Monday, April 18, 2016

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 4/18/16

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for the trading week of 4/18/16. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R.

For 2016, the intraday high for the year is 2087.84 on 4/14/16 and the closing high for the year is 2082.78 on 4/14/16. The SPX begins the week at 2081 up +1.8% on the year and about 20 handles higher on the month thus far.

For 2016, the intraday low for the year is 1810.10 on 8/11/16 and the closing low thus far for the year is 1829.08. The intraday low in 2015 was 1867.01 on 8/24/15 and intrayear closing low for 2015 was 1867.61 on 8/25/15.

For Monday, 4/18/16, with the SPX starting at 2081, the bulls need to push above 2083 to accelerate the upside. The bears need to push under 2076 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2077-2082 is sideways action to begin the week but since it is such a tight range, a winner will likely be chose. S&P futures are -8 so the bears want to test that 2076 level at the opening bell. The 2071 and 2067 are very strong support levels.

The SPX has exploded higher over the last month due to the central banker intervention especially the ECB and Federal Reserve. Price is playing around at the highs from November and December of 2014. The highs for the year thus far printed last Thursday and note that on Friday price bumped its head against the closing high for the year and could not venture higher. The 2081-2084 level is a strong resistance gauntlet. If price pops up through it will run to the strong 2089 R.

Price is very extended above the moving averages and desperately needs to back kiss levels. Golden crosses are occurring in sectors such as XLB and XLI but as Keystone often laments, a golden cross typically leads to a near-term pull back just as a death cross typically leads to a temporary rally. The CPC put/call printed an uber low 0.60-ish last Wednesday hinting that a near-term top is at hand.

The SPX was testing the important 12-month MA at 2031 three weeks ago and the bulls won. That price move results in the sideways to sideways higher move afterwards. Bears got nothing until the 20-day MA at 2056, and rising, is tested and fails. That 2056-2061 support area is key so if that fails the bears will be in business. Above this range and bulls are not too worried.

Looking at the near-term picture the strongest S/R is 2093-2094, 2089, 2079-2084, 2071, 2067, 2061, 2057, 2046, 2038-2040, 2032, 2017-2023, 2011, 2002, 1997, 1993 and 1985-1988.

Note: If the list below displays any blank spaces, view it in a different browser.

2135 (5/20/15 All-Time Intraday High: 2134.72)
2133 (7/20/15 Intraday High 2132.82)
2131 (5/21/15 All-Time Closing High: 2130.82)
2130 (6/22/15 Intraday High 2129.87)
2129
2128 (7/20/15 Closing High: 2128.28)
2126 (4/27/15 Intraday High: 2125.92)
2124 (6/23/15 Closing High: 2124.20)
2123
2121 (4/24/15 Intraday High: 2120.92)
2120 (2/25/15 Intraday High: 2119.59)
2118 (4/24/15 Closing High: 2117.69)
2117 (3/2/15 Closing High: 2117.39)
2114
2110
2109
2104
2103
2102
2100
2099
2097
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2093
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089
2088 (4/14/16 Intraday High for 2016: 2087.84)
2087.84 Previous Week’s High
2086
2084
2083.22 Friday HOD
2083 (4/14/16 Closing High for 2016: 2082.78)
2081
2080.73 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
2080
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2077
2076.31 Friday LOD
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2074
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2064
2063
2061
2059.74 April Begins Here
2057
2056.46 (20-day MA)
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2053
2052
2050
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2044 (12/31/15 Closing High: 2043.94)
2044
2043.94 Trading for 2016 Begins Here
2042
2040
2039.74 Previous Week’s Low
2038
2037.64 (20-month MA)
2037.29 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2034
2032
2031.93 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2030
2029.47 (50-week MA)
2023
2022.97 (100-week MA)
2022
2021.27 (10-month MA)
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2017
2014.02 (200-day MA)
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
2001.97 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
1998
1997
1995
1994.29 (100-day MA)
1993 (1/15/15 Closing Low: 1992.67)
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1990.13 (50-day MA)
1989.18 (20-week MA)
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1987
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1983
1982
1981 (2/2/15 Intraday Low: 1980.90)
1980
1979
1978
1977
1973
1970
1969
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1961
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1949
1948
1943
1942
1937
1936.97 (150-week MA)
1936
1931
1928
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1914
1912
1910
1906
1902 (5/13/14 Intraday Top: 1902.17)
1901
1897 (5/13/14 Closing High: 1897.45) (4/4/14 Intraday Top: 1897.28)
1891 (4/2/14 Closing High: 1890.90)
1889
1886
1885
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1882
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1874
1873
1872
1870
1868 (8/25/15 Closing Low: 1867.61)
1867 (8/24/15 Intraday Low: 1867.01)
1865
1862
1859 (1/20/16 Closing Low: 1859.33)
1855
1851 (1/15/14 Intraday Top: 1850.84)
1849 (12/31/13 Intraday High Top for 2013: 1849.44)
1848 (1/15/14 Closing High: 1848.38) (12/31/13 Closing High for 2013: 1848.36)
1846
1845
1843
1841
1840
1839
1835
1831
1829 (2/11/16 Closing Low for 2016: 1829.08)
1828
1827
1824
1820.72 (200-week MA)
1820
1816
1814 (11/29/13 Intraday Top: 1813.55)
1812 (12/9/13 Intraday Top: 1811.52) (1/20/16 Intraday Low: 1812.29)
1810 (2/11/16 Intraday Low for 2016: 1810.10)
1809 (12/9/13 Closing Top: 1808.37)
1808
1807 (11/27/13 Closing Top: 1807.23)
1806
1803
1801
1800
1799 (11/18/13 Intraday Top: 1798.82)
1798 (11/15/13 Closing Top: 1798.18)
1796
1793
1791
1788
1785
1783
1782
1781
1795.13 (50-month MA)

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