By K E Stone (Keystone)
The world is transitioning from the pandemic to the endemic
phase. There are 13 countries that are contributing to 93% of the current daily
COVID-19 infections. Isn’t that something? Only 13 nations out of the 200 on
Earth are in covid trouble proving that the endemic phase may be at hand.
The baker’s dozen of China Virus hotspots with their
percentage of the world’s daily cases are; Japan (24%; wow, 1 in every 4 of the
new covid cases worldwide are in Japan), South Korea (17%; 1 in 6 new covid
cases are in South Korea), US (10%; 1 in 10 new covid cases are in America),
Germany (10%), France (9%), Italy (7%), Taiwan (6%), China/Hong Kong (2%),
Australia (2%), Chile (2%), Greece (2%), Luxembourg (1%), Indonesia (1% of the
new covid cases worldwide), and all other countries on the planet, about 187
others, account for the remaining 7% of worldwide COVID-19 cases.
Japan and South Korea together account for 41%, or 2 of
every 5, new covid cases worldwide each day. That is ugly stuff. The silver
lining of the 13-country ugly list is that the US continues improving as well
as Germany, France, Italy, Taiwan and Greece and the others should not be too
far behind.
83% of the current COVID-19 cases worldwide are in only 7
countries; Japan, South Korea, United States, Germany, France, Italy and
Taiwan. 4 out if every 5 new China Virus infections in the world are occurring
in these 7 nations. How’s those vaccinations going? All 7 are highly vaccinated
populations.
Although Europe and the United States are improving, the
daily new cases charts are starting to favor a sideways to sideways down bias
instead of a strong downtrend. This behavior keeps the world’s daily new cases
elevated along with the high numbers of cases in Japan and South Korea.
To call the endemic phase, the downtrends in daily new cases
for Europe and the US need to reestablish a stronger trend lower, and the new
infection waves for Japan and South Korea need to roll over and die. This is
not a tall ask. It is doable over the coming days and couple-three weeks.
The drop in US daily new cases has slowed as the colder
weather arrives and the winter winds chase folks inside. The stall in the
downtrend of US cases may be a temporary affair due to a bump in infections as
people comingle indoors. Experts continue to warn that a new US wave 8 is at
hand.
The takeaway for the world is positive. We may be starting
to get a glimpse of what the covid endemic phase looks like. Countries may
continuously deal with a dozen to a few thousand COVID-19 cases each day
depending on the population. COVID-19 may also develop into a seasonal virus
where it mimics the pattern of the regular flu season with low case counts from
April to September.
The world’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The news
is lousy since the 3-1/2 month downtrend in the planet’s daily new cases has
stalled into a sideways move with an upward bias. The world reports 355K daily
cases for Thursday creating 3 days of elevated infections in the 350K to 390K
cases per day range. The 7-day MA is no longer dropping but instead stumbling
sideways at 329K cases per day.
On the positive side, the 329K cases per day still compares
back to the infection levels in 2020 during the first few months of the
pandemic. A month ago, the cases leveled-out but then began dropping again so
there is no reason that cannot repeat. As soon as Japan’s and South Korea’s
infection waves roll over, the world’s cases will resume the downside.
The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. The
world’s death rate is at 1,136 covid bodies per day. The rate was teasing the
1K level the last few days but it remains elusive. On the positive side, the
death rate compares back to the early days of the pandemic and the deaths
remain in a downtrend.
Japan’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Japan is the
worst covid hotspot on the planet right now since its infection wave goes
parabolic at 71K cases per day. That is the equivalent of one football stadium
of people getting sick with China Virus every day in Japan.
Japan’s active cases have also gone parabolic at over 2.4
million the highest of the pandemic. 100 Japanese die from covid on Thursday
the most since September with the 7-day MA trendline at 72 deaths per day going
parabolic. It is bad news all around.
South Korea’s daily new cases chart is shown above. As
stated above, 2 out of every 5 new covid cases in the world are in Japan and
South Korea. The 7-day MA for South Korea’s daily new cases is at 47K
infections per day ramping higher. The rate of increase in cases may be slowing
and another positive is that the wave is not parabolic. South Korea’s covid
death rate ramps higher in Seoul, and other cities, at 36 souls per day.
Asia is a hot mess of COVID-19 infections with China, Japan,
South Korea, Malaysia and Indonesia sinking deeper into the coronavirus
quicksand. The BA5, BQ1, BQ11, XBB and BF7 variants are making mischief.
Malaysia’s daily new cases chart is shown above. In
real-time, Malaysia’s charts are encouraging. The peak day for the current
infection wave is 11/3/22 at 4.7K cases so the cases one week hence, 11/10/22,
are important to provide an assessment of the trend and 3.4K cases are
reported; great news. It would be disastrous if the cases pop above 4.7K.
The 7-day MA trendline for Malaysia’s daily new cases is
starting to roll over at 3.5K cases per day more good news. Malaysia’s active
cases curve takes a first tick lower which is encouraging but a couple more
days are needed before Malaysia will be removed from the bad country list
below. Malaysia has reason to be very optimistic going forward. Malaysia’s
covid death rate remains below 10 bodies per day for the last 8 months.
Indonesia’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Thwack.
Indonesia reports 6.3K daily new cases the most for the current infection wave
and teasing new highs that compare back to March 2022; not good. President
Biden (USA) and dirtbag Dictator Xi (China; CCP) are flying into Indonesia’s
covid-infected nest for a Monday meeting. Good luck to their staffs and all the
support people involved.
The 7-day MA for Indonesia’s daily new cases ramps higher to
5.4K cases per day also teasing March levels; not good. The saving grace is that
the daily cases have not gone parabolic yet but the ramp higher is aggressive.
The infection waves ripple through the island nations of Singapore, Indonesia,
Malaysia and Philippines so the happy outcome will be Indonesia following
Malaysia’s lead.
Since the peak day for daily cases is 67.3K on 11/10/22,
another week at least needs to go by to determine if Indonesia can peak-out
with daily cases. It is interesting that the Biden/Xi summit could not come at
a worst time from a covid infection perspective. Be careful what you bring back
home folks.
Chile’s daily new cases chart Is shown above. The peak in
daily new cases for the current wave is 9.0K cases on 11/5/22 last Saturday.
Thus, the cases for today, that will be known in 2 days, are critical in determining
the path forward for Chile. It may be a chilly path ahead since Thursday’s
cases are at 8.2K. If today’s cases come in above 9.0K, Chile is going to get
sucked down the covid rabbit hole.
The 7-day MA for Chile’s daily new cases is up to 7.0K cases
per day ramping higher. 53 Chileans die on Thursday the most in over 2 months.
Fingers are crossed that the next 2 days will be daily cases below 9.0K but
this is a dicey proposition after seeing the elevated 8.2K cases for Thursday.
On the good news side, the remainder of South America does
not show a rise in new infections although a hairy eyeball must be maintained
on Peru that is displaying a subtle bump higher in cases over the last few
days.
France’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Europe is on
the mend but the case counts in recent days are disappointing. The daily cases for
France are at 25K per day leveling-out sideways instead of dropping. This
behavior is occurring at the same level of cases as previous waves. The last
thing France needs is another new infection wave.
France’s active cases chart remains in a downtrend and that
is important and keeps it off the bad country list. Italy is in the same boat
with the descent in cases starting to slow. Germany is in great shape with
daily new and active cases charts continuing lower. Hopefully, the downward
trend in France’s and Italy’s daily new cases will resume in the days ahead.
61 French are dying from covid each day and this death rate
remains relatively steady over the last 6 months. 150 Germans continue dying
from China Virus every day (1 in every 8 covid deaths worldwide each day).
In the United States, wave 7 is history but Uncle Sam and
Lady Liberty are tiptoeing across covid egg shells hoping not to wake a
potential wave 8. For now, the United States is okay but there is Covid-19
trouble in the southwestern states. Navajo Nation is hit which is the top left
(northwestern) corner of New Mexico and top right (northeastern) corner of
Arizona. The infections spread into Nevada, Utah and Idaho, so this cluster of
southwestern states requires monitoring over the coming days.
The big worry over the last 3 weeks was the northeastern
states especially when Maine and New Hampshire fell into the covid quagmire and
a spike in cases occurred in New Jersey. Alas, a couple weeks hence and cases
are flatlining at small numbers in the northeastern US not showing any signs of
duress.
The tragic US waves 3 and 6 started in early October and
late October, respectively. Still here we are, as Bob would sing, in
mid-November and wave 8 has not yet reared its ugly head. Let’s take a look at
the charts for America and see if it is good news.
The US daily new cases chart is shown above. The US reports
28K daily new cases for Thursday an acceptable number better than the cases
above 30K over the last few days. The 7-day MA is moving sideways at 30K cases
per day the downtrend is stalled; not good. On the flip side, the cases show no
appreciable rise so that is good. Down is better than sideways but sideways is
better than up.
The United States is in limbo. The wave 8 wolf is held at
bay but the sideways behavior in daily cases must resume the downtrend to get
to the endemic promised land. The cold weather arrives in the northern
hemisphere so folks congregating indoors spread the virus easier.
Perhaps the sideways lull in US daily cases will resolve to
the downside in quick order since most of the people that would have gotten
sick with COVID-19 due to the close quarters have gotten sick. Is this wishful
thinking? Instead, will the doomsday wave 8er’s get their way? We can get an
initial read on this answer tomorrow.
The peak in cases last week was 11/4/22, Friday, at 43K
daily cases. The Friday before, 10/28/22, is 45K cases, a smidgeon above
11/4/22 so that is good news that the downtrend remains in place albeit slight.
The Friday, 11/11/22, yesterday, cases are key. For the overall downtrend to
remain in place, the cases must come in below 43K. The cases are released for
Friday tomorrow morning (Sunday).
The path forward remains optimistic and the case numbers are
small compared to prior waves. However, the potential wave 8 remains on the
table until the daily new cases roll back over to the downside. A resumption of
the downtrend would be great news since it would be sending the US into the
endemic phase and perhaps Keystone can end the Coronavirus Chronology maybe
with Article 95?
The US active cases chart is shown above. Active cases are
down to 1.39 million a 1.3-handle but only barely. Like the daily new cases,
the downtrend in active cases is stalling sideways. Perhaps this sideways move
in cases is due to people spending more time indoors. The coming days are going to tell the story.
The important takeaway is that wave 7 is toast as the bell
shape verifies. Uncle Sam and Lady Liberty are waiting to see if wave 8
appears. Both are hoping that wave 8 is spending time with Godot (it will never
arrive).
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. 196 Americans
continue dying each day from COVID-19 proving the incompetence of the
Washington, DC, politicians and corrupt medical folks. From 200 to 500 or more
Americans continue dying from covid all year long with Sleepy Joe Biden asleep
at the switch clueless as to how to bring the death rate lower. He was hired to
manage the pandemic instead he spends his time tilting at windmills a la Don
Quixote.
Flu deaths in America are running at about 1,300over the
last week or 186 souls per day. This is a high number for regular flu and may
only represent a short-term spike. The COVID-19 deaths need to get down into
the 120 to 180 deaths per day range to match the regular flu season and signal
that covid is endemic. The 186 deaths per day represents a bad ongoing flu
season due to people spending a couple years in isolation from one another due
to the pandemic.
New Mexico’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Over 890
daily new cases are reported for Wednesday and Thursday the most for the
current infection wave comparing back to August. The 7-day MA ramps higher at
545 cases per day. The numbers may appear small but are accelerating higher.
Most of the new infections in New Mexico are in Navajo Nation.
Maryland’s daily new cases chart is shown above. It is not a
merry land reporting a big spike of 1,350 cases on Thursday, 11/10/22. Perhaps
it is a one-time spike like New Jersey turned out to be but a hairy eyeball must
be maintained on Maryland and it will be added to the bad state list below. The
7-day MA for daily cases is at 600 cases per day.
Utah’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Utah reports
over 800 cases for Thursday the most for the new infection wave and the 7-day
MA is up to 409 cases per day heading higher. The infections are increasing in
the cluster of southwestern states including Utah, Nevada, Arizona and New
Mexico. Also, into Kansas.
US hospital admissions for COVID-19 are stumbling sideways
at least that is better than a big upturn. The 70 years old and older crowd are
impacted the most by covid.
US COVID-19 hospitalizations are also in a sideways malaise
at 21K patients. Down is better than sideways but at least sideways is better
than up.
The CDC Community Transmission map is mostly green (low-risk
for covid infection). The northeast states are improving which matches the
Coronavirus Chronology projections over the last week. The covid infection
problem in the southwestern states New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Utah and Kansas
is clearly visible. Orange is the high-risk of infection counties and Navajo
Nation is under covid attack.
It is always great to see two different approaches, the
map’s combination criteria and the chronology’s daily new cases only data, agree
on the potential problem areas. It verifies both methodologies although
Keystone’s daily new cases data and projections are better. The CDC needs to
update their data faster.
76% of US counties are at low risk (green), 21% at medium
risk (yellow) and 2.6% high-risk (orange). It is status quo over the last
couple weeks. It is great that the infections are not increasing any
significant amount but bad that green is not taking over the map.
The US vaccination rate is rolling over like Fido after a
doggie treat. The US vax rate is below 500K shots per day and this data is 10
days old. The uptake of the new COVID-19 booster shots is pitiful with only 7%
to 8% of the eligible folks rolling up their sleeves. People have moved on with
life.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 99.9 million knocking on the 100 million ceiling. India is next
with 44.7 million total virus cases. France, Germany, Brazil, South Korea, UK, Italy,
Japan, Russia, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam, Australia, Argentina, Netherlands, Taiwan,
Iran, Mexico, Indonesia, Poland and Colombia round out the top 22 worst nations
for total COVID-19 cases.
COVID-19 has infected 640 million people worldwide. China
(the CCP) owes reparations to the world for its sick heinous crime against
humanity. 6.61 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim
statistic. 620 million global citizens have recovered from the virus.
96.9% (620/640) of the people that become infected with COVID-19
recover in a reasonable time frame. The percentage has a slight upward bias
over the last few weeks great news for the planet.
Worldwide, 1.0% (6.61/640) of the people that are infected
with covid die; 1 in 97 (hit the 1/x button on your calculator). This number
was 1.2% for over a year so slippage to 1.0% for the last few months is great
news (less people are dying after they become infected compared to prior
waves).
8.3% (640/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 12 people on earth. 0.09%
of the world’s population (6.61/7670) died from the pandemic so far; 1 in every
1,160 people on earth died from China Virus over the last couple years.
In the United States, 99.9 million people have been infected
with covid on the verge of 100 million. 1.1 million Americans are dead. 97.4 million
Americans have recovered from coronavirus. This equates to 97.5% (97.4/99.9) of
US citizens recovering after becoming infected with COVID-19. Those are good
odds. Most of the COVID-19 deaths are old or fat people and heaven help you if
you are old and fat.
In the US, 1.1% (1.1/99.9) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. 1 in every 91 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. 0.3% (1/330)
of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 303 Americans over the
last 34 months.
30.3% (99.9/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid. That is almost at 1 in every 3 Americans.
The latest data and commentaries estimate about 80% of the US population has
been infected with COVID-19 over the last 34 months (many positive tests and
illnesses are not reported and some people did not know they had covid).
The United States has 16% (99.9/640) of the COVID-19 cases
in the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent months.
The US accounts for 16.6% (1.1/6.61) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
A couple years ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases (bell-curve) chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases
chart is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and
strain on the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases
chart rolls over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and
healthcare workers can breathe easier.
The Keystone Model is very effective and reliable in
predicting the peaks in active cases for countries and US states as shown over
the last couple years. The bad country and bad US state lists below display the
covid trouble spots around the world.
Another 10-day period passes and more data and information become
available to push the China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies
the real-time covid hot zones occurring around the world and within the United
States. The chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced
for decades to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it
unfolds in real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 94 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This ninety-fourth article is published on Saturday, 11/12/22.
The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 through 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political narratives or media spin. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 94 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga that may be finally moving
into the endemic phase.
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well.
The active cases curves are moving higher (hospitals are
seeing an increase in COVID-19 patients) for the nations listed below.
Australia (Seventh Wave)
11/4/22 New Case Peak Date
11/15/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/5/22 New Case Peak Date
11/16/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/5/22 New Case Peak Date
11/16/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/7/22 New Case Peak Date
11/18/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
As mentioned above, the picture is encouraging for Malaysia. Infections increase as Biden and Xi and many support people fly into Indonesia’s covid-infected nest for the 11/1/4/22 meeting.
Dit … dit ….. dit …
one more dit …. BULLETIN …. The Majestic Princess cruise ship heads to port in
Sydney, Australia. 4,000 people are on board and 800 have coronavirus. Oh no.
The ship was returning from New Zealand and both countries are on the bad list
above. On a cruise, you either contract Norovirus spending each day driving the
porcelain school bus (puking) or test positive for COVID-19 and worry about how
to travel back home.
Central Europe is improving although as explained above, the
daily new cases in France and Italy are starting to favor a sideways posture
instead of down.
Luxembourg is handling an infection wave but they are a
small country and not placed on the bad list. Uzbekistan, Kenya and Peru
require monitoring since daily cases may be nudging higher.
The US bad state list expands slightly due to the increased
infections in the southwestern states.
Kansas (Eighth Wave)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
11/10/22 New Case Peak Date
11/21/22 Projected Active Case
Peak Date (based on 11 days)
New Jersey is removed from the list since an increase in daily new cases did not materialize and the active cases are curling over to the downside. Ditto Illinois and Virginia.
Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Maryland and Kansas are added to the
bad state list.
Indiana may be added to the bad list in the days ahead as
its active cases skew higher but it may be a data problem. Kentucky is another
tricky state that may see an outbreak but it is hanging in there so far. West
Virginia needs watched and may be added to the bad list in the days ahead.
Ditto Idaho and South Dakota.
Thus, the southwestern US cluster of New Mexico, Arizona,
Utah, Nevada, Idaho and Kansas requires close watching. Also, Maryland.
Indiana, Kentucky, West Virginia, Idaho and South Dakota
require a hairy eyeball and will provide clues if a new US-wide wave 8 is
expanding. So far there is nothing to panic about. There is an increase in
cases in 2 or 3 dozen states but many of the increases are tiny numbers. It is
a collective rise of many states with very small numbers of cases that prevents
the US overall cases from falling.
The current sideways behavior with daily cases should
resolve lower instead of higher into a new wave 8 but the next couple weeks
will have to play out. US hospitals are swamped with RSV and flu cases. There
is an ongoing question about properly diagnosing the respiratory viruses since RSV,
flu and COVID-19 display the same symptoms.
The northeastern states do not show any major problems
occurring with the daily new COVID-19 cases and they were the big worry a
couple weeks ago. Let’s hope the southwestern states follow in those footsteps.
The Coronavirus Chronology is using 8 metrics to assess the
pandemic to endemic transition. (1) The world’s daily new cases should be below
360K per day to claim endemic status and cases are now at 328K per day. Great
news. (2) The world’s daily new deaths should be below 1.3K per day and they
are 1.1K so this is a win for the endemic phase.
(3) For the United States to be in the endemic phase, the
daily new cases should be below 10K cases per day and are now at 30K per day. (4)
US active cases should be below 730K cases (at least below 1 million) now at 1.39
million getting there slowly. (5) The US COVID-19 death rate should be below
180 bodies per day now at 196 souls per day.
(6) To declare the endemic phase in America, US
hospitalizations should drop below 10K patients and are now at 21K. (7) The CDC
Community Transmission map should turn completely green and yellow to usher in
the endemic phase and 98% of US counties meet these criteria with only 2%
remaining in the high-risk zone.
(8) Lastly, the public needs to accept that the pandemic is
over and this is already in the endemic column since most Americans have
resumed their normal lives and ignore the COVID-19 news.
There is a lot more work to do to declare the endemic phase.
3 of the guidelines are in the endemic phase and 5 remain in the pandemic
phase. 10 days ago, 4 of the metrics were in the endemic phase so we’re going
the wrong way.
Asia needs to get a handle on its covid cases in China, Hong
Kong, Taiwan, Japan and South Korea. Chile needs to show improvement. The US
needs to beat down the COVID-19 outbreak in the southwestern states.
The world is heading in the right direction. There are only the
13 nations mentioned at the top of the article having difficulty driving their
daily cases down to small numbers. There is light at the end of the covid
tunnel.
BQ1 and BQ11 (central Europe), XBB (Singapore) and BF7 are
the variants of most concern currently.
BA275, BA46, BF7, BQ11 and XBB are resistant to Evusheld
treatment. BQ11 and XBB are resistant to Eli Lilly’s monoclonal antibody (mAb)
treatment bebtelovimab.
As per the CDC’s variant proportions data, BA5 is down to
30% of the new COVID-19 cases. BQ11 is 24%
of the new cases ready to take over the show. BQ1 is 20% of the current
cases. The BQ’s together are 44%, approaching one-half, of the new covid cases
in America. BF7 is at 8% of the cases, BA46 is 6%, BN1 is 4%, BA526 is 3%, BA
275 is 2%, and BA2 is 1%.
Remember, percentages can be deceiving. The US cases have
been in a 3-month downtrend so picture a pie that keeps shrinking in size.
The BA5 infections are dropping like a stone so of course the other variants
will increase in percentages. The actual numbers are more important in this
context. The proportions of the BA5, BQ11 and BQ1 slices of pie keep changing as
the overall pie (cases) shrinks in size.
The Texas courts shoot down Biden’s unconstitutional
executive order (king’s decree) offering billions of dollars for student loan
forgiveness based on the pandemic emergency. Judge Mark Pittman proclaims, “In
this country, we are not ruled by an all-powerful executive with a pen and a
phone.” Good on him.
The pen and phone comment is a reference to Emperor Obama that
said if Congress did not cooperate with him when he was president, he has a pen
and a phone and he will simply write executive orders for his agenda. These
presidential edicts can be reversed by a subsequent president.
In America’s sickening crony capitalism system, Trump
reversed all of Obama’s edicts and then Biden reversed Trump’s edicts. The next
president will probably reverse Biden’s edicts. Sickening, isn’t it? It is the
crony capitalism system in its last throes.
Sonny and Girly, if you took out a student loan you must pay
it back. Capiche? Grow up. Work multiple jobs if you must and reduce your expenses.
Take responsibility for your decisions so you can be proud of yourself through life.
The US COVID-19 public emergency is supposed to expire on
1/11/23. It was stupid enough to extend it into 2023 but the order will now
continue to be extended indefinitely due to HHS Secretary Becerra’s
inaction. The HHS is to provide 60 days
notice that the emergency order will end so that date is 11/11/22 for the
1/11/23 expiration to remain in place.
The HHS and Whitehouse are playing games. The COVID-19
public emergency will now stay in place for 60 days from the present day until
King Biden decrees an end to the order. The politicians love to spend other
people’s money. Sickening, isn’t it?
The Whitehouse is likely worried that if a US wave 8
materializes, they will be blamed and ridiculed for not seeing it coming. They
are likely playing it safe leaving the public emergency covid order in place
until it is known if a new infection wave occurs this Fall. That is all well
and good but if the US daily cases do not start ramping substantively higher this
month, the jackasses should provide the 60 days notice and end the public
emergency.
Moderna is mixing up a new vaccine witch’s brew that
combines COVID-19, RSV and the flu all into one shot. There are plans to submit
data for approval of the 3 in 1 vaccine in Canada during the next year. Moderna
and Pfizer announce that they are conducting ongoing trials and plan additional
studies to research the correlation between vaccines and myocarditis. Get to it
Big Pharma. Chop chop.
The medical pundits and talking heads continue cheerleading
the Fall booster shots. Humorously, the new narrative is to get the shots right
away because they will provide maximum protection for Thanksgiving Day in 2
weeks. That’s funny.
Back in October, Dr’s Jha, Walensky, Fauci and others were
singing from the same hymn sheet that told Americans to get vaccinated by
Halloween so the shots have 4 weeks to develop maximum protection perfect
timing for Thanksgiving Day and beyond. Walensky got her booster and 4 weeks
later got COVID-19.
Isn’t it obvious why most Americans do not listen to the
medical folks anymore? The doctors mentioned must have sore backs from moving
the covid goalposts around each day. The different information makes people
skeptical of what they are selling. The story is always changing. Either they
do not know the timing of maximum protection of the vaccines or they are lying
about it.
Remember during the early days of COVID-19 vaccinations the
90% and 95% effectiveness numbers were touted. This was the selling point for
Americans to roll up their sleeves, and millions did believing the shots lasted
a long time maybe one and done. As it turned out, two initial shots were needed.
The jabs were touted as 95% effective maybe one week out but
a month out it was about 80%, then about 60% a couple or three months out, then
down to 20% to 40% protection at five or six months. It starts to sound like
they are just making the stuff up as they go along. Touting any protection or
effectiveness percentages is futile since the shots increase in effectiveness
for perhaps 1 to 4 weeks but then the protection steadily falls off during
subsequent weeks and months.
Watch China, Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, Chile and the
southwestern United States.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/13/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 301K daily new cases for Friday and the 7-day MA trendline is at 315K cases per day. 1,053 earthlings die from China Virus on Friday. Japan reports 74K daily new cases lower than the 78K on Thursday. The peak day is 87.4K cases on 11/9/22, last Wednesday, so the cases on 11/16/22, that will be known on 11/18/22, will tell the story in Japan. 76 Japanese are dying per day from covid and the death rate is ramping higher. South Korea's daily cases continue higher at over 49K per day. As stated above, 41% of the daily new COVID-19 infections worldwide, 2 out of every 5 new cases, are in Japan and South Korea. The South Korea covid death rate ramps higher at 38 souls per day; many died in Seoul. Indonesia is a major focus over the next couple days with the Biden/Xi summit tomorrow. Indonesia is reporting daily cases over 6.2K for the four days through Friday; not good. The 7-day MA for Indonesia's daily new cases ramps higher at over 5.6K cases per day not seen since March; not good. The Indonesia covid death rate runs higher at 37 bodies per day. China is mired in COVID-19 pandemic pandemonium with cases at 6-month highs running higher countrywide. China Virus infections are setting records in Beijing, Zhengzhou and Guangzhou which does not bode well for the domestic and international economies. Chile's daily new cases continue higher at 6.66K cases per day an ominous number. The Chile death rate heads higher at 28 bodies per day.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/13/22, at 4:30 AM EST: The US reports 28K cases for Friday. It is an encouraging number since the Wednesday and Friday cases are typically the highest numbers of the week and the cases come in with a 2-handle. We'll take that. The 7-day MA trendline for daily cases is at 26K cases per day. 165 Americans are dying per day from China Virus but at least it is moving into the same range as the regular flu season. COVID-19 is becoming endemic. Uncle Sam continues tiptoeing through the covid eggshells wondering if a new infection wave 8 will appear, or not. The heinous waves 3 and 6 both started in October with a noticeable rise in cases each day so it is good news that it is mid-November and wave 8 remains on a milk carton (missing). That said, there is covid trouble in the southwestern states and their path forward will decide if a wave 8 appears for the country as a whole. Drilling down further, the infections are running high in Navajo Nation so the Native Americans may need some help. Does anyone care if an American Indian cries anymore? New Mexico's daily new covid cases are running at about 500 cases per day with nearly 900 reported on Thursday. The daily new cases in New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Idaho, Kansas and Maryland this week will dictate if a US wave 8 appears this Fall or not. Hopefully, wave 8 will remain pals with Godot (never arrive).
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/14/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 212K daily new cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 309K cases per day. 1,001 earthlings are dying from COVID-19 each day teasing the sub 1K level. Japan reports 79K cases for Saturday with the 7-day MA parabolic at 72K cases per day. Japan's peak is 87K cases last Wednesday so the daily cases need to remain below 87K through Wednesday to prove that the cases have topped-out. If cases are over 87K for any day forward, Japan will go from the covid frying pan into the fire. Biden met with Japanese officials over the weekend and is meeting with Dictator Xi right now in Bali, Indonesia, another covid hotbed. Both leaders shake hands and walk into the meeting maskless with their entourages sitting at the table wearing masks on both sides. The parties must be aware that they are sitting in Indonesia's covid-infected nest right now. Indonesia continues a string of days of new COVID-19 cases above 6.2K per day since last Tuesday. The 7-day trendline for Indonesia's daily new cases is above 5.7K cases per day heading higher. The current covid outbreak in Indonesia is the worst since March, 8 months ago, but the cases remain small in comparison to the two prior huge infection waves. The incubation period is 4 to 10 days with the chronology pinpointing 8 days as a sweet spot. Counting forward from today, the period between this Friday, 11/18/22, and Thursday, 11/24/22, which is Thanksgiving Day in the States, is the window for China Virus infections to occur with dirtbag Dictator Xi and his CCP entourage or with the Biden gang. China will never tell you if any of them become sick from the visit to Bali since the CCP always lies. If anyone traveling with President Biden tests positive for covid, it will likely occur between this coming Friday and Thanksgiving with special emphasis on Tuesday, 11/22/22. South Korea's daily new cases march higher at 51K per day. China, Japan and South Korea are the world's covid wet blankets. Malaysia's 7-day MA for daily cases is rolling over to the downside at 3K cases per day good news. Its active cases are also rolling over so Malaysia will be removed from the bad country list. Hopefully, Indonesia will follow Malaysia's lead. Chile reports 6.6K cases for Saturday below the prior Saturday that is the peak for the current infection wave at 9.0K cases; good news. The 7-day MA for Chile's daily new cases is at 6.4K cases per day and would be expected to flatten-out and roll over. The world is marching towards the endemic phase of COVID-19 but needs China, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia to cooperate. Cases also linger in Australia and New Zealand especially due to the 800 passengers that test positive for covid on the Majestic Princess cruise ship traveling between the two nations.
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/14/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The 7-day MA for US daily new covid cases is down to 22K cases per day. Hopefully, the increasing infections in the southwestern states turn out to be a pig in a poke. If the southwestern US cases subside like the cases in the northeastern states over the last couple weeks, the United States will be golden and set up for the covid endemic phase. Even though everyone has to learn to live with China Virus, that communist China unleashed upon the world, it is better than the pandemic phase that represents high case numbers that create disruptions to society and economies. Everyone has lived with the regular flu season for decades so covid will join the club. It is mainly the elderly, obese and folks with compromised immune systems that experience the severe covid outcomes. 143 Americans are dying from COVID-19 each day now in that regular flu season range as long as it stays there and moves lower. Deaths are diminishing not only because wave 7 is in the rearview mirror but probably because China Virus has already killed-off most old, fat and disease-ridden folks. New Mexico has not reported its daily new cases numbers since Thursday. Politicians play games. Ditto Arizona that has not reported its cases since Wednesday. Perhaps the Biden administration does not want to shine a light on the Navajo Nation outbreak? Nevada and Utah cases are also not registering so any status report on the southwestern nations will have to wait. It is great news that the potential wave 8 remains on a milk carton as the US daily new cases, active cases and deaths continue trending lower. What will the fear-monger's and doomsayer's say if a US wave 8 does not materialize this Fall and winter? Nothing. They are *ssholes that will simply move on to the next shiny object and never admit they were wrong. If a wave 8 is going to appear it should have already started but let November play out to see if a bump higher in cases will occur. The prior horrendous Fall/winter waves 3 and 6 started in October.
Note Added Monday Afternoon, 11/14/22: Moderna says its new COVID-19 booster shot is effective against the current variants. Of course they do. MRNA stock leaps +6% higher. PFE gains +4%. BNTX +4%. Big Pharma dances with glee.
Note Added Monday Evening, 11/14/22: Chinese folks are pushing back against the CCP's lockdown orders. Residents in Guangzhou break down the lockdown barriers and walk into the streets protesting the draconian zero-covid policy. CNN reports that one protestor yells, "They're revolting." Of course, the CCP henchmen surround and close off the area. China reports 18K cases nationwide at 6-month highs so the number is more likely in the 50K to 100K range. If Japan and South Korea improve over the next week or two, the worst covid country on earth remaining will be China. It is poetic justice since the virus likely started from the Wuhan biotechnology and bioweapons laboratories in the back half of 2019. The Frankenstein covid monster returns home, from where it was spawned, to bring justice to its master.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 11/15/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 222K daily new cases with the 7-day MA trendline at 306K cases per day. It is good stuff that needs to keep trending lower. The worldwide daily new China Virus cases have not been this low since September/October 2020 a reason to call COVID-19 endemic rather than a pandemic. Rejoice! The global death rate finally drops below 1K to 967 dead covid bodies per day trending lower. The worldwide death rate has not been this low since the start of the pandemic in March 2020 another feather in the endemic cap. Japan reports 69K daily new cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA is up to 73K cases per day ramping higher. 80 Japanese are dying from covid per day heading higher. COVID-19 is culling the elderly Japanese population this year. South Korea reports 49K cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA is up to 52K cases per day. Japan and South Korea are 118K of the world's 222K new covid cases or 53%. In other words, over one-half of the new COVID-19 infections worldwide are in only 2 countries; Japan and South Korea. Their waves will likely peak any day ahead and begin dropping which will send the world's cases lower. 45 South Koreans are dying from covid per day with the rate ramping higher. Indonesia reports 4.9K daily new cases and the 7-day MA ramps higher to 6.3K cases per day. Biden, Xi and other G20 political leaders and their entourages, and the international press, continue interacting and meeting in Bali, Indonesia, where it is hot and humid. It will be interesting to see how many people become infected with covid, if any, over the coming days. President Biden does not discuss the origins of COVID-19 with Dictator Xi even though people are wearing masks all around him. It is sickening to see Biden, the leader of the Free World, subservient to the murderer Xi. Such is the world in 2022. Chile's infection wave of daily new cases rolls over lower at 6.2K cases per day and should improve going forward.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 11/15/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US is on the verge of crossing the 100 million total COVID-19 cases milestone. It should occur over the next couple days. The US reports 10K cases for Sunday a great number. Now all we need is for the other 6 days to be 10K cases. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is down to 22K cases per day. The teens would look a lot better but America is getting there with no sign of a wave 8 problem yet. 134 Americans continue dying from covid each day. The daily new cases data is coming back up to speed. New Mexico reports 472 new cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA continues higher at 632 cases per day. The rate of increase in cases is slowing so Navajo Nation is likely getting a handle on the outbreak. Arizona's data is not updating. Ditto Nevada and Utah. The southwestern states of interest are not providing timely data. Ditto over in Maryland. It is as if someone swooped in and put a kibosh on the Worldometer cases data. Many of the states have not updated since last Wednesday or Thursday. Some states have gone to a weekly reporting schedule for cases since the numbers are smaller these days. Maybe this transition is occurring for others? A few days will have to play out but obviously the path ahead cannot be forecasted if the data is not updated. The CDC has gone to a weekly reporting of the COVID-19 cases so that is likely factoring into the Worldometer models and algorithms. The CDC cases data is last updated 11/9/22. Thus, the cases data will likely not be updated until 11/16/22 and perhaps not available to public eyes for a day or two later. The CDC data shows daily cases increasing from 37K cases per day to 39K cases per day last week to 41K cases per day now. This slight increase in cases, which can also be called flat, is not in agreement with the daily data that shows a sideways to sideways down bias. The CDC's next weekly number on the chart will be interesting. It is difficult for the CDC folks and Whitehouse staff to fear monger if the weekly chart of cases is flat or lower. Since the CDC goes to weekly reporting of data, do you need another reason to call the pandemic endemic? The CDC obviously thinks that COVID-19 is no longer a threat if a new laissez-faire attitude is adopted for reporting cases. That is good news. The CDC is sounding the all-clear whistle for the COVID-19 pandemic. The CDC's new weekly cases chart does not display a 7-week MA or other moving average trend line. American mediocrity is on full display daily.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 11/16/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports only 204K daily new cases for Monday and the 7-day MA is down to 303 cases per day. No complaints about those numbers not seen since 2020 that are continuing lower. 988 earthlings are dying from COVID-19 per day so that is 2 consecutive days below 1K. Let's keep it going, world. Japan reports 38K cases for Monday the lowest cases in a month hinting that a top in daily cases is occurring. The 7-day MA for Japan's daily cases continues higher at 76K cases per day but a peak may be occurring any day. Japan's active covid cases are off the chart the highest ever and parabolic at 2.7 million. 82 Japanese are dying each day from China Virus the culling of the elderly population continues. The lifeless covid corpses are sent off to the crematorium. South Korea reports 24K daily new cases for Monday an encouraging number but the 7-day MA remains at 53K cases per day not yet willing to roll over and die. Indonesia's daily new cases continue higher at over 6K cases per day. President Biden and other G20 global leaders continue meeting and interacting with each other and the press in Bali, Indonesia, with no one concerned that the country is in the middle of a covid infection wave. 54 Indonesians die from China Virus on Monday the most since April but locals and foreign dignitaries are more concerned about what is on the dinner menu. Australia and New Zealand continue struggling at defeating their small outbreaks. Chile's daily cases are rolling over to the downside at 6K per day and need to continue the positive path lower.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 11/16/22, at 5:30 AM EST: Two-thirds (65%) of the current COVID-19 deaths worldwide are occurring in only 8 nations. Germany accounts for 15% of global covid deaths (1 in 7) and the United States is close behind at 14% (1 in 7). Aren't these two nations the vaccine experts? Japan accounts for 8% (1 in 12) of the current covid deaths worldwide. Russia is 7%, France and Taiwan 6% each, South Korea 5% and Italy accounts for 4% (1 in 25) of the current covid deaths in the world. How are the vaccines doing? In the United States, 60% of the people dying from covid are vaccinated and 40% are unvaccinated. The vaccinated can include anyone from 1 to 5 shots so medical officials are quick to say that many of the dying are not up-to-date on their booster shots.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 11/16/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports only 17K daily new cases for Monday and the 7-day MA is down to 23K cases per day sticking in the low 20's. The US covid death rate is down to 142 bodies per day. The metrics are supporting the endemic phase. After 34 months, the pandemic horror show may be gasping its final breaths, sans China. New Mexico continues battling its new infection wave at 640 cases per day. The daily new cases data is not updating for many states harpooning an analysis of America's covid status. It likely has to do with systems going to weekly reporting of data and if that is the case, the metrics to determine when the pandemic ends and the endemic phase begins can be thrown out the window. If the medical officials are not concerned about reviewing daily cases data for COVID-19, then the pandemic is no more and it is now an endemic virus in society. New York reports its cases for Monday at 5.9K an unwelcome number since the daily new cases have been flatlining at 4.4K per day. One day does not make a trend and the data sets may be skewed because of the state and government medical officials reporting the numbers differently, but a hairy eyeball must be maintained on New York. The US daily new cases 7-day MA trendline is 23K cases per day heading into the teens but is it? If the data from the states is held back, that may be creating an artificial dip in the rate. A few days will have to play out and the updated data from the CDC will be known for Wednesday on Friday morning when an assessment can occur. This is no way to run a pandemic. *ssholes have been in charge since day one and the chaotic and confusing mess continues. It is not cool to hold back data from the public. That is called non-transparency. America's crony capitalism system is in its last throes because of two main reasons; human greed (corruption) and non-transparency. It's not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket science.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 11/16/22: The Senate votes 62-36 in favor of ending the COVID-19 emergency declaration. President Biden says he will veto the bill. The Biden administration wants to maintain the public emergency and slush fund into 2023 as evidenced by not providing 60 days notice to end the declaration. The crony capitalism system turns people into control freaks. The current House will not entertain the bill but a new republican-controlled House will enthusiastically help stop the public emergency declaration. Grandpa Joe himself said the pandemic was over.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 11/17/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world reports 376K daily new covid cases an elevated number as we move into the meat of the week. The 7-day MA is at 313K cases per day. 991 earthlings are dying per day from COVID-19. Oh no! Damn! Japan reports 103K daily new covid cases for Tuesday a big spike higher. Just when the daily cases looked ripe to top-out, whammo, a punch to Japan's face and turn for the worst. The 103K cases are the highest in over 2 months and the 7-day MA is over 78K cases per day. It is terrible news with the COVID-19 death rate in Japan continuing higher at 84 souls per day. 27%, or 1 in every 4 new covid cases in the world, are in Japan. Oh no. More lousy news. South Korea reports 73K cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA is ramping higher at 54K cases per day. 47%, or one-half of all new covid cases on the planet, are occurring in Japan and South Korea. Covid is loving the Asian blood these days. South Korean China Virus deaths ramp higher at 45 bodies per day. Oh no! It is a trifecta of covid pain and misery this morning. As the G20 global leaders, including Biden, wallow in Indonesia's covid-infected nest, the new infections for Tuesday jump to 7.9K cases the most in 8 months; not good. The 7-day MA for Indonesia's daily cases ramps sharply higher at over 6.3K cases per day. All those dignitaries and their entourages may be bringing coronavirus home in their luggage. It will be interesting to see if any of the bigshots become infected with covid in the coming days. The covid deaths in Indonesia ramp higher at 43 bodies per day not seen in 7 months. China's failure to contain the virus this year may be adding to the covid malaise in greater Asia. The communists are building more hospitals to house covid patients; this does not sound good. The lockdown in Urumpqi, China, is now over 100 days old (started 8/10/22). The Chinese folks must be going insane after 4 months of isolation but they have to do what the CCP says or receive a bullet in their heads. Living in China, especially under the zero-covid policy, is like living in prison. On the brighter side, Chile likely topped-out with daily cases and will improve going forward.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 11/17/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The lousy news with Japan, South Korea, Indonesia and China just got worse with South Africa reporting 1.2K daily new cases for Tuesday the most since June; terrible news. The last thing the world needs is another outbreak emanating from Africa. South Africa begins a new infection wave and will be added to the bad country list. The case numbers are small but South Africa has to be watched with a microscope for the next couple weeks. Usually, the breakouts fan out from the Pretoria and Johannesburg areas so a check of Eswatini and Lesotho, and other neighbors, is required. Eswatini also shows a bump higher in cases but there is not enough data available on Lesotho. Cases are inching higher by a hair in Namibia and Madagascar but nothing to be concerned about yet. Botswana, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Zambia, Malawi and Angola show no signs of increasing cases. A hairy eyeball has to be maintained on South Africa and Eswatini. Kenya is on the watch list since a small pop in cases were noted over the last week but the infections remain stable at about 100 per day. Cases are rising in the DRC (Congo). Africa's West Coast looks clean. The COVID-19 pandemic is the sticky booger on your finger that cannot be flicked away easily. Hopefully, South Africa will beat back the small rise in cases quickly.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 11/17/22, at 7:00 AM EST: The US CROSSES THE 100 MILLION TOTAL COVID-19 CASES TRAGIC MILESTONE. Over 1.1 million Americans have died from China Virus. The US reports 27K cases for Tuesday and the 7-day MA is at 28K cases per day. 177 Americans are dying from covid each day. Cases continue higher in Arizona and New Mexico boosted by the Navajo Nation outbreak. The data for Utah, Nevada and Kansas is not updated so American mediocrity delays any analysis.
Note Added Friday Morning, 11/18/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 387K daily new cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA is at 320K cases per day. The global death rate remains below 1K bodies per day for the last few days. Japan reports over 107K daily new cases more than the big spike yesterday to 103K cases. 111 Japanese die from covid on Wednesday the most since September. South Korea's outbreak continues with daily covid cases averaging 53K per day ramping higher. Indonesia, where the G20 meetings are wrapping-up, 8.4K daily new cases are reported the most since March. 54 Indonesians die from China Virus the most since April. China is starting to spiral out of control with COVID-19 infections. The communist nation is trying to reopen its economy but the slightly relaxed covid measures are leading to more infections. It is a mess. The mixed signals from the CCP, trying to keep the economy going while imposing the zero-covid strategy, create more anger and distrust among the Chinese people. Dirtbag Dictator Xi will continue the failed zero-covid strategy since he cannot admit that he is ever wrong; he is a dictator. Asia is the COVID-19 hot zone specifically Japan, South Korea, Indonesia and China. South Africa reports 643 daily new cases for Wednesday one-half of Tuesday's pop to 1.2K cases an encouraging sign that the new wave may not have legs. South Africa's active COVID-19 cases chart, however, moves solidly higher.
Note Added Friday Morning, 11/18/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The pandemic in America is a game of 1's and 0's. The United States reports over 100,100,000 (100 million) total COVID-19 cases and over 1,101,000 Americans (1.1 million) have died from China Virus sad and grim statistics. The US reports 35K daily new cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA muddles along at 30K cases per day. The data needs updated for many states. The infections continue in the southwestern states which creates the buoyancy in the overall US cases but the cases are not running wildly higher. California media is proclaiming doom and gloom from new variants but their daily new cases remain tiny numbers and not showing any problem. Virginia, West Virginia and Maryland are fine. The US continues in a positive direction with no sign of a Fall infection wave yet as long as the southwestern states behave themselves but we are flying blind since the data is sporadic.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 11/19/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 401K daily new cases for Thursday and with revisions, Wednesday is bumped up to 434K cases. The daily cases are the highest in 3 weeks which means Japan and South Korea remain a covid mess. The 7-day MA for the world's daily new cases is now in a sideways to sideways-up bias at 354K cases per day. The pesky pandemic is the house guest that is slow to leave. 1,234 earthlings die from COVID-19 on Thursday ruining the few-day streak of deaths under 1K bodies per day. Japan is in trouble with 93K cases on Thursday and the 7-day MA spiking higher at 82K cases per day. Japan reports nearly 3 million active China Virus cases far and away the most of the entire pandemic. 133 Japanese are carted off to the crematorium on Thursday with the death rate accelerating higher at 92 covid bodies per day. Do the Japanese authorities care that COVID-19 is culling the elderly population that is a burden on society? Probably not. South Korea's cases continue higher at 53K cases per day and 67 souls, many in Seoul, succumb to covid the most in 2 months. President Biden and other world leaders and dignitaries have been playing in the covid-infected nest in Asia over the last week so the coming days will show who, if anyone, becomes sick with coronavirus. Here you go. We have a winner. Cambodia Prime Minister Hun Sen, that met with Biden a few days ago, tests positive for COVID-19. Biden tests negative but obviously requires close monitoring over the coming days. Indonesia remains in the covid quagmire with daily cases continuing higher at over 6.6K cases per day. 41 Indonesians are dying from China Virus each day the most since April.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 11/19/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 30K cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA is at 30K cases per day. America is at a pivot point. Will a new infection wave 8 begin or will the downtrend in US cases resume? It is a coin-flip riding on the southwestern states. The US remains on a positive path with daily cases in a sideways to sideways-down trend but a baseline of 30K covid cases per day is unacceptable; it has to decrease towards 10K cases per day or at least into the teens to put the pandemic to bed and begrudgingly welcome the endemic phase. New Mexico's outbreak continues but it is manageable at less than 1K cases per day and the good news is that the cases for Wednesday and Thursday, the highest of the week, are below the cases on the prior Wednesday and Thursday that serves as the peak for the daily cases (11/9/22 and 11/10/22). It is good news indicating that the Navajo Nation folks are working towards defeating the outbreak. Arizona daily new cases are flatlining at about 1.1K per day. Flat is better than up. Nevada's daily new cases are not moving higher and starting to roll over. The US data continues to hint that a new wave 8 is not in the cards. States are flatlining with covid cases creating the hesitancy for the overall US cases to drop. The flu season is nasty and the RSV outbreak continues across the US so perhaps some of those cases are being labeled as covid since the symptoms for all three illnesses are the same. 243 Americans are dying from COVID-19 each day the sub 200 numbers disappear. Again, are some of the recent deaths being labeled covid (perhaps for a hospital to receive more government money) when the folks may have succumbed from the regular flu or RSV? The crony capitalism system is corrupt to the core so anything is possible. The biggest tell that America is moving from the pandemic to the endemic phase is the states becoming lax on their reporting of daily new COVID-19 cases. Rhode Island is a month behind in reporting covid cases. Many states, and the CDC, are starting to adopt a weekly reporting system for cases. COVID-19 has become endemic in society when the medical officials become laissez-faire about their daily reporting of new cases.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 11/19/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US vaccination rate is down to 480K shots per day and this data is 11 days old. The US vax rate is under 400K jabs per day in real-time a pitiful uptake of the new booster shots. Americans have moved on with life and no longer consider covid a serious threat. President Biden said, "The pandemic is over" a couple months ago although he has backpedaled from the statement now saying "it no longer controls our lives." US hospital admissions and hospitalizations are flat, which is better than up, hinting that the covid cases and deaths may be overstated in recent weeks due to the other respiratory viruses occurring at the same time.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 11/19/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The BQ's are the new kids on the block. The CDC's variant data shows BQ1 at 26% of the new COVID-19 cases and BQ11 at 24% so the BQ variants account for one-half (50%) of all new China Virus cases in America. BA5 is down to 24% playing third fiddle. BF7 is 8%, BN1 at 5%, BA46 at 4%, BA526 at 2% and BA2 is down to only 1% of the current daily new cases. President Biden turns 80 years old tomorrow the oldest serving president in history. The Whitehouse says Biden did not catch covid after his close contact with the Cambodian leader a few days ago. US diplomat and bloviating blowhard John Kerry, a climate change agenda zealot, some say green deal cult leader, is in isolation sick with COVID-19, catching the illness at the climate change meetings. Kerry is fully vaccinated and boosted like a pincushion. Vaccinated and boosted Oregon Governor Kate Brown and her husband are isolating at home after testing positive for covid upon returning from a trip to Vietnam. Asia is a covid-infected nest. If anyone in the Biden entourage, or any world leader and their staffs, that attended the G20 meetings over the last week becomes sick with COVID-19, the infections will appear from now through Wednesday. Good luck to all that are returning to their home countries after the couple-week trip to Indonesia's covid-infected nest.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/20/22, at 7:00 AM EST: The world reports 345K daily new cases for Friday and the 7-day MA is at 349K cases per day. Japan's outbreak worsens with the peak in daily cases last Tuesday and Wednesday so the data on 11/22/22 and 11/23/22, to be known 2 days later, is key for the week ahead. 92 Japanese are dying from covid each day accounting for almost 1 in every 10 COVID-19 deaths worldwide. South Korea's infection wave continues with deaths at 53 bodies per day ramping higher. Indonesia reports 6.7K daily new cases and the 7-day MA trendline is at 6.7K cases per day ramping higher. You have to be kidding! Every time that the pandemic appears in its last throes, a new problem rears its ugly head. China Virus keeps coming back like a monster during the last few minutes of a class B horror flick. Brazil is the new headache. Brazil reports over 30K cases on Friday the most since August; not good. Brazil's active covid cases curve is starting to curl higher more bad news. Chile is improving and the expectation was for South America to be spared any major trouble but not so fast. COVID-19 is finding host bodies in Brazil and will have to be watched closely.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/20/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The US reports only 23K daily new cases a beautiful number for a Friday when cases are typically the largest of the week. The 7-day MA is at 27K cases per day gunning for the teens in the days ahead. The weekend cases should be small hopefully single-digits. 223 Americans are dying per day from COVID-19. The undertakers and grave diggers dance with glee praising the incompetence of President Biden, the Whitehouse staff and the CDC that are unable to reduce the pandemic death count this year. Biden and the gang are focused on the misguided climate change agenda and a list of gender pronouns instead of trying to save American lives. The daily new covid cases in New Mexico are trying to flatten-out an encouraging sign. Arizona is trying to snuff-out a rise in infections no doubt mainly due to the Navajo Nation outbreak. Nevada, Utah and Kansas, that looked shaky a few days ago, are showing flat or falling cases; great news. If the southwestern states behave, the United States should resume the downward trend in daily new cases, active cases, hospital admissions, hospitalizations and deaths. Most importantly, the victory march to the COVID-19 endemic phase will continue. New York is flatlining at 4.5K to 5.0K cases per day for many weeks so it would be nice to see the cases decrease. Between 20% and 25% of the new US covid cases each day are occurring in New York State. It sounds fishy. The number is too high and not in line with other states. Is there an incentive for New York hospitals to report covid patients to receive more government money? When 1 in 5 and almost 1 in every 4 new covid cases in the United States are occurring in New York, it may be a data collection issue in the Empire State. If the US cases venture down into the 15K to 20K cases per day range and New York is still at 5K cases per day that will be a tell that there is a problem with the data. New York cases would be expected to be flatlining between 1K and 2K cases per day right now like other big states such as California, Florida, Pennsylvania and Texas, so there may be a data problem in New York. Speaking of Texas, daily cases pop to 3.1K over the last day requiring a hairy eyeball. If covid trouble appears in the Lonestar State leading to a new infection wave, you are witnessing the conception over the last 2 days.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 11/20/22, at 11:00 AM EST: Former Vice President Pence continues selling a book trying to make headlines. He talks about Dr Fauci praising the early decisions but then says it all fell apart when Biden came into office. Pence comments on the vaccine mandates that Biden promised would not occur, until they occurred. Pence says more lives are lost under Biden's first year in office than the last year of Trump's tenure and Biden had the vaccines and other treatments. This is a lie. 441K Americans die from China Virus under Trump's watch that ended 1/20/21. If you factor in the next year of cases through 1/20/22 for Biden then yes, about 15K more people died under Biden than Trump. Pence does not tell you, however, that in January and February 2020 the deaths were basically zero. Thus, he is giving a free pass to Trump since the death data should be stated over a 10.5-month or 11-month period to compare apples to apples. If you use the data for the first 11 months of Biden's tenure to accurately compare to Trump's last 11 months, there were about 40K more deaths under Trump's watch than Biden's. Politics is a game of embellishments and outright lies. This example exposes the filthy political games occurring in the backrooms of the rigged crony capitalism system that is collapsing under its own corrupt weight. Over the next few days, the US COVID-19 death date will show that the covid deaths under Biden's presidency are 1-1/2 times the deaths under Trump. Both men are incompetent managers with American blood on their hands.
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/21/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The world reports 286K daily new covid cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 342K cases per day. 1.1K earthlings are dying each day from China Virus. China reports the covid death of an 87-year old man claiming it is the first pandemic death in 6 months. Lying communist *ssholes. The CCP lies about everything including COVID-19 cases and deaths. The CCP conveniently does not count any dead covid bodies that go stiff at the concentration, er isolation camps. Dictator Xi's failed zero-covid strategy is in shambles. The daily new cases continue higher with the CCP placing the number at about 24K cases per day so the infections are more likely in the 75K to 150K per day range. China's daily covid cases are starting to rival the prior two worst waves in March/April 2022 and back at the start of the pandemic nightmare January/February 2020. From a poetic justice perspective, the coronavirus Frankenstein monster returns to its China home, from where it was spawned, seeking vengeance on its creators. More cities and millions of Chinese folks are placed into lockdown and subject to mass testing. The CCP orders many schools and universities into the closed-loop system where the students sleep, eat and study at the school not allowed to return home. Hong Kong cannot shake off covid reporting over 8K cases on Saturday with the 7-day MA trendline sloping higher again at over 7.2K cases per day. Hong Kong chief executive, chief dirtbag, John Lee, tests positive for China Virus after a trip to Bangkok, Thailand, for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum. Lee was kissing Dictator Xi's *ss the whole time the two were in very close contact so it will be interesting to see if Xi becomes sick with covid. China took over Hong Kong making it a full-blown communist city like Beijing and Shanghai with the help of past executive and communist Carrie Lam. Lee and Lam perform the bidding of Xi and gladly spend time each weekend under his desk. COVID-19 hospitalizations are rising in Hong Kong. The weather is becoming cooler across China pushing people indoors increasing the infections. Only 40% of the Chinese people over 80 years old are vaccinated since many do not trust the government, like Russia, and many understand that China's vaccines are junk. Hong Kong's last infection wave wiped out a lot of old folks and this scenario is being repeated across mainland China. The ongoing COVID-19 trouble in China damages the international economy.
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/21/22, at 7:00 AM EST: Japan reports 90K cases for Saturday with the 7-day MA up to 84K cases per day. Japan is a covid mess with one-third of the new virus cases worldwide on Saturday occurring in Japan. That is a jaw-dropping statistic and obviously not good for Japan. The peak in daily cases is 107K on 11/16/22 so Japan's infection wave depends on the daily cases for 11/23/22 which will be known on Friday. South Korea and Indonesia continue to battle their infection waves. Chile is getting a handle on its infection wave with cases trending lower but Brazil is now in the covid soup with cases running higher at 16K per day. South Africa's cases are not jumping out of control instead remaining relatively subdued so that is good news. Asia is the covid trouble spot that extends the worldwide pandemic.
Note Added Monday Morning, 11/21/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The US 7-day MA for daily new COVID-19 cases is down to 25K per day and 200 Americans continue dying from covid each day.
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