations by a week or two.

Canada (Sixth Wave)
4/21/22 New Case Peak Date
5/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 28 days) (curve is trying to flatten)
 
China (Second Wave) (communist data unreliable)
5/6/22 New Case Peak Date
5/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days) (curve is dropping but it does not make sense considering the ongoing turmoil in China; the communists are playing with the numbers)
 
Portugal (Sixth Wave)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 28 days)
 
Singapore (Sixth Wave)
5/18/22 New Case Peak Date
5/29/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Costa Rica (Sixth Wave)
5/19/22 New Case Peak Date
5/30/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
United States (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 28 days)
 
Panama (Sixth Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Taiwan (Fifth Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date (record daily new cases)
6/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Argentina (Sixth Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Chile (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)

South Africa is taken off the bad list since its active cases chart is dropping. Malaysia is taken off the list but its total COVID-19 infections now exceed the 4.5 million cases milestone. Japan improves and is taken off the bad list. Ditto Australia and Namibia.

The next list shows the 48 troubled US states. The peak in daily new cases and projections for the peaks in active cases are provided as per the Keystone Model.

The flattening and roll over of the active cases curve forming the bell shape (see US active cases chart above) indicates the virus is being defeated and the caseload on healthcare workers will quickly improve. The dates for the states to peak with active cases are slipping into June as wave 7 expands.

The active cases charts have rolled over for Vermont and Massachusetts. New York as well and a couple others. These are the first states dealing with the BA2 wave and will be first out.

The hospitals, clinics, healthcare workers, doctors, nurses, medics and caregivers are/will notice increased activity with wave 7 but US hospitalizationsare in check and appear manageable.

Maine (Seventh Wave)
5/3/22 New Case Peak Date
5/31/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
 
Minnesota (Seventh Wave)
5/10/22 New Case Peak Date
6/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
New York (Seventh Wave)
5/12/22 New Case Peak Date
6/9/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is rolling over give it a couple more days)
 
Wisconsin (Seventh Wave)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Illinois (Seventh Wave)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Mississippi (Seventh Wave)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
New Hampshire (Seventh Wave)
5/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/12/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
 
Connecticut (Seventh Wave)
5/16/22 New Case Peak Date
6/13/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Iowa (Seventh Wave)
5/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/14/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Kentucky (Seventh Wave)
5/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/14/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Michigan (Seventh Wave)
5/18/22 New Case Peak Date
6/15/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve may be rolling over)
 
Rhode Island (Seventh Wave)
5/18/22 New Case Peak Date
6/15/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
West Virginia (Seventh Wave)
5/19/22 New Case Peak Date
6/16/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Indiana (Seventh Wave)
5/19/22 New Case Peak Date
6/16/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Oregon (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Delaware (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Maryland (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Washington State (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Missouri (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22 New Case Peak Date
6/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Virginia (Seventh Wave)
5/21/22 New Case Peak Date
6/18/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Pennsylvania (Seventh Wave)
5/21/22 New Case Peak Date
6/18/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
South Carolina (Seventh Wave)
5/24/22 New Case Peak Date
6/21/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
New Jersey (Seventh Wave)
5/24/22 New Case Peak Date
6/21/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
New Mexico (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Arizona (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Kansas (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
 
Louisiana (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
North Dakota (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Wyoming (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Nebraska (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Hawaii (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
North Carolina (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Georgia (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Alaska (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
South Carolina (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Nevada (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Tennessee (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Arkansas (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Florida (Seventh Wave)
5/25/22 New Case Peak Date
6/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Ohio (Seventh Wave)
5/26/22 New Case Peak Date
6/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Colorado (Seventh Wave)
5/26/22 New Case Peak Date
6/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Utah (Seventh Wave)
5/26/22 New Case Peak Date
6/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Montana (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Idaho (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Oklahoma (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Alabama (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
California (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
 
Texas (Seventh Wave)
5/27/22 New Case Peak Date
6/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date

Several states are now reporting numbers on a weekly basis rather than daily. Vermont is taken off the bad list. Ditto Massachusetts so they are the first two states to beat-down the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave sending active covid cases lower.

Colorado was looking good but it is punched in the face with the most daily new cases since February. Texas is added to the bad list. Ditto Arizona, South Carolina, Missouri, Kentucky, Alabama, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Nevada, Alaska and South Dakota.

Thus, 2 are taken off the bad list, Vermont and Massachusetts, the 2 best states currently since they are working through the BA2 wave first, and 11 are added to the list for a total of 48 lousy states. That sucks. California and Texas are highly-populated states.

However, there is a silver lining in the ugly covid cloak draped across America. The states that were first slapped with the BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister wave 7, such as Vermont, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York and New Jersey, are serving as poster children for what other states can expect. BA2 appears to be more bark than bite. Nonetheless, people are getting sick and dying.

New York will probably be taken off the bad list in a couple days but the infections resulting from the Memorial Day weekend parties and memorial events may extend the wave a few days. The BA1 big sister wave of daily new cases ran up then down over an 11-week period. Adapting the same cycle time to the BA2 little sister wave, places the end of the wave in mid-June as most of the target dates above reflect.

Another positive, as you look for morsels of hope floating in the sea of covid misery, is that 48 states are in various stages of their infection waves and 2 have already worked through BA2. Huh? Whachu talkin’ ‘bout Willis? Isn’t this bad news? This is a positive because it cannot get worse from here only better.

New York and New Hampshire will likely be removed from the list over the coming week and several other states so in a few days the list may drop to 45 states. Things will be going in the right direction. Using New York and others as the poster children also show that BA2 is not that big of a deal. The high herd immunity in the country is keeping the little sister wave down at midget status.

When it is all said and done, it will be interesting to compare the US BA2 wave 7 to the BA2 waves in Europe. The BA2 little sister waves across the pond will be higher in magnitude than the US daily cases wave proving that the stronger herd immunity in America played a key role in defeating BA2. Naysayers will comment that many Americans did not report positive covid home tests so perhaps that held down the US wave 7, and it likely does play a small part, but the stronger herd immunity is likely making a big difference in the US.

But the fat lady did not sing yet and the final chapter of the China Virus story has not been written, so the next few weeks need to play out before the analysis is final. Generally, the US is looking good going forward handling wave 7 without too much hassle. The weekend parties are a wild card. Nurse Goodbody is on thepatio dancing with a strawberry daiquiri.

Keep your fingers crossed for a great summer ahead because the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave appears manageable. In addition, South Africa’s wave 5 is dying so the BA4 and BA5 sublineages will likely not cause any major issues in the United States in the Fall.

Now it is time to par-tay and Rock and Roll with Jimmy, Robert, John Paul and Johnny. Let’s go! America has forgotten about coronavirus and is getting on with life. It’s been a long time, as Robert sings.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/29/22, at 3:00 AM EST: Worldwide COVID-19 cases exceed 531 million infections and 6.31 million deaths. 502 million earthlings have recovered from covid. The 7-day MA for the world's daily new cases drops to 568K cases per day heading nicely lower again after the North Korea pop. The global COVID-19 death rate drops to 1.33K deaths per day. Taiwan remains mired in its outbreak reporting 127 deaths yesterday the deadliest day ever with total deaths exceeding 2.0K on the way to 2.1K. Shanghai, China, is slowly lifting covid restrictions as there are no new cases outside the quarantine areas. Some bus routes and parks are reopened. Beijing continues handling small outbreaks and wants to avoid the draconian lockdown situation in Shanghai. Beijing residents are subject to ongoing mass testing for the last 3 weeks. Beijing subways, schools and tourist locations are closed. Chile's situation worsens with the daily cases running higher at 6.8K cases per day.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/29/22, at 3:30 AM EST: US COVID-19 cases are at 85.7 million infections and 1.031 million deaths. 82 million Americans have recovered from covid. The 7-day MA for daily new cases falls to 87K cases per day. The US death rate remains steady at 241 Americans dying everyday. The media is consumed by the school shooting in Texas but a dozen times more Americans die per day from China Virus. America's priorities are out of whack. New York State's daily new cases trend line drops to 7.2K cases per day continuing to hint that the BA2 wave 7 does not pack much of a punch. California Governor Newsom tests positive for COVID-19. Newsom is triple-vaccinated receiving the booster shot only 10 days ago; a lot of good it did him. He has mild symptoms and begins the Paxlovid treatment. An increasing number of Americans are reporting that the Paxlovid pills reduced their symptoms but then they experience a relapse after the 5-day regimen. Pfizer is not concerned at this time about the rebound cases especially since the symptoms are mild.

Note Added Monday Morning, 5/30/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Happy Memorial Day a time to remember the ones that did not make it home. A salute to you. Thank you brothers and sisters. Americans continue enjoying the long holiday weekend remembering, and partying, with very few worried about the ongoing BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave. What wave? What, Me Worry? Folks are getting on with life walking around maskless regardless of vaccination status. Few are listening to the medical talking heads anymore, especially Fauci that should have retired 10 years ago. The medical profession has lost credibility during the chaotic pandemic. It is fascinating, and should be of interest to all those that read the chronology in future decades, that there are 3.4 times more cases this year than last Memorial Day. A year ago, people were tentative and dutifully wearing masks but this year, with the far higher infections, folks are carefree, maskless, and believing the pandemic is over. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is at 75.6K cases per day and dropping a great sight. Last year, on 5/28/22, the 7-day MA was at 22.0K cases per day. News sources are sensationalizing the statistics claiming 5 times even 6 times higher cases year-on-year; they are wrong. It is 3.4 times (75.6/22.0). On the death watch, the 7-day MA for US daily new deaths is at 228 souls per day compared to one year ago at 525 souls per day. Thus, 2.3 times less Americans are dying this year compared to last year thanks to vaccinations, natural immunity and other treatments and therapies such as HCQ, ivermectin, monoclonal antibodies and the latest flavor of the day; Paxlovid. HCQ and ivermectin are only effective in preventive care and early treatment of COVID-19. The 5-day oral pill protocol Paxlovid is also an early treatment that should begin directly after a positive covid test. So one year hence, America has 3.4 times the daily new cases but 2.3 times less deaths. The virus is doing that voodoo that viruses do so well becoming more contagious over time but less virulent. Over the last month, Dr Birx, that worked under Fauci during the Trump administration, is warning Americans to prepare for a potential surge this summer across the southern United States. That is what happened last year so she is a chart-reader (a good thing). Louisiana cases popped in late June last year then took off vertically after the July 4th Independence Day holiday. Ditto Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia and Texas. Interestingly, Missouri's cases ran higher sooner during June so this state may serve as a covid poster boy for the summer (were COVID-19 trouble may appear first). As the summer heat and humidity increase, folks in the southern states are sweating their arses off, especially obese people, so they run inside to the cool comfort of air conditioning. However, that means they are all breathing each other's air and unable to maintain social distancing so the China Virus cases increase. Birx is correct to provide the warning to the southern states but her worries may be misplaced. The important thing will be how the current wave 7 resolves. If conditions continue improving and the BA2 wave is not a big deal, that will forecast a rosier outcome for the southern states this summer. Further, there are far more people vaccinated this year than last year as well as folks catching covid and having natural immunity. Treatments such as Paxlovid anti-viral oral pills and bebtelovimab monoclonal antibody infusions are also available this year. The jury is out for the southern states. It may not be a July surge like last year and instead the current minor little sister BA2 wave may wash over the south now and in the weeks ahead. An outcome that is probably more likely is that cases will bump higher in the southern states now due to the BA2 Omicron Subvariant and may actually be subsiding in the summer.

Note Added Monday Morning, 5/30/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The pandemic is ongoing for 2-1/2 years so it is long enough to wax philosophically about the prior infection waves but it is time to return to the present. The US reports only 12K infections on Saturday far below Friday's 98K cases and Sunday's data is not yet available (probably will be below 12K cases). The holiday weekend numbers will be lower and the data reporting may be erratic into the middle of the week. As mentioned above, the 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 75.6K cases per day great news. The peak for the 7-day MA for wave 7 is 109K cases per day on 5/20/22 now 10 days in the rearview mirror; fantastic news. More positivity occurs with the US active cases that hit 2.67 million on Saturday and for the first time during wave 7 rolls over to 2.58 million cases on Sunday. One day does not make a trend but the active cases chart may be flattening-out and on its way to forming the coveted bell shape going forward (see US active cases chart above). A higher proportion of cases have hit the northeastern states and much of that is blamed on Canada for sending their infections across the border into New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine and filtering down into Massachusetts and New Jersey. The virus has become less predictable over time which makes sense since it is trying to survive and find more host bodies by any means possible. New York's 7-day MA for daily new cases falls to 6.1K cases per day way down from the peak at over 10K cases per day on 5/14/22 now over 2 weeks in the past; joyous news. New York's active cases curve is dropping starting to form the coveted bell shape so it will be taken off the bad list above and it is the poster boy leading the way for other states. Vermont and Massachusetts are on the downside of their waves and New York joins the party. New Jersey has been smacked hard but its 7-day MA for daily new cases drops to 4.2K cases per day (great news) but the active cases continue higher. Pennsylvania is gaining the upper hand against BA2. Ditto Ohio. Illinois and Indiana are improving. Many of the charts look good spanking down the wave 7 daily new cases. Florida's daily new cases roll over to 7.2 cases per day good news but like New Jersey, the active cases sneak higher. The United States is beating down the BA2 wave but the wildcard is the weekend holiday. There is lots of close contact partying, hugging, kissing, hand-shaking and back-slapping going on so there may be a little bump in cases in the days ahead.

Note Added Monday Morning, 5/30/22, at 7:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases drop to 529K cases per day heading lower. North Korea (DPRK) appears to be gaining control of the outbreak sending the world's daily new cases lower. Taiwan reports 77K cases compared with the all-time record peak of 95K cases on Friday remaining in the covid quagmire. China is gaining control of the virus if you can believe the lying CCP. Beijing and Shanghai report the fewest cases in 2-1/2 months. Beijing cases are down for 6 days running and will likely avoid the lockdown fate of Shanghai that continues to ease covid restrictions. China is trying to get the automobile and chip (semiconductor) industries on a solid footing again. China appears to be coming out of the outbreak slump but is it only a temporary reprieve, since dirtbag Dictator Xi will maintain the zero-covid strategy, or will more trouble cycle-in during the weeks and few months ahead? This is extremely important since the global economy will stutter and shake if China stutter's and shakes. Scumbag Xi not only holds his communist nation hostage with the zero-covid nonsense but also the world. Red China faces a real estate bubble, a demographics problem (population becoming too old) and the ongoing COVID-19 threat. Of all places on the planet, China has the most virgin host bodies so any joy over the improving conditions in the commie nation, and world by default, may be short-lived. Argentina may be turning the corner with its new infection wave but Chile's situation worsens. Chile reports 9K cases for each of the last 3 days with the 7-day MA running higher to 7.2K cases per day.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 5/31/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world's daily cases continue lower to 516K cases per day. Global deaths drop to 1.26K souls per day a 1.2 handle. In June, worldwide deaths from COVID-19 will likely drop below 1,000 deaths per day on a planet with 7,670,000,000 people. China reports 97 new cases so the zero-covid strategy continues to not create zero covid cases. Nonetheless, the cases are much lower than the last few weeks. China wants to restart its economy after the devastating lockdowns. The rumor mill says northeastern China may be headed for more COVID-19 trouble. Taiwan's cases remain elevated with the record high occurring on Friday. This Friday's cases are key and need to be below 95K cases to prove that Taiwan is gaining the upper hand on the ongoing outbreak. Taiwanese deaths are at record levels for the pandemic with over 100 people dying per day.  Chile remains in trouble with China Virus cases at 7.3K per day and rising sharply.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 5/31/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports only 10K cases for Sunday and Monday's number is not yet available. America's 7day MA for daily new cases is dropping like a rock down to 65K cases per day. The news is better each day. US active cases are leveling-off for 2 days running. The US COVID-19 death rate drops below 2 hundo to 199 souls per day a 1 handle! Perhaps the Paxlovid and bebtelovimab mAb treatments are finally getting to the lower class, disadvantaged, poor, disabled and less-educated folks instead of only saving the well-connected upper middle and elite classes. New York's cases drop to 4.8K cases per day less than one-half the rate from only a 1-1/2 weeks ago; fantastic news. New York is on the mend from the BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister wave. New York's test positivity rate drops from 11.0% to 8.6% over the last few days. Pennsylvania's daily and active cases are rolling over. Florida's and California's daily cases are dropping and active cases are flattening; great news. The data and charts are encouraging that wave 7 will be beaten down without too much trouble. Just as the wave 7 scenario is looking good, there is the potential for increased cases from 6/2/22 through 6/10/22 due to the holiday weekend parties. Jimmy the neighbor kid is still cleaning-up Keystone's property after the festivities. Most everyone is going maskless despite the CDC guidance unwilling to return to the face diaper days. The CDC Community Transmission map is becoming more populated with medium and high infection rates. Note the infections in Florida and California exactly matching the Worldometer data. The map shows Pennsylvania engulfed with medium and high infection rates. In Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, which is Allegheny County on the western side of the state, there is a high infection rate as is neighboring counties and masks should be worn indoors. It is not happening. In grocery stores, there are a few more people wearing masks in recent days but it is barely noticeable. For example, say a store has 50 customers. At most, there are 3 or 4 people wearing masks. Clerks are for the most part not wearing masks at the checkout counters. Americans ditched the masks and appear unwilling to return to the mouth diapers regardless of vaccination status. The CDC county map is a useful tool for this and future pandemics but the talking heads do not promote or market the information. Some, maybe many, people are walking around maskless probably because they do not know that the region is now a high infection zone again and masks should be worn indoors. The chaotic, meandering, confusing and leaderless pandemic continues into June 2022.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 5/31/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The WHO proclaims that monkeypox will likely not turn into a pandemic. That sounds like common sense since it mainly spreads through gay sex. New York media outlets say the daily new covid cases are trending lower so the worst may be over for the Empire State. GlaxoSmithKline is buying Affinivax for $3.3 billion. Affinivax is focused on next generation vaccines that treat meningitis, pneumonia and blood infections. They got the syringes if you got the arms. Ka-ching.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/1/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases drop to 522K cases per day and the global death rate is down to 1.26K deaths per day. Chile worsens with daily new cases at 7.4K cases per day. Costa Rica continues battling 2K cases per day. North Korea improves with daily cases falling back below 100K per day. The peak for the outbreak in North Korea is 400K cases that occurred 2 weeks ago on 5/16/22. Taiwan's daily new cases may be finally topping-out with the 7-day MA rolling over to 80K cases per day. China's factory activity data continues dropping due to the lockdowns. Shanghai is trying to get back to normal as the covid restrictions are lifted. China's daily new cases are the lowest since March but there may be developing problems in the northeastern regions. Residents are generally allowed to move around in Shanghai again after over 65 days of isolation. The factories will need time to get back to full production levels. The communists are preparing and implementing plans for a long-term zero-covid strategy. Bloomberg reports that PCR testing booths are popping up on street corners. It is China's goal to have a testing kiosk within a 15-minute walk for all residents in major cities. The dirtbag CCP is planning for years of the zero-covid strategy. There are even plans for robots to perform the swabbing for the tests at kiosks as ridiculous as that sounds. Do not bend over in front of that robot.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/1/22, at 4:30 AM EST: The 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 75K cases per day heading in the right direction. US active cases increase slightly as the chart tries to flatten out. The 7-day MA for US deaths drops to 176 souls per day comfortably under 200 deaths per day. New York continues improving with daily cases dropping to 7.1K cases per day. Total New York infections top 5.6 million. Florida continues struggling to control the current outbreak with cases at 9.9K per day. Florida was improving for a few days but the fun in the sun may be bumping the infection rate higher. Florida crosses the 6.2 million total cases milestone. Texas cases drift higher at 4.7K cases per day. California's cases drop to a rate of 9.4K cases per day. New Jersey improves with cases dropping to 4.1K per day. Hawaii has been dealing with a nasty BA2 outbreak but may be turning the corner the last couple days. It hints that tourism and traveling is creating more infections. The US data is generally improving. The outbreaks are spotty across the United States making forecasting difficult. BA2 is likely providing not much of a punch due to the herd immunity. 80% of the country is vaccinated with at least one shot and the CDC says 50% of the nation has antibodies from a COVID-19 infection.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/1/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, wraps up without the WHO seizing power over future pandemic decisions that would strip sovereignty from nations. It is irresponsible for the United States to even consider such dribble. The WHO is not going to be telling any American what to do during a pandemic after their corruption during 2019 and into early 2020 when they laid in bed with the CCP to screw the world with COVID-19 instead of trying to contain the virus in China. The WHO needed to clean house if they ever wanted to restore credibility after the coronavirus and Wuhan Lab leak debacle but they did not. Instead, Dr Tedros, an Ethiopian that leans communist, is reelected for another term. Humorously, Ethiopia did not vote for him. The WHO is shoving it into the world's face so the world needs to shove it back; and they did. The globalists are shut down in Davos and humorously the third world countries brought the common sense to the table. Corrupt American and other Western leaders are in favor of relinquishing sovereignty to the WHO to make the decisions for the world during a pandemic. Nope. Not going to happen. The WHO should never be considered for such a role. African and other underdeveloped nations, led by Botswana, helped shoot down the bonehead amendment that wanted to cede control to the WHO during pandemics. Botswana and others saved the US and Western nations from their corrupt leaders. Brazil, India, Russia, China, Malaysia, South Africa and Iran also voted against the amendment to allow the WHO to make global decisions during a pandemic. Further, these nations said they would quit the WHO if the amendment was approved. The world is upside-down when the third-world countries, and the communist and authoritarian nations, save the US and West from making a stupid decision. You cannot make the stuff up. The corrupt US and Western leaders, however, will keep trying to push the amendment down the planet's throat. Americans do not want the corrupt WHO dictating US health policy in an emergency. People will not follow what the WHO says anyway; they have no credibility after showing that their allegiance lies with the CCP. They showed their true colors. Americans rejoice that the WHO will not be telling anyone what to do in a future pandemic. Millions of Americans would not listen to the WHO no matter what direction they provided after they screwed the world in early 2020. Be happy that the sick globalists failed in their attempt to gain power over the planet during health crises. The average person has no idea what is happening in the world. You will find it extremely difficult to find any article on the internet explaining the above since the social internet companies are in on the game. The world is corrupt and compromised worshipping money, power and greed.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/1/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The Biden administration continues trying to appeal the mask mandates. Give it up, Sleepy Joe. People are not going to return to the mask-wearing days; deal with it. Biden wants Americans to wear masks on airplanes. If he was smart, he would not say that too loud ahead of the November mid-term elections. US airlines are banding together asking Biden to allow international travelers to fly to America with less restrictions, not more. The airline executives say the pre-departure testing that foreign travelers must undergo before traveling to the United States is burdensome and hurting the economy. They want the international COVID-19 rules to be lifted. Incompetent baby King Trudeau extends Canadian COVID-19 travel  restrictions at the US border despite calls for relaxing of the rules. WestJet CEO Alexis von Hoensbroech voices common sense saying the "vaccines are not preventing the spreading of the virus since omicron, there is no more logic to maintain it." The WestJet CEO is 100% correct saying the covid policies "no longer align with science and data." At this point in the pandemic it is about power. Trudeau becomes a more disastrous leader for Canada with each passing day. The baby tyrannical king wants more power continuing to force vaccines and masks on the public and now proposing new legislation to confiscate guns from the public. The only way a government can have full authority and control over the population is if the people are unarmed. This is the purpose behind the US 2nd Amendment rights; to insure that America does not take the misguided and corrupt path of Canada, UK and Australia. Canada does not have a Constitution so it is turning into a dirtbag country. In the United States, 2,800 airline flights were cancelled over the holiday weekend. The weather is blamed which is always a lame excuse. Most of the country was sunshine and beautiful flying conditions. There is a pilot shortage due to the bonehead pandemic policies by Trump and Biden. The vaccine mandate garbage has chased some of the most highly-skilled pilots from the commercial airline industry. Way to go, vaccine mandate *ssholes. Medical people only understand their little virus world and do not think about the huge ramifications to the economy and people's lives. Trump and Fauci screwed the country with the US shutdown in early 2020 that was a stupid decision looking back with hindsight. The lockdowns should have been focused in specific regions not blanketed across the entire country. Trump blew it. The travel delays and cancellations are also caused by many airline workers out after testing positive for COVID-19. Symptoms are mild but they are at home isolating watching television. Do not discount vaccine mandate backlash as well. An employee's attitude is destroyed forever if they do not want the vaccine but are forced to kneel before the boss and roll up their sleeve to keep their job to support their family. They will hate that company from that day forward. Do you think some of these workers call in sick during peak travel periods and otherwise find ways to screw their airline masters for making them take a vaccine into their bodies they did not want? You betcha. Payback's a bitch.

Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 6/1/22: Tesla CEO Elon Musk puffs his chest out and tells employees to return to the offices and shop floors; the work from home (WFH) stuff is over. Musk tells the complainers that if they want to stay home and work they need to find a new job. His edict also applies to SpaceX workers. Musk wants all employees to put at least 40 hours in per week physically at their jobs. He says, "If you don't show up, we will assume you have resigned." America is moving on from the pandemic. Musk receives criticism on social internet platforms, mainly from young folks, who say commuting to work is an antiquated concept. Musk proclaims, "They should pretend to work somewhere else."

Note Added Wednesday Evening, 6/1/22, at 6:00 PM EST: The FDA has received the Pfizer vaccine data for the 6 months to 5 year old age group. The Pfizer vaccine is a 3-shot regimen for the toddlers and youngsters. The Moderna 2-shot vaccine data for this age group is already under review at the FDA. The FDA meets on 6/14/22 and 6/15/22 for pivotal meetings deciding if an emergency authorization for one or both of the vaccines should be provided. Some parents can hardly wait to shoot their kid with the mRNA serum while other parents do not care what the FDA says since they will not be taking their kids for the shots under any cicumstance. Moderna says its childhood vaccine is 51% effective for the 6 months to 2 year old age group and only 37% effective for the 2 to 5 year old's. COVID-19 does not pose a serious risk to children to date. The kids that have passed from covid are small in number, a little over 1,000 in the entire US over the last 2-1/2 years; it is miniscule. The kids that did die had undergoing health issues and/or suffered from childhood obesity. No wonder many parents are uninterested in the shots. They do not want to put a new mRNA vaccine, that does not have the best efficacy, into their kids bodies, for a disease that is not much of a threat, and the shots could create side effects. The support for the vaccines for the under 5 year old kids is waning. The Kaiser Family Foundation reports that 18% of parents would get their youngster vaccinated right away. This is down from 31% only 3 months ago. People are becoming educated on the virus and losing confidence in Biden and the CDC. Many parents jumped into the wait and see camp over the last couple months now at 38%. 11% of parents say they will only have their kids jabbed if it is required. 27% say they will definitely not get their child under 5 years old vaccinated. Thus, 1 in 5 parents say they will get their child under 5 years old vaccinated right away, 2 in 5 parents say they will wait and see, and 2 in 5 parents say they will definitely not get their kid vaccinated or only do so if forced to by the government.

Note Added Wednesday Evening, 6/1/22, at 8:00 PM EST: Dr Fauci comes out from his pandemic bunker appearing on Fox News (republican-run media) with Neil Cavuto. As a side note, for those that do not understand the corrupt US political system, Fox News, Newsmax, OANN, Breitbart News, New York Post and AM talk radio, to name a few, are republican news outlets that cheer conservatism (republicans) while denigrating the liberals (democrats). CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times and Washington Post (Bezos), to name a few, are democrat news outlets that cheer the left philosophy (democrats) while dissing the republicans. Of course both sides are as corrupt as the day is long. The political tribes are two sides of the same corrupt Washington, DC, coin; republocrats and demopublicans. Both parties pledge allegiance to their dirtbag tribes instead of the United States which leads to the ongoing demise of the rigged crony capitalism system. Fauci, Walensky, Jha and other COVID-19 spokespeople only favor the democrat news outlets for interviews since they do not want to face tough questions and be held accountable by the republican media. Dr Jha appeared on all outlets before joining the Whitehouse but now he only appears on democrat media. So why is Fauci showing up on Fox News? The drama and back story here is that Cavuto is more of a centrist not as hardline as the other talking heads on Fox News. He has known Fauci a long time and Tony knows that Neil will not put him on the spot or make him look bad. Now that all that United States corruption is understood, the interview can be placed in context. Fauci says the US is not yet over the pandemic. He wants to avoid controversy like a couple weeks ago when he said the country was past the pandemic phase. Fauci is asked about the Musk decision telling employees to return to work physically or they are out of a job. Smartly, Fauci avoids answering saying that the individual companies and communities need to make these decisions going forward. Dr Jha will also comment in the same manner knowing that setting of pandemic rules is best left to the local community leaders and companies. Fauci is asked about the ongoing Whitehouse and DOJ appeal to reinstate masks on public transportation and he opines that the purpose of the court action is probably about asserting control which is fresh red meat for republican talking heads. Fauci decrees, "One of the issues, Neil, that I have articulated in the past and I will in the future, it is less about mandates on the planes than it is about who has the right and authority and the capability of making public health decisions, and I believe that the Department of Justice is operating on the principle that the decisions that are public health decisions belong with the public health agency, in this case, the CDC, so it's more of a matter of principle of where the authority lies than it is about whether or not there is going to be a mandate on a plane or not." The Fauch admits that control and authority over the population during health emergencies is the main focus of the Biden administration. Cavuto asks Fauci if he will remain on if Trump was to get reelected. Cavuto is stirring the pot since Fauci said the other day that he would quit if Trump was elected (knowing that Trump would fire him). It is likely Cavuto told Fauci ahead of time the question was coming. Fauci says it does not matter if the next president is Biden, Trump or someone else, he will not be involved. Fauci later repeated this statement on CNN. The country rejoices. Fauci will be gone by the end of 2024. Maybe he can speed it up a little? The folks in government are far too old including Fauci, clown Trump, mumbling Biden, doddering McConnell, incoherent Pelosi, all in their 80's or almost there, senile people, and the list is long. If the country has any chance of surviving, younger blood has to be installed in government that understands present-day society. These old people in power are clueless creating and exacerbating the nation's problems.

Note Added Thursday Morning, 6/2/22, at 3:00 AM EST: Taiwan's daily new cases continue near record levels at 80K cases per day. China boasts that cases are below 100 in Shanghai and for the nation as a whole but how long before the next outbreak? And you know the data is a lie to begin with. Shanghai residents, fearing another lockdown, are standing in long lines stretching multiple city blocks, waiting to acquire the proper papers to leave the city. Shanghai residents just spent 65 days in (covid) jail but they did not commit a crime. No one can blame any Chinese person for escaping Shanghai and retreating to a relative or friends place outside of the lockdown zone. Hong Kong, that was taken over by red China and is now a dirtbag communist region, reports rising COVID-19 infections specifically the BA2 Omicron Subvariant (BA.2.12.1). Since the CCP now controls Hong Kong, any person testing positive for covid, and their contacts, are sent to the concentration camps, er isolation facilities, and no longer allowed to remain at home isolating. Hong Kong folks are complaining saying they have a kitchen and other facilities and enough food they just want to stay at home for the isolation period. They are dumb. The idiots need to understand that they now live in a communist state; they have no choice. Drag them away and throw them in the gulag, er isolation facility. Hong Kong is concerned because there is an increasing number of infections with the BA4 and BA5 sublineages, with the higher transmissibility and immune escape, showing up on their shores. The Hong Kong cases are tiny compared to the massive prior wave, barely a blip, and appear not a big concern, but the media is pumping the fear to attract eyeballs. Hong Kong will serve as the BA4 and BA5 poster child for China and greater Asia. South Africa was the first to see the BA4 and BA5 outbreaks with its wave 5 that is now being beaten-down and was not that big a deal. This pattern should repeat for Hong Kong so calmer heads should prevail. Infected Hong Kong folks and their families should be allowed to isolate at home after studying the South Africa data, but now that the CCP rules over their lives, the data does not matter. Authority and control matters in the communist state so Hong Kong folks will do what their CCP masters say (like Canada under Trudeau). North Korea cases are down to 93K per day moving lower. Chile's troubles continue with cases rising at 7.6K per day. 

Note Added Thursday Morning, 6/2/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The United States exceeds 1.032 million total China Virus deaths. America reports 95K cases for yesterday. The data is playing catch-up after the holiday weekend. 60% of the cases in the United States are the BA2 Omicron Subvariant. The 7-day MA continues lower at 90K cases per day lower than the 110K cases per day one week ago. A drop in the week to week comparisons verify the downward trend in daily new cases. US active cases are at 2.8 million continuing to try and flatten-out. Americans are dying from COVID-19 at a pace of 2 hundo souls per day. New York State is looking good with daily new cases dropping to 7.5K per day heading lower. New York City says a noticeable drop in daily cases is occurring. Florida's daily cases are averaging 9.5K per day moving sideways unable to fall but there is a positive development. Yesterday is 10.0K cases and exactly 1 week prior is the peak of the current wave 7 at 12.1K (shared with the 12.3K peak on 5/14/22). 2K less cases occur week on week indicating that the trend for Florida's cases should roll over going forward. Texas reports 6.9K cases the most since February with the 7-day MA above 5K cases per day moving higher. Texas has to focus since wave 7 is on the rise. There may be too much partying going on at the local honky-tonk with Garrett singing I Like Austin but Love San Antone. California appears to be turning the corner on the outbreak with cases dropping to 7.8K per day.

Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 6/2/22: The Whitehouse says vaccinations for kids younger than 5 years old may be available 6/21/22. Don't they learn? For every vaccine emergency authorization, the Whitehouse has to interject itself destroying the credibility of the process. If a vaccine for kids is given an emergency approval by the FDA and CDC, people will say the Whitehouse rushed it through. There is no need to hurry. As explained above and with the KFF data, parents are in no rush to have their toddlers stuck with mRNA. President Biden plans to speak at 7:30 PM EST this evening about gun control after the mentally-ill kid shot up the Arizona school. Sleepy Joe has his priorities way out of whack. Why don't you do something to reduce the 200-plus Americans dying of COVID-19 per day? Or how about black on black crime? There were over 40 shootings in Chicago over the holiday weekend and a half dozen deaths. No one, including Biden tonight, wants to talk about young black men murdering each other. It is easier to blame guns. What about the inflation caused by Biden's war on energy? Biden cannot get Paxlovid to poor and disadvantaged folks to save their lives but he can stay up past his bedtime tonight for a photo-op pleasing his anti-gun voting base. The 2nd Amendment should never be touched since it protects America from a tyrannical leader.

Note Added Thursday Evening, 6/2/22: The Biden Whitehouse is a covid-infected nest like it was with Trump. Labor Secretary Martin Walsh and Interior Secretary Deb Haaland both test positive for coronavirus and of course have multiple mRNA vaccinations. Both say they have not had close physical contact with President Biden in recent days.

Note Added Friday Morning, 6/3/22, at 4:00 AM EST: North Korea (DPRK) cases drop to 95K per day which continues to help the world's daily case numbers move lower. Taiwan struggles averaging 90K COVID-19 cases per day and 124 deaths per day. Shanghai, China, is trying to reopen but after a 3-day absence of new China Flu infections, 7 new cases appear and 3 of the people are sick with symptoms. The infections are in Pudong and Jing'an which is not surprising. Pudong is a hub of entertainment with the Shanghai Disney Resort and many recreational areas so a lot of public interaction occurs. Visitors to China may fly into Pudong International Airport. And of course everyone wants to see the jade Buddha at Jing'an Temple. It is beautiful. Mexico reports 3.4K cases yesterday the most in 6 weeks which gets your attention. Infections are likely moving north from Central America. Costa Rica continues fighting its ongoing outbreak. Canada's BA2 little sister wave of daily new cases peaked in April but the path lower is beginning to stall. Canada is averaging 2.6K cases per day and the active cases are at 302K not yet leveling-off. Baby King Trudeau needs to put down his tyrannical scepter and instead focus on handling the pandemic. Damn. Chile reports 9.8K cases yesterday the most in 2-1/2 months with the 7-day MA up to 7.8K cases per day and rising. Double-damn. Brazil reports 41.2K daily new cases yesterday at the highs for the current BA2 outbreak. The 7-day MA for Brazil's daily new cases is up to 32K cases per day rising sharply. This is lousy news. As North Korea's cases subside and bring the world's case numbers lower, Brazil, Chile and other countries in the America's are sending the planet's case counts higher. Brazil is slipping down the BA2 rabbit hole and will be added to the bad country list above.

Note Added Friday Morning, 6/3/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports 83K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA continuing lower to 88K cases per day. The window is now open to see if the United States experiences an increase in cases due to the holiday partying last weekend. If so, a noticeable spike in cases will appear Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday. If the case counts remain tame into the middle of next week, the US will be looking great. American deaths from China Virus continue along at 2 hundo a day while President Biden asks the Whitehouse maid if she has seen his slippers. New York cases drop to 7K per day ready for a 6-handle. New Jersey's daily cases are rolling over to 3.8K cases per day. Illinois's daily new cases are moving sideways to sideways lower at 4.6K cases per day. Illinois reports 6.4K cases yesterday which may reflect some holiday partying. Pennsylvania and Ohio are rolling over their daily cases curves. Perhaps that high herd immunity level in the US is doing the trick? Jinx. Spoke too soon. Florida reports 13.2K cases yesterday the most for the current wave 7 and not seen since February. Lots of Americans travel to Florida for fun in the sun on the holiday weekend as well as college students on spring breaks. Coronavirus is running around the beach in that red bikini. And another punch to the face. Texas reports 7.2K daily new cases yesterday the most since February. The 7-day MA is up to 5.2K cases per day for the Lone Star State. California is improving with daily new cases dropping to 5.9K per day but yesterday sees a bump higher in cases to 5K. America has more work to do in defeating the BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister wave but the northeastern states that were first hit are generally on the mend.

Note Added Friday Morning, 6/3/22, at 11:00 AM EST: Dr Birx, that worked under Dr Fauci during the Trump administration, is on the media circuit promoting her book "Silent Invasion." Birx says, "The vaccines do not protect people from getting infected after about 4 to 6 weeks." She urges caution because people are too lax about the pandemic like last summer. Birx says she continues to mask on airplanes. It sounds like Birx is trying to place blame for the mishandling of the pandemic with the CDC. Both the Trump and Biden administrations are guilty of mismanagement of the pandemic. On Fox News with Neil Cavuto, Birx proclaims, "Natural immunity declines with every surge. Vaccines are not going to protect you completely from reinfection. During omicron, 50% of the deaths were in vaccinated individuals. 25% of the deaths were in vaccinated and boosted individuals. The protection wanes. These variants are not mild. They still dramatically impact people over 70 (years old). With this surge coming across the Sunbelt, make sure you have tests. If you can get your family member tested and into treatment with Paxlovid early, you can save their lives. I just feel that we are not communicating to the American people the tools that they need to protect their families." What she says has merit but Birx was a lousy communicator herself. She talks about the confusion and misstatements occurring under President Trump's handling of the pandemic. 

Note Added Friday Afternoon, 6/3/22: Idiot Mayor Adams in New York City continues forcing kids under 5 years old to wear masks. It is sickening. Parents are fed-up with the mask garbage. Adams proclaims, "I want to remove masks and see our babies' faces as quickly as possible." Hollow words that only increase parent's ire. Adams decrees, "My team of health experts and I continue to evaluate the data, day after day, and we will continue to communicate with New Yorkers with additional updates." Hey idiot, how come you did not see the latest outbreak coming if you are knowledgeable about the data? Keystone and the Coronavirus Chronology told you the outbreak was in progress; Adam's was clueless. The jackass politician presents himself as a medical decision maker. Isn't it nauseating watching human's consumed by power? Ditch the mask mandate for toddler's, idiot. Obviously, it is about the power and control and not the masks.

Note Added Friday Evening, 6/3/22: The Special Olympics Games scheduled for Orlando, Florida, will go off without a hitch after the committee agrees to lift its vaccine mandate. Florida Governor DeSantis passed a law prohibiting businesses and charitable organizations from requiring proof of a COVID-19 vaccination. DeSantis says the Games would discriminate against unvaccinated participants. The Special Olympics committee buckles. The athletes, which have intellectual disabilities, will be safe and have fun during the competition. Politicians and other control freaks have to move on from the pandemic; the people have. The United States reports 20 monkeypox cases including 4 in California, 4 in New York and 3 in Florida. Monkeypox is transmitted through very close contact typically during sex when body fluids are comingled.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 6/4/22, at 2:00 AM EST: Brazil reports 36K daily new cases yesterday with the 7-day MA at 30K cases per day running higher. Argentina is not updating their data the last few days. Like Portugal, if the data worsens, simply stop reporting the data. It is a corrupt world. Chile reports 9.6K cases another record high for the current wave with the 7-day MA at 7.8K cases per day shooting higher. North Korea cases continue lower but remain elevated in the 80K to 90K cases per day range. North Korea total infections are at 4 million. In a new development over the last couple days, the hermit kingdom is accepting vaccines from China and the inoculations are already underway. The United States, South Korea, other nations and the COVAX program have offered help to North Korea but tin-pot Dictator Kim Jong-un has not responded. Taiwan reports 77K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is rolling over down to 77K cases per day. 40% of the world's daily new COVID-19 cases yesterday occur in Brazil, North Korea and Taiwan (these 3 nations currently account for 2 in every 5 covid infections worldwide). 

Note Added Saturday Morning, 6/4/22, at 2:30 AM EST: The US reports 103K daily new cases yesterday an elevated number but below prior highs for the current wave 7. Friday's are typically big numbers so 103K does not look bad in this context and it is likely that infections from the holiday parties are creating buoyancy in the cases. Last Friday was 127K cases so this week at 103K, with holiday infections appearing, is a positive number despite the magnitude. The 7-day MA for US daily cases is at 95K cases per day so it would have been better for the Friday cases to be sub 95K but beggar's cannot be chooser's. The peak for US daily cases is 129K cases on 5/20/22 now 15 days ago. The peak in the 7-day MA trend line for daily new cases is 112K cases per day a couple weeks ago now at 95K cases per day. America is improving and heading in the right direction. The cases on Monday and Tuesday will dictate if the Memorial Day holiday weekend parties are a superspreader event. So far, America is hanging in there. A bump in cases would be expected about 4 days after an event and 8 days is a sweet spot for a big pop in cases if that is to be the outcome. Thus, extra cases would be expected to start showing up in the data last Thursday and Friday with this coming Monday and Tuesday telling the holiday party infection story. The US path forward is encouraging but the data this week needs to play out to see if cases increase due to the holiday. Italy's BA2 infection wave was extended for a month after Pope Francis conducted masses in St Peter's Square for Palm and Easter Sunday's that were superspreaders. America, however, has herd immunity in the back pocket that is doing a good job so far. Florida reports over 14K cases yesterday another high for the BA2 wave. Ditto Texas at 7.8K cases yesterday. California reports 16K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA trend line flat at 15K cases per day. There are some increased infections appearing due to last weekend's partying. Americans continue dying from China Virus at a pace of 216 bodies per day. Where's Sleepy Joe? Sleeping? Biden is not focused on handling the pandemic instead he is exploiting the shooting deaths of 19 children by a mentally-unstable man in Arizona, trying to advance his anti-gun agenda. Such is America in 2022. The US needs to educate the poor and disadvantaged folks on covid home testing and where to immediately receive Paxlovid treatment but the Biden administration is focused elsewhere. Casket makers and undertakers dance in the light of the full moon.

Note Added Saturday Afternoon, 6/4/22: Dr Joel Zinberg, MD, director of public health at Paragon Health Institute, presents the case that Florida, without lockdowns and mandates, better managed the coronavirus pandemic than New York. The data tell the truth. The democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, broadcast television, New York Times, Washington Post, etc...) denigrated Florida for not imposing stricter COVID-19 regulations while the republican-run media (Fox news, Newsmax, AM talk radio, New York Post, etc...) cheered Florida's hands-off policy. Obviously, the democrats feel threatened by republican Governor DeSantis that is now the most likely person to end up as president in the November 2024 election. Science has taken a backseat to politics during the entire pandemic. Data shows that Florida, a red (republican) state, handled the virus better than New York and other blue (democrat) states. The key is to assess who the virus is attacking. It is the elderly and those with comorbidities that are at highest risk and that was Florida's focus. The people over 65 years old are the most susceptible to a bad outcome from the virus. DeSantis was vilified for his cowboy approach to the pandemic; some called him "DeathSantis." They were wrong and the governor was correct. Lockdowns destroyed the economy. Science shows that masks have little impact in stopping the spread of virus. The medical experts only considered the health impacts from the virus with total disregard to economic impacts and the health hardships that result from people losing jobs and livelihoods and being locked down for weeks. Suicides are at record levels. People did not seek their regular cancer screenings or diabetes or cardiac checks leading to more severe health outcomes. People died while scientists were fixated on flattening the covid (daily and active cases) curves. One of the major mistakes in the pandemic was Fauci and Trump lying to America in spring 2020 saying masks do not work and are not necessary while people watched the television reports and patients handled by healthcare workers in hazmat suits. They lied to the public because they wanted all available masks and medical supplies to go to hospitals and healthcare workers and they were afraid of hoarding. What little confidence and respect those two bozo's showed America; it was a major blunder for Fauci and Trump to not place trust and confidence in the American people. Sure, some hoarding of medical supplies may have occurred by individuals, but the country would have rallied together, building a fantastic espirt de corps, delivering masks to hospitals with a can-do attitude. Instead, the pandemic begins with a massive lie and many Americans never believed what they were told from there forward. Not leveling with Americans undermined the handling of the pandemic and significantly damaged the medical community's credibility.

Note Added Saturday Evening, 6/4/22: There are 700 monkeypox cases worldwide including 21 in the United States. The inflation problem deepens. Diesel prices are the highest ever. Everything is delivered by truck at some point in the logistics path so the high gasoline and diesel fuel prices exacerbate inflation. President Biden's war on energy creates the mess. He cancelled the Keystone Pipeline project in the Midwest during the first hour on the job in January 2021 sealing his fate as the modern-day Herbert Hoover. Humorously, Sleepy Joey says he is doing all he can to battle inflation refusing to accept responsibility for creating the mess (polling shows two-thirds of Americans are not buying Biden's excuses and place the blame for inflation at his feet as they should). The solution is easy. Simply open up the drilling fields again and restart pipeline projects and fuel prices will be cut in half; but he will not do this, nor will he talk about his mistakes since he is pursuing the misguided woke climate change agenda. The baby food crisis continues and Biden is confused as to when he was told about the problem. Americans lose confidence in Alzheimer Joe with each passing day. The administration is flying baby formula in from other nations, as pitiful as that is, and names the plan Operation Fly Formula. Maybe Fly By Night or Fly in the Ointment would be more apropos. 

Note Added Sunday Morning, 6/5/22, at 5:00 AM EST: To illustrate how the pandemic has been demoted to background noise in America, the news media are running stories on the Ukraine War, UK Jubilee, gun control, inflation, gas prices, baby formula shortage, monkeypox and the upcoming Capitol Hill Riot prime-time hearings, but not one provides a story on COVID-19. Americans are moving on from the pandemic. The US reports 46K cases yesterday well off Friday's 106K cases which are below the peak in cases at 131K on 5/19/22 (the numbers keep tweaking to and fro with revisions) 2-1/2 weeks ago. The 7-day MA for US daily cases drops to 88K cases per day. The US active cases curve continues to try and flatten at 2.9 million cases. American deaths from COVOD-19 are at 214 souls per day moving sideways. It is not the upper middle class and elite privileged that are dying. Florida remains challenged by the current wave 7 at a pace of over 10K cases per day. The BA2 wave is now joined by its cousins BA4 and BA5 in the Sunshine State. These 2 ugly sublineages appear in spots in the northeast but now Florida. South Africa's wave 5 that is being tamped down without too much problem consists mainly of BA4 and BA5 infections so folks should not panic. About 60% of Florida's  infections are BA2 which remains the dominant culprit in the wave 7 outbreak. Texas is in trouble with daily and active cases ramping higher. California continues rolling over its daily cases curve albeit very slowly with the 7-day MA slumping to 12.4K cases per day. The CDC places 13 California counties in the high infection zone where masks are recommended. Another 19 counties are in the medium risk zone as per the CDC Community Transmission map. Alameda County, California, home of Oakland, goes for full control and mandates masks for indoor public settings. Berkeley University is requiring masks indoors. Louisiana reports a pop in cases the last few days with the 7-day MA trend  line running higher at 1.1K cases per day. The numbers are small but a new wave is clearly underway. Remember, some analysts were concerned about a summer surge in cases like last year from July forward, but the more likely outcome was that the states would be infected now as the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave washes over the US, and this latter forecast is occurring. Alabama reports a big 2.4K cases on Friday. Cases pop in Mississippi but not in Missouri. The outbreak wave in the south last summer started with Missouri.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 6/5/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The world reports 509K daily new cases yesterday. It will be great when it goes sub 500K again perhaps tomorrow. North Korea continues improving but adds 90K cases per day to the world's numbers. 18% of the COVID-19 cases on earth are in North Korea (1 in 5). Taiwan improves but continues adding 75K cases per day to the planet's total. 15% of the China Virus cases are in Taiwan (1 in 7). The Shanghai covid nightmare continues with 2 million Chinese folks placed back into lockdown after the communist government deems their areas as high risk. Brazil is at 30K cases per day and rising. Chile remains in trouble at nearly 8K cases per day.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 6/5/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The US Social Security and Medicare trust funds are projected to remain solvent one year longer than last year's estimate. Social Security will face long-term financial solvency pain in 2034-2035. Medicare may face difficulties in 2028 but this is also pushed forward in the latest report by the trustees that oversee the funds. The report states a bunch of reasons for the slightly better outlook but one comment stands out; "We currently assume that the pandemic will have no net effect on our long-range projections." That is a stupid statement by people that are managing these important programs for seniors and disabled folks. Hey jackasses, do you understand that over 1 million Americans are dead from COVID-19 and the bulk of these bodies are folks over 60 years old? The reason the outlook in Social Security and Medicare is better is obviously because a lot of old Americans are killed off by China Virus and will never collect benefits. Duh. The conspiracy theorists, and more importantly knowledgeable people on China's bioweapons programs, surmise that some of the viruses developed at the Wuhan Laboratories and other secret facilities may purposely target the older Chinese folks as a means of culling the population. There is no safety net for elderly Chinese folks so when you get old you are a burden to the communist society. China's labs are fooling with viruses that target specific ethnicities. Does that scare you? It should. Do not trust the CCP led by Xi.

Note Added Sunday Afternoon, 6/5/22: Dr Fauci said he wants to stay out of politics but takes a slap at former President Trump during a commencement speech in Harlem at the City College of New York. Fauci opines, "It is blatantly obvious that we are experiencing a deepening divisiveness in our nation, fed by a flagrant devaluation of the truth." Fauci called himself Mr Science a few months ago so now he puts himself out there as Mr Truth. Fauci laments that news fabrications, conspiracy theories and outright lies from fringe groups are commonplace hinting that these stories are supported by Trump. Fauci and Trump both mishandled the pandemic and the two old guys will probably blame each other during their remaining days for the many pandemic missteps. Despite the many domestic and foreign problems, President Biden is relaxing on a beach in Rehoboth Beach, Delaware. Gasoline in the US is averaging $4.84 per gallon setting records each day and Biden is talking about providing subsidies for solar cells. Sleepy Joe needs to reduce his strict regulations against American energy sources, open up the oil drilling fields again and restart the oil pipeline projects including Keystone. Prices will drop. Instead, confused Alzheimer Joe is tilting at windmills a la Don Quixote.

Note Added Monday Morning, 6/6/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Good news. The world reports  489K daily new cases per day yesterday back below 500K per day not seen in a month because of the North Korea outbreak. Global deaths drop to 1.17K deaths per day continuing lower. Taiwan's daily new cases drop to 77K per day the slow improvement continues. 3.1K Taiwanese are dead from China Virus most deaths occurring during this heinous wave hitting the island nation. 152 Taiwanese die on Saturday the deadliest day ever. Shanghai and Beijing continue relaxing restrictions but it is a joke. People are stretching their legs but to go to stores or a restaurant, if they are reopened, is a hassle. A rapid test is required so that may take a 2 or 3 block walk to the testing site and back. Everywhere you go, residents must show the health pass on the smartphone. Chinese folks go from the apartment jail cell to the few-block jail cell. When the Western nations such as the US, UK and European countries relax covid restrictions, it is party time. People throw caution to the wind and resume normal life. Not so in communist China. The covid restrictions are relaxed but it is smoke and mirrors since many areas remain restricted and mass testing continues. China's factories and shipping conditions may improve quickly aiding the global economy but the domestic economy may take a while to recover. Chinese folks deserve better than the dirtbag CCP led by Xi. Hong Kong reports 515 cases yesterday due to an outbreak in an entertainment area of bars and nightclubs. There was covid in that kiss from that irresistible petite black-eyed beauty. Chile remains in trouble at 7.9K cases per day but the rate of change higher in daily new cases is slowing (a good thing). Brazil bumps along at 29K cases per day with a pivotal week ahead. The Brazil election is in play. President Bolsonaro faces a challenge from former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva that leads in the polls. Widower Lula, 76, married Janja, his new wife, last month and both test positive for COVID-19 yesterday. They are in isolation but newlyweds will not complain.

Note Added Monday Morning, 6/6/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 19.5K cases yesterday but it is an expected low Sunday number. The 7-day MA has rolled-over and drops to 78K cases per day. The 3-day MA trend line is printing lower lows and lower highs verifying the trend lower in US cases. It is a beautiful sight but remember, tomorrow and Tuesday need to play out to see the extent of infections occurring after the Memorial Day holiday fun. 202 Americans continue dying each day from COVID-19. Biden is on the beach yawning asking his grandchild to run and get him an ice cream. Florida's daily new cases are trying to level-off at 9K cases per day. Texas's daily cases run higher at 6.1K cases per day. The crowds and infections are increasing. People want to forget the pandemic and have fun like back in the days of SRV when there were some bad honky-tonker's really laying it down. California cases are retreating nicely down to 10K cases per day. Hawaii was having a tough time with the BA2 wave over the last couple weeks but both daily and active cases charts are now moving lower. Americans should be optimistic with the first day of summer only 15 days away.

Note Added Monday Morning, 6/6/22, at 8:00 AM EST: UK Prime Minister party-boy Boris Johnson faces a confidence, or no confidence, vote in a few hours due to the Partygate scandal. Johnson and aids had small booze parties last year while they told the nation to isolate at home. Rules for thee, not for me. Do as I say, not as I do. 180 of the 359 Conservative lawmakers would have to vote against him to start the process of removing him from office. Boris is a cat with nine lives so he will likely skate through by the skin of his teeth. Johnson contends that the so-called parties were business meetings where he happened to have a drink at the end of the day. Brit's are supposed to ignore the loud music, keg and bowl of potato chips. Boris is the life of the party; he's the one dancing on top of the conference table with the lampshade on his head. Humans are a self-centered breed these days.

Note Added Monday Morning, 6/6/22, at 5:00 PM EST: The votes are tallied and PM Boris Johnson survives the confidence vote. He needed 180 votes and receives 211. Party-boy Boris proclaims, "Time to par-tay!" The privileged class lives by a different set of rules than common people. In the us, the CDC says 82 million vaccine doses were wasted between December 2020 and May 2021. Vaccines were past their expiration date and others were leftover at the end of the day as part of an open vial. Pfizer and Moderna, however, got their money. The wealthy always win in the rigged crony capitalism system.