SPX S&P 500 Monthly Chart Over Last 50 Years Showing the 18-Year Stock Market Cycle

The 18-year stock market cycle was the most reliable stock cycle as the new century began but the cycle is distorted over the last couple decades due to the Federal Reserve's money-printing (monetary stimulus).

The 1964 to 1982 bear market enveloped the stagflation 1970's when prices were high and it was hard to find a job. Many jobs would pay workers 'under the table' to avoid giving taxes to the government. The separation between rich and poor was extremely wide in the 1970's, like now, and the standard mantra that common folks would utter with frequency was, "F%$* the rich."

The stagflation 70's is laid at President Jimmy Carter's feet and the main reason he is called a lousy president. Like him or dislike him, he was the last president that actually cared about common Americans and the educational grants at that time educated a lot of poor citizens that otherwise would have had lousy lives. Be careful about what bull sh*t you listen to, and then espouse. The Stones were dishing out some Brown Sugar. Dance, baby, just like a black (lyric changed to 'young' since the 'black' lyric created controversy) girl should.

So the 18-year bear cycle runs its course and President Ronnie Ray-gun enters the Oval Office in 1981 immediately seeking to bust the unions and try to goose the economy. He succeeds in diminishing the unions and sending middle-class jobs overseas to take advantage of the slave labor. The lower expenses sends US company stocks to the stratosphere rewarding the wealthy class but destroying the middle-class at the same time.

The privileged elite, and upper class sycophants that service the elite (accountants, lawyers, financiers, etc...), enjoy vast riches because they own the stock market that is pumped higher on the lower labor costs. These wealthy pricks (the 30 million Americans that screw the other 300 million in the US crony capitalism system) know that one-half of Americans do not own a single share of stock. They do not care. Human greed knows no bounds. In the 80's, Bon Jovi was Livin' On a Prayer. In the 90's, Grunge rules and Nirvana says it Smells Like Teen Spirit.

The 2000 dot-com bubble top forms at the end of the 18-year bull cycle and pops. A malaise follows as expected with the bear market period to begin the new century but the stock market falls off a cliff in 2007 and 2008 due to the garbage packaged loans and other banking and credit risk problems. The wealthy class will not permit the stock market to fall, however, because that is their money and they control the filthy crony capitalism system.

Thus, the Fed, marching in step with Wall Street, steps in to save the day and begins printing money like crazy as the SPX prints the infamous 666 bottom. Stocks should have continued lower, or bounced sideways for a few more years, technically they were supposed to regardless of the 18-year cycle, but the Fed saves the day to protect the wealthy class in America. Sickening, isn't it? And many of you idiots think free markets exist. In the 2000's, we rode down the Boulevard of Broken Dreams with Green Day.

Thus, the Great Recession of 2008-2009 is snuffed-out and never allowed to run its course (as an actual capitalism system demands; banks were bailed out the exact opposite of capitalism). President Georgie W Bushtard, as he handed over the keys to the Whitehouse to Emperor Obama, approved an eye-popping $800 million bailout package mainly for banks in late 2008 early 2009, infamously said that he 'has to destroy capitalism to save it'. You knew then that capitalism does not exist.

The Fed greases the skids to protect their wealthy masters and Chairman Bernanke 'drops money from helicopters' to goose the stock market. Fed members are happily dovish printing money and performing the bidding of the Wall Street investment banks because they know these same large money-center banks will invite them to lucrative speaking engagements once they leave their public position providing the quid pro quo. It is called crony capitalism filth. From 2009 to present is 17 years so the 18-year bull cycle ends this year or next if it follows the 18-year time period.

In the 2010's, folks groove to the retro beat of the Black Keys and Lonely Boy. In the 2020's, Pretty Reckless sings about the Death by Rock and Roll.

The bear market in the early 2000's was truncated and left-translated due to the obscene money-printing starting in 2009. The question to ponder is if the obscene money-printing all these years, along with fiscal largess during covid, adds to the 18-year cycle, or shortens it due to flaming out from all the joy, or have no effect on the 18-year run and it will end as expected sometime over the next year? The Fed's money printing and other stimulus obviously greatly impacted stock prices sending them to the moon but perhaps its impact on time is not as significant.

The Fed easing program clearly started the bull market from 2009 and abruptly ended the bear market at 666. The Federal Reserve and US government does not have the money anymore to print like madmen to avert a financial crisis so another credit event would be a different bowl of trouble for the country. It would be time to gird your loins. King Trumpski plans to take the overall US debt through $40 trillion while in office the next 3 years. Things are not the same now compared to 2009. Thus, you would figure, that if trouble begins to show, such as in the private credit markets, the bull market cycle will likely end suddenly and abruptly, like bankruptcy, a la Hemingway.

We are at the mountaintop, friends. Plan accordingly. Are you a relentless bull climbing that rickety fire tower at the top of the mountain looking for more heights, as the ground begins to tremble from an earthquake? Others are standing along the cliff edge enjoying the view but beginning to panic as they feel the earth move underneath.

The United States is an unfixable have's versus have-not's society. It is crony capitalism filth. Rich versus poor and disadvantaged people are starting to cling to goofy organizations such as antifa due to their economic circumstances (they will take help from anyone). It is the classic Marxism comparison of the bourgeoisie (the so-called capitalists in charge that own most of the wealth) versus the proletariat (regular working class folks; the lower class).

Capitalism does not exist in practice; it only exists in theoretical business textbooks. It does not occur in real life due to human greed (corruption) and non-transparency (hiding dirty deeds and scandalous information from the public). The US is drowning in crony capitalism filth that cannot be reversed since the demopublicans and republocrats that created the tragic mess remain in charge and are too corrupt to fix it.

The new Trumpski plan about putting money in the stock market for young folks is a joke. Pause for laughter. People sure are dumb. The demographics in the US is what carried the stock market to where it is at these last many decades, dummies. Look around. Young people do not get married anymore and most do not want kids. Those that do, have one child. The reason the wealthy class is playing this new game with the stock market accounts is that they need a mechanism for extracting their money out of the stock market (because they are older and will be paying more medical bills and also helping support their children and grandchildren) without causing disruption.

If there is disruption, stocks could crash lower and they receive less of a cash-out. So the plan is to line up all these young American suckers telling them to get their little stock market account, and these sucka's will take the shares off  the hands of the wealthy older class that will be exiting stage right when stock prices are elevated. It is an ingenious plan, isn't it? The wealthy control the game, jackasses. Get with the program. Your opinions and thoughts mean nothing. You are the lamb. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.