Monday, April 21, 2014

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 4/21/14

SPX support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 4/21/14. The bulls took advantage of the expected pre-holiday bullishness and drove markets higher wall-to-wall last week. Price moving above the 200 EMA on the 60-minute at 1854.78 is a major victory for bulls and predicts bullish markets for the hours and days ahead. Bears got nothing until they push the SPX under the 200 EMA at 1855.

Price peaks at 1870 last week only a couple points away from creating a positive month for April. April began at 1872.34. There are 8 trading days remaining in the month. Flying at 40,000 feet, the big picture S/R is 1897, 1891, 1884, 1878, 1874, 1868, 1859, 1848, 1841, 1831, 1828, 1808, 1803, 1800, 1796 and 1791. Flying even higher for the even bigger picture, 1897, 1874, 1848, 1841 and 1803 are the uber-important support and resistance levels. Therefore, watch 1874 like a hawk today. The 1848 number is the strongest S/R level on the entire list and the starting number for the year, thus, very basically, bulls are well in control above 1848 while bears will take over the steering wheel sub 1848.

For Monday starting at 1865, the bulls need to touch the 1870 handle and bingo, an upside acceleration will occur. The bears need to push under 1857 to create a downside acceleration. A move through 1858-1869 is sideways action to begin the week. The 20-day MA is 1858.51 and serves as a major bull-bear line in the sand for early this week. The 50-day MA at 1851.16 is also key moving forward. Volume may be light as traders nurse a percolating stomach full of ham, beer, eggs, peeps, chocolate and jelly beans.

1897 (4/4/14 All-Time Intraday High: 1897.28) (4/4/14 Intraday High for 2014: 1897.28)
1894
1891 (4/2/14 All-Time Closing High: 1890.90) (4/2/14 Closing High for 2014: 1890.90)
1890
1889
1886
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1883
1882
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1876
1875
1874
1872.34 April Begins Here
1872
1871
1869.63 Previous Week’s High
1869.63 Friday HOD
1868
1867
1865.09 Thursday Pre-Holiday Close – Monday Starts Here
1864
1862
1859
1858.51 (20-day MA)
1856.72 Friday LOD
1855
1854.78 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
1853
1852
1851.16 (50-day MA)
1851 (1/15/14 Intraday Top: 1850.84)
1849 (12/31/13 Intraday High Top for 2013: 1849.44)
1848.36 Trading for 2014 Begins Here
1848 (1/15/14 Closing High: 1848.38) (12/31/13 Closing High for 2013: 1848.36)
1846
1845
1843
1842
1841
1840
1839
1838
1837
1835
1832.29 (20-week MA)
1832
1831
1830.62 (100-day MA)
1828
1827
1824
1820
1816
1815.80 Previous Week’s Low
1814 (11/29/13 Intraday Top: 1813.55)
1812 (12/9/13 Intraday Top: 1811.52)
1810
1809 (12/9/13 Closing Top: 1808.37)
1808
1807 (11/27/13 Closing Top: 1807.23)
1806
1803
1801
1800
1799 (11/18/13 Intraday Top: 1798.82)
1798 (11/15/13 Closing Top: 1798.18)
1797.89 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
1796
1793
1791
1788
1785
1783
1782
1781
1779.02 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
1777
1775 (10/30/13 Intraday Top: 1775.22)
1772 (10/29/13 Closing Top: 1771.95)
1770
1768
1766.19 (200-day MA; not tested for 1 year extremely odd behavior)
1763
1762
1759
1756
1752.27 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
1752
1748
1747
1746.58 (50-week MA)
1745
1740
1737
1733 (10/17/13 and 1018/13 Gap-Up: 1733.15-1736.72)
1730 (9/19/13 Intraday Top: 1729.86)
1726 (9/18/13 Closing Top: 1725.52)
1722
1720
1711
1710 (8/2/13 Intraday Top: 1709.67)
1708
1706
1703
1700
1698
1697
1696
1693
1692
1691
1689
1688
1687 (5/22/13 Intraday Top: 1687.18)
1686
1685
1683
1682
1680
1675
1672
1669 (5/21/13 Closing Top: 1669.16)
1666
1664
1661
1659
1657
1652
1650

Note Added 9:52 AM: The bulls push price higher to test the strong 1868 overhead resistance, and punch up through. This opens the door to a test of the 1872-1874 area unless the bears can immediately spank price lower under 1868.

Note Added 9:54 AM: SPX 1867.64...1864.67 .... 1867.93... a fight at 1868 S/R begins the week.... 1868.33 ....

Note Added 10:04 AM: Leading Indicators beat at +0.8% providing a market boost. SPX jumps through 1868 resistance, now support and attacks the 1870 handle. If 1870 plus prints, price goes to 1872-1874 for a major decision. Above 1874 and a test of the all-time highs is very likely. Bears have to hold the fort at this critical 1870-1874 level and push price lower.

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