Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish but Stock Market Remains a Coin-Flip

Keystone's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips to the long side on Friday at SPX 5736. Copper and commodities goosed the stock market early Friday but both lost their gains turning bearish as the session played out and the quant already wants to flip short again. The bears need an 8-point pullback in the SPX to flip the model back to the short side. Watch copper because as copper goes, so goes the stock market.

Keybot the Quant

US Treasuries Yield Curve Losing the Dip in the Belly

Something interesting happened yesterday and no one noticed. The 5-year yield moved above the 2-year yield lifting the belly of the curve up towards normalcy. The yield curve must be on a diet since it is losing its belly. Time for a belly dance in Dubai. 3-year yield remains below the 2-year by only 2 bips so that would be expected to adjust next.

The rates are listed on the chart. The 20-year yield is a newer oddball trying to attract money with a higher rate. The heart of the US yield curve is the 2-5-10-30 curve that has now returned to normalcy. The bond gurus will have to figure out what the return to normalcy means as a US recession remains on a milk carton (missing).

The Godot Recession remains in place in the United States. There are ongoing recessions in the US housing market, manufacturing sector, and labor market, for over a year, which would typically guarantee an overall US recession, but alas, the US recession continues to party with Godot and not show up. Go figure. Something's got to give at some point. Is the election the catalyst everyone is waiting for?

The obscene money-printing by the Federal Reserve since 2009, and the mountains of additional fiscal stimulus pumped into the economy by Congress during the pandemic, have sent the stock market to the stratosphere, making America's wealthy class filthy rich beyond their dreams. Too bad that one-half of the country does not own a single share of stock. Such is the crony capitalism system; be glad it is in its last throes.

The non-stop consumer spending by the elite wealthy class, and the upper middle class sycophants that service the privileged class daily, prevent the overall US recession from appearing. However, think about it, how many $9K refrigerators, $15K vacation trips, and $100K new cars can you buy even if you are filthy rich? This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 7:15 AM EST: Donald Trump wins reelection as the 47th POTUS. Yields catapult higher with the normalization clearly in place. The yields are; 2-year 4.28%, 5-year 4.31%, 10-year 4.47%, 30-year 4.66%. The 2-10 spread is 19 bips.

UST10Y US 10-Year Note Yield Daily and Weekly Chart; Daily Time Frame Topped-Out with Neggie D; Weekly Time Frame Wants Another Higher High

The Treasury yields are all the rage nowadays. The US 10-year yield chart above is catapulting to the moon which is another market oddity since Pope Powell just cut rates by 50 bips. Are yields climbing because people think the economy is growing and will expand going forward, or, are traders worrying about the US debt and realizing that America's crony capitalism system in in its last throes? The US presidential election creates additional drama.

Keystone called the bottom in the 10-year yield in September. It was easy. The green lines show the falling wedge pattern that is bullish. The lower band was violated so a move higher to the middle band, at a minimum, was on the table and voila, it occurs, then yield tags the top band all the way up. The green lines show positive divergence across all chart indicators so yield was on the launch pad ready for a possie d rocket ride higher. The RSI and stochastics are oversold agreeable to a bounce. Boom. The ignition occurs and yield takes off higher on the possie d fuel. It's not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket science.

So the next question is where is the top. On the daily chart, it is today. Note how yield came up to 4.34% and when it did, the red lines show all the chart indicators in negative divergence. She's out of gas. Since there is no longer any chart indicator fuel to take yield higher, it will receive a neggie d spankdown.

The upper band is violated so a trip back to the middle band at 4.08% and rising is on the table. The 200-day MA at 4.18 is sturdy support for yield and note that if yield continues lower, and the middle band higher, there may be a confluence setting up around 4.18%. This may be the downside target for the multi-day weakness ahead.

Remember, technical trading is playing multi-dimensional chess only time is the dimension not vertical space. Whazzat? The daily chart above is cooked as shown by the rising red wedge, upper band violation, overbot conditions and neggie d. That means yields are done going up. You would be an idiot to say that. First of all, you should never provide a forecast unless it has a time component attached. That way, you cannot weasel out of a bad call.

Yes, the daily chart above for the 10-year yield is cooked; stick a fork in it. However, look at the weekly chart; it is not in neggie d. What does that mean? What do you think? It means that yield still has legs to move higher on the weekly basis after the weakness and neggie d spankdown plays out on the daily basis.

Taking a look at the weekly chart, yield is moving higher but the ROC is neggie d. Also, the stochastics are overbot agreeable to a pullback. Thus, mathematicians say thus a lot, that is why we are always the life of the party, thus, these two parameters on the weekly chart will conspire with the universal weakness on the daily chart to send yields lower for multiple days, perhaps a week or two, or even a month (possie d on the daily chart will tell you when a future bottom occurs like Aug-Sept so there is no need to guess), but once that is played out, the weekly chart wants to see another matching or higher high in yield due to the long and strong RSI, histogram, MACD and stochastics.

The RSI and histo are flattening out so they should set up with neggie d over the coming days, but the MACD may need a couple weeks to set up with neggie d and call the top on the weekly basis. Mixing all this together, yield should move lower for a few days or week or two but come back up for more highs again a couple weeks out. The significant top in the 10-year yield will likely occur in November and then a multi-week down move in yields will begin. You do not have to guess; simply watch the charts.

The 50-wk MA is 4.17% another data point in the confluence area of 4.18%. A multi-day pullback is on tap perhaps taking yields down to 4.18%-ish, then come back up because the weekly chart is long and strong. At that time, if the weekly chart is neggie d across all chart indicators, the multi-week top for the 10-year yield will be in place. Keystone is not playing any Treasuries or derivatives long or short currently in this arena. AC/DC played a lot of arenas and, like the bond traders, and Angus, are Thunderstruck at the up in yields. This information is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not invest based on anything you read or view here. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.

2024 United States Presidential Election Roadmap and Predictions for Election Day 11/5/24; Former President Trump (Republican) Versus Vice President Kamala Harris (Democrat); Right Track/Wrong Track Predictor; Polls Say Inflation/Economy, Border Crisis/Safety and Abortion Are Key Issues but the Election is a Referendum on Trump; Political Yard Signs in Pennsylvania; Year of the Woman or Year of Machismo? First Female President? Kill Tony Comedian at Trump Rally Calls Puerto Rico an 'Island of Floating Garbage' Creating Election Drama; President Biden Says Trump Supporters Are 'Garbage' a Major Gaff Requiring Clean-Up by Harris Campaign; Trump Verbally Attacks Liz Cheney with Violent Rhetoric; Harris Surrogate Billionaire Mark Cuban Creates Controversy Saying Trump Does Not Surround Himself with Smart Women; DONALD TRUMP WINS ELECTORAL COLLEGE AND POPULAR VOTE BECOMING 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES; Economy Is Top Issue Creating the Trump Victory

By K E Stone (Keystone)

It is that time again. The silly season when corrupt republicans and democrats lie to the American people to get votes. Such is America’s crony capitalism system. As of this writing, nine days before the election (and this article will provide updates through the 11/5/24 election decision), the republicans are strutting around with their chests puffed-out believing that the late momentum is swinging in King Donnie’s favor. The democrats are gloomy thinking that their election hopes may be slipping away.

The political and betting polls are cited by republicans proclaiming that the election may be a red sweep (Trump wins the presidency, and the republicans take control of the Senate and maintain control of the House). The red wave talk was not successful in the 2022 mid-term elections with abortion and competency the two key issues.

Polling/Right Track/Wrong Track Poll

The euphoric talk for Trump reaches frenzy as political commentator Mark Halperin, that sometimes appears on Newsmax (republican-run media), says the polls are skewing towards Trump in a notable way and the initial turnout for the early voting states show a huge increase in republican participation. One of the reasons Donnie lost the 2020 election was his dumbass proclamation that all republicans should wait until the day of the election to vote and not use mail-in voting even though, comically, that is the way he votes. The betting sites show Trump with a 59% chance of winning the election so the republicans are asking to visit the Whitehouse so they can measure the drapes.

Take a deep breath. Trafalgar Group shows Trump with a one to three percentage-point advantage over Harris nationally and in the seven battleground states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia). This would be expected since Trafalgar makes a big deal about the undercounting of Trump votes in polls.

Other polls and a grouping of all the polls show Harris with a slight edge but mainly due to a Quinnipiac poll that weighted the average. If you add one to three percentage-points to the polls to account for any Trump undercounting, you arrive at the Trafalgar numbers. Keep in mind, however, Trafalgar may be the pollster that is wrong.

A potential problem with the polls is the distribution of participants. Pollsters are typically canvassing about 35% republicans, 35% democrats and 30% independents. The polling numbers would be more useful if about 30% republicans, 30% democrats and 40% independents are polled or as mentioned below in the latest statistics, 25% republicans, 25% democrats and 50% independents. Trump has his base supporters that show up at the adoration rallies donning red, white and blue colors, and they will vote for the orange head no matter what. Call that 30% of the vote.

Ditto on the democrat side. Their solid base is 30% of the vote so 60% of the vote is accounted for and it is a tie contest. If 15% of the independents are peeled off for Trump and 15% for Harris, a tie remains at 45% each. That 10% of independents in the middle, many probably remain undecided, will pick the next POTUS. The rest of the votes are just noise. Do you think any of the polls reflect that core 10% of independent voters? Probably not. Those independent voters are the only ones that matter.

On the early robust republican turnout, that is nice to see for the Trumpsters, but they only have one vote. That means they will not vote on Election Day. Duh. The republicans have made a big deal about early voting because they saw in the prior elections how democrats jump out to big leads as vote are tallied and it is hard to make-up that deficit as the voting continues. Republicans are probably getting excited about nothing since the same amount of people will vote regardless of when. What will likely be discovered is that voting early does not have an impact and will serve to shoot down the conspiracy theory stuff about the 2020 election.

On the betting parlors, some folks surmise that the main reason the odds are skewing big in King Donnie’s favor is due to a whale with its thumb on the scale. In stock trading, a trader with big money can influence a stock price by simply buying and selling the equity; these large players that own boatloads of shares are called, “whales.” Thus, it is likely that there are one or a few whales in the betting parlor social internet sites placing big money on Trump which is driving up his chances of election so be skeptical of the numbers. The 59% number above may simply mean that people with a lot of money placed wagers on Donnie to make it look like his momo was increasing.

Now that the polls are properly dissed, let us talk about the grandaddy poll, the one that does matter, the one that has street cred; right track/wrong track. The right track/wrong track poll is the top predictor of election outcomes. If Americans feel the country is on the wrong track, the incumbent is booted from office. Conversely, if the nation feels things are okay and on the right track, the incumbent wins another term. Simple, isn’t it? And very accurate. But this time is different.

In the 2016 presidential election, with President Obama finishing his eight-year stint, Americans thought the country was on the wrong track. Typically, this poll is split with two-thirds on one side and one-third on the other side. Donnie Trump defeated Hillary Clinton because people thought the country was on the wrong track. Clinton got painted with the Obama brush.

In the 2020 election, with President Trump trying to win reelection, two-thirds of Americans thought the country was on the wrong track and only one-third thought Donnie was doing a good job. Trump mishandled the COVID-19 pandemic because he was more concerned about getting reelected. Trump was booted from office because he was on the wrong track and Joe Biden took control.

In 2024, with the election only days away and President Biden the incumbent, two-thirds of Americans feel the nation is on the wrong track. It is the kiss of death for Biden; however, Sleepy Joe is not running because he was forced out. Will Kamala Harris be painted with the negative right track/wrong track Biden brush?

It is different this time because only four years ago, Americans said King Donnie was on the wrong track. How does that impact this tried-and-true indicator? Biden is not running so the negativity may rub off on Harris, or maybe it will not. The wrong track would have booted Biden from office so the democrats at least give themselves a chance by tossing him off the campaign bus. If Haris wants elected, however, Cackling Kamala must tell Americans that she wants to put the country on the right track going forward and explain how to do it. Otherwise, the wrong track poll will slap her silly.

Republicans try to blame Harris for all of Biden’s foibles but much of this rhetoric falls on deaf ears. Americans know that the vice president must cheerlead the president’s decisions and directives even if they differ from the veep’s views. The only function of the vice president is to smell the president’s farts for four years. If something should happen to the top dog, the vice president becomes the president, so they would say that the fart-smelling was worth it.

The jury is out on the right track/wrong track poll. If we simply follow the predictor, Trump will win hands down, no problemmo. However, Harris may be viewed as the candidate of change since Trump and Biden have both had the top job but the vice president has not. The wrong track doomed Hillary Clinton but she was a polarizing figure, had a long political record for folks to assess, and many people did not like her divisive, sneaky and lazy personality. Much about Harris remains unknown which may help her election prospects.

Keystone’s Previous Election Articles

Before we get deeper into the political weeds, Keystone provides a couple of links to the two prior election articles he wrote in 2020 and 2022 if you want to relive those elections in all their glorious details. The articles can provide lots of clues on what may happen on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. Election Day is always the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November.

Trump was defeated by Biden in 2020 but Donnie would not concede the election so his legacy is a whining, crybaby sore-loser. King CryBaby. Trump lost because he ran a poor campaign spending too much time at his adoration rallies instead of trying to win new voters. His disastrous handling of the pandemic sealed his fate. To Donnie’s credit this time around, he is doing more small events at eateries, barber shops and other venues where common Americans congregate.

In the 2022 mid-term elections, abortion was the key issue after Trump inserted three conservative judges into the US Supreme Court that struck down Roe v Wade tossing abortion legislation to the individual states. Competence was another big theme in the election and surprisingly, it is a word not mentioned at all in 2024 when it will be a big theme again.

Americans voted for candidates in 2022 that were competent managers realizing there are too many stupid inexperienced people in government. The incompetence and lack of management skills in leadership positions in the United States are making life hard for everyone. The voters clearly want competent people regardless of political tribe. The republicans promised a big red wave in 2022 that turned out to be a tiny pink trickle due to the abortion issue.

Here is the link if you want to relive the 2022 mid-term election drama; 2022 United States Mid-Term Elections Summary and Projectionsdated 11/7/22. Keystone also explains the Fetterman/Oz race in 2022 in Pennsylvania that no one understood. The big galoot has one of the best quips during this current election cycle when a reporter asked him about the status of the Pennsylvania elections. Fetterman says, "It's hand to hand combat." He is a piece of work.

Here is the link if you want to relive the 2020 presidential election drama when Trump lost; 2020 United States Presidential ElectionRoadmap and Predictions dated 11/2/20.

General Discussion/Election Is Referendum on Trump

Okay, back to the present-day mess. It is a poor reflection on America to offer two lackluster presidential candidates and their unimpressive vice president selections. For the corrupt republican tribe, King Donnie Trump, the orange-headed bloviating carnival clown, that cannot manage his way out of a paper bag while holding a boxcutter, selected Childless Cat Lady J D Vance for veep who plays-up a hillbilly persona while donning custom-tailored shirts and an expensive haircut.

For the corrupt democrat tribe, Cackling Kamala Harris, the wannabe communist with the unforgettable laugh, that plays dumb responding with, “Joe who?” when asked about the Biden/Harris administration, picks Tampon Timmy AWOLz for veep, a jovial mess of a man.

All four are deserving of the many memes and jokes on social internet platforms. The Babylon Bee jokes that “The View” television show, where five overweight women mouth-off about politics, saying that there are plans to add a sixth woman to the show; Tim Walz. Funny stuff. Vance has been raked through the coals for his comments promoting the traditional family structure while throwing shade at unmarried women that cling to their cats.

King Donnie is a walking joke line and almost completely impervious to negative stories these days. Some Americans compartmentalize Trump and can separate his *sshole persona from his policies that they like. Others cannot and view Donnie as once an a-hole, always an a-hole. Harris has a small advantage in that the voting public does not know her as well as Trump. Her cackling laugh is her (probably unwanted) trademark. Even dirtbag Ruskie Dictator Putin has commented on Harris’s laugh.

But that is all superficial personal stuff that has no place in politics, right? Wrong. Issues, schmissues. Policies, schmolicies. Isn’t this election about one thing? Come on now, you know what it is all about. Yes, Donnie Trump. People can tout polls identifying inflation, or abortion, or immigration as the main issues, but this election is a referendum on Trump, plain and simple; just like 2020.

If you like the orange head, you will vote for him. If you dislike the orange head, you will vote for Harris, or for perhaps the 20% to 25% of republican primary voters that favored Nikki Haley instead of Trump, they may not vote for either candidate at the top of the ticket. Split ticket voting is going to be a big deal this election.

One of the reasons Trump sulks like a baby and still moans about the 2020 election, is that many republicans in the House and Senate won their races but he was left out in the cold. The idea of coattails is that Trump expected to win and drag those republicans in on his coattails. He had no coattails: he was kicked-out of office because he was on the wrong track.

Why would not a similar situation happen days from now? Some republican voters are going to likely split their ticket which is not good news for Trump. He will only have himself to blame since he should have kissed Haley’s butt to win over those voters instead he shunned and made fun of her. She has since chosen to kneel before the orange one and kiss his ring but it is questionable how many of her supporters will also choose to bend knee (probably not many because once you think Donnie is an a-hole, you will always think he is an a-hole). Haley did the bare minimum to set herself up for a run at POTUS the next time around.

The democrats make a big mistake trying to label Trump as a fascist, or Marxist, and calling him Hitler. It is childish stuff. As shown in the 2020 election, the majority of Americans think Donnie Trump is an orange-headed *sshole, but few believe the fascist and Hitler rhetoric. Most common Americans do not understand terms like socialism, communism, and fascism, and the lines between the systems have become blurry with the complications of modern-day politics.

The democrats also make a mistake pimping the democracy stuff. The United States is a representative republic, or Constitutional republic if you like. You do not want a flat-out democracy since that is a mob-rule government. Minority voices are never heard in a democracy since majority rules. The Electoral College system allows small states such as Rhode Island, and rural states in the Midwest, to have a say in government just like the larger states.

It is funny to watch the LGBTQ folks protesting in favor of a democracy government that would actually take away their rights and input into society as compared to the US representative republic system they live under. Some of the LGBTQ folks are idiots protesting against Israel in support of the terrorist group Hamas (that controlled the people of Gaza; perhaps not anymore) when if they visited Gaza or other Arab-led (Sunni and Shia) nations they would be thrown off a five-story building if found out to be gay. People are dumb nowadays; technology has made humans lazy, stupid and arrogant.

The crowd size at the Trump adoration rallies has not changed since 2020. Humorously, most attending are probably the same people. Trump draws the big crowds because it is a free event, with a circus atmosphere, and food trucks, and a big orange clown bloviates on stage for a couple hours. Republicans make the mistake of extrapolating the crowd size of a Trump adoration rally to the election as a whole. Just look at how 2020 panned out. Say no more.

It is like a Grateful Dead concert with the tie-dyed shirts and groupies. Tens of thousands attend their concerts but you would not extrapolate that to say that every American is a Dead Head. That is not the case. Only the people at the concert are Dead Heads. People show up at the Trump adoration rallies donning red, white, and blue. They worship the Orange Head but do not read more into the crowd size than its reflection of the people that attend. R.I.P. Phil Lesh (bassist). Life is only a Ripple.

The Trump tribe is bashing the Harris tribe over lack of experience. Remember, to keep things fair, Donnie was a two-bit real estate salesman playing with Daddy’s money when he was elected in 2016. If Harris is elected, she will learn on the job just like Donnie did and the case can be made that she is better prepared since she has watched Sleepy Joe for the last four years.

Trump tries to paint Harris with the Biden brush with some success but most Americans know the veep must do what the president decides. This is why if you had to select the change candidate, it would be Harris. Trump and Biden are known entities that had the top job. Harris has not.

The single presidential debate was memorable. After a debate, there is typically one or two soundbites that will live on for years forward. Trump takes the cake. If you asked someone what they remember from the debate, most will repeat the same refrain with Donnie screaming into the camera, “They are eating your dogs, they are eating your cats, they are eating your pets.” What a dufus.

On the union front, it is a mixed bag with some unions and management in the Harris camp and others, mainly the rank and file, in the Trump camp. Thinking back 50 years when unions were strong, the man would come home after a hard day in the mill and mention to his wife that the union said to vote a certain way and they did. Fast forward to the modern day. Some of the union men are going to tell honey to vote for the Trumpster and the ladies will nod yes, to keep the peace at home, but when she gets in the voting booth she will be yelling, “Go girl!” as she pulls the Kamala lever.

A controversy develops at the Washington Post (democrat-run media) after an announcement to not endorse a presidential candidate. WaPo planned to endorse Harris but news sources say the billionaire owner Jeff Bezos stepped-in preventing the endorsement and changing the endorsement policy. Several Trump representatives met with Bezos to supposedly discuss the Blue Origin program and cloud computing services and what else? Funny that the endorsement stuff occurs around the same time. Sounds fishy. It is typical crony capitalism filth.

If the Washington Post did not want to endorse anyone, they could have announced it months ago. Bezos must be concerned that the Washington Post is labeled as a left-wing rag, which it is, so he is trying to make the paper more neutral, but all he did was create a big mess. People say they will cancel their subscriptions. You cannot change the WaPo perception now, Bezos. You chose to provide left-wing slanted news so now you must lie in your own liberal bed. Bezos is concerned about a Trump win and how it may hurt his interests.

The LA Times, another democrat-controlled newspaper, announces it will not endorse anyone when a plan to endorse Harris was in place. Owner Patrick Soon-Shiong may be unhappy with Harris’s stand on the Gaza War creating the baby games at this newspaper.

51% of the people planning to vote say they are independent. Ten years ago, the electorate was 40% republicans and democrats and 20% independents. Five years ago, it was 30% for each of the two tribes and 40% independent. Now it is 25% for each of the two corrupt parties and 50% independents. That is called a trend. Many Americans, especially young folks registering to vote, do not want anything to do with either dirtbag political party. There is hope for the country after all. How will the independents vote this time around? Which of the two scumbag tribes that they detest will they favor?

A lot of Americans become independents because they are sick of listening to Trump say he won the 2020 election. Donnie chased these folks out of the republican party as he turned it into the retrumplican party; some call it a cult. Trump is too dumb to understand that every time he says he won the 2020 election, with zero proof, he loses independent votes. People are sick of listening to this garbage. Shut up about the last election, orange head.

In the Joe Rogan interview, Trump could not help himself saying that he has information that the 2020 election was stolen. Liar. Donnie knows it is a sensitive topic but the a-hole cannot admit that he lost the election because he always brags that he is only a winner (far from it). Trump is now fine-tuning the election fraud discussion saying that the changes to the methods of voting, due to the covid pandemic, caused him to lose. He now wants everyone to call that fraudulent voting. That orange head has a couple of screws loose. Everyone was playing by the same rules in 2020 but idiot Donnie told the republicans to not vote by mail or any other way except in person on Election Day shooting his own campaign in the foot.

Obviously, if Trump wins the 2024 election, he may go back and somehow declare himself the winner in 2020. That would be disastrous for the country. It will be more baby antics and reality television hijinks if he is in office again. One thing is for sure. If Trump ever sets a foot in the Oval Office again, it will mark the beginning of the end of the United States, because his dereliction of duty for not stopping the Capitol Hill riot will be deemed acceptable behavior. It all goes downhill from there, folks.

If Trump wins, there will likely be protests in the medium and large cities. A Trump win will be a convenient excuse for tens of thousands of people to take to the streets and throw bricks through store windows for looting. It will be a repeat of the George Floyd murder situation. Most of those protesters back then were there for the looting and did not give a rip about Floyd that was a two-bit criminal, petty thief and counterfeiter.

Hundreds of young men have a roll of black plastic garbage bags in their coat pocket right now ready for the looting fun. A nimble thief can probably make $10K looting if Donnie is elected. Welcome to the new America. A poll states that one-half the country expects violence after the election. A Trump win may be difficult for the US to swallow since one-half of the country cannot stand the man; it will be a long painful four years.

Christians may be hesitating at voting for Trump. Donnie was Mister Pro-Life in 2016 to gain the evangelical vote. He became a folk hero to the religious right. Religious folks cheered as Trump said those ‘two Corinthian guys’ are his favorite Bible passage. King Donnie needs more votes so now he says a little bit of abortion is okay and the states will decide. A little bit of abortion never hurt anyone, right?

In 2020, 158 million of the 252 million eligible voters in the United States voted. 68% of the women voted while 65% of the men voted. King Donnie received 74 million votes while Sleepy Joe received 81 million votes and 3 million are other. Biden beat Trump in the popularity vote by over 7 million votes.

Interestingly, in 2020 just before the election, there were about 10 million voters that finally decided to climb aboard the Trump train, after months of brow-beating, but it was not enough to get him over the finish line. Those 10 million folks may have jumped ship again after Donnie’s poor handling of the pandemic, baby behavior after losing the 2020 election, and refusing to stop the Capitol Hill riot as Americans hurt and maimed each other. After the election defeat, Trump refused to concede and still moans like a baby to this day that he won the election, a big turn-off for those 10 million voters that finally decided to join the new retrumplican party.

Many of those 10 million voters that were friendly to Trump likely vaporized after the Capitol Hill riot debacle. Some left the republican party to become independents. Others exist as republicans but do not like Trump. Many of these folks (one-fifth to one-fourth of the republican party) voted for Nikki Haley even months after she left the primary race. Donnie has done nothing to win back these Haley voters. Trump expects everyone to kiss his butt. Good luck with that strategy.

Vice President Jackasses

The veep sweepstakes this time around drummed-up some real winners. Trump picks J D Vance, a wannabe hillbilly that walks around in custom-tailored suits sporting expensive haircuts. He is a good speaker, no one can take that away from him, but all stage-work improves with experience (note how Harris is improving as she spends each day and more time in front of crowds). J D is eloquent but once in a while will stick his foot in his mouth.

Vance got into conflict when promoting the family unit structure and berating childless women that turn into cat ladies. Women do not want to be labeled this way. Men are more direct and do not think about a woman’s feelings perhaps as much as they should, so they do not understand how these comments offend many women. Everyone tries to find their significant other in life and just because a lady has not had luck in finding a good man she should not be ridiculed as a childless cat lady. Maybe there are not enough good men to go around these days? In fairness to Vance, surely he did not wish to offend single ladies, but it came out that way, and sometimes it is best to think before speaking.

Popular singer Taylor Swift, that has endorsed Kamala Harris, sent a picture of herself and her cat (she is still unmarried in her mid-30’s now dating Kansas City football player Travis Kelce) to J D Vance on social media commenting on his portrayal of childless cat ladies of which she is one.

On the democrat side there is Tampon Timmy AWOLz. Oh my, where do you start? Harris receives criticism for picking Walz instead of Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania (which would have likely handed her this key state and the overall election since he is very popular). Many say it is because Shapiro is Jewish and Harris did not want to offend her left-wing whacko’s some that are antisemitic. There may be another reason especially since Shapiro does not appear offended in any way and is campaigning for Harris.

She may have picked Tampon Timmy because she stupidly thought he could help with the male vote. Harris may have thought Shapiro was too prissy (he always dresses impeccably, like Vance) and Walz was the he-man. Pause for laughter. This is a shining example of how women think they know how men think, and can be so far off base. Harris sees that Walz was in the military, a football coach, a hunter, he knows his way around guns, and yet he has a sensitive side. She thought she hit the jackpot and picked Timmy as her running mate with enthusiasm. He is a man’s man. No he isn’t.

Men view Walz as a jackass. If Harris loses, it will be in part due to picking an a-hole as a running mate. Walz is the annoying idiot you do not invite to parties since his big mouth and stupid talk may ruin the fun. He may check the macho boxes on paper but it looks more show than go. Masculine men have a way about them, right ladies? You know. It is a confidence. That is what most of you like and want even if you say you do not.

Timmy is the guy at the ice cream stand asking if the sprinkles are included in the price of the cone, and not the man that just finished a pick-up football game, limping off the field, bleeding from a cut to the face, but smiling cheek to cheek as he greets his honey.

The tampon nickname comes from Walz passing legislation to place tampon dispensers in boy’s bathrooms. Teenage boys will likely kick the machines until they fall off the wall or grab a couple tampons, place one up each nostril and say, “look at me, I’m a walrus.” That is what teenage boys do. A nickname of Tampon Timmy does not instill confidence.

Walz is also accused of wimping out of overseas military action, using a loophole to exit the service leaving his men high and dry. Harris probably picked Walz thinking he would connect with male voters but that was a bad decision. Considering his on-stage Rockette-style leg kicks, he may be more at home on the cheerleading squad rather than on the football team.

Kamala Harris released her health records that show her in great condition and easily able to carry out a four-year term as president. Harris likely released the health information to signal to voters not to worry about Tampon Timmy (nothing is going to happen to her). Harris also uses the information to badger overweight Trump about not releasing his health records.

Harris Is from Venus and Trump Is from Mars

The election is men versus women. The women stick together. For gosh sakes, when out on the town, they go to the ladies’ room together. Men do not have a chance when the women group into a team. 2024 is very much a sex contest this year. Gender is on the table.

The fairer sex (do not look for any politically correct words or woke stuff here; Keystone does not give a sh*t) typically votes more than the men. In 2020, it was over 68% of the women that voted versus 65% of the men. The ladies are motivated in two ways this year both by abortion and by electing the first female president.

A poll hit this morning that says 65% of voters say gender does not matter for the election. Of course you will say that if someone is asking. You do not want to be called a misogynist (ten-dollar college word) or racist or other derogatory name. People say that sex does not matter in the selection process but the women are going to favor voting for Kamala and many men will favor voting for King Donnie. That is the way it goes. Mars and Venus stuff.

You would rather be Kamala in this test since the females are more reliable and will actually show up to vote while the men may end up at a buddy’s house smoking weed and enjoying a beer and then saying screw voting.

158,000 republican Pennsylvanians voted for Nikki Haley in the primary this year many were probably women. Pennsylvania is the Keystone State and the key state in the 2024 election. Whoever wins Pennsy, wins the whole ball game. That is why Harris and Trump are kissing butt here each day and the television and radio political ads are running 24/7.

The last two presidential races came down to 40K to 80K votes in Penn’s Woods. Donnie, there is still time. Put on your beggin’ pads and kneel in front of Nikki asking her for a blessing and those critical Pennsylvania votes. Trump needs Haley to come on stage with him in the final days to help him get over the finish line but he is likely going to have to bring flowers and chocolates, and promise a cabinet position, if he wants that independent-thinking filly to solidly join the team. What’s it gonna be Donnie? Well, what’s it gonna be, boy? Paradise by the Dashboard Light.

The inside skinny is that Erie County in Pennsylvania is key (northwest corner of the state). They picked all the presidential winners in recent elections; Obama twice, Trump and Biden. Perhaps Erie County, Pennsylvania, will select the next POTUS? As Erie County goes, so goes the nation, so pay attention.

Let’s Talk Yard Signs

The political yard signs help to gauge enthusiasm for the candidates albeit anecdotally. Keystone is east of Pittsburgh (Allegheny County) in Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania, USA, the most important battleground state, and this region should go handily for King Donnie. In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton ran a terrible campaign panicking during the last week to get the word out, and this area only sported one Clinton yard sign back then. There were many Trump yard signs and he won.

In the 2020 presidential contest here in Westmoreland County, the enthusiasm for Trump was off the charts. Trump yard signs and larger signs were everywhere and folks donned Trump shirts and MAGA (Make America Great Again) hats. There were only a handful of Biden yard signs, nowhere near the number of Trump signs, but far more respectable than Clinton’s anemic campaign four years earlier but Sleepy Joe won.

This year, for the 2024 election between Trump and Harris, the yard signs paint a different picture. The enthusiasm for Trump has notably waned. A neighbor with a $700K McMansion near Keystone had three big Trump billboards in his yard four years ago along with many yard signs but had nothing this year until a week ago he placed three small Trump-Vance yard signs. At least one person is far less enthusiastic about the Trumpster.

There are less Trump yard signs in this area of Westmoreland County than four years ago. It is surprising. The Capitol Hill riot and Donnie’s refusal to stop Americans from hurting and maiming each other on that ugly J6 (1/6/21) day likely soured a lot of people on the orange head. Also, Trump’s refusal to concede the 2020 election and continuing to claim he won is nauseating and the dolt should understand that he loses votes every time he whines and lies. Another possible reason for less Trump signs is that the local campaign office opened later than it did four years ago.

That ditz Lara Trump, with $100K in plastic surgery in her face just to get her mug up to average-looking, must be spending time on hiring lawyers to fight a potential election loss instead of opening the branch campaign offices to do the hard groundwork to get her father-in-law elected. The Trump office is in the same empty bank building on the Rt 22 highway in Murrysville, Pennsylvania. Maybe Trump campaign funds are tight and they only wanted to rent the building for two rather than three months?

The absence of Trump yard signs was notable in September into early this month (October) especially when you see the blue Harris yard signs dotting lawns. When the Trump office opened on the highway, Trump yard signs popped up on lawns within a day or two. It was obvious that people were waiting for the republican campaign office to open so that was a mistake on Lara Trump’s watch; she needed to open that office and promote the location far sooner.

There would likely be twice as much, or at least as many, Trump yard signs in this area as 2020 if the campaign office would have opened sooner. With only days remaining now, many republicans probably say screw buying a campaign sign and instead decide to spend the money on food.

Contrast that with the Harris campaign office that opened on Rt 286 at the line between Allegheny County (that includes Pittsburgh and typically votes democrat) and Westmoreland County (that will likely vote republican). The Harris local office is in a strip mall housing many businesses including a bank, hoagie place, exercise gym, nail salon, barber shop, Aldi grocery store, and a jeweler.

Starting back in September, the Harris people have a table on the sidewalk with handouts, literature and yard signs and a campaign person is sitting there sporting a blue Harris tee shirt answering people’s questions and saying hello as people walk by running errands. The republican office sits alone and you must drive there as a single trip if you want campaign information or materials. The democrats always did have a better ground game than republicans. The news media says the Trump campaign has farmed-out their ground game to others. ‘Good luck with dat’ as they say in Da Burgh.

Humorously, the folks supporting King Donnie proudly display the dark blue and blood red colored yard signs near the road or anywhere on the lawn without worry or concern while many of the powder blue Harris yard signs are placed up near the front doors of homes. Those democrat supporters are obviously concerned about someone vandalizing or stealing their Harris-Walz sign and they likely have a doorbell camera that would catch the naughty republican on video tape if he chose to be stupid.

Also of interest is that most Trump supporters have multiple yard signs. This identifies the diehard enthusiastic base supporters of King Donnie that would crawl through jagged glass to vote for the orange head. Multiple yard signs are exclamation points for that homeowner’s candidate. The democrats supporting Harris typically display one yard sign. They choose a subtle endorsement for their candidate Harris and do not see a need to fill the yard with signs like an over-the-top multi-sign Trump display.

Summing up for this area of Westmoreland County east of Pittsburgh, there are more Harris yard signs than the prior Clinton and Biden elections together. Trump yard signs are about 70% of what they were four years ago, noticeably less, but outnumber the Harris yard signs by about 4 to 1. The only conclusion that can be drawn from the yard signs is that there may be a hair less of support in this area for Trump compared to four years ago. No biggie.

Another interesting observation verifying the waning interest in the orange head, is the lack of big larger than life gawdyTrump displays by local farmers and others. Four years ago, farmers were cutting fields to display the name ‘Trump’ and log cabins were decorated patriotically. One guy painted his roof red, white and blue for Trump. Other enthusiastic Trump supporters painted American flags on their house or roof promoting Trump. Some folks had lighted Trump displays like Christmas displays. There is none of that this year. Butpkis. Trump appears to have lost a step in this area due to his braggadocio diarrhea mouth, a-hole personality, refusal to accept the 2020 election loss, and dereliction of duty during the Capitol Hill riot. Maybe the negatives are adding up?

Split-Ticket Voting

75% of Americans told both corrupt political parties last year they do not want Joe Biden or Donald Trump to run; instead, they want fresh faces for the presidential election. Neither party listened. Ironically, Trump won the presidency in 2016 in part because people were sick of the Bush-Clinton stink. It was time to move on. Are Americans now sick of the Trump-Biden stink and ready to move on?

The democrats saw the writing on the wall this summer with Trump pulling ahead in the polls as Sleepy Joe’s Alzheimer’s and onset of dementia became obvious. The democrats threw Biden off the campaign bus, thump, thump, and installed Harris as the candidate. It was a good move since Joe was likely to lose due to his loss of mental capacity and a woman candidate gives Donnie nightmares.

Interestingly, the democrats that voted in the primary election casting a vote for Biden wasted their time. Their vote was completely meaningless. They should have done something more productive with their time that day instead of vote. When people say every vote matters you can laugh at them. The democrat primary election proves that every vote does not count at all. Harris is the democrat candidate selected by Joe Biden not by the people.

The democrats likely wanted a quick mini-primary election after preventing Joe from running for reelection but he got the last laugh when announcing that he would not run (was forced out) he said Harris would be the candidate harpooning the mini-primary idea. Politics is ugly.

The republicans did not get the message that three-quarters of the United States did not want Trump or Biden to run again. Instead, the republicans are jamming the orange head down everyone’s throats again. In a few days we will know if this was the correct or a stupid strategy. You would think that if Haley or DeSantis were the republican candidate they would likely be ahead of Harris in the polls. Instead, 2024 is a coin-flip election Harris v Trump. Choose your poison.

Thus, the expectation is many split ballots. Some republicans will walk into the voting booth and vote straight republican ticket. Some will vote for republicans in the House and Senate races but leave the president box blank, or some may even vote for Harris. Some democrats will vote straight democrat ticket. Some will vote for Harris at the top of the ticket but then pick and choose a republican for the House or Senate if the person is competent regardless of political party. Americans are starving for competent people in government because it is obvious the *ssholes in power for the last five decades, the demopublicans and republocrats, destroyed the country.

Coattails, schmotails. If Trump wins, he may get dragged in by the coattails of the House and Senate races not the typical way when the president should drag everyone into office. Abortion and competency were the two key themes in the mid-term elections and as a stock trader, you always go with the trend. Those items should be key again this time around.

Kamala Harris

The main idea helping Harris is that she is ‘not Trump’. The election is a referendum on Donnie just like 2020. Harris is unknown and sometime a little mystery helps if voters have enough information on policies to feel comfortable.

Harris is hurt by the switching messages and inconsistency. People may be concerned about competency which is a key theme going forward in American politics. The US is obviously mismanaged and Americans want to right the ship. The democracy, fascist and Hitler stuff is stupid talk and probably turns people off. She picked a-hole Walz as the veep, a guy with the Trump personality only he is a democrat. Harris should have picked Josh Shapiro who is more manly and popular and from Pennsylvania than Walz.

Donnie Trump

The main metric helping Trump is the right track/wrong track poll discussed above. It is the key to his potential victory. Americans feel the country is on the wrong track which hurts the incumbent, but Biden is not running, and Trump was on the wrong track only 4 years ago. Will the right track/wrong track poll reward Trump with the win or is the metric not valid this time around due to this year’s oddities?

Trump is helping himself during this campaign, as compared to 2020, by visiting different places and venues such as barber shops, McDonalds and Ma and Pa local businesses. It would be better if he donned work clothes at these events because manning the French fry station at Mickey D’s, while wearing a custom-tailored $400 white silk shirt and gold cufflinks, is laughable and silly. However, Donnie knows his brand is a wrinkle-free suit and red tie and if you opened his closet that is all you see.

Trump supporters say the event was a great success but to others he looked like an *sshole pandering for votes. Donnie has never set foot in a McDonalds until the photo-op although he eats the food daily. A runner brings King Donnie his happy meals.

Donnie was shot in his ear during the Butler, Pennsylvania, rally in July, but you cannot see any lasting damage or scar. You would think he would get a little bit of a sympathy vote for an attempted assassination but this may be wishful thinking for republicans. It would be funny if the poor guy lost the election despite being shot in the head.

Donnie refusing to concede the 2020 election and still saying he won is a real drag on his candidacy. Even if the orange head wins over a reluctant voter, that person turns on the television and hears the ‘I won the 2020 election’ garbage talk from Donnie so that voter pulls an about-face saying screw him; he is an *sshole. The revenge talk about going after his detractors if elected also hurts his candidacy.

Trump’s dereliction of duty for not stopping the Capitol Hill riot, when all he had to do was click his fingers, weighs heavy on many voter’s minds. He screwed-up bigtime displaying spite, vengeance, and poor leadership, turning off voters. J6 was an ugly day that Trump could have prevented or stopped and he did not only for the purpose of fueling his own ego and narcissism. That is a sick orange head.

Trump may be over peddling the machismo stuff because the men puffing their chests out are typically the biggest cowards. Martial arts expert Bruce Lee, that could have beaten anyone to a pulp, would preach that escape and resolving conflict is the best path forward, but if you are cornered and have no choice, you must take care of business. That is a real man not someone that flexes their muscles bullying people. Be water, my friend. Most women voters will not respond well to fighting, slapping, spanking, beating, and other macho and testosterone-laden activities; ladies prefer safety and security.

Another problem for Donnie is the people that worked for him and republican influencers telling Americans not to vote for the orange head including his own former Vice President Pence and Chief of Staff John Kelly.  Many others that have worked directly with Trump refuse to vote for the orange head including Generals Mark Milley and Jim “Mad Dog” Mattis, former Defense Secretary Mark Esper, and former Security Adviser John Bolton.

Theme Songs

Of course, we must have a musical interlude in this long article and select theme songs for each candidate. Starting with Kamala Harris, the choice is easy. She has changed positions like a chameleon so CultureClub’s hit “Karma Chameleon” is a good fit. Cue the harmonica.

“Kamma, kamma, Kamala chameleon, you flip and flop, you flip and flah-ah-ah-op. Living will be easy if you follow what I decree, la, la, la, ……..”

Trump’s theme song is another easy choice since he is a legend in his own mind; the Horslips hit “Man Who Built America.”

“See him selling those golden shoes, and hawking those cheap Christmas ornaments, trying to keep his arse out of jail, cause Donnie’s the man who thinks he built America.”

Key Issues/Thought Exercise

Let’s try an exercise, a thought experiment, of assigning from 1 to 4 points to Harris and Trump depending on the important/key issues and social zeitgeist in late October 2024.

Popularity; the popularity and favorability (an important metric) are about the same for both. 2 pts each.

Charisma; Donnie has more charisma than Kamala but that is not saying much. 2 pts for Trump and 1 pt for Harris.

Competency; Trump is likely viewed a touch more competent but that is not saying much. 2 pts for Trump and 1 pt for Harris.

Referendum on Donnie Trump; the majority of America will likely vote mainly based on their like or dislike of Donnie. Harris advantage. 2 pts for Trump and 3 pts for Harris.

Trump Lost 4 Years Ago; he is a proven loser. 4 pts for Harris.

Harris Would Be First Female President. 4 pts for Harris.

Right Track/Wrong Track Poll. 4 pts for Trump.

Inflation/Economy. 4 pts for Trump.

Abortion; 4 pts for Harris.

Immigration/Crime. 4 pts for Trump.

Vice Presidential Picks; Vance slight advantage over Walz. 3 pts for Trump. 2 pts for Harris.

Media Bias; the democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times, Washington Post, etc…) overpowers the republican-run media (Fox News, Newsmax, OAN, Breitbart, AM talk radio, New York Post, etc…) by about 70% to 30%. This is why the republican-run media calls the democrat-run media unfair and labels them as the ‘mainstream media’ since the liberals control the major broadcast channels and always provide news slanted positively for the democrats. 1 pt for Trump and 3 pts for Harris.

Incumbent; Biden is the incumbent but not running perhaps some of this rubs off on Harris for the good. Trump may be viewed as an incumbent as well. 2 pts for Trump and 3 pts for Harris.

Women Versus Men; more women vote than men so the advantage is to Harris. Ladies are motivated by abortion and electing the first female president. 2 pts for Trump and 3 pts for Harris.

Effeminate Versus Macho; Trump is courting the young men with the machismo message while throwing shade at gays and transgender folks but the jury is out with this approach. 2 pts for Trump and 2 pts for Harris.

Musk Influence; Elon the billionaire boy is pumping money and influence into Donnie’s campaign, including control over election messaging on X (Twitter), hoping for future favors (quid pro quo) if Trump wins. 2 pts for Trump.

Momentum; Slight Trump advantage but this is more due to sogginess with Harris and not an increased popularity in Donnie. Also, momentum can easily shift in the final days especially as October surprises hit the wires. 2 pts for Trump.

Ground Game/Fundraising; Slight advantage to Harris since a lot of staffers are paid, and a lot are volunteers, but Trump is cheap and tries to only use people that work as volunteers. The results of the ground game will be very interesting. 2 pts for Harris.

Turnout; Democrats always seem to have the upper hand here but republicans are confident. 1 pt for Trump and 3 pts for Harris.

The above list is as Keystone typed it out in real-time and assigning the points. Trump totals 35 points and Harris totals 37 points. Comically, if Keystone did it again, he may come up with a different result. Nonetheless, the above list of items is what dominates the 2024 presidential election.

Keystone’s Predictions

And now the moment you all are waiting for, Keystone’s predictions. All predictions sound great; until the votes are counted. The forecast below serves as comic relief once the true outcome is known. Anyhoo, let us give it a go.

Sorry to be the messenger of bad news, but the outcome of the US presidential election does not matter since America’s crony capitalism system is in its last throes and cannot be fixed. The selection between Trump and Harris is a choice of who will receive the moniker as the modern-day Herbert Hoover. All of you will understand over the next couple years.

Kamala Harris will win and become the first female president. The number one reason is that she is not Trump. 75% of Americans told the corrupt political parties they did not want Trump or Biden so the only choice for them is Harris or to not vote for the presidential slot (which will hurt Trump). Trump will win North Carolina and Georgia but fall short in Pennsylvania (if Harris should win North Carolina, it is over, she will walk away with the election win, but currently the polls favor Trump in this southern state). The blue wall holds and Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan go for Kamala allowing her to squeak out the electoral college win above 270 by a hair.

The western states will not matter as much but Harris will win Nevada (barely) and Trump will take Arizona. The election is a referendum on Trump and he already lost in 2020. His failure to stop the Capitol Hill riot, instead choosing to cheerlead Americans that were hurting and maiming one another, and refusing to accept the defeat in 2020, will cook his goose (even if Trump wins, the US will be a mess since one-half of the country will be battling the other half for the next four years).

People want to be part of history and, like voting for the first black man as president, Emperor Obama, some folks will want to be able to say they voted for the first woman president, Queen Kamala. Americans do not realize that it does not matter who wins; they are simply choosing the person that will be labeled as the modern-day Herbert Hoover going forward.

Abortion is also a lingering issue where many women blame Trump for complicating their already-difficult lives. Women are likely more motivated to vote than men. The Electoral College will be 276 for Harris and 262 for Trump (538 total so 270 needed to win) a real squeaker that perhaps opens the door for more baby stuff about a rigged election from sore loser Trump if he should lose.

If Harris wins, she will likely pardon Trump from his legal problems following the Ford/Nixon example after Watergate. It is important for the country to move on to solve real problems so the best decision would be to let Trump off the hook and tell him to go away. Of course, if Trump wins, he will pardon himself and his family. The pardon prize is the main reason that Donnie Trump is running (to keep his arse out of jail).

Think of the US as a giant living breathing organism that factors in all viewpoints and seeks the best outcome for the nation (not political parties), and is trying to save itself from the two dirtbag and corrupt political tribes. A good outcome for the US is a republican House and Senate and a democrat president where the least damage can occur and maybe they can jointly get something done.

Harris can serve as a placeholder as both corrupt political tribes regroup to faceoff with new faces in 2028 (mid-term elections are November 2026; politicians will announce their candidacy for POTUS in late 2026 early 2027; Josh Shapiro will likely ascend in the democrat tribe over the next couple years). The American organism wants to push the country towards the best outcome so a Harris presidency and republican House and Senate may be that outcome; gridlock is good.

The Senate will turn over control to the republicans with a 52 to 48 advantage. Americans want competent people to run the country be they democrat or republican.

The House will remain in republican control but barely, like now, with a small margin.

The total vote count will be at or below the presidential vote count in 2020. 158 million people voted in 2020 so perhaps only 150 to 158 million will vote this time around. Apathy has taken over the country and some folks, unhappy with the Trump and Harris selections, will not place a vote for president. The country appears unfixable so why bother?

The election will result in more split-ticket voting than has been seen in recent years. The desire for competent people in office will boost the wins for the republicans in the House and Senate. Abortion, the first woman president, and the ‘not-Trump’ factor may dominate the voting at the top of the ticket (president) resulting in some republicans voting for Harris or not checking the president box at all.

Will the 2024 US presidential election be known as the Year of the Woman favoring Kamala Harris? More women vote than men and abortion rights and electing the first female president are a double-whammy incentive for the fairer sex to get out and vote.

Or, will the election instead be known as the Year of Machismo favoring Donnie Trump? The republicans are targeting young men. Trump is commenting on famous golfer Arnold Palmer’s penis endowment and on the Penn State wrestler’s muscles promoting a testosterone narrative. At a Trump adoration rally, republican media personality Tucker Carlson waxes metaphorically about ‘Daddy’ Donnie coming home to spank Kamala’s bottom because she has been a naughty girl. Some men may chuckle at the macho talk they view as harmless but many women cringe and take offense to such rhetoric.

Donnie is hoping to gain street cred after the interview with Joe Rogan who has a large audience of young men and promotes the sport of ultimate fighting. Humorously, despite all the machismo and dripping testosterone, Donnie plays the YMCA song at every rally, where he hangs out with all the boys. Maybe Donnie has an Indian headdress and chaps in his closet that he likes to wear on kinky Saturday nights? Apologies for making you picture Donnie in chaps.

Good luck everyone if you choose to vote. It is harvest time here in colorful Pennsylvania with Halloween preparations and the corn maze taking precedence over voting. Keystone is cool with whatever yinz decide. 40 million people have voted so far. God Bless them. Which criminal did you pick?

The best thing about November 5, 2024, is that the non-stop television and radio political ads in Pennsylvania will end, however, they will only be replaced with non-stop Medicare enrollment ads. Election updates will follow through 11/5/24. Will the 2024 presidential election be a trick or a treat?

Note Added 6:51 PM EST: Trump is holding a rally at Madison Square Garden in New York City. The venue holds 20K people and is easily filled by folks wanting to see the circus. There is over 8 million people in New York City not including the visitors. The speakers are a line of silver-haired white guys starting with disgraced former mayor Rudy Giuliani leading the parade. Television personality Dr Phildo talks too long as he endorses King Trump by kneeling and kissing the ring. Wrestler Hulk Hogan speaks and of course he calls everyone, "Trumpamaniacs" so the crowd goes wild. Vice President candidate Vance speaks. UFC promoter Dana White is yelling into the microphone. Billionaire Elon Musk is up next and proclaims that he can remove $2 trillion from the US budget. That is idiot talk that will not happen. Musk introduces former First Lady Melania Trump, that receives deafening applause, and then the headliner King Donnie will hold court pontificating and providing the same speech for the three hundred and twentieth time. A negative situation is developing after comedian Tony Hinchcliffe, known for his avant-garde and sometimes raunchy "Kill Tony" podcast, makes off-color jokes at the Trump rally including calling Puerto Rico a "floating pile of garbage." Hinchcliffe jokes with a black man in the audience about eating watermelon. Maybe Trump will distance himself from the jokes when he speaks? The insult humor is out of place at a rally that should be joyous. Hinchcliffe gained popularity because of Joe Rogan so that is why he was likely recommended to Donnie Trump for the rally even though the orange head says he does not know the comedian. Tony is known for making fun of people; that is his schtick. That is why everyone wants to "Kill Tony." Vice President Harris campaigns in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, today at smaller venues connecting with black voters. Everyone loves Pennsylvania now but we will be thrown onto the rubbish heap of insignificance the day after the election.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/28/24, at 5:16 AM EST: As would be expected, the republicans cheerlead the Trump rally in New York City yesterday while the democrats point out hateful language such as the comedian calling Puerto Rico a "floating pile of garbage." A different speaker at the Trump rally called Kamala Harris the "anti-Christ." It was odd watching Donnie and Melania on stage yesterday. They go to kiss, but not on the lips. Instead, Donnie kisses her cheek, then the other cheek, as if he is greeting someone in Europe. Maybe she did not want him to get lipstick on himself before his speech? As they stood together they were a foot apart then Donnie shuffled sideways so they were side by side. Body language is always interesting. The Harris campaign announces that former President Bill Clinton will visit Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania, tomorrow to encourage folks to mail-in their votes or vote early. Of course he is. Slick Willie knows the importance of Pennsylvania and specifically counties such as Westmoreland. Keystone's backyard is ground zero for the 2024 election. Vice President Harris plans a rally at the Ellipse area in Washington, DC, tomorrow the same place that former President Trump gave his speech before the Capitol Hill riot on 1/6/21.

Note Added Monday Evening, 10/28/24, at 6:11 PM EST: The Trump camp condemns the joke at the rally yesterday calling Puerto Rico a floating pile of garbage because it offended Latinos and Donnie does not want to lose their votes. The democrat-run media is milking the negative story for all its worth mentioning the comedian and Puerto Rico joke every five minutes. King Donnie and surrogates keep asking, "Are you better off now than four years ago?" That is easy. Hell no! Four years ago was wave 3 of the COVID-19 pandemic that continued to worsen through the wintertime into 2021. Keystone wrote the Coronavirus Chronology that documented the three-year pandemic along with over 900 covid charts. It is the China Virus Bible, the most important document of the pandemic, and will be published after the first of the year. Four years ago, the COVID-19 cases worldwide topped 50 million. The US covid infections were running over 160K cases per day on their way to over 200K cases per day. Trump was focused on his reelection campaign and not on handling the pandemic. Back then is when Trump told Americans that 'we would have to learn to live with covid' after which Biden responds 'we are learning to die with it'. We were far worse off four years ago. Humorously, to get the answer he wants, Trump needs to ask people if they are better off than five years ago but it does not have the same ring to it (obviously, Trump wants to say four years because it matches the presidential term). It is surprising, then again not so much since people are stupid nowadays, that no one responded to that question by saying that it was covid four years ago and a far worse time than now.

In Pennsylvania early voting, the democrats have returned about 820K ballots and the republicans 440K about a 2 to 1 democrat advantage which is what would be expected. The numbers were far higher four years ago but that was due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the many new voting options that were provided back then. Two outside ballot boxes for early voting are set on fire one in Vancouver, Washington State, and the other in Portland, Oregon. Hundreds of ballots are destroyed in the Vancouver fire but a fire suppression system saved the majority of ballots in Portland. A suspicious car is tied to both incidents and another nefarious act a month ago. Republican Speaker of the House Mike Johnson proclaims that "massive reform" will occur to the Affordable Care Act (ACA; Obamacare) if Trump is elected president. Johnson replies to a question saying, "No Obamacare. The ACA is so deeply ingrained, we need massive reform to make this work and we got a lot of ideas on how to do that." Did Johnson just open a can of election worms?

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 10/29/24, at 4:54 AM EST: Americans will be headed to the polls to physically vote next Tuesday, 11/5/24, Election Day. 44 million people opted for early voting that represents 28% of the 158 million that voted in 2020. Wow, over 1 in 4 Americans that are registered to vote have already voted and it is heading towards one-third of the electorate. Republicans brag that the early vote is going their way but no one knows for sure. Republicans continue puffing their chests figuring they have the momentum and will win. The bragging and positive optimism increases on the republican side but is it real or is it false hope with conservatives trying to think positively to manifest a win? The democrat-run media is having a field day with the negative Puerto Rican and black jokes from the Trump rally. Bad Bunny, a bigtime Latino music producer and performer, probably the top dog in that musical genre, endorses Harris due to the comments. The Puerto Rican community has taken offense to the joke and there are over 500K voters in Pennsylvania that may be impacted. King Donnie should have apologized for the comments but the orange-headed *sshole never apologizes. That is his choice. Trump is heading into the Puerto Rican fire today planning a rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, the center of this Latino community; he should be prepared for protests. The drama increases with only seven days until the election.

USA Today (democrat-run media) is the latest newspaper to not endorse a presidential candidate. The Washington Post is taking a beating from the non-endorsement announcement, that appears to be setting up a quid pro quo between billionaire Bezos and Trump, with 200K subscriptions cancelled so far (according to the democrat-run NPR). The newspapers are in trouble having difficulty transitioning to a pay wall on the internet. It is a broken business model and losing subscriptions is another nail in the coffin. No one wants to pay these rags for biased news stories when the same news is all over the internet for free. Why would you buy the cow when you can get the milk for free? (This is an old saying from the 1970's that mothers would tell their daughters that were dating or living with a punk rocker.) The New York Times, Seattle Times, Las Vegas Sun and Boston Globe, democrat-run media, endorse Harris. The New York Post, Washington Times and Las Vegas Review-Journal, republican-run media, endorse King Donnie. The LA Times, Washington Post and USA Today, democrat-run media, choose to not endorse a candidate even though messages were drawn up to endorse Harris. Are you starting to understand that America is a corrupt crony capitalism system?

Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 10/29/24, at 3:00 PM EST: Former President Bill Clinton is stumping for Harris in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, Keystone's backyard. The US Supreme Court rules to allow Robert Kennedy Jr's name to remain on the presidential ballots in Wisconsin and Michigan a blow to the Trump team. RFK has abandoned his independent bid for the Whitehouse and now lies in bed with King Donnie. RFK wanted to be removed from the ballots since some people may place a vote for his name as a protest vote. Tool late. RFK's name remains on the ballot so this will slightly ding Trump by a few votes in Wisconsin and Michigan. Trump does not appear to want Nikki Haley's help with the campaign. Haley is interviewed on Fox News and says her team has been helping behind the scenes. Haley and Trump have not talked since June. Wow. That is not good for republican hopes. Trump is willing to jettison 20% or more of the republican vote making no effort whatsoever to win over the Haley supporters? That is stupid. Haley warns Donnie to not get "overly masculine with the bromance think they've got going." If Trump loses, it will be because he did not court Haley's voters (a lot of women) instead expecting everyone to kneel before him and kiss his orange *ss after they kiss his ring; many do but Haley does not. A lot of Haley voters will likely vote straight republican for House and Senate races but either leave the top slot blank or even vote for Harris since she is a woman. Trump is an idiot for not courting the Haley voters and it is shocking that the two have not talked in over four months.

Republican radio personality Sean Hannity proclaims that a Trump victory is at hand. He says wealthy individuals have access to polls no one else sees and the election is going Trump's way. Hannity says the left are losing it (because they see Trump surging ahead) citing meltdowns by commentators on the democrat-run cable news outlets (CNN and MSNBC). To an average non-biased viewer, however, it does not appear that way. Trump provides a short speech from his Florida nest calling the Sunday rally in New York a "lovefest." Only Donnie can describe something controversial as a lovefest. Trump fan boys and girls were obviously charged with energy at the Sunday rally and had a good time but many speakers missed the mark. Kill Tony's Puerto Rica joke continues to have legs for almost three days. The religious goofball was screaming that Kamala Harris is the "anti-Christ." Trump says love was in the air. WABC radio personality Sid Rosenberg was foaming at the mouth on Sunday, perhaps experiencing 'roid rage', yelling out cuss words to describe Harris. That must be a new kind of love. Trump does not apologize to the Puerto Rican or Latino communities about the off-color jokes at the rally. Instead, he calls it a lovefest. Of course he does. That is why tens of millions of Americans view King Donnie as an orange-headed *sshole.

Harris running mate Walz is campaigning in Erie County, Pennsylvania. The democrats always have a better ground game especially with that Lara Trump ditz at the RNC spending her time on hiring lawyers to fight the election rather than focusing on a ground game to win the election. Erie County has picked all the presidential winners in the last few elections. Walz capitalizes on the Puerto Rico joke and tells Pennsylvanians when republicans talk about floating garbage, "that is what they think about you." Walz will return to Erie County on Thursday. 

Note Added Tuesday Evening, 10/29/24, at 10:00 PM EST: The 'garbage' talk continues only now it comes from the democrat side. As Kamala Harris prepares for her important speech at the Ellipse in Washington, DC, this evening, President Biden comments on the Trump rally where Kill Tony made the joke about Puerto Rico being a floating pile of garbage. Brain dead Biden decrees, "The only garbage I see out there are his supporters." Does Biden want to purposely harpoon Harris's campaign so he can say that he would have won? It is a bad statement especially occurring before Harris's speech. Biden should have said Trump is garbage and never cut down potential voters. Didn't the democrats learn this when Hillary Clinton called rural folks and Trump supporters "deplorables" back in 2016?" The democrats may be able to weather the Biden storm by surrogates chalking it up to Sleepy Joe's Alzheimer's and onset of dementia. In addition, the democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, NPR, PBS, New York Times, Washington Post, etc...) will run cover for Harris and completely ignore the Biden gaff. The republicans have a field day with the statement with their media (Fox News, Newsmax, OAN, Breitbart, New York Post, AM talk radio, etc....) pimping the story every 10 minutes. Trump tries to fundraise off the Biden statement that his supporters are garbage.

Steve Bannon, the far right activist that worked in the Trump cabinet in 2017, is released from prison after a four-month sentence for not cooperating with a subpoena and refusing to provide information to help investigations into Donnie boy. Bannon makes a speech after his release and tells Trump, if he wins, to declare himself the winner in the 2020 election. Americans have become dirtbags that worship and pledge allegiance to their corrupt political parties instead of the United States of America. Obviously, this garbage, which is the trendy word these days, does not end well. Trump speaks in Allentown, Pennsylvania, to a predominantly Latino crowd, where he receives a lukewarm reception after the off-color jokes at the Sunday rally. Many attendees remain enthusiastic for Trump but there is no doubt some harm is done by the garbage joke helped by the democrat press pimping the story every 10 minutes.

Harris's speech at the Ellipse is well received by an audience of 75K. She calls herself a 'unifier' and Trump a 'petty tyrant'. She mentions that Trump said, "So what?" when asked what to do about the mob that wants to hang Vice President Pence during the J6 riot. Harris decrees, "These United States of America, we are not a vessel for the schemes of wannabe dictators." She is using the 'vessel' word channeling Michelle Obama's speech on abortion and women's rights from the other day when the former First Lady proclaimed, "We are more than baby-making vessels." Harris is trying to appeal to voters that are sick of the Trump drama. The 75K people is quite a crowd matching Trump's New York crowd (20K inside the Garden and about 30K to 50K in the streets) and people had to physically drive there. Trump's rally was in the middle of an over 8 million New York City population with probably a million within walking distance of the free rally at the Garden. There were also politicians and other Trump supporters and donors that flew in from red states to attend the New York rally. King Donnie may wake up tomorrow experiencing some crowd envy because it is always one of his main bragging points. Crowd size, like Arnie Palmer's penis size, are important to Donnie Trump, the orange-headed man with small hands.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/30/24, at 5:27 AM EST: Television talking heads are warning Americans to not believe anyone that proclaims themselves the winner of the election before the results are fully known. The warning is obviously based on Trump's baby behavior in 2020 and no one wants to see that mess repeated. Trump, however, has lawyers and preliminary lawsuits in place to fight the election results if he loses. This is why tens of millions of citizens view Trump as an a-hole. Interestingly, does Donnie's data show him likely losing so he is laying the groundwork to battle the election in the courts? Are people not sick of the Trump baby games? Trump tells his followers on the Truth Social platform to "REPORT CHEATING TO AUTHORITIES." Donnie is yelling with the message in caps and then follows up with another post; "Pennsylvania is cheating, and getting caught, at large scale levels rarely seen before." Trump provides no proof or information about large scale fraud occurring. Of course he does not; he is an orange-headed a-hole sowing doubt in American minds about the election in case he loses. Isn't it nauseating?

Over 50 million have voted thus far. There were 158 million voters in 2020 so nearly one-third of Americans that are eligible to vote did so already. 2,500 voter registration forms are scrutinized in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, for errors, omissions, incorrect addresses, sketch signatures and other problems. The forms arrive at the office just before the registration deadline and may have been part of an effort to sign people up to vote. Two other counties in Pennsylvania have flagged similar bundles of registration forms. Officials will sort through the registrations one by one to validate the information. About 2 in 5 of the 2,500 ballots in Lancaster County (this is Amish country and is pronounced lan-kiss-ster not lan-cast-er) are acceptable and accurate and processed normally.

Note Added Wednesday Evening, 10/30/24, at 7:07 PM EST: Author Naomi Wolf, known for various conspiracy theories and feminist activism, that typically moves in liberal circles, endorses Donnie Trump saying that he is more inclusive. It likely has more to do with having empathy for Trump since she is also a target on social media. Hollywood movie star and muscleman Arnold Schwarzenegger endorses Harris. Super singer/songwriter Cyndi Lauper endorses Kamala Harris. Of course she does because "Girls Just Want to Have Fun." The 'Year of the Woman' and 'first female president' may be on the way. Famous Puerto Rican reggae and musical artist Nicky Jam retracts his prior endorsement of Donnie Trump because of Tony Hinchcliffe's garbage joke at the rally. The Biden comment calling Trump supporters "garbage" has legs today and is covered by the democrat-controlled media. Harris is questioned on the bad comment by brain dead Biden and she does a good job distancing herself saying she disagrees with Biden. After all, she did not make the statement although the republicans want to keep tying Biden and Harris together since Biden is unpopular. Harris repeats the message that she would be president for everyone even those that did not vote for her. Most Americans will likely write-off the Biden garbage comment as another gaff from Alzheimer's Joe. Humorously, it is easy to see why the Harris camp did not want Biden to campaign for Harris. Showman Trump dons an orange vest, that matches his orange head, and sits in the passenger side of a garbage truck to emphasize Biden's stupid remark. Donnie looks ridiculous like the McDonalds photo-op. Trump is wearing a $400 custom-tailored white silk shirt with gold cufflinks topped off with the orange vest. It is the silly season. Now that both corrupt political parties have aired their garbage in public, the situation will likely be neutralized. Harris likely wanted to pimp the Kill Tony Puerto Rican garbage joke through Election Day but after the Biden garbage gaff, the garbage word may disappear from the daily news. What other October surprises are in store with Halloween on tap tomorrow?

Harris spoke at North Carolina this morning, Pennsylvania in the afternoon, and Wisconsin tonight. Trump was also in North Carolina and flies to Wisconsin for a rally with popular retired NFL (American football) player Brett Favre. Donnie ignores Haley's comment about limiting the macho testosterone bromance stuff. Donnie likes men with muscles. Favre, the vicodin-popping hillbilly, is kneeling and kissing Trump's dupa because he probably wants Donnie to win so he can pardon his involvement in a welfare scandal. What a corrupt world. Humans complicate their lives with nefarious deeds that feed their greed.

Elon Musk, now a surrogate to Trump, is ordered to appear in court tomorrow to address the $1 million per day giveaway only to those that will vote for Donnie. A beauty queen from Switzerland, Beatrice Keul, now 53, says she was groped by Trump after he lured her to his hotel suite in 1993. This late October surprise will probably not gain much traction since everyone knows Donnie is a womanizer. Wired reports that Elon Musk's America PAC, that is providing the ground game for the election, is mistreating its canvassers and door knockers. Workers provide video of being driven around in the back of a U-Haul van when they were told they would have rental cars. If Trump loses, he will throw Musk under the bus saying he screwed-up with the entire ground game.

The Pennsylvania Democratic Party sues the Erie County Board of Elections due to problems with thousands of mail-in ballots. Erie County is important since it has picked the presidential winners in recent years. As Erie goes, so goes the nation. Billboard company Kennedy Outdoor Advertising in Ohio removes an advertisement they placed of Kamala Harris on her knees with her mouth open (a sexual position) and a caption saying, "Kamala can't talk right now, she's at a baby shower." Next to it is a positive advertisement for Trump. The company says they do not condone an image like that and made a mistake installing it (yeah, sure). The derogatory picture of Harris was computer generated. RK Towing, obvious MAGA fans and Trump backers, paid for the billboard that was up from Friday through Sunday so it was viewed by tens of thousands of people.

A teenage idiot, Caleb Williams, is arrested in Florida for wielding a machete at democrat voters at a polling site. The natives are getting restless. Over 250K people have cancelled their Washington Post subscriptions due to the Bezos non-endorsement scandal. Apple Air Tags and other GPS trackers are being used to find thieves that steal political yard signs. That is one of the oldest dirty tricks in politics. Wherever you see your opponents campaign sign on the side of the road, you replace it with your sign, and throw theirs over the hill into the woods.

Note Added Thursday Morning, Halloween, 10/31/24, at 4:12 AM EST: A 19-year old Chinese student at the University of Michigan stupidly registers and places a vote in the United States election. The jackass is not a US citizen so officials charge him with crimes including making false statements. His name is not released; is this special treatment to placate communist China? If it was you or your child, older than 18 years old, that committed a crime, their name would be plastered across the internet and newspapers. Such is America's crony capitalism system. The US Supreme Court rules against lower courts in Virginia allowing the state to purge the voter rolls of non-citizens (which should be blocked from voting). Campaign operatives on both sides are talking about potential under polling. Trump proponents say the polls continue to undercount the republican votes and enthusiasm like the 2016 and 2020 elections. Anecdotally, at least in western Pennsylvania, there is no one shy about being a Trump supporter in fact, they are typically the big mouths.

The statistics and data guy on CNN (democrat-run media), Harry Enten, says a party has never been underestimated in the polls in the battleground states for three years in a row with data going back to 1972. In other words, it is doubtful that Trump's numbers are being underestimated in the polls this year but no one will know if this is true until all the votes are tallied next week. If anything, the shy voters this time around are the Harris supporters. The 538 polling site (it is called 538 because that is the total US Electoral College votes; 270 and higher declares the winner) predicts a Trump win based on their computer program running 100 times and showing that Trump wins 52 times and Harris 48 times not exactly a ringing endorsement. 538 shows that Trump has a favorability of 43.6% and Harris 46.3%. Favorability is an important indicator for elections. Americans will be headed to the polls five days from now and the weekends go fast. Over 55 million Americans have voted thus far about 35% of the expected total. Wow. Over one-third of Americans eligible to vote have already voted so the 'garbage' talk now spewed by both corrupt tribes matters to less and less people. It is a game of turnout now. Someone should ask Elon how the get out the vote campaign is going for Donnie. Harris, at least in western Pennsylvania, appears to have the typical solid democrat ground game in place.

Note Added Thursday Morning, Halloween, 10/31/24, at 5:53 AM EST: A Harris advertisement on American televisions shows two middle-aged white women at the polls with their husbands telling them it is time to vote. The men are Trump supporters and want their 'women-folk' to 'toe the line' and vote for Donnie as well. The ladies walk to their voting stations and instead vote for Harris and then tell their husbands they did as they were told. Keystone talks about this in the front matter of this article. Decades ago, families voted a certain way but nowadays husbands and wives often cancel each other out. There are Tik Tok and other videos showing women dancing and doing other antics celebrating that they voted for Harris canceling out their husband's vote. Trump needed to kiss Nikki Haley's butt to win over the one-fifth disgruntled republican voters, especially women, but he figures all of these votes will come home to him on Election Day and kiss his ring. This election may have the most split-ticket voting ever seen in recent decades. Some republicans that did not want to join the new retrumplican party may vote for the republicans for the House and Senate but leave the president slot blank or vote for Harris. Some democrats that are unhappy with the woke stuff and incompetent leadership in the country, will vote for Harris but be more choosy for House and Senate candidates even picking a republican if he or she is a competent manager. The themes of the election are women, machismo, abortion, 'not Trump', 'first woman president', inflation/economy, competency, immigration/crime, and of course, garbage.

Note Added Thursday Afternoon, Halloween, 10/31/24, at 5:00 PM EST: Newsmax (republican-run media) says Joe Rogan told Kill Tony not to do the Puerto Rico joke. The plot thickens. Was Rogan the guy in charge of reviewing the comedic material for the Trump team? The 'garbage' talk is fading into the background with both corrupt political parties getting as much mileage as possible from the Kill Tony joke and Biden gaff.

Trump is in the southwestern states courting the Latino votes. In New Mexico, a state that should go for the democrats, the orange head proclaimed, "Your votes are rigged." Is this what people want in a president? He is in Arizona at a Tucker Carlson-hosted event. Trump verbally attacks Liz Cheny, a never-Trumper republican that is voting for Harris, using graphic derogatory language and talking about executions. Donnie is mad at Cheney because she was on the panel that investigated his behavior during the 1/6/21 Capitol Hill riot. King Trump turned the republicans against Cheney forcing her out of the party and crippling her political career. Her Dad, Dick Cheney, was vice president for President George W Bush. Trump decrees, "She's (Liz Cheney) a deranged person. She always wanted to go to war with people. I don't want to go to war. She wanted to go, she wanted to stay in Syria, I took them out, she wanted to stay in Iraq, I took them out, I mean, if it were up to her we'd, we'd be in 50 different countries. I don't blame him (former Vice President Dick Cheney) for sticking with his daughter, but his daughter is a very dumb individual, very dumb (audience laughs). She's a radical war hawk, let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, let's see how she feels about it, you know when the guns are trained on her face. You know, they're all war hawks when they are sitting in Washington in a nice building saying ah gee, well, let's a, let's a send 10,000 troops right into the mouth of the enemy. But she's a stupid person. She always wanted to go to war with people." That is tough talk from little Donnie that had a doctor sign a paper that he had bone spurs in his tiny feet to get out of going into the military during Vietnam. Poor kids go to war; not rich kids. Trump was an athlete all through school but developed foot problems when he knew it would be his arse on the line in Nam. He is not a tough guy. He's a joke. Cheney quickly responds saying, "This is how dictators destroy free nations. They threaten those who speak against them with death." This story has legs. The Trump team steps in to do damage control and says that Donnie was making the point that the people deciding about war are not the ones that fight it. He could have simply said that without using incendiary and hateful language metaphorically pointing nine barrels at Cheney's head. Carlson was frozen in place as Trump went on his rampage against Liz Cheney with a look on his face that he did not want to be associated with such violent language directed against another human being, but Tucker lies in bed with Donnie and will support the vitriol. Both corrupt political parties are experiencing unforced errors down the stretch but will it matter? Everybody probably already decided how they will vote; some people like to show up on Election Day for the sake of tradition. Will Donnie's machismo manly strategy win against Kamala's 'year of the woman' strategy? Are the women walking around winking at one another a secret signal that they voted for Harris?

Harris is in Nevada courting the Latino voters with help from famous singer Jennifer Lopez (J Lo). Harris seizes on remarks from Trump about immigration proclaiming that he will protect women and, "I'm going to do it whether the women like it or not." It is interesting that Donnie refers to the female sex as "the women" rather than simply saying "women." Harris says the comments are offensive and show a lack of respect for women. Harris decrees, "He (Trump) does not believe women should have the agency and authority to make decision about their own bodies. He simply does not respect the freedom of women or the intelligence of women to know what's in their own best interest and make decisions accordingly." Now that the 'garbage' talk is fading, Harris will be pimping this new theme that 'Trump thinks he is a protector of women' over the next four days. It is reported in a few media sources that Trump campaign staff told him to not frame himself as a protector of women as if they are too frail and unable to protect themselves, but he went in that direction anyway.

Over 60 million Americans have voted already about 40% of the electorate matching the early turnout in the 2016 race. 70% of voters took the early voting option in 2020 as the country was fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. Pennsylvania data shows republicans are voting early in greater numbers than prior elections. Trump lost the 2020 election because he stupidly told his supporters to not vote early and instead wait until the day of the election; that was asinine and a disastrous decision. Trump remedies his 2020 mistake now supporting early voting with open arms.

Harris capitalizes on the comments from Speaker Johnson on Monday about potentially nixing the Affordable Care Act. Senior citizens are concerned about what Trump has planned but as usual, he and Johnson do not provide details. At the debate, Trump said he has "concepts" of what changes he would make to the ACA and that was met with collective groans on both sides of the aisle. The Trump camp is becoming increasingly worried about the perception that the republicans want to drastically modify the Affordable Care Act. J D Vance, Trump's running mate, appears on the Joe Rogan podcast only a few days after Trump. The republicans are kissing the Rogan ring pimping the machismo mood. The topics include COVID-19, transgender folks, radical Islamists and pop culture. The interview does not receive much attention with all the other drama occurring.

Harris surrogate billionaire Mark Cuban sticks his foot in his mouth on "The View" television show where women sit around on their fat behinds mouthing-off about politics. Cuban proclaims, "Trump, you never see him around strong and intelligent women, ever." Ladies, why do men keep saying stupid stuff? Republican operatives quickly slam the statement. Cuban is active on social media so the statement receives lots of attention especially from young people. It is like the Biden gaff calling Trump supporters garbage. Of course there are smart and intelligent women around Trump. Cuban is a dufus. Trump does appear to have hang-ups in interacting with women and talking about women, but he does have plenty of smart ladies around providing input just like Harris. Right when Harris is gaining traction with her new theme emphasizing that women favor her more than Trump, Cuban harpoons the discussion. Bloomberg reports that 55% of the early voting in the swing states is women running at about the same pace as 2020.

Note Added Thursday Evening, Halloween, 10/31/24, at 10:00 PM EST: Pennsylvania courts rule that the mail-in voting in Bucks County will be extended by three days. Trump and the McCormick Senate campaign in Pennsylvania filed the lawsuit after people stood in long lines and were turned away from voting in the republican-leaning county. In Pennsylvania's Senate race, incumbent democrat Bob Casey faces off against republican challenger Dave McCormick that lost to Fetterman for a House seat in 2022. The court ruling will slightly benefit republicans. In North Carolina, about two-thirds of the electorate have already voted and the republicans have their chests puffed out claiming future victory in this swing state. North Carolina and Georgia will likely go for Trump. The real fun on Election Day begins with Pennsylvania. Republicans are cheering the early voting in Nevada claiming that the results are going their way including bringing in lots of new young voters. The Trump camp promises that the 'results will be apocalyptic for democrats' in Nevada. Of course they do. Are Trump surrogates bragging that Trump is in position to easily win the election to convince people that he was cheated if he loses? With only a few days remaining until Election Day, the Trumpsters are confident thinking they will ride to victory on Tuesday while the democrats, that tend to be more pessimistic, are worried about the tight race. An objective opinion on the race right now is that Harris has a slight edge based on anecdotal factors and a potential stealth woman vote but polls indicate that Trump has the slight advantage. The democrats are talking about a stealth woman vote that may drive the entire election (women voting for Harris including those married to domineering men that tell them to vote for Donnie). 

Note Added Friday Morning, 11/1/24, at 4:11 AM EST: Real Clear Politics pollsters say that New Hampshire is now a toss-up state so the four Electoral College votes may flip from the democrat camp into the republican camp (unlikely). Trump should be focused on Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan (Blue Wall; the Great Lakes battleground states that lean democrat) rather than spending time in states that will likely go democrat such as New Hampshire and New Mexico. Incompetent Democrat Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold is caught-up in a scandal where she posted a spreadsheet to the government website but it contained voting-machine passwords. The public caught the mistake and Colorado is scrambling to remedy the situation. Americans want competent people in government and this was a key theme of the 2022 mid-term elections, along with abortion, and these issues should remain front and center to voters on Tuesday.

Note Added Friday Morning, 11/1/24, at 6:19 AM EST: Real Clear Politics reiterates its favorable numbers for Trump saying the orange head is up +0.3% country-wide and up +0.9% in the swing states. Republicans puff their chests out and are already designing landscape changes for the Rose Garden. Elon Musk did not show up in court yesterday for a hearing on his $1 million daily giveaway to Trump supporters that others allege is a scheme to buy votes. Both sides stated their case and the judge moves the matter into the federal court system. Outspoken NBA basketball star and activist LeBron James endorses Harris and posts a derogatory montage video about Trump on the X (Twitter) platform under his handle 'King James'. LeBron insinuates that Trump has racist tendencies and does not like black people. The vitriol is at fevers pitch with the Tuesday Election Day approaching fast, but not quick enough to stop the excessive negativity. As previously mentioned, the majority of Trump detractors and opponents do not think the orange head is racist, or Hitler, or a threat to democracy, they simply think that Donnie is an *sshole, and they do not want to vote for an *sshole. Do not overthink it.

Both Harris and Trump plan rallies this evening in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, only 7 miles apart. They will eat cheese hoping to win votes. In Pennsylvania, the television and radio political ads are non-stop with Harris ads dominant probably because they have more money to spend than Donnie. In Pittsburgh, at Point State Park, preparations are underway for a rally and concert on Monday night, Election Eve, hosted by Kamala Harris. Sue-happy Trump files court papers against CBS News and the "60 Minutes" show concerning an interview with Vice President Harris. Trump claims the editing of the interview placed him at a disadvantage in the election. Baby Trump, King Cry Baby, knows the lawsuit has zero merit and it will go nowhere but Donnie sues for the publicity and attention. Perhaps campaign funds are thin so Trump is getting innovative to keep the cameras focused on his orange head. The US Monthly Jobs Report is only 12K jobs created versus the 100K expected. The republicans seize the data and proclaim that the Biden-Harris team are failures. In reality, the number was expected to be low due to the disruptions in the labor market created by ongoing strikes and storms.

Note Added Friday Afternoon, 11/1/24, at 3:00 PM EST: CNBC media reports on Musk's American PAC handling the door to door canvassing and ground game for Donnie Trump. Everyone has their greedy hands on the $100 million of Elon's money in the super PAC that split the Trump ground game among four companies; Blitz canvassing, Echo Canyon Consulting, Patriot Grassroots and The Synapse Group. A stink develops with canvassers not carrying out their duties but reporting that they made contact with the potential voter. This calls into question the data that the Trump team is referencing for the election since many of the folks in the ground game may be padding their reports collecting money for little work. Elon Musk believes that his ground game will be successful at placing Trump in the Whitehouse again but what does a glorified golf cart (EV) maker (Tesla) know about political strategy? Trump's orange mouth is salivating while reviewing the successful ground game data but does not know that much of it may have been made from whole cloth.

Republicans are bragging that low-propensity voters, these are new voters, are showing up in large numbers for early voting. The GOP (Grand Ole Party; republicans) is thinking the election is in the bag for Trump because of this data but are they blinded by the obvious? They cite the southern and southwestern states for this data and those are the exact states that folks from New York and the northeast, sick of the democrats, left to move south. These people, mostly republicans, flocked to the Carolina's, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Texas, Arizona (they say it's a dry heat), and New Mexico. Maybe the reason these states see an uptick in republican voter registrations is because these are the displaced people sick of living in democrat-run cities that moved to the red states?

The Access Hollywood tape from nine years ago of Trump talking on the bus about handling women in a sexual manner with quotes like, "Grab them by the p*ssy, you can do anything (to women when you are rich or a star)." Generation Z young people are seeing the tape for the first time as it goes viral on social internet. Everyone thought Donnie's campaign in 2016 was cooked because of his dirty words on the bus but his wife Melania saved the day saying in her cute accent that he was talking "boy talk" or lockerroom talk. The country moved on and Trump won the presidency. What do young people think of Trump's braggadocio, foul language and sick opinion about what he can do to women?

Republicans continue exuding confidence that Trump will win the election and are spending time and resources on states that are slightly on the democrat side such as New Hampshire, Virginia, Minnesota, New Mexico, Nevada and New Jersey. The Trump team must have reasons for feeling confident or they may be creating this happy vibe to help make the case that he was cheated if he loses. Time will tell. Trump spending time in New Mexico, Minnesota, Virginia and those other states listed may be analogous to the football player, a pass receiver, that is looking downfield and thinking about which way to run (other marginal states) before he has the ball (swing states) but this distraction in thinking causes him to not catch the ball (lose the election). In other words, Donnie needs to focus on the swing states namely Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. These results will be reported first on Tuesday evening. Trump should win Georgia and North Carolina. If he loses either one, he is in for a long night. Trump is on tap for four visits to North Carolina down this home stretch that makes you think that he does not have the state as locked-up as the republican surrogates claim.

Note Added Friday Evening, 11/1/24, at 8:00 PM EST: Arizona Attorney General Mayes is looking into investigating former President Trump for a potential death threat against Liz Cheney. If you were an average citizen and made aggressive threats against someone like Trump did, you will likely do 3 months in the county lock-up. Do not ever threaten to kill someone because if your temper takes over and you spew threats, you will be spending a few weeks in a jail cell with Guido and Tony and there are only two bunks. Nothing will happen to Trump; it is the silly season and the courts do not want bothered. The vitriol from both sides will continue into Tuesday. Trump continues damage control after his Liz Cheney verbal attack. If you are explaining, you are losing. King Donnie should be talking about the economy and the weak 12K jobs number this morning, a key election issue, but instead he is trying to clean-up his stupid *sshole remarks about Liz Cheney.

A stink develops at the Whitehouse when Biden's staff alters the transcript of Sleepy Joe's garbage comment. The Whitehouse officials add an apostrophe trying to make it sound like Biden was only directing his garbage comment at the comedian that made the Puerto Rico garbage joke and not the Trump supporters he called garbage, but no one is buying it. The stenographer is upset that someone would alter her work. Are you starting to understand America's crony capitalism system?

Surprisingly, Trump doubles down on the ignorant comments directed at Liz Cheney. On route to the Milwaukee rally this evening at a couple of stops, Trump proclaims, "I think that Liz Cheney is a disaster. All she wants to do is blow people up, she's a war hawk, and a dumb one at that, and if you ever put her in the field of battle, she would be the first one to chicken-out, she wouldn't fight. She's a coward. She's a war hawk and wants to go kill people unnecessarily. She's a disgrace." It is obvious that Donnie hates Liz Cheney with every fiber of his being. He calls her a coward when he is the one that suddenly felt bone spurs on his foot when Vietnam came calling. It is an ugly look for Trump with the election approaching fast. Donnie should not be attacking a woman with such vitriol during the final days of the campaign when he can be talking about the economy. Trump is his own worst enemy but if he loses the election he will blame everyone else except himself. That's Our Donnie.

The dueling rallies in Milwaukee take place tonight as both candidates try to focus on final messages that may win over the small number of voters that remain undecided. Harris speaks for one-half hour while Trump speaks for an hour and one-half. Donnie once again claims he won the 2020 election. This is why many Americans think the orange head is an *sshole and will not vote for him; he cannot admit that he lost the election against Biden. The dufus still does not understand that each time he says he won the 2020 election he loses votes. He touts the nonsense to throw red meat to his base, including the boot-lickers that show up at the rallies, thinking a big turnout by his base will be better than telling the truth about an election that happened four years ago. We will find out on Tuesday.

Famous singer Cardi B joins Kamala Harris at the rally. Harris says Trump remains consumed with "grievance" and she is obviously correct based on the ugly display of hatred directed at Liz Cheney. Donnie wants to win the election so he can pardon himself out of his legal problems and at the same time seek revenge on political opponents. Those are not goals that help Americans. Harris says that Trump's attacks against Cheney make him "unqualified" for the presidency. Kamala Harris repeats the line about giving people that disagree with her a seat at the table. She also repeats that Trump wants to come to power with an 'enemies list' while she wants to show up for work at the Oval Office with a "to-do list." Harris is staying on message better than Trump but stay tuned since things seem to flip back and forth day by day or hour by hour.

The federal court sends the lawsuit against Elon Musk's $1 million daily giveaway for Trump supporters back to the state court. The election is Tuesday so the case will likely go nowhere and be ditched once the votes are counted. The Supreme Court rules that Pennsylvania may count the back-up provisional ballots when the mail ballots are rejected. People make mistakes, such as forgetting to use the secrecy envelope, when voting by mail and these ballots must be rejected. However, a provisional ballot can be placed if the voter thinks they made a mistake or if they are contacted by the election office. The decision may impact only a few thousand votes but in a tight contest, the provisional ballots in Pennsylvania may become a central focus.

Note Added Saturday, 11/2/24: President Biden is headed to Scranton, Pennsylvania, today, his birthplace, to help with the Harris campaign (that is likely praying that Sleepy Joe, with is onset of dementia and Alzheimer's, does not do harm by saying something stupid again). Professor and historian Allan Lichtman repeats his prediction that Kamala Harris will win the election. Lichtman, over his 42 year career, relies on his '13 keys to the Whitehouse' that has predicted nine of the last 10 presidential elections. Although he stands by his Harris prediction, Lichtman remains nervous about the outcome. Georgia's early voting ends yesterday with over 4 million people participating; more than the 2020 tally.

Trump announces plans for a final rally Monday night at Grand Rapids, Michigan, where he will court the Arab-American vote he hopes will make a difference in winning the state. The rally will be from 6 PM local time to midnight with Donnie speaking at 10:30 PM. The seven purple swing states (Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada and Arizona) are receiving all the attention for this election cycle with the other 43 red and blue states looking like chopped liver already committing to their respective camps (California is democrat, Texas is republican, etc...). Harris needs the 'Blue Wall' (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan) to win that is why Donnie's final rally is in Michigan and Kamala's is in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Trump calls in to the "Fox & Friends" cable news television weekend morning show on Fox News (republican-run media) proclaiming, "The most beautiful word is tariffs." His voice is going hoarse from the final push towards Election Day. The couch-sitting talking heads commiserate with Donnie sympathizing with each of his grievances.

Liz Cheney makes a plea to former President George W Bush to endorse Harris and denounce Trump's violent rhetoric about pointing gun barrels at her face. Speaking of faces, there are several pictures of Donnie Trump's face circulating on social media showing his orange make-up, or bronzer, or whatever that stuff is that makes his noggin orange. People are posting funny messages and memes about he orange make-up. The demarcation line between his pale white old man skin and his orange tone is clearly visible around his forehead and down in front of his ears. Maybe he will fire the make-up girl next. He must buy that orange bronzer stuff by the case.

Trump talks cryptically about a secret deal he has with fellow republican Speaker of the House Johnson but does not elaborate. This leads to speculation by the media and political junkies that the two of them may not permit the finalization of the election results if Trump loses. Speaker Johnson is asked about the 'secret deal' with Trump and he plays coy saying that the former president simply meant to get out the vote (yeah, sure). It is not a good look for Trump going into Election Day. What is Trump and Johnson planning? Can they be trusted?

Trump is doing rallies in North Carolina and Virginia today while Harris will be stumping in Georgia and North Carolina. J D Vance plans on visiting North Carolina, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire tomorrow. Tim Walz is in Arizona. The candidates are crisscrossing the swing states trying to eek out every last vote.

Trump surrogate and republican Florida Representative Byron Donalds appears on CNN (democrat-run media) on the "Smerconish" television show. Donalds is asked if there are any regrets about Trump not making Nikki Haley a bigger part of the campaign; she could have helped with the female vote. Interestingly, Donalds says it is Haley that should have beat down Trump's door to help with the campaign not the other way around where Trump must kiss her butt. That is Trump's lousy personality; he still has not learned that he is the one running for office so by definition he needs to kneel and kiss butt not the other way around. Donnie may lose the election due to the female vote and that would be his own fault for refusing to court Nikki Haley and her followers. Donalds is Trump's little b*tch that grovels at Donnie's feet and does not understand why everyone does not want to kneel in front of the orange one and kiss his wingtips. It is funny. Donalds kisses Donald's dupa.

Things are not going smoothly for Donnie today. Did he peak one-week too early as Kamala ramps-up and peaks going into the Tuesday election? Trump has trouble with the podium microphones at two of the events today and his patience is tested. He wants to fire the people involved in the sound equipment. Trump says he will go backstage and knock heads continuing his machismo election strategy. Donnie is the "Macho Man." He probably has a pair of chaps in the closet.

A scandal develops at a Mt Pleasant, Pennsylvania, parade when one of the participants is a golf cart with a Trump sign. A person is dressed up in a suit and red tie and wearing a Trump mask standing on the back of the golf cart. A mock gun is on tap to simulate a sniper. A rope is tethered from the back end of the golf cart to the hands of a lady dressed in a red suit that looks like Kamala Harris. She is walking behind the golf cart bound by the rope like a prisoner. Some say it simulates a lynching but that is reading a little more into the tasteless parade float. People complain about how a political display got into a parade that was supposed to be fun. Officials are pointing fingers at one another and there is nothing that can be done now that the parade is over. Mt Pleasant is a nice community and residents are mad that the town is now labeled as endorsing a tasteless and vulgar Trump parade float. Why do people think that a shameful display like this will win any votes? It actually chases people away. No one wants associated with such trash.

72 million people have voted thus far in the US election. Based on the 158 million that voted in 2020, over 45% of the electorate have voted; call it 50% or one-half the electorate. That is a big early voting crowd but analysts still cannot ascertain who it advantages. Humorously, Trump operatives say their data indicates that it is better to be Trump right now than Harris, however, the Harris operatives say their data shows that it is better to be Harris now than Trump. Flip a coin.

The Drudge Report (democrat-run media) drops a bombshell this evening saying that the Des-Moines Register poll in the red state Iowa swings into Harris's favor by 47% to 44%. It is a shocking development. The democrat-run media cheers the poll calling it, and Ann Selzer, the lady behind the poll, the gold standard. Is there a stealth woman vote that is checking the box for Harris no matter what the ladies are telling coworkers, friends, or even their hubby? A deeper dive of the Iowa data shows that the rural women are voting for Kamala Harris and this is likely sending shivers up King Trump's orange spine. If this newly identified, potential, trend with women breaking for Harris appears in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, that are not physically far from Iowa (Wisconsin and Iowa share a border), Trump is toast and we will have our first female president next week. King Donnie needs to tell the macho men that are voting for him to tell their 'women folk' to 'toe the line' and vote for him (this strategy may not be working out too well; the ladies know they have a mind of their own and may be fed up with men running the country). Harris is from Venus and Trump is from Mars. Is the election women versus men? More women vote than men and this holds true during early voting.

Trump talks at three rallies today. He still claims to have won the 2020 election but now describes it as "things happened" during that election. He is an a-hole that cannot admit he lost the last election. It is nauseating. You can see the narrative that he is developing a mile away. If he wins this time around, he will probably decree himself the winner of the 2020 election in some manner. It is sickening stuff that does not help the American people. Donnie implies that the robust turnout in early voters are all his supporters and he is running away with the election win. It is more a-hole talk and another narrative he is building in case he loses. In truth, there is not enough data available about the early voting to indicate an advantage for Trump or Harris. Why is it so hard for everyone to tell the truth nowadays? Trump calls himself the "Father of Fertilization" referring to IVF (in vitro fertilization) that the dufus did not fully understand until last week. Donnie is a piece of work.

As Trump speaks claiming that Kamala Harris never worked at McDonalds, an audience member yells, "she worked on a street corner." Trump hears the comment and pauses, and agrees with the audience member, everyone laughs and cheers, and then he tells the rally attendees to remember that he is not saying that, others are saying that. Why would anyone want to be at a rally where you cheer and laugh at calling a woman, vying for the presidency, a prostitute? Trump introduced insult politics into the election game in 2016 when he first called Jeb Bush "low energy." The era of insult politics was born. Trump's insults, name-calling and petty politicking is getting old.

Trump stupidly claims that the right track/wrong track poll is at 90% saying the country is on the wrong track. The orange head loses credibility with his non-stop embellishments of daily topics; the half-truths, or lies, makes him an unbelievable and unserious person. The right track/wrong track poll typically tracks at about two-thirds of the country leaning in one direction or the other and this time is no different. 60% to 67%, call it a little less than two-thirds of the voters, believe the country is on the wrong track (based on 13 current polls). Donnie was only about 30 percentage points off with his embellishment, or lie. Nonetheless, Trump is waving the right track/wrong track banner, as he should, because when the country believes it is on the wrong track, they vote for the challenger not the incumbent. This is why Trump lost in 2020. As explained in the right track/wrong track section in the front matter of this article, this time is different because Trump was booted from office because he was on the wrong track (he has the taint of the wrong track). Also, Harris is not the incumbent; that would be Sleepy Joe Biden. The indicator is a great predictor of the winner, which explains Trump's braggadocio at the rally this evening, and you would rather be Trump than Harris based on the right track/wrong track poll, but is it different this time because he was on the wrong track four years ago? Biden is on the wrong track now. Who is the fresh candidate not specifically-tied to the wrong track? We will find out if the highly-reliable right track/wrong track poll is correct next week, or, if this time is different since both Trump and Biden have been labeled as wrong track politicians over the last four years.

Kamala Harris appears on the comedy show "Saturday Night Live" that leans left keeping step with Hollywood (negative jokes and skits are directed at Trump while Harris receives a softer touch). James Austin Johnson is the hilarious comedian impersonating Donald Trump. Maya Rudolph is the comedian that impersonates Kamala Harris. It is funny stuff.

Note Added Sunday, 11/3/24: A poll in the coveted Erie County in northwestern Pennsylvania, that has picked all the presidential winners in recent elections, is deadlocked at 48% for Harris and 48% for Trump. Pennsylvania, and its 67 counties, remains the key state that will likely decide the next president and a summary of polls show the contest tied. People are holding their nose and voting. The democrat votes come from the Greater Pittsburgh region that is Allegheny County in the western side of the state, and from the Greater Philadelphia area in the southeastern side of the state. The counties in the middle are republican votes so the election pits city folk against country folk but in Pennsylvania we do not look at it that way; we are all a blend of each. Everyone gets along in these parts and universally agree that Wednesday will be a great day since the political ads will disappear.

In Pittsburgh, the crews at Point State Park are breaking-down the stage, speakers, lighting and equipment at the Kamala Harris "get out the vote concert" that is now canceled. The workers say the event will no longer occur at Point State Park but do not know the new location. The Harris team has not disclosed where a rally would occur on Monday night. Was Harris concerned that Donnie was going to show-up in Pittsburgh on Monday directly ahead of her event to ruin it if he could? It looks like he did. As of now, the Harris camp does not know where Kamala's final event will take place. Rain is not an issue since Pittsburgh is heading into a several-day warm-up period and it remains seasonally warm in the area. Kamala is in search of a venue.

A stink develops after Kamala Harris's appearance on SNL last evening. The FCC's equal time rule says a licensed broadcaster must provide equal time to competing political candidates. SNL would have needed to send an invitation to Donald Trump in addition to Kamala Harris but the Trump team says no invitation was received. It is dirty political tricks and the Hollywood and New York City democrats are putting their thumbs on the scale for Harris. Nothing can be done since the election is on Tuesday and the show does not air again until next weekend so the FCC will likely investigate and fine SNL and its parent companies.

538's Nate Silver predicts that Donald Trump will win the election at 55% odds compared to Kamala Harris with a 45% chance. 74 million people have voted with 56% women and 43% men. Women are outvoting men by double-digits. An ABC Nes/Ipsos poll released this morning shows that 74% of likely voters feel the country is on the wrong track an outlier above the consensus discussed above but it spells trouble for Harris if the American people paint her with the same Biden wrong track brush. Why are the polls tied if two-thirds to three-quarters of the country feel we are on the wrong track? Shouldn't Trump be way ahead? Biden was four years ago from 5 to 10 percentage points or more across the board with the individual states benefitting from Trump on the wrong track. Perhaps the right track/wrong track key poll may not matter as much this time around because the election is a referendum on Trump.

Harris is campaigning in Michigan. Trump begins the day in Pennsylvania and here we go again. The idiot proclaims that he should have never left the Whitehouse in early 2021. Isn't it nauseating? The orange head is unable to admit that he lost the 2020 election. The closing statement should be positive and encourage people to go to the polls to vote but instead Donnie beats that same dead 2020 election horse. Festivus must be Trump's favorite holiday since he likes to air his grievances. Trump says that he hopes he can get rid of fellow republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell as soon as possible. These two men dislike each other although McConnell has endorsed Trump.

Trump talks about the bulletproof glass on the stage around him and then points at the journalists calling them "fake news." Donnie proclaims, "To get me someone would have to shoot through the fake news, but I don't mind that." Trump is pumping out the dark rhetoric and harsh language trying to gin up the last votes in his base especially the rough and tough Philadelphians. Women do not respond well to the violent and shoot-em-up talk but he is probably going after young macho men for votes. Democrats are becoming quietly confident as Trump says weird stuff. A phrase around the Harris campaign is that they are "nauseously optimistic." Trump's voice is going hoarse.

ABC News reports that Trump is stiffing many local governments and businesses in several cities. Trump's shares of security costs such as extra police on duty accrue without Donnie pulling out the checkbook. There are collection agencies trying to recover the money from the orange headed deadbeat. Trump is a billionaire without any money.

NBC network (democrat-run media and home of SNL) provides equal air time to Donald Trump after the FCC raised concerns about Kamala Harris's appearance on the SNL comedy show. Donnie talks for a couple minutes during the Sunday Night Football game receiving free air time from NBC that is likely trying to avoid license trouble with the FCC.

Note Added Monday, 11/4/24: Vice President Harris will spend the day in Pennsylvania with events planned at Pittsburgh, Allentown and Philadelphia. She will host a "get out the vote" rally in Allentown followed by a rally and concert in Philly featuring Oprah, Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin. Donnie Trump plans to visit North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan. He has an event planned at PPG Paints Arena (where the Pittsburgh Penguins NHL hockey team plays) and then a final rally with the Arab-Americans in Grand Rapids, Michigan, this evening.

Many talking head republicans, especially on AM talk radio, are rabid about a Trump win and consider it all but certain. The confidence is off the charts and one host proclaims that Trump will take Pennsylvania and most of the swing states. Others republicans say it will not even be close with Trump walking away with an easy win. Much of the republican braggadocio is based on early voting. King Donnie embraced early voting in this election cycle and his loyal subjects followed orders. It may be false hope on the republican side since all that matters is the total votes. Duh.

Trump keeps calling 2020 a rigged election and in part blames the early voting where the democrats dominated republicans and Biden went on to win that contest. Thus, the republican tribe thinks if they have a robust turnout for early voting, they will emerge victorious. Huh? If you have 100 voters, let us say 60 are voting for the blue team and 40 for the red team. If 30 of the red team show up for early voting and 25 of the blue team, the red team will brag that they have it in the bag. Alas, as the Election Day voting is included, the end result is 60 to 40 with the blue team winning.

It is difficult to grasp the republican reasoning for optimism around early voting but we should know the result this week. They are placing a lot of confidence in the new republican registrations over the last few months. If the republicans run away with it as many on their side proclaim, the early voting strategy will be a proven winner and it made a big difference growing the tent. If Trump loses again, however, the example in the previous paragraph would play out, and all that matters is who has the most votes in the end. The optimism on the republican side has many democrats extremely worried about the week ahead. Is the republican expectation for a handy win by Donnie Trump valid optimism or blind optimism?

The Iowa poll showing Harris ahead of Trump is receiving lots of attention. Analysts say a closer look shows older women breaking for Harris in the final days. Another voting group that has received little attention is colleges. The democrats may be able to run up votes for Harris with a big showing of young college-age liberals if their ground game was effective.

Trump wears a long black duster coat as the final day of campaigning begins. Hollywood Donnie wants someone, anyone, to comment that he looks like Clint Eastwood in the spaghetti western movies (rough and tough cowboys would don long dusters) so then he can brag and say that everyone thinks he looks like a macho he-man with that long coat. It is imagery he is trying to use to keep pumping the young male macho vote. That is a glimpse into Donnie's childlike mind. Trump is no Clint Eastwood. Donnie is more like Howdy Doody, orange hair and all. 

Trump continues to talk about stupid stuff during his closing speeches. He goes through a spiel about Harris doing a bad job and proclaims, "Kamala, you're fired, get the Hell out" and the crowd goes wild. The barbarians are at the door. Trump bashes Fox News that has tried to go more neutral with news and politics. Donnie prefers Newsmax and OAN. Trump denigrates Michelle Obama because she said disparaging things about him. He calls Nancy Pelosi a "bad, sick woman. She's crazy as a bedbug." Trump comments on when then Speaker Pelosi tore up Trump's speech during a State of the Union address and says, "She could've gone to jail for that." Pelosi was a lowlife for ripping up that speech and it is one of the biggest negatives of her legacy. Even in her heart of hearts, she would likely not do that again if given a second chance; it was ignorant and petty. Donnie's closing message is this hodgepodge grievance stuff and only small mentions of jobs, inflation, economy, immigration and crime. 

Harris is barnstorming across Pennsylvania. She is no longer mentioning Trump by name. She is trying to focus on a positive message in contrast to Trump's darker and macho message. Harris decrees, "We all have so much more in common than what separates us. There is power in that." Both candidates are promising the sun and the moon to anyone that joins their hive. There is 8% of the voters remaining that have not made a decision so these procrastinators will decide who becomes president.

Over 79 million people have voted so one-half of the expected vote is already in the bag and if the turnout is a bit light, perhaps due to voter apathy, over half of the electorate has already voted. Republicans puff their chests out with confidence because being ahead in early voting means the democrats have a tougher road ahead playing catch-up tomorrow. Republicans believe they have it in the bag because of the new registrations.

The election becomes even more strange with sticky notes. There is a stealth campaign occurring among women where little sticky notes are showing up in different places such as ladies rooms and the messages on the notes encourage women to vote for Harris. The notes say, "Your boyfriend or husband does not have to know how you vote," and "voting is your right," and "your vote is private and no one needs to know." The final tallies with the female vote will be interesting. It is guaranteed that men are not putting sticky notes on urinals.

Former Congresswoman Liz Cheney responds to Trump's rhetoric directed against her opining, "He knows what he's doing. He knows it's a threat to intimidate. Obviously, the intimidation won't work."

The reason that the Harris camp cancelled the rally and concert at Point State Park, where the three rivers meet in the heart of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is because of Secret Service concerns. It was too risky of a venue to maintain safety. That is a shame since an event by the fountain would have been great. It is likely too wide open of an area that overlooks the rivers on each side.

The event is moved to Carrie Furnaces in Rankin, Pennsylvania, an old industrial blast furnace site. A blast furnace is a seven-story tall vessel where limestone, coke, iron ore and gases are added, mixed and heated producing hot molten steel that flows out the bottom of the tower like bright red water and is poured into ingots and molds. The Harris crowd is huge and you would think you are looking at a Trump rally. Young students are bussed in from local colleges such as nearby Pitt University (that explains the crowd) and the young people say they are excited to vote for the first time. Harris wants the backdrop of a huge blast furnace behind her (it is all about imagery) to stress how she will bring back manufacturing jobs. As Billy Shakespeare said, "All the world's a stage, and all the men and women merely players (actors)." Katy Perry is supposed to appear at the event so the young people will want to hear "Hot N Cold." Harris will be here shortly and then fly back to Philly for the last event of the evening.

Wow. Donnie begins speaking and behind him is a sea of pink signs that say "Women for Trump." This is very telling. It appears that the Trump team is scrambling in the eleventh hour for the female vote so perhaps their own data must be showing the election breaking towards Harris because of the women? Trump's macho man strategy is not looking as smart so they ditched the machismo and Donnie goes pink.

Nikki Haley, that received tens of thousands of female votes in the republican primary elections, even after she dropped out of the race, would have stumped for Donnie but he did not want to bring her on board (she had dared to challenge King Trump so she is now blackballed from the retrumplican party). It is comical. Donnie's campaign flipped a switch going from macho to feminine in a heartbeat. Trump may have sensed something was up with the women vote because the rumor mill says he asked aids two days ago, "Why don't women like me?"

Podcaster Joe Rogan posts his 3-hour long interview with Elon Musk on X (Twitter) and endorses Trump at this eleventh hour. Who has time to sit down for those 3-hour interviews since that would take up an entire day? Hey Musk, aren't you supposed to be running a car company? Who has the time to sit and listen to a podcast for 3 hours? If you do that, you are probably not successful in life. Rogan proclaims, "If it wasn't for him (Musk) we'd be f$#&ed. He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way. For the record, yes, that's an endorsement of Trump." Rogan, the Musk fanboy, decides to kneel before King Trump to lick his wingtips. Joey wants to be in the Donnie and Elon club.

Trump is at the Pittsburgh rally when the Rogan endorsement news comes across Twitter. Donnie immediately plays up the endorsement to the cheering crowd. After Pittsburgh, Trump appears in Grand Rapids, Michigan, hoping to play spoiler up there by courting the Arab-American vote. It is Donald Trump's last campaign rally perhaps ever. Trump's family joins him on stage except for his wife, Melania, and daughter Ivanka, and her husband Jared, that played a big role in the first administration. Did Melania have to wash her hair? (A chick that does not want to go out with a guy that likes her will tell him she cannot go out because she has to wash her hair trying to let the guy down easy but also letting him know not to bother her anymore.) This is a huge night for Donnie and his wife decided to stay home and watch television instead.

J D Vance, Trump's running mate, receives criticism for referring to Harris as trash a couple days. The video is now receiving lots of air time on social media. Vance decrees, "In two days, we are going to take out the trash in Washington, DC, and the trash's name is Kamala Harris." Women typically do not respond well to such negative language especially directed at a woman.

Harris ends her campaign in Philadelphia with a rally and concert at the steps of the Philadelphia Art Museum (where the "Rocky" boxing movies filmed the famous scene with Rocky climbing the steps during his jogging and training). Lady Gaga sings "God Bless America" and other songs but fans probably wanted more including "Telephone."

Tomorrow is the big day. Both candidates say they have done everything possible to win. As the popular sports metaphor says, "they left is all on the field." Humorously, the votes do not matter; the guy counting the votes matters. Nate Silver at 538 waters down his prediction still forecasting a Trump win but he calls it a "toss-up" at 51.5% to 48.1%. Editor Jon Ralston, that has a proven track record of successful predictions in past elections, is looking for Harris to edge out Trump by a hair.

In Keystone's backyard, in Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania, directly east of Allegheny County (Pittsburgh), plans are in place to count a big 53K mail-in ballots received at the courthouse. County officials say unofficial results of the 53K ballots should be available before midnight tomorrow. Westmoreland County is red for Trump while Allegheny county is blue for Harris. As mentioned in the yard sign section above, the enthusiasm for Trump here in Westmoreland County is about 75% to 80% of what it was four years ago (probably because of the Capitol Hill riot debacle where Trump refused to stop Americans from hurting and maiming each other, and Donnie's baby behavior continuing to say he won the 2020 election, and the Nikki Haley voters wanting to move on from the orange head) and there are no over the top displays such as people painting their roofs or farmers cutting fields with the Trump name.

If Trump loses, the decreased enthusiasm and signage in Westmoreland County would be a strong tell and key predictor of what was coming. If Trump wins, the lower enthusiasm in Westmoreland County would not have mattered since new registrations and voters coming into the republican, er retrumplican, party would win the day. The big plus for Donald Trump is the right track/wrong track poll that says the country is on the wrong track. Will this near flawless indicator be correct again, or, will it be nullified since Trump was on the wrong track four years ago and booted from office and voters may not blame Harris for Biden's current wrong track?

It is funny to hear people say that if you do not vote, you do not have a right to complain. The morons got it backwards. As comedian George Carlin would joke, it is the voters that have no right to complain. The voting jackasses have installed all the corrupt politicians over the last decades that have driven America into the sewer. All of you voters have no right to complain because you are the reason for the country failing. You did it. You have the blood on your hands. All of you created America's crony capitalism system that is now in its twilight years. The only people that have a right to complain are those that did not vote. 

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 3:00 AM EST: Election Day is here that determines the fate of King Donnie Trump and Queen Kamala Harris. Only one can be victorious and rule over the land from sea to shining sea. Everyone will be trying to read the tea leaves and get their hands on exit polls to see how the voting is progressing.

If there are lines at polls, you can guesstimate how the election is going by judging folks by stereotypes. Do not get your panties in a bunch if you are a woke person; it is all in good fun. First of all, count the men and women in line to gauge how that breakdown is going. If women are voting more than men by a margin of 12, 13, 14, and more, percentage points, Harris will be in clover. If the gap between men and women is small, single-digits, Trump is headed towards victory.

Then look at ethnicities, clothes and mannerisms. Everyone is judgmental these days, aren't they? If folks in line are people of color, or wearing tie-dye shirts, or rainbow colors, or have purple hair, or tattoos and piercings, or wearing sandals, or sporting a man-bun, or carrying a yoga mat, or pushing three children in a stroller, or smelling like booze or pot, or an unshaven young thin man that looks like he needs a hamburger, or a group of giddy girls, or any woman wearing pink, or any young person carrying a backpack or bag with a strap across their chest, or anyone in a hoodie, or any middle-aged person with a fanny pack, or anyone wearing a knit tossle cap, they are likely Harris voters.

If folks in line are over 60 years old and white, or wearing a suit and tie, or donning a red hat, or red shirt, or sporting any clothing item that is made from an American flag, or playing "God Bless the USA" on their smartphone, or wearing gold tennis shoes, or camo, or a middle-aged white guy wearing short pants, white tube socks and white tennis shoes, or a muscle-bound young guy wearing a Joe Rogan or ultimate fighting tee shirt, or anyone in a wife-beater tee shirt, or a blue-eyed, blond-haired woman in a cashmere sweater with a gold cross around her neck, or anyone with a ball cap sporting a team or NASCAR logo, or anyone in a cowboy hat, or western boots, they are Trump voters.

Republicans expect a big showing at the polls due to strong registrations that will combine with the robust early voting numbers sending Trump back to the Whitehouse. Watch the lines at the polls. If the people waiting to vote look more like Trump voters, Donnie probably does have it in the bag. If the people in line look more like the Harris voters, it will be a long night for Donnie.

Most polls open on the US East Coast at 6 or 7 AM EST but Dixville Notch in New Hampshire votes after midnight the first tiny precinct that kicks off the Election Day since 1960. The small hamlet has a population of 6 with 4 registered republicans and 2 undeclared. Last time, there was 5 votes and all went for Biden. Today, the votes are deadlocked at 3-3 reflecting the US polls that have Harris and Trump tied.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 7:00 AM EST: Polls open on the East Coast. Let the festivities begin. As Bette Davis told America many decades ago, "Fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy night."

Two voting sites in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) experience issues. The judge of elections is late in opening the Whitehall site. At another location, there is a mix-up on opening the polls. The poll workers are ready to go and the voting sites are opened in short order. Allegheny County will go democrat so Donnie Trump will not care that there were a couple of problems; he was probably cheering the headaches in Allegheny County. Cambria County, Pennsylvania, is also experiencing a software issue where the ballots cannot be scanned. They are working on a resolution and a judge stepped-in saying this polling site will be open until 10 PM EST. A precinct in Georgia is evacuated and there is a disruption in voting but the state runs tight elections and will remedy the situation.

Wisconsin and Michigan are experiencing cold and wet weather so Trump is singing and dancing. The ole political adage is that bad weather will keep more democrats away from the polls than republicans. The old joke is that democrats are sitting home eating bonbons in their bath robes and if it is rainy or snowy, it is easier to stay home and watch television, while the republicans are out and about working at their job or running a business like ever other day, so they will vote on their way to or from work regardless of weather. 

Donnie Trump and Melania vote in person and he takes a few questions. It sounds like he is still on the campaign trail with the same pat answers. Trump proclaims, "It won't even be close." He does not say for who. Close for him or close for Kamala?

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 12:00 PM EST: The DOJ is monitoring elections but the officials are not welcome in some of the red states. Some republicans consider the Department of Justice to be an arm of the Biden administration when it is supposed to function separately. In other words, the DOJ cannot be trusted. Texas and Missouri sue the DOJ over the monitors but the courts rule against the two states that must now allow access for the officials. Any transparency is better than none even from the crooked DOJ. Non-transparency and human greed (corruption) destroyed America demoting it into a crony capitalism system that now struggles for its final breaths.

Elon Musk and Donnie Trump plan on watching the election results together this evening at Mar-a-Lago continuing their bromance. Musk has seven kids. An evening of tumbling around on the family room rug with the kids and eating popcorn sounds like a lot more fun than spending a boring night with bloviating blowhards, but to each his own. Trump will probably stiff Musk with paying for the pizza. Joe Rogan will be mad that he is not invited to the bro party. Trump is also hosting a watch party event at the nearby convention center in addition to Mar-a-Lago and Donnie plans to speak there at some point this evening. Kamala Harris is having a watch party at Howard University, a prestigious, private and historically black university, in Washington, DC.

Both sides remain optimistic about the election results. Some people in lines are donning red ball caps but there are a lot of young people with backpacks (students?) and folks wearing hoodies. The lines do not appear dominated by women quite the contrary but the footage shown on television is from the early hours in the polls when people are going to work so many more voters are men. Kamala Harris is going to want to see more women voters as the day progresses. Tim Walz talks with reporters proclaiming, "We feel good about this (the election)." Both sides are pumping and pumping through the finish line today but someone is going to end up in the fetal position in a few hours.

Generally, most states say their election counts will occur faster than four years ago. There are long lines in Arizona. Exit polls should begin to confuse everyone a short time after 5 PM EST. Take the information with a grain of salt since sometimes the conclusions of the exit polls does not match the actual result.

Over 84 million people voted early about 53% of the 2020 turnout. Less women vote early compared to four years ago (pandemic) but the ladies are handily out voting the males currently. A lot of women interviewed by reporters as they exit the polls say that "women's rights" is their key issue. The concern over the abortion issue from the 2022 mid-term elections must be continuing into this election. When people do not want to say who they voted for but they say 'women's rights' are key; they are code words that they voted for Kamala Harris.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 5:00 PM EST: CNN (democrat-run media) reports the first exit polls. The early preliminary exit poll numbers report that 61% of Americans say the best days for the US are ahead and 34% say the best days are in the past. 58% disapprove of Biden's job performance and 41% approve. 72% of the country say they are dissatisfied or angry with the status of the United States bad news for Biden but does it translate into bad news for Harris? 26% of voters are enthusiastic or satisfied with the way things are going in the US. 71% of the country is worried about violence after the election. Over 80% of voters say they were locked into their choice for president before September (over 2 months ago; thus, only 20% of the voters matter over the last 8 weeks).

MSNBC (democrat-run media) exit polls say democracy and the economy are key concerns. Twice as many women than men say abortion is a key issue. Florida exit polls show that voters view both Trump and Harris equally radical and equally level-headed, in their views. The women's rights issues (abortion, health) appear front and center in this election just like the 2022 mid-terms which is trouble for Trump. Fox News exit polls say 70% of voters feel the country is on the wrong track which is trouble for Harris. Fox News says 25% of voters say abortion should be legal while 7% say it should not and others are in the middle (legal in most cases and illegal in most cases). Voters are concerned about the cost of gasoline and food key budget items for common Americans.

Donnie is shooting his mouth off on the Truth Social platform saying there is fraud occurring in Philadelphia but does not provide details and authorities do not know what he is talking about. That's Our Donnie. The orange-headed a-hole decrees, "A lot of talk about massive CHEATING in Philadelphia. Law Enforcement coming!!!" It is classic Trump where he promotes lies and rumors by saying 'someone said' or 'I heard' or 'there's a lot of talk' so he can always say that he never said it himself. Trump is a childish showman that likes to weave narratives and play games that may benefit him in the future. And people voted for this?

GOP Philadelphia City Commissioner Seth Bluestein says Trump's accusation of fraud occurring in Philly is "disinformation." Bluestein says voting in Philadelphia is "safe and secure" and there is "absolutely no truth" to Trump's claim. District Attorney Larry Krasner weighs in proclaiming on Twitter, "The only talk about massive cheating has come from one of the candidates, Donald J Trump." Krasner decrees, "There is no factual basis whatsoever within law enforcement to support these wild allegations. If Donald J Trump has any facts to support his wild allegations we want them now. Right now. We are not holding our breath." Donnie plays games.

Trump fires off another message; "Philadelphia and Detroit! Heavy Law Enforcement is there!!!" More sickening stuff from Donnie trying to weave stories of voter fraud in Philly and in Motor City.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 6:40 PM EST: It must be super tight because both Harris and Trump are still working for votes at this hour. The democrat ground game machine is all hands on deck knocking on doors and making phone calls to the people they identify as not yet voting. Trump is working the phones telling operatives to keep getting the vote out and not to stop. A tight race will take longer to sort out. As votes begin rolling in, Trump leads in Kentucky and Indiana, as expected.

Bomb threats are being called into several polling places in Georgia. Authorities blame Russian interference. The polls have to be temporarily closed to check for bombs which is inconveniencing voters and may chase people away from voting. Remember, North Carolina and Georgia are the first two big swing state tests. Trump is expected to take both but if he does not, it will be a long night for the orange head. These two states are going to provide a lot of insight for the remainder of the evening.

The early Electoral College tally is 19 votes for Trump and 3 for Harris. 270 are needed for the win. Harris wins Vermont. Trump wins Kentucky and Indiana. Votes are tallying for New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida and Georgia but the races are not called yet. Harris leads in Georgia currently no doubt putting a smile on Kamala's face. If Trump loses Georgia, he will be in massive trouble this evening. The lead will probably go back and forth over the next couple hours and Trump should win the state. Donnie sees the early Georgia results and clenches his buttocks.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 7:30 PM EST: North Carolina polls close but it is too early to call. West Virginia is called for Trump. Ohio is too early to call. The Electoral College is 23 for Trump and 3 for Harris. The lines at the polls show lots of men rather than women; this is a big plus for Trump. Harris is likely in trouble. Wow. US stock futures are ramping higher from 7 PM EST. Traders know what is going on before anyone and they are voting with money; it looks like a Trump win is on tap.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 8:00 PM EST: Trump is the winner in Florida for 30 electoral votes, Tennessee for 11 votes, Missouri for 10 votes, Alabama for 9 votes and Oklahoma for 7 votes. These wins were expected and the same with Harris that wins Massachusetts for 11 votes, Maryland for 10 votes and Washington, DC, for 3 votes. CNN reports the electoral count at 90 for Trump and 27 for Harris. Trump takes the lead in Georgia as expected. 38 election locations in Georgia receive bomb threats. MSNBC reports a 99 to 27 electoral count in favor of Trump. Fox News reports the electoral count at 105 for Trump and 72 for Harris. CNN bumps its count up to 99 for Trump and 27 for Harris after the South Carolina win. Trump is the one moving in the right direction while Harris is stagnant.

Note Added Tuesday, Election Day, 11/5/24, at 11:00 PM EST: Before 10:30 PM EST, the race remained competitive, however, the election is going strongly in Trump's favor over the last half hour. He is going to win. It looks like the economy and inflation is going to win the day and Harris and Biden are blamed for the hardships of common Americans.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 12:50 AM EST: Trump is leading in the Blue Wall states (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan) so Harris is toast. The Kamala Harris team says she will not be speaking at the watch party but will talk tomorrow. She wants all the votes to be counted. The writing is on the wall. The folks at Trump's watch party are celebrating as Harris's party thins out and people go home. Trump wins North Carolina and Georgia so it is all going Donnie's way. 

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 1:00 AM EST: Trump wins New Mexico. CNN's electoral count is up to 246 for Trump and 187 for Harris. Trump leads in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada. It is over. Trump will be victorious. North Carolina and Georgia were key. Harris's only hope was the Blue Wall that has now turned into a Red Wall. 

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 1:30 AM EST: Salem News Channel (republican-run media) on AM talk radio calls Pennsylvania for Trump and calls the race for Donnie with over 270 electoral college votes. As the saying goes, "it's the economy, stupid." In Wayne County (Detroit), Trump will lose as expected but by less votes than 2020. Biden and his electric vehicle push sinks the democrat vote in Motor City and Michigan. CNN has Trump at 246 to Harris at 187. MSNBC has Trump at 246 and Harris at 194. Fox News is at 267 for Trump, on the verge of a 270 win, with Harris at 216.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 1:45 AM EST: Fox News calls the election for Trump with 277 electoral votes to 226 votes for Harris. The orange head exceeds the 270 needed for the win. Congratulations to Donald Trump. DONALD TRUMP BECOMES THE 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES. Grover Cleveland is the only other president that came back into power after losing an election. The Trump campaign ground game was successful targeting rural voters, men, Latinos, blacks, Jews, and Arab-Americans; quite a group. Everything fell into place for Donnie. Interestingly, Trump is not in office and already a lame-duck president since he cannot run again. The people at the Trump watch party cheer when Fox News calls the election. Trump is expected to speak soon. On the popular vote, Trump has 66 million votes to Harris's 61 million for a total of 127 million votes well below the 158 million in 2020 but there are lots of votes still to count. It will be interesting to see if apathy plays a role in politics these days. Many Americans no longer give a crap and do not bother voting. Shamefully, $16 billion dollars was spent on the presidential race by both parties. Just think of the starving people that could have been fed with that money.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 2:06 AM EST: CNN calls Pennsylvania for Trump and an electoral count of 265 votes to 187 for Harris. MSNBC is at 266 votes for Trump and 194 for Harris. Fox News, the republican-run network, has called the race for Donnie but the two democrat-run networks, CNN and MSNBC, have not. The democrats need to rip off the Band-Aid and call the race for Trump. Even though he is a democrat rooting for the Harris win, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro is happy this morning. Harris made a mistake picking jackass Tampon Timmy Walz as her running mate instead of Shapiro but the Pennsylvania governor is now set up to be the top democrat candidate for president in 2028. Four years from now may pit republican Vance against democrat Shapiro for the presidency. The US stock market futures catapult higher with major indexes up nearly +2% across the board. The S&P 500 is up 105 points, +1.8%. The Dow is up 822 points, +1.9%. The Nasdaq 100 futures ae up 362 points, +1.8%. Bitcoin jumps to a record high. Trump's DJT stock leaps +40% that will provide a big multi-billion payday for Trump. Donnie was correct earlier today when he said, "It won't even be close."

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 2:22 AM EST: This is the time when Trump falsely claimed he won the 2020 election four years ago so he should speak any minute. The republicans will take the Senate as expected. The mystery is if Trump's victory speech provides a calming tone or if it is fire and brimstone. Here they come. Trump, Melania, and the family walk onto the stage at the convention center. He is going to give a victory speech without Harris conceding or the race called by CNN or MSNBC (but the writing is on the wall). Donnie's supporters also join him on stage as Lee Greenwood sings "God Bless the USA." Trump says, "This is a movement like no one has ever seen before." He says, "We are going to help the country cure. We are going to fix the borders. We overcame obstacles. Look what happened. Is this crazy?" The crowd cheers. Trump says, "Everyday I will be fighting for you. This is the Golden Age of America." He says he won the battleground states and says he will carry probably 315 electoral votes. Trump is happy he also won the popular vote. The crowd chants, "USA." He says there is great love in the room. Of course he does, it is all republicans. He brags about the "MAGA movement." Trump is happy that the Senate will be in republican control and the House should stay with the republicans. Trump is going to make big changes controlling Congress (if the House remains in republican control). He thanks his family and children. J D Vance takes the podium and thanks Trump for picking him as vice president. Vance says the win is the "greatest comeback in American political history." Trump says, "We will have a great four years." He says, "We are going to have to seal-up those borders" and "people must come in legally." He says, "Everybody up here (on stage) is great, everybody up here is special. We have a new star, Elon." Trump talks about Elon Musk and rambles on about the rocket launches and landings. Donnie talks about the hurricane in North Carolina and Musk providing Starlink communications to the people impacted. Trump's talk is starting to ramble more as he thanks individual supporters such as Dana White that runs the ultimate fighting league. He gives White the microphone that begins foaming at the mouth yelling and cheering the Trump victory. White mentions Joe Rogan so the bromance is in full bloom with Donnie, Elon, Joey and Dana in the boy's club celebrating this evening. Trump thanks Robert F Kennedy, Jr, and says he will "help make America healthy again." He says, "We will unlock America's destiny." He says he did about 900 rallies and will likely not do another. Trump decrees, "God spared my life for a reason." Donnie says, "It is time to put the divisions of the past four years behind us (Trump is the a-hole that did not accept his 2020 loss that created the division in America)." The speech ends at 2:53 AM EST so it went for about one-half hour. The only unity message was the last couple sentences.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 2:54 AM EST: NBC News and MSNBC (democrat-run media) projects that Harris wins Minnesota. The MSNBC electoral count is 266 for Trump and 204 for Harris. MSNBC says Trump gave a victory speech without the 270 votes needed for the win. The democrat media does not want to give it up. The republican-run media in America says Trump won and the democrat-run media is dragging kicking and screaming to accept the results. CNN opines about the mass deportation of immigrants that Trump promises. The democrats are concerned about the retribution and revenge that Trump will impose on his detractors. The Trump victory speech was not a unity speech until the very end when he said we all need to come together. Donnie is probably bitter over the events over the last couple years and he will likely seek retribution as he promised. He has a mandate controlling Congress going forward (if the House remains republican). Big changes are coming in 2025.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 3:00 AM EST: President Biden did a grave disservice to his party and the country by not admitting his mental loss and not allowing a proper democrat primary election to take place in the springtime. The debate with Trump showed that Biden was brain dead necessitating the change to Harris. Interestingly, former President Obama and others, running the democrat party in the background, wanted a quick mini-primary to take place but Biden named Harris as the candidate. Biden stuck it to the party for forcing him out of the election and he will say that the democrats should have left him run because he would have beaten Trump. The democrats have to do a lot of soul-searching after the loss. Americans reject the progressive agenda. Donnie is back and this time it is "No More Mr Nice Guy." Hillary Clinton was defeated and now Kamala Harris so America is not ready for a woman president and that may not occur for a long time. Harris was an anointed candidate which was a problem; she was not viewed as legitimate by many voters and was never battle-tested in the primaries. The progressive left direction is not wanted by Americans. Voting for a wannabe communist was a bridge too far. Trump built a larger coalition of groups giving him the victory. The economy and inflation drove the votes.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 3:10 AM EST: It is interesting that the voters ignored the fact that Donnie refused to stop the Capitol Hill riot on 1/6/21 and instead he sat and cheered for Americans to hurt and maim each other. That is sick. People do not care about Trump's dereliction of duty and failure to perform his job as president during the riot and instead vote their wallets and pocketbooks installing the narcissist that they think can make the economy better. God Bless everyone. The day that Trump sets foot in the Oval Office again is the day that proves that greed and money always overrule human decency. As the next months and couple years play out, Donnie Trump will likely be labeled as the modern-day Herbert Hoover as he disappoints Americans on the economy. Comically, CNN and MSNBC remain at 266 electoral college votes not yet calling the race for Trump. Donnie is back home at Mar-a-Lago in bed after giving the victory speech.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 3:23 AM EST: CNN says Trump will likely win but they still have not called the election. It is time for CNN and MSNBC to give it up. The United States has voted Trump back into office a controversial leader that one-half the country adores and the other half disdains. Obviously, that will not end well as time proceeds. The pollsters were correct giving a slight edge to Donnie from one to three points and that is reflected in the election results. The polls are a still undercounting the Trump vote for the third election in a row by a point or two. The Latino vote made a difference in the election as polls predicted. The Iowa poll causing the pre-election excitement was dead wrong. It had Harris up by +4 but the results are +13 for Trump a 17-point difference. The new presidency already begins as a mess with a Trump victory speech given before the Harris concession speech and before the democrat networks call the race.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 3:51 AM EST: CNN still does not call the race for Trump with 266 electoral votes for Donnie and 205 for Kamala. What are they waiting for? The commentators on MSNBC are melting-down worried about what the future holds with Trump 2.0. MSNBC remains at 266 votes for Trump and 219 for Harris. The turning point in the election was when RFK Jr ditched his campaign and joined Trump, then Elon Musk, then Joe Rogan. This energized the male vote and Harris looked like an empty pants suit. The economy was the number one issue and voters blame Biden and Harris for the high inflation. The economy and money is more important than women's rights. Men came out in droves to vote for Trump to try and improve the economy. It is the Year of Machismo that wins the day against the Year of the Woman, however, the country remains split down the middle. Hopefully, there will not be violence after the Trump win. We will find out over the next few days if trouble-makers take to the streets to enable looting. Trump proponents complain that Kamala Harris did not provide a concession speech. That is comical considering that Trump is the one that claimed the election was stolen and never conceded to Joe Biden. The split in the United States will grow deeper. Harris's speech will be important and she should concede right after the democrat networks call the race for Trump. The Dow futures are up 1,100 points and S&P 500 gains 125 points. Traders are buying stocks with both fists after the Trump win. Of course, Trump will brag about the stock market later today. Oy vey.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 4:33 AM EST: Fox News has called the race for Trump with the electoral count at 277 for Donnie and 226 for Kamala. CNN is at 266 and 205 and MSNBC is at 266 and 219 both democrat-run networks not yet calling the race for Trump. Don't you think things are off to a great start with Trump already giving a victory speech that was not very unifying, but some networks have not called the race, and Harris has not yet conceded. Good luck, America. 

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 5:23 AM EST: The election proves that the right track/wrong track poll is correct as usual and maintains its spot as the top election predictor. It did not matter that Trump was kicked out of office four years ago because he was on the wrong track. Harris was painted with the Biden wrong track brush. All that matters is the present and if the country is on the wrong track, the incumbent is booted from office, and if the country is on the right track, the incumbent wins. Favorability is also a key metric for forecasting elections. Oddly, 46% of the country have a favorable opinion of Kamala and 42% are favorable to Trump. She was more favorable which can move you towards a win but the 12% that are other in that poll voted overwhelmingly for Trump giving him the victory despite him being less popular. People voted their pocketbook. The economy/inflation was the top issue of the election with everything else playing second fiddle. Nothing else mattered except the economy. People held their nose and voted for Donnie. Comically, the 'democracy' issue was on the table as the democrats advertised, but people voted for Trump thinking he could save democracy, not Harris. That is funny.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 5:32 AM EST: CNN finally calls the race for Trump at 276 electoral college votes versus Harris's 219 after Donnie wins Wisconsin. Trump is the president-elect of the United States. MSNBC also throws in the towel naming Donald Trump as the next POTUS. When will Kamala Harris speak? America does not want a woman president and the economy and money are more important issues than women's rights. People care more about supporting their families financially than Donnie's ignorant talk, insults and past mistakes. The republican party is officially dead and now morphs into the new retrumplican party. The moderate republicans have to move on elsewhere or choose to kneel and kiss King Donnie's ring. Interesting times are ahead. The popular vote is only at 137 million total votes with 71 million for Trump and 66 million for Harris.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 6:20 AM EST: In Keystone's neck of the woods, Westmoreland County, east of Pittsburgh that is Trump country, the results are exactly the same as 2020 with 64% of the vote for Trump and 35% for Harris. There was less enthusiasm this time around for Trump compared to four years ago in these parts as verified by yard signs and other anecdotal factors but it did not make a difference. It shows that people did not want a Trump sign in their yard this time around or do anything to support him, but they did hold their nose and vote for the orange head again like 2020. They must have viewed Harris as a non-choice and voted for Donnie because of the failed Biden economy. Trump was viewed as the lesser of two evils. Also, in Pennsylvania in the Senate race, republican Dave McCormick has a slight lead against democrat incumbent Bob Casey with 95% of the vote counted. McCormick ran a heck of a race and is so close he can taste it, but all the votes must be counted. The republicans take control of the Senate so now it is a matter of how many seats they gain. The House remains in limbo and may take a few days or weeks to sort out. King Trump will have carte blanche on the US if the House remains in republican control. Global leaders begin contacting Donald Trump offering congratulations on his election victory.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 6:50 AM EST: The comparisons to the 2020 election are striking. Biden trounced Trump in many states by double-digits in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic raged on but Harris's tallies are weak compared to those numbers. It is easy to see how Trump got over the finish line. She had to at least match Biden's numbers and she was not even close in many states. Biden's war on the American energy complex sent oil and gasoline prices higher creating inflation in all goods and services. This activity exacerbated the inflation due to the obscene monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve (money printing to protect the wealthy class in the crony capitalism system) and fiscal stimulus from Congress during the pandemic. Biden and Harris created the seeds of their own economic destruction ushering in the return of Trump. How long will Americans wait for Trump to fix the economy? Until summertime? Will there be mass regret and buyer's remorse in 2025? The Trump tariffs would be expected to create inflation and this policy leads to protectionism which dragged the world into the The Great Depression through the 1930's.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 7:40 AM EST: Where's Kamala? Bueller? Kamala? She must be sleeping not wanting to wake up to the bad dream. The sooner she gives a concession speech the better. She should avoid acting like the whining cry baby sore loser Donnie Trump after he lost four years ago.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 8:40 AM EST: Where's Kamala? There is no statement on when she will speak. Girl, get yourself together and give your concession speech. Trump is fast asleep in bed dreaming about a beautiful land of tariffs.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 10:30 AM EST: The US stock market catapults to new record highs. The S&P 500 is up 120 points, +2.1%. The Dow gains 1,373 points, +3.3%. Bonds sell off with the 10-year yield running towards 4.5%. The dollar index jumps higher. Gold plummets -3% with silver down nearly -5%. The VIX volatility fear gauge collapses from 20 to 16 showing that traders and investors are buying stocks with both hands. Where's Kamala? Yoo-hoo. Kamala? Where is she? Harris should speak and concede before lunch, otherwise, she will look like a small person. Don't pull a Donnie Trump, girl. In the House race, 203 seats are republicans and 178 seats are democrat for a total of 381. There are 435 seats in the House so 54 seats are uncalled. It will take a couple weeks to see who will hold the 218 majority and control the House. With the presidency and Senate in his back pocket, King Trump is salivating for control of the House because it will fulfill all his authoritarian wishes providing him with unbridled power. The republicans will jam through lots of new legislation in 2025 and 2026 with control of all three branches. Also, the republicans will appoint another conservative judge to the Supreme Court if needed. It will be interesting to see if Donnie pardons the people in jail for the Capitol Hill riot. The folks that ventured inside the Capitol Building during the riot thought they would be pardoned before Trump left office in January 2021 but he stiffed them. Trump watched Americans fight and maim each other on 1/6/21, refusing to stop the violence instead cheering for more in front of a television set in the Oval Office, a heinous dereliction of duty that would be court-marshalled if in the military, and now he is voted back into office. Go figure. Good luck to everyone.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 11:00 AM EST: Harris finally announces that she will speak at 4 PM EST from Howard University and plans to call and talk to Trump to concede the election before the speech. Michigan is called for Trump so Donnie officially turns the Blue Wall into the Red Wall forever changing the election map. Pennsylvania was the key and once that was won, it was all over but the crying. The democrat ground game did not matter because the dominance of the economy/inflation issue (high cost of living) was far and above the most important reason for people voting.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 2:30 PM EST: Harris called Trump and congratulated him on his win. She affords him that courtesy that Trump never extended to Biden. Will Trump continue saying that he won the 2020 election? All this smelly baggage will now be carried around for another four years. President Biden says he invited President-elect Trump to the Whitehouse. Biden plans to address the nation tomorrow. The stock market indexes are up over +2% across the board pricing in a red sweep even though the House is still up in the air. The traders typically know before every one else so the House results must be leaning republican. The DOJ has a policy of not prosecuting a sitting president so two of the Trump court cases, the federal election interference case and the classified documents case, will likely go away. The well-connected and elite always get away with nefarious activities while common folks go to jail. Trump will never pay a price for his dereliction of duty on 1/6/21. In fact, he is rewarded for cheering on the mayhem and violence on J6 by being voted back into office. It is funny. It is America.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 4:24 PM EST: Kamala Harris talks to several thousand people gathered at Howard University. She receives resounding applause. She says, "My heart is full today." Harris decrees, "The outcome of the election is not what we wanted. Hear me when I say, the light of America's promise will always burn bright a long as we never give up and keep fighting." She thanks all the workers that helped her and the poll watchers. She talks about bringing people from al walks of life together but that is what Trump did to win the election. "We must accept the results of this election." She congratulated President Trump on his win and said there would be a smooth and peaceful transition of power. She says Americans owe loyalty to the Constitution and not to a president. She talks about fighting for freedom and fighting for the future. She says the word 'fight' over and over. "We will never give up the fight to protect our schools from gun violence." She says people should be treated with kindness and respect. She is proud of the race she ran. She says this is the time to roll up our sleeves and "organize, mobilize, and stay engaged for the sake of freedom and justice." She says if we are entering a dark time, there will be light. She finishes the speech at 4:37 PM for a 13-minute talk.

Note Added Wednesday, 11/6/24, at 4:50 PM EST: People are overthinking the election. It was a choice between two evils as Pope Francis said and Harris could not separate herself from the Biden policies that created the high inflation and economic hardships for common Americans. People voted their pocketbooks plain and simple. "It's the economy, stupid," as James Carville would tell former President Clinton.  Americans did not like either candidate, the total vote count will be interesting to see if voter apathy is taking hold, but held their noses and voted for Trump because of the economy and inflation. It was that simple.