Sunday, December 24, 2017

Template for 2018 Market Predictions

Here is a template for anyone interested in recording your own predictions for 2018. The task is useful in developing your forecasting ability over the intermediate and longer term and will provide comic relief come December 2018. It is very difficult to forecast the markets and economy 12 months in advance which is all part of the fun.

Bet against someone else to see who has bragging rights at the end of next year. Of course, revise the list to add or delete market parameters of interest. Closing Prices are for end of year 12/31/18. The Price Range is the high and low during 2018.

Keystone will assess the successes and failures on the 2017 Predictions over the coming days and also post his 2018 Predictions in the days ahead. The power of the central bankers is unstoppable for the last nine years; it is epic and remarkable. All the ticker symbols can be typed into stockcharts.com to view the charts.

2018 Broad Market Predictions
SPX High for 2018:
SPX Closing Price for 2018:
SPX Low for 2018:

Dollar Range ($USD):  
Dollar Closing Price ($USD):
Dollar/Yen Range (USD/JPY):
Dollar/Yen Closing Price (USD/JPY):
Euro Range ($XEU):
Euro Closing Price ($XEU):   
    
2-Year Note Yield Range ($UST2Y):
2-Year Note Closing Yield ($UST2Y):  
10-Year Note Yield Range ($TNX):
10-Year Note Closing Yield ($TNX):  
2-10 Spread at End of Year:
30-Year Note Yield Range ($TYX):
30-Year Note Closing Yield ($TYX):  
Will Yield Curve Flatten or Steepen?

Unemployment Rate % Range: 
Unemployment Rate % December 2018:
GDP Average for 2018: 

WTIC Oil Range ($WTIC):
WTIC Oil Closing Price ($WTIC):
Brent Oil Range:
Brent Oil Closing Price:
Natty Gas Range ($NATGAS):
Natty Gas Closing Price ($NATGAS):

Gold Range ($GOLD): 
Gold Closing Price ($GOLD): 
Silver Range ($SILVER): 
Silver Closing Price ($SILVER): 
Copper Range ($COPPER):
Copper Closing Price ($COPPER): 
Commodities Range ($CRB): 
Commodities Closing Price ($CRB):  

China Growth Rate % Average for 2018:

2018 Sector Predictions
Technology Sector (XLK) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Semiconductor Sector (XSD, SOX, SMH) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Financials Sector (XLF or KRE) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Semiconductors (SOS or SMH or XSD) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Technology Sector (XLK) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Airline Sector (XAL) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Energy Sector (XLE) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Industrials Sector (XLI) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Materials Sector (XLB) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Transportation Sector (TRAN or IYT) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Retail Sector (XRT or RTH) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Consumer Staples Sector (XLP) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Consumer Discretionary Sector (XLY) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Homebuilders (XHB) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Home Construction Sector (ITB) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Real Estate Sector (XLRE) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Utilities Sector (UTIL or XLU) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Health Care Sector (XLV) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Biotech Sector (IBB or XBI) Higher or Lower in 2018?
Telecom Sector (Pick one VOX, XTL or IYZ) Higher or Lower in 2018?

2018 Predictions for the 21 Multi-Year Bull Market Leaders
AAPL (Apple) Higher or Lower in 2018?
AMZN (Amazon) Higher or Lower in 2018?
AVGO (Broadcom) Higher or Lower in 2018?
BA (Boeing) Higher or Lower in 2018?
CELG (Celgene) Higher or Lower in 2018?
CRM (Salesforce) Higher or Lower in 2018?
FB (Facebook) Higher or Lower in 2018?
GE (General Electric) Higher or Lower in 2018?
GOOGL (Google) Higher or Lower in 2018?
HD (Home Depot) Higher or Lower in 2018?
MA (MasterCard) Higher or Lower in 2018?
MSFT (Microsoft) Higher or Lower in 2018?
NFLX (Netflix) Higher or Lower in 2018?
NKE (Nike) Higher or Lower in 2018?
NVDA (NVIDIA) Higher or Lower in 2018?
PCLN (Priceline) Higher or Lower in 2018?
RTN (Raytheon) Higher or Lower in 2018?
SBUX (Starbucks) Higher or Lower in 2018?
ULTA (Ulta Beauty) Higher or Lower in 2018?
UAA (Under Armour) Higher or Lower in 2018?
V (Visa) Higher or Lower in 2018?

List Further 2018 Prognostications Below:
List domestic and global economic and political forecasts below.

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