Keystone’s Contemplations; where observational thinking, abstract pondering,
meditative reflections, and stream of consciousness writing rule the roost
2026 United States Mid-Term Election Roadmap and Predictions
for Election Day 11/3/26; Blue Ripple More Likely than Blue Wave; Affordability
Key Issue but Some Candidates Are Weak Woke, or Too Radical; House May Flip to the Democrats
but Senate Likely to Remain with Republicans; Ramaswamy Video Rattles Ohio Governor Race; Two Dan Sullivans on Alaska Ballot Imposter is Dubbed "Decoy Dan"; Obama Cheesecake Factory Comment; Trump Campaigns in Ruby Red States; Democrats Gaining Momentum; Pope Leo First Pontiff to Vote in a US Election; Democrat El-Sayed Refuses to Denounce Antisemitic Ad in Minnesota so Rival Stevens Endorses Republican Rogers
By K E Stone (Keystone)
Every two years, Keystone writes an article for the US
elections. Last time was November 2024 the King Donnie Trump reelection saga.
Click here if you want to relive that circus drama. This time around in
November 2026 is the mid-term elections with all the House members and
one-third of the Senate vying to keep their jobs.
We are less than two weeks away from the US mid-term
elections that dictate the makeup of the House and Senate. The House is 435
total seats with 218 currently held by the republicans (conservatives; MAGA;
right-wing; GOP (Grand Ole Party); authoritarian-leaning; red; elephant) and
democrats (liberals; progressives; left-wing; leftists; socialist-leaning;
blue; donkey) hold 214 seats. Two seats are vacant and one is held by an
independent. 218+214+2+1=435.
The republicans hold the slim 4-seat advantage but the
expectation is that the House will flip to the democrats with perhaps a 4 to
10-seat advantage. Some say a much bigger landslide is on tap with a couple
dozen seat advantage for democrats but that is probably wishful thinking. Of
course, the republicans hope to hold the House even if it is with a slimmer
margin than 4 seats.
The democrat more common-sense establishment is concerned
that the radical left candidates (there are several in this election cycle)
that spout antisemitic remarks and cheer for a move towards a socialist
government will be elected, and then hold up democrat legislation unless their
radical agendas are followed. America’s corrupt crony capitalism system is
twisted into a knot that can’t be undone. Back Against the Wall by SonVolt.
The US Senate consists of 100 seats two for each state. The
republicans hold the majority with 53 seats with the democrats at 45 seats. Two
seats are independent but they typically side with democrats bumping that
number to 47. Democrats are cheering that they can take the Senate as well as
the House but that may be wishful thinking. A more realistic outcome is that
the republican majority may slip by a hair.
House members serve 2-year terms while senators enjoy 6-year
terms. All of the House members face elections every two years while only one-third
of the senators are up for election every two years. Some of the House members
become entrenched in their position and the electorate gets used to voting for
the same old name every two years. This is the time of year when politicians
show up in communities with big cardboard checks spreading money around so
everyone remembers their name in the voting booth. Such is the crony capitalism
system.
All of Keystone’s election articles start at the same place
with the most important election metric that is rarely, if ever, wrong; the
right track/wrong track poll. If Americans view the country as on the right
track, the party in power will be rewarded at the voting booth. If, however,
the party in power is viewed as being on the wrong track, they will receive a
beating. The US is currently on the wrong track so democrats are favored.
As Emperor Obama faded from power in 2016, and republican Trumpski
competed against democrat Crooked Hillary Clinton, the country was thought to
be on the wrong track, so Donnie won. When Trump went for reelection in 2020
against democrat Sleepy Joe Biden, the dementia patient, while the COVID-19
pandemic raged on, the country again thought America was on the wrong track.
Biden won and Trump was booted from office.
Trump managed the COVID-19 pandemic poorly telling everyone
the US was ‘rounding the corner’ until he caught the virus and almost died.
Biden won in large part due to Trump’s incompetence at handling the pandemic
but most of all because the country was on the wrong track. Two years ago, for
the 2024 election, again, the country was on the wrong track so Harris, that
was thrown into the race because Biden displayed his mental illness in front of
the world on the debate stage, was defeated by Trump.
Donnie Chump won the election two years ago mainly because
many Americans could not bring themselves to vote for Kamala the cackling
communist and the country was on the wrong track. The US is on the wrong track
currently, so this is a big advantage for the democrat candidates.
About 260 million Americans are eligible to vote but only
155 million made the effort for the presidential election two years ago. Typical
turnout for presidential elections is about 60% and about 40% for mid-term
elections. The presidential elections always have a bigger turnout. Lots of
democrats stayed home two years ago in protest to the Biden mess that
prohibited a proper democrat primary from taking place. This behavior handed
the election to republican Donnie.
About 112 to 118 million Americans voted in the last
mid-term elections 30 or 40 million less votes than the presidential cycle. It
will be interesting to see how the total vote this time around compares. Are
you taking the over or under to 115 million voters for the upcoming election?
Perhaps only 100 million will show up to vote since a majority of Americans are
unhappy with the current mess in the world and the US.
How will a low turnout impact the results? Generally, low
turnout may favor the democrats while a higher turnout than expected may
benefit the republicans but this projection is unpredictable and akin to
reading tea leaves or turning over Tarot cards.
An NBC News (democrat-run media) poll says 71% of Americans
believe the country is on the wrong track not a good omen for the republicans. Only
29% say the right track. Ouch. The number may be a bit high since it is
reported by a democrat-run media source. Parse the news you hear depending on
where you hear it.
The democrat-run media that will always report the news with
a left-leaning slant are CNN, MSNOW, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times,
Washington Post, etc…Note how the democrats dominate the broadcast news
channels (ABC, CBS, NBC) and public television (PBS, NPR). Most of the democrat
party are ‘never Trumper’s’ and suffer from TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome)
where they must disagree and fight against Trump no matter what, even if he
announced a cure for cancer.
The republican-run media that will always report the news
with a right-leaning slant are Fox News, Newsmax, OAN, Breitbart, AM talk
radio, New York Post, etc… The republicans enjoy a larger cable news viewership
with Fox News and Newsmax compared to CNN and MSNOW. Most of the republican
party are ‘always Trumper’s’ and suffer from TSS (Trump Sycophant Syndrome)
where they will defend even the most stupid thought, comment, or idea that
comes out of Donnie’s orange mouth. Trump said he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue
and all his little sycophants would not care and he was right. Instead, the
Trump sycophants would appreciate the opportunity to lick Donnie’s shoes each
day.
The Decision Desk data averaging several polls says 64%
wrong track and 31% right track providing support for the NBC data. Based on
the most reliable election indicator available, the right track/wrong track
poll, democrats should put a substantive beating on the republicans.
During mid-term elections, the president in power typically
loses seats to the opposite party; it is a given and expected but is this time
different? This is another metric in the democrats favor but the radical
democrat candidates do not appeal to the general population and may be a
counterweight to the two positive aspects mentioned.
The 2022 mid-term elections were interesting because competency
was a key factor that no one considered. Both democrats and republicans were
elected or reelected because they were viewed as competent managers. If this
mindset repeats, many voters will diss the radical democrat candidates
believing their socialist agenda is not a prudent path forward for the United
States.
Turnout will dictate the winner. The corrupt democrats and
republicans will probably cancel each other out and the independents will dictate
the winners. The independents went for Trump two years ago but the failure to
deliver lower prices and other broken promises has the independents skewing
towards democrats this time around.
Trump’s tax cuts and the relief from taxes on tips and
overtime only served to cover part of the higher inflation costs brought on by
Donnie’s tariffs and the Iran War he started that has now morphed into a Middle
East War. During the campaign, Trump promised to end the Ukraine War in 24
hours but he knew all along that was a lie. Donnie said he would lower prices
on day one another lie. Prices and inflation are higher than when he entered
office.
Trump is not releasing the Epstein files instead choosing to
hide the documents from the public since they likely involve tawdry details
about First Lady Melania and how Donnie and Melania met. In addition, Trump is
protecting the rich donors that contribute to the republican, or retrumplican,
party, since most of them likely loved the supple young bodies they enjoyed on
Epstein’s island. Don’t you love crony capitalism filth?
The independents are not the only ones unhappy with Trump’s
performance. Blacks are disillusioned especially because of Trump firing
government employees. A lot of government positions are filled by people of
color trying to get experience and a leg up to other economic and job opportunities
but the crony capitalism system flushes their hopes and dreams down the toilet
again. There are likely lots of folks of color that are related to or know
someone that got canned from their job and are now struggling to get by. These
folks are not happy with the republicans.
Do not forget the Latinos that happily voted for Donnie
Chump thinking that construction jobs would be plentiful and it would be easy
to make a living. But Trump’s aggressive move to round up and remove illegal
immigrants from the US has hit a sour note. Americans assumed that Trump would
focus on the criminal illegal immigrants, and he has, but no one considered
that he would deport anyone that is in the country illegally regardless of
whether they ever committed a crime or not.
Neighbor Carlos, that is a great community member and loved
by all, with great kids, is rounded up like a two-bit murderer, handcuffed,
roughed-up for fun, thrown into a paddy wagon, and deported. Carlos is guilty
of entering the US illegally 27 years ago. He and his family’s lives are now in
shambles. Americans do not want to see this happen; surely there is a better
way.
Since Latinos are most impacted by the immigration crackdown,
their opinion on the Don has soured. The incompetent demopublicans and
republocrats, more concerned about staying in power and shoving money in their
pockets than debating legislation, have failed the country over the last
decades refusing to solve the immigration problem. Now the immigration problem,
that should have been a clear win for Donnie, descends into a crap hole.
An advantage for republicans is money. Their war chest of
campaign funds is far bigger than the democrat stash. A lot of this money will
go into television ads that will run non-stop into the election. Negative ads
work so the vitrail is already flying across television screens. The negativity
is far more degrading nowadays compared to decades ago when a candidate would
accuse their opponent’s mother of wearing army boots.
Nowadays any piggish filth that can be found out about a
person’s past is fair game for a campaign ad whether it is verified or not.
This is why many people that would like to serve in public office do not. No
one wants their antics from high school or college to be on full public
display.
The republicans reshaped some of the congressional maps in
several states (gerrymandering) to provide an advantage in the mid-term elections.
The crony capitalism filth is on display everywhere every day. The democrats
are no different favoring redistricting if they can secure an advantage. Typically,
the gerrymandering does not produce much of an advantage and sometimes the
moves backfire.
There are 22 key House races on tap; Arizona’s 6th District,
California’s 22nd District, Colorado’s 8th District, Florida’s 14th and 22nd
Districts, Iowa’s 1st District, Michigan’s 4th, 7th and 10th Districts, Montana’s
1st District, New York’s 17th District, North Carolina’s 1st and 11th
Districts, Ohio’s 7th and 9th Districts, Pennsylvania’s 8th and 10th Districts,
Texas’s 15th and 34th Districts, Virginia’s 1st and 2nd Districts, and
Wisconsin’s 3rd District.
The 22 close House races above are in 14 different states. Deciphering
the numbers as best as possible, there are 6 incumbent democrats, 14 incumbent
republicans, and 2 open seats in those 22 states. The 22 key tossups may split
down the middle with the democrats maybe in favor by a seat so 11-11 or 12-10
and we can throw a 13-9 in there also. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot that
is why Keystone is not invited to the Halloween gala, the democrats may gain
from 5 to 7 seats in the House and that would be enough to gain control of the
chamber.
After the smoke clears from the elections, the democrats
will probably control the House but only by the same slim margin, or less, as
the republicans now enjoy. This outcome would open the door to the scenario
mentioned above where a few radical leftist democrats may hold the House
hostage preventing legislation to pass unless they are given concessions.
In the Senate, 35 seats are up for grabs but only 10 races
appear competitive; Alaska, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, New
Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas. 11 senators in 11 states are
leaving office seven republicans and four democrats. Republicans may lose one
of these races.
For the 10 tossups, 4 may end up in the democrat camp and 6
in the republican camp if you add 4 percentage-points to the republican
candidate polls to allow for poll bias that has shown to not properly account
for republican voters. The 10 tossups states start with 3 in the democrat camp
and 7 in the republican camp. Thus, democrats may gain a Senate seat, or maybe
two, depending on how the night goes.
The US Senate is currently 53 republicans and 47 democrats
(2 independents caucus with democrats) so the margin will likely narrow to
52-48 or 51-49 but the republicans should maintain control by a hair.
Thus, approaching the tossup elections with an open mind and
picking winners and losers, the House will likely flip to democrat control but
with only a 2 to 5 seat majority. The Senate will likely remain in republican
control but the margin will narrow providing only a 1 or 2 vote advantage for
republicans.
If this scenario plays out, it will likely result in
gridlock in Washington, DC, into the presidential election November 2028.
Typically, gridlock is good since both corrupt incompetent political parties
cannot do as much damage. Wall Street usually likes gridlock since the
political arena does not impact stocks. However, we live in different times.
America’s crony capitalism filth system is in its last
throes. These times call for action from deadbeat politicians but do not expect
any greatness from these corrupt souls. Many problems need addressed but a
House under democrat control by a hair and Senate under republican control by a
hair does not cut the mustard. Nothing will get accomplished. It likely seals
the deal on America’s six-decade walk down the primrose path.
The US middle class has been gutted starting with former
President Ronnie Ray-gun in the 1980’s. He busted the unions (airline traffic
controllers) and started shipping America’s middle-class jobs overseas to take
advantage of the cheap slave labor. This lowers company expenses and shot
stocks into the stratosphere on higher earnings making the wealthy class filthy
rich while destroying the middle class. The wealthy class benefits themselves
since they own the stock market. One-half of Americans do not own a single
share of stock. Are you starting to understand crony capitalism filth?
Fast forward 50 years and America consists of 30 million
wealthy folks at the top and 300 million peons at the bottom. The middle class,
that was the fabric of the nation and the glue that held the United States
together, is toast. That’s gone never to return. Capitalism does not exist in
practice. It only resides in the pages of theoretical business and economics
textbooks.
America is a faux free market crony capitalism system (not
capitalism). If you accept the fact that capitalism does not exist, everything
occurring nowadays will make a lot more sense. The US has always been a nation
where it is more important who you know or who you are related to rather than
your skills or knowledge. That is not capitalism.
Americans want the good side of capitalism where everyone is
working with many job opportunities and the stock market is screaming higher,
but no one wants to feel the pain of the downside of capitalism where
businesses and corporations, and banks, must go bankrupt and people will lose
jobs. This is the cleansing mechanism that is the hallmark of the capitalism
system. Instead, the bloated and mismanaged companies are bailed out by the
government mainly to protect the wealthy class that own the stock market and
other major investments that would be adversely impacted. This is not
capitalism. It is crony capitalism filth. And people want to save this?
Do not worry, however, since there is nothing you can do
about it. The politicians, including whatever grifter and corrupt individual is
installed as president in two years, are only placeholders in the failing crony
capitalism system. It does not matter who is in office. The coming months and
years will be chaotic, violent and historic. Even if you are math-challenged,
you understand that 300 million is a lot bigger number than 30 million, right?
The drama and silly season around the election is increasing
with intensity each day closer to the 11/3/26 elections. The Senate races are
receiving lots of attention. In Alaska, incumbent republican Dan Sullivan is
trying to keep his seat as the democrats place another man named Dan Sullivan
on the docket to create confusion.
In the Texas senate race, democrat James Talarico is
battling republican Ken Paxton. Republicans make fun of Talarico for being a
vegan although it appears that he does eat beef (a Texas staple). Talarico
favors trans rights and other liberal policies that may not jive with
red-necked Texas so republicans call him “Tala-freako.” Paxton has his own
baggage looking like a corrupt criminal for his past deeds and he is not the
best campaigner. Trump selected Paxton after he destroyed republican John
Cornyn’s career, that may result in a lost republican seat.
In Michigan, democrat Abdul El-Sayed is running against
republican Mike Rogers for the senate seat. El-Sayed is one of the radical
democrats that would likely promote a progressive socialist agenda if elected.
He refuses to discredit Iran and the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps;
radical Islamist terrorists) that may be his downfall. Remember, all radical
Islamists are Muslims, but not all Muslims, not by any stretch, are radical
Islamists.
It is time for October surprises to occur where dirty tricks
are played on candidates to hurt their chances. In the Ohio governor race,
republican Vivek Ramaswamy or his associates, release a video of his opponent’s
mother stating that her daughter, Amy Acton, is a liar and should not be
elected. As it turns out, the mother is not receiving any motherhood awards due
to her past and one of her husbands likely molested Amy years ago. The video
may backfire on Ramaswamy and help Amy Acton.
There are likely more October surprises in store including
perhaps a big barrage of missiles and drones targeting US military bases and
ships in the Middle East by the radical Islamists in Iran and their Houthi
partners in Yemen. The IRGC will hope to disrupt the US elections and cause
problems for Trump.
Other factors impacting the mid-term elections include
Trump’s approval rating at a dismal and record low for both his terms at 29% to
36%. King Donnie has made a mess around the world and domestically. Chump
promised he would never start a forever war until he started a forever war in
the Middle East.
Another key factor, that no one talks about, is the Elon
Musk factor. Musk has money to burn and has dedicated millions into the
elections hoping to boost the republican chances. Musk sinks the dough into the
ground game and people have short memories that this was a major factor for
Trump winning two years ago.
The democrats are always known for their solid ground game
and beating on doors to get the vote out. That took a back seat two years ago
with Musk money developing a republican ground game that was just as solid as
the democrats if not superior. With Musk pumping $27 million into the
republican ground game this time around, it will likely make a difference and
will probably be a key reason the republicans maintain control of the senate.
Yard signs can be a tell on the elections. Here in
southwestern Pennsylvania, apathy is at play. There are not many yard signs for
candidates anywhere. One guy down the road put a few signs in his yard but
oddly there were two for democrats and one for a republican. Maybe that was a husband-and-wife
compromise. At any rate, the lack of yard signs indicates a lack of interest in
the elections and voting. With no relief in sight to high prices and inflation month
after month, the 300 million peons in America realize that no one is going to
help them, so why should they care anymore?
Affordability is a top issue on voter’s minds. Trump
promised to lower prices and inflation on day one of his presidency but that
was a lie. Common Americans can find no relief from the high cost of living
these days that is sending people into debt to survive. King Donnie asks, “What
is the big deal that you pay a little more for gas when I saved the world from
a nuclear bomb (says he).” Trump is out of touch with the economy just like
Biden. Rich people do not feel your pain.
Affordability is on everyone’s minds but unfortunately most
candidates up for election do not offer significant management experience. Even
though affordability is key, it will likely not resonate much in the selection
process. On a bigger scale, talking generally, the affordability issue will
favor democrats over republicans.
Donnie Chump may be losing his gravitas. He is an official
lame-duck president. The presidential election cycle for 2028 will heat-up
starting on November 4th. Presidential primary elections will be coming fast in
the spring of 2028. King Donnie is on his farewell adoration tour this campaign
season trying to receive as much applause as possible over the coming days to
feed his needy narcissistic ego.
Some republican candidates, especially those in purple
states (equally split between democrats and republicans), have distanced
themselves from Donnie and even asked him not to campaign in their states
because they do not want the Trump stink to rub off on them.
The mid-term elections will likely result in a blue ripple instead
of a blue wave. The big tsunami blue wave is cheered for by democrats that are
referencing polls that may be artificially skewed in their favor. If a blue
wave does occur, it will embolden the radical faction of the democrat party and
hasten the demise of the crony capitalism system. If the democrats are beaten
like a rented mule, that may actually knock sense into the party and move it
back to a left of center approach in front of the upcoming presidential
election cycle.
If the democrats suffer a disappointing loss or do not meet
expectations, it may also destroy the democrat party. If the radical leftists
insist on doubling and tripling down going forward after a less than stellar
performance in this election, it will split the democrat party apart. The
common-sense democrats would have to split away from the radicals and the
democrat party may split into two parties. Of course, the republicans would
love this scenario and benefit from the democrat chaos.
Trump may be panicking perhaps from his own internal polling
since he is holding his adoration rallies in ruby red states that should
automatically vote republican. Then again, the simple reason he is on the
campaign trail seeking adoration may be because he needs to seek adoration and
stand in front of a loyal adoring sycophant crowd for five minutes allowing his
subjects to applaud and cheer him. That’s Our Donnie.
Early voting numbers may provide insight into how the
elections are developing. Which party is stacking the deck with early voting to
gain an early advantage and momentum? So far, in the tossup states discussed
above, the turnout and return of mail-in votes is robust not favoring either
party yet. This behavior may indicate that turnout will be a little larger than
would be expected for the mid-terms and that provides a slight advantage to
republicans.
US election days are always set by the first Tuesday after
the first Monday in November. This year Election Day falls on Tuesday, 11/3/26.
On Election Day, watch the polls and note how the folks are
dressed, their ages, and sex. More women vote than men in US elections. If the
polls are stacked with female voters, that may bode well for democrats. If they
are blonde women with silver crosses around their neck, that will boost the
republican chances.
A lot of young folks voting will likely favor democrat
candidates as well as voters in more colorful and flamboyant clothes and those
with pink and purple hair. If more of the voters are donning suit jackets and
business attire, perhaps carrying a briefcase, that will favor a republican
turnout. Turnout is key especially with independent voters and will likely dictate the outcome.
Keystone’s prediction (that and a dollar will get you a cup
of coffee), is for the House to flip to the democrats with a 4-seat advantage
while the Senate should remain in republican control but the majority may
dwindle to only a 51-49 or 52-48 advantage. Of course, the democrats will claim
a great victory saying they will now show King Donnie who’s boss and Trump will
boast that the republicans did fine and a blue wave did not occur. Life goes
on.
If you vote, good
luck to you choosing one corrupt criminal over the other.
Note Added Friday Morning, 10/23/26, at 8:00 AM EST: The mid-term elections are only 11 days away. The Ohio governor race takes a bad turn for republican candidate Ramaswamy as blowback occurs for the video released by his team showing his opponent's mother dissing her daughter, calling her a liar, when it appears that the mom was not a good mother still defending her husband that molested the democrat candidate. She will now receive a sympathy vote as the video outrage, some of it faux, slaps Vivek silly. What a soap opera. Bye-bye Vivek. He wasted the last 2 years of his life kissing Ohio arse each day. Some democrats and democrat-run cable television outlets such as CNN are starting to have second thoughts about the polls and the potential for a blue wave tsunami that sweeps both the House and the Senate. They probably performed a similar exercise to Keystone above and added in 4 percentage-points for the republican candidates because polls do not seem able to properly account for this demographic. Analysts will be watching the results versus the polls as much as who wins. Breaking news today says two polling agencies, that have been referenced in both democrat and republican media, are found to be fraudulent.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/24/26, at 4:30 AM EST: The mid-term elections are only 10 days away. Over $1.4 billion has been traded gambling on the mid-term elections mainly on Kalshi and Polymarket. The Polymarket site says democrats have a 64% chance of controlling the senate and predict a 52 to 47 advantage for democrats in the senate with one tossup. Polymarket says the senate is going to flip by 5 or more seats. The senate is currently controlled by the republican majority at 53-47. Donnie Chump cancels tariffs on some Canadian goods especially agricultural items. Of course he does. Trumpski is trying to buy votes in the northern states. About 3 in 4 Americans in the northern states bordering Canada think the Trump tariffs are asinine and only serve to raise prices. Tariffs increase inflation. The drama in Ohio continues with Ramaswamy fighting for his political life as his opponent Acton enjoys the sympathy vote. The Michigan race for senate receives a lot of attention with outspoken left-wing radical El-Sayed being tied to the Muslim Brotherhood that is a terrorist organization whose mission is to destroy the Western way of life. The short candidate claims innocence but his family is documented as connected to the Muslim Brotherhood. The democrats are concerned about some of the candidates they selected for the mid-term races; some may be too radical for American taste. Democrats are starting to lip-off that if they gain power in the House and Senate, they will pursue investigations into Trump and his cabinet. It is definitely the silly season and it only becomes more of a political circus with each passing day.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/25/26, at 3:25 AM EST: The elections are only 9 days away. Trump is already suing Alaska over the election with the Dan Sullivan imposter. Donnie says he will not accept the Alaska results if republican Dan Sullivan loses especially if votes are syphoned away by the other Dan Sullivan placed on the ticket to create confusion. Why would you believe in the voting system when the top guy is already telling you what the result will be in Alaska? King Donnie, a divider not a uniter, pledges to "veto everything" that comes across his desk if the democrats gain control. Trump's idea of uniting the country and world is everyone doing what he says. If you question what Donnie has done, he will seek to destroy you, your career, your family, and your life. What a guy, what a guy. Early voting is robust including in states such as Florida, New Jersey, New York and Michigan. Early voting ballots are on pace to exceed prior mid-term elections. That means there may be over 120 million total votes cast. Ballots are stronger in both democrat-leaning and republican-leaning states so the states that are red may vote more red and the blue ones more blue. Interestingly, independents are a strong showing in the data and most young people register independent nowadays so that may hint that the democrats will have a good night. Democrat Emperor Obama is on the campaign trail attacking Trump and his policies probably to create a distraction and bate Donnie. Trump's voice is going hoarse from the campaign rallies and speeches. Donnie and First Lady Melania voted in Palm Beach County, Florida, yesterday. Trump denigrates early voting but he has voted early all these past years even using mail-in voting. One of the reasons he lost the 2020 reelection bid was because the idiot told the republicans to not vote early instead wait for Election Day and vote at the polls. Pure stupidity. The democrats got out the vote taking advantage of early and mail-in voting and Biden defeated Trump. Donnie now embraces the strategy of the democrats. The orange head is not a very smart man but at least he knew to change course from prior stupidity and now tells republicans to vote early or by any other means.
Note Added Monday Morning, 10/26/26, at 6:35 AM EST: The election is only 8 days away. In the Brazil election for president, leftist Lula defeats right-wing, and Trump favorite, Bolsonaro, that flees to the United States. Authoritarian Orban, another Trump confidant in Hungary, was booted from office a few months ago. The prediction markets and betting sites had Bolsonaro handily winning. Maybe the prediction markets are no better than the polls when it comes to forecasting elections? In the Texas senate race, betting site Kalshi says democrat Talarico has a 65% chance of winning while republican Paxton has only a 36% chance of winning. Really? Emperor Obama is on the campaign trail matching the number of King Trump appearances in recent days. Obama is clearly baiting Trump and it is surprising Donnie has not taken the bait yet. Obama delivers a bunch of funny mocking lines about Trump calling his years in office chaotic, corrupt and cruel. He says Trump has the Whitehouse looking like "Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory." Obama was on a roll proclaiming that Donnie is displaying "incompetence the likes of which we have not seen in modern times." He says Trump has led us into a war with Iran "that nobody asked for." Obama decrees that America has never seen a president "excel so wildly at just straight-up grifting." As they say in the hills of West Virginia, "'dem's are fightin' words." With all the gawdy gold trinkets Trumpski put in the Whitehouse, Obama says, "He should be on HGTV." Former President Clinton jumps into the fray saying the Rose Garden makeover looks like "Liberace's bathroom." Some of the digs must be getting into Trump's ear because, at a rally yesterday, he ridiculed Obama's event saying no one was there (there was actually a big crowd). Obama is baiting Trump so Donnie spends the last week distracted and fighting him and not helping the republicans, and maybe hurting them. So far, Donnie has not taken the bait but his skin is thin as tissue paper so Trump will probably start lashing-out at Obama today. Or will Donnie remain disciplined and focused on the republican races? Rose Garden by Lynn Anderson. When Keystone was young, Grandpa and Grandma would argue occasionally. Grandpa would walk over to the hi-fi cabinet, pull out a record and put it on the turntable and begin playing Rose Garden. He would tell Grandma, "Liz, I never promised you a rose garden" and we would all laugh.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 10/27/26, at 5:17 AM EST: Boiling down the lead-up into the mid-term elections, two themes dominate American minds; corruption in government by both corrupt political parties, and gasoline prices. Trump continues promising a $5K check to everyone if the republicans retain the House and Senate. The orange head is practicing good ole fashioned politics by buying votes. King Donnie now decrees a $1 million reward for any American that reports voter fraud leading to a conviction. Where is this money coming from? Trump is a real estate guy so he worships debt. Buy everything today and worry about paying for it tomorrow like the Middle East War. He does not care because he will be out of office. Donnie Chump writes the longest tweet message ever on social media denigrating comedian Bill Maher. Why? The orange head took a lot of time to write that post and Americans are asking why Trump is not spending time on important stuff like wars, inflation and gasoline prices instead of attacking comedians with baby tweets? President Trump took the Obama bait and in Mississippi defended his building projects in Washington, DC, including the gawdy ballroom, claiming he spends "very little time" on the endeavors. Liar. In the next sentence, the dufus proclaims, "I have fun doing it (spending time on renovating projects). It actually relaxes me." The Obama dig about the Whitehouse looking like 'Saddam Hussein opened a Cheesecake Factory' has pierced Donnie's thin tissue paper skin. Donnie is becoming distracted by Obama, as would be expected; an egotistical narcissist is easy to manipulate. Just as Xi and Putin. Trumpski calls Obama "a lousy president" and "a stupid person." All of this soap opera garbage and baby games only serves to hasten the demise of the crony capitalism system. The momentum in recent days, after the Ramaswamy incident in Ohio, is swinging in the democrat's favor but will that lead to more votes? The Cook Report, a slanted left of center outfit so keep that in mind, is changing over a dozen races to lean and favor democrats. Trump may be serving as a distraction instead of helping the republicans as he continues campaigning in ruby red states only. Republicans are now worried about maintaining seats in red states such as Mississippi and Kansas. The election is only a week away and this time next week, polls will be opening on the East Coast.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 10/28/26, at 6:00 PM EST: The election is only 6 days away. Kamala Harris says the democrats should not pursue impeachment of Trump if they take the House although she appears open to many investigations. Other democrat leaders are also saying it would be more important to focus on affordability and bringing prices down since Donnie failed in this department. King Trumpski's son Donald, Jr, went on hunting trips with Ruskie oligarchs so the whole Trump family lies in bed worshipping mother Russia with dirtbag Dictator Putin. Donnie kisses Putin's butt while denigrating Zelensky and Ukraine. In the crony capitalism system it is all about the grift. The Trump family wants a lot of real estate deals in Russia once the war is over. Trump says he will respect the results of the mid-term elections "if they are honest" his same-o baby answer he has used since he lost the 2020 election to Biden. Isn't it sickening? King Donnie is telling you he will respect the results of races that republicans win but any democrat wins will be due to cheating and dishonesty that may require some type of action. Americans are sick of this garbage. To this day, Donnie moans and whines about his 2020 election loss to Biden claiming he actually won. He is King Cry Baby and his legacy from the first term is a whining crybaby sore loser. Vice President Vance is on the campaign trail in Michigan dissing the democrat senate candidate El-Sayed. Trump is thinking of sending Dr Oz to Ohio to help get out the vote. More stupidity from the orange head. Carpetbagger Dr Odd, as he was called in southwestern Pennsylvania, was defeated by democrat Fetterman. Oz does not fit in with the Pennsy, Ohio and West Virginny mill-hunk guys. Carpetbagger Oz would probably hurt Ramaswamy. Oz does not know jack about steelmaking but he does know how to make fancy French crudite (pronounced kroo-dee-tay) salads. Oz was going to lose his election the minute he said crudite. The democrats become more apprehensive about the elections with each passing day as realization creeps in that the polls may not be telling an accurate story. Democrats are sneaking ahead of republicans in early voting but in other elections the democrats had better numbers. Young men are not showing up to the polls like two years ago perhaps they are disillusioned since their lives are harder not easier under Trump. Any tax savings for Americans was immediately vaporized by the high inflation and gasoline and diesel prices brought on by Donnie Chump's tariff wars and the Iran War that is now a Middle East War. For a guy that whines about receiving a Nobel Peace Prize, he sure does like to start wars. The Houthi's in Yemen sent a missile into a Saudi refinery today so oil prices move higher again. Where's Donnie? Bueller? Donnie? Bueller? Sleeping? Obama and Harris are at rallies in Georgia while Trump stumps in Ohio. Trump and Obama are trading barbs with Obama focusing on Trump's alleged grift and corruption since corruption is a top concern of voters. The two Dan Sullivan's on the Alaska ticket receive more attention. The democrats are linked to recruiting the Dan Sullivan imposter to muck up the election. It is a brilliant devious plan but republicans cry foul and say laws may have been broken.
Note Added Thursday, 10/29/26, at 6:00 PM EST: The election is only 5 days away. The two Dan Sullivan drama in Alaska dominates cable news coverage. There are more details coming out about how the democrats may have recruited various Dan Sullivan's for the sole purpose of being a spoiler in the election syphoning votes away from the real sitting Senator Dan Sullivan. The republicans say they have identified a conspiracy while the democrats say the second Dan Sullivan may be a dirty trick but it is not illegal. Trump calls for the democrat candidate Mary Peltola to leave the race and face charges. Of course he does. The DOJ issues subpoenas to Peltola and her colleagues. Of course they do because King Donnie told them to. The real Sullivan will likely win the race and all this baby drama will go away. Demopublicans and republocrats fight over nonsense while millions of Americans can no longer make ends meet or afford to put gas in the car. The Halloween candy treasure for little Savita, Barney, and Antoine may be skimpy this year. Obama continues verbal assaults against Trump and he has better joke writers. Trumpski cancels the Kansas campaign rally scheduled for Saturday and a short time later also cancels an Iowa rally. What is going on? Donnie will hold a rally tomorrow in Florida since it is close to home for the octogenarian. The conspiracy theories emerge immediately. Is he in bad health? Has the campaign trail taken a toll on his health? Are the Trump rallies actually hurting the republican candidates? Maybe Donnie the braggard does not want to be seen or associated with losers in the final days before the election? Is Trump's popularity dipping as he stumps for the candidates? Elite Donnie told his little rally sycophants that they could never afford to eat at Mar-a-Lago. Is Donnie Chump planning kinetic action against Iran this weekend starting Friday night? Perhaps that is why he does not want to be on the campaign trail? Iran is about 7 hours ahead of US East Coast time so pay attention between Friday at 3 PM EST through Sunday morning at 3 AM EST for possible military action in the Middle East. Surely, Trumpki would not attack Iran before the election? Or would he? He said he would not but three tankers are hit by mines in the Strait of Hormuz (some say one tanker and it is unknown what hit it). VP Vance is trying to deal with Iran offering medical supplies. Who is paying for that? Everyone can see he and Donnie are trying to play a good cop/bad cop routine. Rookies. Trump screwed the pooch with Iran. The only way that ends is to have a ground war in Iran. Donnie says he cancelled upcoming campaign rallies because he is in too high a demand (it makes you laugh) and instead he will do tele-rallies on the weekend to reach more people. Yeah, sure you are, orange head. Donnie lives for his adoration rallies that is his fuel and reason for living. That is why he stands there for 5 minutes on stage so his little sycophants can applaud him, worship him, adore him, and kneel to lick his shoes. Something serious is afoot if Donnie is cancelling his adoration rallies.
Note Added Friday Morning, 10/30/26, at 7:11 AM EST: The election is only 4 days away. Heavy rains are expected in some of the swing states on Election Day that may impact turnout adding to the drama. The democrats have been hyping a narrative that FBI and ICE agents will be serving as election monitors at various polls on Tuesday but government officials say there will be no FBI or ICE agents at polls. The betting sites are receiving more scrutiny since their results may be manipulated like the polls. Take Kalshi or any other betting site, Keystone could come in and place a quarter-million dollar bet on a candidate be it a demopulcican or republocrat. That candidate would be listed as trouncing the opponent in the upcoming election solely because of Keystone's big bet. It is more ammunition that the polls and betting sites may be forecasting election results that may not jive with the actual results on Tuesday. In Israel, Prime Minister Netanyahu wins an election but does not secure enough votes for a majority. He will stay in power as a coalition forms.
Note Added Friday Morning, 10/30/26, at 9:40 AM EST: The democrats appear to be gaining momentum the last couple days but this ebb and flow will continue into Tuesday and the Alaska scandal is a wet blanket for the liberals. The imposter Dan Sullivan in the Alaska senator race is dubbed "Decoy Dan." The real Senator Dan Sullivan has the word incumbent next to his name on the ballot but Donnie Trump says Alaskans do not know what incumbent means. This prompted democrat-leaning reporters to ask Alaskans and universally the people sampled do know what incumbent means. People need to take personal responsibility. If voting in Alaska, you should know who you are voting for and the imposter Dan Sullivan should not matter. The imposter got 2.5% of the vote in the primary election. Republican Elon Musk is providing nearly $500 million to republicans and decrees that if the democrats sweep it is "game over." Musk predicts "the end of democracy" if democrats win. He is an unelected bureaucrat that is likely worried about investigations into himself and his companies such as the nefarious throttling of the Starlink satellites to provide an advantage for Russia over ally Ukraine in the ongoing war. That is sickening. Musk needs held accountable for this behavior. Billionaire democrat Reid Hoffman gives $17 million to democrat Talarico in Texas and pumps $8 million into the Wisconsin races. Hoffman, that used to be friends with Musk but they are now rivals, proclaims, "And while others spend outrageous amounts to keep authoritarian clowns in power, those of us who believe in the ideals of American cannot yield." It sounds like Hoffman considers his political donations to not be outrageous. Pope Leo votes in the Illinois elections via mail-in ballot since he was a Chicago boy. It is not a mystery who he voted for (he probably blessed the democrats). Pope Leo is the first pontiff to ever vote in a US election.
Note Added Friday Evening, 10/30/26, at 9:40 AM EST: King Donnie Chump reverses his decision to cancel the Kansas and Iowa campaign rallies and says he will conduct the rallies on Sunday. It was odd that Donnie, that never met a camera he did not love, would cancel an adoration rally. Trump is unhappy with the news coverage that is insinuating that he is not feeling well after all the campaigning this month. Donnie berates reporters (that is becoming a regular thing) asking about his health decreeing that he has had 28 days of rallies and is in great health and stamina, as his orange head is drenched in sweat and his temper flares. Trumpski changes his mind often, thinking this helps with deal-making, but this is one of the reasons the Iran War expands into a Middle East War. Some republican operatives say Trump's rallies have not moved the needle on the polls. King Donnie is losing his gravitas and starting to wear a lame-duck tee shirt. Florida republican Governor DeSantis is not happy with the turnout urging Floridians to get up off their butts and vote. The Michigan senator race drama increases after a commercial is shown on television equating the high cost of food in the US to the war in Gaza. Huh? El-Sayed is an antisemite that dislikes Israel and Jews and refuses to take the commercial down. Haley Stevens, that lost to El-Sayed in the primary election, asks him to take down the ad. El-Sayed refuses to denounce the ad and says it was done by others and not his campaign (he must really hate Jewish folks to support an ad he knows is misleading). All the politicians play the same baby games in the crony capitalism system. Israel's war activities against the radical Islamists in Gaza has nothing to do with the high cost of food in the US. Nothing. Trump's Iran War, that is now a Middle East War, and closing of the Strait of Hormuz causes the high oil, diesel, fertilizer and gasoline costs that ripple negatively through the entire US economy. The Ukraine War is also a contributing factor to the higher cost of diesel. El-Sayed and Stevens are in a tiff and this is not a good look with the election on Tuesday. So much for democrat unity in Michigan. Republican candidate Mike Rogers is happy at the democrat infighting.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/31/26, at 4:00 AM EST: Happy Halloween. The election is only 3 days away. Michigan democrats are worried that the blow-up between El-Sayed and Stevens will hurt his election chances. El-Sayed is getting bad election advice or he is not listening to what he is told because he tells Stevens to stay away from all future campaign events in the closing days of the race. Haley Stevens only lost the primary election to El-Sayed by one percentage point so a lot of Michiganders like her and dissing her is not a good campaign decision. The Alaska two Dan Sullivan drama continues with lawsuits flying in all directions. Decoy Dan in hiding somewhere probably because the authorities are handing out subpoenas.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/1/26, at 6:00 AM EST: The Halloween candy is already going stale with November starting and the Tuesday election only 48 hours away (2 days). Donnie Trump will hold two rallies today one in Kansas and the other in Iowa trying to hold the states for the republicans. The lying DOJ is sending 1,000 election monitors to polling sites Including six Georgia counties. Georgia is where whining Trump badgered Secretary of State Raffensperger telling him to find 11,780 votes so the 2020 election could be given to Donnie. Chump, that controls the DOJ in corrupt America, now sends the agents into these polls probably with some revenge and vengeance in mind. The DOJ said no FBI or ICE agents would be sent to the election polls but it was a half-truth. What filthy liars and the Department of Justice is supposed to be the top law enforcement agency in the country. Instead they are sending 1,000 so-called scumbag lawyers/agents to likely cause disruptions at polls. It is a corrupt crony capitalism system. Trump says it is election integrity stuff but it is him hoping to intimidate and steer away democrat voters so republicans have a better chance of winning. The country is corrupt to the core. Republicans are worried about the early voting that is lighter than hoped. Texas and Florida report a disappointing lower republican turnout so far. Emperor Obama has only appeared in a handful of campaign rallies as compared to King Trump's 30 rallies, but he likely helped the democrats more than Donnie is helping the republicans. Both political parties have been taken over by radical elements with the retrumplicans worshipping the Trump authoritarian and dictatorial style on the right and the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) worshipping socialism and antisemitic rhetoric, reminiscent of the KKK, on the left. Common Americans, independents and Libertarians are looking at each other asking what happened to the country? The radical elements will cancel each other out and the sane people in the middle, the independents, will choose who wins and loses the elections on Tuesday.
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/2/26, at 4:00 AM EST: The election is tomorrow only 24 hours away. Today is Election Eve. The election drama increases in Minnesota with democrat Haley Stevens dissing El-Sayed and announcing her support for republican Mike Rogers. Wow. No one saw that coming. Stevens was supposed to appear with El-Sayed at a campaign rally but this was nixed after he refuses to denounce an anti-Jew and antisemitic television ad. Stevens says he told her, "Don't come." President Trump and other republicans praise Stevens for endorsing Rogers. All the same people were making fun of her a couple months ago. Stevens says she is still a democrat but obviously the party is having a hissy fit over the endorsement. Her staff resigns on the news but that would be expected since they want other jobs and a long career in the democrat hierarchy. Chump appears at the Iowa and Kansas rallies yesterday. In Iowa, stumping for Ashley Hinson, Donnie talks about her body and loss of weight. He is heckled by protesters that are removed from the event. King Donnie claims that billionaire George Soros pays the protesters to show up and cause disruptions. Maybe the true reason he cancelled the Iowa and Kansas rallies a few days ago was that hecklers and protesters are now interrupting his adoration rallies and he does not want that to become common going forward or appear in the press where it may encourage others? Trumpski has a tissue paper thin skin and does not handle hecklers well. It is strange that Donnie is commenting on women's and men's bodies a lot lately. Trump is supposed to appear at the Reflecting Pool this afternoon East Coast time to make one final election plea. He spent millions on refurbishing the pool, with the first contractor performing shoddy work that had to be redone, while tens of millions of Americans cannot afford to eat or put gasoline in the car. Interestingly, the pollsters that lean republican are stating that the polls are getting tighter this Election Eve. Perhaps the polls showing a large democrat advantage are not that far off after all and the republican electorate was sampled properly.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 11/3/26, at x:00 AM EST: Election Day is here and it is time to choose one criminal instead of the other. The ....
Note Added Tuesday Evening, 11/3/26, at 8:00 PM EST: The polls are closing on the East Coast and the results will be known shortly. The ....
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 11/4/26, at x:00 AM EST: Election Day is over but the vote counting continues in a few races. Today is the beginning of the Post-Trump World. The End of the Trump Era begins. Perhaps the Obama-Trump rivalry that has dominated politics for the last 15 years will finally go away. Donnie Chump is an official lame duck president with the presidential election only 2 years away (November 2028) and primary elections starting in about 15 months. After the holidays this year, the focus will be on the potential republican and democrat candidates through 2027 and 2028. The republicans have a deep bench but Americans are not happy that their living standards have worsened under King Donnie. Vance may have a likability problem. Rubio is one of those guys that everyone likes until he is in the thick of it and people wonder why they liked him. If Keystone had to guess at the presidential candidates with 2 years to go and no one declared as yet, he predicts Glenn Youngkin for the republicans and Mark Kelly for the democrats. Youngkin is tall, he was a basketball player, and this is key for politics. More women vote than men and women like tall men. Time will tell. The vote counting continues in .....
