The S&P 500 prints the second key outside reversal candlestick over the last month. The candlestick takes out the prior day's high but then reverses intraday and finishes below the prior day's low. This behavior typically warns that bad stuff is coming for the stock market. The first key reversal warned you. The XLK tech ETF also prints an outside reversal. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Stock chart patterns and technical analysis (TA) explained simply. Disclaimer: This blog and all its contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not trade or invest based on any information seen on this blog. Please read Terms of Service. The K E Stone blog sites (Keybot the Quant) are blacklisted by Google, so enjoy the ad-free experience, and only use the Donate button when supporting the sites. AI is NOT used for any content on this blog.
Thursday, August 24, 2023
Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish
The Keystone Speculator's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, whipsaws back to the short side today at SPX 4428. The chop suey continues. Lots of moving parts to watch.
Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish
Keystone's trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips to the long side at SPX 4431 yesterday. Watch VIX 15.37 and RTH 175.34 to see if the bulls have legs.
Tuesday, August 22, 2023
UST2Y 2-Year Treasury Note Yield Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts; Overbot; Negative Divergence Across All Time Frames; Recession Versus Soft Landing/No Recession Scenarios Explained
The overbot conditions and most importantly, the universal negative divergence across all chart indicators across all three time durations, seal the fate for the 2-year yield. It is always price down yields up and price up yield down for Treasury notes and bonds. Thus, the 2-year yield note being bot (price up) means the yield will move lower (as the charts above expect) and this scenario would occur if the US is in recession and investors and traders seek perceived safety in Treasuries (price up yield down).
Yields continue inching higher yesterday and then relax again today. The 10-year sits at 4.30% running up to 4.34% yesterday. Mortgage rates are the highest in over 2 decades with the 30-year fixed moving towards 7.5%. The 30 was 200 bips (2 percentage-points) lower a year ago. Wall Street analysts continue touting higher rates for longer and the soft landing/no recession outcome.
There are two potential outcomes ahead; recession or the soft landing/no recession scenario. The yield curve (2-10 spread) will dis-invert, now in the -60's bip range, and steepen going forward, regardless of the outcome ahead. The yield curve has to re-steepen for a return to normalcy, whatever that is now that America's crony capitalism system is in its last throes.
Remember, the -40 bips area for the 2-10 spread will take out the previous highs and announce a recession with high probability. Thus, for the two scenarios, a soft landing and no recession outcome means the long duration yields (10's and 30's) will move higher faster while the recession scenario will send the 2-year yields lower faster. The technicals say yields are topping-out as explained. The charts above say the 2-year yields lower and recession scenario is more likely.
Pope Powell speaks to the minions on Friday morning from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Note that the weekly chart shows the 2-year yield violating the upper band a few weeks ago so the middle band at 4.57% remains in play. The current yield at 5.00%-ish does not yet violate the upper band at 5.26% although it does not have to since the last violation remains in play. Nonetheless, this is mentioned because Powell's words on Friday morning will impact Treasury yields, the dollar and stocks.
If Powell's comments create more lift in yields, the 2-year may want to sneak higher towards that 5.26% but this would only be due to the words from the Federal Reserve. The charts are cooked in terms of yield. If yields inch higher due to Powell's words on Friday or at the September meeting coming fast, those spurts higher should be short-lived for a couple weeks or so and then the chart set-up above will be back in place wanting to send yields lower.
In real-time on Tuesday morning, yields are; 2-year 4.99%, 5-year 4.44%, 10-year 4.31%, 30-year 4.42%. The 2-10 spread (yield curve) remains inverted at -68 bips (499-431). All Hades will likely break loose when the 2-10 spread dis-inverts to -40 bips and higher. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 8:43 AM EST: Former New York Fed head Bill Dudley proclaims that the US shifts into a high-yield mode. Dudley decrees that yields have nowhere to go but up from here. Other analysts are calling for 6% yields. Everyone is convinced that yields will continue higher from here for many months into the future. Everyone is partying on the 'higher yields forever' side of the boat while Keystone is sitting by himself on a broken lounge chair on the 'yields peaking out and heading lower' side of the boat. Keystone does not get invited to the big fancy banker parties because he brings a wet blanket. Maybe they will come over to the lower yield thinking once the band begins playing on this side of the boat. Light 'em up boys. A Million Miles Away.
Note Added Thursday, 8/24/23: The yields are; 2-year 4.98%, 5-year 4.37%, 10-year 4.20%, 30-year 4.27%. The 2-year popped above 5% and pulls back. The 10-year hits 4.34% and then pulls back. Yields drop due to the neggie d explained above. The 2-10 spread (yield curve) remains inverted at -78 bips. The long end yields come down faster than the short end because Pope Powell speaks tomorrow morning. There is more drama ahead.
Note Added Wednesday, 8/30/23: The yields are; 2-year 4.90%, 5-year 4.30%, 10-year 4.15%, 30-year 4.25%. The short-end yields fall faster as traders think the Fed may be done hiking rates. The 2-year yield ran up to 5.10% then collapsed to 4.87% (huge 23-bip drop) yesterday now 4.90%. More analysts are following Keystone expecting lower yields going forward. Yields receive the neggie d spankdown. It's not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket science. Simply follow the charts.
Sunday, August 20, 2023
UST10Y 10-Year Treasury Note Yield Monthly Chart; Yields Topping-Out and Set to Begin Multi-Month Down Move
The US 10-year note yields are topping out on the long-term monthly basis and set to begin a multi-month down move. Say what?! How can that be? All of Wall Street say yields have nowhere to go but up and it is only a matter of how fast. That tells you that Wall Street is wrong.
Yields topped-out in late 2018 with the red rising wedge, overbot conditions and negative divergence. Note that the MACD line did not go neggie d and left the door open that yields wanted to make another high. Alas, the COVID-19 pandemic hits, spawned by a likely lab leak from sick gain of function research conducted by the CCP communists with money provided by the NIH (Collins) and NIAID (Fauci).
As panic hits global markets and people begin dropping over dead, especially old and fat folks, US Treasuries are bid as people seek perceived safety. Bond and note prices jump higher as folks scramble to buy the paper so yields drop like a sack of potatoes in 2020. Many thought the world was ending and everyone would get sick and die. You only have one life to live, so live it.
Yields recover in 2021 forming the cup and handle (C&H) pattern (blue). The brim is at 1.75 and base at 0.55 so that is 1.20 difference so the breakout above the brim targets 2.95% (1.75+1.20) easily attained. The 2-leg bull flag pattern also plays out (purple) and interestingly, yields pick up from where they left off in late 2018 and early 2019 before Fauci's pandemic mess started.
If you snap your fingers and the pandemic did not occur, yields have continued the trend higher that was in play in 2018/2019 (the black arrow; remember, the MACD line wanted one more high in yields but the chart fell apart anyway; global traders and insiders knew trouble was coming from China and their sick experimentation and leaks of the coronavirus disease).
The 10-year yield prints at a high of 4.30% this month with another 2 weeks remaining. The 10-year yield is at 4.26%. All the chart indicators are in negative divergence forecasting a long-term top now in place. A multi-month down move in yields will begin any time and continue for many months if not a year or two. What?!! All of Wall Street says the opposite. This guy does not know what he is talking about? Who is this Keystone joker? There is no joke, it is what it is. Keystone is telling you what will happen as he sits back and enjoys nature.
Note the RSI has some momo over the last month so there may be a jog move for the next couple months (yields drop for about a month but then recover and move higher again for a month but never get back to the current highs and then roll over and die to begin the multi-month move lower). So yields are topped-out now and you can expect much lower yields going into the end of the year and next year the complete opposite of what the Wall Street analysts predict.
A troublesome geopolitical picture will sink yields. Like the pandemic, people will seek perceived safety and that is US Treasuries so as they flock to the bonds and notes buying at any price yields will drop like a rock. Maybe the Ukraine War starts going south? China's economy is crumbling experiencing a real estate crash like the US in 2007-2008. There is shaky stuff occurring in Japan. The US has been in a housing recession all year long and is also in a manufacturing recession. In the past, this behavior guarantees that a recession is occurring but not in these days of easy money. The recession is taking longer to arrive but do not be surprised if the future data will show the recession starting now.
You can use the shorter time duration charts (weekly, daily and hourly) to time your trades on Treasuries but know that over the long term, the coming months and perhaps year or two forward, yields will trend lower. Who do you believe? Everyone on Wall Street or Keystone sitting on a lawn chair enjoying nature in the Appalachian Mountains? Keystone is not holding any Treasury positions long or short currently. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added Tuesday, 8/22/23: Yields continue inching higher yesterday and then relax again today. The 10-year sits at 4.30% running up to 4.34% yesterday. Mortgage rates are the highest in over 2 decades with the 30-year fixed moving towards 7.5%. The 30 was 200 bips (2 percentage-points) lower a year ago. Wall Street analysts continue touting higher rates for longer and the soft landing/no recession outcome. There are two potential outcomes ahead; recession or the soft landing/no recession scenario. The yield curve (2-10 spread) will dis-invert, now in the -60's bip range, and steepen going forward regardless of the outcome ahead. The yield curve has to re-steepen for a return to normalcy, whatever that is now that America's crony capitalism system is in its last throes. Remember, the -40 bips area for the 2-10 spread will take out the previous highs and announce a recession with high probability. Thus, for the two scenarios, a soft landing and no recession outcome means the long duration yields (10's and 30's) will move higher faster while the recession scenario will send the 2-year yields lower faster. The technicals say yields are topping-out as explained above. Choose your poison. Poison in the Well.
Note Added Thursday, 8/24/23: The yields are; 2-year 4.98%, 5-year 4.37%, 10-year 4.20%, 30-year 4.27%. The 2-year popped above 5% and pulls back. The 10-year hits 4.34% and then pulls back. Yields drop due to the neggie d explained above. The 2-10 spread (yield curve) remains inverted at -78 bips. The long end yields come down faster than the short end because Pope Powell speaks tomorrow morning. There is more drama ahead.
Friday, August 18, 2023
NYA NYSE Composite Weekly Chart with 40 MA that Dictates Cyclical Bear and Bull Markets
The NYA will tell the story going forward. Traders and investors remain complacent and fearless sipping Fed wine and Congressional champagne while tasting AI caviar. A few of the bullish party-goers, however, are starting to feel sick about being quadruple leveraged long on full margin. Stocks are selling off in recent days as Keystone explained ahead of time with the neggie d.
Traders are wiping beads of sweat from foreheads wondering if the calls for no recession and SPX 5,000 in the months ahead may become fantasy. The NYA 40-week MA cross is one of Keystone's key metrics in determining if stocks are in a cyclical (weeks and months) bull or bear market. Obviously, if the NYA is above the 40, the US stock market is in a cyclical bull market pattern. If the NYA loses the 40, a cyclical bear market begins. Forget that jackass -20% metric rookies use to gauge a bear market.
The chart shows the bear market begins as Baby New Year welcomes in 2022. Price back kisses the 40-wk MA in late March 2022 to make a bounce or die decision, and it dies. The cyclical bear growls for all of last year into the Fall. In late October early November 2022, as turkeys begin running for their lives with Thanksgiving Day approaching, the NYA overcomes the 40-wk MA signaling a cyclical bull market ahead.
Price back kisses the 40 at Christmastime last year to make a bounce or die decision and bounces, jumping higher forecasting a bull market ahead as this year begins. Stocks collapse in March due to the regional banking crisis but then quickly recover back above the 40 signaling that the bull market remains in tact. The Federal Reserve stepped in to save the day for the rich Americans as it always does in the corrupt crony capitalism system.
So, 'still here we are', as Bob sings, wondering what happens next. The NYA 40-wk MA cross will tell you the answer. If the 40-week MA at 15564 fails, the stock market is in a heap of trouble as a new cyclical bear market begins. If the bulls can hold the support at the 40 MA, the dip-buyers will enter in force and keep the stock market turd floating a little bit longer.
The drop needed to breach the 40-wk MA is 170 points lower or -1.1% so this is the magic number. Pay attention to it so you can gauge the path ahead for the US stock market. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 11:04 AM EST: The NYA drops at the open to 15626 only 62 points from pain and misery at the 40-week MA at 15564. Price recovers and the NYA is at 15728. Nothing to see here, move along, nothing to see here, move along.
Note Added Saturday, 8/19/23: The NYA ends the week at 15750. The 40-week MA is 15564 so the cyclical bull market remains in tact, for now. The stock market battle continues. Time to call in the Seven Nation Army.
HSI Hong Kong Hang Seng Index Daily Chart Falls into Bear Market Down -20%
Global investors and bankers have been avoiding dirtbag Hong Kong after it was taken over by scumbag Dictator Xi. Why would you do business in a city where all the hotel and conference rooms are bugged by the filthy CCP? Hong Kong used to be the financial hub of Asia and gateway into mainland China but that is toast. Singapore and Tokyo now rise as the financial hubs of Asia as Hong Kong is sucked into full-blown communism.
90 million dirtbags in the CCP, led by the murdering bastard Dictator Xi, control the 1.4 billion Chinese folks. Do any of you understand China? No, you don't. The Chinese folks have no choice but to live under communist rule. If anyone speaks up against the state, they will be either blackballed in society, thrown into prison or a bullet put in their head. If the commie state executes an activist speaking out against the state, they send the shell casing to the family and make them pay for the cost of the bullet. Sick, isn't it? Well, this is communist China.
Chinese folks are like everyone else in the world; they just want to live a happy life, enjoy their families, make a living wage, and most of all not be bothered by the government. But alas, filthy Xi sent the troops into Hong Kong a few years ago to take over control of what was billed as a region that was autonomous from China. There is the "two systems, one China" policy but Xi spit on that idea and Hong Kong turns full-blown communist under complete control of the mainland.
Four main bridges separate Hong Kong from the mainland so it was easy for the Chinese military to walk across and takeover Hong Kong. Taiwan is not so easy. It would have to be an amphibious assault and China still does not have an adequate approach to attacking Taiwan in this manner. If China took over Taiwan, it would be a logistics nightmare to support an occupation. That would be difficult transporting supplies across the seawater 24/7 to support the Chinese military on Taiwan. Xi and his filthy CCP henchmen know this so the takeover of Taiwan by China is probably more bluster talk than something to worry about. China's economy is falling apart.
The Hang Seng peaks at 22700 in January so a drop of -20% is 18160 and lower. The Hang Seng closes at 17950 a few hours ago signaling a bear market. The -10% level for a market correction and -20% for a bear market are asinine signals but the mainstream and business media follows this stupid metric so it warrants attention.
Hong Kong is now just another dirtbag commie region like mainland China. What a shame. Keystone so loves the steps to Big Buddha. The hope was that Hong Kong was the stepping stone for China to transition into a Westernized society and way of life but after the United States gave away technology, and the communists stole the rest, Xi thumbs his nose at America, says thanks a lot sucka's, and keeps sending China, and now Hong Kong, deeper into full-blown Mao-like communism. Such is world history occurring in real-time.
China's real estate sector is collapsing. Evergrande is not grand instead filing for bankruptcy protection. Wealth products in China are falling apart screwing Chinese folks out of their savings for retirement. China does not provide assistance to the elderly; it is a communist state. China would prefer that you die when you become old rather than become a burden on the communist state. Country Garden is the next real estate domino to fall. It smells like a Country Trash Dump. Contagion will follow. Yes, you will hear the 'c' word uttered more and more each day going forward. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added 11:13 AM EST: The Hang Seng Index announces plans to remove Country Garden, which has become Country Sh*t Dump, from the index. That is one way to stop the slide lower in the Hang Seng; simply remove the stocks that are falling like rocks. What a corrupt world.
Thursday, August 17, 2023
SPX S&P 500 Daily and Weekly Charts
Stocks are trading soft over the last 3 weeks as the 3 black crows on the weekly chart illustrate but remember, don't panic! Don't panic! Don't panic!
Looking at the SPX daily chart, the red lines show the rising wedge pattern, overbot RSI, stochastics and money flow, and most importantly, negative divergence, along with the upper band violation and over extension of price above the moving average ribbon, conspiring to slap price lower in the daily time frame; an easy top call.
Stocks rallied since the banking crisis in March due to four main themes. First, the AI orgy rally. Tech stocks are bid higher as well as any stock that mentions AI. Joe Sixpack chases the stocks higher as well as foreigners. Second, lots of Fed monetary stimulus and Congressional fiscal stimulus remains in the pipeline and fuels the spending by the upper middle class and privileged elite, the have's, that keep the economy afloat (but they will not spend forever). Third, the ongoing inflation data and Fed rate drama sends stocks to and fro mainly higher in recent weeks.
Fourth, and last, is a reason that people do not comment on but it is something very special this time around, is foreign investment. Foreigners have money to burn, the corrupt Saudi's bought-out the PGA for gosh sakes, and that money is buying US stocks and real estate. The home builder stocks are at record highs, despite the ongoing housing recession, because foreign buyers in white robes and other garb are laying $300K, $500K and more on the table telling the builder to construct a McMansion with granite countertops. Crazy times.
Well, what now? Price drops and prints lower lows and lower highs so the indicators can be assessed to see if positive divergence is forming to call the bottom in the daily time frame. Price stalled at the price support at 4400 to make a bounce or die decision. The red lines for the RSI, MACD and histogram (weal and bleak) want to see lower lows in price after any bounce occurs in the daily time frame. The green lines for stochastics and money flow (long and strong), and the oversold stoch's, want price to bounce right now in the daily time frame.
Thus, the SPX will likely bounce now in the daily time frame for a day or two but will then roll over lower again for another low to satisfy the weak and bleak indicators. The RSI and stochastics are below 50% in bear territory. The histogram is flattish so that should turn possie d easily as long as highly negative news does not hit the wires.
The ADX on the daily chart shows that the trend higher in stocks was a strong trend in June, July and early this month, but that is over. The upside rally in stocks is no longer a strong trend higher. The red negative Aroon cross occurs forecasting more negativity ahead for stocks. Comically, the red lines shows the bears went from being totally rejected a couple days ago, with 100% of the bears believing that stocks would go up, to now all the bears believing stocks will go down; that's a fickle bunch.
The 100-day MA at 4289 and rising may be a magnet because price tends to seek this moving average during a selloff. The 100 has not been touched in a few months so it is overdue. The lower band is violated so the middle band, that is also the 20-day MA at 4514 and dropping, is on the table going forward.
The SPX may eventually run down to the 4300-4350 area before the daily chart sets up with possie d for an extended rally in the daily time frame to begin; all you have to do is watch the chart. The 50-day MA at 4449 will need a back kiss and bounce or die decision probably in the coming days which means there is probably more choppy slop ahead.
Keystone's 80/20 Rule says 2's lead to 8's on the way down so the breach of 4420 opens the door to 4380. A drop to 4402 opens the door to 4398. If price ventures down to 4320-ish that will be a major test to see if 4280 would be on the table.
The SPX weekly chart also topped out with neggie d as previously described. For the matching and higher high in SPX, follow the thin black line downward to see what the indicators are doing. You see that all were weak and bleak, topped-out and heading lower; negatively diverged against the rising price. Thus, you can call the top due to the neggie d and you were correct.
The money flow is cheesy remaining flat but that is considered neggie d. The dip-buyers are buying what the television pundits are selling and champing at the bit to buy the dips. The dips are buying the dips. The indicators remain weak and bleak so lower lows in the SPX price is expected going forward on the weekly basis.
Price violated the upper standard deviation band so the middle band, which is also the 20-wk MA at 4318, is on the table and also the lower band rising sharply from 4009. There is a confluence forming at that 4318-4340 area with the daily and weekly charts so that may be the logical place where price will try to establish a bottom in the daily time frame.
The ADX is on the verge of declaring the multi-week uptrend a strong trend higher but alas, the ADX flattens and will likely roll over and die. The stock market rally over the last few months may never be called a strong trend on the weekly basis.
Despite the 3-week pullback, comically, the Aroon shows that nearly 100% of the bulls remain uber bullish and nearly 100% of the bears remain bullish. Thus, after a couple-three week selloff for stocks, it has not even begun to dent the rampant market complacency and fearlessness. Traders are ready to buy any dip. This behavior indicates that the downside likely has a long way down to go as the multi-week selloff plays out and the dip-buyers are smacked and discouraged.
Watch the RSI and stochastics on the weekly chart to see if 50% fails sending the indicators into bear territory and more negativity ahead on the weekly basis. Watch that sneaky sideways money flow, that is flatter than a newlywed's souffle, as Art Cashin would say, that is now at a 2-month low.
Back to the near term, there is lots of drama ahead in the news department. King Donnie Trump, the orange-headed bloviating carnival clown, must decide if he is attending the debate on 8/23/23 by Sunday evening, 8/20/23. The BRICS garbage with instituting a new currency basket to take on the US dollar's global reserve status hits the fan on Tuesday, 8/22/23. That currency cabal wants to back their new offering with gold but it will not work because the countries are not stable. The US has troubles but in the laundry basket of dirty and corrupt unstable countries, that is all of them on Earth, America is the least dirty shirt although it is soiled and stained badly.
The first republican presidential debate takes place Wednesday, 8/23/23, by Fox News, so markets may react to that circus. If Donnie does not show up, he may hold a competing event which will make everything more of a 3-ring circus with the showman in the center ring. King Donnie must turn himself in for arrest in the Georgia post-election scandal by Friday 8/25/23. Also, the Fed and the world's bankers and economists, meet late next week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, and Chairman Powell speaks on Friday morning. It's fascinating watching the crony capitalism system crumble. They're all crooks. Sleepy Joe Biden, the brain-dead Alzheimer's patient, is more of a thief and corrupt individual than Trump. That's funny.
The Federal Reserve has been raising rates for 17 months (the fastest rate rise period in 40 years) and 18 months is the magic number for recessions. Everyone sings from the same hymn sheet that a recession will not occur and is nowhere in sight when in reality, it likely has just started. The US has been in a housing recession since Christmas and a manufacturing recession is ongoing. The overall US recession that takes everything down is nipping at the door. People will be surprised at how fast the economic data will likely reverse.
Note how stocks are weak into and through the peak of the new moon. Stocks should bounce for a day or so due to the possie d on the daily, but then roll over again due to the neggie d on the daily and the weak and bleak weekly chart. After one or two jog moves (down-up) on the daily chart, price should place the bottom (next week) on the daily basis. You can call the bottom when you see all the indicators go possie d like the stochastics and money flow. This will create a multi-day rally higher for stocks say for a week or so, but then the sickness of the weekly chart will kick back into gear and send stocks way lower on the weekly basis. Let it Drop as Sports Team sings. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
Note Added Saturday, 8/19/23: The SPX loses -2.1% this week ending at 4370 with a low on the week at 4335 so this level is key going forward. The 20-wk MA support is at 4316. The 100-day MA is 4297. It appears that "you have" markets "you hate." Du Hast. King Donnie Trump's team says the orange head will not participate in the Wednesday debate instead deciding to sit down with an interview with Tucker Carlson (that was canned from Fox). Donnie is a showman, and the deadline for deciding is Sunday evening, 48 hours before Wednesday, so it would not be surprising if late Sunday (tomorrow) the bloviating orange head decides to attend the debate. Didn't he already do an interview with Tucker? Trump will be spewing the same old grievances and his fantasy that he won the 2020 presidential election. Who listens to that dribble anymore? The dufus should have congratulated Biden and moved on after the 2020 election; the Capitol Hill riot would have never occurred. Trump would be heralded now into the 2024 election but instead he chose to be a whining cry-baby sore loser creating sickening non-stop daily reality television drama. King Cry Baby. Tucker tries to maintain his relevancy. He will find out what Bill O'Reilly and others have found out. Once you lose the media's bully pulpit, either a primetime television show, or broadcasting across a 50,000-watt blowtorch radio channel, it's over. You get in the back of the line and keep telling folks, "I have a podcast." Fame, notoriety, even riches, can be fleeting.
Wednesday, August 16, 2023
Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish
Keystone's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips back to the short side yesterday at SPX 4450 as the choppy slop continues. VIX 15.43, SOX 3597 and XLF 34.25 are all that matter for stock market direction. All three are bearish and any 2 of the 3 turning bullish will shift the scales back to the bull side. Anything Could Happen.
Tuesday, August 15, 2023
Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish
Keystone's trading robot, Keybot the Quant flips to the long side yesterday at 4481 but considering the choppy sloppy environment, it may flip short again today. Watch VIX 15.43 and SOX 3599 since they control stock market direction currently.








