By K E Stone (Keystone)
US wave 7 is on the ropes. It’s about time. Chariot’s A Comin’Good News, as the ole Negro spiritual proclaims. The lingering, stubborn, sideways
US wave 7 maintains a downward path from the peak top at 152K daily new cases
on 7/21/22 almost 3 weeks in the rearview mirror. Truly good news.
The US wave 7 daily new cases chart is shown above and it
has been a drama for the last 3-1/2 months. Wave 7 is a flat top unlike the
other 6 pandemic waves that were the characteristic inverted V pattern with a
defined peak. Wave 7 displays the sideways topping profile because of the many
omicron subvariants at play one gaining dominance over another extending the
wave in a sick game of covid leapfrog.
Wave 7 starts as a BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister wave
in the northeastern states with New York and New Jersey taking the lead (BA2
dominant wave). BA2 is handled without too much trouble or effort but as the
infection wave expands inland, it morphs into a BA4 and BA5 dominant wave and
then a BA5 dominant wave.
Many states in the West, Midwest and South, show wave 7 as a
single wave moving higher and beginning to retreat. These waves are already BA5
dominant. Interestingly, the contagious BA4 and BA5 bugs work backwards to take
another bite of the Big Apple and other northeastern states since their initial
waves were BA2 dominant (7a). This behavior creates a double-hump for wave 7
for states such as New York and New Jersey with the BA5 dominant wave (7b)
flexing its covid muscles.
This double-hump pattern, 7a and 7b, is also reflected in
the overall US daily new cases chart although to a lesser extent than the
individual states with the double-hump such as New York and New Jersey. A more
subtle double-hump pattern appears in the US wave 7 close-up chart above since
it is mixing together the double-humps and the single waves.
The chart shows the BA2 subvariant starting wave 7. Then the
BA4 and BA5 bugs stretch their muscles becoming the dominant pathogen. The
holidays create subtle bumps in cases but none can be called superspreader
events (superspreader events may be in the pandemic past since populations are
either vaccinated, or had COVID-19, or both).
BA 275 is sneaking around in the bushes during wave 7. BA46
is another bug trying to prove it is bigger and badder than BA5 but so far that
is not the case. Actually, everything is Feelin’ Groovy.
The US daily new cases chart is shown above. Wave 7 is
petering out but the cases need to keep dropping without any additional
surprises from BA5 or BA46. The Worldometer data isnow delayed by 2 days for an
unknown reason so the US state data has a 2-day lag instead of 1 day; not good.
The case data needs tabulated at a much faster rate for any
future pandemic; the CDC and others should focus on this effort because data
that is 2 days old is bad enough but numbers that are several days old, or a
week old or more, like the CDC’s data, is inexcusable.
The US reports 42K cases for Sunday, 92K on Saturday and
110K on Friday. The peak for wave 7 is 152K cases on 7/21/22. The following
week’s peak is 140K cases on 7/28/22. Last week’s peak is 127K cases on 8/3/22.
It’s good stuff verifying the downward trend for wave 7 as long as no other
subvariants are sneaking around in the bushes trying to get in the back door.
The 7-day MA is at 83K cases and expected to continue lower.
The US active cases chart is shown above and that tiny hook
lower at the end of the chart is a happy sight. Active cases peak at 4 million
over the last week and now slip just under 3.8 million. The active cases need
to drop and form the coveted bell shape to prove that wave 7 is being defeated.
It looks like a done deal but never count your chickens before they hatch.
There should be more substantive drops in daily new and active cases during the
week ahead.
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. It makes your
blood boil that the United States can be so incompetent to allow the COVID-19
deaths to remain at 300 to 400 souls per day for nearly 4 months running. It is
shameful. Sickening. Biden is an incompetent manager just like Trump.
Whitehouse COVID-19 coordinator Dr Jha said 2 weeks ago that
40K courses of Paxlovid were distributed during the prior week. There are 2
more weeks in the past so were 40K or more courses of Paxlovid distributed then
also. How about last week? How about now? The success or failure of Biden’s
distribution of Paxlovid can be linked to US deaths.
The 7-day MA trend line for US deaths shows a slight
downward bias now but it is nothing to hang your hat on. If we are getting
one-month beyond when the major distribution of Paxlovid occurred as reported
by Dr Jha, but there is no change in the death rate, something stinks and the
smell would be coming from the Whitehouse.
The death rate needs to go sub 300 bodies per day pronto and
establish a defined drop going forward, otherwise, Sleepy Joe and Dr Jha would
have failed at saving American lives with Paxlovid.
The individual US states display daily new cases charts that
are rolling over to the downside; great news. Georgia continues struggling with
elevated cases but the data stopped 6 days ago.
Over the last year, there is a trend with some countries and
some US states, that when the daily cases start looking ugly and attention is
drawn to the outbreak, the data stops. Then, a couple weeks later, when the
cases are rolling over the data magically reappears again. Politicians and
institutional leaders do not like to look bad.
Indiana was struggling but it may be turning the corner with
daily cases subsiding. Kentucky is also struggling due to the flooding disaster
with cases remaining elevated. Maskless President Biden and First Lady Jill
viewed the flooding and met with Kentuckians.
On the world stage, Japan is a China Virus disaster. Japan’s
daily new cases chart is shown above. The 7-day MA for daily new cases is at
214K cases per day. 1 million Japanese are infected with covid every 4 days.
Japan’s population is 125 million. Thus, about 1% of the Japanese population is
contracting COVID-19 every 4 days. That is insane.
When everyone is protected like babies and there is very
little natural immunity in a population, the virus goes on a feeding frenzy
attacking the endless supply of juicy virgin hosts. Japan’s COVID-19 deaths
continue higher averaging 154 souls per day teasing record levels.
South Korea’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The
7-day MA is at 104K daily new cases per day heading higher. South Korea was the
gold standard on how to handle the pandemic in 2020 but the country is now in
shambles at the hand of omicron.
Like Japan, the population was shielded for 2 years so there
is very little natural immunity at play. BA5 is dancing along the streets of
Seoul making people sick with covid and claiming some souls. South Korea’s
death rate increases to 32 bodies per day heading higher. US House Speaker
Pelosi and her entourage were just in Japan and South Korea so if they test
positive it will show up later in the week or on the weekend.
Russia’s daily new cases chart is shown above. A new wave
has started with cases pushing towards 20K cases per day. It will be
interesting to see how much the wave expands and if it has any impact on ending
dirtbag Dictator Putin’s heinous war against Ukraine.
Tragically, 80K Russian troops have been killed or wounded
in the Ukraine War now 5-1/2 months along. The 80K includes about 20 to 30K
that were killed. That leaves about 50K or more troops wounded (out of action).
Russia has lost one-half the fighting force that was assembled at the Ukraine
border in January and February.
Wil the Ruskies revolt against Putin? Probably not since
only about one-quarter of the Russian population actually knows what is going
on. Tens of thousands of Russian soldiers need healthcare for the rest of their
lives. Add this caseload to the new pandemic wave that is underway. Can
Russia’s hospital system handle this massive caseload ahead?
The Russian people will come to realize that Putin is a
piece of filth that took their kid’s lives. Vlad the Impaler also took their
arms, and legs, and eyes. Perhaps the contagious BA5 bug will find its way to
Moscow and one of Vlad’s palaces? BA5 would love Putin’s sick immunocompromised
body.
France’s daily new cases chart is shown above. It has been a
wild ride this year for France with the major BA1 wave, the BA2 wave that was
defeated in April, and then the BA5 wave raised its ugly face; a trifecta of
misery. France, Germany and Italy are all in good shape. The French are back to
enjoying their wine, baguette and cigarettes at the local café.
The BA2 and BA5 humps are much more defined on France’s
daily new cases chart as compared to the United States. Perhaps the US has a
stronger natural immunity level at play than central and western Europe? The US
follows Europe’s lead so the demise of the infection waves in France, Germany
and Italy portend good things for the US going forward.
The Philippines daily new cases chart is shown above. New
infection waves are underway for Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia but
fortunately, the numbers remain in check and are not getting out of hand as
yet. The Philippines is averaging 4K cases per day and rising. Indonesia and
Malaysia hint that the daily cases may be starting to level off. Pelosi was in
Malaysia last week hitting all the covid hotspots.
Chile’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Cases are
rising in recent days and the suspected culprit is BA5. The 7-day MA is at 9.5K
cases per day and rising. Argentina and Chile, in southern South America, had
begun their infection waves before the other countries on the continent and
recovered first, however, like the northeastern states in the US, the BA5
backwash occurs creating another wave bump in daily cases.
Argentina is not experiencing the double-hump as yet and
this may be a blip for Chile with cases falling away again in short order. Much
of South America is on the mend and likely hit with the BA5 bug as part of
their recent and ongoing waves so there should not be a second hump in cases
for these nations.
The world’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Finally,
there is happy talk because the 7-day MA trend line is moving lower at 797K
cases per day sub 800K which is great news. Next, the cases need to go sub 700K
per day. It is obvious who the major players are; Japan at 214 K cases per day,
South Korea at 104K cases per day, and the US at 83K cases per day.
Combining the Three Stooges is 401K cases per day a big
chunk of the 797K total COVID-19 cases per day on the planet. Exactly 50%,
one-half, of all new China Virus cases in the world are occurring in Japan,
South Korea or the United States. Global cases will drop dramatically once
these three blind mice get their act together.
The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. Sadly,
global deaths have been stubbornly elevated refusing to come down. On the
positive side, global covid deaths are at early pandemic levels (green line).
Japan is a big reason for the elevated deaths so as soon as the Japanese stop
dropping like flies, the world’s death rate will subside.
The global death rate is moving through 1.9K to 2.1K dead
bodies per day due to coronavirus. The 7-day MA is a hair under 2K deaths per
day a disappointing number 2-1/2 years into the exhausting pandemic. 2K is
still a lot of global citizens dying each day from the virus.
However, as stated, once the Japan deaths fall off, and if
the South Korean deaths can remain in check, and if the US deaths finally drop
if Paxlovid is truly being distributed properly, the global death rate will
resume the downtrend. It is great news, as the chart shows, that the deaths are
no longer increasing for the current infection waves 7, 8 and 9, if you call
the current behavior flat.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 94 million. India is next with 44.2 million total virus cases. France,
Brazil, Germany, UK, Italy, South Korea, Russia, Turkey, Japan, Spain, Vietnam,
Australia, Argentina, Netherlands, Iran and Mexico round out the top 18 worst
nations for total COVID-19 cases. France leapfrogs Brazil and is now the third
highest country in total coronavirus cases in the entire world. Japan leapfrogs
Spain. Australia leapfrogs Argentina.
COVID-19 has infected 590 million people worldwide. China
(the CCP) owes reparations to the world for its sick heinous crime against
humanity. 6.44 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim
statistic. 562 million global citizens have recovered from the virus.
95% (562/590) of the people that become infected with COVID-19
recover in a reasonable time frame. This number was 96% for many weeks so the
recovery percentage slips a hair as BA5 bites harder.
Worldwide, 1.1% (6.44/590) of the people that are infected
with covid die; 1 in 92 (hit the 1/x button on your calculator). This number
was 1.2% for over a year so slippage to 1.1% in recent weeks is great news
(less people are dying after they become infected compared to prior waves).
7.7% (590/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 13 people on earth. 0.08%
of the world’s population (6.44/7670) died from the pandemic; 1 in every 1,191
people on earth died from China Virus over the last couple years.
In the United States, 94 million people are infected with covid.
1.059 million Americans are dead. 89 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus.
This equates to 95% (89/94) of US citizens recovering after becoming infected
with COVID-19.
In the US, 1.1% (1.059/94.0) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. 1 in every 89 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. Thus, if
you are infected with China Virus in the United States, you have about a 1 in
90 chance of dying. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is
1 in every 330 Americans over the last 2-1/2 years.
28% (94/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid; 1 in every 4 Americans (3.5 to be exact
so call it 2 in 7). The CDC said that one-half the US population, 50%, have
been infected by COVID-19 and have some level of antibody protection; it is
likely 60% or even 80% or more now as the omicron bugs work through the system.
The United States has 16% (94/590) of the COVID-19 cases in
the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent months.
The US accounts for 16% (1.059/6.44) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
Over a year ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the
‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the
medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over
forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can
breathe easier.
The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to
forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of
the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where
the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their
heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European
countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where citizens
follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea, Japan,
Singapore, Australia, New Zealand), the active cases curve will peak, on
average, 11 days after the peak in daily new cases.
For the Western countries, such as the US and European
nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on
average, 28 days after the peak in new cases. It takes about 2 weeks longer for
a free society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian
state because lockdowns are not strictly followed or enforced. As time moves
along, nations become better equipped and experienced to fend off outbreaks so the
time between the daily new cases peak and active cases peak is shortening.
After 2-1/2 years, Western nations are experienced at
handling the virus so the distance between the daily and active cases peaks are
decreasing towards the 11-day distance where the authoritarian and communist
style nations are at that enforce the strict draconian rules to tamp down
infections. Once the majority of the population is either vaccinated or had the
virus, the path forward becomes easier.
All projections below for countries and the US states
continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When
the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that
peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day in reference to
the Keystone Model.
The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar
charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases
bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average
(MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.
An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another
10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the
China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time
hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The chronology
serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades to come by
those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 85 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This eighty-fifth article is published on Tuesday, 8/9/22. The
Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into and through 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 85 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga.
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well.
The countries with rising active cases charts are
highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The peaks in daily new
cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on the
Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curves are
extremely important since it represents the maximum stress on healthcare
workers and the medical systems for that infection wave.
It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over
to form the bell shape for the troubled nations at the bottom of the list since
they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases.
The United States wave 7 is improving peaking with 152K
daily cases on 7/21/22, with another high number on 7/22/22, and the 7/28/22
number at 140,400 cases is a hair above the 8% allowance. Regardless, US wave 7
is diminishing and the active cases may have already peaked and starting to
drop to form the coveted bell shape. The news is good for the US and worldwide.
French Guiana (Seventh Wave)
7/7/22 New Case Peak Date
7/18/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve trying to flatten)
7/11/22
New Case Peak Date
7/22/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days) (curve trying to flatten)
7/19/22 New Case Peak Date
7/30/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve trying to flatten)
7/20/22 New Case Peak Date
7/31/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening and starting to drop give it a
couple more days)
7/24/22 New Case Peak Date
8/4/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening)
7/27/22 New Case Peak Date
8/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is rolling over give it a couple more days)
7/27/22 New Case Peak Date
8/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening)
7/27/22 New Case Peak Date
8/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening)
7/28/22 New Case Peak Date
8/25/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days) (curve is flattening and starting to drop give it a few
more days)
7/30/22 New Case Peak Date
8/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening)
8/2/22 New Case Peak Date
8/13/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/2/22 New Case Peak Date
8/13/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/3/22 New Case Peak Date
8/14/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/3/22 New Case Peak Date
8/14/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/3/22 New Case Peak Date
8/14/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/6/22 New Case Peak Date
8/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/6/22
New Case Peak Date
8/17/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
8/6/22 New Case Peak Date
8/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/6/22 New Case Peak Date
8/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/7/22 New Case Peak Date
8/18/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/8/22 New Case Peak Date
8/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
8/8/22 New Case Peak Date
8/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Nine countries are removed from the bad list since their active cases curves are starting to roll over lower to form the coveted bell shape; Singapore, Belgium, Mexico, Australia, Ecuador, Montenegro, Peru, India and Bolivia. One dozen nations were removed from the bad list 10 days ago so 21 countries rolling their active cases charts over to the downside over the last couple weeks is great news for the world.
South America beat back the omicron waves easier than other
nations probably because of a high level of natural immunity. Chile is
experiencing another pop higher in daily cases but that will likely be
short-lived.
As seen from the countries listed at the bottom of the list,
the trouble spots are Asia, eastern Europe, western Asia and Russia. The daily
cases remain relatively low numbers in the eastern Europe area so the main
covid hotspot is in Asia specifically Japan, South Korea and China.
The BA5 bug loves all those virgin host bodies that were
shielded and hidden from the pandemic during the draconian lockdowns (there is
very little natural antibody protection in these nations and China is hit with
the double-whammy that their vaccines are junk).
The BA5 infection wave moves eastward across Europe into
Russia. Azerbaijan cases are rising so it is added to the bad list. Generally,
the rising cases in eastern Europe and western Asia may not become a big deal
and only manifest as small waves. Many of these nations were hammered hard over
the last 2-1/2 years and the populations likely have high levels of natural
immunity.
Note that the 10 countries at the top of the bad list are
all displaying active cases curves that are flattening and about to roll over.
In other words, in a week or so, the 10 will likely all disappear from the
list. The dozen nations at the bottom of the naughty list, however, must pay
further covid dues.
The US list below identifies the worst states especially at
the bottom of the list. The peak in daily new cases and projections for the
peaks in active cases are provided as per the Keystone Model.
The flattening and roll over of the active cases curve
forming the bell shape (see US active cases chart above) indicates the virus is
being defeated and the caseload on healthcare workers will quickly improve.
Healthcare workers are not under duress with wave 7 like prior waves but the
caseloads are lingering since April so the smart and pretty nurses, like Nurse
Goodbody, deserve a break.
US wave 7 is diminishing so good things are expected in
August. Wave 7 is unlike the prior 6 waves in its flat profile so it would not
be surprising after this lingering near 4-month period for the active cases to
roll over within days of the daily new cases rolling over (rather than the
28-day period that other US waves followed).
August may be the last big month for the COVID-19 pandemic
phase both for the US and the world but Keystone said July was that month in
the last article. The United States is improving and the pace of positivity
should increase in the days ahead.
Alabama
(Seventh Wave)
7/6/22
New Case Peak Date
8/3/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve continues higher)
7/7/22
New Case Peak Date
8/4/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening and trying to roll over)
7/8/22
New Case Peak Date (spike on 8/5/22 but this is likely multiple days)
8/5/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat trying to roll over lower give
it a couple more days)
7/14/22
New Case Peak Date
8/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat for 6 weeks trying to roll over)
7/15/22
New Case Peak Date
8/12/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat for 5 weeks trying to roll over
lower)
7/15/22
New Case Peak Date
8/12/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat and rolling over but give it a
few more days)
7/21/22
New Case Peak Date
8/18/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat and wanting to roll over)
7/26/22
New Case Peak Date
8/23/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is rolling over but give it a few days)
7/26/22
New Case Peak Date
8/23/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat and rolling over but give it a
couple more days)
7/26/22
New Case Peak Date
8/23/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat trying to roll over)
7/27/22
New Case Peak Date
8/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
7/27/22
New Case Peak Date
8/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve jumps higher but reverses lower give it
a few days)
7/27/22
New Case Peak Date
8/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat and rolling over)
7/27/22
New Case Peak Date
8/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat trying to roll over lower)
7/27/22
New Case Peak Date
8/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is rolling over but give it a couple
days)
7/28/22
New Case Peak Date
8/25/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat trying to roll over)
7/29/22
New Case Peak Date
8/26/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat trying to roll over)
7/29/22 New Case Peak Date
8/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
(curve is trying to flatten)
7/29/22
New Case Peak Date
8/26/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve heads higher)
8/1/22
New Case Peak Date
8/29/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date(curve trying to flatten)
6/21/22
New Case Peak Date (8/2/22 is alternate peak since 6/21/22 may be multiple
days)
8/30/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
8/3/22
New Case Peak Date
8/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat and trying to roll over)
8/3/22
New Case Peak Date
8/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is rolling over but give it a couple
days)
8/3/22
New Case Peak Date
8/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
8/3/22
New Case Peak Date (data stopped)
8/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is trying to flatten but data is
lagging)
8/4/22
New Case Peak Date
9/1/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
8/5/22
New Case Peak Date
9/2/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
There are 27 states on the bad list above. Seven states were removed from the list since their active cases chats have rolled over including Arizona, Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, Montana, New York and Missouri. Interesting stuff. Some southern states are beating back BA5 and succeeding but others like Georgia and Kentucky struggle.
Arizona is off the list so the infections exacerbated by the
ongoing border crisis may be subsiding. This makes sense since the cases in
Guatemala and Mexico have been working lower for the last month. New York is
working through its double-hump with BA5 cases decreasing.
The great thing about the bad list is the many active cases
curves that are flat and starting to roll over. Many states above will fall off
the bad list in the coming days like pine needles falling from a Christmas tree
that has not been watered.
Alabama, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Ohio, Delaware,
Virginia and Wisconsin remain challenged and need to stay focused on the job at
hand as US wave 7 subsides.
The United States is positioned well to make dramatic
improvements in beating-down wave 7 in the days and couple weeks ahead just in
time for the par-tay’s on Labor Day (9/5/22). Keystone already has plans to
attend a shindig on 9/3/22 that will be a fantastic blowout.
The wave 7 chart above shows that the spring and summer
holidays did not create any appreciable gain in new cases only subtle bumps so
the same or less would be expected for the upcoming party time from 9/1/22
through 9/5/22.
The CDC Community Transmission map displays a lot of yellow
and orange but the data is a week old. The Worldometer data is more current so
the bad state list above and descriptions are more up to date and applicable
than the CDC map.
The CDC says 42% of the US is in a high-risk transmission
zone (orange) where it is recommended to wear masks indoors. 39% of the country
is in a medium-risk county and 19% are in a low-risk county. Thus, 81% of the
US counties are at medium or high risk. This is overblown or more correctly,
the map is providing guidance for something that happened a week or two ago.
In a week or two, a lot more green and yellow will appear on
the map with the orange diminishing. As per the bad list above, 27 states
remain challenged but 17 of them will be in great shape in the coming days.
Thus, only 54% of the US is challenged (comparable to medium and high risk) and
in about a week’s time, only about 20% of the United States will be challenged.
You can see the importance of having the most up to date
real-time data and information possible. The CDC Community Transmission map is
an excellent tool but it has to be updated faster with no more than a 2-day
lag. Get to it. Chop, chop.
US hospital admissions are dropping a beautiful sight since
it leads the US hospitalizations that are flat and starting to develop a downward
bias at 37K cases per day. It is good news.
The new Novavax vaccine is not gaining traction with the
public or healthcare professionals. Most folks probably still do not know it is
available. NVAX stock crashes -35%.
The CDC is hosting an international conference on infectious
diseases from Sunday through tomorrow. Topics
at the conference include a discussion of covid screening in schools. Speakers
include Director Walensky that plans to talk about masks. Do you think she will
highlight the studies that indicate masks are only of marginal value in
preventing infection, at best, but at the same time inflict serious mental,
emotional and learning issues on the wearers including depression? Probably
not.
Walensky will tell you that masks are the greatest thing
since sliced bread as people move the masks aside to pick their noses, scratch
an itch, or sneak a full breath. Kids wear the masks on their ears and use them
as a handkerchief when they sneeze. Adults wear the masks around their mouth
and not the nose which is the orifice that the virus prefers. It is hard to
incorporate all these variables into mask studies.
President Biden went immediately maskless and started directly
interacting with people the minute he tested negative for the second time on
Sunday morning. Same-o yesterday in Kentucky the president was in close
quarters with folks and no one was wearing masks. Same-o today when Biden talks
from the podium about the new chips (semiconductors) bill so masks must be
passe, like the heroin that is so passe that the Dandy Warhols sing about.
Biden looks good during his short speech today so he must
have guzzled five cups of coffee before walking to the podium or perhaps Dr
O’Connor provided a little help. Biden coughs during the speech so that has not
gone away. He is hurried in his speaking, barely giving himself time to sip
water quickly, then talking, and coughing again. He appears animated. You want
to tell him to relax and take a couple breaths. There is phlegm with his cough
but obviously you cannot spit that out in front of everyone so he swallows it.
If you are coughing up throat drainage or lung congestion,
spit that garbage out, expel it from your body. Each morning you should stand
with hands in the air and then bend at the hips where the hands then touch the
floor. During the down move breathe out and let the lungs clear from any dust,
smoke or other nasties sitting down in the cilia. Cough the stuff up and spit
it out to keep your lungs clear and healthy.
The US airline nightmare continues. Flights delayed or
cancelled. Unhappy passengers. Thin staffs. Hey *sshole airlines, how’s that
vaccine mandate garbage working out? The airlines forced experienced pilots,
crews, mechanics and airport workers into retirement over the mRNA jabs. Other
airline employees changed professions since they did not want to kneel before
their airline bosses and receive the healthcare that idiot managers decree for
their bodies.
The airline employees that did not want to lose their jobs instead
decided to swallow their pride, and lose their self-respect, and kneel in front
of the boss to receive the COVID-19 vaccines. Some folks may like to be
submissive but most men do not. Thus, every time the airline gets busy now
especially around holiday weekends, that is a good time to screw the boss and
call in sick. Payback’s a bitch.
Even funnier, the boss will put up with it because they are
short on staff. How do you like licking the employees’ arse instead of the
other way around bossy? The airlines turned loyal employees into workers that
hate their jobs and will take any opportunity to screw the company since the
CEO’s forced shots down their throats. This is the way the world works Sonny
and Girly.
The funniest part of it all is that the vaccines are not
even vaccines. The multiple jabs are COVID-19 death prevention shots since
infection and transmission can still occur. In addition, most of the shots wear
off in 5 or 6 months so folks stuck like pincushions with mRNA, but have not
had a booster or booster-booster shot since February, are likely no better
protected than the unvaccinated.
The pandemic is a crazy ride. Dr’s Fauci and Jha, and other medical
talking heads, keep telling folks to get a shot now if you have not had one
this year for the reasons stated. The US vaccination rate languishes at about
270K shots per day. Americans have moved on from the pandemic since there are too
many other problems and trouble to worry about as Ray sings.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/10/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports 599K daily new cases for Monday a sub 600K number and the 7-day MA trend line is at 798K cases per day a sub 800K number coming down nicely. Daily China Flu cases will drop sharply as Japan, South Korea and the US beat down their current infection waves. The global COVID-19 death rate remains stuck at 2K bodies per day. Japan reports 173K daily new cases yesterday with the 7-day MA at 214K cases per day. It is ugly but a positive aspect is that the rate of increase in cases is slowing so a top in daily cases may be at hand. Japan's peak is 253K daily cases last Friday, 8/5/22, so this Friday's cases are key and must be below 253K to establish a downtrend. This outcome is likely. Boom. South Korea reports 150K daily new cases yesterday a spike higher and the most for the current wave. This is not good. The 7-day MA is going parabolic at 108K cases per day so South Korea is in the covid pickle barrel. Indonesia reports 6.3K cases yesterday teasing highs over the last couple weeks that compare back to March. Poland reports 6K cases yesterday a new high for the current wave and not seen since March. Georgia and Azerbaijan are dealing with new infection waves.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/10/22, at 5:30 AM EST: China's cities remain in various stages of lockdowns with mass testing ongoing each day for millions of Chinese folks. It is getting old. The Chinese are complaining that nowhere is safe anymore. Anywhere they travel domestically, they understand that they may end up getting stuck there for a couple weeks if someone tests positive for China Virus. This is no way to live. The mess on the tourist island of Hainan, and at Sanya specifically, continues with 80K people in lockdown. Domestic travel takes a big hit in China which will hurt the economy. Dirtbag Dictator Xi shows force against the independent nation of Taiwan with military drills to distract the domestic audience away from his zero-covid mess and the slow-motion housing and banking crisis.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/10/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports only 46K daily new cases for Monday a wonderful sight. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is down to 79K cases per day a sub 80K number. The signs and signals continue stacking up for a positive end to US wave 7. Kentucky continues reporting elevated cases the folks are screwed by the floods. They are trying to help each other through the disaster as well as people from other states so folks are in close quarters with lots of physical contact. Shelters and cooling centers are well occupied. China Virus takes advantage of the situation searching for more host bodies. Kentuckians are resilient people that will beat back covid and rebuild after the floods. The United States is in good shape to defeat wave 7 but must remain vigilant for a few more days to make sure the cases continue falling. Another minor worry may be kids returning to school but Americans are set up for a happy late summer and early Fall with wave 7 in the tank but this will also be when Lord Fauci, the CDC, Sleepy Joe and the Whitehouse will be talking about booster shots. Oy vey. The new booster-booster-booster (5th shot), or booster-booster for others (4th shot), may be fighting the last war. The boosters are supposedly better for fighting omicron strains but will that matter in the Fall and winter? A new bug may be at play, or not much at all. Will the vaccine proponents be hawking a combination covid/seasonal flu shot? The alchemists are working overtime in the laboratories mixing up the witches brews. Now where is that eye of newt?
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/10/22, at 7:30 AM EST: The CDC reports that the BA46 subvariant increases from 4% to under 5% of the new COVID-19 cases in the US over the last week a modest, and not exponential rise, at least so far. Dr Eric Topol is not concerned about BA46 but quickly says it must be closely monitored going forward. Los Angeles County, California, health officials are urging parents to mask their kids as they return to school. Jackasses. California and the United States are exiting wave 7 and the damage that masks have done to children is well documented in numerous studies. It would be wiser to ditch the masks and allow the kids to get back into a normal routine since COVID-19 is not a serious health risk for any child under 18 years old. The country is led by stupid corrupt people.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 8/10/22: The US government continues running the television ads promoting Paxlovid that are helpful. The ads educate the uninformed public that they have the Paxlovid treatment option available if they test positive for COVID-19. The web address is www.treatcovid19.com, a clean simple name, and the web address forwards you to the www.paxlovid.com website that explains the Test-to-Treat program. A 'Find Locations' tab can be clicked that opens a web page at the HHS.gov website for the Test-to-Treat program but you have to click another box 'View Location' that takes you to another page showing the US map where COVID-19 medication is distributed. You can tell government eggheads, without a lot of real-life experience, assembled that convoluted mess. People do not have the time to read through endless web pages of information. Common folks are trying to scrape by in life each day, worried about crime and inflation, and do not have the time to sort through the web pages. In addition, many folks do not have access to computers and do not know how to use them if they did. The television ads promoting COVID-19 treatments should be 15-second spots with big bold letters that say if you test positive for COVID-19, find the Paxlovid location nearest you, and provide one web address in big bold type that directs people to the medication map or the Therapeutics Locator. If you test positive for China Virus, EARLY TREATMENT is the key. You must receive Paxlovid antiviral oral pills or the bebtelovimab monoclonal antibody infusion immediately. Every minute counts. The wealthy class recover from COVID-19 because they immediately receive Paxlovid when they test positive so the goal needs to be the same for common folks to bring down the obscene covid death rate in America. An advertisement on AM talk radio (republican-run media) tells Americans that no one should force a vaccination on you and provides the www.getvaccines.org website for more information. However, when the site is typed in, the computer goes into an endless loop and then times out with an error message. Do you think the government stepped in and put the kibosh on the site because it did not cheerlead Biden's vaccine-only strategy? Who knows?
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 8/10/22: Denmark is the first country to announce the start of the end of its COVID-19 vaccination program 3 months ago but does plan to reimplement the program in the Fall and winter. The DANES MAKE IT NO LONGER POSSIBLE FOR CHILDREN UNDER 18 YEARS OLD TO RECEIVE A COVID-19 VACCINATION unless a specific medical assessment warrants the jabs. The US should follow Denmark's lead. Back in the States, a Washington Examiner poll says 82% of republicans are worried about Sleepy Joe's mental condition. 56% of independents and 39% of democrats are also concerned about the president's mental capacity. The US government plans to stretch the supply of monekypox vaccine by altering the needle delivery technique to the patient using one-fifth the dosage. The maker of the vaccine, Bavarian Nordic, warns the Biden administration that there is no safety data available to support the new strategy but it will be implemented anyway. The United States is getting fast and loose with vaccines which creates further mistrust and skepticism in the public's eye.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 8/11/22, at 3:00 AM EST: Japan's 7-day MA of daily new cases levels-off at 214K cases per day. It is a large number but flatness precedes a down move and positive direction forward. Oh no. 250 Japanese die yesterday almost the deadliest day of the pandemic only surpassed by a few days in February that have a handful of more cases. China Virus is culling the elderly Japanese population. South Korea cases continue higher at 114K per day. News reports say that North Korea Dictator Kim Jong-un was severely ill during the recent outbreak. The tin-pot dictator blames South Korea for the outbreak and declares "victory" over the virus. China's China Flu cases are the highest in 3 months so think how bad the conditions really are since the communists lie about their data. Dirtbag Dictator Xi's stupid zero-covid strategy is a mess but a strongman leader can never admit he is wrong. A new worry surfaces in China with 3 dozen folks sick with a novel virus called Langya henipavirus (LayV). Chinese scientists say the virus likely developed from shrews but the standard communist lies and disinformation cannot be trusted. The LayV disease is more sporadic and not expected to develop into another COVID-19 style pandemic but time will tell. Russia's 7-day MA for daily new cases is at about 20K cases per day continuing higher.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 8/11/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US crosses the 1.06 million deaths grim milestone. Instead of handling the pandemic, the reason he was elected, Biden spends his time on the misguided climate change agenda that is creating inflation. The US reports 90K cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA is at 91K cases per day remaining jumpy but continuing to trend lower for 3 weeks. Georgia reports a huge spike in daily cases to 9K for Tuesday but it may be lumping several days of data together. The data collection is becoming more haphazard perhaps due to states paring back their reporting as the pandemic phase moves towards an endemic phase.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 8/11/22: The CDC eases COVID-19 regulations. Folks that may have been exposed to covid do not need to quarantine anymore and instead wear a mask for 10 days and take a test on the fifth day. The CDC says there is a high level of immunity, 95% plus, in the population from both infections and vaccines. The officials have danced around the term 'herd immunity' for the last 2 years, avoiding it like the plague, er covid, and even now cannot bring themselves to say herd immunity which is the high level combination of natural immunity and vaccine immunity. The CDC decrees that 'COVID-19 IS LESS OF A PUBLIC HEALTH THREAT DUE TO THE HIGH NUMBER OF INFECTIONS AND VACCINES (HERD IMMUNITY)'. Testing protocols are lessened for asymptomatic patients and contact testing requirements are reduced. The CDC says people should stay home at least 5 days after a positive test. CDC official Greta Massetti proclaims, "This guidance acknowledges that the pandemic is not over, but also helps us move to a point where COVID-19 no longer severely disrupts our daily lives." Lady, millions of Americans moved on from the pandemic months ago. In jaw-dropping comments, the CDC acknowledges that the recommendations for vaccinated and unvaccinated people are now the same. Massetti believes that 95% of the US population has some level of protection (she still cannot say the term 'herd immunity'). Masetti says, "It really makes the most sense to not differentiate (between vaccinated and unvaccinated people since the level of immunity is very high in the US)." The CDC scraps the Test-to-Stay program for K-12 students. The CDC remains gun-ho on masks (control freaks) but nixes social distancing. Store owners will have to scrape-up the social distancing dots on the floor. Considering the mask studies, the CDC should have considered the opposite; nixing masks but telling people to maintain distance between one another to the greatest extent possible. People do not wear masks properly. Do you think there is more chance of getting infected with virus by a man you are standing shoulder to shoulder with that sneezes, coughs and moves his mask aside for a second to pick his nose, or, standing 6 or 9 feet or more away (2 or 3 meters), maintaining plenty of space from the person (and easily able to quickly move away), but both maskless? Which situation would you rather be in? The mask stuff is more to do with human control than virus control. The new CDC changes appear to be catching-up to American society rather than leading.
Note Added Thursday Evening, 8/11/22: Lord Fauci steps in covid dog sh*t again. Why is this man still around? In an interview with Dr Larry Corey at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center in Seattle, Washington State (extremely left-wing region of the country; democrat friendly), Fauci and Corey joke that 'Fauci created the virus in his kitchen, let it loose, and it was the result of gain of function research'. Hey *ssholes, 1.06 million Americans are dead from COVID-19. Do you think that is some kind of joke? Incompetent Flip-Flop Fauci has a pandemic laundry list of mistakes, mistruths, misinformation and disinformation. Fauci will not be laughing if the republicans take control of the House in November. The jokes are tone-deaf to the seriousness of the situation including the deaths, nefarious research that the NIH was involved with (Fauci and Collins) that may have had a hand in spawning coronavirus, and the mismanagement of the pandemic under both Biden and Trump. The two idiot doctors laugh like hyenas at their immature adolescent humor. The response from social media is fast and furious. The two doctors are called charlatans and mocked for their insensitivity. Despicable, disgusting, ugly, out-of-place, and other negative words are directed at Fauci across all the social media platforms. Maybe Fauci should work harder at his job. 400 Americans dying per day from China Virus, while the wealthy class immediately receives Paxlovid and recover, is not funny. It is sad. It is a tragedy. Fauci should resign. Instead, he crawls into a laboratory closet with a half-dozen of his monogrammed white lab coats and cannot be reached for comment. Adding insult to injury, Flip-Flop Fauci throws out the first pitch at a Seattle Mariner baseball game and as he runs out to the mound the crowd boos (and Seattle is an ultra liberal (democrat; left) city!). He throws like a girl, as the ole saying goes, and the boos are steady during his appearance. A spectator yells, "Loser!" Some older folks are clapping for the doctor, very few. They are probably quadruple vaccinated and applauding Fauci since it provides validation in their minds for their choosing to take the jabs. The boos are overwhelming. Can the guy take a hint? Get lost, buddy. Beat it.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/12/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The US reports 109K cases for Wednesday. It is not good to see numbers over 100K but the 3-week downtrend in US daily new cases remains in place. The 7-day MA is at 92K cases per day continuing the downward bias. The 3-day MA trend line is making lower lows and lower highs for the last 3 weeks verifying the downtrend. The question is if the downside move in cases will accelerate lower from here like prior waves, or will the demise of US wave 7 be a slow painful descent over many weeks? A sharper drop-off is more likely and may appear in the days ahead. The Thursday and Friday cases will be elevated but there is a good chance the numbers will improve quickly from the weekend forward. The BA5 subvariant is accounting for about 85% of the new COVID-19 cases in the US but this number was 80% and more a couple weeks ago (the rate of ascent is trailing off). The subvariants are behaving themselves and nothing is stepping up to take over for BA5. It is a very good set up for the path ahead but the pesky daily cases remain elevated and did not get the memo as yet. US active cases are curling over to the downside at 3.88 million so fingers are crossed that the coveted bell shape is starting to form to verify the ongoing demise of wave 7. BA5 is a pesky bastard. 352 Americans die from China Virus each day. What else is new? How's the Paxlovid distribution going? Crickets. California continues improving so the schools should let kids be kids as the new schoolyear begins. Sadly, the Golden State crosses the 94K total covid deaths grim milestone at 94,085 dead bodies. Texas crosses the 90K total deaths grim milestone at 90,086 dead bodies. Texas's daily and active cases are moving sideways. It is good that the cases are not breaking out to new highs but bad that they are not dropping more substantively. Texas reports 13K cases on hump day so a major portion of the US elevated cases is due to the Lonestar State. Kentucky reports over 5.3K cases yesterday juggling both the flooding and covid tragedies.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/12/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Japan continues struggling reporting 200K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA at 216K cases per day. Japan crosses the 15 million total covid cases milestone. 12%, or 1 in 8, Japanese have contracted COVID-19 over the last couple years. 248 Japanese die yesterday; sad numbers for the island nation. South Korea's infection wave expands higher reporting 150K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is at 118K cases per day. South Korean deaths are increasing with 59 biting the covid dust yesterday the most since May. Russia reports 24K daily new cases with the 7-day MA over 20K cases per day potentially going parabolic in the days ahead. BA5 is knocking on Moscow's doors. Vlad, are you in there? Come out, come out, wherever you are. BA5 wants to take a look at your immunocompromised body. How's that junk Sputnik V vaccine working out for you, Putin? Ruskie deaths are starting to bump higher from very low levels with 60 falling face down in their borscht yesterday. The planet is at 797K daily new cases per day continuing the downward trend but the US, Japan and South Korea need to beat down their infection waves to make headway on the world stage.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/12/22, at 4:30 AM EST: A new study by Yale School of Medicine and the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, reported in Fortune, says long-covid patients have half the levels of cortisol in their bodies; known as the 'stress hormone'. Perhaps the research can lead to therapies and treatments for these folks suffering fatigue, brain fog and shortness of breath. Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel says the COVID-19 vaccines will become a once per year shot like the seasonal flu shot. Bancel talks about combining the flu, covid and RSV shots into one dose. The alchemists are working overtime. Johnson & Johnson's vaccine headaches continue. J&J likely wishes it did not get into the game. 135 million does of the J&J COVID-19 vaccine are being destroyed due to production and quality problems at the Baltimore facility. Johnny John had to destroy 400 million doses in May at the Emergent BioSolutions plant. The negative news erodes public confidence in vaccines. If House Speaker Pelosi or any of her entourage get sick with coronavirus from the meetings in the covid-infected nests in Japan and South Korea one week ago, they will test positive today or on the weekend. If they make it to Monday, they should be fine.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 8/13/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Japan reports another big spike in daily new cases to 243K a quarter of a million new cases each day! The wheels have fallen off the covid cart in Japan; what a mess. Is it a new variant that is wreaking havoc or are the high number of infections due to a population that had little natural immunity as vaccine effectiveness wanes? Japan's medical system is overwhelmed and healthcare workers fear that the situation will worsen. Nursing homes and senior centers are smacked hard with serious illness and deaths. It is as if Japan is experiencing what the United States went through in 2020. A hospital in Amagasaki, Hyogo Prefecture, refuses to treat a 21-year old man when he breaks his leg in a motorcycle accident. He tested positive for COVID-19 in the ambulance and the hospital would not allow entry. The man received treatment at another facility 2 hours later. A pandemic turns people into irrational thinkers. 250 Japanese are dying per day from China Virus. COVID-19 is culling the older people in nursing homes.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 8/13/22, at 5:00 AM EST: South Korea's infection wave continues higher at 120K cases per day. 50 South Koreans are dying per day from China Flu. Wow. 43% of the world's new covid cases are in Japan and South Korea. Russia's new infection wave worsens with 26K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is up to 22K cases per day heading higher. Russia crosses the 383K total COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. India's daily new and active cases are decreasing for 3 weeks and the ongoing infection waves are minor compared to prior waves. The BA275 subvariant, nicknamed Centaurus by social media, accounts for the majority of infections in India but considering the constructive daily new and active cases charts it should not be a big deal. The test positivity rate rises to 18% in Delhi. South Delhi imposes a mask mandate in crowded public places and people will be fined for noncompliance.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 8/13/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports 103K cases for Thursday below Wednesday's 120K cases which are below the prior 2 weeks of cases. It's all good and the downtrend continues although it would be better to see a sharper drop in daily new cases going forward. The 7-day MA is at 97K cases per day remaining erratic but trending lower for 3 weeks. Minnesota Vikings quarterback (American football) Kirk Cousins tests positive for COVID-19 and will miss the first preseason game. Cousins is not vaccinated and had covid at the end of last year. His symptoms are minimal and he should be back with the team next week. Last year, Cousins famously, or infamously if you are a vaccine proponent and cheerleader, said he did not want vaccinated. He has no concerns about catching covid and proclaims, "If I die, I die." Cousins sounds like lots of other Americans that have not bothered to get vaccinated for COVID-19. Some people spend their entire lives worried about dying so much that they forget to live. Others ride life for all its worth looking for adventure.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 8/14/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 87K daily new cases for Friday. Great news. Friday's are typically the highest number of cases for the week although Wednesday numbers are also high in recent weeks. The 7-day MA for US cases drops to 86K cases per day. US active cases are at 3.8 million, off the 4.1 million peak a week ago, and on the verge of a 3.7 million handle. Despite the good news with cases trending lower, the American deaths from COVID-19 are at 350 souls per day. Texas reports over 14K daily new cases Friday so 16%, 1 in 6, new China Virus cases in the United states are occurring in the Lonestar State. Kentucky remains challenged averaging over 2K daily new cases per day and crossing the 1.5 million total cases milestone. Louisiana crosses the 1.4 million total cases milestone. The US is looking good and the expectation is for wave 7 to begin dropping at a faster rate this week. The death rate remains way too high as Sleepy Joe Biden remains distracted by his misguided climate change agenda. If the US death rate does not go sub 300 bodies per day this week and begins trending lower, the Whitehouse, Biden, CDC, Lord Fauci, Dr Jha since he was cheerleading the Paxlovid distribution, and others, need to be held accountable for their failure at saving common American's lives (with Paxlovid).
Note Added Sunday Morning, 8/14/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The world is averaging 764K cases per day continuing to trend lower but the descent is too slow. Japan, South Korea and the United States are the the main contributors to the world's elevated case numbers. Japan reports 225K cases Friday another big number, however, the 225K is lower than the peak cases on the prior Friday, 8/5/22, at 253K cases. This is encouraging and the 7-day MA is trying to flatten and curl over to the downside at 206K cases per day. Japan's daily new cases are likely peaking right now in real-time so relief is on the way. Over 200 Japanese continue dying each day from COVID-19 and the total deaths from China Virus cross the 35K grim milestone. Said tongue-in-cheek, Japanese nursing homes will now have to put out 'vacancy' signs. South Korea's infection wave continues higher at 122K cases per day. Nearly 70 South Koreans die from covid yesterday at 3-month highs. The global death rate remains elevated averaging 2.1K deaths per day. 30%, or 1 in 3, COVID-19 deaths these days are in Japan, South Korea or the United States; all three Western nations. Philippines cases are over 4K per day but there are signs that the infection wave favors a sideways posture rather than up. Ditto Malaysia. Ditto Indonesia that is showing signs of a downward bias in cases. The theme continues that the countries that have been battered by COVID-19 over 2-1/2 years, that end up with broad natural immunity in the population since vaccines and other treatments were not available, fare better through the omicron strains (BA1, BA2. BA275, BA4, BA46, BA5). Future PhD's and scientists will have to study the hypothesis. Russia's cases run higher at 23K per day. Russia will be a test case for the natural immunity theory since lots of Ruskies have been stricken with covid and the Sputnik V vaccine is junk. Russia, Putin the a-hole, wanted to be first with COVID-19 vaccines so he announced Sputnik V, which humorously everyone pronounces Sputnik Five but the 'V' actually means 'victory'. If Russia's daily new cases do not get out of hand and instead begin trailing sideways, the natural immunity theory may have merit.
Note Added Sunday Afternoon, 8/14/22: Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer is recovering from COVID-19 after testing positive on Monday. The deceitful US press buried the story. Whitmer is a democrat facing a tough reelection battle so the the left-leaning media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times, Washington Post) did not want to draw attention to her testing positive for China Virus. Whitmer imposed harsh draconian rules during the COVID-19 pandemic that were unpopular with the citizens. She is quadruple vaccinated with the booster and booster-booster jabs and now sick with covid. Like the other hapless political idiots that are stuck with mRNA like pincushions and then contract COVID-19, Whitmer proclaims, "I encourage my fellow Michiganders to get vaccinated and boosted." She's a pretty lady but stupid. Another COVID-19 illness buried in the democrat press is Stacey Abrams, the Georgia democrat running for the governor seat in another tough race. Abrams tests positive for COVID-19 despite being vaccinated and boosted. What else is new? She has mild symptoms and is recovering at home. Do you think Abrams and Whitmer immediately received Paxlovid? Of course they did. They are bigshots not low-life common Americans. Abrams is a thorn in the side of the republican-controlled media (Fox News, Newsmax, OANN, Breitbart News, AM talk radio, New York Post) that does not want her in the governor seat. Of course the jackass opines, "I'm grateful to have been vaccinated and boosted." Why? You are sick with COVID-19 and it is likely that the Paxlovid will save your arse. Abrams is also pretty but stupid.
Note Added Monday Morning, 8/15/22, at 3:00 AM EST: Japan's 7-day MA trend line for daily new cases is trying to top-out and roll over at 200K cases per day. Over 200 Japanese continue dying from COVID-19 each day mainly the elderly in nursing homes and senior care centers. South Korea is up to 124K cases per day the infection wave continuing higher. South Korean deaths are over 50 bodies per day climbing higher. Taiwan continues improving since the late May top of its terrible infection wave, however, the rate of decreasing cases is lessening and the daily new cases chart is starting to base sideways at about 21K cases per day. Not good. Taiwan will need to redouble their efforts to decrease the cases. Perhaps they are getting complacent dealing with their worst pandemic wave for 4-1/2 months. A US Congressional delegation of four democrats and one republican visit Taiwan only a week after Speaker Pelosi and her entourage. What is with these US politicians flying into the covid-infected nests? The politicians and support staff will find out if they have covid in about a week. Boom. Russia reports 29K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA over 24K cases per day. The new infection wave does not show signs of stopping and may go parabolic any day forward. BA5 is knocking on Putin's door.
Note Added Monday Morning, 8/15/22, at 3:30 AM EST: China is a hot covid mess. Craziness. A person that had contact with someone that tested positive for China Virus visited an Ikea furniture store in Shanghai. Authorities (the dirtbag CCP) swarm-in to begin locking down the facility. It's pandemonium. Mayhem. Panic. Chinese folks rush for the exits not wanting to be jailed at an Ikea store for the next 2 weeks or more. People are screaming. Kids are crying. As the white-suited goons try to lock the doors from the outside, the crowd breaks through with many shoppers running for their lives so as not to face a lockdown. Craziness. The CCP locks the store down telling folks they will be isolated for 2 days (sent to quarantine hotels) and then have to undergo testing for 5 additional days before they can be set free. China's cases are over 2K per day (the CCP lies about the numbers so conditions are far worse) at a 3-month high. Dirtbag Dictator Xi pursues his failed zero-covid strategy because an authoritarian strongman leader can never allow himself to be viewed as wrong (because he loses power). China's economic data is bad; the domestic economy is weakening across the board. The covid trouble in Hainan continues with tens of thousands of people remaining in lock down. The fear instilled into Chinese minds over lockdowns creates less desire to travel domestically so tourism takes a hit. Also, folks want to get in and out of stores quickly fearing that the doors will be locked while shopping in the lingerie department (less retail sales). This zero-covid-induced behavior will further hurt China's economy and by default, the world's.
Note Added Monday Morning, 8/15/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports only 12K daily new cases for Saturday. This is a beautiful number and Sunday's cases should be even lower but they are the weekend numbers. Nonetheless, the demise of US wave 7 is expected to continue even if it is like watching paint dry. Perhaps there will be more of an acceleration lower in the days ahead. The 7-day MA is down to 75K cases per day. US active cases drop to 3.72 million great news. The top of the coveted bell shape is starting to form (see US active cases chart above) so the active cases need to keep dropping to form the right side of the bell. America may be ringing in happiness late summer and early Fall with covid on the ropes. Like the CDC says, there is likely 95% plus immunity in the US population between vaccinations and prior infections so BA5 and the gang are having a harder time looking for those juicy host bodies. However, the subvariants are finding a lot of virgin hosts in Japan, South Korea, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Australia and New Zealand, since these nations have low levels of natural immunity (their populations were shielded and protected during the first couple years of the pandemic). Americans continue dying from China Flu at a pace of 320 bodies per day. It is a shameful daily display of incompetence. The casket makers and funeral directors dance in the light of the full moon praising the Whitehouse and CDC's failure at reducing the covid body count over the last 4 months. Instead of handling the pandemic, Sleepy Joe spends his time praising glorified golf carts (EV's), windmills and solar cells that create pollution and different ecological and environmental problems than current technology. The US needs to see daily COVID-19 cases retreat in Texas, Georgia and Kentucky for the overall country numbers to drop faster.
Note Added Monday Morning, 8/15/22, at 8:00 AM EST: USA Today says the major cruise lines are backing away from their draconian COVID-19 vaccination requirements. The ships wanted proof of an exemption for unvaccinated folks wanting to take a cruise but that is tossed out the porthole. Royal Caribbean lays out the red carpet for travelers telling folks that everyone is welcome aboard regardless of vaccination status. The cruise lines are smart learning from the airline's mess. Regent Seven Seas, Oceania and Norwegian Cruise Line display banners that unvaccinated folks are also welcome on their ships. It is nice to see things getting back to normal on the cruise ships and hopefully the only sickness on board in the future is norovirus not coronavirus. Not to say that anyone wants norovirus since vomiting while experiencing diarrhea (coming out of both ends) is not on the vacation fun list.
Note Added Monday Morning, 8/15/22, at 9:00 AM EST: The television medical talking heads are asked about the CDC relaxing COVID-19 guidelines. Many are mouthpieces for the Whitehouse and CDC so the move is applauded and cheered although some begrudgingly admit that the CDC is leading from behind. The medical folks keep thinking-up alternative words for 'herd immunity' ever since the CDC announced the new guidelines on Thursday. The latest is 'population protection'. The CDC says health risks are low with covid since the US has a high level of vaccination and prior infection protection (herd immunity). The nomenclature-controlled officials got away from using the term herd immunity when President Biden started the full-court press with his vaccine-only strategy in spring 2021. Biden did not want people to think about natural immunity protection since he was hawking vaccines. Dr Fauci would freely discuss herd immunity before then, and quote percentages, talking about the combination of vaccine immunity and natural immunity, but those two words are taboo now. Verboten. If you say the term herd immunity, you will be summoned before the CDC, NIH, FDA and Whitehouse and branded as a vaccine denier. You will be exiled to the gulag located at the far end of the CDC parking lot behind the dumpster for the remainder of your employment. The medical talking heads can call it prior infection, or total immunity, or population protection, or broad immunity, and there will be other names, the eggheads are working on more terms in the lunchroom, but it is all the same thing; herd immunity. Listen closely over the coming days and weeks to see if any brave souls on television dare mention the soft-banned term herd immunity. If a person commenting on COVID-19 discusses herd immunity saying and explaining the term out loud, they have instant credibility.
Note Added Monday Afternoon, 8/15/22: NorthShore University Health System in Illinois settles a COVID-19 vaccine lawsuit paying $10.3 million to over one dozen employees that were denied religious exemptions for vaccinations. The hospital releases a statement in part declaring, "The settlement reflects implementation of a new system-wide vaccine policy which will include accommodation for team members with approved exemptions, including former employees who are rehired." Companies need to ditch the vaccine mandate garbage that only encouraged Americans to hate each other and exacerbate the ongoing inflation and travel problems. The control freaks want to control; that's what they do. US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin tests positive for China Virus for the second time. He was sick in January. Austin is another quadruple vaccinated human, with the new mRNA spike proteins circulating through his body for multiple months, getting sick with COVID-19 for the second time. He is experiencing mild symptoms and was last in contact with President Biden 2 weeks ago at the upper end of the 2 to 14 day incubation period. Washington, DC, inside the beltway loop, is a covid-infected nest. Austin praises vaccinations parroting the other jackasses that are jabbed with four mRNA shots but continuing to get sick with covid. He proclaims, "My doctor told me that my fully vaccinated status, including two booster shots, is why my symptoms are less severe than would otherwise be the case." Hey idiot, do you think the Paxlovid, that you no doubt received immediately, is helping?
Note Added Monday Evening, 8/15/22: Moderna is ready with its new vaccine concoction for the Fall season. One-half of the dose targets the original COVID-19 virus and the other targets omicron. Note the vagueness of the statements. The vaccine generates a "good response" to the two targets including the BA4 and BA5 subvariants. The UK is the first nation to approve the new Moderna vaccine. The US is planning a Fall booster shot campaign with the new offering from Moderna as well a new brew from Pfizer. Big Pharma is licking its chops, counting the endless stacks of money, celebrating America's drug and surgery medical model. As he is walking to the bank, Moderna CEO Bancel applauds "the dedication and leadership of the UK public health authorities in helping to end the COVID-19 pandemic." Ka-Ching.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 8/16/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world is at 732K daily new COVID-19 cases per day continuing the lower trend for 3 weeks. The global death rate remains at 2K souls per day. The Japan and South Korea outbreaks continue. Russia reports 29K cases yesterday with 30K plus likely tomorrow. The US is approaching 95 million total covid cases. Saturday's cases are bumped higher to 47K and Sunday is at 36K cases low numbers that will help pull the 7-day MA trend line lower now at 77K cases per day. US active cases are down to 3.69 million a 3.6 handle. Next stop is a 3.5 handle for active cases to keep creating the bell shape that will verify the end of US wave 7 and likely the end of the COVID-19 pandemic phase that will transition into the endemic phase (like the seasonal flu).
Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 8/16/22: Big news. Quadruple vaccinated First Lady Jill Biden tests positive for COVID-19. She receives Paxlovid the minute she tests positive. Of course she does. Jill received the fourth shot, the booster-booster, in April only 4 months ago. Maybe she needed the booster-booster-booster. The president leaves his better half behind in South Carolina so he can return to Washington, DC, for a bill signing. Jill will isolate for 5 days and until she receives two consecutive negative tests. She was cheek to cheek with the family on vacation in South Carolina through Monday afternoon but started feeling a bit queasy and sick Monday night. The rapid tests, that Americans received for free, came up negative but a PCR test was positive. Perhaps the rapid tests may not detect BA5 as well as thought? The Whitehouse is a covid-infected nest. It is amazing that no one in Pelosi's entourage got COVID-19 when visiting, Malaysia, Taiwan, South Korea and Japan, however, will Americans be told if one of her aids are sick?
Note Added Tuesday Evening, 8/16/22, at 5:00 PM EST: New Jersey no longer requires unvaccinated teachers, school workers, child care employees and state workers to undergo regular covid testing. Politicians and corporate executives are wising-up and ditching the vaccine mandate garbage and other draconian rules. Oh, for Pete's sake. You cannot make the stuff up. Quadruple vaccinated Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, pumped-up on his own vaccines, tests positive for China Virus. He has mild symptoms and is isolating. Maybe Al can spend time figuring out how to develop and manufacture a COVID-19 vaccine that prevents the disease including stopping transmission. Instead, Al is looking at glossy real estate brochures displaying beach homes for sale. Vaccinated Seattle Seahawks quarterback (American football) Drew Lock tests positive for COVID-19 and has to sit-out a preseason game or two. Several football players in the NFL are contracting covid. The athletes are in training camps preparing for the new football season starting 9/8/22 (Sunday games on 9/11/22).
Note Added Tuesday Evening, 8/16/22, at 7:00 PM EST: Whitehouse COVID-19 coordinator Dr Jha is interviewed on Newsmax (right-leaning media) by Greta van Susteren, a wealthy overrated media personality. Greta is a vagabond newscaster carpet-bagging from one cable news network to another touting their political leanings to remain employed. Jha would probably not appear on Newsmax if it was anyone else except van Susteren handling the interview. She will not ask about the origins of COVID-19 and the Wuhan Laboratories like other Newsmax hosts. Jha touts the same-o mantra that he is reciting in his sleep; "What we know is that if you're vaccinated and boosted, you're much more likely to have very mild symptoms or no symptoms at all." Jha continues, "Infection-induced immunity, what people call natural immunity, clearly generates immunity. It lasts for a while. In the old days, I mean, by the 'old days' a year ago, we used to think that infection-induced immunity would give you three (to) six months of protection before you started having breakthroughs again." Jha says a person with natural immunity "can keep getting reinfected over and over again." (Fear porn.) This is a silly statement because daily we witness celebrities and politicians reporting their second COVID-19 illnesses and they are quadruple vaccinated. Also, the study cited a few days ago concluded that natural immunity held up well, and was on par with, vaccinations in fighting omicron. Jha uses his natural immunity parable to encourage people to get vaccinated. Jha is the standard torchbearer for the Biden vaccine-only policy. Jha says First Lady Jill is on Paxlovid and recovering. Van Susteren says she had COVID-19 over the last few days. Oh my. Of course she is vaccinated. Jha talks about the need to start Paxlovid within 5 days. He is held to task and asked why others cannot receive Paxlovid on the first day they test positive for covid like the Biden's and other politicians. Jha encourages indoor mask use in crowded spaces.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/17/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world crosses the 6.46 million total COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. 0.08%, 1 in every 1,187 people on earth, have died from China Virus (6.46/7670). The deadly pathogen, that was likely spawned at the Wuhan Laboratories, murders 6,460,112 human beings in only 31 months. It is a once in a century pandemic. 2K earthlings continue dying each day from COVID-19. Japan may have peaked with daily cases with the 7-day MA at 193K cases per day and dropping. 221 Japanese continue dying each day from coronavirus. 11%, 1 in 9, COVID-19 deaths occurring around the world are in Japan. South Korea's infection wave continues but is trying to level-off at about 115K cases per day.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 8/17/22, at 3:30 AM EST: The US crosses the 1.063 million total COVID-19 deaths grim milestone. 0.3%, 1 in every 310 Americans, have died from China Virus (1.063/330) over the last 31 months. 16%, 1 in 6, of the COVID-19 deaths around the world over the last 2-1/2 years are in the United States (1.063/6.46). For the first year of the pandemic, it was 1 in 5 deaths, but the statistic improved to 1 in 6 after vaccinations were available. The 1 in 6 death stat, however, has not improved for the last year; this is likely where it will stay. The US reports only 39K cases for Monday a great sight even if revisions bump it a bit higher. It's Wonderful! Wonderful! as only Johnny can sing. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is at 73K cases per day continuing the downward bias. Wave 7 is getting run out of town. US deaths are averaging 300 souls per day, slipping below 3 hundo, but it is too early to know if a downward bias will develop. It should since daily new cases are dropping for over 3 weeks and deaths lag daily cases by 3 or 4 weeks. If the Paxlovid is finally getting to the poor, disabled, disadvantaged and less educated folks, the death rate should drop now. It is shameful that Sleepy Joe Biden could not improve the US COVID-19 death rate for 4 months running since he is distracted on other matters such as the inflation problem created by his misguided climate change agenda. How come the wealthy and well-connected are not dying from covid but the poor are? It is a Biden failure. He was hired to handle the pandemic mess left behind from King Donnie Trump but the bodies keep stacking up at the morgue 31 months into the Wuhan nightmare. Texas reports 9K daily new cases yesterday a welcome sight since the cases have remained stubbornly high in recent days. The covid path ahead continues to brighten for the United States and the world but the death counts need to come down.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 8/17/22: CDC Director Dr Walensky announces a review and reorganization after admitting to failures during the pandemic. Walensky proclaims, "We made some pretty public mistakes and must own them." Note that she does not say "I" but does say "we." She goes for the collective blame game but if there was credit to take it would have been 'I' and 'me' all the way. It is good news tht the CDC is announcing its failures. Like AA (Alcoholics Anonymous), the first step to recovery is admitting that there is a problem. Now things can be fixed. Walensky announces two noble goals; one, focusing on sharing data more quickly and two, making public health guidance easier to follow. The data and charting definitely needs an overall with new technology that can update charts in near real-time. Of course, lots of coordination will be needed between the CDC and hospitals, clinics, healthcare providers, counties and states. Keep the main charts simple like Worldmeter with daily new cases, cumulative (total) cases, active cases, daily new deaths and cumulative (total) deaths. Nothing fancy, only the exact data and charts you need to accurate predict infection wave behavior. Use 3-day and 7-day MA trend lines in the calculations for the daily new cases and deaths charts since it will match Worldometer's data that you can go back to in the future when forecasting future waves and virus behavior. A rules-based call on wave formations may be possible such as a period of 14 days of rising infections, or 15 out of 17 days with rising cases, or whatever the review of past data averages out to for a reliable predictive tool, and make sure all 7 US waves would have been identified by the rule. During the first 1-1/2 years of the pandemic some, such as Lord Fauci, would say there were 3 waves, some say 4, and after that no one ever mentioned a wave count again because there wasn't any universal agreement on the number of waves. People have different wave counts because there is no standard at play, and there isn't a main person in charge that decrees wave numbers, but Keystone knows mathematics, waves and charts, Mandelbrot would be proud, and the US had 7 waves during the pandemic thus far. Seven is the decree. Let it be said, let it be written, let it be done. Walensky, in the understatement of the century, opines, "Our performance did not reliably meet expectations." Ya think? "My goal is a new public health action-oriented culture at CDC that emphasizes accountability, collaboration, communication, and timeliness." She lost Keystone at collaboration. Those are four ten-dollar college words and not the way to talk to employees let alone the public. All copy directed at the pubic should be written so that a child in the fifth grade can understand what you are saying. This will reach the maximum amount of Americans with your message (an old writer's trick). Millions of Americans do not have fancy degrees but they are smart and if concepts are explained in simple digestible chunks, they will understand. Walensky's plan sounds like a lot more bureaucracy with committees and meetings. Change had to come but the new boss sounds like the old boss, as the Who would sing. Streamline the management and repetitive tasks garbage which means you have to sh*t-can workers. Walensky starts with two great goals but after that it sounds like committees and eggheads will sit in conference rooms discussing their café lattes. Good luck to the CDC since they recognize their shortcomings during the pandemic and are at least trying to right the ship. It is interesting that the guidance is now the same for both vaccinated and unvaccinated folks when exposed to COVID-19. Both groups do not have to isolate but should mask-up for 10 days.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 8/18/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Japan's daily new and active cases charts have both peaked and are curling over to the downside so fingers are crossed that the worst is over but conditions remain bad with daily cases at 190K per day. Every few days, 1% of Japan's population becomes infected with COVID-19 and the craziness is ongoing for 6 weeks. Damn. Japan reports 284 deaths from China Virus yesterday the deadliest day of the pandemic. It is a sad day for the island nation. No wonder the global death rate remains elevated at 2.1K bodies per day. Each day, 14%, or 1 in 7 covid deaths in the world are occurring in Japan. South Korea remains challenge but cases are trying to flatten-out at 120K per day. Russia's infection wave continues higher at 28K cases per day and the total COVID-19 cases cross the 19 million milestone a millstone around Putin's neck. Poland reports 7.2K daily new cases yesterday the most since March. Lithuania reports 2.3K cases yesterday a big pop higher for the small nation. BA5 is looking for hosts in eastern Europe, western Asia and Russia.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 8/18/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The UNITED STATES CROSSES THE 95 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES MILESTONE WITH OVER 1.064 MILLION AMERICANS DEAD. The US reports 75K daily new cases for Tuesday and Monday's cases are at 54K great numbers that keep the downside party going. The 7-day MA for US daily cases is at 82K cases per day continuing the downward bias. Texas cases are subdued this week in the 6K to 9K per day range far better than those sticky numbers over 13K cases per day. America is fighting back against wave 7 sending the daily new and active cases lower but US deaths remain shamefully above 300 souls per day.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 8/18/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Cizzle Biotechnology in the UK announces successful drug trials for its treatment handling diabetic patients with COVID-19. Cizzle stock sizzles +15% higher. The US FDA is creating controversy as it reviews the COVID-19 booster shot data for the Fall. The FDA wants to use studies on mice instead of humans to base their important booster shot decisions. This is going to go over like a lead balloon with the public that already distrusts the medical authorities for the botched handling of the pandemic under the two incompetent boobs; clown Trump and bozo Biden. You can already hear the jokes about Three Blind Mice testing three blind mice. The alchemists are working overtime developing new covid concoctions that they can inject into bodies before Halloween. A study in JAMA Network says 56% of the people with omicron do not even know they have it (asymptomatic). The paper states that the low level of infection awareness may contribute to the rapid spread of the omicron strains.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 8/18/22, at 1:00 PM EST: The monkeypox outbreak worsens with 35K cases worldwide in 95 countries (one-half the nations on earth). Most of the case are in Europe and the Americas with gay blades dancing the night away to a hard-driving techno-beat; bomp, bomp, bomp. There are over 13.5K monkeypox cases in the United States. That is a lot of gay men humping each other's rumps spreading the virus through close skin contact. Medical officials send extra vaccine to upcoming gay pride events. Why don't the medical folks tell the gay guys to stay home for 2 weeks and take cold showers? Instead, boxes of vaccine are ready to go for attendees of the gay pride events. Some of the gays will get poked in the arm in addition to elsewhere. Why aren't events postponed in the middle of the monkeypox outbreak? A man in the UK contracted monkeypox from dancing in a crowd at an outdoor gay pride event. Duh. People must help themselves. If they are unwilling, and instead want to party and grind, monkeypox be damned, there is no need to feel sorry for them when the pus-filled sores begin popping up on their arms, chest, neck and face.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 8/18/22, at 3:00 PM EST: Schools and universities are ready to call back students so of course there is widescale mass mask confusion. The mask rules are all over the map. Some require masks, some don't. Some say kids over 18 years old at colleges do not need masks but young children should wear masks (even though kids are eligible for vaccinations). It is a mess. Rutgers and Stanford prove to the United States and world that they are little b*tches planning to maintain mask mandates. Philadelphia schools want children to wear masks; it is child abuse. The Biden administration has a chokehold on most schools and colleges since Sleepy Joe will attempt to withhold funding to these institutions if they do not comply with his Federal edicts on COVID-19 masks, vaccines and other protocols. Dr Fauci is interviewed on MSNBC cable news (democrat-controlled media) and comments on the CDC's proposed reorganization. He is optimistic that the CDC will make "a good organization better." Fauci says the CDC can handle the situation and should be commended for owning up to mistakes. Fauci proclaims, "We still have a considerable problem with BA5." He hawks the vaccines and boosters and says people with one or two booster shots fare better than the unvaccinated folks. That is true, but not by that much greater effectiveness, and the reason Fauci did not mention someone with one or two shots and no boosters is because an unvaccinated person has the same protection as the folks vaccinated with 2 shots. This is why Fauci, Walensky and Jha keep encouraging people that did not receive a booster shot to do so immediately (because, as a recent study show, there is no discernable difference in outcomes from the early omicron strains if a person is vaccinated with 1 or 2 shots or unvaccinated). In addition a new study refutes what Fauci said because the folks with an adverse outcome (death) are those that are vaccinated and boosted although the data is small numbers.
Note Added Thursday Evening, 8/18/22, at 7:00 PM EST: CNN (liberal media) runs a story on the COVID-19 pandemic displaying the CDC Community Transmission map but instead of the green, yellow and orange colors for low medium and high infection risk, the network alters the map to show the colors white, orange and red. No wonder people are confused. Comically, the orange on the CNN map is medium risk but on the CDC map is high risk. American mediocrity is on full display daily. CNN should use the same colors as the CDC map and if that is not possible due to the pixels and graphics packages, change the colors but place a note on the map in bold letters that the colors were changed. The CDC colors should be green, yellow and red, like a streetlight, since that will register better in people's heads. The pastel orange color should be changed to pastel rose or pastel red such as PMS 190 or PMS 197. Instagram and Facebook, the great arbiters of truth in today's society (said cynically), suspend Robert Kennedy Jr's anti-vaccine group labeling the messages as COVID-19 misinformation. Paging George Orwell. Paging George Orwell. People may disagree with Kennedy but he should have the right to speak his mind and perhaps some of his unique thoughts may have merit. Authoritarian Biden is crushing Robert Kennedy Jr because Joe is pursuing the vaccine only strategy and rubs anyone out that is unwilling to tout the vaccine line. A couple more vaccinated NFL (American football) players contract COVID-19 and will miss a game or two. First Lady Jill continues testing positive for COVID-19 remaining in isolation. She continues experiencing mild symptoms.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/19/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases continue moving slowly lower at 726K cases per day no doubt stalled by the ongoing outbreaks in Japan, South Korea and the US. Japan's cases have peaked but the deaths tag 300 yesterday the deadliest day of the pandemic. Japanese nursing homes are carting dead bodies out the back door each day. Bring out your dead. Oh no. South Korea reports 181K daily new cases yesterday a big spike higher the most in 4 months and the total China Virus cases cross the 22 million milestone. South Korea must not be taking the outbreak as seriously as they should. 53 South Koreans die from COVID-19 yesterday with the death rate ramping higher. Boom. Russia reports 33K daily new cases yesterday now into a 3-handle with a 4-handle likely coming. The 7-day MA for Russia's daily cases is over 29K per day heading higher. Where's Putin? He is busy killing Ukrainians. China's China Virus problems continue. The outbreak on the resort island of Hainan continues. Dirtbag Dictator Xi's zero-covid strategy is out of hand with the CCP demanding people test not only themselves but any goods or other things they contact. Thus, fisherman are testing fish for covid. As ridiculous as it sounds, it is true. Xi the communist idiot and his zero-covid policies are a laughing stock on social internet. Testing fish for COVID-19? That's funny, and absurd.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/19/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports 98K daily new cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA continues lower at 82K cases per day. Over 300 Americans continue dying from covid each day as the CDC plans new carpets and drapes for its offices. The United States continues improving and pushing wave 7 lower but at a slow pace.
Note Added Friday Morning, 8/19/22, at 7:00 AM EST: A big LGBTQ event, the Bourbon Street Extravaganza, is cancelled due to monkeypox. Good on them. The event in New Orleans would draw thousands of people. The gay community is stepping-up to handle the monkeypox challenge. Hopefully, more vaccine can be distributed faster to tamp down the spread. There are 14,110 monkeypox cases in the United States.
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