Monday, July 4, 2016

SPX (S&P 500) Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 7/5/16

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for the holiday-shortened trading week of 7/5/16. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R.

For the S&P 500 in history, the all-time record high is 2134.72 on 5/20/15 and the all-time closing high is 2130.82 on 5/21/15. The all-time record intraday low is 666.79 (the infamous 666) on 3/6/09 and all-time closing low is 676.53 on 3/9/09.

For 2016, the intraday high for this year is 2120.55 on 6/8/16 and the closing high for this year is 2119.12 on 6/8/16. The intraday low for this year is 1810.10 on 2/11/16 and the closing low thus far this year is 1829.08 on 2/11/16. The intraday low in 2015 was 1867.01 on 8/24/15 and intrayear closing low for 2015 was 1867.61 on 8/25/15. Obviously, a failure under the 1810-1868 zone would lead to a catastrophic path ahead for stocks. A move above 2118-2121 paves the way to new all-time highs at 2135.

The SPX is above the 200 EMA on the 1-hour chart at 2076 which signals bullish markets for the hours and days ahead. If the SPX fails at 2076, stocks will be falling down the rabbit hole. The bulls will continue living large if the SPX remains above 2076. The SPX begins July at 2099. The SPX is 55 points above the starting year number at 2044; the S&P 500 is up +2.7% on the year.

For Tuesday, 7/5/16, the first day of trading this week for US stocks, the SPX begins at 2103. The bulls need to touch the 2109 handle and bingo, price will thrust higher to immediately test the critical 2118-2121 range mentioned above. The bears need to push below 2098 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2099-2108 is sideways action for Tuesday.

The new moon peaked for the month at 7 AM EST today and stocks are typically bearish moving through the new moon. Conversely, the new month, and especially new quarter, should receive new money into the market creating buoyancy in stocks. A Bradley turn is 7/5/16 so remain alert for an abrupt and dramatic move in the stock market at any time forward.

If the SPX pushes up through the 2109-2110 resistance, price will run higher to 2118 very quickly for a key test of this very strong 2118-2121 resistance level. A move above 2118-2121 and price is likely headed to new record highs.

If the bears push under the strong 2098, a test of 2094 will occur in a heartbeat. If that fails, 2089 support is next. The 2076-2079 support level is very important. Market bulls are partying like its 1999 if they remain above 2079. Bears will create mayhem if 2076 fails.

Looking at the near-term picture the strongest price support/resistance is 2135, 2131, 2129, 2126, 2121-2123, 2118, 2110, 2102, 2094, 2089, 2083, 2081, 2079, 2067, 2046, 2042, 2032, 2022, 2019, 2011, 2002, 1997, 1993 and 1985-1988.

Note: If the list below displays any blank spaces, view it in a different browser.

2135 (5/20/15 All-Time Intraday High: 2134.72)
2133 (7/20/15 Intraday High 2132.82)
2131 (5/21/15 All-Time Closing High: 2130.82)
2130 (6/22/15 Intraday High 2129.87)
2129
2128 (7/20/15 Closing High: 2128.28)
2126 (4/27/15 Intraday High: 2125.92)
2124 (6/23/15 Closing High: 2124.20)
2123
2121 (4/24/15 Intraday High: 2120.92) (6/8/16 Intraday High for 2016: 2120.55)
2120 (2/25/15 Intraday High: 2119.59)
2119 (6/8/16 Closing High for 2016: 2119.12)
2118 (4/24/15 Closing High: 2117.69)
2117 (3/2/15 Closing High: 2117.39)
2116 (11/3/15 Intraday High: 2116.48)
2114
2113
2111 (4/20/16 Intraday High: 2111.04)
2110 (11/3/15 Closing High; 2109.79)
2109
2108.71 Previous Week’s High
2108.71 Friday HOD
2108
2105
2104 (12/2/15 Intraday High: 2104.27)
2102.95 Friday Close – Tuesday Starts Here
2103 (12/2/15 Closing High: 2102.63)
2102 (4/20/16 Intraday High: 2102.40)
2100
2099
2098.86 July Begins Here
2097.90 Friday LOD
2097
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2093
2092
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089
2086
2084
2083
2082.24 (20-day MA)
2081
2080
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2077
2076.65 (50-day MA)
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075.70 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2074
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2064
2063
2061
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2053
2052
2050
2050.00 (10-month MA)
2049.67 (20-week MA)
2048.92 (20-month MA)
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2044 (12/31/15 Closing High: 2043.94)
2043.94 Trading for 2016 Begins Here
2042.27 (100-day MA)
2042
2040
2038
2036.47 (100-week MA)
2034
2032.68 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2032
2030
2023.15 (200-day MA)
2023
2022.83 (50-week MA)
2022
2021.98 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2017
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
1998
1997
1995
1993 (1/15/15 Closing Low: 1992.67)
1991.68 Previous Week’s Low
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1987
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1983
1982
1981 (2/2/15 Intraday Low: 1980.90)
1980
1979
1978
1977
1973
1970
1969
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1967.61 (150-week MA)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1961
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1949
1948
1943
1942
1937
1936
1931
1928
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1914
1912
1910
1906
1902 (5/13/14 Intraday Top: 1902.17)
1901
1897 (5/13/14 Closing High: 1897.45) (4/4/14 Intraday Top: 1897.28)
1891 (4/2/14 Closing High: 1890.90)
1889
1886
1885
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1882
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1874
1873
1872
1870
1868 (8/25/15 Closing Low: 1867.61)
1867 (8/24/15 Intraday Low: 1867.01)
1865
1862
1859 (1/20/16 Closing Low: 1859.33)
1855
1851 (1/15/14 Intraday Top: 1850.84)
1849 (12/31/13 Intraday High Top for 2013: 1849.44)
1858.86 (200-week MA)
1848 (1/15/14 Closing High: 1848.38) (12/31/13 Closing High for 2013: 1848.36)
1846
1845
1843
1841
1840
1839
1835
1831
1829 (2/11/16 Closing Low for 2016: 1829.08)
1828
1827
1824
1838.46 (50-month MA)
1820
1816
1814 (11/29/13 Intraday Top: 1813.55)
1812 (12/9/13 Intraday Top: 1811.52) (1/20/16 Intraday Low: 1812.29)
1810 (2/11/16 Intraday Low for 2016: 1810.10)
1809 (12/9/13 Closing Top: 1808.37)
1808
1807 (11/27/13 Closing Top: 1807.23)
1806
1803
1801
1800
1799

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