Sunday, December 21, 2014

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 12/22/14

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 12/22/14. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R. The SPX all-time intraday high is 2079.47 on 12/5/14 and the SPX all-time closing high is 2075.37 on 12/5/14. The bulls move the SPX into the all-time high range last week but could not create a new all-time intraday high and could not create a new all-time closing high only a whisker away.

For Monday with the SPX starting at 2071, the bulls need to touch the 2078 handle and a strong upside acceleration will occur well into the 2080’s. The bears need to push the SPX under 2061 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2062-2077 is sideways action to begin the week.

Traders quickly turn complacent after Fed Chair Yellen provided more dovish talk last week to boost the stock market. Long traders universally expect the bullish December seasonality to kick in with a strong finish to the end of the year; the boat is fully loaded on the bull side. The previous CPC put/call ratio chart, however, verifies the complacency in place which typically identifies a near-term top. The SPX moved through an astonishing 106-handle range last week from 1972-2078.

Price should back kiss the 20-day MA at 2049 and rising. The 2040 is extremely strong support/resistance, now support, and price blew up through on the Yellen goose. It would be prudent for 2040 to be back tested as well as the December starting number at 2068. Price will also need to back test the 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart at 2034. This creates a landing zone at 2034-2040 for an important bounce or die decision.

Monday will begin with high drama as the bulls are a stone’s throw away from new all-time historic highs. The 2073, 2075-2076, 2078 and 2079 levels all offer strong resistance. On the down side, the 2065-2068 level is strong support, then 2061 then 2057.

2079 (12/5/14 All-Time Intraday High: 2079.47) (12/5/14 Intraday High for 2014: 2079.47)
2077.85 Previous Week’s High
2077.85 Friday HOD
2077
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075 (12/5/14 All-Time Closing High: 2075.37) (12/5/14 Closing High for 2014: 2075.37)
2074
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2070.65 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
2070
2069
2067.56 December Begins Here
2067
2065
2061.03 Friday LOD
2060
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2054
2052
2051
2049
2048.65 (20-day MA)
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2041
2040
2039
2038
2035
2034
2033.70 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2032
2030
2024
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2018
2016
2014
2012
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2009
2007.59 (50-day MA)
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2004
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
2001
1999
1998
1997.97 (20-week MA)
1997
1995
1993
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1990.17 (100-day MA)
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1983
1982
1979
1978
1977.35 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
1976
1973
1972.56 Previous Week’s Low
1970.27 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
1970
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1962
1961
1960
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1950.02 (200-day MA)
1949
1947
1945.39 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
1942
1940
1937
1936
1931
1930.06 (50-week MA)
1928
1925
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1912
1910
1906
1902 (5/13/14 Intraday Top: 1902.17)
1901
1897 (5/13/14 Closing High: 1897.45) (4/4/14 Intraday Top: 1897.28)
1894
1891 (4/2/14 Closing High: 1890.90)
1889
1886
1885
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1882
1880
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1874
1873
1872
1871
1868
1867
1865
1862
1859
1855
1853
1852
1851 (1/15/14 Intraday Top: 1850.84)
1849 (12/31/13 Intraday High Top for 2013: 1849.44)
1848.36 Trading for 2014 Begins Here
1848 (1/15/14 Closing High: 1848.38) (12/31/13 Closing High for 2013: 1848.36)
1846
1845
1843
1842
1841
1840
1839
1838

1837

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