Sunday, August 30, 2015

SPX S&P 500 Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 8/31/15

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SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 8/31/15. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R. The SPX all-time intraday high is 2134.72 on 5/20/15 and the SPX all-time closing high is 2130.82 on 5/21/15. The intraday low for this year is 1867.01 on 8/24/15. The closing low for this year is 1867.61 on 8/25/15.

For Monday with the SPX starting at 1989, the bulls need to push above 1993 to send price to 2000+ in quick order. The bears need to push under 1975 to accelerate the downside. A move through 1976-1993 is sideways action to begin the week. S&P futures are donw over -20 points as this is typed on Sunday evening in the States so the bears want to make a run at the lower band.

An elevated VIX, and elevated CPC and CPCE put/call ratio’s forecasted the tradeable market bottom mid-week last week which occurred and stocks may want to head higher (despite the lower futures) until complacency occurs again with the CPC and CPCE printing lower.

Stocks fell like a stone last week then staged a strong recovery. For the bulls, the 1993 needs to be taken out and 1998 will occur quickly then 2002. The SPX parked itself for the weekend just above the 1985-1988 gauntlet of support. If the S&P futures remains weak overnight, 1978 is the first support test, then 1973-1975 then 1964-1965. Price will bounce or die from these levels if they are tested.

August ends today and began at 2104 so the month will print negative. Wall Street analysts have been calling for the SPX to print above 2200 and many say over 2300 this year which is now a 300-handle and more gain needed in only four months. The analysts will likely begin marking their predictions lower but some may let the bullish forecast ride since Fed Chair Yellen may delay the first rate hike into 2016 which would likely rally the stock market. The Fed rate decision is Thursday, 9/17/15 approaching quickly.

Looking at the big picture the strongest S/R is 2061, 2056, 2046, 2040, 2032, 2019, 2011, 2002, 1998, 1993, 1985-1988, 1978, 1973, 1964-1965, 1951, 1942 and 1924-1928.

2135 (5/20/15 All-Time Intraday High: 2134.72)
2133 (7/20/15 Intraday High 2132.82)
2131 (5/21/15 All-Time Closing High: 2130.82)
2130 (6/22/15 Intraday High 2129.87)
2129
2128 (7/20/15 Closing High 2128.28)
2126 (4/27/15 Intraday High: 2125.92)
2124 (6/23/15 closing High: 2124.20)
2123
2121 (4/24/15 Intraday High: 2120.92)
2120 (2/25/15 Intraday High: 2119.59)
2118 (4/24/15 Closing High: 2117.69)
2117 (3/2/15 Closing High: 2117.39)
2114
2110
2109
2108
2107
2105
2104
2103.84 August Begins Here
2103
2102
2100
2099
2097
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2093
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089.86 (100-day MA)
2089
2088.51 (20-week MA)
2086
2084.81 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2084
2081
2080
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075.41 (200-day MA)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2074.53 (50-day MA)
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2064.26 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
2063
2061
2058.92 (50-week MA)
2058.90 Trading for 2015 Begins Here
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2053
2052.74 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2050
2049
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2043.25 (20-day MA)
2042.33 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2041
2040
2038
2034
2032
2030
2024
2023
2021
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2018
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
2001
1999
1998
1997
1995
1993.48 Previous Week’s High
1993.48 Friday HOD
1993 (1/15/15 Closing Low: 1992.67)
1992.45 (20-month MA)
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1988.87 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1983
1982
1981 (2/2/15 Intraday Low: 1980.90)
1979
1978
1976
1975.19 Friday LOD
1974
1973
1971
1970
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1962.72 (100-week MA)
1962
1961
1960
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1949
1947
1946
1942
1940
1937
1936
1931
1928
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1912
1910
1906
1902 (5/13/14 Intraday Top: 1902.17)
1901
1897 (5/13/14 Closing High: 1897.45) (4/4/14 Intraday Top: 1897.28)
1896
1891 (4/2/14 Closing High: 1890.90)
1889
1886
1885
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1882
1880
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1874
1873
1872
1871
1868 (8/25/15 Closing Low for 2015: 1867.61)
1867.01 Previous Week’s Low
1867 (8/24/15 Intraday Low for 2015: 1867.01)
1865
1862
1859
1855

1853

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