Monday, April 7, 2014

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 4/7/14

SPX support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 4/7/14. The SPX sits between the April starting number at 1872.34 and the 1848.36 that began the year. Friday was wild with an over 30-handle intraday reversal printing for the SPX. A new all-time high at 1897.28 was printed resulting in price collapse. The all-time closing high is 1890.90 from 4/2/14. Note how the SPX fell below the 20-day MA at 1865.79 so keep an eye on this critical moving average to note bull versus bear market direction.

For Monday, the bulls need to regain the 1897 level to regain their mojo, a formidable task, so instead bulls will focus on stopping the downside bleeding by pushing price above the strong 1868 resistance. The bears need to push under the strong 1863 support to accelerate the downside. The 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart is 1862.31 so write this number down and pay attention. Bulls win moving forward if they stay above 1862. Bears win under 1862. The 1859 is very strong support and is likely the last stop before 1848-1851. The 1848 is uber strong support and where the year began so obviously a failure there leads to sustainable downside ahead. Futures are weak overnight and the S&P's are -5 about one-half hour before the open recovering off the -9 lows a short time ago. Price likely wants to drop for an immediate showdown at 1859 support where a bounce or die decision will occur to begin the week.

1897 (4/4/14 All-Time Intraday High: 1897.28) (4/4/14 Intraday High for 2014: 1897.28)
1894
1891 (4/2/14 All-Time Closing High: 1890.90) (4/2/14 Closing High for 2014: 1890.90)
1890
1889
1886
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1897.28 Previous Week’s High
1897.28 Friday HOD
1883
1882
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1876
1875
1874
1872.34 April Begins Here
1872
1871
1868
1867
1865.79 (20-day MA)
1865.09 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
1863.26 Friday LOD
1863
1862.31 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
1859.16 Previous Week’s Low
1859
1855
1853
1851 (1/15/14 Intraday Top: 1850.84)
1849 (12/31/13 Intraday High Top for 2013: 1849.44)
1848.36 Trading for 2014 Begins Here
1848 (1/15/14 Closing High: 1848.38) (12/31/13 Closing High for 2013: 1848.36)
1846
1845
1844
1843
1842
1841
1840
1839
1838.07 (50-day MA)
1838
1837
1835
1832
1830
1829
1828.79 (20-week MA)
1828
1827
1825.11 (100-day MA)
1824
1820
1819
1815
1814 (11/29/13 Intraday Top: 1813.55)
1812 (12/9/13 Intraday Top: 1811.52)
1811
1810
1809 (12/9/13 Closing Top: 1808.37)
1808
1807 (11/27/13 Closing Top: 1807.23)
1806
1803
1801
1800
1799 (11/18/13 Intraday Top: 1798.82)
1798 (11/15/13 Closing Top: 1798.18)
1796
1793
1791
1788
1786.86 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
1785
1783
1782
1781
1779.04 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
1777
1775 (10/30/13 Intraday Top: 1775.22)
1772 (10/29/13 Closing Top: 1771.95)
1770
1768
1763
1762
1759
1756
1755.07 (200-day MA; not tested for 1 year extremely odd behavior)
1752.29 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
1752
1748
1747
1745
1740
1737
1736.90 (50-week MA)
1733 (10/17/13 and 1018/13 Gap-Up: 1733.15-1736.72)
1730 (9/19/13 Intraday Top: 1729.86)
1726 (9/18/13 Closing Top: 1725.52)
1722
1720
1711
1710 (8/2/13 Intraday Top: 1709.67)
1708
1706
1703
1700
1698
1697
1696
1693
1692
1691
1689

1688

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