Saturday, January 26, 2019

The Keystone Speculator's Picks and Pans

The Keystone Speculator's 2019 Predictions are on a separate page with a link in the right margin. It's great bedtime reading--because its guaranteed to put you asleep! There is a lot of soothsaying verbage in that write-up so the market calls are pulled out into a Reader's Digest version of potential trading opportunities in 2019.

Potential plays on the long side this year are FCX, GDX, GDXJ, MUX, PLAT, SLCA, DBA, CHK, ALB after March, GE, IBM, BECN, NTNX, TTWO, KMB, VNM, EEM, EIDO, EWW, EWZ, AVAV, GPRO, AMBA.

Gene editing companies such as CRSP, EDIT, NTLA and SGMO may provide long opportunities if they can pull back. Perhaps in a major market selloff snag one of these on the long side during the mayhem.


Sensor companies such as SNE, APH, CTS, DYSL, ELSE, LFUS, ST, TEL, TDY, VPG and INTC may provide opportunities on pull backs.


Entertainment and media companies such as MGM, AMC, FUN, CNK, ISCA, FOXA, DIS, CMCSA, MSGN and SEAS may benefit as the Middle East Westernizes.


Marijuana plays such as SMG, TLRY, CRON, MJ, IIPR, GWPH, GWPRF, CARA, CBIS, INSY, ZYNE, APHA and ACB may provide long opportunities although many have already rallied strongly.


Bitcoin has been ridden hard over the last year and put away wet. The cybercurrency arena is ugly. Many proponents have thrown in the towel--that is when your interest should perk-up. GBTC, RIOT, LFIN, BLOK, KODK and OSTK are all speculative plays on digital currencies and blockchain but will likely provide long opportunities during the year ahead.


Graphene penny stocks such as MGPHF, NSRCF, SYAAF, CBT, NGPHF, GRPEF, REPYY, GPHBF, GPHOF, LMRMF, NMKEF and TLGRF are dangerous speculative tickers but perhaps the technology will reap rewards as the years play out.


Potential plays on the short side this year are PG, MRK, KO, XLRE, SBUX, ULTA, MCD, DNKN, WEN, YUM, QSR, TSLA, VRTX, AMT, CCI, TRIP, CTRP, EXPE, MAR, H, XAL, DAL, UAL, AAL, LUV, DG after March, VMW after March and PALL after March.

Keystone is in MUX, FCX, GDX, MGPHF, NSRCF, and opened a short position in YUM. Also holding/adding index short ETF's such as SDS and DXD for short-term trades (a few days or week or so). Trades have already occurred this year in AAPL, GG, FCX, GDX and KODK. Keystone is prone to cycle in and out of positions quickly and day trade so these holdings can be much different a day or week from now. Keystone is holding the graphene plays MGPHF and NSRCF allowing them to sit on the back burner indefinitely.

Keystone will likely open a short position in VRTX and add more shorts on any move higher from here. AAPL earnings are on tap this week and they will likely beat the much-lowered expectations. The Apple weekly chart is setting up for a multi-week rally but the monthly chart remains weak and bleak. Keystone will likely buy AAPL on the long side and hold it into mid-February.

The above list provides some long and short opportunities for this year. Of course, perform your own due diligence, study the fundies, study the technicals and talk to your financial advisor before placing any trade. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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