If a stock or index falls -10% off its top it is in correction territory. If it falls -20% it is in a bear market.
For the 8 major indexes, 6 are in a correction, 1 in a bear market and 1 not yet in a correction. The Dow Jones Industrials are down -9.5% not yet meeting the -10.0% loss off the top for a correction.
The all-time record highs and the crashes off those highs are highlighted for the eight major indexes;
SPX 2940.91 on 9/21/18, now at 2633.08, a drop of -10.5% off the top in a correction
INDU, or DJI, 26951.81 on 10/3/18, now at 24388.95, a -9.5% drop a hair from a correction
COMPQ 8133.30 on 8/30/18, now at 6969.25, a drop of -14.3% off the top in a correction
NDX 7700.56 on 10/1/18, now at 6613.27, a drop of -14.1% in a correction
RUT 1742.09 on 8/31/18, now at 1448.09, a drop of -16.9% in a correction only 3 percentage-points from a bear market
NYA 13626.59 on 1/26/18, now at 11941.93, a drop of -12.4% in a correction
TRAN 11623.58 on 9/14/18, now at 9951.16, a drop of -14.4% in a correction
SOX 1464.61 on 3/13/18, now at 1157.86, a drop of -20.9% in a bear market
Semiconductors are beaten like a rented mule. Chips are in almost every product manufactured today. If the chips are down, stockholders will frown. Housing, autos and chips are big-time drivers of an economy. All three are stalling.
Watch the Dow Jones Industrials as the proverbial canary in the coal mine. If the Dow Industrials refuse to fall into a correction, and the SPX recovers from its correction, the stock market will have a joyous end of year recovery and Santa Claus rally (the last week of the year into the first two days of the new year). If the Dow slips into correction down more than -10%, the broad stock market will take another flush lower. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Stock chart patterns and technical analysis (TA) explained simply. Disclaimer: This blog and all its contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not trade or invest based on any information seen on this blog. Please read Terms of Service. The K E Stone blog sites (Keybot the Quant) are blacklisted by Google, so enjoy the ad-free experience, and only use the Donate button when supporting the sites.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.