By K E Stone (Keystone)
The demise of US wave 7 continues with daily new cases,
active cases, hospital admissions, hospitalizations and deaths all in
downtrends. On the world stage, Japan is improving nicely but China, Hong Kong
and Russia continue struggling. In addition, France is at the epicenter of a
new cluster of infections. Cases in Germany are also elevated in recent
days so let’s begin across the pond.
France’s daily new cases chart is shown above. France
reports 23K daily new cases for Sunday, 9/18/22, and the 7-day MA is at 28K
cases per day moving higher not what you want to see. France will be placed
back on the bad country list below but hopefully this mini-spike in cases is an
anomaly that will quickly fade. Cases hit 42K on Tuesday the peak for the
mini-spike thus far and it is a positive that the cases are trending lower.
Today’s cases, 9/20/22, are uber important for France since
they must stay below 42K to prove the mini-spike is just that, a bump that will
quickly retreat. If today’s cases exceed 42K, France President Macron will have
his hands full with another new infection wave. The bump higher in cases in
France is like the end of a B-horror movie where the monster comes back to life
one last time.
August is the vacation month in Europe when businesses drop
to skeleton crews, production slows, and everyone relaxes at home or at town
festivals or heads to the beach to chase the colorful bikinis on the coasts of
Portugal, Spain, Italy and Greece. The vacation season is more of a 3-month
deal, June, July and August, in the United States so the impact on businesses
is no biggie in America. Vacations are concentrated in August, however, in
Europe.
The increased social interaction across the European
continent may be creating the small bump higher in cases. The worry with
COVID-19 is that small bumps in cases can turn into large waves. The big spike
in cases in France took place 9/11/22 through 9/14/22 so perhaps a lot of the
late August and early September parties and events create the mini-spike in
infections. The important thing is that the cases quickly subside. The French
will not want to give up their wine, baguette and cigarettes at the local café.
Germany’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The 7-day MA
for daily new cases is up to 33K per day and rising; not good. Similar to
France, cases pop to 55K on Monday, 9/12/22, but are lower ever since. Germany
reports 37K cases for Friday, 9/16/22, the last available number. The timing of
the infection bump is exactly in line with the beer festivals that occurred the
first few days of September in the Deutschland (add 8 days for the incubation
period).
On the positive side, Germany’s daily cases may already be
retreating from the mini-spike and unlike France, the active cases are
flatlining, not yet curling higher, so it will not be added back to the bad
country list below. If yesterday’s cases come in below the 55K cases peak over
the last couple weeks, Germany should be fine and the downtrend in cases should
resume. However, Oktoberfest is on the come.
The situation in Europe was very scary a week ago.
Infections spiked in France and Germany a frightening situation portending a
new round of covid gloom ahead. However, as described in the prior article,
other European nations are not experiencing the mini-bump in infections. Italy
is fine with cases remaining in a downtrend. Ditto Netherlands, Portugal,
Spain, Greece, Switzerland, Denmark and the UK. Belgium sees a mini-increase in
cases but their daily and active cases charts are moving more sideways rather
than higher.
The concern in Europe is evolving into more of a sole focus
on France. What’s going on, Macron? The WHO and other scientists should be
monitoring the situation closely making sure a new subvariant is not hiding in
the bushes under the Eiffel Tower.
Hong Kong’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The daily
cases were in retreat but in recent days float higher again; not good. It means
Hong Kong covid measures were working but a relaxing of some of those measures is
leading to an increase in infections. The 7-day MA is moving lower at about 8K
infections per day but this trendline will flatten (instead of going down) due
to the increase in cases in recent days.
23 folks die in Hong Kong on Sunday the most since April.
Officials turn a blind eye to the culling of the elderly population since they
are a burden to a communist society. Hong Kong crosses the 9.9K total COVID-19
deaths grim milestone.
Hong Kong was considered the financial hub of Asia. The
world’s largest investment banks had/have a presence in the commie city that
supposedly had its own separate government from mainland China (‘one country,
two systems’). That is over.
Over the last few decades, Western nations helped China
become the powerhouse it is today thinking that the communist nation would
become more democratic and westernized. This did not happen. Instead, China
took advantage of the US and other nations absorbing all the technology and
knowledge, even stealing a lot of it, and now going more towards full-blown
communism under Dictator Xi.
China is desperate to maintain Hong Kong as the financial
hub for Asia but it is toast now that the CCP has taken full control of the
region. Western banks and businesses know all the rooms are bugged in Hong Kong
and the communists will be playing their filthy games so financiers are moving
to Singapore and Tokyo which will be the new financial gateways to Asia.
Hong Kong wants to reopen its doors to the international
business community on November 1 only 41 days away realizing that its star is
quickly fading; it is just another dirtbag communist city now. Hong Kong
officials, under the control of the CCP, are relaxing covid restrictions to
look like they are back in business and remain Asia’s financial hub, but the
actions create more China Virus infections. Call it poetic justice. It will be
difficult for Hong Kong to boast a reopening in 41 days with an infection wave
ongoing.
Dit … dit … dit … a bulletin comes across the wires that
Hong Kong plans to change its hotel quarantine policy for travelers to a 7-day
home stay from a 3-day hotel stary followed by a 4-day home stay. There will
still be testing requirements and other limitations. Humorously, the new plan
sounds a lot like the old plan. Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.
Hong Kong is desperate. Scumbag Chief Executive John Lee,
that travels back to the mainland each weekend to spend time under Xi’s desk
servicing his master, proclaims, “We would like to have an orderly opening-up,
because we don’t want to have chaos or confusion in the process.” Lee is a
communist and a stupid one.
Dirtbag Carrie Lam destroyed Hong Kong and Lee takes over
reintroducing the mainland communist way. Do you think foreign business
travelers are in a frenzy trying to book flights to Hong Kong? No, they are
not, especially because they are too busy booking flights to Singapore and
Tokyo.
Russia’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Boom. Russia
reports 57K daily new cases for Sunday the highest for the current infection
wave and most in over 6 months. The covid war rages right alongside the Ukraine
War. While Vlad the Impaler continues murdering Ukrainians, a new COVID-19
infection wave is expanding attacking Russians.
The 7-day MA trendline for Russia’s daily cases is up to 54K
cases per day heading higher. Over 100 Russians are dying from China Virus each
day. Russians are also dying or becoming maimed from the Ukraine War each day.
Putin has lost his stagger. He probably does not take off his shirt anymore
because he has a PICC-line in his chest.
China, Hong Kong and Russia are the world’s hotspots and a
hairy eyeball must be maintained on France. The world’s daily new cases chart
is shown above. The 7-day MA trendline is down to 437K cases per day continuing
lower great news albeit the slope lower softens slightly. The increase in cases
in Russia and France, coupled with lingering cases in Japan, the US, Germany
and a few other nations, create the slow hesitancy in the downward trek of the
world’s cases.
Nonetheless, the world is in good shape and heading in the
right direction to flip COVID-19 from the pandemic camp into the endemic camp.
The lows in cases compare back to October 2021 so let’s be generous and say the
world’s cases are at a one-year low; fantastic news. Daily cases dropped to
about 413K per day in October 2021, down to 365K in June 2021 and down to 360K
in February 2021.
Thus, a drop below 413K cases per day for the world’s 7-day
MA for daily cases will be a big deal when confetti can be tossed. A drop under
400K cases per day will be sweeter. Then, a drop below 360K cases per day will
require a ticker-tape parade for the planet since the rate of daily infections
will then compare back to 2020 and begin the covid endemic phase. The world
should get there but like always, it is all in the timing.
Japan continues improving ditto South Korea. The US wave 7
is ending so cases decrease daily. Russia is in trouble but their cases may at
least level-off in the days ahead. The mini-bump and scare in rising infections
in Europe, mainly France, over the last couple weeks should resolve quickly.
Thus, the future for the planet, covid-wise, is bright and those listed goals
for the world’s daily new cases should materialize over the coming days and next
few weeks.
The word’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. 1,357
earthlings die from China Virus each day trending lower for 5 weeks. A 1.3K
handle is a pretty sight but that needs to come down faster. 150 continue dying
per day from covid in Japan. The US continues to hover around 3 hundo. One
hundo Russians are biting the dust per day.
Over 40% of the daily new COVID-19 deaths in the world are
in Japan, the US and Russia. Isn’t that something? And it is mostly the elderly
taking the covid dirt naps. The June low for the 7-day MA trendline was 1,314
deaths per day in the world. It will be great news when the deaths drop below
1,314 per day since the body count will once again compare back to the start of
the pandemic in March 2020.
The United States daily new cases chart is shown above. The
US reports only 19K cases for Sunday an expected low weekend number but we will
take it. The 7-day MA for US daily cases is down to 41K cases per day teasing a
3-handle. Wave 7 is on the run and as the chart shows it was a lingering
bastard with BA2 dominant for the first bump and BA5 dominant during the second
bump, waves 7a and 7b, respectively.
Dr Fauci is warning about BA275 (BA.2.75.2 subvariant dubbed Centaurus by social media; BA275 and BA2752 are both called BA275 in the chronology for ease of readability).
Remember, the chronology simplifies the scientific notations to ease
readability. Fauci says BA275 may create a new infection wave in the Fall and
winter. It appears that he is basing his comment on data out of Thailand. Thai
PBS World reports that the Centre for Medical Genomics of the Faculty of
Medicines at Ramathibodi Hospital identifies a second case of BA275.
The Thai medical center proclaims that BA275 is five times
more transmissible than BA5 and four times more infectious than BA4.6. That
gets your attention. They also report that BA275 is immune to all treatments
including Evusheld. Sounds ominous. GISAID reports 464 BA275 cases worldwide so
it is nothing to panic over right now. It is easier to understand where Fauci
was coming from yesterday with his BA275 warning.
Scientists think that BA275 may replace all prior
subvariants including BA4, BA46 and BA5. Thailand’s daily new cases chart does
not display any problems as yet. The medical center also cites India as a
concern but its daily new cases chart is flatlining at very low case levels not
showing any sign of worry.
The United States has 112 cases of BA275. Thailand 2. India
143. Singapore 43. Australia 20. South Korea 20. Austria 19. Japan 18. Israel
13. UK 13. Canada 13. Germany 8. Is the BA275 subvariant the covid monster that
shows up at Halloween (10/31/22)?
The US active cases chart is shown above. The bell shape
forms announcing the permanent demise of wave 7. Active cases are down to 2.4
million far off the peak for wave 7 at 4.2 million in late July and early
August about 6 weeks ago; good stuff. Active cases are almost cut in half over
the last 6 weeks. Let’s keep it going.
US active cases fell to 1.2 million in April when everyone was
all smiles thinking the pandemic was over then thwack, BA2 smacks everyone in
the face. Active cases drop to 720K in July 2021. Thus, to claim victory over
the China Virus, active cases need to drop below 1.2 million then below 730K
when confetti can be thrown since COVID-19 will be retiring into the endemic pasture.
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. Deaths are in
a subtle downtrend for the last month at 239 deaths per day but each time a dip
into the 2’s occurs, the death rate pops back above 3 hundo a day again. The US
death chart clearly displays one of Biden’s most serious failings as a
president and the one no one talks about.
It is complete incompetence to not be able to bring down the
US COVID-19 death toll this year. Disgraceful. It is proof of American
mediocrity. American excellence is on hiatus. On the positive side, the death
rate should begin dropping more sharply simply since wave 7 is ending no thanks
to Sleepy Joe that is asleep at the switch.
US hospital admissions and US hospitalizations continue
their downtrends so everything is groovy and on track to end wave 7 and for the
pandemic to morph into the endemic phase. US hospitalizations drop to 24K the
lowest since June and the data is from the CDC is at least 3 days old (the COVID-19
patients are even less now in real-time).
How and when will the world know the pandemic is over and
the endemic phase begins? The WHO will make a proclamation but that is likely a
ways away. In the meantime, there are metrics available to assess the pandemic/endemic
transformation on both the world stage and for the United States. It has been
true that the pandemic is not over until it is over everywhere.
The US thought wave 4 was the end until delta was spawned
out of India followed by the birth of omicron in Botswana/South Africa (Keystone
showed that omicron actually started in Zimbabwe). But most of that drama is
behind us earthlings and thoughts now turn to identifying the endemic phase
ahead.
The endemic phase will place COVID-19 on par with the
seasonal flu and less lethal to humans. Of course, the people that will remain at
high risk are those with compromised immune systems and the elderly.
For the world, as the charts above show, the planet is
likely in the endemic phase when daily new cases drop below 360K cases per day
(Feb 2021 low). The current global covid infection rate is 439K per day and
dropping so this metric is not yet satisfied (but it’s getting there).
The global death rate needs to drop below 1,314 deaths per
day to take out the March 2022 lows and compare back to the start of the
pandemic and this metric is knocking at the endemic door at 1,357 deaths per
day right now and dropping.
For the United States, daily new cases should get below 10K
per day to be in the endemic phase. This is a number supported by Fauci for the
last 2 years. US infections are running at 41K per day and dropping so there is
a ways to go. Sunday’s daily cases are 19K so it is nice to see the weekend
numbers dipping into the teens and next heading for single digits. The weekday
numbers will follow.
As the chart explains above, US active cases need to get
below 730K COVID-19 patients to move the pandemic into the endemic phase (July
2021 low). US active cases are at 2.4 million and dropping so there is still
plenty of work remaining to meet this metric.
US COVID-19 deaths are a key metric to assess the transition
from the pandemic to the endemic phase. The endemic phase means covid will be
like the seasonal flu and 12K to 70K Americans die from the flu each year. It
is difficult to draw a comparison since the flu is mostly a 6-month seasonal
event but COVID-19 remains a year-round drama.
Nonetheless, dividing the seasonal flu cases by 183 days
(6months) is a death rate of 66 to383 dead covid bodies per day during the flu
season. In a good flu year, maybe 100 people die per day between October and
March while in a bad year, folks may instead be croaking at about 300 per day
or more. Pulling a number out of thin air, let’s say 180 deaths per day is an
average year for the flu with the majority occurring October through March.
The US COVID-19 death rate is down to 239 bodies per day and
trending lower. The death rate is stubbornly high and Biden was unable to bring
it down. Since wave 7 is ending, the death rate will drop on its own going
forward. Thus, if covid is morphing into the endemic phase now, the US death
rate needs to drop below 180 bodies per day. It is assumed that covid will
become seasonal in nature like the regular flu.
A sustainable US death rate below 250 bodies per day (July
2021 lows) would be a huge win since deaths would compare back to the start of
the pandemic. The drop below 180 US deaths per day would verify that the
disease is into the endemic phase.
US hospitalizations need to return to the early levels of
the pandemic so the COVID-19 patients need to go sub 10K patients to take out
the April lows. The hospitalizations are at 24K and dropping so there is still
plenty of work to do for the nurses and doctors to meet this metric.
The CDC Community Transmission map should be all green or at
least nearly all green with a few yellows here and there to confirm that the
pandemic is over and in the endemic phase. The major headache, however, is that
the CDC data is slow to update always bringing up the rear from 3 days to a
week or more behind. This is unacceptable in today’s technology age.
If the other metrics signal the endemic phase is here but
the map still has some orange spots and is the only dissenter, it will simply
have to be checked off as in the endemic phase as well.
Public acceptance is another key metric. Does the public
accept that the pandemic is over and the virus is in an endemic phase like the
seasonal flu? This metric is met in the United States. Everyone is walking
around maskless not so much worried about covid anymore.
In summary, some suggested metrics for identifying the end
of the pandemic phase and start of the endemic phase are; the world’s daily new
cases dropping below 360K per day, the world’s daily deaths dropping below
1,314 deaths per day, the US daily new cases dropping below 10K per day, the US
active cases dropping below 730K, the US hospitalizations dropping below 10K
COVID-19 patients, the US deaths dropping below 180 souls per day, the CDC
Community Transmission map turning all green and yellow, and the public moving
on with life accepting that it is time to live alongside the virus like the
seasonal flu.
Humorously, the only metric of the eight listed above that
is in the endemic phase right now is the public acceptance. The global death
rate should go sub 1,314 bodies per day in quick order. With a little luck, the
down move in US wave 7 will gain speed.
Do you agree or disagree with the metrics presented? How
would you tweak them? What metrics would you add? Which would you take away?
Hopefully, the employees at the CDC and NIH are discussing these matters and
finalizing the approach and planning for the coming pandemic/endemic transition
period instead of drinking coffee in the breakroom talking about the kid’s
soccer game, surfing on the internet, or trying to put the moves on pretty
Emily the new administrative assistant that thinks you are an *ss.
The US vaccination rate remains low trying to curl higher
back above 100K shots per day. Americans have moved on from the COVID-19
vaccination mess. Many have lost confidence in the healthcare system from 2-1/2
years of mixed messaging.
Nonetheless, on the bright side for the Whitehouse, 343K Americans
stepped up to receive COVID-19 shots on 9/8/22. On Sunday, 9/18/22, 230K people
rolled up their sleeves to accept the jabs. The Whitehouse and CDC want to keep
the vaccinations going at a quarter of a million per day but that is likely
asking for far too much. The pop in shots early September may be due to young
people returning to colleges and an initial surge for the new booster shots
which is the booster-booster-booster (fifth mRNA shot) for many older folks.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 97.6 million. India is next with 44.5 million total virus cases.
India’s cases do not increase over the last 10 days which is a big deal! France,
Brazil, Germany, South Korea, UK, Italy, Japan, Russia, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam,
Australia, Argentina, Netherlands, Iran, Mexico, Indonesia and Colombia round out
the top 20 worst nations for total COVID-19 cases. Over the last 10 days, Japan
leapfrogs Russia.
COVID-19 has infected 618 million people worldwide. China
(the CCP) owes reparations to the world for its sick heinous crime against
humanity. 6.5 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim
statistic. 598 million global citizens have recovered from the virus.
Something that stands out in the numbers because of watching
them for over 2 years is that the moves higher are incremental these days
definitely in keeping with the vibe that the pandemic is transitioning into the
endemic phase.
96.8% (598/618) of the people that become infected with COVID-19
recover in a reasonable time frame. This number was 96% for many weeks, but
then slipped to 95% for a few weeks, back to 96% a month ago and now up to 97% so
the BA5 trouble is dissipating.
Worldwide, 1.1% (6.5/618) of the people that are infected
with covid die; 1 in 95 (hit the 1/x button on your calculator). This number
was 1.2% for over a year so slippage to 1.1% in the last few months is great
news (less people are dying after they become infected compared to prior
waves).
8.1% (618/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 12 people on earth.
Picture an egg carton with a dozen eggs and the eggs represent people. In every
egg carton that you pick up and open, one egg is cracked representing 1 in
every dozen people on earth getting infected with China Virus over the last
2-1/2 years.
0.08% of the world’s population (6.5/7670) died from the
pandemic; 1 in every 1,180 people on earth died from China Virus over the last
couple years.
In the United States, 97.6 million people have been infected
with covid. 1.079 million Americans are dead. 94.1 million Americans have
recovered from coronavirus. This equates to 96% (94.1/97.6) of US citizens recovering
after becoming infected with COVID-19. Those are good odds.
In the US, 1.1% (1.079/97.6) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. 1 in every 90 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. 0.3% (1/330)
of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 306 Americans over the
last 2-1/2 years.
29.6% (97.6/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid. That is less than 1 in every 4 Americans
(3.4 to be exact so call it 2 in 7). It is likely 60%, or even 80% or more, of
the US population has been infected with the omicron and prior bugs and have
some level of natural immunity.
The United States has 16% (97.6/618) of the COVID-19 cases
in the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent months.
The US accounts for 16.6% (1.079/6.5) of the China Flu
deaths in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are
Americans. 1-1/2 years ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases (bell-curve) chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases
chart is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and
strain on the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases
chart rolls over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and
healthcare workers can breathe easier.
The worldwide pandemic phase is ending as evidenced by the
daily cases. China, Hong Kong and Russia are the remaining major covid hotspots
that will hopefully subside in the coming days and hopefully France’s bump
higher in cases will be short-lived.
Since the bad country list dwindles to only a few entries
and the US bad state list disappears all together, there is no need to explain
the Keystone Model further. It is very effective and reliable in predicting the
peaks in active cases for countries and US states as shown over the last couple
years.
Another 10-day period passes and more data and information become
available to push the China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies
the real-time hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States.
The chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for
decades to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it
unfolds in real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 89 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This eighty-ninth article is published on Tuesday, 9/20/22. The
Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into and through 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 89 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga that may actually be
ending (moving into the endemic phase).
The eighty-seventh article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 87 Published 8/30/22; United States Wave 7 is Ending with DailyNew Cases, Active Cases, Hospital Admissions, Hospitalizations and DeathsDecreasing; US Vaccination Rate Drops Below 162K Shots Per Day Lowest SincemRNA Jabs Were 1st Available December 2020; First Lady Jill Biden Recovers fromPaxlovid Rebound; US Reports 96 Million Total COVID-19 Infections and 1.069Million Deaths; World Reports 607 Million Total China Virus Infections and 6.49Million Deaths; COVID-19 Infections Decreasing Worldwide; Global Covid HotspotsInclude Japan, South Korea, China, Hong Kong and Russia; China Virus InfectionsOccurring in All 31 Chinese Provinces; WHO Says China’s Zero-Covid PolicyUnsustainable; FDA and CDC Approve Moderna and Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 FallBooster (5th Shot) Vaccines; WORLD EXCEEDS 6.5 MILLION COVID-19 DEATHS A GRIMMILESTONE; WHO Monitoring New Pneumonia-Type Pathogen in Argentina; World’sDaily COVID-19 Cases Drop below 600K Per Day; Japan Reports Deadliest Day ofthe Pandemic; Inhalable CanSino Biologics Vaccine Approved for Emergency Use inChina; New Fall Booster Vaccine Roll-Out Begins with the Shots Only Availableto Vaccinated Folks; Scientists Worldwide Discovering Potential AntibodyTreatments Such as SP1-77 that Are Effective Against All COVID-19 Variants
The eighty-eighth article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 88 Published 9/10/22; US Wave 7 is Ending; All 50 StatesDisplay Falling Active Cases (Bell-Curve) Charts; Fall Booster Shot Campaign isOff and Stumbling with US Vaccination Rate Lowest Since Jabs Started inDecember 2020; US Reports 97 Million Total COVID-19 Infections and 1.075Million Deaths; World Reports 613 Million Total China Virus Infections and 6.5Million Deaths; World’s Daily COVID-19 Cases Drop below 500K Per Day Not SeenSince November 2021; Worldwide Pandemic Transitioning to Endemic Phase Like theSeasonal Flu; Remaining Global Covid Hotspots Are China, Hong Kong and Russia;“Covid’s Over”; President Biden Unable to Stop Hundreds of Americans Dying fromCOVID-19 Each Day but Proclaims He Will Cut Cancer Deaths in Half; BA46Subvariant Flexing Its Muscles but Not Posing a Threat As Yet; Long-Covid anOngoing Concern; Senator Pal and Dr Fauci Battle On Capitol Hill Over SecretRoyalty Payments, COVID-19 Vaccinations and Lack of Scientific Interest InNatural Immunity; COVID-19 Cases Rising in France and Germany Threatening a NewOutbreak in Europe; PRESIDENT BIDEN DECLARES PANDEMIC IS OVER BUT AT THE SAMETIME PROCLAIMS THERE IS STILL A PROBLEM WITH COVID??; Bus Carrying QuarantinedPeople in China Crashes Killing 27Injuring 20; Fauci Warns of Potential BA275Threat Ahead
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well.
There are only five countries remaining on the bad list
below. France’s sorry arse has to be added back onto the list since its active
cases curve is moving higher again (hospitals are seeing an increase in
COVID-19 patients).
Hong Kong (Second Wave)
9/8/22 New Case Peak Date
9/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve continues higher)
Poland (Seventh Wave)
9/13/22 New Case Peak Date
9/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
France (Eighth Wave)
9/13/22 New Case Peak Date
9/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Russia (Sixth Wave)
9/18/22 New Case Peak Date
9/29/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
China is in bad shape but their
data cannot be trusted. Chengdu is relaxing some lockdown measures but this is
more talk than action. The communists (China and Hong Kong) are dealing with a
covid mess as the rest of the world recovers from the near 3-year pandemic
nightmare.
The bad country list is losing names sans France that was
added. It is great news for the world that Mother Earth is finally gaining the
upper hand against COVID-19.
As mentioned above, the US list bad state list that
typically appears here is gone and hopefully no longer needed. All 50 states
show active cases curves that are dropping so America is on the mend from wave
7. It is fantastic news.
United States wave 7 is toast. Michigan, Indiana and West
Virginia were a concern from the last article but their active cases curves are
all pointing lower. Ditto Kentucky and Virginia. If you bring up the CDCCommunity Transmission map you will see the cluster of orange around West
Virginny and Virginia but the daily new and active cases continue lower so the
states appear fine and recovering from wave 7.
President Biden proclaiming that the pandemic is over at the
Detroit Auto Show continues stirring controversy. Sleepy Joe’s comment has
political and legal ramifications. If the pandemic is over, why is the Biden
administration still asking Congress for more COVID-19 funding? If the pandemic
is over, why are there *sshole vaccine mandates in place for businesses and the
military?
Why haven’t the special executive privileges granted to
governors of some states during the pandemic rescinded if the pandemic is over?
Ditto the society-destroying student loan forgiveness executive order that was
based on the pandemic? Does Biden understand, or care, what he is saying?
The ’pandemic is over’ story has legs and the Whitehouse or
President Biden will have to provide clarification. Perhaps the inexperienced
Karine Jean-Pierre, the spokesperson for the Whitehouse that got the job not
because of her ability but instead because she is a black lesbian, will be sent
out to stumble through an explanation of what Biden was trying to say. Sleepy
Joe said the ‘pandemic is over but they are still handling covid’. Here’s five
bucks if someone can explain it.
Big Pharma and the pharmacies are running vaccine and drug
ads on television only rivaled by the non-stop political ads for the upcoming
mid-term elections on 11/8/22. Walgreen’s pharmacy wants you to roll up your
sleeves for the covid and flu shots. Pfizer is running ads for vaccines. The
HHS is promoting vaccines. Sanofi is hawking flu vaccines on television. The
drug-pushers are on every corner. America’s drug and surgery medical model is
spiraling out of control.
The US government continues to track down fraud and misuse
of pandemic funds. 47 dirtbags are charged in a scam that took $250 million to
feed needy kids but instead the filth purchased fancy cars, expensive clothes,
real estate, luxury cars, diamond rings and gold chains. Those are 47
misguided, sick pathetic excuses for humans.
Throw them in jail so they have time to think about what
they did. The pricks never went to bed hungry in their lives as a child because
they would not have done that crime. If you go to bed hungry as a child, it is
something you will never forget your entire life. They could have helped a lot
of poor kids with all that money instead they helped themselves. Such is
modern-day greedy life.
The world and the United States are on the mend from the
China Virus pandemic. Russia is in bad shape. China is managing to hold the
virus at bay but with great costs to the domestic and world’s economy as well
as the mental and emotional damage to Chinese folks (Americans have ‘been
there, done that’, going through similar lockdowns; the conclusion is that the rigged
crony capitalism leadership is as stupid as the filthy authoritarian communist
leadership).
Hong Kong is now completely under the communist umbrella of
Dictator Xi and struggling to contain its ongoing outbreak balancing the
reopening of the city against the zero-covid strategy pressure coming from the
CCP. France experiences a pop in cases but the rest of Europe is hanging in
there.
Add it all up and a great case can be made for the endemic
phase ahead. Conditions in China and Hong Kong will improve as time moves
along. Japan is on the mend. Russia will
run its course and if it is the only remaining snake in the covid woodpile it
probably will not matter much anyway.
The chronology is going to use the metrics explained above
to assess the pandemic/endemic transition. US daily new cases and deaths need
to come down at a faster rate as wave 7 is shown the door. The wildcard is the BA275
subvariant set up for a potential new infection wave this Fall. The scary and
popular Halloween season is coming but BA275 may be lurking wanting to spoil
the fun.
Hey did you see that? What!? What!? Whozzit? Whazzit? Something’s
outside peeking in the window! What is it?! Who’s there!! Who’s there!! It
looks like BA275 is hiding in the bushes. You can see his spike protein.
Note Added Tuesday Evening: Here comes the walk-back from President Biden on his comment that "the pandemic is over." At a fundraiser in New York City this evening, Biden says he is aware of the criticism of his comment and decrees, "But it basically is not where it was." Joe tells the 100 guests at the event that the pandemic situation is not as bad as it was. Like Trump, Biden is an unimpressive individual. Politicians can talk doublespeak and jive all day long. The confusion continues as to whether the United States is moving into the endemic phase since the 'pandemic is over' or, the pandemic is not over. It is best to use the metrics provided above that are a checklist for the endemic phase.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/21/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Global deaths are averaging 1,300 bodies per day on the verge of a 1.2K-handle. The 1,300 deaths are below the June 2022 low so the global death rate compares back to the start of the pandemic in March 2020. Also, the 1.3K COVID-19 deaths per day rate is one of the metrics above that gauge the move into the endemic phase so the global death rate receives a checkmark. Russia reports 49K daily new cases for Monday coming off the spike above 59K cases on Friday. France has not updated their data since the 23K cases on Sunday. Daily cases spike to 42K last Tuesday, 9/20/22, the peak for this mini-pop in infections. Yesterday's daily cases are key (for the Tuesday to Tuesday comparison) and must come in below 42K to prove that the bump higher in infections in France is no biggie.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/21/22, at 5:30 AM EST: The US reports only 22K cases for Monday a beautiful sight for a weekday number. Yippee! Yee-haw! The 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 38K cases per day a 3-handle. Let's start gunning for a 2-handle and Monday's cases are leading the way lower. US wave 7 is coughing up its last breaths of life. US active covid cases are down to 2.3 million; next stop a 2.2-handle. More people can return to work as they start to feel better and recover from long-covid. Wow. 95 Americans die from COVID-19 on Monday the lowest daily number since the start of the pandemic. This is a big deal. The 7-day MA for US daily deaths drops to 210 deaths per day working towards that 180 to 200 deaths per day level which would be comparable to a seasonal flu death rate and verify a move into the endemic phase. The US death rate is coming down since wave 7 is ending. Biden was unable to decrease the elevated rate of American covid deaths this year.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/21/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Oh no. Fortune reports that a new COVID-19 strain is on the come and it is not BA275 (Centaurus). The new variant is called BF7 (it does not want to be your best friend or boyfriend) which is a shortened version of BA.5.2.1.7 (BA5217). The current distribution of variants within the United States are; BA5 at 85% of the infections, BA46 at 10%, BA5217 at 1.7% and BA275 at 1.3%. Note how the new BA5217 subvariant is creating more infections than BA275. Each day, a new boogeyman comes out of the closet. Many of the BA5217 (BF7) cases worldwide are in France, Germany, Denmark and Belgium. Now it makes sense. The mini-pop in daily cases that France is experiencing may be due to BA5217. Dr Stuart Ray at Johns-Hopkins says COVID-19 is continually evolving and becoming more immune evasive. Ray proclaims, "It's been a while since we went from alpha to beta to gamma to delta to omicron. We may be complacent." BA5217 (BF7) and BA275 (Centaurus) are battling each other wanting to become the Halloween covid monster that wreaks havoc in America this Fall.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/21/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The Danish Royal Court announces that Queen Margrethe II, the 82-year old monarch of Denmark, tests positive for COVID-19 for the second time this year after attending the Queen Elizabeth II funeral. There will likely be other dignitaries testing positive in the days ahead.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/22/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases are down to 429K per day but the rate of descent is slowing. Russia is adding to the global COVID-19 caseload reporting an average of 54K cases per day. 13%, or 1 in 8, new covid cases worldwide are in Russia. 102 Ruskies are dying per day from China Virus. Japan remains on the mend but crosses the 44K total covid deaths grim milestone. Hong Kong reports 2 days of cases at 6K so the downtrend in daily new cases should resume. Hong Kong's active cases chart continues higher with the bell shape is nowhere in sight which means that covid hospital activity is increasing. Two dozen Hong Kong folks are dying per day from China Virus mainly the elderly so the CCP turns a blind eye as their bodies are tossed into the incinerator.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/22/22, at 4:30 AM EST: France is a major focus due to its recent pop in daily new cases and the information yesterday that the BF7 (BA5217) subvariant may be at play. France crosses the 35 million total COVID-19 cases milestone. China has wreaked devastation on the world with its Wuhan Virus. Oh, damn it. It is not what you want to see. France reports 52K daily new cases for Tuesday a terrible sight the most cases since July. Even though the case numbers remain small relatively, France's daily new cases chart has an ugly look to it. If you look at the France chart above, the new spike in daily cases hits the top of the red circle. France's active cases also curl higher which means the hospitals and clinics will see a steady increase in COVID-19 patients going forward. France will have to be watched closely especially if many of the new cases are the new BF7 bug. Europe better buckle-up and focus on the situation. France's 7-day MA trendline is at 31K cases per day ramping higher creating the buoyancy in the world's daily cases along with Russia. 24%, or 1 in 4, new global covid cases are occurring in Russia and France the new China Flu hotspots joining Hong Kong and mainland China. Since France is in trouble, the surrounding nations need watched for potential increases in cases. Oh no. Germany's daily new cases are moving higher again with 60K cases on Monday and 57K on Tuesday. The 7-day MA is up to 36K cases per day ramping higher and the active cases chart is curling higher so Germany will have to be placed back on the bad country list. This is lousy news for Europe that faces a recession and cold winter ahead as Russia weaponizes energy. Cases are flatlining or moving lower in Belgium, Netherlands, UK, Luxembourg, Switzerland and Spain. Now more bad news. Portugal reports 4.4K daily new cases the most since July. Italy reports a big spike in cases on Tuesday of over 28K cases. It sucks. There is no other way to describe it. Cases in Poland continue higher. Greece is experiencing a rise in cases over the last week. The beach vacation spots are experiencing rises in cases namely France, Italy, Portugal and Greece so Spain cannot be far behind. Every European wants to spend a few days in August on one of those beaches watching the colorful bikinis and the fun and frolic creates new infections. Europe has a new COVID-19 outbreak problem and most officials do not even realize it as yet. France is the epicenter of the new European infection wave. Going forward, the hope is that the combination of high levels of immunity through vaccinations and infections, herd immunity, can keep the covid monster at bay and the daily cases will roll back over in France, Germany, Italy, Greece and Portugal, and the other nations will remain at low case levels. Is this wishful thinking? Yes, it probably is judging from prior waves, but hope springs eternal. European leaders need to focus on a new COVID-19 outbreak likely beginning. It is sad news just as the pandemic was disappearing around the globe sans China and Russia. The WHO and others need to focus immediately on the five European nations listed and find out the exact breakdown of the variants within each country. Chop chop.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/22/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US crosses the 1.08 million COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. Sleepy Joe is sleeping dreaming about windmills and solar cells. The US reports 48K cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA is at 46K cases per day heading lower. The 3-handle for cases per day disappears but it will come back in the days forward. 286 Americans continue dying from China Virus each day. US wave 7 continues ending but it is taking its good ole time.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/22/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The WHO says it is having difficulty in monitoring the ongoing COVID-19 variants because governments have decreased testing. This is not good especially when it is important to know what is happening in France, Germany, Italy, Greece and Portugal, because it may eventually end up on US and other country's shores. CNBC reports that the WHO's Maria Van Kerkhove opines, "Our ability to track variants and subvariants around the world is diminishing because surveillance is declining." She says she is "deeply concerned" about the "ever present risk of more dangerous variants emerging." The WHO is tracking 200 omicron sublineages. As BA5 diminishes, the three main bugs of concern currently are BA46, BA275 (Centaurus) and BF7 (BA5217). COVID-19 lingers on and does not want to meander quietly into the endemic phase as yet. China Virus wants to stay under those warm pandemic blankets. France is key during the next couple weeks and will either forecast trouble this Fall, or, the BA275 and BF7 infections will roll over and die in quick order becasue finding miore host bodies is difficult. The entire 33-month pandemic phase is riding on what happens in France, Germany and Italy over the next week or two.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/22/22, at 1:00 PM EST: The transformation from the pandemic to endemic phase must be occurring since the mea culpa's continue (the people involved are starting to believe the pandemic is winding down since they are taking or placing blame for pandemic missteps). Lord Fauci, speaking at and after The Atlantic Festival, as reported by the New York Post (republican media), admits that he knew the COVID-19 policies he cheerleaded would lead to "negative consequences" for schoolchildren and the draconian edicts would hurt the economy. Well, thanks a lot El Faucho, ole buddy ole pal, thanks for nothing. Of course the Fauch is quick to blame the media and divisiveness in politics for the pandemic mess. Fauci makes excuses for his lousy decisions over the last 2-1/2 years blaming others as he does in most interviews. Fauci decrees, "Of course, when you make recommendations, if the primary goal when you're dealing with a situation where the hospitals were being overrun in New York, intensive care units were being put in hallways, you have to do something that's rather draconian. And sometimes when you do draconian things, it has collateral negative consequences, just like when you shut things down, even temporarily, it does have deleterious consequences on the economy, on the schoolchildren. You know that." The idiot basically admits to clueless planning for a pandemic since no one was prepared and the hospitals were overrun. Not only that, the hospitals did not plan properly for a pandemic situation since they were overrun. They should have had plans in place where tents could be delivered and set up for patients. Plans to erect other pre-fab structures or to bring in house trailers to handle patients or conduct school should already be thought through and in place. The availability of refrigerated trucks should be lined-up with local firms where they will commit to helping ahead of time in an emergency to handle the rotting bodies. Instead of planning, the officials were collecting their salary while drinking coffee and telling dirty jokes in the breakroom. American mediocrity is on full display daily and for the pandemic, the guy in charge says, "Who me? No, it was the other guy that screwed-up." Lord Draconian Fauci has a ring to it.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/22/22, at 3:00 PM EST: CDC Director Dr Walensky rolls-up her sleeve at a CVS Pharmacy and takes the new booster shot. No one can criticize Rochelle since she is eating her own cooking. Walensky tells ABC News (democrat media) that millions of Americans have received the new booster. Give her credit since she is trying to sell the boosters as best she can. She does not mention the term mRNA instead stressing that the boosters are "bivalent." Is this trickery hoping that some folks may think it is a non-mRNA vaccine and therefore more likely to take the booster shot? Perhaps a focus group shows that the mRNA term scares people away from taking vaccines, aside from the needles of course. Bivalent is a fancy college word that means the booster dose contains two mRNA components of SARS-CoV-2 virus, one is for the original strain and the other addresses the BA4 and BA5 subvariants. Walensky decrees, "All the data from this new bivalent vaccine have demonstrated that it will protect you against, more likely protect you, against the strains that we have circulating right now, those omicron BA5 strains, as well as keep you well protected, because we've seen that some of that protection can wane over time. So, we are really encouraging everybody to roll up their sleeves and get this updated bivalent vaccine." It is interesting how she corrected herself after saying the vaccine "will protect you" changing the words to "more likely protect you." The details are always in the fine print. Walensky presents the situation as best she can. She does not want to tell people that the vaccine is for the BA5 subvariant that is US wave 7b that is diminishing and on its way out now anyway. Also note that she does not specifically say the booster will protect against BA275 and BF7 the two bugs that are the greatest concern going forward. Big Pharma, the CDC, NIH and FDA are not miracle workers. Most everyone understands that it takes time to develop a vaccine especially when the variants and subvariants are mutating at a fast pace. It will be interesting to see if the booster shot provides any protection against BA275 and BF7; there are millions of guinea pigs available now so an answer will be provided in a couple months. Walensky says she is waiting "to see what the FDA says about an updated booster vaccine for the 5 to 11 year old's." The FDA anticipates approval of the new booster shot for the 5 to 11 year old's soon but the approval for kids under 5 years old will still take some time. Why vaccinate the kids since COVID-19 does not pose a serious threat for children under 18 years old? The only kids that died from covid are those with other medical conditions and/or suffering from childhood obesity. This is why the take-up on kids vaccines is slow. Parents are educating themselves and making the informed decision not to vaccinate thinking that the risk from the shots is likely greater than the risk of COVID-19. Many medical folks will disagree and warn about long-covid but the parent's decisions should be respected. Wow! Go Rochelle! The CDC updated the US vaccination rate chart probably timed with Walensky's photo-op shot and comments. The US vax rate jumps to an average of 400K shots per day so the Whitehouse will puff their chests out since "millions" of folks are getting the booster shots as Walensky stated.
Note Added Thursday Evening, 9/22/22: The federal courts in Louisiana rule that the government cannot mandate vaccinations for educators, staff and volunteers, in the Head Start program that helps poor kids 5 years old and younger get a 'head-start' on their education. In addition, the courts strike down the mask mandate for students and adults. Judge Terry A Doughty decrees that "the liberty of individuals who do not want to take the COVID-19 vaccine" must be maintained. The US government needs to ditch all the vaccine mandate garbage. Canada is dropping its vaccine mandate at the US border. For the first time in over 2 years, unvaccinated Americans can visit Canada without quarantining. Why would they? Canada is turning dirtbag under King Trudeau's tyrannical and authoritarian rule. Good luck, Canucks.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/23/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The Hong Kong officially loses its status as the financial hub of Asia. Bloomberg reports that Singapore has taken over the number three spot on the top financial centers list. New York is the top financial center in the world followed by London and now Singapore with Hong Kong number four and slipping away. Singapore is now the top financial center in Asia and says 20K jobs will be created in the banking and support industries over the next five years. Communist Hong Kong is in panic mode announcing that the hotel quarantines have ended for travelers (but you will still be holed-up in a room somewhere subject to testing for a few days). Hong Kong is ditching the covid prearrival requirements and unvaccinated residents are now permitted to enter the city again. Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee, a dirtbag puppet of Xi's CCP, is trying to salvage the city's reputation as a financial hub but foreign investment banks are leaving since the city is now fully-controlled by the mainland communists. Singapore and Tokyo are the winners.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/23/22, at 4:00 AM EST: France and Europe are in the spotlight to see if the new infections are spreading. France reports 38K cases for Wednesday below the big 52K cases on Tuesday an encouraging sign. The 7-day MA for France's daily cases ramps higher at over 31K cases per day. Italy reports 21K cases for hump day below the 28K on Tuesday. Germany reports a big 57K daily new cases for Tuesday and Wednesday so COVID-19 is spreading faster in Germany. Covid loves beer parties. Portugal reports 3.6K daily new cases for Wednesday below the 4.4K on Tuesday. Keep praying that the European infections roll over and die. COVID-19 may be running out of host bodies despite trying to mutate and evolve at least that is the hope. The next week or two in Europe, specifically France, Germany and Italy, will dictate the path of COVID-19 through the end of the year and provide guidance on the transmissibility of the BA275 and BF7 bugs.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/23/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Thailand lifts its COVID-19 state of emergency and restrictions declaring the virus no longer dangerous. Japan's daily new cases are down to 62K per day continuing to drop sharply. Ditto the Japanese covid death rate dropping to 127 bodies per day. China continues struggling to contain the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak but the information from the communist nation is limited and controlled. Hong Kong's daily cases are moving lower at about 7K cases per day so time will tell if the relaxation of restrictions creates a new pop in cases. Russia is averaging 54K cases per day but on the positive side the rate of increase is slowing. Russia's infection wave is ongoing trouble but will likely not go parabolic. COVID-19 is running out of host bodies all over the world. Hopefully this happens before the bastard can mutate into something that nullifies the herd immunity (vaccine immunity plus natural infection immunity). The world is at 425K cases per day and the global death rate is at 1.3K souls per day both continuing lower.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/23/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports 55K daily new cases for Wednesday a buoyant number but the hump day cases have been lofty number during the weekdays for the last couple months. The 7-day MA is at 47K cases per day continuing lower. Last Friday's elevated cases will drop out of the moving average calculation over the next couple days helping to maintain the downward path of wave 7. US active cases are down to 2.3 million. 291 Americans continue dying each day from COVID-19. You can always count on Dr Fauci for some type of sensational news bite and he does not disappoint. Fauci, after totally discounting the Wuhan Lab leak theory as the origin of COVID-19, is now hedging his bets. Fauci says he is keeping an open mind about the origin of covid and the Chinese government may be hiding information. Fauci still leans towards the natural occurrence from animals origin theory but opens the door to the potential lab leak or other theories on the origins of COVID-19. The officials involved in the pandemic over the last 33 months are trying to rewrite history but all the gory details are chronicled in the Coronavirus Chronology; the China Virus Bible. Revisionist history is not allowed.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 9/23/22: The Whitehouse and CDC are ramping up the Fall booster shot campaign so of course the democrat-run media will run many news stories showing unvaccinated folks on their death beds and other horrid stories about people suffering debilitating long-covid symptoms. Of course, there will be the patient shown on a ventilator with loved ones standing by sobbing. This time is no different. A study published by Nature Medicine conducted between March 2020 through January 2021, when vaccinations were not yet readily available, concludes that there is an increase in long-term brain problems for people infected with COVID-19. The study of medical records says people are suffering from neurologic disorders, strokes, migraine headaches, anxiety, depression, brain fog and other impairments. That sounds like a typical life for many Americans even pre-covid. Nonetheless, Dr Ziyad Al-Aly at Washington University proclaims that the long term effects of covid are "devastating." The study claims that vaccinations will lower the chances of these adverse outcomes by 20% (come on now, was this round number simply pulled out of thin air?). The study does not mention that the initial COVID-19 virus was nastier during 2020 than the current omicron subvariants. Also, there are far too many variables producing the data so it is difficult to pinpoint cause and effect. It is like the mask studies that can produce any results desired, pro or con, because there are far too many variables at play. The fear-mongering about long-covid will encourage some folks to get vaccinated.
Note Added Friday Evening, 9/23/22: The CDC says 4.4 million Americans have received the Fall booster shot (only 1.5% of those eligible). The total will cross 5 million this weekend and the Whitehouse says the preliminary numbers they are looking at are over 5 million. Preliminary numbers!? What? The chronology complains endlessly about the slow uptake of data at the CDC and how the numbers and charts are from 3 days to a week or more behind. No wonder. The Whitehouse admits they are looking at real-time or near real-time numbers. Why isn't the public provided this information? Like Keystone has suggested all along, the CDC likely takes 3 days to massage a message for the data then posts it on the website instead of constantly updating data and charts in real-time. Be perceptive and you will see the lies, inconsistencies and deception in the rigged crony capitalism system. The problem is that 171 million doses were ordered by Sleepy Joe Biden for his vaccine-only strategy. 5 million shots in arms is a pitiful total thus far compared to 171 million but the vax campaign has only just begun and will run for many weeks. Millions of Americans likely turn their backs to the shots after President Biden himself declared that "the pandemic is over." The Whitehouse and CDC hope that the take-up in shots will increase as the Fall weather approaches. Moderna submits data to the FDA in two groups. Moderna is seeking approval for its booster shot for 6 to 17 year old's and will also pursue same for the 5 year old's and younger later this year.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/24/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily COVID-19 cases are at 425K per day and deaths at 1.3K per day continuing lower but sticky at these levels. Russia reports 8 straight days of cases over 50K per day with the 7-day MA up to 53K cases per day trying to flatten-out. A study published in PLoSPathogens sheds light on the Russia situation reporting that two new viruses, Khosta-1 and Khosta-2, may be resistant to COVID-19 vaccines. The study says the virus evolves from bats but fortunately it is non life threatening for humans. The concern is that recombinations may occur producing a more troublesome pathogen. Perhaps Khosta-1 and 2 are at play helping create the rise in infections in Russia. Hong Kong's active cases (bell-curve chart) may be flattening-out at 300K cases. The active cases chart must flatten and reverse lower to form the coveted bell shape and prove the virus is being defeated.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/24/22, at 5:00 AM EST: It is time to look at France hoping for good news. France reports 38K daily new cases for Wednesday and Thursday below the Tuesday high at 52K. The Tuesday, 9/27/22, number is key and must come in below 52K. The 7-day MA for France's daily cases is up to 33K and rising. Hospitals are noticing increased activity. Germany is averaging 39K cases per day and rising. Italy reports 21K and 23K cases for Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, off the 28K cases high on Tuesday the same path as France. The European situation is encouraging with individual daily cases not posting higher numbers the last couple days but a lot is riding on the case numbers early next week that will dictate if the new waves are strong or weak. UK reports over 5K daily new cases for yesterday tiny numbers but the cases are sneaking incrementally higher over the last 7 days. It sucks watching the old man of Europe slipping and losing his balance on the covid slope of despair.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/24/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Dark covid skies hover above France, Germany and Italy but America enjoys sunshine as wave 7 ends albeit too slowly. The great holiday of Halloween is approaching and few think about COVID-19 anymore. In southwestern Pennsylvania, vaccinated and unvaccinated folks have not worn masks in public places for months. The only people wearing masks in a grocery store, post office or bank may be an elderly person now and then. Americans have moved on which may explain the slow uptake of the new booster shots. The US reports 45K daily new cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA for US cases is down to 47K cases per day moving lower at a snail's pace. 300 Americans continue dying per day from COVID-19.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/24/22, at 7:00 AM EST: Medical officials in Oregon are complaining that their nurses and medical staffs are too overworked. Staffing shortages with EMS personnel and nurses are forcing employees to work 72 hours, 80 hours and sometimes more per week to cover the calls. A fatigued EMS person should not be driving an ambulance. It is a downward spiral since the burned-out workers have to quit for the sake of their own health further straining the remaining workers. It is a mess brought on by the same jackasses now moaning about the situation. Hey *ssholes, you were the ones that imposed vaccine mandates that chased your best and brightest out of the medical profession. Don't you remember, fool? Ye reap what ye sow. The vaccine mandate garbage creates the staff shortages and mess playing out today across America. Unvaccinated nurses worked hands-on with COVID-19 patients for months on end and deserved respect to decide for themselves about taking the new and still somewhat experimental vaccines. Instead, they were told to kneel or get fired. Nurses were praised and worshipped in 2020 and then unceremoniously fired in 2021 and labeled as disgruntled employees if they did not take the jabs. This is America where you go from hero to zero in a heartbeat. Young ladies and men that thought nursing would be a good direction for them are chased away by being told up front that if you work in this field and your boss tells you to kneel and inject something into your body, you kneel and obey. Many figured it is easier to just work at an Amazon warehouse instead. The Oregon nurse situation is only one example. Other professions are hit with the same staffing problems such as pilots, airline workers, flight attendants, teachers, and truck, bus and school bus drivers, etc... One of the biggest mistakes of the pandemic is people in charge not thinking about the unintended consequences of their edicts. You know, you can eliminate all deaths and injuries from car accidents tomorrow? Wow, how? By outlawing the use of all vehicles immediately.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/25/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports over 620 million total COVID-19 infections and over 6.54 deaths a grim milestone. On the positive side, over 600 million earthlings have recovered from China Virus. The world's daily new cases drop to 411K per day slowly working towards the 3-handle. The infection wave is decreasing but it would be great if it went a little faster. 1,242 earthlings die per day from COVID-19 a 1.2-handle on its way to a 1.1-handle. Japanese deaths continue lower helping to decrease the global death count. Russia reports 53K cases on Friday, 9/23/22. This is an elevated number and the 7-day MA is at 52K cases per day but Russia's infection wave may be peaking. The two peak days thus far for the current wave are 59K and 58K cases on 9/16/22 and 9/17/22, respectively. The Friday to Friday comparison is 59K cases to 52K cases great news that it is below the prior peak. Hopefully, Saturday will be below 58K cases and preferably below 52K cases to provide more good vibes that the wave is flattening and will likely not become much worse than it is now. This is also good news because there are concerns about the Khosta virus spreading in Russia. If daily new cases in Russia have peaked a week ago, are flattening and will begin falling, the viruses in general are not running out of control. 104 Ruskies die from covid on Friday and the average is up to 102 bodies per day the highest since May.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/25/22, at 6:00 AM EST: All eyes are on France, Germany and Italy to assess if the new infection waves will spread to other European nations. France reports 38K cases for Friday and the 7-day MA trend line is up to 33K cases per day and rising. France's peak day thus far for the new infection wave is 52K cases on 9/20/22, so the number needs to be lower for this Tuesday, 9/27/22. Germany is averaging 39K cases per day and rising. Italy is at over 19K cases per day and rising. A few days are needed to assess the severity of the new infection waves across the pond. The hope is that the bump in cases may be related to the August and early September vacation period in Europe and the infections will roll over lower again. The subvariants should be running out of host bodies.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/25/22, at 6:30 AM EST: Israel may be slipping on the covid slope of despair again. Case numbers are tiny but moving steadily higher from less than 1K cases per day in late August to 1.6K on Thursday. Wow, that is a 60% pop in daily new cases in Israel over the last month. The numbers are small but Israel needs to be monitored closely. Israel has vaccinated their population like pincushions. There are so many shots in the Jewish arms that people cannot remember how many they received and yet the infection waves come upon Israel like any other nation on the planet. People are going to begin to think that the jabs are always produced for yesterday's virus and provide little protection for the new subvariants constantly evolving.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/25/22, at 7:00 AM EST: The 7-day MA for US daily new cases drops to 41K cases per day. Only 33K cases are reported for Friday a beautiful number since Friday's are typically the highest cases of the week. US active cases (the bell curve chart above) are down to 2.2 million continuing lower. 276 Americans continue dying from COVID-19 every day. Rosh Hashanah begins at sundown; the High Holy days of the Jewish calendar.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/26/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Eureka! Hallelujah! The world's daily new cases drop to 399K cases per day below 4 hundo thousand per day. Great news. 1,186 earthlings are dying from China Virus each day; the 1.1-handle is more great news. If the US deaths drop, which they should simply because wave 7 is ending, that will bring the world's death rate down faster. Russia reports 51K daily new cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 50K cases per day flattening-out. Russia's active cases curve is also topping and flattening. Millions of Russians have already been sick with COVID-19 especially since many are not vaccinated because they do not trust their own vaccines such as the Sputnik V junk jabs. If Russia's infection wave is rolling over to the downside, it will bolster the thinking that the global pandemic is finally moving into the endemic phase. 111 Russians bite the covid dust on Saturday the most China Virus deaths since May. Deaths lag the daily and active cases so perhaps in a few days or week or so, the Ruskie deaths will retreat. Oh no. Taiwan has worsened over the last couple weeks with a new infection wave well underway. Mainland China has reinfected the independent island nation. Taiwan is at 40K cases per day but the new infection wave is trying to peak and level-out. The Taiwan spike in cases comes out of left field with cases doubling from 20K per day to 40K per day in only 4 weeks. As stated, however, Taiwan's infection wave may be quick and dirty and already peaking. Taiwan should be on the bad country list above. The main COVID-19 global hotspots are; the China, Hong Kong and Taiwan Asia cluster, the France, Germany and Italy Europe area, and the United States.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/26/22, at 4:30 AM EST: France reports a string of 38K cases per day for the last few days remaining below the 52K cases peak thus far that occurred last Tuesday. Tomorrow's daily new cases are going to tell the story on Europe's covid infection waves going forward. The data has slipped to a 2-day lag over the last month so France's Tuesday cases should be known on Thursday morning. France's cases for Tuesday must remain below 52K. France is averaging 34K cases per day heading higher but at a gradual non-parabolic path. Germany's infection wave is up to 39K cases per day moving higher. Italy reports COVID-19 cases at 22K to 23K per day since the peak thus far at 28K cases last Tuesday like France. It is the same drill for the boot-shaped nation where tomorrow's cases are uber important and must be below 28K to signal happier times ahead. Pray that Europe's new infections are a temporary bump due to the August/September holiday period, otherwise, the daily cases will continue higher and the world will feel Europe's woes in the weeks and months forward. The ole man of Europe is coughing and wheezing but perhaps he will get his sea legs back this week. Folks probably never thought they would be rooting for a COVID-19 endemic phase but it is far better than the pandemic phase.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/26/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports over 97.9 million total COVID-19 infections edging towards the 100 million cases milestone (the US population is 330 million). The US reports only 19K cases for Saturday and Sunday should be even lower both helping to pull that 7-day MA trendline at 37K cases per day lower. The 3-handle is back and the United States needs to work towards a 2-handle next. The goal is to get US cases down towards that 10K to 15K cases per day area and lower to signal the start of the endemic phase. 249 Americans are dying from COVID-19 each day a sickening number to watch all year long as President Biden focuses his attention elsewhere.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/26/22, at 5:30 AM EST: A new Ebola outbreak is underway in Uganda with 34 people infected and 21 die. COVID-19 infections remains low and a non-issue in Uganda but the African nation is now hit with the difficult Ebola-Sudan strain. Canada is moving forward with repealing COVID-19 restrictions at the border. That is fine but who wants to visit a dirtbag nation under the authoritarian control of tyrannical King Trudeau? The dirtbag has power to seize or freeze Canuck bank accounts if he does not like what you say especially politically. That is sickening. Australia went dirtbag, and Canada went dirtbag during the pandemic, but the United States is putting up a fight against the sicko's in power and their wealthy financial backers that desire and promote authoritarian, tyrannical and dictatorial rule.
Note Added Monday Afternoon, 9/26/22: FDA Advisory Committee member Dr Paul Offit opines that he is not yet fully on board with giving the new booster shot, a third shot, to young people. The new booster shot was approved based on tests on lab mice. It is a bivalent vaccine which means part of the jab protects against the original virus and the other part provides some protection against the BA4 and BA5 subvariants (that are currently diminishing as US wave 7 ends). Credit goes to Offit for thinking outside the box and challenging colleagues to assess all the impacts of vaccines. The risks may outweigh the benefits for young people thinking about a third jab. Offit remains in favor of the new booster shots for older adults.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/26/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Oh my. You cannot make the stuff up. Pfizer CEO Bourla tests positive for COVID-19 the second time in the last 2 months. How's those vaccinations working out, pal? Bourla has 4 mRNA shots in his body so far and Paxlovid. Bourla tweets; "I have tested positive for COVID. I'm feeling well & symptom free. I've not had the new bivalent booster yet, as I was following CDC guidelines to wait 3 months since my previous COVID case which was back in mid-August. While we've made great progress, the virus is still with us." Good luck to Dr Bourla that will probably take a fifth mRNA jab in November. It sounds like his illness is nothing more than a covid-cold and he will be back in the laboratory mixing up new covid concoctions before you know it. Bourla joins the quadruple-vaccinated, Paxlovid-popping, twice-infected club with Dr Fauci, President Biden and First Lady Jill. It's funny. The people most instrumental in bringing the mRNA vaccines to the public are shot with 4 jabs but have gotten COVID-19 twice. Bourla is the guy mixing up the mRNA in the vat in the back room, Fauci is the vaccine salesman and Biden is the ringleader promoting his vaccine-only strategy. The Pusher Man don't care if you live or die.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/27/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new COVID-19 cases drop to 397K cases per day and deaths are down to 1,160 souls per day. The daily new cases take out the lows from October 2021 and now compare back to early July 2021 about 15 months ago more good news. The world's cases need to take out the 360K cases per day lows from February 2021 and June 2021. When the global cases drop below 360K per day and lower, that will take the comparison back to the first 9 months of 2020 and verify that the pandemic is truly evolving into the endemic phase. Russia's daily new and active cases charts appear to be peaking more good news which will help bring the world's cases lower. Hong Kong continues improving with the COVID-19 daily new cases decreasing and the active cases flattening and starting to roll over to form the coveted bell shape and verify the virus is being defeated.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/27/22, at 4:30 AM EST: France reports 31K cases for Sunday a good number below the string of 38K cases per day for the last few days and below the 52K peak high last Tuesday. Today's cases in France, that will not be known until Thursday morning, will tell the tale for Europe with the new infection waves. Germany reports 47K cases for Sunday remaining below the peak at 60K cases on Monday, 9/19/22. Germany's multiple-vaccinated Chancellor Scholz tests positive for coronavirus and goes into isolation. Scholz was at the UN meeting in New York last week. Other staffers also test positive and everyone exhibits mild symptoms. Germany's Monday number will be known tomorrow and must stay below 60K to paint a rosy path forward. If cases pop above 60K, that means Europe is going to slide down the covid rabbit hole again. The expectation is that cases remain low and the new infection waves may be minor bumps in cases due to the August/September holiday period in Europe and the beer festivals in Germany. Italy reports 19K cases for Sunday another hopeful sign off the peak at 28K cases last Tuesday. Tomorrow, we can determine Germany's fate forward with covid and on Thursday morning we can forecast what will occur in France and Italy going forward. Keep your fingers crossed. Israel cases bump higher to 1.9K on Saturday. Israel better stay alert because infections are on the increase albeit small numbers.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/27/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US crosses the 1.082 million COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. People yawn. The US reports 17K daily new cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA is down to 37K cases per day. US active cases are down to 2.18 million teasing a drop below 2 million in the days ahead. The drop in active cases is important not only because it proves that the virus is being defeated but also because it means more people will return to work as their health improves and that will help the US economy. Further, some US schools have been back in session for a month and there is no substantive increase in covid infections. COVID-19 can be deadly for anyone old, fat or with a compromised immune system, but healthy young people, especially children, are at very low risk. 245 Americans continue dying from China Virus every day. Sleepy Joe Biden is sleeping. The Jewish Holy days of Rosh Hashanah end at sundown.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/27/22, at 5:30 AM EST: US COVID-19 hospitalizations drop to 24K as per the CDC and this data is a week old so covid patients in the teens is on the way. The US vaccination rate is a mystery since the CDC chart is not updated for 1-1/2 weeks. It stops at an average of nearly 400K shots per day in arms, on the increase, but this may be the peak of the jabs if the data is halted and not updated. The Whitehouse and CDC are likely delaying or muzzling any negative news on vaccines while promoting everything pro-vaccine to boost the uptake of the new booster shot. The baby games are transparent. The country is corrupt to the core in the way information is suppressed and massaged. In Florida, only 37K people have rolled up their sleeves for the new booster shot that has been out for a month. There are 20 million eligible for the shot so not even 0.2% have stepped up to receive the Fall booster; only 1 in every 540 eligible people. Folks have moved on with life and most think that covid is like the seasonal flu (endemic). The news stories from the democrat-run press continue to call the new Fall booster shot a "bivalent" vaccine, which it is, instead of stressing the "mRNA" word. This is likely a conscious effort by the Whitehouse and CDC directing the democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times, Washington Post) to not say mRNA and instead say bivalent because they think more people may take the shots (the mRNA word is scary to some people). These eggheads in charge are paying too much attention to stupid focus groups.
Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 9/27/22: The NIH releases a study showing that the menstruation period for women taking a COVID-19 vaccination shot may be extended between one-half and a full day longer than usual but it is temporary. A study published in JAMA Pediatrics reports that the mRNA vaccine is detected in infants younger than 6 months old that are breast feeding from their vaccinated mother. This may have harmful effects on the child such as myocarditis. The CDC provided misinformation for the last 1-1/2 years telling pregnant ladies there are no harmful effects and told the women to take the mRNA shots. Many pregnant women likely wish they had not listened to the so-called medical experts. Chalk it up as another pandemic misstep. An article in the Atlantic is receiving lots of attention titled, "Did a Famous Doctor's Covid Shot Make His Cancer Worse?" The doctor praised the COVID-19 mRNA vaccines proclaiming that getting covid would be far worse than any side effects from the shots. Over the last few months, however, he is not so sure. Some cancer patients and others choosing to get vaccinated have experienced swelling of the lymph nodes near the armpit on the side of the body where the shot was administered. Sadly, one of Keystone's loved ones had this exact problem with the swelling of the lymph nodes under her arm after the booster shot (third shot) earlier this year. It is wicked scary stuff, especially for a breast cancer survivor, but she is doing okay now and does not want to go near a mRNA shot again. People are having these experiences and telling family, relatives and coworkers which likely leads to the poor uptake of the new Fall booster shot. Instead of becoming more relaxed about the COVID-19 vaccines over time, most folks are more skeptical. The CDC, NIH and Whitehouse misinformation is a main reason for the distrust since Lord Fauci and others told Americans to get the shots and they would not have to worry about getting infected or passing covid along to others; they were wrong on both counts. Chalk it up to more pandemic missteps.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/28/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases remain around 400K per day and dropping. With about 200 countries on the planet, that would average out to only 2K COVID-19 cases per country per day but obviously there are hugely-populated nations such as China, India and the United States, where 2K cases a day would be fantastic news, but tiny sparsely-populated island countries where 2K cases a day would be a devastating chunk of their citizenry. 1,120 earthlings continue dying from covid on the planet each day. Russia reports 40K cases for Monday and the 7-day MA trendline drops to 47K cases per day. Ruskie deaths are trying to level-out at about one hundo souls per day. Russia is on the mend which will help further reduce the world's numbers. Japan is in good shape improving daily and defeating its worse infection wave. Japanese officials are boasting that the country is likely at about 90% or more herd immunity from COVID-19 considering the vaccinations and number of people that were infected. Hong Kong is on the mend. Taiwan's cases are averaging 40K per day flattening out and rolling over to the downside. Hong Kong has relaxed covid restrictions although the new rules look a lot like the old rules with more than one covid test required per day for several days for anyone entering the region. The flights out of Hong Kong are booked solid as people flee the dictatorial rule of the dirtbag CCP. Hong Kong folks are flocking to Japan, Taiwan and Britain. The 5-week infection wave in Taiwan may have surfaced at least in part by Hong Kong folks bringing the virus to the independent island nation (the filthy CCP claims Taiwan is part of China; the Taiwanese want nothing to do with Dictator Xi or China's communist government).
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/28/22, at 5:30 AM EST: France tags the 155K total COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. 0.2% of France's population has died from COVID-19 or 1 in every 435 French will never partake in wine, baguette or cigarettes again. France has not reported any new numbers since the 32K daily new cases on Sunday. The 7-day MA for France's daily new cases is up to 37K cases per day and rising. France's new infection wave continues. Damn it. That's bad. Germany reports a huge spike to 89K daily new cases for Monday. Maybe that is why France does not want to report Monday's number; it must be ugly, too. Italy reports only 10K cases for Monday good news right when things were looking bleak. Italy's new infection wave continues higher at 23K cases per day. Israel is not updating their data since Saturday's 1.9K daily new cases the highest in 6 weeks. There are articles professing worry in the UK for a big Fall surge in COVID-19 cases but the daily cases are fine flatlining at about 4K to 5K per day. Cases are moving flat in Portugal and Greece after several days of upward moving cases. The two key beach and vacation spots for the August and early September holiday fun in Europe may be indicating that there was a mini-bump in cases due to the vacation period but things are quickly settling back down. Germany's cases is a punch to the face but the news is more positive elsewhere. It is not cool that France and Israel may be delaying or holding back on their case numbers. Germany, France, Italy and Israel are going to dictate the path forward for any potential covid trouble across Europe this Fall. The days ahead are uber important for Europe.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/28/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US is a hair away from crossing the 98 million total COVID-19 cases lousy milestone. The US reports only 18K cases for Monday the numbers are great these days. The 7-day MA drops to 33K cases per day that 2-handle may be coming fast. US active cases are down to 2.15 million heading towards that 2 million and lower level. 215 Americans continue dying from China Virus each day. Biden yawns because he is sleepy. US wave 7 is ending. Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong and Russia are on the mend. China remain a daily covid mystery since the media is state-controlled like Russia but the communists are likely making headway in their fight against covid. The wildcards are central Europe (France, Germany and Italy) and Israel. If cases can be brought under control in those 3 European nations and Israel, the world will definitely be on the path to an endemic ending to the pandemic nightmare.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/28/22, at 9:00 AM EST: Employees at General Motors are pushing back against management's plan to return to the office. The little adult babies want to stay at home. GM is only asking the workers to return for 3 days per week and that is too much for America's adults that act like immature adolescents nowadays. In fairness, the edict from GM was for a quick return to the office so it caught workers off guard. A delay is now baked in for the transition so the sensitive babies can slowly wean themselves off the home teat and start commuting to work again.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 9/28/22: The US Supreme Court announces plans to allow the public to attend court proceedings. The public has been excluded from physically attending the courts since the early days of the pandemic in March 2020. As reported on www.pennlive.com, a Pennsylvania, USA, couple went to the Rite-Aid Pharmacy 1-1/2 weeks ago to receive the new Fall bivalent booster shot. They returned home after the shots with the piece of mind that they are protected from COVID-19 since their jobs require constant contact with people. The next day the phone rings. It's Rite-Aid. What?! The pharmacy shot them with the wrong vaccine. The couple receives the original Pfizer vaccine and not the new Pfizer bivalent vaccine. Doctors tell the folks that the shots will not be harmful but they will have to wait at least 2 months before taking the booster shot and they will not be protected from BA4 and BA5. Of course, the mistake has a devastating impact on the couple's livelihoods. The vaccine jabbers need to be more careful but in their defense most of those vials look the same. There is Pfizer, and Moderna, there are the initial doses, kids doses, the new doses, and a magnifying glass is needed to read the tiny print. A head can be spinning with confusion especially with Abby that is young and new on the job. She sneaks peaks at her Facebook messages while retrieving the vaccine vials for the nurses. Stupid mistakes chase away people that were ready to step up to the plate to receive a jab. American mediocrity is on full display daily.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/29/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases take a pop higher on Tuesday to 531K cases the most in 11 days. The 7-day MA is at 422K cases per day starting to slide sideways. Since Hong Kong and Japan are on the mend, ditto the United States, the reason behind the slight rise in cases has to be Europe specifically France and Germany. Damn it. Sacrebleu! France's daily new cases spike higher to 74K cases for Tuesday the most in 2 months. It is a terrible development. The pandemic refuses to die. The 7-day MA for France's daily new cases is at 40K cases per day heading higher. Thwack. Germany reports a big 95K cases for Tuesday the most in nearly 2 months. The wheels just fell off the covid bus in France and Germany. The lingering covid stink will not dissipate. It is important to know what the subvariant breakdown is in France and Germany to see what bug is starting to run out of control. Is the culprit BA46? BA275? BF7? Something else? Where's the WHO? Wake up and find out what is going on in France and Germany because it is going to impact the rest of the world. Oh no. Italy is punched in the face falling backwards down the covid rabbit hole. Italy reports 45K cases for Tuesday the most in almost 2 months. The boot-shaped nation is getting kicked to the curb with a new serious infection wave underway. As surmised above, the world's downward path in daily new COVID-19 cases is stalled by the rampant infections now occurring in France, Germany and Italy. The 33-month pandemic is never-ending. The spikes in cases in Europe prove that COVID-19 remains a pandemic and has not yet transitioned into in the endemic phase. It is terrible news for Thursday morning. The hope remains that the pop in cases is temporary but the case numbers over the last 2 days are ominous.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/29/22, at 4:30 AM EST: Now that France, Germany and Italy have sh*t the bed, the surrounding nations require review to monitor the new spread of China Virus across the pond. Spain is fine with daily cases small numbers and flat. Ditto Portugal that showed the pop in daily cases on Tuesday, 9/20/22, but a retreat in cases through 9/27/22. The UK also displays small case numbers moving sideways so no big issues there. Thus, points west of the new central European covid infection zone are okay with no signs of trouble. Belgium and the Netherlands are okay with small case numbers moving sideways. Belgium had a small pop in cases last Wednesday and Thursday so the jury is out if the cases will remain subdued. Belgium is an excellent test case to assess how the virus may be spreading out from central Europe. If the daily new cases pop higher in Belgium this week (numbers will not be known until the weekend), that will mean all of Europe will be sucked down the covid rabbit hole. Luxembourg is also in fine shape. It is odd that Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg, between France and Germany, are okay without a big rise in cases as yet. Why? Does that mean the bulk of the European infections are in southern France and Germany which infected Italy, perhaps northern Italy? If so, Switzerland should be seeing a pop in daily new cases and also perhaps Austria, Slovenia and Croatia. Switzerland reports 2.8K cases for Tuesday threatening to break up and out of a one-month flat trend. Switzerland needs watched closely because, like Belgium, it will serve as a canary in the covid coal mine to assess the progress of the new European infection wave. Boom. Austria reports over 11K cases the most in 2 months with a new infection wave underway; terrible news. The bad country list will be expanded for the next Coronavirus Chronology article. Europe is going in the wrong direction again. Oh no. Slovenia cases pop to 3.9K the most since March. Interestingly, Slovenia is showing a double-hump infection wave like the US experienced with BA2, which was wave 7a, and BA5, which was wave 7b. The subvariant breakdown for Slovenia is uber important right now since it may tell a lot about what is happening in Europe. Croatia, which is south of the current European infection zone is fine. Let's inch further east to Czechia, Slovakia and Hungary to see if there is any covid trouble. Thwack. Czechia reports 4.3K cases the most since April with a new infection wave starting, a double-hump wave like Slovenia. Slovakia is fine. Hungary has subpar data but a small bump in cases is noted over the last 3 weeks. Poland is north of Czechia and has remained on the bad country list. Poland's daily cases continue to try and flatten-out but its active cases chart ramps higher setting a record for the most active COVID-19 cases during the entire pandemic. What does all this mumbo-jumbo mean? The European infection zone is identified and corralled representing the known data through Tuesday, 9/27/22. France, Germany, Italy, Austria, Slovenia, Czechia and Poland are the trouble spots. Watch Switzerland and Belgium to see if they join the latest sick covid party. The WHO and European medical officials need to find out exactly what subvariants are in play in these 7 countries and it will tell a lot about what is going on in Europe. Chop chop. Keystone is a down and dirty stock trader writing the Coronavirus Chronology as a historical document and does not have the contacts to find out what is happening with the specific subvariants in Europe. The medical eggheads need to identify the subvariants at play in these 7 countries and inform the rest of the world as to what is going on. What is going on medical folks? Make yourselves useful. The European outbreak that is worsening each day requires attention and explanation so the rest of the world can prepare.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/29/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The United States crosses the dreaded 98 million total COVID-19 infections milestone less than 2 million cases away from 100 million. 1.084 million Americans have croaked from covid. The sad news in Europe is contrasted against the happy talk in America. The US reports 36K daily new cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA drops to 39K cases per day. The US is on the mend and looking great for a move from pandemic to the endemic phase during the coming weeks. 281 Americans continue dying per day as Alzheimer's Joe is confused at a press conference asking, "Where's Jackie, I think she was going to be here?" Congresswoman Jackie Walorski was killed in a tragic car accident a month ago. Sleepy and confused Joe Biden knew that but he forgot. Biden had ordered flags to be flown at half-staff after Walorski's death and he also provided a tribute to her. The idiot Whitehouse spokeswoman, Karine Jean-Pierre, that got the job not because of her ability but because she is a black lesbian, defends Biden's gaffe and mental confusion as no biggie saying Walorski was "at top of mind" whatever that adolescent nonsense means. In addition, Biden is hosting the Walorski family this weekend (that makes the gaffe worse). If Biden was a family member, you would pull him aside and suggest that he stop embarrassing himself and it is time to chart a different path forward. America's casket makers and funeral directors dance with glee at Biden's incompetence and failure to lower the covid death rate this year.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/30/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Bad news. The world's daily new COVID-19 cases are no longer trending lower instead curling higher to 434K cases per day. Call the pattern sideways through 390K to 440K cases per day. Since Asia and the US are recovering from their outbreak waves, the culprit causing the rise in the planet's covid cases has to be the old man of Europe. France reports 53K cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA trendline is up to 42K cases per day. Germany reports 79K daily new cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA is going parabolic at 52K cases per day; terrible news. Any thoughts that the new infection waves in central and eastern Europe would be fleeting are tossed out the window. Germany's daily new cases going parabolic (vertical) is bad news for Europe and the world. Italy reports 37K cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA is up to 27K cases per day starting to go parabolic. Thwack. Austria is slapped in the face with over 15K daily new cases on Wednesday and its 7-day MA is starting to go parabolic at 10K cases per day. The 15K cases exceed the July highs of the prior infection wave and now compares back to April. Europe is going to Hell in a covid handbasket. Slovenia is averaging over 2.1K cases per day the most since April. Czechia's daily cases are at 2.3K per day and rising. Belgium and Switzerland serve as test cases to see if the virus is spreading. Damn. Belgium reports 3.8K daily new cases for Wednesday with the 7-day MA up to 2.7K cases per day and rising. Switzerland's cases remain small numbers and its pattern is sideways with only a slight upward bias. So the jury remains out on Switzerland but Belgium is getting sucked down the covid rabbit hole. Netherlands reports 2.6K cases, tiny numbers, but the cases are rising and the highest in 6 weeks. Europe is in a new COVID-19 outbreak and the leaders appear clueless as to what is happening. Such is the world in 2022.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/30/22, at 4:30 AM EST: The US reports 43K cases for Wednesday a great number since the hump day cases have been elevated in recent weeks. The 7-day MA is at 40K cases per day continuing the positive trek lower. US active cases (bell-curve chart) are down to 2.1 million teasing towards a sub 2 million number. 283 Americans continue dying from COVID-19 each day with no end in sight. Coffin makers dance with joy factoring-in covid deaths as a steady baseline for their businesses and profits. Sleepy Joe Biden is sleeping as one American dies from COVID-19 every 5 minutes all year long. Thanks for nothing, buddy. Fortunately, US wave 7 is ending so the China Virus deaths will retreat going forward but it is not fast enough and no thanks to Biden or the CDC.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/30/22, at 5:00 AM EST: A mRNA vaccine produced by a partnership of the Chinese military, and two Chinese pharmaceuticals Walvax Biotechnology and Suzhou Abogen Biosciences, receives approval for emergency use in Indonesia. Interestingly, the mRNA vaccine is not approved in China. The vaccine named AWcorna is produced in Indonesia. The communists claim that the jab can be used as an initial or booster shot and it is 71% effective. Note how the Chinese military (CCP and PLA) are involved in vaccine development and biotechnology. The Chinese military is directly connected to the Wuhan Laboratories which are the likely origin of COVID-19.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/30/22, at 5:30 AM EST: The top leader of the Episcopal Church, President Bishop Michael Curry, tests positive for COVID-19. You know the drill. Curry is multi-vaccinated and taking Paxlovid. Television weatherman celebrity Al Roker tests positive for China Virus. Administrator Samantha Powers, that advises Biden on foreign affairs, a leftover from the Obama administration, tests positive for COVID-19. Pakistani fast bowler Naseem Shah tests positive for covid. Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez tests positive for COVID-19 delaying key European meetings.
