Sunday, October 6, 2013

Keystone's Key Events and Market Movers for Trading the Week of 10/7/13; Shutdown Continues; Debt Ceiling Limit 10 Days Away

Key Dates and Times for the Trading Week Ahead:

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Monday, 10/7/13:  Consumer Credit 3 PM. The U.S. government shutdown continues and the debt ceiling limit is now only 10 days away. Earnings: CIM, HTLD, LUNA, OCZ.
Tuesday, 10/8/13: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 7:30 AM. International Trade 8:30 AM. JOLTS Job Openings Report 10 AM. Fed’s Plosser speaks 12:30 PM. 3-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, and commit to a direction, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days, thus, now through Friday. Earnings: AA kicks off Q3 earnings season, PLUG, YUM a China bellwether.
Wednesday, 10/9/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Wholesale Trade 10 AM—market pivot point. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. 10-Year Note Auction 1 PM. FOMC Minutes 2 PM—market pivot point. Earnings: COST, FDO, FAST, RT, VOXX, ZEP.
Thursday, 10/10/13: Import and Export Prices and Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. 30-Year Bond Auction 1 PM. Treasury Budget 2 PM. Earnings: IGTE, MU, SWY.
Friday, 10/11/13: PPI and Retail Sales 8:30 AM. Consumer Sentiment 9:55 AM.  Business Inventories 10 AM—market pivot point at 10 AM-ish. Earnings: JOEZ, JPM, WFC.

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Monday, 10/14/13: Columbus Day. Markets are Open. Banks are Closed. Canada’s Thanksgiving.  OpEx Monday’s are typically bullish. Earnings: BSX, BRO, ETFC, ENZ, FCS, FTNT, GHL, IDXX, JBHT, ORB, PKG, SCHN, XLNX, ZNGA.
Tuesday, 10/15/13: Eid al-Adha (Feast of the Sacrifice, a Muslim Holiday). Empire State Mfg Survey 8:30 AM. Markets are typically bullish from a Tuesday low to a Wednesday high during OpEx week. Earnings: C, CSX, DPZ, INTC, JNJ, KO, MTB, PNX, SCHW, YHOO.
Wednesday, 10/16/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. CPI 8:30 AM. TIC data 9 AM. Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations and Housing Market Index 10 AM. Beige Book 2 PM—market pivot point. Earnings: ABT, ALB, AXP, BAC, BK, BLK, CLB, EBAY, IBM, KEY, KMR, MAT, NE, PEP, SNDK, STJ, SWK, STLD, USB, UNB, URI, WGO.
Thursday, 10/17/13: Fed’s Fisher speaks 7:45 AM. Jobless Claims and Housing Starts 8:30 AM. Industrial Production 9:15 AM. Philly Fed Survey 10 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Oil Inventories 11 AM. Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks 2:45 PM. The nation reaches its Debt Ceiling Limit. Will the debt ceiling be raised to avoid a downgrade of U.S. debt? Markets are typically bullish moving through the full moon. Earnings: AMD, ALGN, BMI, BAX, BBT, BTU, BX, COF, CY, DHR, FITB, GS, GOOG, HBAN, ISRG, NUE, PM, PPG, SYK, SVU, UNP, UNH, VZ, WERN.
Friday, 10/18/13: OpEx. Leading Indicators 10 AM—market stutter step. In Q4, European bank stress tests will occur, Germany’s high court must decide if the ECB’s OMT program is constitutional, and Europe must finalize all plans for the new banking union. Full moon. Earnings: AAPL, BHI, FHN, GE, GPC, HON, ILMN, IR, IPG, KSU, LH, MS, PH, SLB, STI, TXT.

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Monday, 10/21/13: Chicago Fed National Activity Index 8:30 AM. Existing Home Sales 10 AM. Earnings:
Tuesday, 10/22/13: Richmond Fed Mfg Index 10 AM. Earnings:
Wednesday, 10/23/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. FHFA Home Price Index 9 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. Earnings:
Thursday, 10/24/13: China and Asia Flash PMI’sEuropean Flash PMI’s. Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. New Home Sales 10 AM—market pivot point. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Kansas City Mfg Index 11 AM. 30-Year TIPS Auction 1 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 10/25/13: Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM. Consumer Sentiment 9:55 AM—market pivot point. Earnings:

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Monday, 10/28/13: Pending Home Sales Index 10 AM. Dallas Fed Mfg Survey 10:30 AM. Bradley turn window opens for a strong market move to occur, up or down (Bradley model does not predict direction only the time of an event), between now and 11/10/13. Earnings:
Tuesday, 10/29/13: FOMC 2-day meeting begins. S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index 9 AM. Consumer Confidence 10 AM—market pivot point. 5-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Earnings:
Wednesday, 10/30/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. ADP Employment Report 8:15 AM. GDP 8:30 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. 7-Year Note Auction 1 PM. FOMC Meeting Announcement 2 PM—market pivot point. Does QE tapering begin? Earnings:
Thursday, 10/31/13: Happy Halloween. EOM. Challenger Job Report 7:30 AM. Employment Cost Index, Personal Income and Outlays and Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. Chicago PMI 9:45 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Farm Prices 3 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/1/13: All Saints Day. China and Asia PMI’sEuropean PMI’s. Motor Vehicle Sales. Monthly Jobs Report 8:30 AM. Construction Spending and ISM Mfg Index 10 AM—market pivot point. Earnings:

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Sunday, 11/3/13: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Monday, 11/4/13: Factory Orders 10 AM. Earnings:
Tuesday, 11/5/13: International Trade 8:30 AM. ISM Non-Mfg Index 10 AM. Earnings:
Wednesday, 11/6/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Productivity and Costs 8:30 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. Earnings:
Thursday, 11/7/13: Chain Store Sales. Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Consumer Credit 3 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/8/13: Consumer Sentiment 9:55 AM—market pivot point. JOLTS Job Openings and Wholesale Trade 10 AM. Earnings:

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Monday, 11/11/13: Veteran’s Day.  Markets are Open. Banks are Closed.  Earnings:
Tuesday, 11/12/13: 3-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Keystone’s Eclipse Indicator targets 11/12/13 through 12/10/13 as having potential for a major market sell off. Earnings:
Wednesday, 11/13/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Import and Export Prices 8:30 AM. Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations 10 AM. 10-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Treasury Budget 2 PM. Chairman Bernanke speaks 7 PM.  Earnings:
Thursday, 11/14/13: Jobless Claims, PPI and Retail Sales 8:30 AM. Business Inventories 10 AM—market pivot point. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Oil Inventories 11 AM. 30-Year Bond Auction 1 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/15/13: Empire State Mfg Survey and CPI 8:30 AM. Industrial Production 9:15 AM. Earnings:

------------------------  2014  ---------------------------

Tuesday, 1/1/14: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Wednesday, 1/9/14: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Friday, 1/31/14: Chairman Bernanke’s term ends at the Fed. Yellen and Kohn are candidates for the position, and perhaps Bernanke and Geithner as well. Summers had to bow out so Yellen appears to be the choice, however, the possibility of Bernanke extending his term, or Geithner riding in on a white horse to take the job, are on the table.
Friday, 2/7/14Winter Olympics begin in Sochi, Russia, through 2/23/14. Watch $RTSI and RSX.
February/March: The new Fed Chairman testifies before Congress.
March: ESM is officially ‘fully operational’. The Euro banking union is in place after delays from January 2013 to January 2014 and now to March 2014.
April: MSFT no longer supports Windows XP.


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