Monday, February 21, 2011

Keystone's Key Dates Moving Forward

1.      Europe Crisis Continues:  Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain, the PIIGS.  Italy has close business ties to Libya which may expose Italy’s bad paper.
2.      China Property Bubble and China Contagion:  When it pops, anytime now, it sure will be a sight.
3.      PBOC, China Rate Hikes:  First hike 10/19/10, 25 bips; second hike Christmas 12/25/10, 25 bips; third hike on 2/8/11.  Expect the hikes to continue.
4.      India, Brazil and other Emerging Market Rate Hikes:  Same effects as China rate hikes, commodities sell off.
5.      Wiki Leaks:  Bank or other surprises?
6.      State and Muni Crisis:  Muni’s should experience pain first.  Many State budgets turn over in June and July.
7.      Japan Intervention:  Japan intervention in the dollar/yen may occur anytime.
8.      Geopolitical and Major Negative News Events; Middle East:  Perhaps Korea or others such as the key to the Middle East troubles, Bahrain.  Dollar bullish and equity bearish.  Gold bulish.
9.      POMO Pumps:  QE2 market pumps from 10:15 AM to 11 AM each day.  Market bullish.
10.  Congress in Session:  Market bearish, when not in session, market bullish.
11.  2/17/11:  Major Bradley Turn date, turn window is open thru Thursday, 2/24/11.
12.  2/22/11:  Consumer Confidence data, 10 AM.
13.  2/25/11:  University of Michigan Sentiment data, 10 AM.
14.  2/25/11:  Ireland Elections.  Euro down=dollar up=equities down and visa versa.
15.  3/3/11:  Budget Crisis Deadline, government shutdown?
16.  3/3/11 as a historic rhyme of 3/3/33:  Banks were closed March 3, 1933.  33 and 13 Masonic numbers.  Simply an interesting set of numbers.
17.  3/4/11:  Jobs Report Friday, 8:30 AM.
18.  3/15/11, FOMC one-day meeting, should be market buoyant.
19.  3/24/11 and 3/25/11:  EU Council Meeting.
20.  4/26/11 and 4/27/11: FOMC two-day meeting, QE3 announcement?  FOMC meetings are typically market bullish especially second day.
21.  5/1/11 and on:  California financial decisions.  Will these decisions spook the country?
22.  5/15/11: Eclipse Sell-off Technique targets this time frame as a potential large market selloff area.
23.  June 2011:  EU Bank Stress Test Results.
24.  June 2011:  QE2 Ends.
25.  6/15/11:  Bradley Turn date.
26.  6/22/11:  Bradley turn date.
27.  7/15/11: Eclipse Sell-off Technique targets this time frame as a potential large market selloff area.
28.  7/29/11 and 7/30/11:  Major Bradley Turn date.

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