By K E Stone (Keystone)
The US wave 5 is ending as long as the next few days of data
cooperate. The democrat media such as CNN are touting over 160K daily new cases
per day but consistently report numbers that are 3 days old. The dire
talk and doom and gloom promotes vaccinations which is the Whitehouse’s goal. The
US averages 126K cases per day and the peak daily cases on 8/27/21 is holding.
The US daily new cases chart is shown above. Daily cases
peak at 196.3K on Friday, 8/27/21, a whisker from 200K per day. The media’s
mouth is watering for the 200K number since that will pump fear and create
headlines, that attracts eyeballs to websites, that generates more advertising
revenue. Such is the crony capitalism system.
The daily cases are off the peak and last Friday, 9/3/21,
186K cases occur followed by 70K on Saturday, 45K on Sunday and 40K yesterday
on the Labor Day holiday. It is nice to see the low numbers but they are
weekend numbers.
The 7-day MA trend line, that smooths-out the jagged daily
data, is dropping a beautiful sight. However, since the Friday numbers are
typically the highest, wait until this Friday, 9/10/21, before ringing the
all-clear for wave 5. The 3-day MA (not shown) drops like a rock printing a
lower low a very positive development also signaling that the uptrend is broken
and the US may break free from the delta wave in September.
As long as the daily new cases continue rolling over, the
hospitals will see relief, on a country-wide basis, in a week or two. The fly
in the covid soup is the Labor Day holiday which may generate more daily cases
in about a week’s time. Schools and universities are physically in session for
the new school year sending the wave 5 cases higher.
The college (American) football games begin with stadiums
packed with 10’s of thousands of spectators. More than 50 games occur on
Saturday around the United States. Fauci and other doctors are having a case of
the vapors seeing the images of cheering young people standing elbow to elbow. In
about a week, the daily cases may bump higher for a few days but for now,
dwelling on the positive, the US wave 5 is rolling over and better times are
ahead despite the media doom and gloom.
The US active cases chart is shown above. This is the
‘flatten the curve’ chart that rolls over to form the bell shape and verify
that the virus is being defeated. The Keystone Model, explained below,
identifies the peak in daily cases as 9/3/21 since the cases are within 8% of
the peak high on 8/27/21. Adding 28 days, the US active cases chart should peak
and roll over by 10/1/21 or sooner. The delta wave is faster-moving so that
hints that the flattening and roll over in active cases will occur this month.
The conditions at hospitals across the South are improving but
the virus spreads north with those hospitals ramping-up staff and beds. The
happy blue dashed-line scenario in the US active cases chart may be impeded by
a bump in infections after the Labor Day holiday or due to the schools and
universities returning with many crowded events ongoing. Hopefully, much of the
new school infections are played-out already over the last 3 weeks.
The red dashed-line is the outcome predicted by the
television pundits and other medical officials and prognosticators. They cite
the ramp-up in cases after Labor Day last year that led into the horrific wave
3 and January top. The cooler weather will be arriving for the northern states
chasing people inside to the heaters where folks cough on each other and
breathe each other’s air. The South was screwed by the sweltering heat this
summer which chased folks indoors to air conditioning where many became
infected.
The pandemic has progressed a long way in 20 months. The
older folks are either dead, have natural immunities because they were sick
with COVID-19 or are vaccinated. The people out and about each day and most
prone to becoming infected are sick or have been vaccinated over the last year
so many avenues that coronavirus enjoyed a year ago are no longer available.
The doom and gloom talk and red dashed-line projection on the active cases
chart above is likely not going to happen but they are the experts.
Note the twin peaks in active cases over the last year. The
active cases peaked in early January at 9.03 million people. Right now, the US
is at 8.86 million active cases a hair away from overtaking the January highs.
The twin peaks clearly illustrate the plight and misery of the doctors, nurses,
healthcare workers, medics and the support staff at hospitals and clinics. The
hospitals are as busy as they were at the height of the terrible wave 3 in
January. It will be a welcome sight to roll the curve over and see the bell
shape form.
The US daily deaths chart is shown above. CNN, MSNBC and
other democrat news outlets tout 1.5K daily new deaths per day on average and
the sky is also falling. Not correct. Their data is always about 3 days old and
the 7-day average of deaths peaked out at 1.3K deaths per day a few days ago. US
deaths are currently averaging 1,086 souls per day as per the 7-day MA so the
news media is reporting a number that is
pumped +36% higher than its actual true number.
The deadliest day for US wave 5 is 1,716 souls perishing on
9/2/21 last Thursday. Deaths fall dramatically since then with the 7-day MA now
sloping lower and the 3-day MA printing a lower low hinting that the uptrend is
officially broken.
The US is at 666,600 deaths from China Flu. The communists
kill 666K Americans with the rogue virus from Wuhan, China. The infamous and
Satanistic ‘666’ is an appropriate milestone that makes the Grim Reaper dance
with glee. Johns-Hopkins is at 649K deaths. The CDC is at 645K deaths.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is at647K deaths predicting 751K dead by 12/1/21. This is another 104K deaths over
the next 85 days which is 1.2K deaths per day every day into December. The IHME
believes in the more dire outcome for this Fall. You have to wonder where the
bodies will come from since most of the elderly and obese folks are already
killed off by China Flu or vaccinated. The IHME worst cases scenario is 845K
dead by 12/1/21.
For the first time in a few weeks, since Keystone called the
start of wave 5, the US charts appear to be peaking-out. The delta wave inverted
V shape may usher in better times faster but this is played against a potential
bump higher in cases due to the Labor Day holiday and the huge crowds of young
folks enjoying sporting events.
From the charts above, note how the US daily new cases are
robust and teasing the 200K level which is December and January levels. Ditto
the US active cases chart that may exceed the January peak beating the
healthcare workers into submission (although relief should occur this month).
The current US deaths are less than one-half the peak deaths in January. The
charts illustrate the decoupling of cases from deaths but the coupling between
daily cases and active cases remains.
The coupling between daily cases and hospitalizations also
remains intact. The US hospitalizations as a whole have not reached the January
peaks but are very elevated as per the CDC COVID Data Tracker. The
hospitalizations in some states, such as Florida, Louisiana and Mississippi,
have exceeded January levels. The main reason for the deaths decoupling is the
vaccinations. Also, many of the most vulnerable are already six-feet under so
the Grim Reaper has already picked the easiest fruit off the death tree.
News sources say Georgia has the most hospitalizations ever.
Wrong. It is close but no cigar as yet according to the CDC’s information.
Click the drop-down menu on the CDC hospitalizations chart and click Georgia.
The hospitalizations are teasing the January highs but not there yet and the
7-day MA is actually flattening now (and hopefully rolling over). Maybe we can
call that embellishment news rather than misinformation. It is humorous
nowadays that most Americans are incapable of stating the simple direct truth
on topics. Humans sell the control of their souls to the money-master’s that
decree the narratives they bestow.
1 in 5 school districts in Georgia are closed due to
coronavirus outbreaks. It is obvious that Americans returning to school and
work have exacerbated the wave 5 infections. Over 1,000 schools in 35 states
are shut down due to covid outbreaks. Most were open only for 2 weeks or less.
The age group breakdowns in the CDC hospital admissionschart were explained in the updates in Article 52. Thankfully, the admissions
are rolling over lower based on all age groups over 40 years old. The 18 to 39
year old hospital admissions are flatlining so it will be great to see them
roll over lower in the coming days. The worrisome group is the young kids and
teens from infancy through 17 years old. These are invincible young folks
throwing caution to the wind. We all remember what it is like to be young.
Obviously, the schools and universities have served as
breeding grounds for the Delta variant over the last 3 weeks. Perhaps much of
the infections have run their course and the young folks can settle in for a
better school year ahead. The US wave 5 will be definitely on the chopping
block and sent packing when the 0 to 17 year old age group hospital admissions
roll over so the CDC chart is worth watching.
Some kids are infected with RSV (respiratory syncytial virus
infection) requiring a hospital stay and then become infected with COVID-19. Hospital
admissions typically lead the hospitalizations by about 4 days so the
hospitalizations charts should improve going forward based on the admission
curves.
The media continues publicizing the concern that only about
10% of ICU beds remain available in hospitals across the South in states such
as Georgia. No worries. The media has been saying that 10% of ICU beds remain
for the last month! So it is a good thing that this did not drop to 5% then a
couple percent then no percent. Instead, the ICU availability remains
consistent so the hospitals are keeping up and if the healthcare workers hang
in there, some big improvements should be coming in the days ahead for those
hardest hit states.
The Missouri daily new cases chart is shown above. Missouri
was the epicenter of the India B1617 variant (delta) just as Michigan was the
epicenter of the UK B117 variant (alpha) a few months ago. Therefore, it is
important to see Missouri improve since other states will likely follow its
pattern. It was hoped that the inverted V pattern would occur, and it did, for
a while, but the return to school has created a bump higher in cases last week.
This is likely short-lived. The 7-day MA trend line is flatlining along with
the choppy 3-day MA so the chart is not tipping its hand on which way it wants
to break (although down is the educated guess).
The Florida daily cases chart is shown above. The Sunshine
State is the center of attention for the mask mandate controversy, along with
Texas and South Carolina. Months or a couple years from now, the scientists
will likely find that the infections do not rise all that much more
dramatically, or perhaps at all, in a school that does not mandate masks. It is
funny to see rabid animated parents, on each side of the mask issue, passionately
swearing bloody murder against each other, fighting over masks, when the
children, after 10 minutes, are typically wearing the mask sideways on their
head. It’s funny.
Mask controversy will continue forever since there are too
many variables involved to properly test their usefulness. Not only mask type,
where cloth masks are considered pretty much useless now, is important but the
fit is probably the key factor. Masks can be mandated but if folks walk around
with their noses exposed and they are constantly tugging at the mask, and there
are wide openings in the sides, it is a hopeless task to gather useful scientific
conclusions from mask studies.
Florida’s daily new cases peak on 8/27/21 at 28K. Cases have
dropped off for the last 10 days causing the 7-day MA to drop which is great
news. Florida hospitalizations are also rolling over lower. The mask drama and
battle between President Biden and Governor DeSantis takes a back seat due to
the Afghanistan debacle. Florida appears on the mend but will need to keep
printing lower case numbers through Friday.
On the US vaccination front, 176 million Americans are fullyvaccinated which is 53% of the population over one-half of the population. 207
million Americans, 62%, are vaccinated with at least one dose two-thirds of the
country. 193 million Americans that are over 18 years old, 75%, are vaccinated
with at least one shot. Remember, this was Biden’s 70% goal for July 4th that
he missed. Two months later, it is at 75%. Despite the daily Whitehouse
hand-wringing, these are respectable and positive numbers.
From 12% to 32% of Americans may have already been sick with
COVID-19 over the last 20 months and have some level of natural antibody
protection. There is overlap with vaccinations since some people that were sick
with coronavirus decided to get vaccinated after they recovered. But treating
the two separately, and using the 62% of Americans inoculated with at least one
shot since that provides at least some amount of protection, the path to herd
immunity is at 74% to 94% combining vaccinations and natural immunities well
within the 70% to 85% window that Lord Fauci touted for many months.
The experts will continue feeding the fear narrative to
encourage vaccinations but the United States is likely in far better shape with
the pandemic than anyone realizes. If wave 5 continues rolling over, the path
ahead through the Fall may be far rosier than predicted by the talking heads.
The Delta variant is more transmissible but states are gaining control and the
northern states now being impacted are showing slower rates of infections than
the southern states experienced, at least for now.
The US vaccination rate remains steady at 700K to 800K dosesper day on average, however, the data is always a few days old. Talking heads
opine that the vaccination rate is falling off again but it is not currently
shown in the chart. Note how the peak days occur on Friday’s. Many pharmacies
are open Friday nights offering shots.
Peak US vaccination days occur on 8/13/21, then higher to 8/20/21,
then higher to 8/27/21, but then lower to 9/3/21. The Friday trend of higher
highs is broken. This is what the pundits see so the 7-day MA at the 700K to
800K range will likely begin dropping off going forward. Will King Biden talk
vaccine mandates as the vax rate drops?
The US government strongarms many corporations into
instituting vaccine mandates but the law of unintended consequences is always
hiding in the bushes. Companies are realizing that screwing workers that have
decided to not get vaccinated after discussing it with their doctors, is not a good
idea. It will lead to work conflicts between vaccinated and unvaccinated
employees, disgruntlement, sabotage, and a loss of production.
Most importantly, jobs are plentiful. When companies tell
workers to get down on their knees and take the shot, the employee is giving
the boss the middle finger and skipping down the road to a job not requiring
vaccinations that pays more. The company is hurt more trying to force people
back to work by making them kneel for the corporation.
The stupid Ivy League bean-counter’s do not know what it is
like to grow up poor or on the street or to live the common American’s life. When
you screw people, they screw you back and some nutcases will screw you back the
rest of your life. Go ahead companies, forge ahead with your plans to screw
employees.
Workers are likely best advised to stand their ground if an employer
mandates the vaccines. If you do not want the shot, do not take it, but do not
quit your job. Show up each day and perform your job to your best ability and
remain cordial with your boss. Let the employer kick you out. Let your boss
have security escort you out and dismiss you from employment. That way, a
lawyer will likely take your case. If you quit over a vaccine mandate, you got
nothing. You quit. It is times like these that humans learn a lot about
themselves.
The worldwide daily new cases chart is shown above. The
world is beating back wave 5 with daily new cases trending lower for over 2
weeks. The 7-day MA is sloping lower. The drop in cases may take on the
inverted V shape like other delta waves. It is great news. However, do not
celebrate the demise of the worldwide pandemic until the 7-day MA comes down
and takes out the support provided by the prior two lows in the moving average
(thin green line).
The UK daily cases chart is shown above. The UK is in a new
wave 5. Call it a stealth wave because most Brit’s are at the pub drinking
unaware of the rise in infections. UK PM Johnson must be sleeping. The 7-day MA
for daily new cases rises higher and the 3-day MA prints a higher high both
confirming the uptrend. The UK reports 41.5K cases on 9/3/21 and 41.2K cases
yesterday, 9/6/21.
The UK active cases curve curls higher as predicted a week
ago so healthcare workers, thinking the worst is over, are getting slapped in
the face again with the boss imposing longer work hours and warning of a tough
September. The Brit’s are not going to be happy with Boris.
The coveted inverted (upside-down) V shape was playing out
nicely for the UK, until it wasn’t. The UK cases start increasing on 8/5/21
kicking off wave 5 so subtracting 7 to 14 days (infection incubation period) is
the last couple weeks of July. Was anything going on in London or around the UK
at the end of July that leads to the new wave 5 outbreak?
The concerning aspect about the UK daily new cases chart is
if it foretells the path of Missouri in the United States. Let’s hope not. On a
positive note for the UK, the 41.2K daily cases, although remaining elevated,
are less than the 41.5K cases which encourages a peaking and roll over to the
downside. Boris paces the hardwood floors nervously wiping beads of sweat from
his forehead with a handkerchief he forgot to return to the Queen.
The Philippines daily new cases chart is shown above and it
is not pretty. Dictator Duterte has his hands full. Maybe he will shoot anyone
not willing to be vaccinated. Philippines reports 22.4K daily new cases the
highest of the pandemic. It is terrible news since most Filipino’s are poor
folks. Tourism brings in a lot of money but that is nonexistent during the
pandemic. The white sand beaches of Boracay are even more beautiful after they
cleaned-up the sewage problem but no one is buying a plane ticket to Manila
anytime soon.
397 Filipino’s died on 8/21/21 matching the 400 deaths on
4/9/21 the two deadliest days of the entire pandemic. Thankfully, deaths are
dropping off from the 8/21/21 peak.
Thailand is another nation that relies on tourism and the
rich silver-haired white guys that visit enjoying erotic adventures. Thailand’s
daily new cases chart is shown above and it takes on the inverted V shape the
hallmark pattern of the India B1617 variant (delta) wave. Thailand’s active
cases curve also flattens and rolls over forming the coveted bell shape and
signaling that the nation has the virus on the run.
Keep doing what you are doing Thailand and there will be far
brighter skies ahead this month and going forward. Thai deaths remain elevated
but should begin coming down substantively in a few days.
Japan’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The delta wave
inverted V pattern appears signaling the end to Japan’s horrific wave. Isn’t
that the way it happens in life? After all the stress and strife pulling off
the Olympics, and the Paralympics that end 2 days ago, the horrific wave
decides to pack up its bags and leave town, too. Thanks for nothing, virus.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 40.9 million. India is next with 33.1 million total virus cases.
Brazil, Russia, UK, France, Turkey, Argentina, Iran and Colombia round out the
top ten. The UK overtakes France. Iran
overtakes Colombia. Spain is in the 11th slot and Italy 12th.
China Flu has infected 222.0 million people worldwide. 4.6
million people are dead from COVID-19. Fortunately, 198.6 million global
citizens have recovered from coronavirus. 89.5% (198.6/222.0) of the people
that become infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame. This percentage
had improved to the 92% level but slips lower for a couple months to 89%-90%. Perhaps
this slippage hints that the Delta variant is harder to recover from than the
original virus albeit by a small amount.
Worldwide, 2.1% (4.6/222.0) of the people that are infected
with covid die. This number has sat at 2.1%-2.2% for many months. 1 in every 47
people that are infected with China Flu around the world will die, and this
number does not budge week after week month after month. It is always 2.1%-2.2%
and will not change even with vaccinations available for over a half year. The
global mortality rate is at an impasse for months. It will be a great day if it
ever decreases.
2.9% (222.0/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 35 people on earth. The Wuhan
Virus has negatively impacted everyone on the planet.
In the United States, 40.9 million people are infected with covid.
667K Americans are dead. 31.3 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus.
This equates to 76.5% (31.3/40.9) of US citizens recovering after becoming
infected with COVID-19. The number was at 83% and 84% about 3 months ago and 78%
a couple weeks ago but now dropping to 76.5%. Chalk it up to the Delta variant?
Like the world’s recovery rate above, the US recovery rate may have met its
ceiling at about 84%. The US recovery rate is lower than the world’s, 76.5%
versus 89.5%, because of America’s obesity problem. Coronavirus is trimming the
fat herd.
In the US, 1.6% (667/40900) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. This number was sticky at 1.8% for many months and then at 1.7% for the
last month, and now 1.6%. The vaccinations are likely creating the incremental
tick lower in the midst of the delta wave. The 1.6% equates to 1 in every 61 US
citizens that are infected with coronavirus dying. It continues improving at
tiny incremental amounts.
The death rate is at 2.1% globally which is higher than the
US reflecting the lower vaccination rates, less medical equipment such as
ventilators and oxygen tanks, less hospitals, and less medical folks to work at
the facilities. Poorer nations also battle subpar environmental and living conditions.
12.4% (40.9/330.0) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid. 1 in every 8 Americans have been stricken
with coronavirus. The minority communities are impacted disproportionately. The
12% solidly contributes towards herd immunity (the number is likely far larger
by the CDC’s own admission) by providing natural antibody protection.
The United States has 18.4% (40.9/222.0) of the COVID-19
cases in the world. 1 in 5 people (5.4 to be exact which is 2 in 11) that
become infected with covid on planet earth are Americans. The US vaccination
program is making a difference. This percentage was 22% about 5 months ago so
the drop is great news for the US but bad news for other nations since their
infection numbers are higher.
The US accounts for 14.5% (667/4600) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 7 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
5 months ago, it was 1 in 5. The numbers are going in the right direction for
the US but the improvement may be stalling.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases chart curves will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart
is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on
the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls
over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers
can breathe easier.
The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to
forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of
the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where
the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their
heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European
countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where
citizens follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea,
Japan, Singapore, Australia), the active cases curve will peak, on average, 11
days after the peak in daily new cases.
For the Western countries, such as the US and European
nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on
average, 28 days after the peak in new cases (it takes about 2 weeks longer,
for a free society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian
state mainly because lockdowns cannot be enforced as easily).
During the last few months, the 11 and 28-day timeframes
compress slightly since more is known about handling coronavirus. Thus, a
couple days can be shaved off the current target dates. Further, the Delta wave
is playing out as a fast-moving inverted V pattern and may finish faster than
the allotted days in the model.
All projections below for countries and the US states
continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When
the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that
peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day.
The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar
charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases
bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average
(MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.
An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another
10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the
COVID-19 story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time
hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The
chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades
to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in
real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and distributed internationally. This is
Article 53 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information for
historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market participants, corporate
executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors, nurses, medical personnel,
first responders, researchers, public officials, news organizations, traders,
investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both domestically
(USA) and internationally. This fifty-third article is published on Tuesday, 9/7/21,
as American’s nurse hangovers from the Labor Day holiday yesterday.
The coronavirus series of articles are the only real-time
source of information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic
during 2020 and 2021. Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 53 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to come up to speed with the COVID-19 saga.
The fifty-first article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 51 Published 8/17/21; US Wave 5 Continues; 37.7 MillionAmericans Infected with China Flu and 639K Dead; US Southern and Coastal StatesSmacked by India B1617 Variant (Delta); Back-to-School; Booster Shots On Tapfor US; US Hospitals Remain Challenged with Bed Shortages in Southern States;209 Million People Infected with COVID-19 Worldwide with 4.4 Million Dead;Texas Governor Abbott Tests Positive for COVID-19; President Biden OrdersBoosters for Nursing Homes and Declares the United States the “Arsenal ofVaccines”: Monoclonal Antibody Treatments; Ivermectin; 1,000 Americans DyingPer Day; Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, Japan, Australia, Iran, Guatemala andMexico Report Most Daily Cases Ever; 13 US Troops Die in Suicide Bombing DuringAfghanistan Evacuation Debacle; OVER 650K AMERICANS DEAD FROM CHINA FLU;Russia, Malaysia and Iran Report Deadliest Days Ever
The fifty-second article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 52 Published 8/28/21; US Wave 5 Continues; Hospitalizationsat Record Levels in Several US States; All 50 States Remain Challenged by DeltaVariant; OVER 653K AMERICANS DEAD FROM CHINA FLU; OVER 4.5 MILLION DEAD WORLDWIDE;Israeli Study Says Natural Immunity Better than Pfizer 2-Shot Vaccine;Monoclonal Antibody Treatments Receiving Mainstream Acceptance; US SupremeCourt Rejects President Biden and CDC’s Eviction Moratorium; Southeast Asia andCentral America Hot Zones Remain in Play; Hurricane Ida; UNITED STATES EXCEEDS40 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 INFECTIONS 12% OF AMERICA (1 IN 8 PEOPLE); Doctor WHOWarns of Mu; 666K AMERICANS DEAD FROM WUHAN VIRUS
The Worldometer web site tracks the coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well with the
Worldometer data ahead of the Johns-Hopkins and CDC data by a few days. The
Worldometer data is far superior for forecasting since it is updated more
reliably in real-time.
The countries with rising active cases charts are
highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The United States
remains on the bad list until its active cases curve rolls over. The peaks in
daily new cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on
the Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curve represent
the maximum stress on healthcare workers.
It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over
to form the bell shape for those troubled nations at the bottom of the list
(they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases).
Hospitalizations lag the daily cases by a week or two and deaths lag
hospitalizations by a week or two.
DRC-Congo (Third Wave)
6/19/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest new cases ever)
7/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days) (chart flattening)
Russia (Third Wave)
7/25/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest new cases of wave 3 occur in early July)
8/22/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (chart is trying to flatten; Russia’s first 2 waves
follow the 11-day period basis but the 28-day period is more apropos now)
Algeria (Fifth Wave)
7/28/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest new cases ever)
8/25/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (trying to roll over now; Algeria is another nation
that beat waves back in the 11-day time frame but 28 days are more apropos now)
Honduras (Continuous Wave Higher)
7/31/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest cases ever)
8/28/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days) (chart continues higher)
Libya (Fifth Wave)
8/1/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
new cases ever)
8/29/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (chart flattens and begins rolling over; give it a
couple more days; Libya beat back initial waves in an 11-day period but now the
28-day period is more apropos)
Pakistan (Fourth Wave)
8/5/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
new cases for wave 4)
9/2/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (was based on 11 days but now a 28-day nation) (chart peaks on 8/31/21 and
starts to roll over; give it a couple days; Afghani refugees may increase
infections)
Turkey (Fourth Wave)
8/11/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest new cases for wave 4)
8/22/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (chart peaks 9/4/21 but give it a few days)
Ireland (Fourth Wave)
8/28/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases for wave 4 during late August)
9/8/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Sweden (Fifth Wave)
8/30/21 New Case Peak Date
(highest cases for wave 5)
9/10/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Canada (Fourth Wave)
8/30/21 New Case Peak Date
9/10/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Bulgaria (Fifth Wave)
8/31/21 New Case Peak Date
9/11/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Israel (Fifth Wave)
9/1/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
new cases ever)
9/12/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (may have peaked 9/2/21; give it a few days; highest
active cases ever)
New Zealand (Seventh Wave but only
2 big ones Spring last year and now)
9/1/21 New Case Peak Date
9/12/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (may have peaked 9/3/21; give it a few days)
Costa Rica (Fifth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases for wave 5)
9/13/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (may have peaked 9/5/21; give it a few days)
Germany (Fourth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/13/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Moldova (Sixth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/13/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Vietnam (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
daily cases ever 8/26 and 9/3/21)
9/14/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
United States (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
Ukraine (Fifth Wave)
9/4/21 New Case Peak Date
9/15/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Romania (Fifth Wave)
9/4/21 New Case Peak Date
9/15/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Croatia (Sixth Wave)
9/4/21 New Case Peak Date
9/15/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Australia (Fifth Wave)
9/5/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases ever 9/4 and 9/5/21)
9/16/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Austria (Fourth Wave)
9/5/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases ever 9/4 and 9/5/21)
9/16/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Switzerland (Fifth Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases for wave 5)
9/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Philippines (Fifth Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases ever)
9/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Serbia (Fifth Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases for wave 5)
9/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Mongolia (Third Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases ever)
9/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
UK (Fifth Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date (highest
cases for wave 5 on 9/3 and 9/6/21)
10/4/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
Guinea is taken off the bad list as its active cases chart
rolls over to the downside but the nation is challenged by a coup. Iran’s
active cases also roll over to the downside so it is taken off the list but the
nation remains challenged for another couple weeks.
Guatemala and Mexico are taken off the bad list as the
infections and active cases subside. Ditto Cuba. Greece’s active cases begin
dropping so it is taken off the bad list. Italy also. It is good to see that
the European vacation spots are improving since it will help them salvage some
of the tourist season.
South Korea is taken off the bad list as they finally begin
getting a handle on the outbreak. Japan’s active cases curve is dropping nicely
so it is taken off the list. As luck, bad luck, would have it, Japan’s daily
cases peaked-out during the Olympics and Paralympics. Malaysia is taken off the
bad list after going to covid Hell and back.
Australia is averaging 1.5K new cases per day the most ever.
So much for the zero-covid goal. COVID-19 is like cockroaches or mice. When you
see one (infection), there are a dozen others you don’t see. La Cucaracha. New
Zealand’s daily cases may have peaked-out in the 70 to 90 people area which is
uber small compared to other countries on earth but it is not the zero-covid
they desire.
The UK is in trouble with a new wave 5 as highlighted in the
chart above. UK PM Boris Johnson needs to wake up and smell the coffee, er tea.
The United States continues its walk of pandemic shame with the daily cases
improving but the active cases curve may not roll over for another 2 or 3 weeks
hopefully sooner.
Ukraine and Romania are added to the bad list above as new
waves begin. Ditto Moldova, Austria and Croatia. Belgium is struggling to
contain an outbreak and will have to be placed on the list next time if it does
not improve. Hungary is in the same boat with a new wave likely beginning. Try
to nip it in the bud Hungary or you will be deep in trouble in a month.
It is easy to see the new global hotspot in eastern Europe
and western Asia with the Austria, Croatia, Hungary, Serbia, Romania, Moldova,
Ukraine cluster. Perhaps a new variant is afoot. The infections from Greece
move north so Bulgaria can be tossed into that cluster as well.
Mongolia is in ugly shape with record cases and may infect
China’s northern border. Philippines and Vietnam remain challenged in Southeast
Asia.
South America is looking generally okay. In Africa, a new
wave may be starting in Gabon. Ditto Angola. Tanzania is not doing well.
Neither is Somalia. Generally, however, Africa is hanging in there despite the
lack of adequate vaccinations.
The next list shows the US states struggling with
coronavirus with the worst states listed at the bottom. The peak in daily new
cases and projections for the peaks in active cases are provided as per the
Keystone Model. The flattening and roll over of the active cases curve forming
the bell shape indicates the virus is being defeated and the caseload on
healthcare workers will quickly improve.
The southern and coastal states are slapped around the
hardest but there are improvements occurring in the southern states.
Missouri (Fifth Wave)
8/11/21 New Case Peak Date
9/8/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
New Mexico
(Fifth Wave)
8/12/21
New Case Peak Date
9/9/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Louisiana
(Fourth Wave)
8/13/21
New Case Peak Date
9/10/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
New
Jersey (Fourth Wave)
8/20/21
New Case Peak Date
9/17/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Connecticut
(Fourth Wave)
8/23/21
New Case Peak Date
9/20/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Alabama
(Fifth Wave)
8/24/21
New Case Peak Date
9/21/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
South
Dakota (Fourth Wave)
8/24/21
New Case Peak Date (Sturgis Motorcycle Rally)
9/21/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
South
Carolina (Fifth Wave)
8/27/21
New Case Peak Date
9/24/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Oregon
(Fifth Wave)
8/27/21
New Case Peak Date
9/24/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Florida
(Fifth Wave)
8/27/21
New Case Peak Date (highest cases ever)
9/24/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Oklahoma (Fifth Wave)
8/28/21 New Case Peak Date
9/25/21 Projected Active Case Peak Date
Hawaii
(Fifth Wave/Continuous)
8/29/21
New Case Peak Date
9/26/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Wyoming
(Fifth Wave)
8/30/21
New Case Peak Date
9/27/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Minnesota
(Fifth Wave)
8/31/21
New Case Peak Date
9/28/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Vermont
(Fifth Wave)
9/1/21
New Case Peak Date
9/29/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Alaska
(Fifth Wave)
9/1/21
New Case Peak Date
9/29/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Tennessee
(Fifth Wave)
9/1/21
New Case Peak Date
9/29/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
California
(Fourth Wave)
9/1/21
New Case Peak Date
9/29/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Montana (Fifth Wave)
9/1/21 New Case Peak Date
9/29/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Rhode Island (Fourth
Wave/Continuous)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Wisconsin (Fifth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Kentucky (Continuous Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Idaho (Fourth Wave/Continuous)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
North Dakota (Fourth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Texas (Fourth Wave)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Washington (Fifth Wave/Continuous)
9/2/21 New Case Peak Date
9/30/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Maine (Second Wave/Continuous)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Utah (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Ohio (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Massachusetts (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Virginia (Continuous Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Michigan (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
West Virginia (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Maryland (Continuous Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Delaware (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
New Hampshire (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Kansas (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Nebraska (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Nevada (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
North Carolina (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Arizona (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Indiana (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Illinois (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
New York (Fourth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Georgia (Fifth Wave)
9/3/21 New Case Peak Date
10/1/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Colorado (Fifth Wave)
9/4/21 New Case Peak Date
10/2/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Pennsylvania (Fifth Wave)
9/4/21 New Case Peak Date
10/2/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Iowa (Fifth Wave)
9/6/21 New Case Peak Date
10/4/21 Projected Active Case Peak
Date
Missouri’s active cases curve is expected to roll over lower
any day forward and serve as a guide for other states. Missouri is the
epicenter of the Delta wave and its daily cases peaked nearly a month ago. Alabama
and Louisiana should continue improving as well. Also, Florida.
Woo-hoo! Eureka. Winner, winner, chicken dinner. Arkansas is
the first state to roll its active cases curve over to the downside.
Congratulations. The bell shape begins to form. Arkansas’s daily cases peak on
8/19/21 and the active cases peak on 8/21/21. Arkansas’s chart behavior can be
adopted to other states but the actual numbers cannot. Arkansas is likely slow
in reporting daily cases. Nonetheless, Arkansas is on the mend and should
notice a big improvement in hospital caseloads over the coming days.
Arkansas hospital admissions are lower for all age groups
even the 0 to 17 year old’s are edging a hair lower. Arkansas hospitalizations have
rolled over and are coming down nicely so the healthcare workers will begin to
breathe easier in a few more days.
Mississippi is also removed from the bad list above. Like
Arkansas, the active cases are coming down but remain elevated in relation to
prior waves. Give it a few days and a substantive reduction in hospitalizations
should be realized in Mississippi.
The list is trimmed from all 50 states down to 48 states over the last 10 days with Arkansas and Mississippi likely realizing success moving forward.
Note the southern states listed towards the top of the list
showing that they are emerging from the delta wave quagmire while the states at
the bottom remain stuck in the coronavirus ooze.
Also, many states have not updated their information on the
holiday weekend. That is why many of the peaks dates are 9/3/21 along with the
fact that the Friday numbers are typically more robust. No doubt that many
states remain challenged with daily new cases yet to peak. The overall US daily
cases chart shown above gives reason to be optimistic despite the troubles of
the states at the bottom of the list. Florida, Texas and California are highly
populated states so their recoveries will greatly improve the overall United
States numbers.
The unemployment compensation provided during the pandemic
is running out for many Americans. There are hard times ahead for many as the
upper middle class and wealthy dance with glee making thousands of dollars in
stock market returns each month from the Federal Reserve’s money printing. Too
bad one-half of Americans do not own a single share of stock.
Evictions will also increase now that protections are
removed. It will be interesting to see if people flood back into the job
market. If so, COVID-19 would not be an excessive worry for many but if the
jobs market remains challenged going forward, many people are likely worried
about getting sick or perhaps they are taking care of an ill loved one.
The US wave 5 may roll over now and conditions improve
through the Fall, however, the plight of the common man, the poor and
disadvantaged folks, will linger on for years. Good riddance to the rigged
crony capitalism system that only provides opportunities to the rich and the
sons of the rich.
The vaccine booster shot saga will come to a head on 9/20/21
when President Biden promised that a third shot of the mRNA vaccine would be
provided to Americans. The FDA and CDC may approve the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine
for the week of 9/20/21 but the Moderna vaccine booster approval may not come
for a couple weeks or so after Pfizer.
Two FDA employees resign unhappy that the president was
ramrodding the booster shot approval through the system. The FDA meets on
9/17/21 when the Pfizer booster approval will likely be recommended and then
the CDC advisory panel meets and will likely approve the booster within a
couple days later, and then many Americans, hiding under their beds, will run
straight to the vaccination site to roll up their sleeves gleefully receiving
the third shot. The booster shot saga will hit the fan in about 11 days as the
FDA meeting will be sensationalized by the media.
Lord Fauci is commenting on the booster shots trying to
change the nomenclature calling the mRNA vaccines a likely 3-shot regimen
instead of 2 shots and a booster. Humorously, in a few weeks he will be talking
4-shots and he does not want to call it a booster-booster.
Fauci has a new favorite 10-dollar college word; diminution.
As Fauci pontificates on the need and status of booster shots, he opines about
the diminution of the vaccines over time and the indications of some diminution
in the vaccines. Previously, he wanted to see a diminution of the activity in
bars and restaurants. If you say diminution at a cocktail party, with your
pinky extended while holding a wine glass, people will think you are smart and
sophisticated.
The Intercept internet news media outlet receives documents
through court requests concerning the coronavirus research performed at the
Wuhan Laboratories through EcoHealth Alliance. The Intercept traces the money
through EcoHealth and identifies the dangerous research performed with
inadequate laboratory safety standards.
The Intercept bolsters the theory that COVID-19 is a virus that leaked
from one of the Wuhan laboratories. Fauci and Collins are hiding in the back
room hoping the story will blow over.
Rolling Stone is shamed. The rag reported on a story from
Oklahoma that a hospital had to turn seriously ill patients away because they
were treating people sickened from ivermectin. The story is a lie and Rolling
Stone issued a retraction. The damage is done, however, and many people will
call ivermectin snake oil which is what the Whitehouse, CDC, NIH, and the
medical establishment want so people will instead seek vaccinations. No one
hears about story corrections. The ivermectin negative narrative seed is
planted in people’s minds. What a sick corrupt world.
Television and radio personality Joe Rogan tested positive
for COVID-19 last weekend and ‘threw the kitchen sink at it’ including
monoclonal antibody treatment, zinc, ivermectin, steroids and other treatments.
Rogan is unvaccinated and the medical pundits were busy wagging fingers at the popular
and outspoken podcasting goliath.
Rogan announces that he now tests negative for coronavirus.
He beat the virus to the cheers of the anti-vaxxer crowd. The clock just fell
off the wall in the Oval Office. Humorously, if unvaccinated people contract
covid, they may show up at the emergency room and ask the hospital to “give me
the Joe Rogan treatment.”
Unvaccinated Keystone continues to maintain an open mind
about taking the shot and is willing to roll up his sleeve, er, actually, pull
down his pants. It is a long story but perhaps a brief recap is in order.
Keystone is ambidextrous and cannot give up the use of an arm after a
vaccination. Therefore, a shot to the buttocks is the logical solution.
When the vaccination sites were in full swing, Keystone
drove up and was standing on the passenger seat, slumped over, with his shorts
halfway down his thighs when Nurse Goodbody stated yelling that there will be
no shots in buttocks at this facility. Keystone drove away but the smart and
pretty nurse scheduled an appointment to administer the shot in the office
after receiving approval from Dr Ben Dover.
Keystone was swimming at Keystone Lake in southwestern
Pennsylvania and stopped at the medical office to see when the appointment was
scheduled. Again, Nurse Goodbody reprimanded Keystone because all he was
wearing was sandals, Speedo’s and a short robe. The folks in the waiting room
are still recovering from the sight. Mrs Hawthorne says she cannot get the
disturbing image out of her mind.
So the vaccination appointment was set but Nurse Goodbody
pulled a fast one and scheduled Nurse Ratched, that ole battle-axe, to
administer the shot into the arse cheek. Ratched graduated from Marque de Sade
Nursing School. Keystone plans to receive the first shot in the left buttock cheek
and the second shot in the right cheek. He is worried about where the booster
will be administered.
As fate would have it, on the day of the vaccination, there
is an electrical power problem at the office so the vaccination is postponed.
Nurse Goodbody has now promised that she will administer the shots to
Keystone’s derriere. As part of the agreement to get vaccinated, she also
purchased a new pair of Speedo’s for Keystone and they are in his size, extra
small. The truth hurts. The great nurse also says Keystone can wear his blue
Superman tee shirt to boost confidence on the day of the shot.
Nurse Goodbody plans to call Keystone to set the new vaccination
appointment. Everything is ready to go. Keystone is at the tattoo parlor
getting some ink placed on his left buttock cheek that will surely make the smart
and pretty nurse laugh as she administers the shot.
Back on the serious side, an idiot teacher tapes a face mask
to a child’s face in a fourth-grade classroom in Las Vegas. Who does that let
alone a teacher? Other kids laugh at the 9-year old boy. He got a drink of
water and forgot to put the mask back on. The principal got wind of the
stupidity and investigates the situation learning that the imbecile teacher did
it to five other students since school started a couple weeks ago. That idiot
needs fired and the police need to educate the educator about the word
“assault.” People are going nuts during the pandemic.
If the data behaves this week, the US wave 5 may be
performing its swan song right now. Most viruses run for about 18-months when
they burn themselves out. Viruses choose to go away on their own sometimes no
matter what science throws at them. 18 months for America is the June to
September window where the pandemic may simply subside because it has run its
course.
In the coming days, infections (daily new cases) will be
watched to see if a bump higher occurs due to the Labor Day holiday weekend fun
and the packed sports stadiums. Pundits keep mentioning last year at this time
as when the US cases started ramping higher into the devastating wave 3. This
year is not the same since much of the country is vaccinated, another portion
has been infected and has natural antibody protection, and many of the old and
obese folks are already killed-off.
In other words, the doom and gloom may be
overdone these days in the media. The fear-mongering continues as a means to
push people to get vaccinated. Watch out for the covid boogey man hiding in the
closet behind the laundry basket. And don’t forget to watch out for the new and
latest COVID-19 mutation, the com-Mu-nist variant.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/8/21, at 5:00 AM EST: President Biden plans to announce a "6-prong strategy" for handling the delta wave on Thursday. This does not sound good. A few decades ago, President Ronnie Ray-gun quips, "The nine most terrifying words in the English language are 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help'." As Article 53 explains above, the US wave 5 may be in the throes of rolling over (daily cases). Why step in with draconian measures if the country is starting to come out of the covid funk? Maybe the Whitehouse wants to exert more control on the population and mandate masks and/or vaccines, or continue twisting the arms of companies and organizations to do the mandate dirty work? Or claim credit at the end of the month for defeating the Delta variant when it may be already on its way out. The speech will be a spectacle tomorrow. Biden keeps trying to divert attention away from the mess in Afghanistan. The packed football stadiums are receiving lots of attention in the media. You cannot help but laugh at the huge crowds, fans standing shoulder to shoulder, yelling, laughing, screaming, cheering, having fun. The medical officials daily proclamations now only serve as background noise in the ears after 20 months of pandemic. Young college folks are deciding to have a good time coronavirus be damned. The daily case numbers will tell the tale. If you grab a pencil and the back of an envelope, scribbling some math, there are about 50,000 fans per game, a couple stadiums were pushing 90,000 people, and about 50 games nationwide on Saturday, so 50K people times 50 stadiums is 2.5 million folks, mainly young people 15 to 30 years old. Granted, the majority are likely vaccinated or they may not be allowed to attend university, but it is hard not to imagine that there will be at least a small bump in cases due to these potential superspreader events. If not, however, it will only further embolden the population to get back to normal life since the fears pronounced on television every couple of minutes are unfounded. The doom and gloom continues with an article appearing on the internet proclaiming Florida to be the "Summer of Death." The stuff makes you laugh but you know some folks take the hyperbole seriously.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/8/21, at 5:30 AM EST: Yippee. More positive news. The US reports 107K daily new cases for yesterday. Maybe we can get a sub 100K number during the week? Even more encouraging is the 3-day MA for daily new cases that prints a lower high, the first hint that the data may be topping, and now a lower low, which encourages a downward trend. US active cases continue higher, and hospitals will continue to be swamped for a few more days or week or two, but the path appears brighter ahead as daily new cases slip away. 815 Americans die yesterday and the 7-day MA is 1.1K deaths per day. CNN erroneously reports an average of 1.5K US deaths per day. Missouri daily cases drop like a rock to 1K yesterday so the chart above receives the happy ending where the downside resumes. Tennessee updates its data and it is bad with a spike to 13.4K daily cases yesterday. Tennessee's data is unreliable and the hospital system faces a tough 3 weeks ahead. Kentucky extends its state of emergency. Ohio and Pennsylvania are standing their ground against the covid killer stopping cases from rising. Ditto Illinois and Indiana. West Virginia is battling the delta scourge with all its might. Virginia is holding its own. The spread to the northern states may not be as bad as feared and it is showing in the overall US numbers.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/8/21, at 6:00 AM EST: Cases remain elevated in the UK. Malaysia crosses the 1.9 million total COVID-19 cases milestone but continues improving. Malaysia will notice dramatic improvements in the coming days and weeks if they keep doing what they are doing. Three employees die from COVID-19 at a Malaysia semiconductor plant so the country shuts down several chip factories for a week to stop the virus spread. The lack of chips will further hamper vehicle production especially in Asia. Mexico continues improving which will minimize infections at the US southern border. Keep your fingers crossed that the incremental improvements (lower daily cases) continue around the world and for the United States. A WHO spokesperson decrees, "The pandemic did not have to be this bad." That's right, jackass. If the WHO was not corrupt and lying in bed participating in a menage de trois with the CCP and PRC, the pandemic would never have spread so quickly to all corners of the globe. The WHO has no credibility. WHO also says the booster shot programs should be halted in the wealthier nations until the poorer nations receive shots. As Biden said repeatedly, and will probably say tomorrow, the United States can do both. The WHO is the annoying gnat flying around your head on a hot, humid day. China screwed the world and the WHO helped the CCP accomplish that sick task.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 9/8/21: In an odd case that requires more investigation, 13 employees involved with the Miami-Dade County Public School system in Florida are dead from COVID-19. All were vaccinated. All were Blacks. The news sources do not disclose which vaccinations were used. The 13 deaths occur over the last month including 4 teachers, a cafeteria worker, she probably died with her hair net on, one security guard, and 7 bus drivers. What were those bus drivers doing? Kissing each other? Maybe smokin' and passin' a bowl (a pipe filled with marijuana)? There is likely more to this story. Medical officials are likely tracing their vaccines and lot numbers to see if there is any connection between the dead bodies. The American Academy of Pediatrics says 252K children are infected with COVID-19 over the last week as millions head back to school. 1 in 4 covid cases in America are young people.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 9/8/21: The UPMC doctors in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, are on the cutting edge of COVID-19 treatments and therapies and just finished up another round of tests on two monoclonal antibody treatments. The monoclonal antibody treatments prevent hospitalizations and deaths. In southwestern Pennsylvania it is good to know that the medical folks are on the ball considering all treatments. UPMC provides information and a video on monoclonal antibodies. Also a contact number for more information, especially for people around the Pittsburgh area that are starting to feel a little bit sick. People simply want to be told the medical facts about vaccines, treatments and therapeutics and not fear-mongered into only one choice. Unvaccinated celebrity Joe Rogan recovered from coronavirus with the help of monoclonal antibody treatment. Comically, right-leaning radio and television (Fox News) talk show host Sean Hannity pronounces the word 'monoclonal' as 'monocolonial'. It is hilarious. Former President George W Bush would say nucular instead of nuclear. Humorously, Hannity must be thinking of the Founding Fathers and 'colonial' times. It can be difficult getting those ear worms out of your head.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/9/21, at 3:00 AM EST: The US reports 157.8K daily new cases an elevated number compared to recent days which may include some holiday catch-up numbers. The 7-day MA trend line is at 150K cases continuing lower so it is disappointing that yesterday's number is above the moving average. The rubber meets the road for US wave 5 today and tomorrow when the daily cases will likely be the highest numbers of the week. There will be great celebration if the daily cases over the next 2 days are below yesterday's 158K. The US does not want to see any daily cases above 196.2K the peak for the wave on 8/27/21 which is almost 2 weeks ago. American deaths spike higher to 1,700 souls yesterday another number likely playing holiday-catch-up. The next few days will dictate if the couple million people at football games last Saturday contract covid, or not, and if the back-to-school young people generate more infections. Tennessee's data is all over the map. Fear runs through the state after the record high in daily cases at 13.4K on Tuesday but yesterday is down to 5.4K cases. The average of the last 2 days is 9.4K cases ((13.4+5.4)/2) an elevated number but equaling recent days and not showing a situation spinning out of control. Of course, hospitals remain swamped and the healthcare workers in Tennessee will be overworked for another 2 or 3 weeks. Kentucky hospitals are operating at capacity reflecting poor preparation by the state and medical system. Kentucky finally jumps on the monoclonal antibody treatments to save lives and prevent hospitalizations and the demand is off the charts. Staffing is a problem in many states especially when hospitals place profits above wages. The virus spread among Kentuckians "like wildfire," as one sick person stated, and it did not matter if folks were vaccinated or not. Family groups are becoming sick if one member brings the virus home. There are bumps higher in the daily cases for most US states for yesterday which may be the weekend data catching-up. The increases appear manageable and remaining under the peak daily cases days. Los Angeles school district, the second largest school system in the US, is the first to mandate vaccines for every eligible person over 12 years old if the vote goes as planned today. The decision impacts 600,000 students in 1,000 schools. Vaccine proponents say other shots are required to attend public schools so the COVID-19 vaccine should be no different. Nearly 60% of the 12 to 18 year old's in the district are vaccinated which is higher than most of the school systems in the US. If you are over 12 years old and live in La La Land, get down on your knees, and roll up your sleeves. The timing of the Los Angeles school system vaccine mandate announcement, in Vice President Harris's neck of the woods, is fortuitous in front of the president's speech this evening when he will be pumping vaccine mandates, almost as if it was planned that way.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/9/21, at 4:00 AM EST: Russia continues killing-off its citizens with COVID-19 at 800 souls per day for 9 weeks running. The Sputnik V vaccine must be sputtering-out as Dictator Putin insulates himself from the disease at one of his palaces. The Ruskies are eating borscht waiting for the Grim Reaper to knock on the door. Cases remain elevated in the UK as PM Johnson plans to raise taxes to cover China Flu costs. Ukraine trouble increases as the new wave expands. Czechia is likely in the very infancy of a new wave and would be smart to try and nip it in the bud before it begins. Israel cases are finally retreating so perhaps better times are ahead. An Israeli scientist travels to the US to provide data and information on booster shots to the FDA. Mongolia, China's northern neighbor and a key supplier of the rare earth minerals needed to manufacture smartphones, computers and other electronics, remains in bad shape. Overall, the world continues improving. Italy is making a decision this month about mandating vaccines for all people over 12 years old. The Draghi administration says if an 80% to 90% vaccination level is not reached, a vaccine mandate is likely. The boot-shaped nation will kick you across the Mediterranean if you do not get on your knees, and roll up your sleeves. You must submit and obey to the Ministry of Truth as Orwell said.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/9/21, at 5:00 AM EST: America anxiously awaits President Biden's 6-point plan on combatting coronavirus today. Early information leaked to the press indicate that the six key points are; vaccinating the unvaccinated (what else is new?), funding further protection measures, providing information on booster shots, schools and testing, discussing the economic recovery and improving care for people dealing with long-covid symptoms. Sleepy Joe Biden's approval rating is tanking after the Afghanistan debacle, that lingers perhaps with hostage situations, but today is a risk that he may hurt himself worse politically. Biden is doing shots of Geritol and guzzling black coffee so he can communicate. Biden is on a path that may label him as the modern-day Herbert Hoover.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/9/21, at 11:00 AM EST: The NFL, National Fascist, er, National Football League, American football, cancels Victory Boyd's performance to sing the National Anthem this evening at the opening game between Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys. Comically, Dallas is nicknamed 'America's team'. She is not vaccinated due to religious reasons but the NFL does not accept that and even though she would be standing in the middle of the field with no one around, they stab her in the back. They want her to kneel and receive the vaccine. Masks are not required at the stadium. Hopefully, the talented and pretty Boyd will get twice the publicity for her career for standing up to the power-brokers. Victory is perfection with the Star Spangled Banner.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/9/21, at 3:00 PM EST: The tension mounts ahead of the president's speech. Biden is washing down Ginkgo Biloba and Prevagen supplements with black coffee to stay alert for a couple more hours. Sleepy Joe asks the cook for some pudding and was wondering if an aide saw his hat.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/9/21, at 5:00 PM EST: President Biden speaks announcing a "6-prong strategy" for fighting the delta wave. Biden's poll numbers are dropping off the cliff after the Afghanistan fiasco, and now perhaps lingering hostage situations that bring back memories of Iran a few decades ago, so he is trying to shore up support by showing competence in handling the pandemic. Biden says, "We have the tools to combat the virus" but all he touts is vaccines. Biden says 2 million vaccinations had occurred when he took office. That is not correct. It was 20 million doses and easy to remember since that was the goal former President Trump missed for the end of 2020 but the orange man did achieve the 20 million shots on the last day on 1/20/21 which was the first day for President Biden. Maybe Sleepy Joe slurred his speech and meant to say 20. The CDC COVID Data Tracker has it at 22.6 million doses on 1/20/21. Biden proclaims, "We're in the tough stretch and it may last a while." Sounds like King Trump saying the end of the pandemic is around the corner for 5 months and then getting hit with the covid truck and almost dying. How long is a while? The charts and Article 53 above paints a better picture and potential rolling over of the US wave 5, the delta wave, pending today's and especially tomorrow's daily cases numbers. Joe decrees, "This is a pandemic of the unvaccinated." This mantra is repeated over and over the last few months. Biden puts on his scary face mentioning mobile morgues decreeing that "this is totally unacceptable." It is also total hyperbole. A few freezer trucks were deployed in the South due to incompetent and under staffed morgues. The backlogs are big so the refrigerated trucks are needed to store bodies as the morgue plays catch-up. The freezer trucks are parked at morgues not at hospitals. All of it sure does sound scary with Halloween coming soon so people may run out and get vaccinated for fear of ending up in the back of a mobile morgue. Biden repeats the same ole lines over the last few months. "Vaccines prevent serious illness and death." He announces "six broad areas of action" that "will take time to have full impact." First, increase vaccinations among the unvaccinated. He says 80 million remain unvaccinated. "The time for waiting (for official vaccine approval) is over." King Biden decrees, "This is not about freedom or personal choice." That statement is cringeworthy. "Your refusal (to get vaccinated) has cost all of us." Biden blames the unvaccinated folks for all that is wrong with the pandemic instead of looking at his own management of the mess. The Department of Labor is developing an emergency rule that forces companies with over 100 employees to require workers to be vaccinated or take a weekly test. The rule will impact 80 million Americans. The government requires vaccinations for all nursing homes that accept Medicare payments. This edict will only hurt the already understaffed senior homes. Biden is on a rampage shouting rules and edicts. "Federal contractors must be vaccinated." The president lays down the law letting Americans know it is time to kneel before your master and get vaccinated. He says all the plans announced today will impact 100 million people. Biden tells entertainment facilities and event organizers to require vaccines. After the presidential gig, Joe has a future as a Pfizer sales rep. Biden ponders, "What more is there to wait for? Vaccines are free and safe. We have been patient but our patience has worn thin." In other words, get on your knees you little dirty unvaccinated b*tches. This is not the way to encourage vaccinations. Grandma would opine on the back porch of the shanty many decades ago that "you catch a lot more bees with honey than vinegar." The second point is protecting the vaccinated. He says he "understands the anger directed at unvaccinated people." You do? Picking sides and encouraging division among Americans is an unwise path forward. Biden tries to clean up the booster shot mess saying the FDA and CDC have full control on the timing and decisions but he has enough vaccine ready from 9/20/21 forward. That is not what Biden originally said. He said that booster shots would be available for Americans from 9/20/21 on before the FDA and CDC decisions. He says the boosters will be free and available at pharmacies. "I support vaccinations for children under 12." Now he is pressuring the doctors and scientists to rush along the approval for the child vaccines. Didn't he learn a lesson from his big mouth with booster shots? 90% of teachers and support staff are vaccinated but he "wants 100%." King Biden decrees the executive orders like Yul Brynner as Pharaoh. Let it be said. Let it be written. Let it be done. He requires 300K educators in Head Start programs to be vaccinated by decree. Biden wants all schools and universities to require vaccinations. Fourth, what happened to third?, he did not identify the third point, that must have been the booster shot information, so fourth, is increased testing and masking. The US government has teamed-up with Walmart, Amazon, Kroger and others to sell rapid at home test kits at cost. This is a good idea that was needed a year ago. Better late than never. The poor should receive test kits for free. Better yet, the greedy Wall Street investment bank bastards should buy test kits and give them to the poor for free. Do not hold your breath. Biden says testing will be expanded at pharmacies. The TSA will double the fines for a traveler refusing to wear a mask. You must perform your 'stupid human tricks' as Todd Snider sings in Alright Guy. Biden raises his index finger to the sky scolding the unruly passengers on airlines mistreating flight attendants telling them to "show some respect." Show some respect like Biden showed respect to the Americans stranded in Afghanistan. The fifth point is protecting the economic recovery. The sixth and final point is continuing to improve care for those that had COVID-19. In the most shocking comments of the speech, President Biden fully endorses monoclonal antibody treatments. "Monoclonal antibodies have been shown to reduce hospitalizations by 70%." He says 1.4 million treatments are distributed thus far and shipments of the treatments are increasing by 50%. Good on you Joe. He saved the best news on monoclonal antibodies for the end of the speech. The treatment is not a panacea but it may apply to millions of people getting sick now since a vaccine is not an option. It will save lots of lives and reduce the load on hospitals. All the vaccines, treatments and therapies are good and should all be in the regular daily mix. Biden says, "We will continue to be the 'Arsenal of Vaccines'." Biden says that the United States has provided more vaccine to foreign countries than all other nations combined to deflect the moaning from the WHO. The president says he will release a plan for handling future pandemics next month. "We have the tools, now we have to finish the job." Biden ends the speech with the words "get vaccinated" and walks off ignoring journalist questions such as, "Is this constitutional?" The speech is only 27 minutes long. A major speech is usually 45 minutes or an hour or longer. New vaccinations will take 6 weeks before the 2-shot mRNA regimen is up to full protection so it is great that the president mentioned monoclonal antibody treatments since they will play a key role during September. Sean Hannity continues calling the treatment "monocolonial" which is too funny. It can be a drinking game. A lot of the unvaccinated folks probably are not inspired to run out and take the shot after the speech. Most probably will never hear it. Biden is trying to pressure employers to do the vaccine mandate dirty work. Note that Biden avoided using the word "mandate" as part of the new messaging. The US government tells Americans that you must take the shot if you want to support your family. It is a sick America.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/9/21, at 9:00 PM EST: By a unanimous vote, the Los Angeles School District mandates vaccines by January for all children and people involved with the school that are 12 years old and older. Get down on your knees kids and obey your masters. The school district will probably require flu shots each year as well and also COVID-19 booster shots each year may be on the agenda. One school board member proclaims, "I don't see this as your choice." In other words, parents shut up and tell your kid to kneel before authority and submit. Society becomes sicker each day.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/10/21, at 3:00 AM EST: The US reports 161K daily new cases a small increase over the Wednesday number at 158K cases. It is manageable and keeps America on the right track. Today is Friday when the data is typically the highest so the daily cases will paint the picture forward. If daily cases for today are under 165K, that is great news and the US wave 5 is being defeated and is on the downside. If cases are between 165K and 196K, the US remains in the game for defeating the current wave but the back-to-school infections continue keeping numbers elevated for a few additional days or week or two. If the daily cases today are over 200K, America is screwed and there will be more serious misery ahead for September and October. Worldometer will report the daily cases early Saturday morning. The US active cases are over 9.1 million people the highest ever now edging out the January peak. 1,929 Americans die the deadliest day for wave 5 and not seen since early March. Monoclonal antibody treatments should be used more and many of those people do not have to die. The Biden administration only cares about vaccines and nothing else and instead of getting the monoclonal antibody and other treatments into the southern states quickly, they sit back each day and lecture everyone on getting vaccinated. That strategy killed nearly 2K Americans yesterday. What a shame that America has such incompetent leaders across the board. Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia and Indiana are in the thick of the covid battle. Damn. Texas just took a turn for the worse with a big spike higher in daily new cases to 28K the highest of the current outbreak and only surpassed by 1/5/21 for the most cases ever. There are likely ongoing migrant issues. Also, students returning to school may be causing the bulk of the new infections. Many Texas schools are not mandating masks as per Governor Abbott's decree. Florida and California continue recovering. The US is on the verge of logging 675K deaths from the China Flu which will match the deaths from the 1918 Spanish Flu.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/10/21, at 11:00 AM EST: Moderna announce s a combination vaccine booster shot for COVID-19 and the annual flu shot. Oh what a witch's brew. Next, the government is going to tell folks to kneel for the booster and oh, by the way, now that your down there, we'll give you the combo flu shot so you can be safe. You are afraid each day and spend most of the time under the bed, right? You want to be safe, right? Like a baby; an adult baby. The coronavirus booster shot and seasonal flu combination shot is dubbed mRNA-1073. MRNA stock jumps +3%. Moderna says the combination shot can be provided each year. The, perhaps, mad scientists, mix a few more test-tubes together combining the RSV and human metapneumovirus (HMPV; respiratory illness) vaccines into a mRNA-1365 concoction for kids. The ivermectin controversy continues. The medical establishment wants people to shut up and get vaccinated while denigrating all other treatments. It is shameful because people have died in the US due to the refusal to embrace treatments other than the vaccinations. The dirty little secret is that emergency approval for vaccines would have been far more difficult to attain if other treatments and therapeutics were available. Therefore, the CDC, NIH, Whitehouse, and the whole Hee-Haw gang, proclaim that all treatments are snake-oil and carnival elixirs so it can pave the way for the emergency vaccine approvals without rebuttal. It is a grave disservice to America that all the treatments and therapies, in addition to vaccines, were not made more readily available to everyone. Americans die as a result of the one-horse thinking that a vaccination is the only treatment. At least Biden now admits that monoclonal antibodies are an extremely helpful treatment and credit to the administration to now kick this program into gear (but it could have been done months ago). Lots of folks in Kentucky and Tennessee are likely dying needlessly now as the government stands over their death bed scolding them for not getting vaccinated as they gasp their last breath.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 9/10/21: THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA REPORTS OVER 676K DEATHS FROM CHINA FLU SURPASSING THE 675K DEATHS DURING THE 1918 SPANISH FLU. A sad day indeed. About 500 million people were infected worldwide from the Spanish Flu which was about one-third of the world's population. About 25 to 50 million died around the world from Spanish Flu. The current world population is 7.67 billion so one-third is 2.6 billion people (7.67/3) for comparison. The world's population has expanded by 5 times during the last 103 years. The 675K dead Americans in 1918 were a lot larger portion, or percentage, of the US population than the 675K deaths now. Nonetheless, the Grim Reaper claims another tragic milestone. The China Virus is more deadly than the Spanish Flu on a total United States deaths basis. The bony hooded figure is dancing with glee with the scythe's razor-sharp blade glistening in the moonlight.
Note Added Friday Evening, 9/10/21: The Whitehouse is preaching fire and brimstone over President Biden's edicts last evening. Several republican states say they will sue to stop the orders. Biden says, "Have at it." Biden is picking a fight with the republicans over the covid measures because if people are talking and fighting over this, no one is talking about the ongoing Afghanistan debacle. Such is the game of politics in the corrupt crony capitalism system. A poll indicates that 70% of unvaccinated people are willing to quit or lose their jobs if forced to take the vaccination. Is it bravado talk or will they follow through? Remember, as previously mentioned, DO NOT QUIT YOUR JOB. If you quit, you get nothing and have no recourse. You quit. Instead, keep showing up at work and do your job diligently and professionally until the company fires you and terminates your job. Leave cordially and then walk to an attorney's office that will likely gladly take your case. IF YOU QUIT, YOU GET BUPTKIS. Make the employer fire you if you want to sue.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/11/21, at 4:00 AM EST: Today is the 20th anniversary of the 9-11 terrorist attacks on the United States that killed nearly 3K people and even more with health issues after the attack. Keystone, in the beautiful Laurel Mountain Ridge of southwestern Pennsylvania, is an eyewitness to two military jets flying over his head after the first building went down in New York City. To this day, the government says jets were not in the air to dispel rumors that Flight 93 was shot down by the authorities. Would you believe the government or your lying eyes? The airplane crashed in the last non-populated area available before the Mason-Dixon line (southern border of Pennsylvania). From there to the Whitehouse, the ground is heavily-populated so any crash would have killed hundreds of people. The disaster would have been far greater if the plane made it beyond Shanksville. The US reports 171.1K daily new cases a great number even though it remains elevated. This is what America needed. Friday's are usually the highest days of the week for cases in the Worldometer data so a 171K number puts a smile on your face. The weekend numbers will be lower and that puts the US into next week. The back-to-school infections remain a big worry but many schools are back for 3 weeks already so much of that spread may have run its course. Also, vacationers. Remember the big spread in Cape Cod, Massachusetts, next to Martha's Vineyard, the playground of the rich and famous? Americans went to the beach over the last few weeks. explaining the bigger outbreaks in Massachusetts, New Jersey, the Carolina's, Florida and the West Coast states. The back-to-school activity, vacationing and people returning to work all contributed to the US wave 5. Kids are back in school and students are back at college. Summer unofficially ends at Labor Day so the vacations are in the rearview mirror. The folks going back to work are likely at work. The 7-day MA trend line for US daily new cases is at 146K cases per day but most importantly, the moving average is sloping down. Ideally, it would have been nice for the Friday number to be sub 146K but beggar's can't be chooser's and the 171K number is celebrated as a victory for defeating the delta wave. The 3-day MA for US daily new cases prints a lower high and lower low, which breaks the upside trend of wave 5, and the moving average is coming up again where the US needs to see another lower high. That will be sweet and further confirm that wave 5 is rolling over. This is good news but remember the hospitalizations and demands on healthcare workers will continue for a couple more weeks. The CDC COVID Data Tracker shows US hospitalizations rolling over so the skies will become sunnier in the days ahead. US hospital admissions are also rolling over nicely. The 18 to 39 year old admissions are finally moving lower and even the 0 to 17 year old admissions are moving lower albeit incrementally. The India B1617 variant (delta) is a fast-moving wave, as evidenced by Europe and elsewhere, so it is a great sight to see the hospital admissions moving lower across the board. If you click through the 10 US regions on the drop-down menu for hospitalizations, 3 trend up, 3 trend flat ready to roll over lower, and 4 trend lower. The 3 regions with hospitalizations still bumping higher are 1,3 and 5 which are the Northeast (Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Connecticut), Mid-Atlantic and East Coast (West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware) and Upper Midwest (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan) regions, respectively. The regions are too small to identify on the tiny cheesy US map shown on the hospitalization charts but you can access a better image by googling 'CDC regions'. The chronology has highlighted how the virus has spread out of the southern states moving north and the 3 regions experiencing increasing hospitalizations prove this path. Tennessee and Kentucky are in region 4 and remain in turmoil but the region as a whole is showing a drop in hospitalizations so Help is On the Way. From there, and from Missouri that is the epicenter of the delta wave now much improved, the virus spreads to Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and then further north to Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota. Also, COVID-19 spreads to West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware and Pennsylvania. West Virginia worsens reporting the highest daily cases ever at 2.4K. Ditto Pennsylvania at 5K daily cases. The Northeast states are not a big worry since the vaccination rate is high. Even Pennsylvania is hanging in there during the onslaught due to its high vaccination rate. The pundits fear that the virus waves for the northern states will be as bad, or worse than the South, especially since the coming cooler weather will be chasing people indoors, but the data and explanation above provides a much brighter and less gloomy picture. 1.8K Americans die yesterday but do not have to if the Biden administration was more forceful in pushing monoclonal antibody treatments and other therapy protocols on those infected since it is too late for a vaccine to help them. US pandemic deaths are at 677K now 2K above the Spanish Flu deaths in 1918.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 9/11/21, at 5:00 AM EST: France bans unvaccinated Americans from entering the country. Sacrebleu! It is another day and another 800 Ruskies die from China Flu. Yawn. Iran is on the mend as its active cases curve rolls over to the downside starting to form the coveted bell shape. The Philippines is the new epicenter of coronavirus with daily cases at record levels at 23K. Philippines total cases top 2.2 million.
Note Added Saturday Afternoon, 9/11/21: A US clergyman comments on the continuing deaths from coronavirus in his church and the community opining that 'you see them at service, and then the next time you see them, they are the service'. The news media is in a tizzy over a Tennessee school board meeting where a high school student is heckled while providing comments. The young man, talking through a mask, opines that his grandmother died and it was because people did not wear masks. The audience groans. The democrat media runs the story claiming that the kid was heckled for his grandmother dying of COVID-19. It is a sick twisted rendition of the actual truth. The audience was sympathetic to his grandmother dying but when he said it was caused by people not wearing masks that is when the groans and eye-rolling came into play. It rained here today and it was because everyone is not wearing a mask. My car broke down on the highway because everyone is not wearing a mask. It is stupid. Was grandma overweight or obese? Was she already in poor health? Did she wear her own mask with her nose sticking out? How old was grandma? Sonny, grandma died from China Flu and the Lord decided it was her time. The trust in the media is at an all-time low in America as it should be. Both the democrat and republican tribes have their state-run style media outlets; they are simply two sides of the same corrupt Washington, DC, coin. Be thankful that the rigged, crony capitalism game is ending. The young people will take the nation to a better place over the next decade or two, if the country survives.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/12/21, at 3:00 AM EST: The US reports 72.2K daily new cases less than half of Friday's 171.1K cases. The revisions higher to daily numbers during the US wave 5 have been substantive but over the last week or two, the numbers first reported are remaining steady another indication that the wave is likely rolling over. Today's (Sunday) daily cases should be the lowest of the week. The 3-day MA for US daily new cases prints another lower high further confirming that the delta wave is rolling over and on the downside. The 3-day MA trend line prints a lower high, then a lower low, now another lower high, and as it comes down, hopefully, another lower low, which will continue defeating the nasty delta wave. The US active cases are very robust at the highest levels ever. Could it be that as the monoclonal antibody (mAb) treatments grow exponentially for those where it is too late for a vaccination to help them (they have tested positive for China Virus and are becoming sicker but still within the first 10 days), this is reflected in the active cases numbers and hospitalizations? The mAb treatment is simple, an IV to the arm and in a half hour you are done so perhaps no sooner are the patients listed as active receiving treatment, when they are already sent home to recover. The monoclonal antibody treatments are very helpful in reducing the strain on hospitals so the US needs to get cracking and shun the horse-with-blinders-on thinking that vaccinations are the only possible solution. 719 Americans die yesterday with the 7-day moving average flatlining at 1.3K souls perishing per day for the last 3 weeks from COVID-19. Many of these folks did not, and do not, have to die. The mAb treatments are a win-win-win saving people's lives, preventing serious illness and reducing the strain on hospitals. Come on incompetent's, get with the program. As previously explained, the US states in the mid-Atlantic and northern Midwest, or mountain Midwest, are the coronavirus hot zones.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 9/12/21, at 4:00 AM EST: The daily new cases for the world are coming down nicely. It is beautiful as they say in Zoolander. The world has the pandemic on the run despite the low vaccination rates. The question is will a new wave develop in a few weeks or months? First thing is first, however, and although the worldwide cases and deaths are heading lower and the current wave subsiding, the global community needs to remain vigilant and keep beating back the China Flu scourge using every tool possible. The UK wave 5 that showed-up out of nowhere is flatlining with daily new cases so there is hope that the cases will roll over lower in the week ahead. UK hospitals, however, should remain challenged for another couple weeks until the active cases curve rolls back over. 209 Brit's croaked last Tuesday the highest for waves 4 and 5 and the most in 6 months. Oh no. Philippines is smacked hard with 26.2K daily new cases a big spike higher the most ever. Dictator Duterte has his hands full although deaths are remaining low. The problem is that hospitalizations lag new cases by a week or two and then deaths lag hospitalizations by a week or two. The Philippines is a poor nation where folks go to market daily due to lack of refrigeration and the interaction of their lives exacerbates the virus spread. Ukraine is in a new wave with daily cases ramping higher. Mexico continues improving but crosses the 3.5 million total covid cases milestone. Deaths remain elevated in Mexico. Canada continues battling its current wave, like the US, with PM Trudeau and his cabinet making a plea for folks to become vaccinated. Both countries are one-trick ponies with the non-stop vaccination pleas.
Note Added Sunday Afternoon, 9/12/21: Surgeon General Murthy says the US has the legal authority to require vaccine mandates and the president's new plan can withstand court challenges. He is not a lawyer; he is a vaccine cheerleader and medical figurehead that wears a fancy hat. Republican governors continue pushing back against vaccine and mask mandates. China is dealing with a new outbreak in the southeastern province of Fujian. 22 people are sick with the India B1617 variant (delta). As usual, the communists blame the outbreak on a foreigner, this time an adult returning from Singapore. China will be competing with Singapore to be the financial hub of Asia in future years. The Singapore traveler properly quarantined and followed the rules but is labeled as the initial case. 200K people are tested in the last few days. Schools in the Fujian area are suspended and theaters and other businesses are closed until the outbreak is contained.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/13/21, at 3:00 AM EST: The US reports 35.5K daily new cases for yesterday a great low number but it is Sunday. The 3-day MA for US daily new cases prints a lower low so that is 2 lower highs and 2 lower lows verifying that the uptrend of wave 5 is broken and it has rolled over. That is great news. This week will indicate whether there are further outbreaks due to schools reopening or if the large attendances at football stadiums lead to more cases. The pandemic, both worldwide and in America, looks the best it has in the last month or more. Although there is joy in the daily new cases rolling over, the US active cases and hospitalizations will remain challenging for a couple weeks until the caseload flattens and then rolls over lower. Healthcare workers will remain busy this month. It will be a lousy September, but big improvements will be occurring at the end of the month and into October. Also, the Delta variant is a fast-moving pathogen so the time frame may be condensed and the caseload at the hospitals may subside quicker. The monoclonal antibody treatments are placing further strains on healthcare workers but if they nip the virus in the bud with mAb, those patients do not end up in the hospital. Maybe, like a year ago, if there are retired nurses that have jabbed hundreds of IV's, the hospitals need you again to administer mAb. 251 Americans die yesterday and the 7-day MA is starting to move lower, a welcome sight although 1.2K Americans are dying from China Flu per day. CNN continues reporting outdated data touting the erroneous 1.6K Americans dying per day that is 33% higher than the actual real-time number of US deaths per day. The higher numbers drive more fear into American minds which the Whitehouse, CDC and democrat media believe will lead to more vaccinations. They report weekly numbers that are between 7 and 14 days old. In technical analysis, stick to the same time durations when comparing two things. The media is reporting daily on the pandemic status but using weekly data for new cases, hospitalizations and deaths. That is not smart. The daily data is more pertinent and, as explained the last few days, looking better than the weekly data that reflects a week ago and more. Tennessee's record high in daily new cases occurs on 9/7/21, last Tuesday, which leads to the overrun hospital conditions and healthcare workers on the brink. Tennessee hospitals will have a tough slog for another 2 weeks but then conditions should improve. Ditto Kentucky. Missouri daily new cases chart remain stubbornly-elevated rather than finishing off the inverted V pattern. No doubt the schools and universities reopening have led to more cases and community outbreaks in the United States. New York City schools open today. Kids are returning to the classroom a late start compared to other school districts across America so there may be a bump higher in covid cases in a week's time.
Note Added Monday Morning, 9/13/21, at 11:00 AM EST: Former FDA head during President Trump' term and Pfizer board member Dr Scott Gottlieb says the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine for 5 to 11 year old children may be approved by Halloween (10/31/21). Pfizer is submitting data this month. Trials are ongoing to determine the proper dosage for the munchkins. CDC Director Walensky is asked to comment on the Gottlieb proclamation but she does not take the bait, and does not want another booster shot problem, and simply says the vaccines for 5 to 11 year old's are likely "in the Fall." Walensky says infections for kids in Los Angeles County, where a nasty outbreak occurred, are 3.5 times higher in schools that did not implement coronavirus measures such as mask wearing. That is a stretch and appears unscientific and anecdotal but the officials keep pumping the vaccine narrative 'to keep you safe'.
Note Added Monday Afternoon, 9/13/21: An article in the Lancet medical journal, authored by Gruber and Krause, the two individuals that jumped ship at the FDA due to the booster shot review being pushed through quickly perhaps due to a political rather than scientific agenda, says America should focus on vaccinating the unvaccinated rather than booster shots. The Consumer Brands Association, a trade group representing corporate goliaths such as Target, Amazon, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble, send a letter to President Biden asking for clarification on his vaccine mandates.
Note Added Monday Evening, 9/13/21: Florida Governor DeSantis plans to fine the cities, counties and schools that are mandating masks and vaccines against his decrees. 23 US republican states and 3 moderate democrat states are not supporting Biden's vaccine mandates.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/14/21, at 4:00 AM EST: The US crosses the 680K deaths grim milestone now 5,000 more souls than the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic. 815 Americans die yesterday with the 7-day MA continuing its sideways trek now at 1.36K deaths per day. America reports 109.4K daily new cases for Monday. A sub 100K number on a weekday day would be fantastic and further confirm the wave 5 roll over (of the daily new cases). The US active cases chart, which is the bell curve and the 'flatten the curve' chart, continues higher clearly indicating the strain on the hospital systems and healthcare workers. The projection for the flattening-out and roll over of the US active cases chart is as shown in the country list in the article above. The record high daily cases for wave 5 is 196.3K on 8/27/21 but the Keystone Model uses the 9/3/21 high for forecasting purposes since it was within 8% of the top. Thus, adding 28 days to 9/3/21 projects the flattening and roll over of the active cases to occur on 10/1/21 or sooner. Note that if the Keystone Model uses the 8/27/21 top, the projected top for the US active cases curve would be 9/24/21 only 10 days away. The delta wave is faster moving so perhaps the week of 9/27/21 is a good estimate for where the hospitals around the nation start catching a substantial noticeable break. There are anecdotal stories about people needing care that are turned away or their procedures delayed at hospitals due to COVID-19 patients taking up beds. Again, the dirty unwashed unvaccinated folks are blamed for all that goes wrong. The idiot hospitals complain they are at capacity; it is because of their own mismanagement and greed. Hospitals lose their best nurses because they are forcing them to get vaccinated. Others nurses are burned-out and need weeks off to recover from the mental and emotional strain over the last 1-1/2 years. A speedy recovery is wished for all. The hospitals are understaffed. The greedy bastards do not want to give up their profits and are not increasing wages so the understaffing continues. Isn't corrupt crony capitalism great? For the wealthy, that is. The greedy bastards keep raking in profits month after month while blaming the unvaccinated scape goats for the hospital over capacity issues. Sickening, isn't it? On the positive side, most US hospitals will be in dramatically better shape in a couple weeks so if you are a healthcare worker simply focus on this month and know that the end of the month and October and beyond is going to be far better. The United States is in the community spread phase of the China Flu pandemic. Several states are in the covid quagmire while others are not strained at all enjoying the end of summer. The front line of the coronavirus spread is in the West Virginia, Virginia, Indiana, Ohio and Pennsylvania mid-Atlantic states so halting or tamping down the delta scourge in these regions is critical in claiming victory over wave 5. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, area hospitals, report that COVID-19 infections in young people from 5 to 18 years are 10 times higher than last year. Pennsylvania plans vaccination clinics at the state parks as folks take day trips to enjoy the beautiful Fall foliage coming soon.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 9/14/21, at 5:00 AM EST: The UK daily cases have stopped moving higher so perhaps the Brit's can get a handle on things in the days ahead. England announces a plan to vaccinate 12 to 15 year old's. Brazil exceeds 21 million total COVID-19 cases an unwanted milestone but the country is in far better shape than the disastrous period from March through June. Italy and Belgium show dropping cases so they have the China Virus on the run. Germany's daily cases have flattened but the Deutschland remains in a fierce battle against the disease. 122 Germans die from coronavirus yesterday the deadliest day since early June. Canada reports a huge spike in cases to 8.8K. Philippines remains a mess and is the latest severe COVID-19 hot spot on the world stage. Thailand and Indonesia display active cases curves that rolled-over to form the bell shape so they are in good shape going forward. Vietnam's active cases curve is starting to roll over now. Japan is defeating its current wave that wreaked havoc through the Olympics and Paralympics. Japan's active cases curve drops like a rock forming the coveted bell shape. The world and America is looking better each day. Maybe the rabid self-righteous vaccinated can take a chill pill and get off the unvaccinated's back?
Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 9/14/21: Six coaches, staff and one player for the New Orleans Saints (American football) test positive for coronavirus. Rapper Nicki Minaj, with 180 million followers on Twitter, Instagram, and other social media platforms, says she is unvaccinated. Her half-naked body is not protected. The clock just fell off the wall at the CDC that is trying to encourage vaccinations. There is concern that the mRNA vaccines will create reproduction issues in future years. Minaj says her cousin's friend experienced swollen testicles after receiving a vaccination. Humorously, the first question is where did they administer the shot? Dr Fauci says no to the comments but the 180 million followers will likely listen to Nicki and not Tony. Lord Fauci also proclaims that anyone wanting to travel in an airplane may need to be vaccinated. He says the idea is under consideration. Fauci says vaccines for children are likely in the October to November time frame quoting the talking point "in the Fall."
Note Added Tuesday Evening, 9/14/21: The Pfizer CEO Albert Bouria says the vaccine trial data on 5 to 11 year old's will be submitted to the FDA any day while the data on the 6-month old baby's to 5-year old's will follow in the back half of October. The medical authorities want to keep pumping vaccine into folks and Bouria, and the politicians that own pharmaceutical stocks, see nothing but dollar signs ahead. In California, democrat Governor Newsom wins the recall election the mainly liberal electorate deciding to keep him in office despite his dining at the fancy French restaurant after telling Californians they are not allowed to eat at restaurants. People must like their leaders to act like royalty and nobility. Newsom was on the recall ballot because of missteps in handling the pandemic but the majority of voters said they wanted to keep him in office because of his handling of the pandemic. Republican talk show host Larry Elder was the main republican rival if Newsom was recalled but the vote went exactly along party lines with two-thirds voting to keep Newsom in office and one-third voting him out. Former President Trump backed Elder so the orange man loses again. The majority of Americans have moved on from abrasive Trumpism.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/15/21, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 142K daily new cases remaining below the 7-day MA at 149K which is important to maintain the downtrend in cases. The 7-day MA trend line, however, curls higher over the last day from 145K up to the 149K (it needs to trend continuously down). This is when increased infections will hit from the Labor Day holiday weekend 9/4/21 through 9/6/21. The back-to-school infections also create buoyancy in the case numbers. The covid waters may be choppy over the next several days. 1,934 Americans die yesterday many needlessly if the Biden administration and CDC would get off their rear end and promote and distribute monoclonal antibody treatments. The 7-day MA trend line for US deaths has been bumping sideways for 3 weeks but pops to 1.5K deaths per day the highest for the moving average since March. Not good. Obviously, the folks dying are mostly unvaccinated so the mAb treatments and other therapies are their only hope. Instead, the democrat media continues running sob stories so people will get vaccinated as the only solution. A man and wife die of coronavirus leaving behind 5 kids including a newborn. Both were morbidly obese and their children are clearly headed the same way as seen in the family photograph. A republican talk show host in Denver, Bob Enyart, 62, that railed against masks and vaccine mandates, died from COVID-19. Enyart was obese. If you are fat, call your doctor and look into getting yourself vaccinated.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/15/21, at 5:00 AM EST: The WHO says a substantial decline in weekly case numbers is occurring worldwide. Nearly 227 million people have been infected with China Flu worldwide. 4,664,420 people have died. 203 million people have recovered. Thus, about 20 million people are sick with covid or have lingering health problems from the virus. Russia remains a mess. The Philippines is the world's COVID-19 hotspot. Ukraine has a new wave underway.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/15/21, at 6:00 AM EST: A Quinnipiac poll reports that 48% of Americans believe that Biden is doing a good job handling the pandemic while 49% do not. It is the first time the poll flips. In August, only a month ago, 53% thought he was doing a good job with coronavirus while 40% did not. That is a dramatic decline. The Afghanistan debacle and delta wave sink the Biden ship. 62%, nearly two-thirds of Americans, believe that the US will have to send the military back into Afghanistan in the future. Biden needs to worry about the loss of support from the independents. The tribal democrats will always support Sleepy Joe no matter what and the tribal republicans will always denigrate him just like when Trump was in office the opposite occurred. Each political tribe has their own state-run style media outlets. The independents elected Trump in 2016 and elected Biden in 2020. Anyone desiring a political future needs to kiss the independent's ring. A different poll reports the unsurprising result that 50% to 60% of Americans support vaccine mandates. Duh. Of course they do since that is the percentage of people that got vaccinated. The poll is touted on democrat media to cheerlead more vaccinations.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 9/15/21, at 6:30 AM EST: 76% of American adults (over 18 years old) are vaccinated with at least one dose. 210 million Americans are vaccinated with at least one dose, 63% of the population, and over 179 million Americans are fully vaccinated. The US vaccination rate is dropping since late August over 2 weeks ago. The highest individual vaccination day during the ongoing delta wave 5 was on 8/27/21 at 1.1 million doses. The highest day for the 7-day MA trend line of US vaccinations was on 8/29/21 at 834K doses per day. The 7-day MA drops to 605K vaccinations per day on 9/7/21, and is now in the 540K to 600K doses per day range which is respectable and nothing to diss even though it is well off the levels 3 weeks ago.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 9/15/21: The booster shot controversy heats-up with President Biden's 9/20/21 date, when he said booster's would be available, but then retracted telling folks to follow the science instead, is on Monday. The FDA staff, that performs a lot of preparatory work for the advisory committee meeting on Friday, is not making a recommendation on Pfizer booster shots saying that some of the data needs to be verified. Sounds like an excuse? Biden created a booster hot potato everyone is tossing to each other that no one wants to be left to eat. Now the heat is turned-up on the FDA meeting on Friday. Moderna data shows that its vaccine efficacy wanes over time boosting the cases for boosters. Moderna says 1 in 91 vaccinated people suffered a breakthrough infection last year but this has improved to 1 in 130 vaccinated people experiencing a breakthrough infection earlier this year. Many of the breakthrough cases are sniffles or asymptomatic and go unreported so the numbers are likely worse than touted. The booster shot serum becomes cloudier each day leading into the FDA Friday meeting. If the FDA recommends approval for the vaccine booster shot, or third shot in a 3-shot series if you will, the CDC advisory committee will meet over a couple-day period to provide its blessing. The FDA and CDC should bite the bullet and simply say that any American dosed twice with the Pfizer vaccine over 6 months ago and is over 50 years old is eligible for a booster shot. The Nicki Minaj comment about her cousin's friends testicles swelling-up after receiving a vaccination is getting lots of attention. Health officials, the UK, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, where the guy with big balls lives, and even Pope Francis, tell people to not take medical advice from Minaj. The Pope says the Catholic Church has always been "friendly to vaccines." Medical officials cannot verify the swollen testicles story and searched high and low for other 'blue balls' problems but found none. 180 million blind followers bounce and twerk to Nicki's inaudible and incoherent rapping waiting for her next stupid comment. From a vaccination standpoint, too bad the shot did not enlarge the other part of the male anatomy because if that was the case, American men would be lined-up for miles waiting to roll up their sleeves.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 9/15/21: Spectrum Health in Michigan, USA, revises its employee vaccine mandate now allowing an exemption for those that have been infected with COVID-19 and have 'natural immunity'. The decision creates conflict with Biden's vaccine mandate edicts. HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra, appearing on CNN (the Biden administration provides comments on democrat media such as CNN and MSNBC while shunning republican media just as the Trump administration supported the republican-run media such as Fox News, Newsmax and AM talk radio while ignoring the democrat-run media), hearing the Spectrum Health's decision, proclaims, "No employer should try to play games." The Whitehouse wants you to shut your mouth, ignore all coronavirus treatments and therapies, and only accept vaccinations as the sole treatment for China Flu. Religious exemptions from vaccine mandates are increasing exponentially. Some clergymen are supporting folks that do not want vaccinated offering letters of exemption of course if you put a little cash in the collection basket. About 3K Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) employees are seeking religious and medical exemptions pushing back against the Biden decrees.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/16/21, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 161.5K daily new cases the numbers are creeping higher no doubt due to the back-to-school infections, end of summer and Labor Day partying and perhaps those jam-packed maskless football stadiums. The US 7-day MA unfortunately begins curling higher again now at 153K daily new cases. The back-to-school bump should work itself out in the coming days. If the daily cases can remain in check in this 150K to 170K range today and tomorrow, the downtrend in wave 5 should resume. The 3-day MA does not make another lower low so this takes the trend into a sideways posture due to the back-to-school bump. American deaths are out of hand jumping to 2.3K deaths yesterday the deadliest day for wave 5 and not seen since 3/3/21. Many of these people are dying because they were not given monoclonal antibody treatments and this blood is on Biden's hands. The solo focus on vaccinations is killing Americans. At least the percentage of obese Americans will drop sharply after the pandemic is over. Oh no. Alaska reports 1.1K daily new cases a huge spike higher the most cases ever. The wheels fall off the hospital gurney in Providence, Alaska, as the medical system goes into a prioritizing treatment phase; rationed care. Thus, some folks will die because the care is not available. This is a lack of planning and staffing and an incompetent management team unable to handle the situation. The hospitals and other greed kings do not want to reduce their profits so they do not offer higher pay or actively seek additional help (since it may cost them money). Profits and money rule America's decisions not people suffering from the China Flu. The beauty of the crony capitalism system, for the wealthy class, is that the dirty unvaccinated can be blamed for the hospital woes while the stockholders count their money. Deaths remain nil in Alaska but that will likely change in a a few weeks as the new infections work through the system. On a positive note, although it may be premature, states such as Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio and Pennsylvania are showing a slight decrease in cases off their peaks over the last few days. Washington state continues struggling to contain the virus. Cases in Oregon are coming nicely off the top. The mountain Midwest states are experiencing higher infections. Cases jump higher in Montana now at levels only seen during the worst days for the state last November. Idaho, Wyoming and the Dakota's are dealing with more infections which adds to the overall US numbers. Michigan is experiencing the highest daily cases of the current wave 5. Interestingly, if the mid-Atlantic states can beat back the virus without experiencing the pain that occurred in the South, this would be a positive template on how the daily cases will proceed in the mountain Midwest states. Watch Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana and keep fingers crossed that the daily cases roll over. The pandemic is now a region by region community spread event.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 9/16/21, at 11:00 AM EST: The Nicki Minaj drama continues. The Whitehouse extends a call to Minaj to offer her a talk with coronavirus experts to assuage her fears about vaccinations, but she interprets it as the president inviting her to a summit, so the drama will continue. Minaj says she would get a vaccine after she performs "enough research." The Whitehouse is in for a show if she arrives with her entourage. Comically, she would dress down all those b*tches including Sleepy Joe with her sharp salty tongue. From the vomit department, in an Instagram post, the Guardian (British media) appoints Dr Fauci as "sexiest man alive." It creates instant outrage and attention, which is the intent, to draw eyeballs to the Guardian website. On face value, you do not know if it is satire or if they are actually serious. The Guardian is also hawking an upcoming movie on Fauci. Sickening, isn't it? A co-director of the upcoming movie is on the promotional trail licking Lord Fauci's boots proclaiming that he "is a man who is speaking the truth." Vomit. Fauci and NIH Director Collins are knee-deep in the Wuhan Lab leak and gain of function research scandals that occurred at the communist laboratories starting the China Flu pandemic.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 9/16/21: Chiropractors and clergymen are offering mask and vaccine exemptions to Americans. The US government is clamping-down on the offerings. Many corporations, that are performing the Whitehouse's bidding, say they will not accept such exemptions under their new vaccine mandate rules. In Florida, chiropractor Dr Dan Busch is offering vaccine exemptions and the line forms out the door, down the sidewalk and into the parking lot. Pastor Jackson Lahmeyer, in Tulsa, Oklahoma, is offering religious exemptions from vaccine mandates if you provide a donation. Lahmayer stands at the pulpit and proclaims in fire and brimstone, "We will not comply!" 24 GOP (Grand Ole Party; republicans) attorneys general send a letter to President Biden saying they will sue to stop his vaccine mandate edicts unless the rules are modified. United Airlines CEO Kirby seeks notoriety and openly kisses the Biden ring touting the greatness of vaccine mandates on CNN (democrat media) television. Kirby brags that about 90% of the workforce is vaccinated (but does not offer actual data) but that means 10% are not vaccinated. Kirby claims most employees are vaccinated and they simply have not uploaded their certificates to their website. "Your papers, please." Kirby boasts that only about 5 employees, single digits, have resigned over his vaccine mandate edict (United Airlines employs nearly 70K people). Do you believe that? What is funny is that the population has become smart. DO NOT QUIT OVER A VACCINE MANDATE. Keep working diligently, and be nice to the boss and coworkers, and let the company do the firing. That way, you would have legal recourse against your employer but if you quit, you get buptkis. United Airlines would be wise to start hiring additional lawyers. As previously mentioned, forcing people to kneel at your feet to receive a shot they do not want, but they only comply because they have to support a family, creates a disgruntled and sometimes vengeful employee. There will likely be many negative employee incidents at United Airlines in the coming months, and tools and parts broken, and other problems surfacing. Hey, if the company screws you, you screw them back, this is the way it works. The funny part of Kirby's bragging that only a handful of employees are quitting due to his vaccine mandate, is that the rest of the unvaccinated workers are smart. They do not plan to take the shot and do not plan to quit. They are saying, 'okay, Kirby b*tch, come at us and fire us'. They are smart. It is a fascinating experiment in human interaction and social and corporate behavior.
Note Added Friday Evening, 9/16/21: Shamefully, Biden tightens the supplies of monoclonal antibody treatments. This action is killing Americans and the blood is on Biden's hands. If people become sick with COVID-19, do not ridicule or berate them. If they were hesitant to get the vaccine, help them now that they are sick, do not denigrate them. Treat them with mAb to save their lives and reduce hospitalizations. The scientific data, that is even touted by Biden, shows that monoclonal antibody treatments reduce hospitalizations by 70% to 75% which also means people will not die. In addition, the understaffed hospitals catch a break since less people end up under their care. 'Come on, man', as Biden is known to say. Get with the program, buddy. The US government should be feverishly increasing the use of mAb and in fact, Biden promised this action in the speech last week. The president said he would "increase the shipments of monoclonal antibody treatments by 50%." It is a lie. Now the Whitehouse line is increasing by 50% at some point in the future. The Whitehouse spokesperson Psaki proclaims, "Our supply (of mAb) is not unlimited." That is a lie. Why can't people tell the truth these days? Because their allegiances are to their political tribes and not to the United States as the corrupt crony capitalism system crumbles. The pharmaceutical companies directly state that 'there is ample supply of mAb treatments and any amount can be provided through the end of this year'. Psaki must have lost that memo, or chooses to ignore the facts. 70% of the mAb doses are going to 7 states; Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee and Florida. This is a good thing not a bad thing. Monoclonal antibody treatments are saving lives and reducing the caseloads on hospitals. The Whitehouse, however, remains the one-trick pony, keeping its blinders on, focusing only on vaccination as the sole solution to the pandemic. Biden shifts the mAb focus now saying the doses should be evenly distributed across all states (rather than preferentially sending more mAb doses to the states that need them the most). Republicans complain that Biden is purposely screwing the red states (that typically vote republican) in the South by reducing the shipments of mAb when they are needed the most. Florida Governor DeSantis says Biden is "pulling the rug out" from under the monoclonal antibody treatments. Florida operates 25 mAb sites and needs over 70K doses per week to meet demand. This week, the Whitehouse only delivered 31K mAb doses. Now it is obvious why the death counts remain elevated in many states. DeSantis is trying to buy the mAb doses directly from the manufacturers such as GlaxoSmithKline but worry that the government will swoop in and sign an exclusive contract with Glaxo. Isn't it sickening that states have to fight their own federal government to save people's lives and prevent hospitalizations? The US government already has an exclusive agreement with Regeneron and its mAb treatment. Maybe the southern states can buy monoclonal antibody treatments from other states that do not have as much of a current need and then in the future the southern states can send doses north. This coordination, planning and logistics is what the federal government should be doing but they are too busy telling everyone to get vaccinated and ignore all other COVID-19 treatments and therapies. It is sickening but this is America.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/17/21, at 4:00 AM EST: UK daily new cases are trailing off lower in recent days so the stealth wave 5 should be rolling over in the week ahead. China has vaccinated more than 1 billion of its 1.4 billion population; 71%. Interestingly, it does not matter how many people are inoculated if the vaccine is junk. China is discussing booster shots as it deals with pocket outbreaks in its communist nation. 800 Ruskies die per day for weeks on end but no one cares especially Dictator Putin. The China Flu now seeks out the 68-year old dirtbag dictator. Dozens of people in Putin's inner circle are sick with COVID-19. How's that Sputnik V vaccine working out, buddy? Putin continues to self-isolate worrying about his own arse. Perhaps Putin's fate is in a John Donne poem where 'the bell tolls, it tolls for thee'.
Note Added Friday Morning, 9/17/21, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports 151.1K daily new cases yesterday a welcome, and surprising, sight. Cases started to sneak higher again the last couple days due to the Labor Day parties and the schools and universities reopening, so the expectation was for a larger number, but the 151K is below the 165K cases on hump day. The 7-day MA is at 150K cases so this is a major line in the sand ahead of today's daily new cases number which is typically the highest of the week (Friday's data). If the daily new cases for today are below 150K, the US wave 5 is definitely being defeated. If the cases are in the 150K to 196K range, the downtrend will likely continue after a few stubborn days of elevated cases due to back-to-school infections. If the Friday cases are over 196K, and 200K, wave 5 will be back on the table with a vengeance (but this is the least likely outcome and not expected). Get ready to throw confetti if the US daily cases are less than 150K for today. 1.9K Americans die yesterday as the Biden administration dangles promises of monoclonal antibody treatments on a string above the rigid lifeless corpses.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 9/17/21, at 3:00 PM EST: The FDA advisory committee meets to discuss the potential approval and recommendation of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine booster shots. Biden created controversy when he proclaimed that booster shots would begin for Americans on 9/20/21 (Monday) without consulting the science. The Whitehouse changes the message after the booster confusion occurs and now says that Biden meant that vaccine doses would be available after 9/20/21 if the FDA, and then the CDC, approve booster shots. The FDA votes 16 to 2 not recommending booster shots for Americans 16 years old and older. The advisory committee wants to see more data. Many thought the decision would go the other way but the committee votes on the side of caution. The drama is not over because a second vote may occur shortly with an amended question perhaps approving the Pfizer vaccine for those 65 years and older. The COVID-19 pharma stocks collapse. PFE drops -2%. BNTX -2%. MRNA tanks -5%. JNJ -1%. NVAX -2%.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 9/17/21, at 4:25 PM EST: The FDA votes unanimously to authorize the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine booster shots for those over 65 years old and at high risk (similar to Israel's path). Thus, the FDA decides against boosters for the widespread American population but does authorize the booster for those over 65 and the immunocompromised and those with other health conditions. The China Flu pharma stocks recover into the closing bell PFE -1%. BNTX -1%. MRNA -2%. JNJ -1%. NVAX -1%. Humorously, there are Americans that have already received a booster shot expecting FDA approval. The corner pharmacy is shooting-up anyone walking through the door. An unknown in the Israeli booster data is how long the does the booster last? As the weeks play out, the stage may reset again for a booster-booster shot. The CDC advisory committee will meet early next week to discuss the FDA recommendations. The migrant fiasco at the US southern border goes from bad to worse. Thousands of migrants are filmed at the border battling the scorching sun. Many are Haitian. 200K migrants are crossing into the United States at the Mexico border per month and about 1.5 million migrants have crossed under Biden. The migrants are not subject to covid testing or vaccine mandates and are sent to virtually ever state. At least some portion of the coronavirus cases has to be attributed to the migrants. Comically, the migrants have more rights than Americans. A Fox News (republican media) drone films the migrant crisis and the thousands of people crossing the border. The FAA steps in grounding drones in the area. And you thought that the US was a free country. Fox News outsmarts the Biden democrats sending helicopters into the air that continue filming the border mayhem. A percentage of the thousands of migrants crossing the border daily are likely carrying virus.
Note Added Friday Evening, 9/17/21, at 6:25 PM EST: The monoclonal antibody treatments are in high demand. Regeneron played a role in saving Trump's life. Eli Lilly also offers a mAb treatment. Breakthrough cases are being treated with Regeneron with great success keeping people out of hospitals. Anecdotally, folks say they feel great a couple days after the treatment. The only rare side effect of the mAb treatment is a handful of people said they developed a headache that went away in a day. That's nothing. The monoclonal antibody treatment is not for everyone but if you become sick, regardless of vaccination status, contact your doctor or a monoclonal antibody clinic near you immediately to see if you qualify for the mAb treatment. You must receive the treatment within 10 days of the onset of symptoms. Also, if you have a BMI over 25, you qualify for the treatment and most of you reading this, while eating your bag of potato chips, are a BMI over 25. If you have high blood pressure, heart disease, respiratory disorders, cancer, substance abuse, diabetes, or are a current or past smoker, that will get you over the line to qualify for the monoclonal antibodies. The Whitehouse needs to get with the program and embrace monoclonal antibody treatments as a key tool in the covid toolbox. The mAb treatments will save lives. The drug companies have all the doses that the US needs. Let's go folks. Get the mAb doses to Floridians that are lined up and ready for the treatment.
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