By K E Stone (Keystone)
The US daily new cases chart is shown above. America reports
65K daily new cases for Monday, yesterday, 5/16/22. Hopefully, the other four
numbers remaining this week will stay equally as low. The 7-day MA for the US
daily new cases is at 78K cases per day curling lower for 5 days running; a positive
sign. The peak in the 7-day MA for wave 7 thus far is 86K cases per day last
Wednesday, 5/11/22.
The United States needs to remain below 100K cases, below 86K cases (peak in the 7-day MA) and preferably below 78K cases, for each of the next 4 days before anyone tosses confetti.
Wave 7 is still a youngster and this week is pivotal in determining if a couple
months of misery are ahead, or, if the wave is more bark than bite. The peak
individual day for wave 7 is 99.5K cases last Wednesday so obviously any day
this week that reports over 100K cases spells big trouble for the US.
Another encouraging sign is the 3-day MA for daily new cases
that verifies the ongoing trend. The higher highs and higher lows in the 3-day
MA verify that wave 7 continues higher which is bad. However, over the last
couple days, the 3-day MA is unable to print a higher high (good news).
About a week ago, the 3-day MA trend line prints a peak at
91K cases per day. The moving average drops and then comes up for what would be
expected to be another higher high to continue wave 7 but instead the MA only
makes it up to 88K cases per day. This is great news. A string of lower lows
and lower highs will verify that wave 7 is fading but a sideways move is likely
to play out as other states wade into the BA2 covid waters.
The US active cases chart is shown above. The United States
is at 2 million active COVID-19 cases remaining below the prior 6 waves except
for wave 1 at the start of the pandemic. Hospitals and clinics may notice some
increased activity but the new COVID-19 patients for wave 7 are not creating an
issue as yet. Nonetheless, the wave pattern is not over until it forms the bell
shape and this is not in the cards yet because the chart is still moving
higher.
As per the CDC, US hospital admissions and hospitalizations further
prove increased healthcare activity for wave 7 but conditions are not crazy and
out of control like prior waves. Individual states such as New York New Jersey
are not as pretty (hospitalizations ramping higher).
The US daily new deaths chart is shown above. The US death
rate continues lower down to 214 souls per day but this is not good enough. The
wealthy receive the Paxlovid pills while the poor do not even know what covid
treatments are available. It is incompetence for over 200 Americans to be dying
day after day 2-1/2 years into a pandemic. American mediocrity rules the day.
If you, a family member, relative, coworker, neighbor or
anyone tests positive for covid, reference the COVID-19 Therapeutics Locator to
find out where Paxlovid and other treatments are available and immediately
discuss this information with your doctor and healthcare professionals.
Early and fast treatment is the key to successfully treating
COVID-19. Every minute counts. Be proactive and get treatment fast. Do not take
no for an answer and if a doctor tells you to go home and monitor your
temperature, get yourself a new doctor.
New York State’s daily new cases chart is shown above. New
York reports 11K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA trying to line-out sideways
at 9.9K to 10.0K cases per day for 5 days. The peak day thus far for wave 7 is
14.3K cases last Thursday, 5/12/22, a critical number. The cases need to be
below 14.3K on Thursday to prove that the wave is losing gusto and rolling over
to the downside.
Other states are following New York’s lead displaying the
same chart pattern. Fingers are crossed that wave 7 will turn out to be a pig
in a poke. The state list below provides more clarity on America’s situation.
The worlds daily new cases chart is shown above. Damn. The
world reports 737K daily new cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is up to 708K
cases per day. This is a terrible
development since cases slipped below 500K per day only 2 weeks ago. Now the
trend is higher again and the never-ending pandemic is never-ending.
The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. The
global death rate is down to 1.6K souls per day moving lower for over 3 months;
wonderful news. The virus becomes more contagious over time to find more host
bodies but loses virulence, which is expected.
Taiwan’s daily deaths chart is shown above. 41 Taiwanese die
on Friday the 13th and 40 die on Saturday the 14th the two deadliest days of
the pandemic. Taiwan has about 1,100 total COVID-19 deaths compared to the
United States with 1,026,899 deaths. On a positive note, Taiwan’s daily cases
peak on Saturday at 76K and are below for the last 2 days.
South Africa’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Wave 5
is underway but may already be heading towards a positive conclusion. Only 3K
cases are reported yesterday well off the peak for wave 5 thus far at 10K cases
on 5/11/22, last Wednesday. The 7-day MA is at 7.2K cases per day and is
curling over from the peak at 7.7K cases per day that also occurred last
Wednesday. This week’s cases will determine the strength of South Africa’s wave
5 that is a poster child for the BA4 and BA5 sublineages that could hit America
in the Fall.
Canada’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Since Canada’s
covid stink wafts south across the border infecting the US northern states, it
serves as the poster boy for how the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave will progress
for America. The news is good since the daily cases are rolling over and the
7-day MA is down to 4.4K cases per day.
Canada’s active China Virus cases continue higher towards
300K so the hospitals and clinics remain busy. Canada’s daily new cases chart
paints a happy picture for wave 7 in the United States.
Canada, and the US, have high vaccination rates and millions
of folks have natural immunities from prior COVID-19 infections. Canada shows
that the BA2 little sister wave does not pack a lot of punch, however, the
Canucks cannot throw any confetti until Canada’s active cases chart starts to roll
over lower to form the coveted bell shape. Note that the country list below
forecasts Canada’s peak in active cases to occur on Thursday, 5/19/22, only 2
days forward.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 84.3 million. India is next with 43.1 million total virus cases.
Brazil, France, Germany, UK, Russia, South Korea, Italy, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam,
Argentina, Japan and Netherlands round out the top 15 worst nations. This
ranking is steady for 6 weeks without changes until now with Japan
leap-frogging Netherlands.
COVID-19 has infected 523 million people worldwide. China
owes reparations to the world for their crime against humanity. 6.29 million
people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim statistic. 493 million global
citizens have recovered from the virus. 94% (493/523) of the people that become
infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame a big jump compared
to 91% only 10 days ago. The numbers verify that the omicron outbreaks are not
as lethal as prior waves.
Worldwide, 1.2% (6.29/523) of the people that are infected
with covid die; 1 in 83. This number sat at 2.1%-2.2% for many months but
trends lower for the last 4 months to 1.2%. The vaccinations and natural
immunities are helping to lower the world’s death rate albeit by small increments.
6.8% (523/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 15 people on earth. This
was 1 in every 24 people about 4-1/2 months ago and 1 in 18 about 3-1/2 months
ago. This behavior (a fast rate lower) verifies the contagiousness of the
Omicron variant and subvariants.
0.08% of the world’s population (6.29/7670) died from the
pandemic; 1 in every 1,219 people on earth died from China Virus. The WHO, that
lies in bed with the CCP, recalculates its death numbers in a more inclusive
way, and proclaims that 15 million people died on the planet due to COVID-19
which is 0.20% of the world’s population or 1 in every 511 people.
In the United States, 84 million people are infected with covid.
1.027 million Americans are dead. 81 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus.
This equates to 96% (81/84) of US citizens recovering after becoming infected
with COVID-19. This number is a dramatic improvement from the 61% to 84% range
during the first 1-1/2 years of the pandemic although adjustments to the
counting of data cannot be ruled out as a factor.
In the US, 1.2% (1/84) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. This number was sticky at 1.6% to 1.8% for many months but has sagged to
1.2% over the last 7 months. 1 in every 84 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus
die. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 330 Americans
over the last 2 years.
25% (84/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid; 1 in every 4 Americans. The minority
communities are impacted disproportionately. The 25% that now have natural
immunities solidly contribute towards herd immunity. The CDC says one-half the
US population, 50%, have been infected by COVID-19 and have some level of
antibody protection.
The United States has 16% (84/523) of the COVID-19 cases in the
world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on planet earth are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent weeks and months. This percentage was 22% about one year ago so
it is flatlining for a long time.
The US accounts for 15.9% (1/6.29) of the China Flu deaths
in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
10 months ago, it was 1 in 5. The numbers are stalled at the same level for the
last few months.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the
‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the
medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over
forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can
breathe easier.
The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to
forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of
the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where
the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their
heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European
countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where
citizens follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea,
Japan, Singapore, Australia), the active cases curve will peak, on average, 11
days after the peak in daily new cases.
For the Western countries, such as the US and European
nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on
average, 28 days after the peak in new cases. It takes about 2 weeks longer for
a free society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian
state because lockdowns are not strictly followed or enforced.
All projections below for countries and the US states
continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When
the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that
peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day in reference to
the Keystone Model.
The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar
charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases
bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average
(MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.
An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another
10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the
China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time
hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The
chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades
to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in
real-time.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 77 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists,
counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations,
traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both
domestically (USA) and internationally.
This seventy-seventh article is published on Tuesday, 5/17/22.
The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 77 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga.
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well with the
Worldometer data leading the others by a few days. The Worldometer data is far
superior for forecasting since it is updated more reliably in real-time.
The countries with rising active cases charts are
highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The peaks in daily new
cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on the
Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curves are
extremely important since it represents the maximum stress on healthcare
workers and the medical systems.
It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over
to form the bell shape for the troubled nations at the bottom of the list since
they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases.
Hospitalizations lag the daily cases by a week or two and deaths lag
hospitalizations by a week or two.
Canada (Sixth Wave)
4/21/22 New Case Peak Date
5/19/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
5/6/22 New Case Peak Date
5/17/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve is dropping)
5/10/22 New Case Peak Date
5/21/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/10/22 New Case Peak Date
5/21/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/11/22 New Case Peak Date
6/8/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
5/11/22 New Case Peak Date
6/8/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
5/23/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
5/12/22 New Case Peak Date
5/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/12/22 New Case Peak Date
5/23/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
5/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
5/24/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/14/22 New Case Peak Date (record
daily new cases)
5/25/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/14/22 New Case Peak Date (record
daily new cases)
5/25/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
5/14/22 New Case Peak Date (record
daily new cases)
5/25/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
China’s data remains unreliable. About 220 million Chinese folks are in various stages of lockdowns in 31 major cities. Shanghai provides a plan to ease back on restrictions as case numbers retreat, however, the CCP has been talking this game for a couple weeks already. They are trying to calm the masses.
Taiwan’s chart above shows the deadliest days ever occurring
but overall the island nation is doing a decent job in handling the ongoing
outbreak. If the Saturday high in daily new cases can hold, Taiwan will be on a
path to recovery.
Australia is added to the bad list since its active cases
chart is moving higher again. The wave will likely be short-lived. Ditto
Malaysia, Singapore and Japan.
Chile, Argentina, Panama and Costa Rica are added to the bad
list so the bump higher in world cases is in part due to South and Central
America. Brazil is the key and must be monitored closely to see if the daily
new cases take off higher. Uruguay cases are moving higher but the data is
unreliable.
Eswatini and Namibia are added to the bad list likely infected
from South Africa. Hopefully, the outbreaks, which reflect the BA4 and BA5
sublineages, will roll over quickly. The data for Botswana and Lesotho is not
reliable.
Note that despite the bad news above, there is a lot of good
news elsewhere. Also, the projections for the active cases peaks are for the
most part nestled in May so the picture for the world may brighten
substantively after the next week or two.
The next list shows the 39 most troubled US states since all
display rising active cases curves. The peak in daily new cases and projections
for the peaks in active cases are provided as per the Keystone Model.
The flattening and roll over of the active cases curve
forming the bell shape (see US active cases chart above) indicates the virus is
being defeated and the caseload on healthcare workers will quickly improve. The
dates for the states to peak with active cases are slipping into June as wave 7
expands.
The hospitals, clinics, healthcare workers, doctors, nurses,
medics and caregivers are/will notice increased activity in the 39 states
listed below with wave 7 underway. Hospital administrators are likely telling
nurses to not schedule vacation time over the next month as a precaution but
the caseloads are nothing near prior waves.
Maine
(Seventh Wave)
5/3/22
New Case Peak Date
5/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/3/22
New Case Peak Date
5/31/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve may be rolling over)
5/10/22
New Case Peak Date
6/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/10/22
New Case Peak Date
6/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/10/22
New Case Peak Date
6/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/10/22
New Case Peak Date
6/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/10/22
New Case Peak Date
6/7/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve may be rolling over)
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve may be rolling over)
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve may be rolling over)
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/11/22
New Case Peak Date
6/8/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (active cases are rolling over now)
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/12/22
New Case Peak Date
6/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve trying to flatten)
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22 New Case Peak Date
6/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/13/22
New Case Peak Date
6/10/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/14/22
New Case Peak Date
6/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/14/22
New Case Peak Date
6/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/14/22
New Case Peak Date
6/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/14/22
New Case Peak Date
6/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/15/22 New Case Peak Date
6/12/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/16/22
New Case Peak Date
6/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
5/16/22
New Case Peak Date
6/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date
Perhaps this
behavior hints that although cases increase, the illnesses are not that severe.
Maybe after a couple days of sniffles and a scratchy throat, most folks are
good to go thanks to a waning COVID-19 pathogen and subvariants, high
vaccination rates and natural immunity.
Mississippi and
Idaho are added to the bad list since their active cases charts are heading higher.
New Hampshire sadly crosses the 2,500 deaths grim milestone.
Texas remains okay
with its active cases remaining flat and low. Ditto Arizona, South Carolina,
Missouri, Kentucky (although cases are floating higher and it will likely end
up on the bad list), Alabama, Oklahoma, Arkansas (although cases may be
starting higher), Nevada, Alaska and South Dakota (although cases are starting
to edge higher).
Thus, 39 states are
on the bad list with 3 of the remaining 11 states likely to be added next time.
There were 37 bad
states 10 days ago so take comfort that only a couple more were added over the
last week and a half. Wave 7 may prove to be a weak wave due to the high levels
of immunity in play in the United States. The public is far better prepared and
educated. Americans practice more social distancing than before the pandemic.
For the umpteenth
time, the data this week is key to see if US wave 7 has any sustainable oomph
or if it is a flash in the pan. We do not have to wait long since today’s
(Tuesday) data is important especially for states such as Nebraska and Iowa.
Connecticut and
Maryland each report a big pop in daily new cases so their infections are
spreading.
This news just in.
The FDA expands the Pfizer/BioNTech booster shot eligibility to the 5 to 11
year old age group. The CDC still has to provide its stamp of approval over the
next couple days and it will be a rubber stamp. PFE (Pfizer) and BNTX (BioNTech)
stocks jump +2% and +4%, respectively. America’s wealthy elite (that own the
stock market) and Big Pharma dance with glee. They light expensive cigars
dabbing the ashes onto the faces of America’s huddled masses.
Americans 5 years
and older are asked to participate in 3 mRNA vaccine shots; 2 in the initial
series about a month apart and the third is the booster shot 5 to 6 months
after the second shot.
In addition, older
folks and those with comorbidities and lingering health problems, are approved
for a fourth shot, the booster-booster. There is no vaccine as yet for children
under 5 years old although it was promised by the end of last year. Officials
say a decision may come in June. A fifth shot, the booster-booster-booster is
likely for Fall, although for some people it will be the booster-booster. Is
all this clear as mud?
A big chunk of
society has lost confidence in the vaccines. People became skeptical when they
realized the shots do not stop a person from getting infected or transmitting
the virus, especially to their unvaccinated children. The messaging during the
entire pandemic provides endless examples on what not to do.
Americans want to be
told the truth but leaders lie because they are supporting political narratives
and are too weak to tell the truth. Worse, they shield the lies by saying they
were trying to protect the American people or prevent a panic. No they weren’t.
They were doing what benefits their greedy selves or furthers their own
ambitions. Such is the corrupt crony capitalism system.
The Peoples Convoy,
which is the truckers protest group that traveled across America to Washington,
DC, says it is regrouping at Hagerstown Speedway in Maryland today to plan new
demonstrations against draconian covid rules and government overreach.
US wave 7 continues
although there are hopeful signs that the BA2 Omicron Subvariant is more bark
than bite. If daily new cases remain below 100K this week especially below 78K,
the picture for America will brighten bigtime. If, however, for any of the next
4 days, the daily cases exceed 100K, wave 7 will worsen.
The most optimistic
takeaway is Canada’s daily new cases chart above. This is a good case study for
what may occur in the United States which is a subdued infection wave. Bear in
mind, however, that Canada’s active cases continue higher although the
expectation is that they will top out this week and roll over lower. It will be
great if the US follows Canada’s lead.
The bulk of the new
infections in America come from Canada. Coronavirus migrates south across the
border into New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Michigan and other states giving
credence to the idea that the US daily cases may follow the path of Canada. A
lot will be known by Saturday.
Note Added 8:00 PM EST: US hospitals are delaying medical imaging procedures because the dye used in the scans is in short supply due to the Shanghai lockdowns. America has had weak, corrupt, stupid and greedy leadership over the last 5 decades bringing the crony capitalism system to its knees. This is what happens when the greedy elite and politicians lay in bed with communists. The Whitehouse continues threatening that the supply of Pfizer's Paxlovid pills and Eli Lilly's bebtelovimab monoclonal antibody treatments will run out in July if Congress does not approve more COVID-19 funding. The US government is offering a third round of free covid tests. The first round offered 4 free covid tests, ditto the second round, but the third round offers 8 free tests. Keystone already placed the order and you should too at covid.gov/tests.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 5/18/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 836K daily new cases yesterday bringing up the 7-day MA to 747K cases per day. The downtrend in cases has ended and the planet is now going in the wrong direction. Cases linger in Asia and are increasing in the US and Central and South America. Boom. The covid wheels just fell off the Aussie wagon. Australia reports 68K cases yesterday the most since January. The Aussies Down Under will not be singing any happy songs today. Australia is back on the bad country list. New Zealand reports over 9.9K cases yesterday the most in a month. The Kiwi's better stay vigilant or they will be traveling down the Aussie road. North Korea is a covid mess with cases increasing exponentially. Taiwan reports 66K daily new cases yesterday remaining below the 76K peak in cases on Saturday a hopeful sign. 38 Taiwanese die from China Virus yesterday. South Africa reports 5.1K cases yesterday a positive development since this is one-half the peak cases from last Wednesday, 5/11/22. Today's number is key since it will be a direct comparison to the 10K cases peak one week prior. Keep your fingers crossed because it looks like South Africa's wave 5 may roll over which would be fantastic news for the world. The 7-day MA is curling over to 6.8K cases per day heading lower more good news.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 5/18/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 75.4K cases for Tuesday a welcome sight since it is below the 7-day MA at 82.5K cases per day. 214 Americans die from COVID-19 yesterday. Casket makers and undertakers dance with glee. New York reports 8.1K daily new cases yesterday remaining below the 7-day MA trend line at 10.1K cases per day. California is not in good shape with daily COVID-19 cases averaging almost 11K cases per day and increasing sharply especially in cities such as San Francisco. The fate of the US over the next few weeks rests in the daily cases numbers today, tomorrow and especially Friday.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 5/18/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Xavier Becerra is in poor health testing positive for COVID-19 while in Berlin, Germany. Becerra is triple vaccinated; a lot of good it did him (as the peanut gallery yells out that multiple vaccination shots will prevent him from dying). He has mild symptoms and came into contact with President Biden 5 days ago. Breakthrough infections galore. The president's daughter, Ashley Biden, 40, tests positive for China Virus. She cancels plans to join her mother, First Lady Jill, on a trip to Central America. The Whitehouse is not disclosing Ashley Biden's vaccination status. She is likely vaccinated but perhaps without the booster? Or maybe she skipped the shots? That would be embarrassing for the Whitehouse that has followed the vaccine-only strategy for the last 1-1/2 years.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 5/18/22: The Whitehouse COVID-19 Task Force holds a meeting. Another failure of the pandemic is the poor coronavirus press conferences conducted by Trump and Biden. Pitiful communications. There should be a regularly scheduled meeting of the task force instead of calling a meeting when they feel like it. CDC Director Walensky says about one-third of the country is currently in the medium to high infection levels as per the CDC Community Transmission map. No it is not. It is sickening to hear officials make proclamations that their own data disproves. Look at the map. The only medium and high infection regions are the northern states on the east side of the country. A simple eyeball estimate is about one-sixth of the country geographically, if that, or 17%. This is one-half of what Walensky is touting so the communication is wrong again. Since the CDC data is always a few days even a week or so behind on any given day, Walensky may be looking at an updated map that only she sees. Well, that is great, but tell America that you are looking at the real-time information but only providing it to the public days later. Walensky says hospitalizations are rising but remain far lower than the prior omicron wave. The CDC wants individuals to make their own risk assessments but generally recommends masks in indoor settings once infections hit the medium (for folks with comorbidities) and high levels (everyone). The community transmission map is a useful tool but the data needs updated in real-time and it needs marketed to the public better especially since it would be useful for future pandemics. The US stock market crashes as Americans begin panicking about inflation and gasoline approaching $5 per gallon. The S&P 500 Index collapses -4%. The Nasdaq Composite, which contains a lot of tech stocks, plummets -5% and the Dow Jones Industrials, that the public follows, crashes -4%. Biden's war against energy for the sake of the climate change wokism throws the United States into a tailspin with prices for all goods and services (everyone must use fuel) increasing daily (inflation).
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 5/18/22 at 6:50 PM EST: Whitehouse COVID-19 coordinator Dr Jha appears on CNN (democrat media) saying that the US is facing nearly 100K new infections per day. Jha repeats the diatribe that the folks vaccinated and boosted are in the best shape, the people vaccinated but not boosted are at risk and the unvaccinated are at serious risk. Same-o story. Jha encourages masks in indoor settings in high infection areas (as per the CDC Community Transmission map) but it would be helpful if the map was updated in real-time. Infections continue for a few days before a county changes from yellow to orange (medium to high infection rate) telling folks to wear masks indoors and stay on guard. The map is only useful if updated in real-time. The CDC should cut the money spent on the wastewater glitter dot map and put those resources towards updating the transmission map faster. Jha says the Whitehouse is talking to the CDC about a fourth shot for Americans under 50 years old (the booster-booster). Folks with health problems and those over 50 are already eligible for the fourth shot. The Whitehouse likely wants as many folks as possible to be up to date with a fourth shot when they roll out the fifth shot in September/October (the booster-booster-booster). When vaccines were first discussed in early 2020, Americans envisioned one shot in the arm and then they would be protected for life, like other vaccines. No siree. Not the mRNA vaccines. The number five jabs of the so-called COVID-19 vaccines are on the way. Don't call it a vaccine. Call it a 'COVID-19 multiple-shot death prevention protocol'. The claim that the vaccines prevent serious illness is starting to fall by the wayside like the infection and transmission proclamations. About one-half of the patients currently hospitalized for COVID-19 are vaccinated and the other half unvaccinated. Jha responds to a question about rebound cases occurring after folks receive the 5-day Paxlovid treatment. This topic was covered a few days ago in the chronology. The numbers are small and not leading to more severe illness and Jha repeats these points. Jha recommends Paxlovid for anyone eligible.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 5/18/22 at 10:00 PM EST: A United States citizen in Massachusetts, traveling from Canada, is infected with monkeypox. Not only is tyrannical baby King Trudeau sending COVID-19 south into the US but monkeypox as well. Officials downplay the monkeypox infections appearing in the UK, Portugal, Spain and other parts of Europe, and now the US, saying people should not be afraid. Isn't that what the corrupt WHO and CCP, lying in bed together, told the world in late 2019 and early 2020 (as dirtbag communist China purchased every available inventory of masks and other PPE from suppliers around the world)? The WHO can never be trusted after the coronavirus scandal, coverup and willing corruption with the CCP that resulted in the never-ending global pandemic. The WHO is a major contributor of pandemic mismanagement and would never be the solution especially under Dr Tedros, an Ethiopian that leans Marxist, that cannot find his way back to the meeting room if he goes for a cup of coffee. Officials are researching the infections and how the monkeypox is spreading (sexually via body fluids). Monkeypox cases are appearing among homosexual male partners which explains some of the transmission. Monkeypox creates nasty sores and lesions on the skin, swelling lymph nodes, a fever, rash and flu-like symptoms. And no, a symptom of monkeypox is not jumping up and down while scratching your arm pits.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 5/19/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world crosses the 525 million total COVID-19 cases milestone with 6.295 million deaths. Global covid infections are rising at the rate of 780K cases per day. This is terrible news after the steady near 4-month drop in cases to 500K per day. Perhaps the surge will be short-lived. Global deaths continue lower at 1.61 deaths per day knocking on the 1.5K deaths per day handle so this important news remains positive. Oh no. Singapore reports 6.4K daily new cases the most in nearly 2 months. Malaysia and Singapore see a rise in infections after they relaxed border restrictions. New Zealand reports 9.7K new cases yesterday the most in 3 weeks. Australia reports 56K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA up to 53K cases per day continuing higher with the new outbreak wave. Damn. Taiwan reports over 84K daily new cases a new record just when cases were beginning to trail off for a couple days. 41 Taiwanese die from China Flu yesterday matching the deadliest day ever 5 days ago. South Africa reports 8.2K cases yesterday an elevated number but remaining below recent highs for wave 5. The 7-day MA trend line for South Africa's daily cases is at 6.6K cases per day and dropping. Cases are starting to trend higher in Zimbabwe. Cases remain elevated in Namibia. Panama reports 3.9K daily new cases yesterday the most in 3-1/2 months so the new sixth wave is underway. Panama was added to the bad country list (shown above) a few days ago. Ditto Costa Rica reporting over 2K cases yesterday. Ditto Chile at over 5.1K new cases yesterday. The BA2 Omicron Subvariant and other sublineages have arrived in Central and South America.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 5/19/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US exceeds the 1.028 million deaths grim milestone. No one pays attention anymore (unless they are the ones lying on the gurney) as 255 Americans continue dying per day. Oh-no. Terrible news. The US reports 104K daily new cases for Wednesday blowing-out any hopes for a quick end to wave 7. More revisions to prior case numbers are occurring which is a bad sign that things are worsening quickly. The peak in daily new cases for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister wave 7 thus far is 117K cases on 5/12/22. Dr Jha could have said the US is over 100K cases per day last evening (instead of near it) with the 7-day MA at 99.5K cases per day. US wave 7 is going to linger for a while. The bad part is that the Thursday and Friday data is still to come and it would be expected to be worse. The peak in cases was exactly one week ago at 117K cases so if today's number is below, there is hope that wave 7 can still peter out quickly. If the cases are over 117K for today, forget it, wave 7 will be ongoing for a few weeks. The situation was looking encouraging but as stated the last few days the data through Friday was needed. Wednesday just shot a covid harpoon into Uncle Sam's back. The positive takeaway is that the latest infections are not creating severe illnesses for the majority of folks. Nonetheless, 100K infections per day in the United States is an ugly number especially after already enduring 2-1/2 years of never-ending pandemic pain.
Note Added Thursday Evening, 5/19/22: The CDC recommends the Pfizer/BioNTech booster shot (third shot) for kids 5 to 11 years old. The third shot should occur about 5 months after the second shot. The CDC says a rigorous discussion takes place after the FDA approval but they are likely playing it up to help boost confidence in parents that are unenthusiastic about pumping mRNA into their kids bodies. Less than one-third of children are fully vaccinated and eligible for the booster shot. CDC Director refutes the naysayers proclaiming, "With over 18 million doses administered in this age group, we know that these vaccines are safe."
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/20/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases disappointingly increase to 800K cases per day remaining in an uptrend. The global covid death rate remains at 1.6K souls per day. Australia is at over 52K cases per day and ramping higher. Taiwan's infections top 90K yesterday another record high. Shanghai, China, identifies a new infection after going several days without a new case. Give it up dirtbag Xi. The Chinese dictator's zero-covid strategy is a dead duck; the omicron bugs are extremely contagious. It is like eating a spaghetti dinner while wearing a white shirt. You are always going to have a few small red spots from Mama Lucia's sauce. It is a difficult task to completely stamp out COVID-19 let alone pursue that path going forward. It is stupido. South Africa reports 7.2K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA trend line slumping-over, heading lower, down to 6.3K cases per day; a good thing. South Africa's active cases may be peaking around 80K another good sign that wave 5 may be running out of gas and not pack the punch that was feared. If wave 5 can die, that is mainly BA4 and BA5 infections, it bodes well for the world this Fall. Damn. The covid wheels fall off in Chile reporting nearly 7K cases yesterday with its 7-day MA ramping higher to 4.7K cases per day. Panama is dealing with an ugly outbreak with cases running at 3.1K per day heading higher. Costa Rica's outbreak increases with over 2K cases yesterday the most since February. It is likely Central and South America's turn to deal with the BA2 Omicron Subvariant over the coming weeks.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/20/22, at 3:30 AM EST: The jump in the world's daily new cases over the last few days has Keystone scratching his balding head, wondering where the change is, and it was blaringly obvious the whole time. North Korea. The huge pop in cases in the hermit kingdom is the reason the world's cases jump from the 500K cases per day happiness 2 weeks ago to the 800K cases per day horror now. It is actually good news. Of course, it is hoped that North Korea will recover quickly but there is comfort in knowing the huge data jump is a one-off due to the intense outbreak in the commie nation and not a widespread increase of cases universally around the world. In this context it is good news but a lot of sadness for the North Koreans. Of the 800K cases per day currently trending on the planet, about 265K are from North Korea, 90K from Taiwan, 90K from the United States, 52K in Australia, 41K from Japan and 35K in South Korea. Thus, 33% of the current COVID-19 cases are in North Korea (one-third; 265/800). 11% of the world's cases are in Taiwan and another 11% in the US. Australia is accounting for 7% of the world's cases currently and Japan and South Korea are each accounting for 5% of the world's cases. These 6 nations, North and South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Australia and the United States, account for 72%, or three-quarters, of the world's cases currently. The pandemic is mainly an Asian thing right now. North Korea continues refusing outside help in handling the pandemic.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/20/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 88K cases yesterday less than the hump day's 107K eye-opener. The 7-day MA trend line is at 99K cases per day; call it 100K cases per day. On the positive side, the 88K cases is far below the peak day for wave 7 thus far at 117K cases on 5/12/22. A number above 117K would have been disaster. Today's cases are important since Friday's are typically the largest numbers. The daily new cases trend is flat for 4 days so if the cases can remain sub 100K, America can defeat wave 7 going forward. 251 Americans die from China Virus yesterday. What else is new. Guess what? Another 250 will die today. American mediocrity is on full display daily. Sleepy Joe Biden is in the Rose Garden looking for his hat. New York exceeds 5.5 million total COVID-19 cases a tragic milestone. New York reports 11.3K cases yesterday with wave 7 lingering-on. The 7-day MA remains flat at 9.9K cases per day. Flat is better than up. 40 New Yorker's croaked on Wednesday the most in over 2 months. 29 die in the Empire State yesterday. Rhode Island reports 1,043 daily new cases yesterday the most since January. Texas reports 4.9K cases the most in 2 months.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/20/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Additional monkeypox cases occur in the United States (potentially New York City), Europe and Australia. Seven nations report monkeypox infections including the US, UK, Canada, Portugal, Spain, Italy and Sweden. Officials say the risk to the public is low and people should not be concerned. The World Health Assembly convenes in Geneva this weekend where the WHO and United States are proposing changes to the rules and standards regarding pandemics. The proposal is dubbed the "pandemic treaty." Perhaps first, the WHO should explain why they laid in bed with communist China in 2019 and early 2020 downplaying coronavirus to provide time for dirtbag Xi to buy up every available mask, ventilator and PPE on the world market. Why is the WHO still relevant? The WHO has zero credibility until the entire house is cleaned but this will never happen. Dr Tedros, that rubbed cheeks with dirtbag Dictator Xi at the start of the pandemic, sweeping the virus under the rug, putting people on airplanes to infect the entire world, is selected to run the WHO for 5 more years. What a joke. Tedros should have been fired 2 years ago. The WHO and CCP inflicted this pandemic on the world because there may have been a chance to contain the virus in Wuhan and greater China in the early days. Alas, humans are corrupt animals so the right thing was not destined to happen. President Biden and the democrats appear cozy with the WHO willing to forget their disastrous display of corruption and mismanagement. US republicans, however, are pushing back against the proposed rules changes at the WHO saying that any loss of sovereignty (in making pandemic decisions in America) to an organization like the WHO is simply not going to happen. There will be a focus on this issue this weekend with Fox News, Newsmax, AM talk radio and the New York Post (republican media) vilifying the proposed rule changes at the WHO while CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, NPR, New York Times and Washington Post (democrat media) will be praising the brave path forward in global unity.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/20/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The Restaurant Revitalization Fund, that provides relief to Mom and Pop restaurants during the pandemic, is not renewed by the US Senate. The $48 billion Small Business COVID Relief Act of 2022 bill needs 60 out of the 100 votes (2 senators from each of the 50 states) to pass but only receives 52 votes. Good luck small businesses and restaurateurs. You're on your own now. Shooting down the bill will likely result in another 1 in 5 US restaurants going belly-up.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 5/20/22: The Title 42 act that allows border control agents to turn away migrants due to the pandemic is set to expire on Monday. President Biden wants Title 42 to end because he thinks the flood of migrants that will cross into the United States will be future democrat voters. A low IQ individual thinks in these terms. Never judge another person let alone assess them on a monolithic basis of religious beliefs or ethnicity. Biden is likely wrong in his assumption as polling shows over the last few years. The Latino population is very family-oriented and the wacko thinking that teaching sex to little kids is a good thing is sadly mistaken. Families do not want that garbage taught to their kids that just got through potty-training. One of the worst things in life is to take away a child's innocence. All that said, a judge steps in with an injunction keeping Title 42 in place, and likely saving Biden's butt. If Title 42 ends and the floodgates open at the US-Mexico border, 18K migrants will enter the United States each day, and potentially 4.5 million and more over the coming year (this would add 1.4% to the US population likely stretching welfare and healthcare systems beyond their capabilities; someone has to pay for it all and it will be the US taxpayer). To put it in perspective, if Title 42 ends, over the next year it would create an influx of people across the southern border that is more than the entire population of Los Angeles, California. It is mind-boggling.
Note Added Friday Evening, 5/20/22: ABC News (democrat media) makes the proclamation that 45% of the country is living in a medium or highly-infected county. Wrong. Just like CDC Director Walensky was wrong when she was touting numbers yesterday. Comically, ABC displays the US Community Transmission map on the television screen which clearly shows only the major infection areas in the northeast United States that covers maybe one-sixth of the map geographically. It would be truthful and correct to say about 20% of the US is in the medium to high risk infection zones. The map clearly shows that the news reader is incorrect as she makes the statement that "one-half of the country is medium to high risk level." It is not. All she has to do is turn her head to look at the map and see that what she is reading is wrong. As previously mentioned, perhaps the CDC has real-time data that they do not release to the public so in a week the map may be covered by one-half in yellow and orange. What do you think? No wonder the public does not pay attention anymore to the covid talking heads. The so-called medical officials and media make statements that are easily disproven by their own data and information. Well, isn't that a fine how do you do. American mediocrity is on full display daily. The CDC is telling the public to wear masks in the high infection zones. Philadelphia public schools reinstate mask mandates. Whitehouse COVID-19 coordinator Dr Jha appears on television stressing the need for people over 50 years old to get their second booster shot (the fourth shot; the booster-booster). The hepatis (inflamed liver) disease continues circulating among children. There are 180 cases in the US and 6 kids have died. Doctors still do not understand what is occurring and if there is a connection to COVID-19. The Allegheny County Jail, which sits next to the parkway in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is placed in a lockdown after 91 inmates and 29 staff and others test positive for coronavirus. The wild gyrations continue on Wall Street with the Dow Jones Industrials Index down for 8 straight weeks a new record. Baby formula remains in short supply in the US. Inventory is being flown into the US from Switzerland. Isn't it pitiful? It is American mediocrity. Unleaded gasoline in the US hits a new record high at just under $4.60 per gallon. This is an average price so some folks are paying $6 and $7 bucks for a gallon of vital fuel. Biden's war on the energy complex for the sake of misguided climate change wokism is an unmitigated disaster. The 401k is now a 201k.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 5/21/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The global death rate drops to 1.58K deaths per day continuing lower. South Africa reports 6.4K cases and the 7-day MA is rolling over heading lower at 6.0K cases per day. Fingers are crossed that South Africa's wave 5 of daily new cases is decreasing which is great news for the world. Taiwan reports 86K daily new cases only exceeded by the record high 90K cases the prior day. North Korea remains in a parabolic up phase at 270K cases per day. Panama's cases expand to 3.1K cases per day.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 5/21/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Happy Armed Forces Day. The US reports 99K cases for Friday an elevated number but it could have been worse. Friday's data is typically the highest numbers of the week. Tuesday, 5/17/22, is 101 cases, Wednesday 120K cases, Thursday 109K cases and Friday 99K cases. Revisions keep occurring which is not good since it shows the infection rate is climbing. Also, the peak for the current US wave 7 was 117K cases on 5/12/22 but the 120K cases on 5/18/22 is now the peak day extending the overall outbreak. On the positive side, the 109K cases are below the prior peak at 117K exactly one week prior (a week to week comparison). Ditto the Friday to Friday comparison with 5/13/22 at 114K cases and yesterday at 99K cases. This is encouraging but it is a shame that the 5/12/22 high was taken out by 5/18/22. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is at 102K cases per day a bummer since the moving average was holding at 100K-ish cases per day for a few days. US wave 7 continues. New York reports 10.5K cases with the 7-day MA remaining flat even dipping slightly lower to 9.7K cases per day. The BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave may be a mild and quick-moving wave. California daily new cases are over 16K cases per day for the last 3 days. Virginia reports over 3.8K cases yesterday the most since February. 252 Americans die from China Virus yesterday and everyday. The Whitehouse and CDC yawn. The CDC says unvaccinated folks have a 17 times higher chance of dying from the virus than a vaccinated person. What kind of vaccinated person? How many shots? One, two, three (booster), or is it based on all four jabs (booster-booster)? Was Paxlovid available to these folks that died? The CDC and Whitehouse continue using different tools including fear-mongering to coax people into getting vaccinated and receiving booster shots. It is smarter to get the other treatments and therapies, such as Pfizer's Paxlovid anti-viral oral pills and Eli Lilly's bebtelovimab mAb treatments, into the poor and disadvantaged areas so lives can be saved but this does not fit Biden's vaccine narrative.
Note Added Saturday Evening, 5/21/22: Dr Jha appears on PBS (democrat-run media) opining, "The virus is not done." He says Americans need to stay focused and continue combatting the virus. "The virus is not done with its work. The virus continues to evolve." Jha keeps asking for further Congressional funding proclaiming, "I think we would see a lot of unnecessary loss of life if that were to happen (loss of funding)." In high infection (orange) areas (as per the CDC Community Transmission map; the map is turning more yellow and orange but over three-quarters (75%) of the US remains green in the low infection zone), people should wear masks indoors. The Washington Post (democrat-run media) publishes a story by a writer that was a Beijing, China, bureau chief a few years ago, that says officials are concerned about the COVID-19 transmission to and from pets. It is a convenient story considering that China (CCP) is murdering pets that are in contact with humans that test positive for China Virus. The most sickening video to date is one of the white-suit police officers beating a Corgi puppy to death with a shovel in Shanghai. That's communism. Do you believe the dribble you read and hear in the States? Pets are not a concern for 2-1/2 years of the pandemic but the media now tells Americans to worry to justify China's inhumane treatment of animals? There is sick stuff occurring in the world with nefarious communications targeting naïve minds.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/22/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Switzerland and Israel are the latest countries reporting monkeypox infections now totaling 90 cases worldwide in 13 countries with another 50 cases pending. Two case are identified in the United States; one in Massachusetts and the other in New York City. The US media tells folks not to worry about monkeypox as they fuel the fear to attract eyes and ears to websites and television and radio broadcasts to increase ad revenue.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/22/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world exceeds 6.3 million COVID-19 deaths a grim milestone. Over 527 million earthlings have been infected with the China Virus. The world reports 770K cases per day trying to flatten-out in this area. The global death rate drops to 1.52K deaths per day with a 1.4K handle on the way. The low death rate compares back to March 2020 at the start of the pandemic. Japan's latest outbreak wave is rolling over and heading lower at 36K cases per day. Australia's daily new cases are trying to flatten-out at 51K cases per day. North Korea, the 900-pound panda sitting on the living room sofa, reports 219K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA at 276K cases per day. Note that if you take the 276K North Korea cases away from the world's 770K cases per day that is about 500K cases per day. The planet continues recovering from China Flu sans North Korea that is negatively skewing the data. Tin-pot Dictator Kim Jong-un continues refusing help from South Korea, the United States and other nations. Taiwan reports 84K cases yesterday a couple days off the 90K top on Thursday a hopeful sign. 59 Taiwanese die from China Virus yesterday the deadliest day of the pandemic. New Zealand tops 1,000 dead from covid a grim milestone. New Zealand's daily new cases float higher at 8K cases per day. Bolivia reports 270 cases yesterday a notable pop although a tiny number compared to past waves. Chile cases continue higher at 5.2K cases per day potentially spiking into a parabolic up phase. Brazil is not showing an appreciable rise in infections. On the South Africa beat, where the BA4 and BA5 bugs are at play showing the world what may be on tap this Fall, 5K cases are reported for yesterday with the 7-day MA heading lower at 5.6K cases per day. The active cases remain elevated so they need to roll over lower but the news is good for South Africa's wave 5 which is turning into an inconsequential outbreak. The death rate for South Africa has rolled over lower at 25 deaths per day far below the prior 4 waves. Can we finally start to see an end to the pandemic worldwide?
Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/22/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Happy National Maritime Day. The US reports 40K cases for Saturday an expected lower weekend number. Last Saturday, 5/14/22, was 104K cases so the 40K week on week comparison is a beautiful sight. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is rolling over down to 93K cases per day from the peak at over 100K cases per day a few days ago. US active cases are at 2.4 million way below the prior BA1 omicron wave. Hospitals and clinics, broadly speaking across the United States, are in good shape without craziness occurring like December and January. Of course, the healthcare professionals are busier in the northeastern states where the bulk of the new BA2 Omicron Subvariant infections are occurring. 249 Americans die from COVID-19 yesterday. American casket maker's and undertakers are ecstatic that a solid base of business of 250 dead covid bodies per day will continue indefinitely into the future. While failing to save American lives due to the lack of supplies and poor distribution of Paxlovid and other COVID-19 treatments and therapies, Biden wants to build more windmills and force you to drive around in a glorified golf cart (electric vehicle; EV). Someone needs to educate Sleepy Joe on his priorities. New York cases are flat-lining at 9.7K cases per day for 1-1/2 weeks. Flat is better than up and a chart has to go flat before it can fall. New Jersey is trying to line-out at 4.9K cases per day and Massachusetts's 7-day MA rolls over lower down to 3.9K cases per day. It is encouraging to see the waves want to peter out for the states that are hit first by the BA2 Omicron Subvariant. Ditto Vermont and New Hampshire, two states, along with New York, receiving the initial coronavirus cross-border infections from Canada. Both states show the 7-day MA's of daily new cases rolling over to the downside; great news. US wave 7 continues but may peter-out going forward. The US wave 7 peak thus far is 121.5K daily new cases on Wednesday, 5/18/22, so the 5/25/22 number is key. Wave 7 may be all bark and no bite.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/22/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The CDC announces 1 million American deaths from COVID-19 a grim milestone. There's only one problem. They are wrong according to their own data on the website that places deaths at 999,254. Isn't is sickening that an American institution could put out such sh*t work? Keystone has pointed out the CDC errors in their reporting infections that do not match the community transmission map. Same-o with deaths. The CDC needs to understand that credibility is seriously damaged when you are told things and then handed data that does not agree with what they just said. Hey idiots, make sure the information is updated on the website before making your proclamations in public. Capeesh? It is called Communications 101. Johns-Hopkins jumped on the 1 million deaths train a few days ago their tally now at 1.002 million dead Americans. The IHME is at 998K American deaths from covid inching their way to 1 million. Worldometer is at 1.029 million American deaths.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 5/22/22, at 11:00 AM EST: Dr Jha appears on the ThisWeekABC (democrat-run media) political news television show. Jha discusses the 100K COVID-19 cases per day occurring and believes the numbers are higher. Jha repeats the vaccinations and boosters mantra; the one-trick pony Biden administration. "What we know is vaccines continue to provide a high level of protection against people getting seriously ill." The vaccination numbers have not moved for months so the US would be smarter to instead focus on the treatments and therapies going forward such as Pfizer's Paxlovid pills and Eli Lilly's monoclonal antibody treatments. Death numbers will not drop until the treatments are more widely available. Jha says, "Vaccinations, therapies, testing, masking .... and improving indoor air quality are the major tools" to combat COVID-19. He says masks should be worn in indoor spaces with infections rising. Jha says the government is preparing for the Fall with a new generation of vaccines but more Congressional funding is needed.
Note Added Monday Morning, 5/23/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world's daily new cases rate drops to 738K cases per day from the near 800K cases per day last Wednesday. Global cases are thankfully headed lower again. The global death rate drops to 1.44K deaths per day continuing to move lower off the 11K deaths per day peak 3 months ago. North Korea reports 186K cases yesterday off the 400K cases peak last Monday. This is the direct reason the world's daily cases are coming back down. One-fourth of the global China Virus cases are in North Korea (186/738). Taiwan reports 79K cases yesterday remaining below the 90K cases peak last Thursday. Although case counts remain elevated in these examples, the drops in cases are encouraging going forward. Not so in Beijing, China, home of dirtbag Dictator Xi, where the highest cases are recorded yesterday (99; the communists did not want to report a triple digit number so they lie and say 99). Seven of the 16 districts are placed into lockdown impacting about 14 million Chinese folks. Hopefully, the Beijing residents ignored the CCP's lies that lockdowns would not occur in the city and instead stocked-up on food and medical supplies. Beijing officials instruct all 22 million residents to work from home if possible. Maybe this would have been a better idea 2 or 3 weeks ago? Workers that must be physically at their jobs are required to present a negative PCR test every 48 hours and are only permitted to travel to and from work with no additional stops. China Virus is inflicting serious damage on China and the world's economy. South Africa reports 3.2K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA drops to 5.4K cases per day. South Africa's wave 5 of daily new cases is rolling over; great news for the world. Namibia, however, is in a new infection wave. Australia continues reporting over 50K cases per day having difficulty tamping down the latest outbreak. About 45 Aussies are dying per day from COVID-19 the death rate moving higher for 2 months. Anthony Albanese (Labor Party) is named the new Prime Minister of Australia defeating Scott Morrison (representing conservative government) in Saturday's election. Chile continues dealing with a nasty covid outbreak with cases ramping higher at 5.4K cases per day.
Note Added Monday Morning, 5/23/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US crosses the 85 million total covid cases milestone. 20K cases are reported in the United States yesterday an expected low Sunday number. America's 7-day MA is moving lower to 84K cases per day great news but several more days of data will be needed to make sure this important trend line keeps moving south. Note that Jha and the Biden administration are talking about 100K cases per day and more in the US but that was the news a few days ago. Isn't it disturbing that Keystone and the chronology provides better up to date information on the covid outbreak waves than the US government? 232 Americans die from China Flu yesterday. A big week is ahead to see if the US data begins painting a rosier picture for the current wave 7. New York's daily cases are flatlining at 9.8K cases per day so the poster boy for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant remains in focus along with New Jersey, Massachusetts and a few other states. Keep your fingers crossed but June will likely be a happier and more positive month than people currently expect (wave 7 may quickly subside).
Note Added Monday Morning, 5/23/22, at 8:00 AM EST: A potential monkeypox case is under investigation in Florida. Medical officials continue stating that monkeypox is not a problem like COVD-19. It is mainly transmitted through body fluids mainly sexual contact. Pfizer says 3 small doses of its COVID-19 vaccine are 80% effective in children between 6 months and 5 years old but they caution the study is not complete. Data will be provided to the FDA this week. The size of the trial studies are small. Scientists are assessing antibody response to determine effectiveness. Moderna has already made application for emergency approval of its 2-shot vaccine for young children but the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine is on a bumpier path. The FDA will meet on 6/15/22 to discuss the potential emergency approval of the Moderna and/or Pfizer/BioNTech vaccines for use in toddlers.
Note Added Monday Morning, 5/23/22, at 11:00 AM EST: Monkeypox remains in the news with the WHO warning that mass gatherings in Europe this summer may accelerate the spread. Monkeypox spreads through the transmission of body fluids and is impacting gay and bisexual folks. The UK says people should quarantine for 3 weeks if they are in close contact with a monkeypox patient.
Note Added Monday Afternoon, 5/23/22: The news media continues reporting that one-half the country is in either the medium or high infection counties. Wrong. Comically, the media talking heads reference the CDC as the source of the information but the Community Transmission map proves that the information is incorrect. The CDC states on the website that 76% of the United States is in the low transmission zone, 9% is in the high infection orange areas and 15% in the medium risk regions. Only 24% of the US is in the medium to high risk areas as per the CDC with the CDC officials telling the public that 45% to 50% of the country is in the medium to high risk areas. And they wonder why no one pays attention to what they say anymore. Good luck trying to get people to wear masks again. American mediocrity is on full display daily. It is sloppy work. On top of this misinformation, the CDC says 1 million Americans have died from COVID-19 but their website reports 999,384 total deaths. Are the CDC employees, or more correctly, the management, stupid or lazy, or a combination of both?
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 5/24/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 456K cases yesterday a much lower number than recent days where numbers are elevated due to the explosive outbreak in North Korea. The world's 7-day MA of daily new cases drops to 707K cases per day. South Korea has recovered from its horrible outbreak wave but crosses the 24K total deaths grim milestone. North Korea (DPRK) is averaging about 230K cases per day and if that was removed from the world's total, the planet would be under 500K cases per day. Taiwan reports 66K cases yesterday remaining under last Thursday's peak at 90K cases. The Thursday number this week is critical for Taiwan and it needs to be below 90K cases. South Africa reports 1.6K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA dropping down to 5.3K cases per day continuing the downtrend. South Africa's wave 5 is diminishing. Ditto Eswatini so BA4 and BA5 are more bark than bite and the covid fear stories for the US this Fall are likely unwarranted.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 5/24/22, at 3:30 AM EST: The US reports 53K daily new cases for Monday with the 7-day MA down to 86K cases per day continuing lower. The US active covid cases may be flattening-out at about 2.4 million cases which would be excellent news. During the BA1 Omicron Variant wave 6, US active cases exploded from 3 million to 18 million but wave 7 does not appear on the same path and may already be diminishing. 225 Americans are placed in caskets yesterday due to China Virus. The Whitehouse and CDC yawn while looking at the lunch menu. New York State, the BA1 poster boy, is averaging about 9.5K cases per day a slight reduction from several days of flatness at 9.9K to 10.0K cases per day a great sign. New York's active cases are moving sideways and not increasing. COVID-19 cases in Texas are ramping higher at 4.2K cases per day but the numbers remain small compared to prior waves. Florida's cases are trying to flatten-out at about 8.5K cases per day. America's herd immunity through vaccinations and natural immunity is battling and beating back the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave 7.
Note Added Tuesday Evening, 5/24/22: The WHO says there are over 250 monkeypox cases in 16 countries but the outbreaks are "containable."
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 5/25/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world's COVID-19 infection rate is back below 700K cases per day descending again. The global death rate remains at 1.44K deaths per day the last 3 days. Oh no. Brazil reports 33K China Flu cases yesterday the most in 2 months; not good. 228 Brazilians die yesterday the most in 6 weeks. Chile's daily new cases ramp higher to 5.6K cases per day. Costa Rica worsens at 1.9K cases per day. Panama worsens to 3.1K cases per day. South Africa reports 4.2K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA continues lower down to 5.2K cases per day. South Africa is beating down its wave 5 but crosses the 101K total deaths grim milestone. Japan and Australia are gaining the upper hand on their nagging outbreaks. North Korea reports 134K cases well off the peak at nearly 400K cases on 5/16/22; a great sign since the peak is over 1 week ago. Taiwan reports 82K cases a high number but remaining below last Thursday's 90K record high cases. In communist China, Beijing officials are cracking down on residents not following the latest COVID-19 restrictions. The CCP is controlling the Chinese people like animals in pursuit of the zero-covid strategy. Chinese folks are subject to ongoing mass covid testing and the government (CCP) is monitoring their movements. If someone happens to pass through an area where infections occur, they are tossed into a quarantine camp. World markets continue selling-off and the global economy remains in turmoil as China's COVID-19 problems continue. Fearing famine in the weeks and months ahead due to Russia's war against Ukraine (that provides the bulk of the world's wheat and other food), countries ae hoarding food reminiscent of the protectionism that occurred in the 1930's that prolonged The Great Depression.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 5/25/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The US reports 76K daily new cases yesterday an encouraging number. The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is at 90K cases per day. 222 Americans die from covid yesterday. New York reports 6.7K cases yesterday and may be on the way to defeating wave 7. The peak in cases is 14.3K on 5/12/22 now 12 days in the rearview mirror. New York's active cases are rolling over more good news. The New York State BA2 Omicron Subvariant poster boy is indicating that wave 7 will be a little sister wave compared to the BA1 big sister wave 6, as expected. New Jersey, however, continues struggling at tamping-back its outbreak with cases running at 5.1K per day. Massachusetts and Illinois are following New York's lead hinting at greener pastures ahead. California crosses the 9.5 million total COVID-19 cases milestone and the daily new cases continue higher at 16K cases per day (21% of America's current China Virus cases are in California; 1 in 5 covid cases in the US are in the Golden State). Texas is up to a pace of 4.4K cases per day. Florida is at 8.6K cases per day trying to level-off. Florida's daily new cases peak at 12.3K on 5/14/22 already 9 days in the rearview mirror an encouraging sign. Wave 7 is not packing a big punch in the United States which is a good thing since many Americans have moved on with life and do not pay attention to covid anymore.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 5/25/22: The world's elite continue meeting at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Comically, they fly in on private jets consuming mountains of fuel so they can discuss climate change. Stupid people believe their dribble. Davos is where the billionaires tell the millionaires how to live. Pfizer CEO Bourla says, "I wouldn't worry much" about monkeypox since the disease does not transmit easily. Monkeypox is now in 19 countries. Bourla proclaims in another interview that Pfizer will provide 45 underprivileged countries with vaccines and other products at cost. Why didn't they already do this considering it is a once in a century pandemic? Wealthy humans stuff their pockets full of money first and then pursue altruistic and charitable endeavors as an afterthought to not appear as greedy and at the same time boost their notoriety. It is the way humans are wired. Bourla declares that the shareholders of PFE stock "should think that we are doing the right thing."
Note Added Thursday Morning, 5/26/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Thursday is off to a positive start with over 500 million people worldwide recovering from COVID-19. Nearly 530 million have been stricken with the China Virus on the planet so 94% of the people that contract covid recover (500/530). 6.3 million earthlings are dead from the Wuhan Flu so 1.2% of the people that become sick with coronavirus die (6.3/530). This leaves 23.7 million people with long-covid and lingering health problems after the infection or 4.5% (23.7/530). Thus, about 94% of people recover from covid, about 5% develop long-covid and about 1% die. In other words, if 84 people are lined-up in a room and told they have coronavirus, 79 will recover, 4 will develop long-covid and 1 will die.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 5/26/22, at 4:30 AM EST: Italy is making great strides in beating down the current outbreak wave after the infections lingered for an extra month due to the Easter celebrations. Portugal's BA2 wave started 2 weeks ago as the chronology highlighted with a big spike in cases on Friday, 5/13/22, but the country has not reported data ever since. South Africa reports 5.3K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA continuing lower at 4.7K cases per day. Taiwan reports a big 89.4K cases yesterday but remaining below the 90.4K cases peak last Thursday. Today's number dictates if Taiwan can begin turning the corner, or, if the trouble escalates. Brazil reports 33K cases yesterday the highest in over 2 months. Chile's daily new cases continue higher at 5.7K cases per day.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 5/26/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The United States reports 101K cases yesterday above 100K after a few days with cases below. The current peak for wave 7 is 127.3K cases on 5/19/22. Today is uber importante. If cases come in below 127K, America will be turning the corner on wave 7 and it will turn out to be not as bad as feared. However, big trouble will occur going forward if cases are over 127K. A number below the 7-day MA at 101K cases per day would be fantastic news hinting that wave 7 should dissipate faster than anyone expects. 259 Americans die from covid yesterday and instead of spearheading the effort to get treatments and therapeutics to disadvantaged and poor folks, Sleepy Joe Biden is touting gun control that takes away American rights after a mentally-ill nutcase murdered kids at a school. Biden needs serious help with his priorities. He fails at handling the pandemic just like Trump. New York reports 8K cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is moving lower at 8.7K cases per day; great news. The peak for New York's daily new cases wave 7 is 5/12/22 now 2 weeks ago. The poster boy for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant is telling other states that the outbreak is more bark than bite. On the bad side, Florida reports over 12K cases yesterday with its 7-day MA moving higher to 9K cases per day. Although an elevated number, it is a hair below the peak cases for Florida for wave 7 on 5/14/22. The news is encouraging for the US with the daily new cases today and tomorrow providing vital clues for the path ahead.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 5/26/22: Nine cases of monkeypox are identified in the United States in seven states. Moderna CEO Bancel plans to sell a portion of his stock options and donate the money to charity. Every time Big Pharma's greed comes into play, the token gestures of charity occur but good on him since the charities need the money. The United States is finally rolling-out the "test-to-treat" sites they have talked about for months. People that test positive for COVID-19 will be provided Pfizer's Paxlovid anti-viral oral pills at the site. The test-to-treat sites are starting in Rhode Island, New York, Illinois, Massachusetts and Minnesota. The Biden administration, although slow on the rollout because everything in government is slow, deserves credit for the states selected since they are at the leading edge of the current BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave. Millions of Americans do not bother with yearly flu shots and the covid shots will likely go the same way so the Paxlovid pills and other treatments such as monoclonal antibody infusions are going to have to be a frontline defense against COVID-19. It will become harder to convince people to become vaccinated if they can simply take a pill for 5 days if they test positive for the virus. Some folks may not be able to take the Paxlovid due to interactions with other drugs so Eli Lilly's bebtelovimab mAb treatment may be recommended instead but of course only the doctors and healthcare professionals can provide guidance. It is great news, perhaps the best of the pandemic since the vaccines turned out to not be what they were promised originally, that the test-to-treat sites are up and running and expanding. This approach will finally put a dent in the nearly 300 American deaths that occur from China Virus every day. Dr Jha is pleased with the expansion of the test-to-treat sites and proclaims, "We are now at a point where I believe fundamentally most covid deaths are preventable, that the deaths that are happening out there are mostly unnecessary, and there are a lot of tools we have now to make sure people do not die of this disease." The US should follow the daily case counts and open the test-to-treat sites according to the states with the highest infection rates as they did with Rhode Island, New York, Massachusetts and Illinois. They need to get those sites into New Jersey, Florida and a few other states pronto. The US state list above would help since the states listed at the bottom of the list are in the worst shape and would benefit the most from the test-to-treat program. The covid news is on the back burner since the US media is consumed by a Texas school shooting where a nutcase murdered 20 people. It is a horrific tragedy, especially when children die, but the shooter was a mental nutcase, and the deaths are only 8%, or one-thirteenth, of the 'daily' covid deaths. Equally important and disturbing is that over 20 blacks will die this weekend in Chicago shot to death by 20 other blacks. Society is sick and needs help. It has nothing to do with guns, knives or vehicles that kill people and everything to do with the human mind and the sick present-day society.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/27/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's cases are dropping again down to 635K cases per day. The global death rate drops below 1.4K bodies per day. North Korea reports 105K cases far below the near 400K cases 1-1/2 weeks ago. North Korea spiked the world's daily cases over the last 2 weeks. China remains a mess with the two top CCP dirtbags providing conflicting guidance. Dictator Xi forces zero-covid down the Chinese people's throats because he never wants to appear wrong but Premier Li Keqiang is sounding the alarm bells for the economy due to the harsh China Virus controls and restrictions. The Xi and Li misdirection adds another level of complexity in China affecting its ability to defeat the virus and protect the Chinese folks that must live under the dirtbag CCP's rule. Taiwan reports 81K cases yesterday another elevated number but below the peak of 90K cases on 5/19/22. It is evidence that Taiwan is gaining the upper hand on the outbreak. There will still be a month and more of misery ahead in handling cases but the worst may be over for the island nation. On the bad side, 104 Taiwanese die from China Virus yesterday far and away the deadliest day ever. South Africa continues defeating its wave 5 (mostly the BA4 and BA5 sublineages) with cases dropping to 4.2K per day. WHO comments that the world is improving except for the America's. True, although Argentina's rise in cases may be starting to level-off. Not so in Chile reporting a spike of 8.7K cases yesterday. Chile's 7-day MA for daily new cases is up to 6K cases per day and rising.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/27/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports 87.4K daily new cases yesterday. The peak in daily cases for US wave 7 thus far is 128K cases on 5/19/22 exactly 1 week ago. The week-on-week comparison is great news since an extension of wave 7 would appear with cases above 128K but this is not on the table. Wave 7 may be on the ropes but today is always a big data day with robust numbers so let's wait for the daily cases that should be available in the early hours tomorrow morning. The 7-day MA of US cases is at 98K cases per day and will only roll over if several days of sub 98K numbers are reported. If today's cases are over 128K, it will blow America out of the water and wave 7 will worsen. If cases are between 98K and 128K today, it is not the best news but continues the trend that wave 7 does not have much punch and should roll over in the days and couple weeks ahead. If cases are below 98K, and especially below yesterday's 87K cases, it is a blue skies scenario where the wave will be defeated quicker than anyone expects. New York reports 9.9K cases yesterday with the 7-day MA dropping to 8.6K cases per day. Florida reports an elevated 11.4K cases yesterday with the 7-day up to 9.2K cases per day. Oh no. Texas reports 5.8K cases yesterday the most in over 2 months. US wave 7 continues but if today's cases behave, America will see a rosier path ahead next week.
Note Added Friday Morning, 5/27/22, at 5:30 AM EST: The Memorial Day holiday weekend is here. US markets are closed on Monday as well as banks and the post office. People take vacation time so the COVID-19 data may be erratic into the middle of next week. Bingo. The CDC finally shows 1,000,984 Americans dead from COVID-19 the website finally catching up with what officials proclaimed nearly 2 weeks ago. Worldometer reports 1.03 million Americans dead from coronavirus. US hospitalizations remain easily manageable with numbers far below those seen during the heinous waves 3 and 6. The New York hospitalizations are starting to flatten-out or roll over including for the elderly. A big party weekend is ahead for the United States so the festivities, joy, handshakes, hugs and kisses will lead to more COVID-19 cases probably appearing between 6/2/22 and 6/10/22. Maybe it is a good idea to know the locations of the sites offering Paxlovid and other covid treatments before the party begins.
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