Friday, January 1, 2016

Template for 2016 Predictions

Here is a template for anyone interested in recording your own predictions for 2016. The task is useful for developing a more intermediate and longer term perspective on markets. Most importantly, making predictions provides comic relief come December 2016.

Keystone is assessing the 2015 Predictions and will post the 2016 Predictions in the days ahead. Closing Prices below are referenced to the end of the year 12/31/16. The Price Range is the high and low during 2016. Add or delete any of the entries below to tailor the predictions to your own individual outlook.

2016 Predictions:

SPX High for 2016:
SPX Closing Price for 2016:
SPX Low for 2016:
Dollar Range ($USD):  
Dollar Closing Price ($USD):
Dollar/Yen Range (USD/JPY):
Dollar/Yen Closing Price (USD/JPY):
Euro Range ($XEU):
Euro Closing Price ($XEU):      
2-Year Note Yield Range ($UST2Y):
2-Year Note Closing Yield ($UST2Y):  
10-Year Note Yield Range ($TNX):
10-Year Note Closing Yield ($TNX):  
2-10 Spread at End of Year (Starts at 121):
30-Year Note Yield Range ($TYX):
30-Year Note Closing Yield ($TYX):  
Will Yield Curve Flatten or Steepen?
Unemployment Rate % Range: 
Unemployment Rate % December 2016:
Will Any Monthly Jobs Report Be Under 200K Jobs?
Will Wage Inflation Appear in 2016?
GDP Average for 2016: 
WTIC Oil Range ($WTIC):
WTIC Oil Closing Price ($WTIC):
Brent Oil Range:
Brent Oil Closing Price:
Natty Gas Range ($NATGAS):
Natty Gas Closing Price ($NATGAS):
Gold Range ($GOLD): 
Gold Closing Price ($GOLD): 
Copper Range ($COPPER):
Copper Closing Price ($COPPER): 
Commodities Range ($CRB): 
Commodities Closing Price ($CRB):  
China Growth Rate % Average for 2016:
Technology Sector (XLK) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Financials Sector (XLF) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Health Care Sector (XLV) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Consumer Discretionary Sector (XLY) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Energy Sector (XLE) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Industrials Sector (XLI) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Materials Sector (XLB) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Utilities Sector (UTIL or XLU) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Telecom Sector (IYZ) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Retail Sector (RTH or XRT) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Transportation Sector (IYT or TRAN) Higher or Lower in 2016?
Homebuilders (XHB) Higher or Lower in 2016?

List Further Prognostications for 2016 Below:


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