SPX S&P 500 2-Hour Chart; Diamond Pattern; Overbot; Negative Divergence Developing

Here is an update for the SPX diamond pattern that was posted a few charts back. Price came up to test the top rail, and punched up through, however, the red lines show the higher highs in price but all the indicators are negatively diverged. The orange circle highlights the MACD line that is neggie d because it is flat but that sneaky thing probably wants another jog move before throwing off firm negative divergence.

For this chart, the candlesticks print at the opening bell at 9:30 AM EST, then at 10 AM, then at 12 PM (noon), then at 2 PM; 4 candles per day. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot, that is why Keystone was disinvited to the Taylor Swift wedding, a down-up jog move would place the top at 10 AM tomorrow if the top is not in already as the chart above shows. You simply have to watch the MACD to make sure it remains neggie d, this should be known at 10 AM, and if not, surely by noon, the chart will likely be committed to a neggie d spankdown with prices pulling back.

Then the question will be if price simply back kisses the top rail of the diamond pattern and then bounces and takes off higher like a rocket, or, will price fall back into the diamond pattern and then potentially fall out the bottom rail of the diamond pattern. Tomorrow should be a top in the 2-hour time frame and we shall see what the bears got. Keybot the Quant algorithm is long but will be looking to go short if copper is weak. Shine On You Crazy Diamond. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 7/8/26, at 4:52 AM EST: The SPX receives the start of the neggie d spankdown in the 2-hour time frame. Price falls to the top rail of the diamond at 7503. The SPX hesitates since it must make a bounce or die decision from here. King Donnie Trumpski retaliates against Iran for hitting the ships yesterday and from the NATO summit proclaims that the ceasefire is over and he calls the Iranian government (IRGC) "scum." Oil jumps higher and European stocks and US futures collapse. S&P futures are down -63 points and WTIC oil is at 74.67 and Brent crude at 78.45. WTIC crude tapped 67, the price at the start of the Iran War, a couple days ago but now explodes higher towards 75. US gasoline prices and overall inflation will float higher creating problems for King Donnie into the mid-term elections on November 3rd, less than 4 months away. WTIC crude tags 75 and Brent is about to hit 79. Donnie Trumpy loves to put on a show. Global markets are shell-shocked and digesting Donnie's latest tantrum.

Note Added Sunday, 7/12/26: The SPX pulls back to the top rail of the triangle and bounces finishing the week strong threatening to break out to all-time record highs again. The diamond pattern may resolve to the upside if price begins running above 7600 and higher. It is a very sloppy finish to the diamond pattern that may fade into the background and become nullified as sideways chop suey continues. The buying volume on Thursday and Friday is pitiful. There are a lot of Joe Sixpack's tripping over each other to buy any dip as the institutional money slips out the back door. The stock market is erratic and unstable so let it ride out the drama. The Iran War appears to be escalating again with the radical Islamists decreeing the Strait of Hormuz closed. Donnie screwed the pooch starting the war and is in over his orange head. Trumpski is dangling resorts, casinos, beaches and girls in bikinis to the radical Islamists that are religious fanatics and would be honored to die for Allah. How does the so-called deal-maker make a deal with someone he does not understand? Donnie is used to dealing with Western crony capitalists that freely and willingly sell their souls for money or power. In Iran, however, religious fanaticism, not crony capitalism greed, drives their actions. Drones are the future and may eventually destroy everything on Earth. Resistance is futile. Iran knows they can control the strait forever with their cheap drones fitted with warheads. It can be hopeless to defend against swarms of drones. Remember, when Donnie started the war at the end of February, the first question Keystone asked was 'how many drones does Iran have because that dictates how long the war will last'. The answer is it is a new forever war. A diplomatic solution appears unattainable so the Iranian regime would have to be replaced with a government that agrees to keep the Hormuz waterway open. Until that happens, the turmoil and Middle East drama will continue and fester. Trump's first-term legacy was a whining, crybaby, sore-loser. King Crybaby. Donnie's second term legacy may be the president that forever changed navigation through international waterways creating tollways and forbidden zones making the world a far more dangerous place. Donnie has to fix the mess he created in Iran, otherwise, that new negative legacy awaits. Look for King Donnie to proclaim some news to try and goose markets or keep oil prices down this afternoon before the futures open for trading at 6 PM EST.