Sunday, October 20, 2013

Keystone's Key Events and Market Movers for Trading the Week of 10/21/13; Jobs Report Tuesday

Key Dates and Times for the Trading Week Ahead:

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Monday, 10/21/13: Chicago Fed National Activity Index 8:30 AM. Existing Home Sales 10 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. Earnings: ANTH, BCC, CHKP, DFS, GCI, HAL, HMA, ILMN, LINE, MAN, MCD, NFLX, PETS, SCCO, TXN, VECO, VFC, VMW, WYNN, XNPT, ZION.
Tuesday, 10/22/13: Monthly Jobs Report 8:30 AM. Richmond Fed Mfg Index 10 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. AAPL unveils the new iPad. Earnings: AKS, AMGN, APOL, BRCM, CIT, COH, CREE, CBST, DAL, DD, EMC, EPZM, FCX, HOG, IDXX, ITW, IRBT, JNPR, KMB, LXK, LMT, NBR, NUS, PNRA, RSH, RF, RFMD, RFI, R, STT, UTX, WAT, WHR.
Wednesday, 10/23/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Import and Export Prices 8:30 AM.  FHFA Home Price Index 9 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. Earnings: AEP, ATI, BA, CAT, CTXS, CLW, CCI, LLY, EDU, ETH, EVR, FBP, GD, GRA, HCBK, LO, LSI, LL, MSA, MOLX, NSC, NOC, NXPI, OC, QTM, SWFT, T, TSCO, TRIP, TQNT, UNF, VAR, WLP.
Thursday, 10/24/13: United Nations Day. China and Asia Flash PMI’sEuropean Flash PMI’s. Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. JOLTS Job Openings Report 10 AM. New Home Sales 10 AM—market pivot point. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Kansas City Mfg Index 11 AM. 30-Year TIPS Auction 1 PM. Earnings: ALK, AMZN, BAS, CAB, COG, ELY, CSH, CERN, CSUN, CB, CL, DV, DO, DOW, DNKN, EMN, FLS, F, FSL, GMT, GNC, HERO, HOT, HSY, IP, KBR, KMT, KKR, KLAC, LAZ, LUV, MTW, MO, MMM, MCK, MSFT, NCR, NBR, OUTR, PTEN, PHM, RYN, RTN, RS, RCL, SIRI, TDY, UA, UTHR, USG, VRSN, WDC, XEL, XRX, YNDX, ZMH, ZNGA.
Friday, 10/25/13: Durable Goods Orders 8:30 AM. Consumer Sentiment 9:55 AM—market pivot point. Earnings: COL, DTE, ETN, IMGN, LM, MCO, NOV, NWL, PG, SHW, SPG, TCP, UPS, VTR, WY.

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Monday, 10/28/13: Pending Home Sales Index 10 AM. Dallas Fed Mfg Survey 10:30 AM. Bradley turn window opens for a strong market move to occur, up or down (Bradley model does not predict direction only the time of an event), between now and 11/10/13. Earnings: AAPL.
Tuesday, 10/29/13: FOMC 2-day meeting begins. S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index 9 AM. Consumer Confidence 10 AM—market pivot point. 5-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Earnings:
Wednesday, 10/30/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. ADP Employment Report 8:15 AM. GDP 8:30 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. 7-Year Note Auction 1 PM. FOMC Meeting Announcement 2 PM—market pivot point. Does QE tapering begin? Probably not since economic data was delayed due to the government shutdown. Earnings:
Thursday, 10/31/13: Happy Halloween. EOM. Challenger Job Report 7:30 AM. Employment Cost Index, Personal Income and Outlays and Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. Chicago PMI 9:45 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Farm Prices 3 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/1/13: All Saints Day. China and Asia PMI’sEuropean PMI’s. Motor Vehicle Sales. Construction Spending and ISM Mfg Index 10 AM—market pivot point. Earnings:

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Sunday, 11/3/13: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Monday, 11/4/13: Factory Orders 10 AM. Earnings:
Tuesday, 11/5/13: International Trade 8:30 AM. ISM Non-Mfg Index 10 AM. Earnings:
Wednesday, 11/6/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Productivity and Costs 8:30 AM. Oil Inventories 10:30 AM. Earnings:
Thursday, 11/7/13: Chain Store Sales. Jobless Claims 8:30 AM. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Consumer Credit 3 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/8/13: Monthly Jobs Report 8:30 AM. Consumer Sentiment 9:55 AM—market pivot point. JOLTS Job Openings and Wholesale Trade 10 AM. Earnings:

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Monday, 11/11/13: Veteran’s Day.  Markets are Open. Banks are Closed.  Earnings:
Tuesday, 11/12/13: 3-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Keystone’s Eclipse Indicator targets 11/12/13 through 12/10/13 as having potential for a major market sell off. Earnings:
Wednesday, 11/13/13: Mortgage Applications 7 AM. Import and Export Prices 8:30 AM. Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations 10 AM. 10-Year Note Auction 1 PM. Treasury Budget 2 PM. Chairman Bernanke speaks 7 PM.  Earnings:
Thursday, 11/14/13: Jobless Claims, PPI and Retail Sales 8:30 AM. Business Inventories 10 AM—market pivot point. Natty Gas Inventories 10:30 AM. Oil Inventories 11 AM. 30-Year Bond Auction 1 PM. Earnings:
Friday, 11/15/13: Empire State Mfg Survey and CPI 8:30 AM. Industrial Production 9:15 AM. Twitter IPO begins trading on the NYSE. Earnings:

In Q4, European bank stress tests (there are likely 10% of the banks undercapitalized, perhaps around 130 banks, with no clear way on how to recapitalize these troubled institutions) will occur, Germany’s high court must decide if the ECB’s OMT program is constitutional, and Europe must finalize all plans for the new banking union.

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Friday, 12/13/13: Congress provides a detailed road map to handle the U.S. budget crisis moving forward.  Earnings:

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Tuesday, 1/1/14: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Wednesday, 1/9/14: Major Bradley Turn date—markets would be expected to move violently up, or violently down, within +/- 7 days, especially +/- 3 days.
Wednesday, 1/15/14: A Continuing Resolution (CR) is needed to fund and keep the U.S. government open.
Wednesday, 1/29/14: Chairman Bernanke conducts his last official two-day meeting (1/28 and 1/29) as Chair of the FOMC.
Friday, 1/31/14: Chairman Bernanke’s term ends at the Fed. Yellen takes over.
Friday, 2/7/14: The Debt Ceiling Limit is hit where the U.S. may default on obligations. Treasury Secretary Lew will use extraordinary measures to extend this time forward so late February or early March is a likelier deadline.  Winter Olympics begin in Sochi, Russia, through 2/23/14. Watch $RTSI and RSX.
Wednesday, 3/19/14: new Fed Chair Yellen talks at the conclusion of her first FOMC meeting (3/18 and 3/19).
February/March: Fed Chair Yellen testifies before Congress.
March: ESM is officially ‘fully operational’. The Euro banking union is in place after delays from January 2013 to January 2014 and now to March 2014.
April: MSFT no longer supports Windows XP.

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