Coronavirus Chronology Aftermath Now Available from Amazon

The Coronavirus Chronology Aftermath is the fourth book in the Coronavirus Chronology series published via Amazon. The Coronavirus Chronology Aftermath is the historical record of the COVID-19 endemic phase, that started in February 2023, through July 2025. Of course, the covid endemic phase continues where the virus now behaves like the regular flu. There are three times more flu cases than COVID-19 over the last two winters so the US returns to pre-pandemic respiratory virus patterns.

The Coronavirus Chronology three-volume set with 1,000 charts is the COVID-19 pandemic bible. It is the daily real-time historical record of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic. It is not revisionist story-telling. It is the raw truth about the pandemic recorded and chronicled in real-time as it unfolded.

The United States battled eight infection waves, and the world fought 10 waves, during the COVID-19 pandemic from late 2019 to February 2023. The Coronavirus Chronology with 1,000 charts is the only daily real-time historical record of the entire 3-1/2 year COVID-19 tragedy.

Relive each day of the COVID-19 pandemic in real-time. You will be astounded at the things you forgot about the pandemic, and you will remember the ugly things that you wanted to forget. The Coronavirus Chronology is the raw unbiased pandemic truth that was recorded in real-time without any allegiance to the corrupt political parties.

For anyone seriously impacted mentally or physically by the COVID-19 pandemic, and looking for closure, or learning to live with the ugly memories of misery and death, reading the events in real-time again may help you heal. You have to get all those thoughts up and out of your body if you want to heal and live the life you deserve.

The table of contents for the four books in the Coronavirus Chronology series are shown below. Reading the titles below should bring back memories for everyone. Americans and global citizens must understand that the COVID-19 pandemic changed our lives and that for many, it continues to have an impact years later.

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 1 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2019 SEPTEMBER; Nefarious Activity at Wuhan Institute of Virology in China

2019 OCTOBER; Gates Foundation “Event 201” Simulates a Global Coronavirus Outbreak

2019 NOVEMBER; First Novel Coronavirus Illness in China

2019 DECEMBER; Chinese Doctors Muzzled by CCP

2020 JANUARY; Coronavirus Identified in United States

2020 FEBRUARY; WHO Names Coronavirus ‘COVID-19’; Fear of a Pandemic Escalates Worldwide

2020 MARCH; US and Worldwide Wave 1; WHO Declares COVID-19 a Pandemic; Covid Infections Increasing Exponentially; 200K Cases in America 4.3K Dead

2020 APRIL; 250K Dead Worldwide; 50K Americans Dead

2020 MAY; Over 1.8 Million US Cases 100K Dead; US Unemployment Rate 14.7%; ‘#China Lied People Died’

2020 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 2; 10 Million Cases Worldwide 500K Dead; 3 Million Cases in America 130K Dead; New York Governor Cuomo Nursing Home Scandal

2020 JULY; Pandemic Turns Political; 800K Dead Worldwide; 150K Americans Dead

2020 AUGUST; One American Dies Every Minute; Rules Touted for Masks and Social Distancing; Telemedicine Flourishes; 970K Dead Worldwide; 195K Americans Dead

2020 SEPTEMBER; US and Worldwide Wave 3; Trump Admits to Lying About Pandemic to Avoid Creating Panic; 1 Million Dead Worldwide; 220K Dead Americans

2020 OCTOBER; Trump Hospitalized and Recovers; Trump Says ‘Learn to Live with It’; Biden Says ‘We’re Learning to Die with It’; US Exceeds 100K Cases Per Day; 1.3 Million Dead Worldwide; 240K Americans Dead

2020 NOVEMBER; One American Dies Every 30 Seconds; Trump Loses Election to Biden but Will Not Concede; US Exceeds 200K Cases Per Day; 60 Million Cases Worldwide

2020 DECEMBER; Pfizer COVID-19 mRNA Vaccinations Begin; Over 80 Million Cases Worldwide 1.9 Million Dead; Over 20 Million US Cases 380K Dead

2021 JANUARY; COVID-19 Culling the Elderly; 100 Million Cases Worldwide 2 Million Dead; 480K Americans Dead

2021 FEBRUARY; Worldwide Wave 4; 2.5 Million Dead Worldwide; 520K Americans Dead

2021 MARCH; US Wave 4; Vaccine Inequality; Blood Clots; COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Messaging Changes to ‘Preventing Hospitalization and Death’

2021 APRIL; 100 Million Americans Vaccinated; Breakthrough Cases; Pfizer Says Third Shot Needed; 3 Million Dead Worldwide; India Outbreak (Delta)

2021 MAY; Myocarditis Cases Increase; Monoclonal Antibodies (mAb) Successful Treatment; Fauci Questioned About Funding Gain of Function Research at Wuhan Labs; 3.7 Million Dead Worldwide; 600K Americans Dead

2021 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 5 (Delta); WHO Names Variants with Greek Letters; Fauci is ‘Mr Science’

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 2 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2021 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 5 (Delta); WHO Names Variants with Greek Letters; Fauci is ‘Mr Science’

2021 JULY; “Pandemic of the Unvaccinated”; Vaccine Mandates; Censorship; 80% of COVID-19 Deaths Are Overweight and Obese; 4 Million Dead Worldwide

2021 AUGUST; Vaccinated People Spreading Virus; FDA Officials Resign Protesting Rushed Booster Shots; 4.6 Million Dead Worldwide; 670K Americans Dead

2021 SEPTEMBER; Biden 6-Point Plan; Biden Blames Pandemic and Flailing Economy on Unvaccinated; 700K Americans Dead More Than 1918 Spanish Flu

2021 OCTOBER; US and Worldwide Wave 6 (Omicron); Waning Vaccine Effectiveness; Vaccinated Versus Unvaccinated; Testosterone May Play Role in Myocarditis; ‘Disease X’; 250 Million Cases Worldwide 5 Million Dead

2021 NOVEMBER; Biden Is Incompetent at Handling Pandemic Like Trump; Biden Approval Rating Plummets; 50 Million US Cases 820K Dead

2021 DECEMBER; Pfizer’s Paxlovid Pill Approved; 80% of COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; Breakthrough Cases Escalate; US Life Expectancy Drops from 79 to77; UK “Partygate”; 5.5 Million Dead Worldwide

2022 JANUARY; One American Dies Every Minute; Omicron Cases Peak in US; “Flurona”; “Twindemic”; Trucker’s “Freedom Convoy”; 77 Million US Cases 930K Dead

2022 FEBRUARY; US Wave 6 “Inverted V” or “Ice Pick” Chart Pattern Ending; Russia Invades Ukraine

2022 MARCH; US Wave 7a and Worldwide Wave 7; “Deltacron”; US Vaccination Rate Plummets; China Virus Kills 6 Million Worldwide and 1 Million Americans

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 3 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2022 MARCH; US Wave 7a and Worldwide Wave 7; “Deltacron”; US Vaccination Rate Plummets; China Virus Kills 6 Million Worldwide and 1 Million Americans

2022 APRIL; Omicron Subvariants; Gridiron Dinner Superspreader Event; Denmark Ends COVID-19 Vaccination Program; 500 Million Cases Worldwide 6.3 Million Dead; 80 Million US Cases 1 Million Dead

2022 MAY; Worldwide Wave 8; Breakthrough Cases Galore; One-Half of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; China in Lockdown Killing Pets as Zero-Covid Strategy Fails; North Korea Outbreak; “Pandemic Treaty”

2022 JUNE; US Wave 7b and Worldwide Wave 9; Global Cases Drop Below 500K Per Day; US Covid Deaths Drop Below 200 Per Day

2022 JULY; Pharmacists Prescribe Paxlovid; Biden Sick with COVID-19 Again and Experiences Paxlovid Rebound; Global Cases Pop Above 1 Million Per Day with 2K Deaths Per Day

2022 AUGUST; Natural Immunity Better than 2 Vaccine Doses; Censorship of COVID-19 Information; Fauci Resigns; 600 Million Cases Worldwide 6.5 Million Dead

2022 SEPTEMBER; 85% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Seniors Over 65 Years Old; Biden Stupidly Proclaims the ‘Pandemic is Over’; Global Cases Drop Below 400K Per Day with 1.3K Deaths Per Day

2022 OCTOBER; US Wave 8; Biden’s COVID-19 Deaths at 662K Are 1-1/2 Times Trump’s 441K Deaths; Fauci’s Net Worth Increases by $5 Million to $13 Million Total During Pandemic; “Tripledemic”

2022 NOVEMBER; Worldwide Wave 10; 60% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; “Pandemic of the Vaccinated”; Fauci Questioned Under Oath About Origins of COVID-19 but “Cannot Recall”; 100 Million US Cases 1.1 Million Dead

2022 DECEMBER; 90% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Seniors Over 65 Years Old and 15% Are Nursing Home Residents; “Pandemic of the Elderly”; “Scrabble Variants”; “Died Suddenly” Documentary; US Vaccination Rate Drops

2023 JANUARY; Fauci Finally Retires; Pfizer Executive Taped Saying Covid Vaccines Are “Cash Cows”; Global Cases Drop Below 150K Per Day; COVID-19 Transitioning from Pandemic to Endemic Phase

2023 FEBRUARY; COVID-19 Pandemic Ends and Endemic Phase Begins; Coronavirus Chronology Attacked by Censorship Again; Global Cases Drop Below 100K Per Day; 680 Million Cases Worldwide 6.8 Million Dead; 105 Million US Cases 1.16 Million Dead; One in Every 300 Americans Died from Covid During Pandemic

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

2023 FEBRUARY; FBI and DOE Say COVID-19 Virus Likely Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2023 MARCH; US Government and Social Media Platforms Exposed for Censorship During Pandemic

2023 APRIL; Fingerpointing Continues

2023 MAY; WHO Declares End to the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency; US Ends COVID-19 Public Health Emergency Declaration

2023 JUNE; Only 17% of Americans Took the COVID-19 Booster Shot Over the Last 9 Months

2023 JULY; Senator Paul Asks DOJ to Investigate Fauci for Lying to Congress

2023 AUGUST; Pentagon Says COVID-19 Likely Originated from Lab Leak

2023 SEPTEMBER; CDC Stupidly Recommends COVID-19 Vaccine for Everyone 6 Months and Older

2023 OCTOBER; Senator Paul Says Covid Vaccine Is More Dangerous than the Virus for Children 15 Years Old and Younger

2023 NOVEMBER; COVID-19 Fall Booster Shot Uptake Is Pitiful; Americans Have Moved on from Pandemic

2023 DECEMBER; Covid Vaccine Rate Drops to Pitiful 60K Shots Per Day

2024 JANUARY; Fauci Testifies to Congress Saying “I Don’t Know (Recall)” 200 Times; Fauci Admits that the Staying Six-Feet Apart Rule Was Not Based on Any Data

2024 FEBRUARY; Heart Disease and Attacks Increase Post-Covid (Due to Vaccines?)

2024 MARCH; WSJ Posits that COVID-19 Was Laboratory Synthesized (Not from Nature) and Likely Leaked from the Wuhan Lab

2024 APRIL; Study Suggests Long-Covid May Be Due to the Covid Illness and/or the Covid Vaccines; Airlines Experiencing Serious Maintenance Problems and Mishaps (Because of the Stupid Covid Vaccine Mandates?)

2024 MAY; AstraZeneca Admits that the COVID-19 Vaccine Causes TTS (Blood Clots)

2024 JUNE; Fauci Testifies Before the House Select Committee on the Coronavirus Pandemic; Cancer Increases Post-Covid

2024 JULY; CDC and Jha Warn of a Mild Summer Covid Wave; Fauci Blames Trump and Others for Pandemic Mistakes

2024 AUGUST; Six-Times Vaccinated Fauci Tests Positive for COVID-19 for Third Time; Meta (Facebook) CEO Zuckerberg Regrets His Censorship of COVID-19 Content

2024 SEPTEMBER; Stanford University Symposium Hosted by Dr Jay Battacharya Discusses COVID-19 Pandemic

2024 OCTOBER; Shocking Study from England Concluded that Myocarditis and/or Pericarditis Only Appeared in Children and Adolescents that Received the COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines

2024 NOVEMBER; Former President Trump Reelected and Appoints Robert F Kennedy to Head HHS, Dr Marty Makary to Run FDA, and Dr Jay Bhattacharya to Head the NIH

2024 DECEMBER; House Select Subcommittee on Coronavirus Pandemic Releases 520-Page Report Concluding that Pandemic Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2025 JANUARY; US Quad-Demic of Flu, COVID-19, RSV and Norovirus; CIA Agrees with FBI and DOE that COVID-19 Likely Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2025 FEBRUARY; Flu Deaths Surpass COVID-19 Deaths; President Trump Rescinds All COVID-19 Vaccine Mandates; Children Remain Half-Year Behind in Math and Reading After the Pandemic

2025 MARCH; 74% of Americans Say COVID-19 Took a Toll on Their Lives

2025 APRIL; COVID-19 Vaccine Stocks Crash as Most Americans Unwilling to Take Further mRNA Shots

2025 MAY; President Trump Bans Funding of Gain of Function Research; US Health Officials Delayed Warning the Public about Myocarditis Risk from Vaccines; COVID-19 Vaccines Removed from Childhood Vaccine Schedule; Novavax Receives FDA Approval for Protein-Based (non mRNA) COVID-19 Vaccine

2025 JUNE; Newly Appointed Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) Led By Chairman Martin Kulldorff Holds First Meeting

2025 JULY; Americans and Citizens Worldwide Move on with Life after the COVID-19 Pandemic 2019 to 2023 and the Covid Endemic Phase 2023 to 2025

SPX S&P 500 Daily Chart; Megaphone (Expansion) Pattern

Attention people. Settle down. Hand me that megaphone you bot from Five Below, Mira. Now hear this. This is Director Keystone. It is time to shut down the lights and for all of you to exit stage right. It's Closing Time. The megaphone, or expansion, pattern is easy to see, like that wart on your face. There are lots of touches on the top and bottom rails of the megaphone that creates credibility. Each touch of a pattern makes it stronger.

It does not take a rocket scientist to project where price may go next. That 6200-6300 area is nice price support from last summer and the bottom of the megaphone. Last summer is when the golden cross occurred (50-day MA above the 200-day MA) signaling happy bullish times ahead. The death cross looked like destiny at the start of April but the record-setting wild upside orgy changes the game. The 50 and 200 continue higher now in parallel. The 50-day MA will not roll over again until price begins printing below the 50-day MA at 6778.

The big orange circle shows the huge gap that occurred when the big orange head King Donnie Trumpski said the Iran War is Mission Accomplished, the Strait of Hormuz is open for biz, and all is groovy. It was not and the Iran War festers each day with Donnie spending $2 billion a day on military assets halfway around the world while Americans cannot afford to live. King Donnie said he would be No More Mister Nice Guy, but, as usual, he balks, and now says a ceasefire will continue indefinitely.

Donnie does not care about the cost of the Iran War, that he solely started, because he is a real-estate guy that worships debt, like his two dolts negotiating with other countries that Witkoff dude and creepy Jared. Kushner receives checks for millions of dollars in real estate contracts from each country he holds foreign talks. No one cares. It is the corrupt crony capitalism system in its last throes. Trumpski is spending your money on the war for the waterways of Muz, the new Nam. Under Donnie, America, once the shining city on the hill, has now become that shining predator nation on the hill.

Watch your wallets and handbags. Plan accordingly. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

SPX S&P 500 Daily and Weekly Charts

The SPX (S&P 500; the US stock market) monthly chart remains in neggie d forecasting bad things ahead on the long-term multi-month, and perhaps a few years, basis. The CPC and CPCE put/call ratios are at multi-year lows verifying the rampant complacency, fearlessness and euphoric bullish optimism at play in markets and forecasting a major top at hand. Idiots are placing large sums of their savings into the stock market expecting +10% to +20% returns per year forever. They are going to lose their shirts and only serve as bag holders.

The put/calls indicate that a significant stock market top is at hand. The SPX just rallied over +13% in 14 trading days, call it a +1% per day ridiculous rate, to a new all-time record high at 7148. Since the boat is fully loaded on the bull side and the ship is starting to list to that side, the hourly, daily and weekly charts can be used to pinpoint the top. The weekly chart will begin printing a new candlestick tomorrow morning and that will provide insight into the weekly time frame.

The SPX 2-hour chart above is cooked. The negative divergence (red lines) sticks out like Buddy Holly showing up at the Apollo Theater. Music is the only universal worldwide language. Price moves higher but ALL the chart indicators are sloping down, sloping negatively, negatively diverging down away from price that is still floating higher. That is a neggie d top.

You can see the positive divergence (green lines) bottom at the end of March as Keystone previously discussed. Note that the MACD line remained weak and bleak and wanted another lower low in price to occur on the 2-hour basis but the AI hype and King Donnie Iran War Mission Accomplished hype sends stocks wildly higher. The possie d from the chart indicators, sans MACD, conspires with the AI and Iran War hype to create the joyous rally. The falling green wedge pattern is bullish. The oversold RSI, stochastics and money flow were agreeable to a bounce. But remember that the MACD line wants to see a lower low than 6350-ish some day forward.

On the top side, the last three candlesticks are at matching highs so you can group the three together as the price high. The chart indicators are all in neggie d so the top is in on the hourly basis and stocks would be expected to receive the neggie d spankdown and fall from here unless there is more AI and war hype talk. The overbot RSI, stochastics and money flow are also agreeable to a pullback in the hourly time frame.

The SPX daily chart is not in full negative divergence as yet. The new price candlestick for Monday will be helpful in gauging the chart indicators for neggie d. The stochastics are the only metric agreeable to a pullback now in the daily time frame. The overbot conditions in the RSI, stochastics and money flow are agreeable to a pullback. The histogram is extended and likely has no where to go but down from here. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot, that is why the neighbors did not invite Keystone to the block party, the daily chart is near a top but not quite there.

If Monday is a pullback receiving negativity from the hourly time frame, stocks will likely want to recover again for another high on the daily chart until it goes neggie d. Of course, just as positive news and hype talk bounced stocks higher, negative news and hype can send stocks down the crapper. Charts have everything known up to the minute priced into the charts but digestion is needed if new hype or news hits the wires, good or bad.

The daily chart is set up to top this week. Simply watch the daily chart set up with neggie d. The SPX weekly chart will be printing as well providing insight into where exactly this stock market will top out at, say, any day forward or within the next couple weeks due to the obscene complacency. Exciting stuff. Plan accordingly. The Big Bopper died in that terrible airplane crash decades ago along with Buddy Holly and Ritchie Valens. Chantilly Lace.  Hellloooo, baaaabbyy, you sweet thing, you know what I like, a wiggle in her walk, a giggle in her talk, it makes the world go 'round. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

CPC Put/Call Ratio Daily Chart; Historic Complacency and Fearlessness Will Top-Out Stock Market Any Day Forward and Begin Huge Down Move for Equities

Get out of the stock market and save yourself folks, otherwise, you will lose your shirt and be wearing a barrel for the remainder of the year. The CPC put/call ratio drops to a multi-year low at 0.67. Danger Will Robinson! Danger! The rampant bullishness and euphoria, complacency and fearlessness is off the charts. There are only bad things that will happen going forward.

For decades, when the CPC prints a low number in that 0.7 area or lower, stocks topped out within days. It was straightforward. Over the last couple decades, however, due to the Fed's obscene money-printing to protect the wealthy class and other reasons, the CPC and CPCE put/calls have become more schizoid. Nowadays, the top can occur any day forward, or up to about 3 weeks into the future. The only thing you are guaranteed is that stocks are going to take a significant hit starting any day forward, say before April ends or the first week of May. The drawdown will likely run into the summer.

That prior low CPC in June 2024 resulted in a top in stocks in about 3 weeks time that then collapsed from 5670 to 5120 a -10% correction. It would be wise to expect at least a -10% correction since we just did a -10% pullback with a complete recovery. It will likely be -20% and more. Of course, the developing, or in-place neggie d on the hourly, daily and weekly SPX charts can be used to time the pending top.

As mentioned in the previous post, Keystone's 80/20 Rule says 8's lead to 2's on the way up so that SPX 7200, and 7220-7230 target remains possible as the top is placed. We are almost there already. Again, use the negative divergence in the shorter time frame charts to time this significant and likely MAJOR top that will occur in the days ahead. It's fun.

The SPX monthly chart is cooked with neggie d so a long-term multi-month pullback should begin. This will be verified on Friday, 5/1/26, May Day, when the new monthly candlestick begins and it will cast the neggie d in concrete and guarantee pain and misery for months, if not a year or two, forward, maybe lots more. As a guesstimate, the SPX is expected to drop from -20% to -70% over the coming months and year or two. To put it in perspective, the portfolio that you are bragging about now at the backyard dinner party, while wearing a sweater around your neck, with nose held high, while sipping wine, will likely be worth one-half that amount a year from now. Good luck. Plan accordingly. Hey! Uh-huh! What I Like About You. Keep on whispering in my ear, tell me all the things I want to hear. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 4/18/26: The bullish euphoria and rampant complacency is now in a frenzy state. The CPC drops to 0.66. The CPCE collapses to 0.41. The put/calls are at multi-year lows. The Friday orgy was a perfect opportunity to ditch longs and start bringing on, and scaling into, shorts. If you passed that up, you screwed up. Stocks explode higher, perhaps dead-set on printing the SPX 7200, because King Donnie Trumpski proclaims that the Iran War is over and the Hormuz Strait is open. Everything is groovy and it is Mission Accomplished. Do you believe the orange-headed bloviating carnival barker or your lying eyes? Oil prices drop on the Donnie happy talk sending equities into the stratosphere. The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 7147.52 and new all-time closing high at 7126.06 on Friday, 4/17/26. The SPX bottomed at 6316 on 3/30/26 and prints 7148 yesterday, an explosive record-setting 832-point rally, a gain of over +13%, in only 14 days. The US stock market (S&P 500: SPX) is rallying at a ridiculous +1% per day since the end of March. It is laughable. Welcome to the filthy crony capitalism casino as the last chips are played over then next few years. Plan carefully going forward so you will not be wearing a barrel. Keybot the Quant remains long and the stock market metrics are universally bullish like the off the charts sentiment. It will be important when Keybot flips short but remember, the robot strives to produce the smoothest path through the trading year so it does not catch the exact tops and exact bottoms. The hourly, daily and weekly charts can be used to identify the major top that will be placed in the days ahead say within 2 to 3 weeks, probably sooner. Right now is the perfect set-up for a crash. Everyone is universally bullish with stocks at parabolic highs. Special times. Since everything is feeling groovy, it is time for the 59th Street Bridge Song. Paul is warming up in the green room.

SPX S&P 500 Monthly Chart; Huge Relief Rally Occurs Due to the Belief that the Iran War is Mission Accomplished; SPX Prints New All-Time Record High at 7148 on 4/17/26

April 15th is Tax Day. Tax Man. After becoming depressed at seeing the money you give to the corrupt wasteful government, you hope for April 20th, 420, to come fast to cheer up. We worked through the multi-week downturn that was forecasted by the negative divergence at the top. Stocks fall into a cyclical bear market but that only lasted 10 minutes. It is typical stuff for the SPX to bounce off the critical 12-month MA at 6621 that dictates whether the US stock market is in a cyclical bull or cyclical bear market. It will be revisited. For now, the cyclical bull continues its reign.

A sharp relief rally is expected and occurs in spades with big gap-up moves. A parabolic move higher off the V bottom was not expected. Certainly, a piddly couple months of downside is not a multi-month down move that was dictated by the negative divergence. There is likely far, far, more Hell to pay as the year rolls along. The hype about the Iran War ending, with oil prices falling, sends stocks to the moon. Short-sellers panic, willing to cover at any price, launching the stock market into the stratosphere; the buying frenzy was on. Dip-buyers trip over each other throwing money at stocks afraid they may have already missed the rally that will go to the moon.

There was a gap-fill at 6900 that was needed and the bulls easily regain that level as buying begets more buying and more AI and chip hype creates a party atmosphere.  As explained in the previous monthly chart, when the top was called in February, there is no need for price to return to new record highs again. Here comes price teasing up towards 7K again for a potential new all-time high.

Let's recap the top call for the stock market. It is not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket science. The rising red wedge is a bearish pattern. The RSI and stochastics are overbot agreeable to a pullback. When price printed the matching high in February, the indicators can be assessed for negative divergence. Remember the couple-three month wait for the MACD line to cooperate and finally roll over to create neggie d and join the other indicators? That marked the top. Price was at record highs but ALL the chart indicators are neggie d so the top is in on the monthly basis. Easy-peasy. The SPX weekly chart was also in neggie d so you knew it would be a multi-week spankdown, and it was.

You also knew, since Keystone told you, that since utilities remained elevated, the down move would not be an all-out crash. This will occur as the utes join the negativity going forward. The down move in February and March was only about -9% to -10% for the SPX and then it quickly recovered almost all of it due to the ongoing uber complacency in markets. People believe in good times ahead no matter what happens. War, pass the s'mores.

So that brings us up to now and trading is all about what have you done for me lately? Price needs another 30 or 40 points to print a new record high above 7K. It is close enough to taste it so it would not be surprising if it happened today, but again, due to the neggie d, there is no reason for price to come up again for a new high. There was not any more fuel in the gas tank to take the SPX higher on a monthly basis but the Iran War oil hype and ongoing AI and chip hype is enough to push price back towards the record.

The hype does not matter if you look at the thin maroon-colored lines in the right margin. The SPX cannot be in official neggie d now since price did not yet print the matching or higher high compared to January and February. It is so close, let's say it is good enough for government work and price is at a matching high, therefore, the chart indicators can be assessed for neggie d. Mathematicians say therefore and thus a lot, thus, that is why we are never invited to the fun parties.

Note that the RSI, MACD, histogram, stochastics and money flow are all sloping lower as price makes the matching high. The negative divergence remains, so even if the SPX makes another record high, whoop-de-doo, it will only be another long-term top on the monthly basis. If you are steadfastly bullish, as is probably over 90% of the stock market participants, you need at least one of those indicators to move higher above the previous highs in Jan-Feb. It is the only way that the bulls can be successful as the rest of the year plays out.

Look at the volume candlestick for this month. It is mid-month, so double the length of the vertical bar and it will be far short of the January and February selling volumes. That is not good if you are bullish the stock market for the months ahead. You can check the final volume candlestick in a couple weeks at month-end.

The ADX shows that over the last 5 years, despite the record highs in price, the stock market rally is not considered in a strong trend higher. The pink boxes show that it started to indicate a strong trend higher, but both times that petered out. Now the ADX is even lower as stocks approach new record highs more bad news and negative divergence type stuff for the bulls.

The Aroon shows nearly all the bulls, 88%, still believe stocks will go up forever and always no matter what happens. That is called uber bullishness, optimism, complacency, and fearlessness. No wonder the relief rally was a rocket ship. A couple months ago, all the bears also believed that stocks will go up forever. Not so now. About 50% of the bears remain bullish but 50% of the bears are now bearish introducing the feeling of negativity ahead. The negative cross should occur for the Aroon perhaps in the summer, or sooner.

Price violated the upper standard deviation band so a move back to the middle band, the 20-mth MA at 6300, was on the table but price did not honor that target; it should going forward. The lower band is also a downside target now at 5346 moving higher. Price will likely tease lower towards a 5-handle as the summer and Fall play out.

What does all this mumbo-jumbo mean? It means that stocks are cooked on the multi-month long-term basis. The weekly, daily and hourly charts can be assessed to pinpoint the top ahead. If you are a young person, and saved up 10K or 20K, and want to jump into the stock market thinking you are the next Jesse Livermore, you ain't. You will lose your shirt and only serve as the bagholding sucker. If you made huge gains, or any gains in stocks, over the last few years and months, take the money, fool. Do not worry about capital gains.

For any young person, you should sit out the stock market for the next one to two years; at least wait until 2027 before thinking about putting any money into that steaming pile of dung on display above. Let the wealthy insiders hold the bag; they are counting on you to be the sucka. Of course, if you are experienced at trading, you should look at shorting all rallies going forward for the remainder of the year or at least until we get into the summer-Fall period. If you have to hold stocks long for various reasons, be sure and hedge heavy against those holdings buying protection and shorting stocks for counterbalance if the rules allow.

The weather is beautiful and it is fun spending another day at Itchykoo Park. It's all too beautiful. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 6:39 PM EST: The bulls win the day and print a new all-time high at 7026.24 and new all-time closing high at 7022.95 the first record closing high above 7K. The prior all-time high was at 7002 at the end of January as February started. Keystone went looking for his commemorative 'SPX 7K' hat from back then, and found it in the garage. It has an oil stain on it so he tossed it in the garbage. The matching and higher high with the SPX price occurs so the indicators can be assessed to see if neggie d is in place across all the metrics. And it is, just like the chart above shows. The SPX is topped out on a long-term multi-month basis. It can play around at these new record highs for a few days or week or two, but the chart is bearish. The bulls have momentum on their side because the move higher over the last 3 weeks is parabolic. To hone in on the top, that will occur going forward since the CPC put/call ratio has completely collapsed indicating off the charts bullishness and euphoria, use the weekly, daily and hourly charts. It would be nice to wait until Monday to check the weekly chart since a new candlestick will be underway. If you bring up the SPX daily chart, you see the gaps higher in price as the orgy continues. Money flow is neggie d and the stochastics are overbot and neggie d, but the other indicators remain long and strong. This hints that a couple jog moves are needed to provide time for the RSI, MACD and histogram to go neggie d. So down, up, down, up, for the top on the daily basis, would be Tuesday. Keystone's 80/20 Rule says 8's lead to 2's on the way up so 7018 led to 7022. The 6800 opened the door to 7200 that has been sneaking around in the bushes since January. Considering the upside momo and jumps of 50 or a 100 points per day, there may be a spurt to 7220-ish as the bigtime top (or any time before that). The SPX tops out at 7026 today. If it tags 7028, that likely opens the door to 7032. Looking at the 2-hour chart, the indicators are pretty much topped out. Money flow wants one more jog move so with 2-hour candlesticks, that would be say, 2 to 4 hours. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot that is why Keystone's invitation to the Spring Jubilee was lost in the mail, stocks should top out tomorrow around noon time or in the afternoon. That makes sense since the new moon is at hand and will peak on Friday. Housing Starts are uber important Friday morning (this released was changed to 4/29/26). Thus, marry the time frames together like playing multi-dimensional chess. The 2-hour is topping tomorrow. The daily does not want to top until early next week. The weekly time frame is a mystery until we can see a new candlestick on Monday but it may want a couple more weeks of these highs before topping out. The monthly chart says the top is locked in now on the monthly basis. How about stocks topping tomorrow, sliding on Friday but not making much headway lower and then printing new record highs on Tuesday/Wednesday. That may be the top, you will have to watch the charts, it all depends on the weekly chart. Once the weekly chart is confirmed with neggie d perhaps as next week begins, that would mean the top is in. If it needs to run for a couple weeks, it may want that 7200-ish print that will likely stand for many months if not years forward. The charts light the way. It's fun. That Sydney Sweeney model chick has a new ad for jean shorts but it falls way short of the classic Daisy Duke's. She had the best jean shorts and Roy serenaded her with Pretty Woman at the local honky-tonk. Daisy could not control herself and hugged and kissed Roy. The ladies are powerless when they hear the tongue roll. It happens every time. Sydney needs to watch Daisy in the Dukes of Hazard reruns for tips on jean shorts.

Note Added Friday Morning, 4/17/26, at 7:28 AM EST: The SPX prints a new all-time high at 7051.23 and new all-time closing high at 7041.28 yesterday, 4/16/26. The orgy continues. The 2-hour is cooked so stocks will drop in the 2-hour time frame. The daily chart shows long and strong MACD so it wants another high after a day or so pullback (due to the hourly time frame) before it tops. Stocks will probably top-out next week but it would be wise to start putting on shorts (knowing that the SPX may still run to 7200), scaling in over next 3 weeks, starting today. King Donnie Trumpski promises that the Iran War is Mission Accomplished. Do you believe him? We are sending reinforcements. Oliver's Army is on the way.

Note Added 4/18/26: The bullish euphoria and rampant complacency is now in a frenzy state. The CPC drops to 0.66. The Friday orgy was a perfect opportunity to ditch longs and start bringing on, and scaling into, shorts. If you passed that up, you screwed up. Stocks explode higher, perhaps dead-set on printing the SPX 7200, because King Donnie Trumpski proclaims that the Iran War is over and the Hormuz Strait is open. Everything is groovy and it is Mission Accomplished. Do you believe the orange-headed bloviating carnival barker or your lying eyes? Oil prices drop on the Donnie happy talk sending equities into the stratosphere. The SPX prints a new all-time record high at 7147.52 and new all-time closing high at 7126.06 on Friday, 4/17/26. The SPX bottomed at 6316 on 3/30/26 and prints 7148 yesterday, an explosive record-setting 832-point rally, a gain of over +13%, in only 14 days. The US stock market (S&P 500: SPX) is rallying at a ridiculous +1% per day since the end of March. It is laughable. Welcome to the filthy crony capitalism casino as the last chips are played over then next few years. Plan carefully going forward so you will not be wearing a barrel. Keybot the Quant remains long and the stock market metrics are universally bullish like the off the charts sentiment. It will be important when Keybot flips short but remember, the robot strives to produce the smoothest path through the trading year so it does not catch the exact tops and exact bottoms. The hourly, daily and weekly charts can be used to identify the major top that will be placed in the days ahead say within 2 to 3 weeks, probably sooner. Right now is the perfect set-up for a crash. Everyone is universally bullish with stocks at parabolic highs. Special times. Since everything is feeling groovy, it is time for the 59th Street Bridge Song. Paul is warming up in the green room.

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keystone's trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips back to the bull side at SPX 6526 as the choppy slop continues. The bulls regain SPX 6503 and NYA 21740 creating yesterday's stock market orgy. Bears obviously need to reverse both if they want to growl again. Bulls will build on their relief rally with stronger chips.

Keybot the Quant

SPX S&P 500 Daily and Weekly Charts; US Stock Market Crashes -9% in 8 Weeks Now in a Cyclical Bear Market

The United States stock market, the S&P 500, SPX, crashes -9% in only 8 weeks. That beating is going to leave a mark. The Wall Street analyst targets of 8K plus are farther away each day with only 9 months remaining in the year. The business media calls a -10% pullback a correction and a -20% drop a bear market. These definitions are hokey and not of much use but everyone follows them. Let's do the Hokey Pokey. The Dow and Nasdaq indexes are in correction with the S&P 500 knocking at the door.

Traders donning the "SPX 7K" and "Dow 50K" hats jinxed the US stock indexes. The SPX tops at 7002 and the Dow at 50513 and the lofty perches only lasted as long as it took to grab a cup of coffee in the break room. The S&P 500 (SPX; the US stock market) crashes -9% in 8 weeks. The Dow (INDU or DJI; the dirty thirty) crashes -10.6% in only 6 weeks. The Nasdaq Composite (COMPQ; lots of tech stocks) crashes -12.7% the worst performer. Pretty tech, boosted by AI, is the darling for the last 3 years but the relationship has gone sour. The Nazzy100 (NDX; hottest high-flying tech and AI stocks) crashes -11.6%. The S&P 600 small caps (SML) crashes -9% in 6 weeks but is off the low. The SML crashed -10.3% in only 5 weeks but over the last week has pulled itself out of the -10% correction territory.

Three metrics that do dictate the cyclical bull market versus the cyclical bear market are the SPX 12-month MA cross, the NYA 40-week MA cross, and the SPX 150-day MA slope. The SPX 12-mth MA is at 6497 with price below at 6369 ushering in a cyclical bear market. The NYA 40-wk MA is 21707 and this failed on Friday afternoon, creating the sick finish into the bell, with price down to 21632 ushering in a cyclical bear market. 

The SPX daily chart above shows the 150-day MA and you can see that the slope flattened and is rolling over to the downside (sloping lower) ushering in a cyclical bear market (red box). If you are long any stock or ticker, you want the 150-day MA sloping higher, otherwise, you will lose your shirt. If you are short, you want the 150-day MA sloping lower (downward) to verify the negativity ahead, otherwise, you will be wearing a barrel.

All three metrics call out a cyclical bear market ahead despite the media's stupid -20% bear market pullback number not even registering as yet. The -10% correction has not occurred yet and that would be a 700-point drop to 6300 that is nearby. Price has to regain the 150-day MA to flatten the moving average line and try to get it sloping higher again but that appears to be a tall order. The bulls are going to fight like Hell tomorrow morning to pull the NYA back above 21707 to stave off the bears. Watch this closely.

Sticking with the daily chart, Keystone described the topping process in real-time since last Fall. The SPX topped out at 7002 on 1/28/26 and crashes -9% to 6369 in only 8 weeks. Remember when Keystone told you the initial drop in the SPX, due to the neggie d across multiple time frames and the outrageous complacency and fearlessness in markets, would be from 200 to 800 SPX points? We are down 633 points so far. Note the red rising wedges on both charts (bearish pattern). Remember when Keystone told you that the collapses from rising wedges can be quite dramatic? That blue channel is very dramatic.

Stock trading is all about what have you done for me lately. The prior SPX daily chart shows the SPX starting to set up for a relief rally in the daily time frame but the weekly chart remained weak. The relief move was short-lived due to the negative news about the Iran War. The high price of oil will doom the global economy. Everything got sold off on Thursday and Friday, and thrown out the window including the baby, the bathwater, and the sink itself. Timmy Trader freaked out because clients are calling non-stop asking about how much money they are losing. He could not take the pressure and ran across the trading floor and jumped out the window but fortunately, he was on the ground floor.

Price makes a lower low, gapping lower, so the indicators can be assessed for positive divergence and a potential bottom. The green lines show that the histogram, stochastics and money flow are possie d and ready to send price higher, ditto the oversold RSI and stochastics. However, the RSI is printing a hair lower, into oversold territory, and the MACD line also remain weak and bleak. Thus, a couple day jog move is likely needed to give time for the RSI and MACD to set up with possie d. Do not be surprised if the relief rally starts right away, or anytime in the holiday-shortened week ahead. Markets are closed for Good Friday.

The negativity on the Iran War creates the lingering sour mood for equities after the neggie d sealed the top and started the slapdown 8 weeks ago. The Aroon shows that 100% of the bears expect stocks to fall forever while almost all the bulls also believe the same. This behavior verifies the extreme negativity that typically occurs at a bottom when a relief rally begins. The ADX shows that the downtrend in stocks is a STRONG downtrend for the last 2 weeks. Strong downtrends tend to sustain themselves over time.

Price has violated the lower band so a trip back up to the middle band, also the 20-day MA, at 6676, and dropping fast, is on the table. The black circle shows that the Death Cross should occur at the second or third week of April, say within the next month. The daily chart should set up to begin a bounce this week. Stocks are usually higher through the full moon that is Wednesday. Stocks are typically higher into a holiday that is Friday. When stocks fall during a month, the final couple days or so are usually higher and that would be tomorrow and Tuesday. These are bullish weights trying to counteract the Iran War.

The BPSPX was on the verge of providing a buy signal but that was snuffed out due to the Iran War negativity. The BPSPX is at 36 so watch for a six percentage-point reversal to 42 to confirm a buy signal for stocks. A lot of metrics are lining up for a relief rally but it all depends on King Donnie.

The SPX weekly chart shows the tight band squeezes at the start of last year and the repeat this year. Both squeezes result in down moves. Tight bands forecast a big move but do not predict direction.

Note that the indicators remain weak and bleak on the weekly time frame except for the money flow and ADX and the stochastics are oversold agreeable to a bounce. These positives will join the daily chart and help create a relief rally, but the negative indicators forecast lower prices ahead on the weekly basis. Trading is like playing multi-dimensional chess except time is the dimension not space. The SPX 2-hour and daily charts are setting up to bounce but the weekly and monthly charts remain weak forecasting lingering long-term sogginess in equities.

The Aroon shows that all the bears believe stocks will go down forever, like the ADX for the daily chart, but the bulls still remain somewhat upbeat that stocks will recover, like stocks always did over the last couple decades (due to Fed intervention). This is bad news for bulls. They are going to keep believing in the stock market as the weekly and monthly time frames transport them on the Highway to Hell.

A relief bounce should be at hand this week anytime unless the Iran War explodes into WW III. All is not calm on the Western Front that is now the Houthis shooting missiles and rockets at US military bases. The weekly chart lost the 50-wk MA at 6478 so a back kiss of this important level would be in order. The 12-mth MA is 6497 so this area at 6470-6500 would be a potential upside target for a relief rally in the daily time frame going forward. This would also be a move higher to the top of the downward-sloping blue channel. Keybot the Quant remains short. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 4/1/26 at 6:07 AM EST: The SPX regains the 12-mth at 6503 and the NYA regains the 40-wk MA at 21740 creating the stock market orgy yesterday. Nothing to see here, move along, move along people, nothing to see here, please disperse, nothing to see here. The short-lived cyclical bear market reverses back into the cyclical bull but will it last? This battle is likely only beginning. It may be in play all year long.