The Keystone Speculator's Housing Market Indicator; US IS IN A HOUSING RECOVERY FOR 4 MONTHS BUT WILL LIKELY FALL INTO A DOUBLE-DIP HOUSING RECESSION IN JULY 2026; Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's Debut Rate Decision and Press Conference

The US was in a housing recession for 38 months (3 years and 2 months). Comically, no one noticed. The Keystone Speculator's Housing Market Indicator signaled the US housing recession starting 12/20/22 and ending 2/18/26. A housing recovery begins in February 2026 through the present, June 2026 (the chart shows the red line above the green line), but a likely failure back into a double-dip housing recession is on tap starting next month, July 2026.

It is a shame the government shutdowns occurred in the Fall and into early this year since it was an important time to have good data. A few more months need to play out before confidence is completely restored in the numbers. The 1.177 million housing starts yesterday, 6/16/26, was a jaw-dropper. The housing numbers fell off a cliff but you also wonder if the government shutdown is still impacting the data.

Are you a homeowner or a home moaner? People do not want to leave their current home, that has a low mortgage rate, for a new home with a bigger monthly payment. The lower availability of homes on the market hurts the first-time homebuyers. Also, hedge funds and other institutional investors have purchased a lot of real estate over the last decade. 

The United States has experienced housing, labor and manufacturing recessions for the last 2 to 4 years but no overall US economic recession. Go figure. Anytime in decades past, those three sectors in recession guaranteed an overall US economic recession. It is different this time. The rise of AI pushes back against the recession negativity. In addition, the Fed's easy money printing for the last two decades has made the wealthy class filthy rich (and they continue to spend and support the economy) since most of the money flows into the stock market. Too bad that one-half of Americans do not own a single share of stock.

30 million Americans at the top control the rigged crony capitalism system and raped the US for all its worth since the 1970's. The crony capitalism filth cannot be fixed and is in its final throes. The middle class was destroyed along the way and that was the glue that used to holed the country together. Now it is 30 million upper class and elite controlling the 300 million peons at the bottom. The vast wealth created for the privileged class due to the Fed's money printing has the rich folks continuing to spend money and support the economy.

Thus, despite the housing, labor and manufacturing recessions, an overall US recession did not occur because of the AI glory and the rich folks spending money due to the wealth effect (they see their stock accounts with big gains so they spend money without thinking about it). Isn't it sickening how the 30 million at the top shafted the rest of the country? Oh well, too late now.

Stupid people comment on elections and discuss the policies by candidates. What for? None of that matters now. People will simply vote for whoever gives them money since the 300 million at the bottom cannot make ends meet anymore. This is easy to understand, folks. It is not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket science.

Today is Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's debut performance taking over the top spot from Jerome Powell that will stay on as a governor. Warsh may be asking himself this morning why he wanted the job. Those concerns disappear once he sees the free buffet. There is a jelly doughnut stain on his tie but it will come out in the warsh.

Many of us remember Warsh as a hawk going against the bailouts and the Fed's money-printing back in 2007-2009. However, that all changed as he started flapping dovish wings in front of King Chump vying for the chairman job. Which Warsh will show up today at the press conference?

The answer may be simpler than people think. As stated above, the US housing recession will likely restart next month. How do you know that? For the above chart to remain in a housing recovery, 1.6 million housing starts will need to be reported on 7/17/26. That is a tall order since the data is sliding lower for two months and the big drop below 1.2 million units occurs yesterday. It is not going to happen. The starts will likely come in at 1.1 to 1.4 million and that will send the chart back into a housing recession so circle 7/17/26 on your calendar. Keystone still uses a paper calendar but most of you young folks use your calendar smartphone.

Okay, so a housing recession will likely start back up again. That is not good and typically the Fed will lower rates to give some life to the housing sector. What? Everyone is on the inflation bandwagon now and expects the Fed to either remain on hold or contemplate a rate hike.

Look at the CRB and GTX commodity charts (punch in $CRB and $GTX into stockcharts.com) and you will see the huge pullback in commodities. It makes sense since oil is pulling back but many commodities are relaxing lower. This is goods inflation dropping and some of this savings will ripple into services inflation helping to moderate prices (if a company added a fuel charge due to Donnie Chump's Iran War, they will likely be taking it back off now).

Are you starting to gather these ideas together in your head to figure out Warsh's plan forward? Warsh has his personal indicators and technicals so it is a safe bet that he sees what Keystone sees above. Warsh also sees commodities dropping like a stone that means the inflation scare is likely overdone going forward (unless the Iran War blows up again). Thus, mathematicians say thus and therefore a lot that is why Keystone was not invited to the UFC event at the Whitehouse, with inflation not the big deal that people think it is going forward, and the country slipping back into a housing recession, means rate cuts should not be taken off the table this year. What!!? This guy must be smoking something.

This goes against the universal consensus although Citi is taking a lot of heat for leaning against rate hikes this year and favoring the possibility of a cut or cuts. Thus, Warsh will likely maintain the status quo, stay on hold with rates, no one will be surprised, but they likely will be as he may lean against everyone that is saying a rate hike is on tap this year. That would make Warsh slightly dovish if he factors in the above.

If Warsh is hawkish and hitches his wagon to the rate hike post, that will likely already be a policy mistake on his first day (first presser) on the job. If Warsh was smart, he would remain on hold and not commit to a hike bias. It would be wise to simply remain on hold and equally biased towards a cut or hike. Any hint of dovishness will likely send the stock market higher. If he hints that he likes the rate hike path forward better, stocks will likely sell off. The stock market is in a major topping process so it would not be surprising to see stocks sell off no matter what Warsh says. The Fed decision is at 2 PM EST and the much-awaited press conference begins at 2:30 PM EST (tentatively). Will Warsh be wearing hawkish or dovish wings? Band on the Run by Wings.

SPX S&P 500 Daily Chart; Negative Divergence Spankdown Truncated by Donnie Chump's Iran War Happy Talk

The neggie d top on the daily chart finally forms and creates the spankdown as previously explained. Price falls through the middle band, that is also the 20-day MA at 7465, like a hot knife through butter. Price successfully back kisses the 20 and then falls to violate the lower band so a move back up to the middle band is on the table and voila, price comes up to 7456 on Friday. There is another 10 points needed to tap on the 20-day so the bulls may be gunning for that tomorrow. The 20-day MA at 7465 is an important resistance ceiling with bulls winning bigtime above while bears will win the game if price remains below.

The SPX topped-out as June started due to the rising wedge, overbot conditions and negative divergence across all chart indicators. A spankdown was needed and occurs. Price was over extended to the upside above the 20-day MA above the 50-day, above the 100 above the 150 above the 200, so a mean reversion lower was needed.

Note the three lows that print last week. That allows you to look at the chart indicators to see if positive divergence forms to set up a relief rally on the daily basis. This is when Donnie Chump announced that an Iran War deal was in the bag and the signing would be this weekend. Stocks exploded higher on Thursday and Friday. Follow the thin black line down to see if possie d is in play as price makes a matching or lower low, and it is for all indicators except the MACD line that remains weak and bleak wanting to see another lower low in price on the daily basis. This proves that the rally is due to Donnie hype and is not a technical bottom. Technically, there is unfinished business to the downside so the Iran War happy talk will have to play out for a day or few.

King Trumpski is threatening military action again after Iran says they will likely not sign the agreement today but perhaps in the days ahead. Iran likely wants to wait to see what happens at the G7. Who will Donnie talk to and what does he say? Baby Trump wants his little birthday agreement present today so he can spin a yarn that he created world peace on his birthday. What color is the sky in that dufus's mind? Probably orange.

Iran plays Trump like a Stradivarius. Even if a deal is agreed to, Iran will tell their proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon to fire missiles at Israel, and Israel will have to retaliate, so Iran will say the deal is off because Israel needs to stop fighting. Donnie is the Chump in this circle-jerk party game squandering the military success in Iran and instead creating a mess that may be worse for the US and the world. Futures open at 6 PM EST and that will already be 1 AM Middle East time on Monday morning.

The ADX shows that the down move in March was a strong trend lower but that petered out in early April as the rally took hold. The entire upside from there and printing of all-time record highs comes without the ADX signaling that it is a strong trend higher. For the record highs, the ADX should be above 30 and probably at 40 right now instead it is down to 26 and dropping. The ADX is not impressed with the stock market rally at all. The ADX tried to show a strong trend just as the all-time record high was printed, but that did not hold and disappeared fast.

The Aroon shows a negative cross. That came about fast. Now the bulls are still bullish for stocks but the bears are now bearish the stock market. A week ago, the bulls were bullish, no surprises there, and the bears were also bullish. Traders and investors are starting to rethink the stock market and worry that the party may not last.

Lots more downside would be expected going forward considering the negative divergence in the weekly time frame and the rampant complacency and fearlessness that continues in the stock market that is displayed during every major and historic top.

That UFC garbage is tonight where blood and spit will cover the Whitehouse lawn. If that is what people want, give it to them. Sick stuff. The people's house and lawn is not the place for such a violent blood sport. Looks like rain or the hot sweaty air and bugs may ruin the cage match. They say 100K people may fill the Ellipse for the viewing. Huh? A major speech or inauguration may draw 100K to 200K to the area but it is hard to believe that about one-half or more of the people that attend the major campaign and political events in Washington, DC, are going to flock there late on a Sunday night to watch blood and spit fly from people's mouths? That audience is probably going to be all young people, mainly men, from 15 years old to 50. Donnie and the gang are praying for No Rain. Ooh, ooh, ooh, I like watching the puddles gather rain. It's not sane. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added Monday Morning, 6/15/26, at 5:55 AM EST: The orchestrated Iran War agreement is announced by Trumpy at 5:30 PM EST. He proclaims the Strait of Hormuz is open and to 'let the oil flow'. Idiot. An hour later, the Strait of Hormuz will not open until Friday. It does not matter. The insurers of those cargoes need details and to know what is going on factually before they can commit to allowing their ships to pass through those now dangerous waters. You knew the deal was coming because all day Sunday, Trumpy boasted of a conclusion no matter what, regardless of details that remain in disagreement. Note how Donnie waited until 5 PM EST, since it turns Monday in Iran 7 hours ahead, because he hoped the radical Islamists would capitulate and give him his baby birthday present. Iran did not. Iran waited for Monday to stick it to Trump. Donnie wanted to announce an agreement, whatever it is, since details will not be released, before futures opened and boom, S&P futures pop +100 points. There was no signing of any agreement. There is supposed to be a signing in Switzerland on Friday but it is unknown who will be signing what. Iran continues to state different details about the deal than Trump. It is a weak deal since Donnie does not want to release the details. When Trump kept threatening military action but backing away, he gave up his leverage. Iran knew Donnie was looking for an exit ramp. They are eating his lunch. It was clear in Trump's statements that he does not want to send troops into Iran so that gives Iran the upper hand in the deal making process. King Donnie opined about loss of Iranian lives if bombing continued and the Strait of Hormuz would stay closed, so King Donnie the deal maker, gave up his leverage. Trump was not willing to finish the mess he created. The US may be giving Iran from $12 billion to $24 billion dollars upon the signing of the agreement. What? Donnie complained that Obama gave $1.7 billion to the radical nation. No wonder Trump will not release the details. Both Trump and Iran now say they will not release details until the signing on Friday that means they are still arguing over unsettled issues. There is no mention of the ballistic missiles that the radical Islamists can attach upgraded uranium, or a biological pathogen, in a warhead and create havoc in a major European city. Trumpy's Iran deal sounds like a sh*t deal, if there is a deal. Folks, open your eyes. Trump goes from demanding an unconditional surrender to having his orange tail between his legs negotiating a weak deal. In addition, Trump and Putin talk to each other and then after they hang up, Putin bombs a heritage site in Ukraine and kills some more civilians. Donnie does not care about Ukraine since he lies in bed with Vlad. Donnie hates Ukraine so much that he will not take advantage of their expertise in drone warfare that could greatly help the United States defenses. Israel says 'deal, what deal?' and states that they are not bound to the agreement between Trump and Iran. All of the above creates a happy start to the trading week and that may continue since stocks are typically higher into a Fed meeting anyway. The charts need to price-in the additional Donnie hype. Adding a hundo to Friday's closing price of 7431 is 7531 blowing up through the 20-day MA at 7465. The high from the previous Friday was 7542 so that may act as a ceiling. Again, there is no reason for price to come back up, there are no gaps to fill; all the gaps are below. Price may moderate between 7465 and 7542 until it makes an exit on one side or the other. There will be drama for a few days with the G7, Warsh's debut performance on hump day, and the so-called Iran deal signing on Friday. If the so-called signing occurs late Friday, the stock market craziness may stumble into next week. So there is likely a week and a half of wild price action ahead. The pop gives you a chance to get out of longs. Nothing's changed. The charts will reset and a major top remains on the docket going forward. The off the charts bullish euphoria in the stock market and expectation that equities will go up forever is on full display just like the dotcom bubble. The UFC event went off without rain ruining the evening so that is good. Unfortunately, the night is soiled by one of the jackass fighters yelling out an ignorant slur at the Obama's proclaiming that "Michelle Obama is a man!" Not cool. The Whitehouse UFC event will now be known as the event where they said Michelle Obama is a man. Hey Frank. Yes, Roy. Did you go to the UFC event? Yes, you should have seen it, Trump and the fighters said that Michelle Obama is a man. To the crowd's credit, one-half of them booed the ignorant derogatory comment. Under Trump, we are the shining insult city on the hill. The entire crowd for the UFC event was young men. Trumpy wanted to placate his voting base. The stands were full of service members so they were all given tickets and told to show up and watch. The event easily achieved 80K people including those watching the big screen and that makes sense since many thousands were service members. King Donnie is flying over to France for the G7 and already in his onesies fast asleep. Sweet dreams.

Note Added Monday Evening, 6/15/26, at 7:24 PM EST: Whee! Whoopie! It was party time with traders buying with both fists after the King Donnie Iran War agreement hype. The orgy sends the SPX to 7578 and it settles at 7554 a 123 point gain, +1.7%. This big price move occurs on less volume than two days ago when the Iran agreement was first announced and a big spike higher occurred in the SPX. That may be a bunch of Joe Retail and Bonita Bagholder folks buying stocks after listening to the daily television hype. More Donnie Chump drama occurs today. Of course it does. Everyday is a new reality television episode. Trump proclaims that the Strait of Hormuz is open. Two sentences later he decrees that Hormuz will "completely open" on Friday. Huh? That is like being a little pregnant. There are probably some oil tankers moving through the strait but other large cargoes are likely waiting for a blessing from the insurers. The Whitehouse and Vice President Vance say the Iran agreement was digitally signed. Humorously, maybe it was a Donnie deal signed by Trump and placed in a FedEx envelope sent to Iran? It is a confusing mess when everyone talks in riddles. Trump's Iran deal is so fantastic that he said he will probably not attend the signing on Friday despite being in Europe. You have seen this story before. He will have Vance sign it and as the criticism occurs, Trumpski will tell everyone to talk to Vance. It is funny stuff. There is a 60-day time frame for the next so-called deal although no one knows what the first deal is. When you are talking nuke stuff you are going to need nuclear physicists in on those discussions on both sides. They will highlight the stages of processes that would allow windows of opportunity for taking actions to mitigate the material. This stuff is not sorted out in a day or three. It will likely take weeks and maybe months to figure out the details on the nuclear problem. Iran will ask for a 60-day extension after the first 60 days ends and keep stringing Donnie Chump along making him look like a chump. King Donnie snatches defeat from the jaws of victory. Only a fool trusts a radical Islamist. Trump now says the Iran agreement may not be released until well after Saturday. What? Donnie is getting rolled in the alley way behind the Eiffel Tower by a bunch of Iranian guys in robes and sandals. The Iran agreement must be released. Trump must be ashamed of the deal. Folks, Trump will be further humiliated because a nuclear deal will never materialize.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 6/16/26, at 5:52 AM EST: Trump is talking in real-time from G7. He looks tired and run down with a raspy voice and always sitting these days hunched over with his forearms on his thighs. He's old. Donnie mixes up Biden and Obama in his comments; he must be tired. Trump says regime change was never a goal in Iran. That is a lie. Trumpski's very first speech on the Iran War he stated that he wanted regime change. The idiot does not care that his past comments are on video; he simply moves on each day and spews whatever comes to mind. The reason he hit Iran was likely because the Israeli intelligence said all the Iranian leaders are in one place and the whole regime can be taken out in one hit. Trump went for it and succeeded, however, the second tier radical leadership stepped up; Iran had a plan for succession. Donnie eliminated most of them but the regime remains in place and that is why Trumpy now says regime change was never the goal (because he failed). Trump slams Israel for hitting Lebanon and says Israel would not exist without him. Trump is mad at Bibi because the elimination of the top two tiers of the radical Islamist leadership did not result in regime change so King Donnie looks like a zero instead of a hero. America and Israel created a worse mess in the Middle East. Donnie repeats the same old talking points every time he is in front of the camera. It is the same ole schtick from the orange-headed carnival barker and the act gets old. Trump claims Iran is now in the rearview mirror. What!!!? Oh my. You can see how Trump is setting up Vance and now Netanyahu to be the fall guys and villains of the Iran War, and left to handle the mess, while he is trying to sneak out the back door and wash his hands of it. Donnie would rather spend time picking out the gold curtains for his ballroom. What a guy, what a guy. He has a baby's brain and an old man's heart. That was one of Alice's greatest lyrics. I'm Eighteen. S&P futures are flat.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 6/16/26, at 8:35 AM EST: Trump is talking again from the G7 unable to stop his diarrhea of the orange mouth. He repeats over and over again that his goal in Iran is not to permit them to have a nuclear weapon. Trump is trying to downplay all talk of regime change and other matters in Iran and is trying to manipulate the media and massage a message to the public that the nuclear angle is the top goal in Iran. Of course he is because he failed at regime change. He brags that satellites are watching Iran 24/7 including the areas where nuclear material is buried deep in the Earth. If so, why do you have to get the material? Instead, simply watch the areas for activity. Duh. Donnie is speaking in half-truths and riddles so we do not know the real truth of what is going on in Iran and we are not being shown the so-called agreement. Trump is pressed again as to why he does not release the agreement and his weak and feeble excuse is that he wants to release it in a formal setting. What bull sh*t. It must be a garbage deal. S&P futures are flat.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/17/26, at 7:34 AM EST: Trump the chump says the agreement, the so-called MoU (Memo of Understanding) with Iran, is "not final." Huh? King orange head decrees that he will revert to "dropping bombs" if he does not like the deal. What a pile of slop it is. Trumpski is in over his orange head and getting played like a Stradivarius.

CPC Put/Call Ratio Daily Chart; Rampant Complacency and Bullish Euphoria Continue Signaling More Pain Ahead for Stocks

The put/call ratios remain in the cellar verifying the rampant complacency, fearlessness, and bullish euphoria, like the dotcom bubble, that is unshakable. Comically, the worse the news, the better for stocks. Ebola outbreak? Yippee, buy, buy, buy. Ongoing Iran War confusion and Donnie mixed messages. Great. Buy stocks. Dysfunctional Washington, DC. Fantastic. That is a buy. Fantastic Cat sings So Glad You Made It with Adam Duritz sitting in. The list goes on. Traders and investors believe in artificial intelligence as their new god, like worshipping the golden calf in the desert. AI will fix everything and humans will be free to frolic in an abundant utopia participating in unimaginable debauchery. Don't hold your breath.

The green circle shows when panic and fear started to hit (preferably above 1.2 but 1.15 was good enough for government work). The higher put/call signaling fear and panic called the bottom at the end of March. So here we are a couple months and more later in party mode not caring about anything anymore. Shoot those missiles, baby, and buy those stocks. Of course, the euphoria will end because everyone needs taught a lesson for their partying ways.

Everyone remains on the bull side of the boat, listening to Yacht Rock, partying all night long expecting stocks to jump higher every day forward. Folks are wearing their "Dow 50K, SPX 7.6K and SPX 7.5K" party hats swigging down Fed wine looking forward to Wizard Warsh bringing the tablets down from On High on Wednesday and tell everyone how to trade. Wednesday Addams.

The stock market has not yet pulled back to any great extent. Expect far greater drops in equities going forward until people are beaten out of their bullish euphoria mindset and take on gloom, doom, panic and fear, and that will be time to nibble on longs, in the daily time frame. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

SPX S&P 500 60-Minute Chart with 200 EMA Cross; Failure at SPX 7388 Ushers-In a Short-Term Bear Market

The key SPX 60-minute chart with 200 EMA cross metric fails at 7388 ushering in a short-term bear market, as explained a few charts ago. Scroll back a few charts or here is a link. Read that first. So price fails at the critical 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart at 7388. Note the textbook price action. Price fell to the line in the sand, and bounced from the support, but then came down again and failed. Then, price came back up from the underside for the back kiss to make sure it truly wanted to go down and voila, the SPX hits its head on the 7388 resistance and falls back down the steps again, a successful back test for the bears.

Watch the price support at 7277 that spells lots more trouble ahead. Then, watch that low at 7237 that likely opens the door to sustainable pain and misery for anyone long the market. Grab a Sharpie and write 7388 on a post-it note and stick it on your forehead. This tells you who wins going forward and then the 20-day MA at 7475 would confirm solid upside joy, while a failure at the 50-day MA at 7214 would spell doom and gloom for the summertime. In the Summertime by Mungo Jerry. It's the summertime, and men have women on the mind. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 1:02 PM EST: The Keybot the Quant robot remains short and is tracking the VIX 20.77 bull/bear line in the sand as the most important metric impacting stock market direction currently. The VIX is above 20.77 at 21.56 so it creates pain and misery. Bulls need VIX below 20.77 or they got nothing. Stocks can rally but if the VIX remains above 20.77, stocks will reverse and fall apart again. Thus, SPX 7388 and VIX 20.77 tells you everything you need to know about the stock market and both metrics are creating negativity right now.

Note Added 4:25 PM EST: Whoopsies daisies. The S&P 500 collapses -120 points, -1.6%, to 7266. Kitty refuses to come out from under the bed. The Sandman is gonna get you.

Note Added 6/14/26: King Donnie Trumpski steps in to save the day announcing an agreement to end the Iran War and a promise that all will be groovy. Iran says, "what, who, where?" Traders eat it up buying stocks like there is no tomorrow. The SPX recovers to 7431 so the bulls win the contest above, or do they? Let Monday and Tuesday play out because it may reverse again in the craziness and instability. More tests of this critical S/R will follow.

The Coronavirus Chronology 3-Volume Set with 1,000 Charts is the Official Historical Record of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Hearings on Capitol Hill continue shining a light on the nefarious activities of Anthony Fauci and his associates during the COVID-19 pandemic. There are also health concerns over the mRNA vaccines and the increase in blood clots, myocarditis and cancer in folks that received the multiple shots.

The Coronavirus Chronology three-volume set with 1,000 charts is the official historical record of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is the covid bible. It is the daily real-time chronological record of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic. It is not revisionist story-telling. It is the raw pandemic truth recorded and chronicled in real-time.

The United States battled eight infection waves, and the world fought 10 waves, during the COVID-19 pandemic from late 2019 to February 2023. The Coronavirus Chronology with 1,000 charts is the only daily real-time historical record that exists covering the entire 3-1/2 year COVID-19 tragedy.

The Coronavirus Chronology Aftermath is the fourth book in the Coronavirus Chronology series published via Amazon. The Coronavirus Chronology Aftermath is the historical record of the COVID-19 endemic phase, that started in February 2023, through July 2025. Of course, the covid endemic phase continues where the virus now behaves like the regular flu. There are three times more flu cases than COVID-19 over the last two winters so the US returns to pre-pandemic respiratory virus patterns.

Relive each day of the COVID-19 pandemic in real-time. You will be astounded at the things you forgot about the pandemic, and you will remember the ugly things that you wanted to forget. The Coronavirus Chronology is the raw unbiased pandemic truth that was recorded in real-time without any allegiance to the corrupt political parties.

For anyone impacted mentally or physically by the COVID-19 pandemic, and looking for closure, or learning to live with the ugly memories of misery and death, reading the events in real-time again may help you heal. You have to get all those thoughts up and out of your body if you want to heal and live the life you deserve.

Nurses and doctors can go back and read what was happening in real-time during their most difficult times of the COVID-19 pandemic. Scientists and researchers should begin their studies of the COVID-19 pandemic with the Coronavirus Chronology. You will not find a more detailed daily accounting of the pandemic anywhere in the world. Lawmakers and politicians in the United States and around the world can assess their response to the COVID-19 pandemic since all the international actions were chronicled in real-time.

The table of contents for the four books in the Coronavirus Chronology series are shown below. The Coronavirus Chronology Abridged Text version book is nearing publication. Ditto the Coronavirus Chronology Charts book. The Coronavirus Chronology Conclusions and Recommendations book will also be published this year and conclude the books in the COVID-19 pandemic series.

Reading the titles below should bring back memories for everyone. Americans and global citizens must understand that the COVID-19 pandemic changed everyone's lives forever, and that for many, it continues to have an impact years later.

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 1 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2019 SEPTEMBER; Nefarious Activity at Wuhan Institute of Virology in China

2019 OCTOBER; Gates Foundation “Event 201” Simulates a Global Coronavirus Outbreak

2019 NOVEMBER; First Novel Coronavirus Illness in China

2019 DECEMBER; Chinese Doctors Muzzled by CCP

2020 JANUARY; Coronavirus Identified in United States

2020 FEBRUARY; WHO Names Coronavirus ‘COVID-19’; Fear of a Pandemic Escalates Worldwide

2020 MARCH; US and Worldwide Wave 1; WHO Declares COVID-19 a Pandemic; Covid Infections Increasing Exponentially; 200K Cases in America 4.3K Dead

2020 APRIL; 250K Dead Worldwide; 50K Americans Dead

2020 MAY; Over 1.8 Million US Cases 100K Dead; US Unemployment Rate 14.7%; ‘#China Lied People Died’

2020 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 2; 10 Million Cases Worldwide 500K Dead; 3 Million Cases in America 130K Dead; New York Governor Cuomo Nursing Home Scandal

2020 JULY; Pandemic Turns Political; 800K Dead Worldwide; 150K Americans Dead

2020 AUGUST; One American Dies Every Minute; Rules Touted for Masks and Social Distancing; Telemedicine Flourishes; 970K Dead Worldwide; 195K Americans Dead

2020 SEPTEMBER; US and Worldwide Wave 3; Trump Admits to Lying About Pandemic to Avoid Creating Panic; 1 Million Dead Worldwide; 220K Dead Americans

2020 OCTOBER; Trump Hospitalized and Recovers; Trump Says ‘Learn to Live with It’; Biden Says ‘We’re Learning to Die with It’; US Exceeds 100K Cases Per Day; 1.3 Million Dead Worldwide; 240K Americans Dead

2020 NOVEMBER; One American Dies Every 30 Seconds; Trump Loses Election to Biden but Will Not Concede; US Exceeds 200K Cases Per Day; 60 Million Cases Worldwide

2020 DECEMBER; Pfizer COVID-19 mRNA Vaccinations Begin; Over 80 Million Cases Worldwide 1.9 Million Dead; Over 20 Million US Cases 380K Dead

2021 JANUARY; COVID-19 Culling the Elderly; 100 Million Cases Worldwide 2 Million Dead; 480K Americans Dead

2021 FEBRUARY; Worldwide Wave 4; 2.5 Million Dead Worldwide; 520K Americans Dead

2021 MARCH; US Wave 4; Vaccine Inequality; Blood Clots; COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Messaging Changes to ‘Preventing Hospitalization and Death’

2021 APRIL; 100 Million Americans Vaccinated; Breakthrough Cases; Pfizer Says Third Shot Needed; 3 Million Dead Worldwide; India Outbreak (Delta)

2021 MAY; Myocarditis Cases Increase; Monoclonal Antibodies (mAb) Successful Treatment; Fauci Questioned About Funding Gain of Function Research at Wuhan Labs; 3.7 Million Dead Worldwide; 600K Americans Dead

2021 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 5 (Delta); WHO Names Variants with Greek Letters; Fauci is ‘Mr Science’

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 2 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2021 JUNE; US and Worldwide Wave 5 (Delta); WHO Names Variants with Greek Letters; Fauci is ‘Mr Science’

2021 JULY; “Pandemic of the Unvaccinated”; Vaccine Mandates; Censorship; 80% of COVID-19 Deaths Are Overweight and Obese; 4 Million Dead Worldwide

2021 AUGUST; Vaccinated People Spreading Virus; FDA Officials Resign Protesting Rushed Booster Shots; 4.6 Million Dead Worldwide; 670K Americans Dead

2021 SEPTEMBER; Biden 6-Point Plan; Biden Blames Pandemic and Flailing Economy on Unvaccinated; 700K Americans Dead More Than 1918 Spanish Flu

2021 OCTOBER; US and Worldwide Wave 6 (Omicron); Waning Vaccine Effectiveness; Vaccinated Versus Unvaccinated; Testosterone May Play Role in Myocarditis; ‘Disease X’; 250 Million Cases Worldwide 5 Million Dead

2021 NOVEMBER; Biden Is Incompetent at Handling Pandemic Like Trump; Biden Approval Rating Plummets; 50 Million US Cases 820K Dead

2021 DECEMBER; Pfizer’s Paxlovid Pill Approved; 80% of COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; Breakthrough Cases Escalate; US Life Expectancy Drops from 79 to77; UK “Partygate”; 5.5 Million Dead Worldwide

2022 JANUARY; One American Dies Every Minute; Omicron Cases Peak in US; “Flurona”; “Twindemic”; Trucker’s “Freedom Convoy”; 77 Million US Cases 930K Dead

2022 FEBRUARY; US Wave 6 “Inverted V” or “Ice Pick” Chart Pattern Ending; Russia Invades Ukraine

2022 MARCH; US Wave 7a and Worldwide Wave 7; “Deltacron”; US Vaccination Rate Plummets; China Virus Kills 6 Million Worldwide and 1 Million Americans

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY VOLUME 3 OF 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY

2022 MARCH; US Wave 7a and Worldwide Wave 7; “Deltacron”; US Vaccination Rate Plummets; China Virus Kills 6 Million Worldwide and 1 Million Americans

2022 APRIL; Omicron Subvariants; Gridiron Dinner Superspreader Event; Denmark Ends COVID-19 Vaccination Program; 500 Million Cases Worldwide 6.3 Million Dead; 80 Million US Cases 1 Million Dead

2022 MAY; Worldwide Wave 8; Breakthrough Cases Galore; One-Half of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; China in Lockdown Killing Pets as Zero-Covid Strategy Fails; North Korea Outbreak; “Pandemic Treaty”

2022 JUNE; US Wave 7b and Worldwide Wave 9; Global Cases Drop Below 500K Per Day; US Covid Deaths Drop Below 200 Per Day

2022 JULY; Pharmacists Prescribe Paxlovid; Biden Sick with COVID-19 Again and Experiences Paxlovid Rebound; Global Cases Pop Above 1 Million Per Day with 2K Deaths Per Day

2022 AUGUST; Natural Immunity Better than 2 Vaccine Doses; Censorship of COVID-19 Information; Fauci Resigns; 600 Million Cases Worldwide 6.5 Million Dead

2022 SEPTEMBER; 85% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Seniors Over 65 Years Old; Biden Stupidly Proclaims the ‘Pandemic is Over’; Global Cases Drop Below 400K Per Day with 1.3K Deaths Per Day

2022 OCTOBER; US Wave 8; Biden’s COVID-19 Deaths at 662K Are 1-1/2 Times Trump’s 441K Deaths; Fauci’s Net Worth Increases by $5 Million to $13 Million Total During Pandemic; “Tripledemic”

2022 NOVEMBER; Worldwide Wave 10; 60% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Vaccinated; “Pandemic of the Vaccinated”; Fauci Questioned Under Oath About Origins of COVID-19 but “Cannot Recall”; 100 Million US Cases 1.1 Million Dead

2022 DECEMBER; 90% of US COVID-19 Deaths Are Seniors Over 65 Years Old and 15% Are Nursing Home Residents; “Pandemic of the Elderly”; “Scrabble Variants”; “Died Suddenly” Documentary; US Vaccination Rate Drops

2023 JANUARY; Fauci Finally Retires; Pfizer Executive Taped Saying Covid Vaccines Are “Cash Cows”; Global Cases Drop Below 150K Per Day; COVID-19 Transitioning from Pandemic to Endemic Phase

2023 FEBRUARY; COVID-19 Pandemic Ends and Endemic Phase Begins; Coronavirus Chronology Attacked by Censorship Again; Global Cases Drop Below 100K Per Day; 680 Million Cases Worldwide 6.8 Million Dead; 105 Million US Cases 1.16 Million Dead; One in Every 300 Americans Died from Covid During Pandemic

 

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABOUT THE CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

ABOUT K E STONE (KEYSTONE)

COVID-19 PANDEMIC OVERVIEW

READING GUIDE

CORONAVIRUS CHRONOLOGY AFTERMATH

2023 FEBRUARY; FBI and DOE Say COVID-19 Virus Likely Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2023 MARCH; US Government and Social Media Platforms Exposed for Censorship During Pandemic

2023 APRIL; Fingerpointing Continues

2023 MAY; WHO Declares End to the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency; US Ends COVID-19 Public Health Emergency Declaration

2023 JUNE; Only 17% of Americans Took the COVID-19 Booster Shot Over the Last 9 Months

2023 JULY; Senator Paul Asks DOJ to Investigate Fauci for Lying to Congress

2023 AUGUST; Pentagon Says COVID-19 Likely Originated from Lab Leak

2023 SEPTEMBER; CDC Stupidly Recommends COVID-19 Vaccine for Everyone 6 Months and Older

2023 OCTOBER; Senator Paul Says Covid Vaccine Is More Dangerous than the Virus for Children 15 Years Old and Younger

2023 NOVEMBER; COVID-19 Fall Booster Shot Uptake Is Pitiful; Americans Have Moved on from Pandemic

2023 DECEMBER; Covid Vaccine Rate Drops to Pitiful 60K Shots Per Day

2024 JANUARY; Fauci Testifies to Congress Saying “I Don’t Know (Recall)” 200 Times; Fauci Admits that the Staying Six-Feet Apart Rule Was Not Based on Any Data

2024 FEBRUARY; Heart Disease and Attacks Increase Post-Covid (Due to Vaccines?)

2024 MARCH; WSJ Posits that COVID-19 Was Laboratory Synthesized (Not from Nature) and Likely Leaked from the Wuhan Lab

2024 APRIL; Study Suggests Long-Covid May Be Due to the Covid Illness and/or the Covid Vaccines; Airlines Experiencing Serious Maintenance Problems and Mishaps (Because of the Stupid Covid Vaccine Mandates?)

2024 MAY; AstraZeneca Admits that the COVID-19 Vaccine Causes TTS (Blood Clots)

2024 JUNE; Fauci Testifies Before the House Select Committee on the Coronavirus Pandemic; Cancer Increases Post-Covid

2024 JULY; CDC and Jha Warn of a Mild Summer Covid Wave; Fauci Blames Trump and Others for Pandemic Mistakes

2024 AUGUST; Six-Times Vaccinated Fauci Tests Positive for COVID-19 for Third Time; Meta (Facebook) CEO Zuckerberg Regrets His Censorship of COVID-19 Content

2024 SEPTEMBER; Stanford University Symposium Hosted by Dr Jay Battacharya Discusses COVID-19 Pandemic

2024 OCTOBER; Shocking Study from England Concluded that Myocarditis and/or Pericarditis Only Appeared in Children and Adolescents that Received the COVID-19 mRNA Vaccines

2024 NOVEMBER; Former President Trump Reelected and Appoints Robert F Kennedy to Head HHS, Dr Marty Makary to Run FDA, and Dr Jay Bhattacharya to Head the NIH

2024 DECEMBER; House Select Subcommittee on Coronavirus Pandemic Releases 520-Page Report Concluding that Pandemic Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2025 JANUARY; US Quad-Demic of Flu, COVID-19, RSV and Norovirus; CIA Agrees with FBI and DOE that COVID-19 Likely Originated from Wuhan Lab Leak

2025 FEBRUARY; Flu Deaths Surpass COVID-19 Deaths; President Trump Rescinds All COVID-19 Vaccine Mandates; Children Remain Half-Year Behind in Math and Reading After the Pandemic

2025 MARCH; 74% of Americans Say COVID-19 Took a Toll on Their Lives

2025 APRIL; COVID-19 Vaccine Stocks Crash as Most Americans Unwilling to Take Further mRNA Shots

2025 MAY; President Trump Bans Funding of Gain of Function Research; US Health Officials Delayed Warning the Public about Myocarditis Risk from Vaccines; COVID-19 Vaccines Removed from Childhood Vaccine Schedule; Novavax Receives FDA Approval for Protein-Based (non mRNA) COVID-19 Vaccine

2025 JUNE; Newly Appointed Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) Led By Chairman Martin Kulldorff Holds First Meeting

2025 JULY; Americans and Citizens Worldwide Move on with Life after the COVID-19 Pandemic 2019 to 2023 and the Covid Endemic Phase 2023 to 2025

NVDA NVIDIA Monthly Chart; Overbot; Rising Wedge; Negative Divergence; Upper Band Violation; Price Extended; Git While the Gittin' Is Good

Yesterday and on the weekend, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang was telling everyone to buy his stock and other AI company's stock after the Friday pullback. There is something seedy about a CEO telling you to buy his stock, that is why most executives do not say it. You want to buy on results and earnings if a fundamental trader, or technicals if you are a chartist, not hype from the CEO that sounds like a snake oil salesman proclaiming the greatness of his elixir from the back of a carnival wagon.

Talk about leading the lambs to slaughter. Holy smokes. The NVDA monthly chart is a POS. If you have profits from the historic run higher, take the money and run, like Steve and the band. The rising wedge pattern is bearish. Price has violated the upper standard deviation band so a move back to the middle band at 164, and the lower band at 99, are on the table on the monthly basis. Price is way extended above the moving average ribbon so a mean reversion lower on the monthly basis is desperately needed.

The red lines show the overbot conditions that are agreeable to a pullback and the glaring negative divergence. Price moves higher, the candlesticks printing a potential Tweezer Top last month and this month, while ALL the chart indicators slope lower; neggie d. Thus, a negative divergence spankdown is on tap going forward on the monthly basis (this means the rest of the year and perhaps much more).

The Fall 2025 top was significant; you can scroll back and find that post when Keystone called the top back then. The MACD line was tricky business, but negatively diverged, so price did not have to come the whole way back up, but it was such a tiny dip of the MACD line when the top occurred, a move back up in price to the matching and a bit more high is no biggie and not surprising.

And now the glaring neggie d is firmly in place so avoid NVDA like the plague. She is going to take a big drop lower as the year plays out. Sub 100 is on the table for later this year and that would be a -50% pullback. Blasphemy! What is this guy talking about? It is AI! NVIDIA stock will go up forever! This guy does not know what he is talking about. It is blasphemy going against AI that is our new god with a small g. Is that what you are thinking in your small mind?

That is what makes a top. The sucka's will defend their buying with more buying and more hype and more euphoric projections. The Aroon exactly reflects the out of control fearlessness and euphoric bullishness for NVDA stock. The green line shows that all the bulls believe NVDA will go up forever. Comically, the red line shows that all the bears also believe that NVDA will go up forever. Everyone is on one side of the boat with zero expectation that any downside will occur.

The stock would be tricky to short and there is no reason to since there are many other better short plays out there. Keystone is not long or short NVDA now and will probably not play it. The chart above is telling you to get out of NVDA while you can, otherwise, you will be the sucker and bagholder. If a money manager just placed you into NVDA stock, tell them to move that dough elsewhere. He is just helping one of his wealthy clients exit NVDA at the top and sloughing off the shares to you, Sammy Sucka and Bonita Bagholder that are caught up in the hype.

Look at the volume dying off over time. The money flow shows a bit of life but that is due to the dip-buyers worried they will miss the next big move higher. The NVDA party is in full gear with Jensen buying shots for everyone while telling them to buy shares. Bring on the dancing girls. Everybody sing the fan fave Wagon Wheel. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added 6:25 PM EST: NVDA drops to 199 then recovers to 208. The monthly chart above is ugly forecasting negativity for NVIDIA for the months ahead. Get out of NVDA and save yourself. Jensen's wealth will decrease for the remainder of the year (much of his wealth is in NVDA stock) as the neggie d kicks in starting the smackdown that will run for a few months..