Tuesday, February 21, 2017

SPX S&P 500 Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 2/21/17

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for the trading week of 1/23/17. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R.

For the S&P 500 in history, the all-time record high print is 2351.31 on 2/16/17 and the all-time closing high is 2351.16 on 2/17/17. The all-time record intraday low is 666.79 (the infamous 666) on 3/6/09 and all-time closing low is 676.53 on 3/9/09.

For 2017, the intraday high is 2351.31 and closing high is 2351.16. For 2017, the intraday low is 2245.13 from the first trading day of the year on 1/3/17 and the closing low for the year thus far is at 2257.83 on 1/3/17. For 2016, the intraday high is 2277.53 on 12/13/16 and closing high at 2271.72 on 12/13/16. For 2016, the intraday low is 1810.10 on 2/11/16 and the closing low for 2016 is 1829.08 on 2/11/16. The intraday low in 2015 is 1867.01 on 8/24/15 and closing low for 2015 is 1867.61 on 8/25/15.

The upside orgy in stocks continue. President Trump keeps tweeting out nuggets of  bullish joy such as hinting at big tax cuts so equities rocket higher. The president tosses in a favorable comment about reducing financial regulations and banks rocket higher taking the stock market higher. President Trump, and the central bankers, sprinkle magic happy dust on the stock market each day.

US markets were closed yesterday for the Presidents Day holiday so the holiday-shortened week begins this morning (Tuesday). For Tuesday, with the S&P 500 starting at 2351.16, the highest closing number in stock market history, the market bulls need any smidge of positivity in the S&P futures and the SPX will rally several handles after the opening bell. S&P futures are up +4 about one hour before the opening bell.

The bears need to push the SPX under 2340 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2341-2350 is sideways action to begin the week.

If the bears push down through 2340, the 2321-2322 support level is next. Other lower support levels are 2311, 2304, 2296-2300 and 2289. February began at 2279 and there are six days remaining in the month. If the bears want to create a negative month, they had better get busy and start pushing south. If stocks begin selling off, and the 2296-2297 level fails, equities will flush lower to test the February starting number at 2279.

The SPX 2-hour chart is negatively diverged indicating a near-term top at hand. Ditto the low CPC and CPCE put/call ratios. The SPX daily chart is negatively diverging with overbot RSI and stochastics hinting at a top on the daily basis occurring at anytime in the coming days. The new moon peaks on Sunday and stocks are typically weak moving through the new moon. When a month is up strongly, during the last few days of the month, price typically retreats. Thus, the expectation would be for a near-term top in stocks at anytime and perhaps weakness into early next week to finish the month.

President Trump, in his braggadocio style, said a couple weeks ago that in a couple weeks he would provide details on his tax plan. Time flies when you’re having fun. It is time for the orange-headed showman to put his tax reform strategy on the table and show everyone what he’s got. No doubt the tax plan will move markets especially individual sectors. Of course if he delays the release of the plan, traders will likely not view that kindly as the president would lose credibility in what he says.

The strongest support/resistance is 2351, 2322, 2311, 2296-2300, 2289-2290, 2279, 2272, 2263, 2234, 2213, 2205 and 2194. The week begins at 2351 an epic and historic high. There are many gap-up moves occurring in stocks so these gaps will need filling at some point forward. Price takes big leaps through the 2299 to 2311 space, then 2311 to 2322, then 2322 to 2351. Note the big air pocket between 2213 and 2234.

Keybot the Quant algorithm remains bullish continuing to print epic +100 numbers. This is the maximum possible for the algorithm and hints that a multi-year top may be forming in markets currently due to these historic excessive readings. Market parameters, sentiment and euphoric activity is at historic highs. The party is in full swing with bullish traders donning lampshades on their heads, dancing on tabletops, drinking Trump wine and celebrating higher stock prices that never go down. Every day of life is a party for bullish traders.

Note: If the list below displays any blank spaces, view it in a different browser. The data is current up through 2/20/17.

2351 (2/16/17 All-Time Intraday High: 2351.31) (2/16/17 Intraday High for 2017: 2351.31) (2/17/17 All-Time Closing High: 2351.16) (2/17/17 Closing High for 2017: 2351.16)
2351.31 Previous Week’s High
2351.16 Friday HOD
2351.16 Friday Close – Tuesday Starts Here
2350
2349
2347
2343
2340
2339.58 Friday LOD
2339
2338
2336
2335
2332
2328
2326
2322
2321.42 Previous Week’s Low
2321
2319
2316
2312
2311
2308
2303.52 (20-day MA)
2301
2300
2299
2298
2297
2296.28 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2296
2293
2290
2289
2286
2285
2281
2280
2279.14 (50-day MA)
2279
2278.87 February Begins Here
2278 (12/13/16 Intraday High; 2277.53)
2277
2275
2274
2273
2272 (12/13/16 Closing High: 2271.72)
2271
2270
2269
2268
2265
2263
2260
2258 (1/3/17 Closing Low for 2017: 2257.83)
2254
2252
2249
2245 (1/3/17 Intraday Low for 2017: 2245.13)
2241
2239 (12/30/16 Closing Low: 2238.83)
2238.83 Trading for 2017 Begins Here
2238
2234 (12/30/16 Intraday Low: 2233.62)
2224.68 (20-week MA)
2218.76 (100-day MA)
2214
2213 (11/25/16 Intraday and Closing High: 2213.35)
2212
2211
2210
2209
2207
2206
2205
2202.07 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2202
2200
2199
2198
2195
2194 (8/15/16 Intraday High: 2193.81)
2191 (12/1/16 Closing Low: 2191.08)
2190.25 (10-month MA)
2190 (8/15/16 Closing High: 2190.15)
2187 (12/1/16 Intraday Low: 2187.44)
2185
2183
2182
2179
2178
2175
2174
2173.12 (200-day MA)
2173
2170
2169
2168.96 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2166
2165
2164
2163
2160
2157
2155.23 (50-week MA)
2155
2152
2151
2150
2146
2140
2135 (5/20/15 Intraday High: 2134.72)
2133 (7/20/15 Intraday High 2132.82)
2131 (5/21/15 Closing High: 2130.82)
2132
2130 (6/22/15 Intraday High 2129.87)
2129
2128 (7/20/15 Closing High: 2128.28)
2126 (4/27/15 Intraday High: 2125.92)
2124 (6/23/15 Closing High: 2124.20)
2123
2121 (4/24/15 Intraday High: 2120.92)
2120 (2/25/15 Intraday High: 2119.59)
2118 (4/24/15 Closing High: 2117.69)
2117 (3/2/15 Closing High: 2117.39)
2116 (11/3/15 Intraday High: 2116.48)
2115
2114
2113
2111 (4/20/16 Intraday High: 2111.04)
2110 (11/3/15 Closing High; 2109.79)
2109
2108
2107
2105
2104.99 (20-month MA)
2104 (12/2/15 Intraday High: 2104.27)
2103 (12/2/15 Closing High: 2102.63)
2102 (4/20/16 Intraday High: 2102.40)
2100
2099
2097
2094.63 (100-week MA)
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089
2086
2085 (11/4/17 Closing Low: 2085.18)
2084 (11/4/17 Intraday Low: 2083.79)
2083
2081
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2074
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2064
2063
2061
2059.54 (150-week MA)
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2053
2052
2050
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2044 (12/31/15 Closing High: 2043.94)
2042
2040
2038
2034
2032
2030
2023
2022
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2017
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
1998
1997
1995
1993 (1/15/15 Closing Low: 1992.67)
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1987
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1983
1982
1981 (2/2/15 Intraday Low: 1980.90)
1980
1979
1978.88 (200-week MA)
1978
1977
1973
1970
1969
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1961
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1953.67 (50-month MA)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1949
1948
1943
1942
1937
1936
1931
1928
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1914
1912
1910
1906

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