Saturday, August 24, 2013

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 8/26/13


SPX support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 8/26/13. The SPX ran higher into the Friday closing bell receiving resistance from the 10-day MA at 1664.78.  The bulls need to touch the 1665 handle Monday morning and the upside will accelerate to test 1669 resistance quickly and then Keystone's important 200 EMA signal level at 1670.58.  The 20-day MA at 1680.29 should be back tested and this would be a serious upside test for markets.  If you recall prior price action, the 1685 level held as support over and over again, until it didn't. Therefore, 1685 carries strong street cred as resistance. Further, August began at 1686 and there are only five trading days remaining in the month to determine if an up, or down, month prints. Also, the May top is 1687. The 1685-1688 area is a serious resistance gauntlet. It would be a very big deal if the SPX starts printing above 1688. This would guarantee a test of 1692, the last ditch stand for bears, since price is then destined for the 1700's again if 1692 gives way. So, if a relief rally gains legs this week, watch the overhead resistance at 1669-1671, 1680, 1685-1688 and 1692 to gauge the strength of the move higher.

For the bears, a push under the 50-day MA at 1659.41 starts the market move lower again. For Monday, the bears need to push under 1655 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1656-1664 is sideways action. The bulls begin the new week of trading with an advantage. The Sunday evening futures are very important since two green S&P points will likely signal a continuing bullish rally on tap for early in the week. The bears need to keep the Sunday evening futures red or they will fold like a cheap suit on Monday with the SPX targeting 1669-1671 after the opening bell.

·         1710 (8/2/13 All-Time Intraday High: 1709.67) (8/2/13 Intraday HOD for 2013: 1709.67) (8/2/13 All-Time Closing High: 1709.67) (8/2/13 Closing High for 2013: 1709.67)
·         1709
·         1708
·         1707
·         1706
·         1704
·         1701
·         1700
·         1699
·         1698
·         1697
·         1696
·         1693
·         1692
·         1691
·         1688
·         1687 (5/22/13 Intraday High Top: 1687.18)
·         1686 (August begins at 1685.73)
·         1685 (Previous Week’s High: 1664.85)
·         1683
·         1680.29 (20-day MA)
·         1680
·         1678
·         1675
·         1670.58 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
·         1669 (5/21/13 Closing Top: 1669.16)
·         1666
·         1664.85 Friday HOD
·         1664.78 (10-day MA)
·         1664
·         1663.50 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
·         1661
·         1659.41 (50-day MA)
·         1659
·         1655
·         1654
·         1654.81 Friday LOD
·         1652
·         1651
·         1650
·         1649
·         1647
·         1643
·         1640.37 (20-week MA)
·         1640
·         1639 (Previous Week’s Low: 1639.43)
·         1636
·         1635.81 (100-day MA)
·         1634
·         1632
·         1629
·         1627
·         1626
·         1624
·         1623
·         1618
·         1614
·         1611

7 comments:

  1. The long term trend seems to be down now. But short term momentum is up. This weekend we started the positive lunar period and Reedy point gives a high for thursday. My directional volume indicator on 2 days is still up, but I see negative divergencies in other indicators.

    The 6 month solar wind cycles enters the red period around september 1st.

    So we have counter acting forces this week with short term upward momentum resisting langterm downward presure.

    When Reedy point turns south on thursday/friday, I don't expect the lunar period to be strong enough to resist longer term downward pressure.

    So if The Quant turn bullish, following short term momentum, chances are it will turn bearish again within a week.

    The middle east is breaking down (Egypt/Syria) and the fed wil start tapering in september (Jackson Hole: Federal Reserve’s Lockhart says he is ‘comfortable’ with cautious September taper).

    This is my humble take on what I see. Please remember I am only human, and it won't be the first time in my life I'm wrong ;-)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Interesting stuff. The eclipse indicator targets 9/26/13 give or take a couple weeks or so as having potential for a large market selloff, so September may be very interesting. There are only 5 weeks remaining for politicians to solve the U.S.'s fiscal and monetary problems, and they remain on vacation taking it easy.

      Delete
  2. KS,

    Do you remember my comments a few days ago related to Syria situation and the illegitim US intervention there with a small number of special trained CIA professionals? (and also that zerohedge.com link with information taken from Le Figaro/France)

    It really seems like US president strives to trigger WW III!
    I saw on internet information (check al-jazeera, check presstv.ir) and according to it CIA professionals entered in Syria to help the rebels and they (CIA profesionals) were the ones that launched the chemical attack to offer to the western countries the opportunity and the option of intervention !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I've got nothing to add...

    One thought ... IF ALL MONEY SPENT ON WARS WOULD BE INVESTED IN SCIENCES AND INVENTICS TO THE BENEFIT OF ALL MANKIND , THIS WORLD WOULD MAKE A SUPER-JUMP IN JUST A FEW YEARS!
    But your president has proved that he has chosen the evil option, not the peaceful option.

    Studying history I observed one thing related to the cause-effect chain manifested in all things in our lives ... what you give is what you take.

    When a Nobel winner for peace comes with WAR to "bring peace" ....well, something's missing in this logical argument!
    His Nobel Prize for Peace should be taken away from him ...waaaay too heavy for his shoulders!

    V.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I really appreciate if you don't delete this comment, ok?
      Thank you,

      V.

      Delete
    2. If you ever wondered how looks like a Nobel Prize winner for Peace.... it looks like this:

      http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2013/08/obama%20peace%20prize.jpg

      V.

      Delete
    3. Yep V, all governments have ongoing covert operations all over the globe. The Benghazi affair is covered up since that was a gun deal gone bad. The idea was to remove weaponry from Libya and at the same time move those weapons to Syria for the rebels, but it obviously went terribly wrong. The Peace Prize and most awards are a joke, since this type of stuff is only given to folks who kiss the butt of the people giving the award. Human's appear predisposed to always wanting to fight wars. This is how all the big multi-national companies such as HAL make big bucks year after year, off human misery and death.

      Delete

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