By K E Stone (Keystone)
The BA4 and BA5 sublineages are creating rising cases in
Europe and elsewhere keeping the global daily cases elevated. The world’s daily
new cases chart is shown above. The huge BA1 wave (BA11529 Botswana/South
Africa Variant dubbed omicron by the WHO’s stupid Greek lettering system and now
called BA1) travels the globe from its southern Africa conception area.
As the Coronavirus Chronology explained at the time of the omicron
outbreak, BA1 actually started in Zimbabwe and the initial identification
occurred at the Botswana/South Africa border a stone’s throw from busy Pretoria
(Johannesburg). This is crystal clear in the daily cases data with the rise in
cases for BA1 starting in Zimbabwe and then days later the cases started
increasing in Botswana and South Africa. To this day, there is not one media
story worldwide explaining this fact except for the Coronavirus Chronology.
Where are the scientists? They are now political scientists.
The world chart shows the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave more
subdued then BA1 and this big sister/little sister wave pattern is repeated for
most nations as they work through the outbreak. That small bump a month ago is
due to the explosive COVID-19 outbreak in DPRK (North Korea).
Presently, the BA4 and BA5 sublineages are raising their
ugly heads in Europe, the US and elsewhere preventing the world’s daily cases
from falling. The world is at 531K daily new cases per day moving sideways
teasing the prior low in the rate at 528K cases per day in early May. If the
cases take out the prior low and especially if sub 500K numbers occur, that
will be the first firm indication that the BA4/BA5 bugs should not be a big
deal. BA5 seems to pack a wee bit more punch than BA4 although both appear
manageable (see discussions about Israel below).
The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. The
global death rate is at 1,220 souls per day with 20% (1 in 5 deaths) in the
United States 2-1/2 years into the pandemic. Where’s President Biden? Sleeping?
Sleepy Joe is busy destroying America’s energy complex (oil, gasoline, natural
gas) creating runaway inflation, and likely recession, for the sake of his
misguided climate change agenda that promotes biased science. It is what it is.
The world’s death rate popped during the BA1 wave but did
not reach the heights of the prior worse waves such as wave 3 which is a good
thing since the trend is lower on a long-term basis. The BA2 outbreaks create
only a minor blip in deaths on the world chart that go unnoticeable in the
grand picture. Ditto the deaths in real-time from the BA4 and BA5 bugs,
however, the jury is out with these trouble-maker’s until a couple more weeks
pass. Hopefully, the global death rate will drop below 1K per day. It was on
this path until the BA4 and BA5 sublineages started showing their ugly faces.
Germany’s daily new cases chart is shown above with a new
BA4/BA5 wave underway. The same chart behavior is displayed by France, Italy, Netherlands,
Belgium, UK, Switzerland, Austria, etc… (see country list below).
Germany’s 7-day MA for daily new cases is up to 46K cases
per day which is 9% of the global cases. 1 in 10 new infections on the planet
are occurring in Germany. Where’s Chancellor Scholz? Sleeping? The new BA4/BA5
wave creates the elevated worldwide daily cases discussed above.
Israel’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Oh my.
Israel’s population is stuck with 3, 4 or 5 vaccination shots, and some folks
had COVID-19 providing extra natural antibody protection, and yet Israel has a
new outbreak wave in progress.
Israel reports a big 11K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is
ramping higher at 6.4K cases per day. The clock just fell off the wall in Prime
Minister Naftali Bennett’s office. Israel’s active cases chart moves higher as
well so the healthcare workers will notice an increase in their caseloads going
forward.
The world has looked to Israel for guidance with their
topnotch medical studies but all that fancy work results in another infection wave
2-1/2 years into the pandemic. Maybe the Israeli’s need 6 shots? 50% of the new
infections in Israel are the BA5 subvariant. Coronavirus will decide when the
pandemic ends, not man.
Brazil’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Brazil is
trying to flatten the daily cases at 37K cases per day but a few more days of
data are needed to see if they will succeed. 7% of the new infections occurring
in the world are in Brazil (1 in 14).
Chile’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Thwack. Chile
reports over 13.1K cases yesterday the most since March with the 7-day MA for
this current wave at over 10.5K cases per day. The outbreaks in South America
nations are increasing with cases floating higher in Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay
and Columbia. Peru is okay and Argentina just worked through a mini bump in
cases. The entire continent will likely become infected.
Central America continues struggling at controlling ongoing
outbreaks especially Costa Rica and Guatemala. Migrants are traveling north hoping
to enter the US via the southern border due to the lax Biden policies. Some are
bringing covid.
Mexico’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Mexico begins
a new wave with daily cases ramping higher at 6.3K cases per day. Mexico’s
active cases curve curls higher which is bad news for the healthcare workers
that will see a steady increase in covid patient load over the next couple
weeks. Migrant tent cities are expanding daily as people hope to cross into the
United States unfortunately, the tight and difficult living conditions are
heaven for the China Virus.
Mexico’s rise in cases create a rise in cases in the US
southern border states. You do not have to be Sherlock Holmes to deduce that
Central America infections spread north into Mexico and now spread further north
into the US border states.
Across the Pacific Ocean, Taiwan continues to struggle but
makes slow progress. Taiwan’s daily new cases chart is shown above with daily
cases dropping to 61K per day heading lower. It is good news that the active
cases are also dropping so Taiwan is on the backside of the wave but conditions
are improving at a snail’s pace. Perhaps bigger drops in numbers will occur in
the days ahead.
Last Friday and Saturday were the deadliest 2 days of the
pandemic for Taiwan. 424 Taiwanese die (213 souls on 6/10/22 and 211 on
6/11/22). There was less than 1K deaths in Taiwan a month ago but the tally is
now above 5K deaths. No one is happy except casket makers and undertakers.
India’s daily cases chart is shown above. A new wave is
beginning albeit at small case numbers but tiny bumps can turn into big waves.
India’s 7-day MA for daily new cases is over 10K cases per day running higher.
The world’s cases will remain elevated if India’s situation worsens. For now,
it appears manageable but the next couple weeks are critical for Prime Minister
Modi and India. Tell friends and relatives in India to try and avoid crowded
spaces over the next couple weeks.
The US daily new cases chart is shown above. Wave 7 continues
into summertime which begins on Tuesday for the northern hemisphere. There is
good news for America. Keystone harps on how the Friday data is typically the
highest numbers of the week so it is great to see 82K cases yesterday a subdued
number and the 7-day MA coming down at 93K cases per day. The 3-day MA for
daily new cases had made a couple lower lows and lower highs but is now in a
sideways funk. Sideways is better than up.
The buoyancy in US daily new cases over the last couple
weeks is due to the BA4 and BA5 bugs. Also, the heat and humidity across the
South is increasing chasing folks indoors so infections rise. In addition, the
migrant crisis remains out of control at the southern border and as explained
above, the higher infections in Mexico are now increasing the cases in the
border states of California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas.
The 7-day MA of US cases was over 112K cases per day in late
May so 93K cases per day is a step in the right direction. America’s current
wave 7 peak day is 131K cases on 5/26/22 which is now gratefully over 3 weeks
in the rearview mirror. Excellent. If any day ahead reports over 131K cases, it
would be disastrous. Hopefully, cases will remain sub 100K for every day ahead.
The US active cases chart is shown above. The active cases
move incrementally higher at 3.2 million cases. The curve was starting to roll
over but the increase in cases in southern states and the BA4 and BA5 bugs
create further buoyancy. Perhaps in the week ahead the flattening will occur
and then the downside forming the bell pattern can begin. Hospitals and
clinics, especially in the South, should be aware that caseloads will increase
over the coming days.
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. It is
sickening. American mediocrity is on full display for 2-1/2 years running with 256
souls dying from covid per day. It is getting incrementally worse over the last
few days. The rich receive Paxlovid while the poor and disadvantaged receive
caskets. Biden is equally incompetent as Trump at handling the pandemic. Two
stupido’s.
New York’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The daily
cases are dropping nicely to 5.4K cases per day heading lower. The wave ran up
for about 6 weeks and then down for 4 weeks thus far. Even better, New York’s
active cases have been moving lower for 3 weeks so the Empire State is on the
mend. New Jersey shows the same behavior with daily new cases but the active
cases are stubborn and will not yet rolling over lower.
Florida’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Florida is
always in the news since the democrat media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS,
NPR, New York Times, Washington Post) keeps poking at republican Governor DeSantis
since he will likely vie for the presidency in 2024. Of course the republican media
(Fox News, Newsmax, OANN, Breitbart News, AM talk radio, New York Post)
cheerleads DeSantis for his independent leadership. The republicans, if they
were smart, would ditch Don (Trump) for Ron (DeSantis).
But DeSantis is asleep at the switch as Florida’s daily new
cases continue sideways to sideways higher at 10.6K cases per day. College
students and vacationers are flocking to Florida for fun in the sun so
infections remain buoyant. Florida has work to do to bring the wave 7 outbreak
under control. Meanwhile, on the beach, COVID-19 goes along for the ride on
pretty Latisha’s kiss that is Simply Irresistible as Robert sings.
Texas’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Texas is
averaging 6.9K cases moving higher. The migrant crisis and folks moving indoors
to escape the heat are increasing the cases in the South. Many southern states
display the same behavior as Texas.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 88.0 million. India is next with 43.3 million total virus cases.
Brazil, France, Germany, UK, Russia, South Korea, Italy, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam,
Argentina, Japan and Netherlands round out the top 15 worst nations. This
ranking is steady for 2-1/2 months without changes with the exception of Japan
leap-frogging Netherlands 6 weeks ago.
COVID-19 has infected 544 million people worldwide. China
(the CCP) owes reparations to the world for its crime against humanity. 6.34 million
people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim statistic. 519 million global
citizens have recovered from the virus. 95% (519/544) of the people that become
infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame. Worldwide, 1.2% (6.3/544)
of the people that are infected with covid die; 1 in 86.
7.1% (544/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 14 people on earth. 0.08%
of the world’s population (6.34/7670) died from the pandemic; 1 in every 1,210
people on earth died from China Virus.
In the United States, 88.0 million people are infected with covid.
1.038 million Americans are dead. 83.7 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus.
This equates to 95% (83.7/88.0) of US citizens recovering after becoming
infected with COVID-19.
In the US, 1.1% (1/88) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. 1 in every 88 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. Thus, if
you are infected with China Virus in the United States, you have about a 1 in
90 chance of dying. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is
1 in every 330 Americans over the last 2-1/2 years.
27% (88.0/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid; 1 in every 4 Americans (3.8 to be exact).
The CDC says one-half the US population, 50%, have been infected by COVID-19
and have some level of antibody protection. The US is doing a good job at
holding wave 7 at bay so herd immunity must be playing a role (vaccination and
natural antibody protections).
The United States has 16% (88/544) of the COVID-19 cases in
the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent months.
The US accounts for 15.8% (1/6.34) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
A year ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped a little bit.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the
‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the
medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over
forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can
breathe easier.
The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to
forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of
the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where
the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their
heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European
countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where
citizens follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea,
Japan, Singapore, Australia), the active cases curve will peak, on average, 11
days after the peak in daily new cases.
For the Western countries, such as the US and European
nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on
average, 28 days after the peak in new cases. It takes about 2 weeks longer for
a free society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian
state because lockdowns are not strictly followed or enforced. As time moves
along, nations become better equipped and experienced to fend off outbreaks so
time between the daily new cases peak and active cases peak is shortening.
All projections below for countries and the US states
continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When
the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that
peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day in reference to
the Keystone Model.
The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar
charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases
bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average
(MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.
An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another
10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the
China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time
hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The
chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades
to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in
real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 80 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This eightieth article is published on Saturday, 6/18/22. The
Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 80 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga.
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well with the
Worldometer data leading the others by a few days. The Worldometer data is far
superior for forecasting since it is updated more reliably in real-time.
The countries with rising active cases charts are
highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The peaks in daily new
cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on the
Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curves are
extremely important since it represents the maximum stress on healthcare
workers and the medical systems.
It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over
to form the bell shape for the troubled nations at the bottom of the list since
they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases.
Hospitalizations lag the daily cases by a week or two and deaths lag
hospitalizations by a week or two.
Canada (Sixth Wave)
4/21/22 New Case Peak Date
5/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days) (curve is not flattening so baby tyrannical King
Trudeau is likely playing games with the daily case numbers)
5/18/22 New Case Peak Date
5/29/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is flattening give it a couple more days)
5/26/22 New Case Peak Date
6/6/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (Costa Rica stopped reporting daily new cases but
active cases chart is flattening; give it a few more days)
6/9/22 New Case Peak Date
7/7/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
6/10/22 New Case Peak Date
6/21/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/12/22 New Case Peak Date
6/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/14/22
New Case Peak Date
6/25/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
6/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/16/22 New Case Peak Date
6/27/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/16/22 New Case Peak Date
6/27/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/16/22 New Case Peak Date
6/27/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
6/17/22 New Case Peak Date
6/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
A few South and Central America countries are added to the bad list. Also, Israel and India. Portugal was taken off the bad list since its active cases curve is rolling over and this was a poster child for the BA4/BA5 bugs, along with South Africa, so these 2 pesky sublineages should not be a big deal.
Argentina was taken off the list while other South America
countries are added. Panama is taken off the bad list while a couple other
Central America nations are added. Taiwan is taken off the list since both
daily and active cases are dropping.
The United States will be dealing with COVID-19 into and
through the July 4th holiday. There are other countries ready to be added to
the bad list since their daily new cases are increasing including Switzerland,
Belgium, Bangladesh, Bolivia and Uruguay, but their active cases are flat.
Trouble occurs when the active cases rise.
Conditions are improving in China if you can believe the
communists. The CCP is using the COVID-19 app to round-up anyone that speaks
bad about dirtbag Dictator Xi. In China, if you are going to a protest or are
identified as a dissident, the CCP is flipping your phone into red covid alert
mode and the authorities drag you away to an isolation facility. Living in
China is living in a jail your entire life but that’s communism.
The United States battles wave 7 which should have a happy
ending over the next couple weeks. The US list below provides insight into
which states remain in the covid quagmire. The peak in daily new cases and
projections for the peaks in active cases are provided as per the Keystone
Model.
The flattening and roll over of the active cases curve
forming the bell shape (see US active cases chart above) indicates the virus is
being defeated and the caseload on healthcare workers will quickly improve.
Healthcare workers are not under duress with wave 7 like prior waves.
The dates for the states to peak with active cases are
slipping into July. The active cases charts for wave 7 have rolled over for 19 states
thus far a pleasant surprise including the northeastern states that were first
hit by the BA2 wave or BA2/BA4/BA5 combo wave.
Washington
State (Seventh Wave)
5/20/22
New Case Peak Date
6/17/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening)
5/24/22
New Case Peak Date
6/21/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/25/22
New Case Peak Date
6/22/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
5/25/22
New Case Peak Date
6/22/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
5/27/22
New Case Peak Date
6/24/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
5/31/22
New Case Peak Date
6/28/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/1/22
New Case Peak Date
6/29/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/1/22
New Case Peak Date
6/29/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/2/22
New Case Peak Date
6/30/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/3/22
New Case Peak Date
7/1/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve rolling over)
6/4/22
New Case Peak Date
7/2/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/8/22
New Case Peak Date
7/6/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/9/22
New Case Peak Date
7/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/10/22
New Case Peak Date
7/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/10/22
New Case Peak Date
7/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/10/22
New Case Peak Date
7/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/14/22
New Case Peak Date
7/12/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/14/22
New Case Peak Date
7/12/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/14/22
New Case Peak Date
7/12/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/15/22
New Case Peak Date
7/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/15/22
New Case Peak Date
7/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten and roll over)
6/15/22
New Case Peak Date
7/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/15/22
New Case Peak Date
7/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/15/22
New Case Peak Date
7/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/16/22
New Case Peak Date
7/14/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/16/22
New Case Peak Date
7/14/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/16/22
New Case Peak Date
7/14/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/17/22
New Case Peak Date
7/15/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/17/22
New Case Peak Date
7/15/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/17/22
New Case Peak Date
7/15/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
6/17/22
New Case Peak Date
7/15/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
11 states on the
above bad list display dropping daily cases and their active cases are flat and
about to roll over and will probably be removed from the list over the coming
days. The US mood and zeitgeist is negative because of the rampant inflation
and stock markets tanking but 19 states are on the mend. All 50 states were
sliding down the covid rabbit hole a month ago. It is a reason to be
optimistic.
The 8 states taken
off the bad list since active cases are dropping are Wisconsin, Illinois,
Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia which
improved super fast.
5 states have gone
to weekly reporting of cases, which is a new twist for the data game, including
North and South Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming and Montana. Wyoming cases are
jumping more than other states so something nasty may be occurring in the
Equality State.
The bottom of the
list displays several southern states as people flock indoors to escape the
heat and the migrants may be bringing covid across the southern border.
Mexico’s cases ramp higher impacting the southern border states.
Dit … dit ….. dit
….. this just in. The CDC approves the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna vaccines for
use in children from 6 months to 5 years old. CDC Director Walensky rubber
stamps the FDA’s results granting emergency use and providing guidelines. The
shots can begin on Tuesday. They can actually begin Monday but the government
declares a holiday for Juneteenth delaying the vaccine rollout by one day; how
important are the shots? President Biden will be bragging about the COVID-19 vaccine
milestone that now covers all Americans 6 months and older.
Whoa. Arrgghh. Ahhh!
Help! He is okay. President Biden goes for a bicycle ride and when he pedals
over to talk to reporters he falls over. Biden is not injured declaring, “I’m
good,” as the secret service agents swarm to protect Sleepy Joe’s frail body.
Biden appears okay when he leaves church a few hours later, however, anyone
that has gotten banged-up in life in sports, fights or accidents, knows that
the pain, stiffness, discomfort and bruising begins the next day and following
days. Uncle Joe will be moving kind of slow at the junction this week. When you
are 80, you try to prove to the blue-haired gal’s that you are still a 20-year
old stud, so you ride a bicycle, and end up eating cinders.
The KFF provides asurvey on parents and vaccinations for youngsters. Only 18% of parents with children under 5
years old plan to get their kid/s vaccinated. This is down from a high at 31%
as the year started with the BA1 Omicron Variant wave 6 outbreak wreaking
havoc. 38% of parents want to wait and see how it goes. Typically, most of
these folks will likely get their kids vaccinated but only after a few days or
weeks go by to see if there are side effects at play. 11% of parents say they
will only get their child under 5 vaccinated if the government requires it and
27% of parents say they definitely will not vaccinate their child.
In a nutshell, as
the FDA, CDC, Whitehouse, Pfizer, BioNTech and Moderna wave the vaccination
banner for toddlers, less than 1 in 5 parents plan to get their child vaccinated
right away. 2 out of 5 parents plan to wait and see and 2 in 5 parents will not
get their vaccinated or may if the government requires it. On a broader scale,
17% of Americans of all ages definitely do not plan to get vaccinated almost 1
in 5 citizens. Keystone is not vaccinated and Nurse Goodbody is very mad about
it; but she does not stay mad for long.
Interestingly, the
vaccine take-up in the 5 to 12 year old’s is not impressive with only 30% of
the kids in this age group vaccinated. In the 12 to 17 year old’s, about 60%
are vaccinated. Many were forced to take
the jabs because of school or university mandates.
The US vaccinationrate continues a downward slide for the last 2 months at about 200K shots per
day. Vaccine is being wasted due to lack of interest in the shots and boosters.
People likely hear on the news every few days about another triple or quadruple-vaccinated
person getting sick with COVID-19 so many are simply taking their chances going
forward just like a typical flu season.
US COVID-19 hospitaladmissions continue higher which is not a good thing. The admissions for the current BA2 Omicron
Subvariant wave 7, that is now also including BA4 and BA5, remain far below the
prior BA1 Omicron Variant wave 6. There are currently 77% less admissions
occurring for wave 7 versus wave 6. People are learning to live with covid.
US coronavirus hospitalizations
are trying to flatten-out at 24K patients remaining far below the 150K peak in
January during wave 6.
The CDC Community Transmissionmap is showing more green. However, yellows and oranges are displayed for the
southern states. The map is 3 days behind but clearly shows the increased
infections occurring in Florida, Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas,
Tennessee, Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California. 10% of the US counties
are under high covid risk, 30% medium risk and 60% low risk.
The CDC should publicize and market the community transmission map to the public. It
will be a critical tool in any future pandemic so take advantage of the current
pandemic to educate and train people to automatically look at the community
chart and identify their county for health guidance. The map must be updated
faster, however, in real-time, because it is difficult driving a car forward while
looking in the rearview mirror.
The CDC’s wastewaterglitter-dot map remains of limited use. Not to disparage the good women and men
playing with their glitter dots at the CDC, but that data is not very useful. The
wastewater surveillance is likely hyped by the CDC as a big deal because they
are in bed with the democrat tribe and the wastewater program is a way of
funneling funds to democrat-run cities. Everything is corrupt in America these
days like any other nation on Earth.
A smart manager
would slash the wastewater budget moving that money to simplifying the CDC data
and providing real-time updates in the important data sets. For the last 2
years, Keystone uses daily new cases, total cases, active cases, daily deaths and
total deaths data to tell you what is going on in any country or US state before
the authorities tell you. It’s not rocket science, and Keystone knows rocket
science.
America’s wave 7
should roll over after the BA2/BA4/BA5 bugs ripple through the southern United
States in the days ahead. It is Summertime and the Living is Easy.
Note Added Sunday
Morning, 6/19/22, at 3:00 AM EST: Happy Father’s Day. America would be a far
better place these days if men that had sex creating children would step up,
and man-up, and be Dad’s, not dirtbags, to those children. 85% of the people incarcerated in US prisons and 90% of runaway kids do not or did not have a Dad or fatherly influence in the household. A fatherless kid is 4 times more likely to be uneducated and live in poverty. The US 7-day MA
moves lower to 81K cases per day. The US active cases slump over from 3.2
million to 3.1 million. This is excellent news but more days must pass to make
sure the active cases curve is flattening and potential rolling over announcing
the official downside of wave 7 with the bell shape. Americans continue dying
at a pace of 227 bodies per day from COVID-19 while Sleepy Joe Biden worries
about his scraped knee from the bicycle stumble yesterday. The path forward for
the United States and wave 7 depends on the cases in the southern states this
week. New York announces plans to open 10 vaccination sites on Wednesday offering the Moderna shots to the 6 months to 5 year old children.
Note Added Sunday
Morning, 6/19/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 513K COVID-19 cases per day
continuing to stumble along sideways through the 500K to 550K cases per day
range. 1,148 earthlings are dying per day from China Flu. It is great to see a
1.1 handle so perhaps a sub 1,000 deaths per day number is coming for the
planet. India is up to 10.7K cases per day and rising but the numbers remain
small compared to prior waves. Brazil is trying to flatten-out the daily new
cases at 35K cases per day. Oh no. Israel reports 11K cases yesterday the most
of the new wave with the 7-day MA at 6.6K cases per day and rising. This just
in. Israeli Health Minister Director-General Professor Nachman Ash says a new
wave has begun verifying the Coronavirus Chronology’s call above. Ash cites
increasing infections, severe illness and hospitalizations with the BA5
subvariant the main culprit. Israel is considering a return to a mask mandate
in tight indoor spaces but any return to country-wide or region-wide
restrictions and lockdowns is not on the table. After 2-1/2 years, countries
are becoming smarter at handling COVID-19. Germany reports 80K cases yesterday.
France reports 50K cases and Italy 35K cases. Boom. Mexico reports 10K daily
new cases yesterday another high for the current wave. The 7-day MA for
Mexico’s daily cases is starting to go parabolic (vertical) at 6.8K cases per
day. The COVID-19 infection wave moves north from Central America into Mexico
and into the southern United States.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/20/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases drop to 488K cases per day a sub 500K number. It is great news but 1 day does not make a trend. The global pandemic is fading away again if the downward trend continues. India reports 14.4K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA accelerates higher to 11.3K cases per day. A new wave is underway in India and the hope is that it will be mild. There was over 300K cases per day at the peak of the last wave so the current numbers remain small, for now, but do appear to be accelerating. Europe is seeing a spike in daily new cases due to BA4 and BA5 but the cases may roll over in quick order as the 7-day MA's are wanting to line-out sideways. Mexico's outbreak worsens with daily new cases up to 7.3K cases per day moving sharply higher.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/20/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Happy Juneteenth in the US, a newly publicized holiday that commemorates an end to slavery. The actual holiday was yesterday since the 20th is not a teenth but observed today where the banks, post office and markets are closed. Every nation on earth has had slavery (some still do); do they all have the same holiday? The politicians likely wanted another day off. Maybe Juneteenth will evolve into a St Patrick's Day style holiday? Humorously, everyone is Irish on St Patty's Day so everyone can be black on Juneteenth. The US reports only 18K cases for Sunday an expected low Sunday number. US active cases take another incremental move lower to 3.096 million cases under 3.1. America is making progress, Little By Little, as Susan plays and sings, with Eric taking photos. Americans keep dying from COVID-19 at 210 bodies per day. Maybe a sub 2 hundo number will eventually occur someday? The Whitehouse, CDC and others in charge of the never-ending pandemic do not appear concerned because they and their rich friends will receive Paxlovid the instant they test positive for covid. The poor, minorities, less-educated and disadvantaged folks are left wondering what to do or where to go for help if a positive test occurs. They die. The US is in a good place to defeat wave 7 but there are a couple of wild cards in play. First, the extent of the BA4 and BA5 infections that are piggybacking onto the BA2 wave and second, the progress of the outbreak waves in the southern states. The data this week will provide a clear enough picture to assess both concerns.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/20/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The vaccinations for the 6 months to 5 year old's begins tomorrow in the US. Everyone was in a big rush to get the kids vaccine approved since it was promised starting last Fall, and after it is pushed through the process and officially ready to go, the distribution of the shots is delayed for a day due to the holiday. American mediocrity is on full display daily. 442 kids under 5 years old have died from covid during the 2-1/2 year pandemic a number higher than, but comparable to the regular flu, and the kids that died had other health problems and/or suffering from childhood obesity. President Biden says the approval for toddler vaccinations is a "monumental step." Former FDA Commissioner Gottlieb predicts a slow rollout of the vaccine for kids under 5 years old since many parents may adopt a wait and see approach. How many parents will get their toddlers vaccinated for COVID-19? Of course the doctor's and scientist's kids are told to roll up their sleeves first. Ice cream vendors are preparing for a slight increase in business this week.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/20/22, at 8:00 AM EST: US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan tests positive for COVID-19. The Whitehouse remains a covid-infected nest like it was under Trump. Sullivan is fully vaccinated and not experiencing symptoms. A spokeswoman says Sullivan "has not been in close contact with the president." That is fine from a covid perspective but why hasn't the top US security guy met face to face with Biden over the last few days? You know, there is a war going on in Ukraine along with destabilizing global inflation? The domestic and international problems fester as Sleepy Joe eats chocolate pudding in his bath robe in the Whitehouse kitchen. Fauci is interviewed yesterday and says everyone should wear a mask indoors. Tony, no one is listening to you anymore. Fauci looks pale and tired still dealing with the COVID-19 infection after his quadruple vaccinations. On the pandemic, Fauci decrees, "it isn't over yet" and "it is not going back to zero." The appearance goes relatively unnoticed. Fauci's days in the sun are over. Americans have moved on from the pandemic which may result in less interest in childhood vaccinations.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/20/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The US airline industry continues recovering from 19,000 flight cancellations since last Thursday. People are willing to fly and have the cash but the experience is in shambles. Lines are long at airports and travelers are miserable. There are airline staffing shortages lingering on for months due to the stupid vaccine mandate garbage. Remember that drama from a few months ago? The airlines shot themselves in the foot and in the process also screwed consumers and business travelers. Lots of experienced pilots retired when the airlines demanded they roll up their sleeves. Instead they lifted their middle finger and pointed it at the boss while walking out the door. Some employees that were forced to get vaccinated against their will hold a grudge. Do you think a lot of them called in sick this weekend to screw the airlines further. Yes. Of course they did. Payback's a bitch. The airlines screwed the workers forcing them to bend knee and take mRNA serum into their bodies to keep their job, so now they will screw the company every way they can for as long as they work there. Other airline employees have pending lawsuits fighting the stupid vaccine mandates that remain unresolved. The airlines should resolve the court cases and clean the slate. Due to the high cost of fuel, brought on by Biden and the gang, airlines do not want to put a bird in the air unless it is packed full of passengers and will inconvenience people until the headcount is right. Perhaps if the airlines promised to never institute a vaccine mandate again, and provide bonus pay, back pay, and raises, some of the highly-skilled pilots and other important employees such as the flight attendants and TSA employees, may return to work and help alleviate the transportation mess. In reality, however, the situation will likely worsen. The COVID-19 vaccine mandate garbage enforced by the US government and companies was a huge mistake dividing Americans. President Biden said he would never institute a vaccine mandate, until he did. America continues dealing with the mistake.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 6/21/22, at 5:14 AM EST: It's official. Today, this minute, summer begins in the northern hemisphere the longest day of the year. It is time to celebrate the Summer Solstice at Stonehenge. The world reports only 306K covid cases yesterday with the 7-day MA down to 510K cases per day dipping below 500K for only 1 day yesterday. The path forward is encouraging for the world especially if the new BA4/BA5 outbreaks in Europe peter out. India's COVID-19 cases continue higher at 12K per day. Brazil continues the covid battle with its 7-day MA moving sideways at 37K cases per day. Chile remains in trouble. Taiwan continues improving but is averaging 56K cases per day. 11%, or 1 in 9 new COVID-19 infections worldwide are occurring in Taiwan the independent island nation that wants nothing to do with the mainland CCP communists. Mexico reports 9.6K cases yesterday another new high for the new outbreak wave. The 7-day MA jumps higher to 7.4K cases per day. China Virus is spreading up through Mexico and those infections are migrating into the southern border states. The mass migration north into the US brought on by Biden's lax border policies helps the virus spread easier.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 6/21/22, at 5:30 AM EST: The US exceeds 88 million total infections and 1.038 million deaths from COVID-19 with nearly 84 million Americans recovering. The US reports only 23K cases for Monday but the Father's Day and Juneteenth holidays may delay some of the data for a day or two. America's 7-day MA is down to 67K cases per day a lot better than the 100K-plus cases per day from mid-May through last week. Things are looking good especially if the outbreaks across the southern states subside. US active cases are down to 3.0 million so the curve has flattened and is now trying to head lower to start creating the coveted bell shape that will verify that the virus is on the run and being defeated (see the US active cases chart above). The path for the country as a whole is encouraging. New Mexico is hit hard with infections so it can serve as a poster boy for what happens with the southern states. Is a lot of the US immigration activity such as handling the influx of thousands of migrants per day, occurring in New Mexico? It would make sense considering the rapid spread of infections. The data is lagging in many states due to the holidays so we will need to get into the tail-end of the week to assess the path of the new infections and United States. There is reason to be optimistic and with the solstice here, it is time to enjoy the beautiful groovy summer day in Itchykoo Park with Steve.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 6/21/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Wow. 186 Americans are dying per day the US covid death count finally dropping below 2 hundo bodies per day; great news. Hopefully, it will remain below 200 deaths per day and target below 1 hundo bodies per day in the near future. Perhaps more of the poor and disadvantaged in America are receiving Paxlovid, monoclonal antibodies and other treatments and therapies to save their lives. The CDC continues blaming people's deaths on the lack of vaccinations when it has more to do with the garbage handling of the pandemic and the vaccine-only strategy. The Whitehouse and CDC knew before the first shots went into arms 2 years ago that 20% to 25% of the country would not take the vaccine. Duh. 20% to 25% have not taken the vaccine. Officials should be providing alternate treatments and therapies for the people that do not want vaccinated but do not or only do so begrudgingly. Vaccines cannot be approved for emergency use if there are other treatments and therapies available. This is why the other treatments, such as preventive and early care with HCQ, zinc, ivermectin and other drugs and supplements, is shunned and ridiculed by the US government. It is all for the sake of the mRNA vaccine only strategy; another pandemic misstep and failure. How do you think the underdeveloped and third-world countries got through the pandemic outbreaks without being vaccinated? There are still countries with not even 10% of the population vaccinated. Many of these nations weathered the China Virus storm by widespread distribution of HCQ and ivermectin which are very helpful as preventive and early treatments but useless if the virus proceeds for several days. The two dirtbag US political tribes continue providing misinformation to the public with the democrats lying saying HCQ and ivermectin are completely useless (they are only looking at the studies that show the treatments ineffective in handling patients that are seriously ill with covid) while the republicans lie saying the treatments are the greatest thing since sliced bread (they are only looking at the studies that show the drugs effective if used as a preventive or early treatment for COVID-19). Political narratives, driven by human corruption, overrule the science during the never-ending 2-1/2 year pandemic.
Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 6/21/22: President Biden and First Lady Jill visit a vaccination clinic in Washington, DC, to kick off the vaccine shots for children from 6 months to 5 years old. The clinics can handle the 3 to 5 year old's but the toddlers will likely be vaccinated in the pediatricians office under a different setting. Biden proclaims, "We're the only country in the world doing this right now. This is a great place for you all. We're going to beat this thing." He tells a young girl, "You'll be able to go anywhere you want." Did he tell her that she can still get COVID-19 with the vaccination? Probably not. Biden says billions more are needed to handle the pandemic and to prepare for the next pandemic.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/22/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Smack. The world is slapped in the face with 731K daily new cases yesterday an elevated number the most cases in 5 weeks. The never-ending pandemic refuses to go away. The world's daily cases average 548K cases per day drifting higher instead of towards the sub 500K level. The positive side is that global COVID-19 deaths continue tracking sideways to sideways lower at 1,138 dead bodies per day. Boom. Germany reports 123K daily new cases yesterday the largest for the current BA4/BA5 wave; terrible news. Germany's 7-day MA for daily cases is up to 52K per day heading higher. Cases continue higher in Netherlands albeit small numbers. Oh no. France reports over 95K cases yesterday. Boom. Italy reports 63K cases yesterday a big jump higher the most since April. No wonder the world's cases refuse to go down. Germany, France and Italy account for nearly 40% of the new global cases. Wow. 2 in every 5 new China Virus cases are in one of these three European nations. India's cases continue higher at 13K per day. Brazil reports over 68K cases teasing the highs for the current wave. Chile shows signs that it may be able to crest at 10K cases per day and roll over lower. Mexico remains challenged. Taiwan improves but continues reporting 55K cases per day. China remains a mess. Small numbers of infections continue appearing in different cities. The communist authorities continue shutting down sections of cities. World markets remain in turmoil because dirtbag Dictator Xi continues the failed zero-covid strategy that disrupts global supply chains.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 6/22/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports 84K daily new cases yesterday an elevated number but nothing alarming especially since some of the cases may be catch-up from the weekend holidays. The 7-day MA for daily new cases drops to 81K cases per day. The daily cases this week must be below 81K to keep pulling the moving average lower. US active cases are moving sideways at 3.0 to 3.2 million not willing to tip their hand on whether they want to break out higher, or collapse lower, out of this sideways move (likely down to start forming the coveted bell shape). 192 Americans die yesterday and the 7-day MA is down to 177 deaths from COVID-19 per day a couple days under 200; let's keep it going in this direction. Perhaps poor and disadvantaged Americans are finally receiving either Paxlovid pills or monoclonal antibodies to save their lives, like the wealthy class has been receiving all year long. California remains challenged averaging 16K cases per day. Oh no. Damn. Texas reports 17K daily new cases yesterday a big jump higher; bad news. New Mexico's cases continue higher at over 900 cases per day. Arizona is behind on its data reporting. When states and countries slip into new waves, the politicians are playing games delaying or not reporting data for a couple weeks as the outbreak intensifies. Politicians act noble and say they want to prevent panic (like bonehead Trump in early 2020 lying to America about the seriousness of the pandemic) but they are actually trying to protect their power and political futures. Boom. Louisiana reports nearly 3K cases yesterday a big jump higher the most cases since February. Several states are getting smacked in the face but perhaps it is due to data catch-up from the weekend. Hope springs eternal in a never-ending once in a century pandemic. The southern states are dictating the covid path ahead for the United States.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 6/22/22: As the Biden administration and CDC try to drum-up parental support for vaccinating the toddlers, Moderna announces trial data showing that its vaccine can protect against the BA4 and BA5 sublineages in addition to the BA1 Omicron Variant. The findings are based on antibody response. Since BA4 and BA5 are the latest bugs di jour, MRNA stock pops +5% on the news. Big Pharma celebrates. PFE gains +2%. LLY +4%. The wealthy class celebrates America's drug and surgery medical model.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 6/22/22: A new poll places President Biden's job approval rating at only 32% (a couple of polls are at 29%) the lowest for a president in almost 75 years. Biden, the modern-day Herbert Hoover, is trying to stupidly destroy the oil, gasoline, natural gas and coal industries creating massive runaway inflation sinking his poll numbers. Airlines are cancelling service to cities blaming the pilot shortage. American Airlines cancels routes to Toledo, Ohio, Islip and Ithaca, New York and Dubuque, Iowa. The airlines stupidly mandated vaccines so some pilots moved on to other employers (at higher wages) or retired. These are the most highly-skilled pilots available lost because of the jackass mandates. Way to go, *ssholes. Traveling is going to be a nightmare around the Independence Day holiday only 12 days away. The pandemic remains a 2-1/2 year chaotic and confusing mess.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 6/23/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The world reports 727K cases yesterday another elevated number with the 7-day MA at 575K cases per day. Germany's daily cases increase to an average of 64K cases per day spiking higher. Ditto France up to 55K cases per day. Ditto Italy at 40 cases per day. Ditto UK up to 16K cases per day but smaller numbers compared to past waves. It will be interesting to see how fast, or maybe not so fast, the BA4/BA5 waves burn through Germany, France and Italy. Netherlands cases rise to 4K cases per day continuing higher but are very small numbers. Australia struggles at defeating the pandemic with daily cases running through 28K-32K cases per day or more for months. Taiwan, China, Brazil and Chile remain challenged. India is up to 13K cases per day ramping higher but the numbers remain small overall. The path ahead is encouraging especially if Europe can quickly tamp down the BA4/BA5 waves.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 6/23/22, at 9:00 AM EST: The US reports 94K cases yesterday an elevated number but perhaps it contains some catch-up data from the holiday. The US daily and active cases are trying to roll over and flatten, respectively, but the southern states must be adding more infections. Texas is at 7.3K cases per day. The South and the southern border states remain challenged but there are no standout big pops in cases to record highs so the 94K cases for the country may include some catch-up data. Today and tomorrow's daily new cases will dictate if the daily and active cases curves are cresting and starting to roll over for the country as a whole, or, if the infections will rise extending the BA2/BA4/BA5 wave. Americans will be partying like its 1999, as Prince would sing, from Thursday, 6/30/22, through Tuesday, 7/5/22, for the July 4th holiday. It is desired that cases are pulling back going into the Independence Day holiday since any pop in cases should be minor. If infections are rising, however, and then the holiday partying begins, US wave 7 may linger and stink well into July.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 6/23/22: Dr Jha, the Whitehouse COVID-19 response coordinator, says billions more in aid are needed for the pandemic and he is optimistic that Congress will act. Jha says 4 million doses of childhood vaccines are delivered to states and the data on shots in arms will be available next week. A study from the Imperial College London, receiving funding from the WHO, Bill Gates, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the UK Medical Council, and promoted on democrat news outlets in America, claims that 20 million lives were saved worldwide by the vaccine. Would that crew come up with any other conclusion? The study says 1.9 million American lives were saved due to vaccines that are actually not vaccines in the typical sense of the word. The multiple shot series offered by Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna are 'a COVID-19 death prevention protocol' since anyone that is so-called 'vaccinated' can still become infected with coronavirus and pass it on to others including their own children or the elderly (the CDC and others changed the definition of vaccine to accommodate the emergency approvals). The study only addresses the first year of the pandemic, does not include China data and does not account for people using masks and other prevention methods. In fairness, the vaccines saved lives, but the 20 million number may be a stretch especially when provided by people that want to slap each other on the back and stroke each other's egos. Even as COVID-19 likely takes its last major breaths worldwide, transitioning from a pandemic to an endemic phase, the people in charge and those feeding money to the politicians and medical officials making decisions, continue pumping the vaccines as the greatest thing since sliced bread. The multi-decade joke about flu shots is repeated by people each Fall; "Get the shot, get the flu." The new mantra will be, "get the shots, get the virus."
Note Added Friday Morning, 6/24/22, at 5:00 AM EST: World cases rise to 593K cases per day on average pulled higher towards 600K instead of downward to 500K; lousy news. The world reports 733K cases yesterday an elevated number that pulls the moving average higher. Germany reports 119K daily new cases yesterday with the 7-day MA gong parabolic at over 68K cases per day. France's cases are at 58K per day and rising. Italy cases are going parabolic at over 42K per day. The BA4/BA5 waves continue smacking Europe in the face. Lufthansa cancels 3,100 flights due to staffing problems some crews testing positive for COVID-19 and/or in isolation. People around the world want to travel but the global airlines are unable to handle the demand and at the same time absorb the exponential fuel costs. Boom. The UK reports 33K cases a big spike higher so the Queen's Jubilee was a superspreader event. Over 50% of the new infections in the UK are the BA4 and BA5 subvariants now dominant. Israel's new wave is up to 8.5K cases per day; Hiram and Ezra are in the laboratory mixing up the sixth vaccine. Hong Kong cases ramp higher at a pace of 1.3K cases per day, small numbers compared to the massive prior wave, but the CCP runs the communist city now and the numbers cannot be trusted. Top officials in Hong Kong test positive for COVID-19. It is a bad look for China since Dictator Xi wants to visit Hong Kong in July; he will not if infections continue rising. India's average daily cases are 13.5K per day and ramping higher; not good. The infection wave in India is expanding as the country deals with devastating monsoon floods. Conditions are not improving in Brazil averaging 46K cases per day. Chile's daily cases are at 9.5K per day finally showing signs that the peak in daily cases has likely occurred. Chile still has lots of work to do over the coming month but can now see light at the end of the covid tunnel knowing that the light is not an oncoming train. Thailand is in good shape defeating the serious wave that has taken the entire year thus far to run its course. Thailand's number one source of income is tourism so officials are dropping coronavirus restrictions and rules faster than older wealthy foreign travelers are dropping their drawers in the overnight party districts. Oh no. Mexico reports over 15K daily new cases yesterday the highest for the current wave and the 7-day MA is up to 9.1K cases per day starting to go parabolic.
Note Added Friday Morning, 6/24/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US exceeds the 1.04 million COVID-19 deaths grim milestone at 1,040,236 dead American bodies. That is a lot of dead people. 0.32% (1.04/330) of Americans have died from China Virus over the last couple years; 1 in every 317 Americans. If you live in a small town of say, 10K people, about 32 of your neighbors have died from COVID-19 over the last couple years. If you live in a large city of 1 million people, 3,200 of your fellow citizens dwelling in the city died due to coronavirus (multiply your city's population by 0.0032 to find out how many folks died from COVID-19 on average in your community). Is this more than you expected? Less? Most people would likely say they thought more people died of covid considering the 2-1/2 years of doom and gloom in the media. The US reports 97K cases yesterday an elevated number but remaining below 100K and well below the peak day on 5/26/22 at 131K cases. The 7-day MA is at 94K cases per day. Friday is the big data day of the week, today, so a lot is riding on the numbers. America will be in great shape if cases come in below 94K but below 100K would be good enough. Cases above 100K today will be disappointing and likely extend the BA2/BA4/BA5 waves in the states. Some European nations handled the little sister BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave and are now faced with the BA4/BA5 wave while the United States as a whole may be squeezing all three subvariants into the current extended wave 7. Texas cases head higher now teasing 8K cases per day. New Mexico reports 1.4K cases yesterday a big jump higher. Boom. Mississippi reports 1.6K cases a big spike higher. The states in the South are getting hit. Arkansas reports 1.6K cases the most since February. The US is getting smacked with sweltering heat so the most worshipped idol in the southern states these days is the air conditioner. Everyone congregates indoors breathing in the chilly coolness along with Uncle Leo's virus-infected hot air.
Note Added Friday Morning, 6/24/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The Harvard Medical School reports that the BA4 and BA5 sublineages appear to escape antibody responses in both people that are vaccinated and those with natural immunity. The word 'appear' sticks out like a sore thumb. Americans want to know it if does, or does not, rather than how it appears. Of course the scientists also say that vaccines are great since they prevent serious illness. Europe will dictate the BA4/BA5 story especially Germany, France and Italy, and the UK. If they can make quick work of the current waves, the BA4 and BA5 story will be a nothing-burger. However, if Europe and the UK experience trouble with defeating the current BA4/BA5 waves, that will spell difficulties for the US as well.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 6/25/22, at 7:00 AM EST: Lousy news for the world because the 7-day MA for daily new cases shoots higher to 630K cases per day. Global deaths are no longer dropping instead moving sideways through a range of 1.1K to 1.3K deaths per day. Germany continues reporting over 100K cases each day this week with the 7-day MA going parabolic at 80K cases per day. Where's Chancellor Scholz? Sleeping? France's daily new cases go parabolic at over 62K cases per day. Ditto Italy at over 45K cases per day. The BA4/BA5 bugs are spanking Europe. Cases rise in Netherlands, Belgium and Switzerland but the numbers remain small compared to prior waves. Daily cases go parabolic in Austria at 7.7K cases per day. The UK is averaging over 17K cases per day moving higher. The Queen's Jubilee was a superspreader. Brazil reports 69K cases yesterday testing the highs of the current wave. Boom. Mexico reports over 16.1K cases another high for the current wave. Taiwan improves with daily cases down to 50K per day. India reports 16K new infections yesterday the most since February. Nine nations, the US, UK, Germany, France, Italy, Mexico, Brazil, India and Taiwan, account for about three-quarters (75%) of the current daily COVID-19 infections in the world. Looking for a silver lining, there must be more love and affection, and personal freedom, occurring in these nine countries (spreading virus) than elsewhere. The never-ending pandemic is never ending.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 6/25/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The US reports 103K cases yesterday. It is disappointing that the cases are over 100K and above the 7-day MA at 99K cases per day that now curls higher. The US is getting hit with the one-two punch of the BA2 Omicron Subvariant and then the BA4/BA5 bugs and the US daily new cases chart for wave 7 displays as a longer and flatter potential top than any prior wave (other waves run higher, peak, and fall off creating more of an inverted V pattern). The current wave 7 is a rolling top. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases has moved through the 90K to 112K cases per day range for the last 5 weeks dipping sub 90K but then the BA4/BA5 subvariants bite harder, becoming more dominant in America, now pushing the moving average higher to 99K cases per day. The European countries, UK and Ireland are smacked with the BA4/BA5 wave so they can be used as a guide. Montana is dealing with a pesky rise in infections. Oregon cases are popping higher again. Texas cases continue higher at 8.5K cases per day. Coronavirus likes to hang around barbecue beer parties. US COVID-19 deaths are averaging 229 souls per day sadly unable to hold below the 2 hundo level. Arizona's daily new cases may be peaking; good news. Thwack. The pandemic slaps you in the face every time it appears that the path may be brightening. New Mexico reports a big 1.4K daily cases the most since February. Could it be related to the thousands of folks crossing the southern border each day? Mexico's daily covid cases are running higher as mentioned above. Boom. California reports 22K daily new cases the most for the current wave and not seen since February. 1 in 5 new covid infections in the US, almost 1 in 4, are in the Golden State. California can now be called the Covid State. The clock just fell off the wall in Governor Newsom's office. Is the increased infections in California and Texas due to the migrant crisis? Louisiana's cases ramp higher at 1.8K per day. Same-o in Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi and others. The southern states are under siege from COVID-19.
Note Added Saturday Afternoon, 6/25/22: Pfizer and BioNTech are submitting new data to the FDA that shows their booster-booster (fourth) shot effective against the BA1 Omicron Variant and also the latest BA4 and BA5 strains. The two booster shots are updated. Moderna also claims its vaccine protects well against omicron. Studies are based on antibody response levels. The FDA is determining which updated vaccines would be most effective for this Fall. The bottom line is that the medical authorities want to keep pumping mRNA serum into everyone's arms. Is the CDC, Whitehouse and medical community working as hard at updating the other treatments and therapies for handling the BA1, BA2, BA4 and BA5 strains such as Paxlovid (a Pfizer product) and monoclonal antibodies (Eli Lilly)? If the Biden administration announces in future days or weeks that the Paxlovid and mAb treatments are no longer effective or available for fighting coronavirus, Sleepy Joe and the gang's motives, incompetence and full misguided allegiance to the vaccine-only strategy will be on full display.
Note Added Saturday Evening, 6/25/22: Hearings continue on Capitol Hill concerning the 1/6/21 riot. A British filmmaker reveals that former President Trump told him that he was scared when diagnosed with COVID-19 before the November 2020 election. Trump would be stupid and non-human to not be worried but it is the public face of bravado that is funny. As Trump expresses worry and fear to those around him as his covid illness worsened, he decreed to the American people, "Don't be afraid of it." Bad advice for the sake of trying to make himself look macho and strong before the election. You were sick with coronavirus, dude, and everyone could see that. Trump was fearful of dying because of friends that died of COVID-19 rather than being impacted by the hundreds of thousands of American deaths under his handling of the pandemic. Americans voted the orange-headed bloviating carnival clown out of office in part due to his mishandling of the pandemic and are now dealing with the frail, confused Alzheimer patient tilting at windmills a la Don Quixote. Good luck, America.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 6/26/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world crosses the 6.35 million deaths grim milestone. No one cares or pays attention after 2-1/2 years. In the United States, both the democrat and republican media outlets barely mention COVID-19 anymore. The world's daily cases are at 616K per day moving sideways. Europe remains in the BA4/BA5 pickle barrel. Israel's new wave is up to 9.2K cases per day. Daily new cases continue higher in Brazil where the total infections cross the 32 million milestone. 15% of Brazil's 213 million population have been sick with covid over the last couple years; 1 in every 7 Brazilians. Chile reports 13K cases yesterday an elevated number with the country continuing to make slow progress at stopping the infection wave. Boom. Mexico reports 17.4K daily new cases another high for the current wave which paints a negative picture for the US southern states as infections move north. Shanghai declares victory over COVID-19 (for the fourth time) with zero local infections reported. China's data and information is completely untrustworthy. Shanghai restaurants remain closed to indoor dining. Some Chinese remain in lockdown conditions. Many people are held at the isolation facilities. China does not report the new infections occurring at the isolation facilities. It is easy to report no infections by simply not reporting the data. WHO says monkeypox is not a worldwide health emergency. Did these Einstein's figure out that monkeypox would not spread fast since it is mainly transmitted during gay anal sex?
Note Added Sunday Morning, 6/26/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The United States exceeds 1.04 million deaths a grim milestone. The US reports 44K cases for Saturday an expected lower number but it still holds weight. The US 7-day MA for daily new cases is at 94K cases per day remaining in the sideways funk pattern. US active cases nudge higher to 3.3 million so for the second time the hopeful signs that the active cases for wave 7 may be flattening are dashed. 220 Americans continue dying each day from COVID-19. Biden is not performing the job he was hired to do (handle the pandemic). Texas daily cases are averaging 9.1K per day heading higher. California cases are averaging 16.2K per day moving higher.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/27/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The world exceeds 549 million total COVID-19 infections which is 7% of the world's 7.67 billion population (549/7670). 1 in every 14 people on earth have been stricken with the China Virus that likely escaped from the Wuhan Laboratories that were conducting nefarious gain of function and bioweapons research during 2019. The world's average cases soften to 601K per day and will hopefully head lower. Global deaths stagger sideways at 1.2K souls per day. Germany's average daily cases are up to 81K per day. France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, UK, Israel, and other nations in and around Europe continue reporting rising cases. Ditto Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Bolivia, Peru, Paraguay, Ecuador, Guatemala and Dominican Republic with daily cases waves moving higher. Mexico reports another record day for the current wave with over 17K cases.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/27/22, at 6:30 AM EST: The dirtbag CCP creates a mini panic in Beijing after posting a notice in the city and on social media that states (in translation); "In the next five years, Beijing will unremittingly grasp the normalization of epidemic prevention and control." Many Chinese folks took the statement to say that lockdowns and the ongoing pandemic hassles and restrictions will continue for at least another 5 years sparking outcry on social media. The CCP swoops-in within a few hours censoring the message removing the reference to 5 years. Some social media sites remove the message entirely. Of course the filthy CCP provides no explanation to the Chinese population about what is happening. China's covid-zero strategy, the dynamic zero strategy, as scumbag Xi likes to call it, is a jail sentence for any Chinese person living in Beijing, Shanghai or any other large city in mainland China, as well as travelers (if permitted in the future) that may get stuck there. If you have not seen the magnificent Great Wall of China and other sites first hand, too bad, you missed it. Xi and the Chinese communist leadership, like Putin and the corrupt Russia government, cannot be trusted. China continues hinting that Dictator Xi will visit Hong Kong, the first time in 5 years, but will not firmly commit after covid infections appeared in a couple of cabinet officials. Hong Kong is just another communist city after Xi and his mainland henchman, and henchwoman Lam, took control during the last few years. A lot of the brainpower in Hong Kong has already skipped town unwilling to live under commie control.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/27/22, at 7:00 AM EST: The US reports a low 16K daily new cases yesterday but it is a Sunday number so do not get too excited. The 7-day MA is at 84K cases per day. US active cases are trying to line-out sideways at 3.2 to 3.3 million cases. Americans continue dying from covid at the rate of 205 bodies per day. The Whitehouse and CDC do not care because they would be researching and reporting on where these deaths are prone to occur and sending help there. The upper middle class and privileged elite that run America have their COVID-19 protections and game plans in place; why would they give a crap or lift a finger to help the poor and disadvantaged lower class folks? Let them eat cake as Marie-Antoinette said. This is America. The rigged crony capitalism system is dying alongside the forgotten working poor. Texas daily new cases push towards 10K cases per day. California reports the highest case numbers for the current wave 7 over the last couple days. The elevated case counts in the southern states continue with a big week ahead. The holiday partying will start in the states on Thursday into the big fireworks parties on Monday, 7/4/22, so COVID-19 is very excited and looking forward to the hugs and kisses over the coming week. Higher infections may appear in the US during the week of 7/11/22 after the parties and naughtiness is over this coming weekend. These case numbers will determine if the July 4th Independence Day parties and memorials create a superspreader event. US daily new cases show a peak day at 133K cases on 6/3/22 so the parties around the Memorial Day weekend led to a slight increase in cases in early June but not enough to call it a superspreader. Keystone's big barbecue party that weekend with vaccinated and unvaccinated folks resulted in no one catching COVID-19. Let's hope for a repeat or better of this behavior for Independence Day. The Queen's Jubilee in England was a superspreader as well as the Pope's Palm and Easter Sunday masses in Rome. July 4th is the party weekend of the summer in America. BA4 and BA5 are so happy they cannot contain themselves.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/27/22, at 9:00 AM EST: The airlines cancel thousands of flights over the weekend and are in big trouble with the holiday weekend travel rush approaching fast. Many excuses are given for the delays and cancellations and the weather is always top of list. The weather around here has been perfect for days, how about you? Airlines cite "unscheduled absences" as a big problem. The jackass airlines shoved vaccines down people's throats that did not want to take them so do not look for that employee to give a crap about the company anymore in fact, what better way to screw the place then to call off sick during peak busy times. Payback's a bitch. A few medical labs around the world are reporting that some children are experiencing an early onset of puberty likely brought on by the stress from the pandemic. Far more research is needed.
Note Added Monday Morning, 6/27/22, at 9:30 AM EST: Even though US wave 7 continues, Americans have moved on from the pandemic. Other news stories such as the Ukraine War, inflation, abortion and gun control bury COVID-19 news to the back pages. It will be nice to see the daily cases roll over to match the, perhaps blind, confidence of the American people. If the BA2, BA4 and BA5 bugs can be defeated in the US, Mexico, South America, Europe and India over the next month or so, and they are all minor waves compared to past waves, the China Virus pandemic will be in the can paving the way for the endemic and less severe seasonal path forward.
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