Sunday, November 24, 2013

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 11/25/13

SPX support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 11/25/13. The SPX is up 7 consecutive weeks. The all-time highs keep on coming. The SPX prints a new all-time high at 1804.84 and new all-time closing high at 1804.76. IThe Fed and BOJ keep pumping the stock markets higher. Last week, the BOJ is summoned, beating the yen lower with a baseball bat, the dollar/yen moves up through 100, then up through 101, and higher, pumping the Nikkei ($NIKK), the Japan broader indexes, as well as the U.S. stock market. Banzai!! For Monday morning, the bulls only need to see a smidge of green in the overnight futures and the stock market will accelerate higher with the SPX on its way to 1810. The bears need to push under 1795 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1796-1804 is sideways action for Monday.

Last week's low, the 20-day MA at 1775.32 and horizontal support form a confluence of support at 1775-1777. There are 3-1/2 trading days remaining in November, the EOM is Friday, and the month started at 1757.  Monday's price action will dictate if the SPX plans on moving lower to take a look at the 1757 this week, or not. Thanksgiving week is typically bullish and the shortened session on Friday is the most bullish day of the year. If bears are going to make a move it will be early in the week. The bears may stab things lower but then markets may recover mid-week and on to satisfy the expected holiday and seasonal buoyancy. Considering that the bulls only need to see a smidge of green in the futures to begin the week happy, this places a lot of emphasis on Monday morning's early trade. If the bulls run out of the gate to begin the week, they may run into the first week of December. Bears need to show up at the opening bell with their game face, otherwise, they are going to fold like a cheap suit. The 1763 support is another key level where markets would be expected to deteriorate if it fails. If 1763 fails, then November will likely finish as a negative month.

1805 (11/22/13 All-Time Intraday High: 1804.84) (11/22/13 Intraday HOD for 2013: 1804.84) (11/22/13 All-Time Closing High: 1804.76) (11/22/13 Closing High for 2013: 1804.76)
1804.84 Previous Week’s High
1804.84 Friday HOD
1804.76 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
1802
1799 (11/18/13 Market Top: 1798.82)
1798 (11/15/13 Market Closing Top: 1798.18)
1797
1796
1794.70 Friday LOD
1791
1788
1782
1777.23 Previous Week’s Low
1775.32 (20-day MA)
1775 (10/30/13 Market Top: 1775.22)
1772 (10/29/13 Market Closing Top: 1771.95)
1770
1768
1763
1762.78 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
1762
1759
1756.54 November Begins Here
1756
1752
1747
1745
1737
1736
1734.75 (50-day MA)
1733
1730 (9/19/13 Market Top: 1729.86)
1726 (9/18/13 Market Closing Top: 1725.52)
1722
1720
1710 (8/2/13 Market Top: 1709.67)
1708
1706
1703.65 (100-day MA)
1703
1701.12 (20-week MA)
1700
1698
1697
1696
1693
1692
1691
1689
1688
1687 (5/22/13 Intraday High Top: 1687.18)
1686
1685
1683
1682
1680
1677.33 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
1675
1672
1669 (5/21/13 Closing Top: 1669.16)
1666
1664
1661
1659
1657
1652
1650
1649
1648.00 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
1647
1646
1644.54 (200-day MA; not seen for 1 year)
1640
1639
1636
1634
1629
1627
1626
1624
1623
1618
1617.03 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
1614
1611
1609
1607.62 (50-week MA)
1607
1606
1605
1600
1598
1597
1593 (4/12/13 Market Top: 1593.30)
1589
1586
1583
1579
1578
1576 (10/11/07 Intraday High: 1576.09)
1569
1565 (10/9/07 Market Top: 1565.15)
1564
1563
1561
1560 (6/24/13 Intraday Low)
1556
1553 (10/31/07 Top: 1552.76) (3/24/00 Top: 1552.87)
1552
1551
1548

1546 

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