By K E Stone (Keystone)
Ukraine remains under siege from Russia on many war fronts
and the world remains under attack from the never-ending COVID-19 pandemic on
several fronts; the ongoing omicron outbreaks in Southeast Asia including
China, Hong Kong and Thailand, the BA2 Omicron Subvariant outbreaks in Europe
including Germany, UK, France, Italy and others, and the potential BA2 outbreak
in the United States.
In addition, the pandemic goes to pot worldwide over the
last few days with several countries showing small bumps in daily cases that
are likely going to lead to bigger bumps. The BA2 Omicron Subvariant is the
latest virus du jour so a quick walk around the planet is in order to note
where some of the spotty outbreaks are occurring.
Denmark was the poster child for the BA2 bug but is on the
mend. Ditto the UK that was tracking BA2 from early days. The subvariant
spreads to Germany that is having a hard time handling the outbreak with daily
cases at record levels. Germany is a special case in reference to BA2 so it is
best set aside.
For other nations afflicted with the BA2 subvariant, the daily
new cases wave peaks at a lower case number than the initial BA1 omicron wave.
Huh? That is clear as mud, right? A picture is worth a thousand words and
several charts easily illustrate the BA1 and BA2 big sister and little sister
relationship.
UK, Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, France, Italy and
Malta will serve as examples of the BA2 daily cases wave that other nations,
including the United States, may, or likely will, follow. Spain is now showing
a bump higher in daily cases. Greece, Slovenia, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg,
Austria, Albania, Romania, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Cyprus all display a
rise in daily cases that is concerning. BA2 loves the coastal areas.
The BA2 infections in the UK spread to Ireland, the Isle of
Man and Channel Islands. Canada’s daily cases are ramping higher beginning a
new BA2 infection wave up north so the Canucks will impact the US. In fact, the
wastewater stations in northern New York are picking up high infection rates
and it may be related to interaction with Canada. New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts
and Colorado also require close watching since they may serve as the poster
children for the BA2 behavior in the States.
In the Middle East, daily new cases are bumping higher.
Israel, the vaccination mecca, reports a bump higher in daily cases. Many Israelis
are vaccinated four times and yet Israel’s pandemic infection waves are like
every other nation on earth. Kuwait needs watched as cases sneak higher. Ditto
Saudi Arabia and UAE.
South America is hanging in there steering clear of BA2 but
on the northern coast, daily cases pop in Suriname and French Guiana. The
infections may spread to Brazil. Uruguay needs watched as cases may rise. Cuba
sees a spike in daily cases. Ditto Panama.
Africa escapes BA2, so far, although South Africa shows a
mini-bump in cases and Zambia may have issues.
Southeast Asia remains a mess. China and Hong Kong continue
grappling with their worst outbreaks since the start of the pandemic 2 years
ago. Taiwan is now experiencing a rise in daily new cases. Sri Lanka sees a tiny
bump in cases that require watching but India is fine.
Thailand is in bad shape with record daily cases so the single,
wealthy, silver-haired white Americans have to put their erotic vacation plans
on hold. Laos takes a turn for the worse. Vietnam may have finally peaked with
daily cases.
While everyone was watching Southeast Asia and the BA2
trouble occurring in Europe, Australia is smacked in the face with the new
‘stealthy’ subvariant wave. Down Under has BA2 problems as well as the islands
in the ocean including Tonga, Samoa and the Cook Islands.
It is a shame that all of the above is occurring because the
skies were far brighter a couple weeks ago. The thinking, or hope after 2
years, was that the Omicron Variant would be the last hurrah for the pandemic
but now its stealth sister, the BA2 Omicron Subvariant, displays her ugly face.
The cases may be starting to bump higher for all the nations listed above but
instead of taking off higher they may
roll back over so a week or two needs to play out to assess the BA2 situation.
Some scientists are pressuring the WHO to provide a separateGreek name for the BA2 sublineage. The two current variants of concern (VOC),
the worst status for a pathogen, are the B1617 Delta Variant and the B11529
Omicron Variant (the initial B11529 Botswana/South Africa Omicron Variant
called BA1 and the new BA2 Omicron Subvariant). The WHO says that BA2 will
remain classified as Omicron remaining as a sublineage (no separate Greek
name).
Interestingly, a new COVID-19 strain called XD, also known as 'deltacron', is identifiedin France over the last 2 months and is given a VUM (variants under monitoring)
designation 2 weeks ago. A pathogen first receives VUM status and then if the
virus spreads and becomes more prominent it is lifted to VOI (variant of
interest) status. If the strain spreads further it is elevated to the worst
status level of VOC.
What is the XD Variant? It is rare and a combination of the Delta Variant and Omicron Variant. Deltacron is identified in France, Denmark, Belgium, Netherlands and Germany. Perhaps the XD Variant is wreaking havoc in Germany creating the ongoing record daily cases?
The world’s daily new cases chart is shown above moving
lower again at 1.6 million cases per day. The blip higher in cases due to the
trouble in Asia and Europe thankfully rolls over again, albeit slightly, but
this happy move lower may be short-lived considering the bumps in cases described
for many countries above. For now, we can be optimistic and say the world is on
the mend but the week ahead is going to tell a lot about the BA2 story and
whether wave 7 ends as quickly as it begins, or not.
The world’s daily deaths chart is shown above and it is a
happy chart despite its grim nature. The 7-day MA trend line for the world’s
deaths is 4.5K deaths per day a 2-year low. Hooray! However, that is still a
lot of dead bodies piling-up each day. The lower death rate is a major
development and should be celebrated after 2 years of this pandemic garbage.
Undertakers and coffin maker’s frown.
Germany’s daily new cases chart is shown above an ugly
sight. Thursday, 3/24/22, is the highest cases ever at 306K daily cases and the
7-day MA is at 228K cases per day. BA2 must like those beer bellies. Germany’s
current BA2 wave is the worst of the pandemic but this is not the case for
other European nations. This is why its daily cases chart pattern behavior has
to be set aside from other nations.
Switzerland’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The
skiing paradise shows the daily cases dropping like a stone and revealing the
taller BA1 omicron wave followed by the smaller BA2 sister wave. This chart
pattern should repeat for the UK, Netherlands, Belgium, France, Italy and
Malta.
The UK’s daily cases chart is shown above. 108K daily new
cases are reported for the current peak of the BA2 wave last Tuesday, 3/22/22.
This Tuesday, 3/29/22, is key since it will provide a week on week comparison
number to the 108K. The 7-day MA has rolled over to 78K cases per day but that
happy direction is tentative until Tuesday’s number. The chart should display
the BA1 and BA2 big sister and little sister chart pattern.
The Netherlands daily cases chart is shown above and it is
on the mend displaying the BA1/BA2 big sister/little sister chart pattern. The
goofball woke people will whine and moan asking why the chart pattern is not
called big brother/little brother. Or would it be big they/little they as funny
as that is? Screw them. Big Brother, however, is an apropos word nowadays.
Anyhoo, the ‘BA1/BA2 big sister/little sister daily cases chart
pattern’ appears to be the real deal and the new chart pattern name is christened.
This wave pattern for daily new cases sets the example for Belgium, France,
Italy, Malta, and other nations to follow. Hey little sister, what have youdone, as Billy sings.
France is a country to watch to see if the big sister/little
sister pattern plays out as advertised. France reports 181K daily new cases on
3/22/22 (same peak as UK) its current peak for the BA2 subvariant wave thus
this Tuesday’s case number is key to compare to the 181K.
The 7-day MA for France’s daily new cases is at 117K cases
per day heading higher. The expectation is that the smaller BA2 sister wave
will reveal itself over the coming days or week or two ushering in happier
times allowing the French to get back to their wine, baguette and cigarettes.
Belgium’s daily cases chart is shown above and, like France,
needs watched closely to see if the smaller BA2 sister wave plays out. World
leaders have been hanging out in Brussels. Everybody and his brother in world
politics is there. The EU, the UN, NATO, G7, the UK, USA, and many other
acronyms, converge on Brussels, to discuss the Russia/Ukraine War.
These global big shots come with huge entourages and many
more locals are needed to service their needs. That is a lot of bodies from
different nations comingling in Brussels spreading BA2 sending cases higher. Hopefully,
President Biden plays it safe as he glad hands other leaders promising a
chicken in every pot. Omicron has shown the world that it can penetrate triple
vaccinated folks easily.
Israel’s daily new cases chart is show above. The 7-day MA
is at over 12K cases per day and going parabolic. How’s those quadruple
vaccinations going? Not too good by the looks of it. Israel should follow the
big sister/little sister chart pattern so the next week or two is key. Israel’s
infection charts look like every other nation’s charts even though the citizens
are human pincushions receiving vaccine shots every few months (but the peanut
gallery says the shots prevent you from dying).
Canada’s daily new cases chart is shown above with its 7-day
MA trend line ramping higher to over 6K cases per day. Is the BA2 bug biting
the Canucks? If so, it will impact the United States. What is the little cry baby tyrannical King
Trudeau doing to handle the potential outbreak? Not much as he hobnobs in
Europe. Maybe he was invited to a blackface party.
China is a mess with many cities in full or partial
lockdowns. The Chinese people are becoming impatient as food in the lockdown
areas is subpar and scarce and medical treatment for ongoing illnesses is
delayed. A nurse dies in Shanghai after her own hospital would not admit her as
she suffered an asthma attack. She’s dead and the communists likely tossed her
body into the incinerator.
The testing is getting old as well for Chinese folks. How
many times do you want to stick a swab up your nose? Many probably want to tell
the CCP to stick it somewhere else but of course they cannot since they will be
thrown in prison. The Chinese are complaining that other nations move through
their omicron waves quickly in a month or so but China is already a month in
and there is no sign of improvement.
China’s data leaves a lot to be desired as well. Communists
(CCP) can never be trusted. They will slit your throat in the middle of the
night. Hong Kong is on the mend with daily cases but deaths remain elevated at
about 250 deaths per day. The pandemic is an easy way to quietly cull the
elderly that communists view as a burden to society.
Taiwan’s daily new cases chart is shown above and the island
nation is now under siege by omicron. The numbers are small with the 7-day MA
at 115 cases per day ramping higher at 9-month highs. It confirms that Southeast
Asia including China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos and Thailand remain a
covid hot zone. Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and Philippines are on the mend
but must remain vigilant.
Australia’s daily new cases chart is shown above a real
surprise. The BA2 ‘stealth’ Omicron Subvariant lives up to its namesake. Everyone
forgot about Australia once the omicron wave ran its course but whammo, the new
BA2 wave sends the 7-day MA for daily new cases to 52K cases per day ramping higher.
The zero-covid strategy is tested again Down Under.
The United States is walking on covid egg shells waiting for
the BA2 shoe to drop. For now, it is springtime, happy time, and the ladies
will soon be frolicking outside in the sunshine in their skimpy outfits. Polls
show that about two-thirds of Americans believe the pandemic is over. If BA2
bites the US hard, it is going to be difficult to get people to cooperate with
new covid rules or restrictions. There is too much water under the pandemic
bridge.
The US daily cases chart is shown above with the 7-day MA
dropping to 27K cases per day. The trend maintains a downward bias but the
cases are mainly moving sideways, basing after the long descent. Hopefully, the
cases remain low and BA2 is not a threat. Perhaps some of the BA2 trouble is
already built into the chart behavior.
New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Colorado are a key
focus since they have shown daily cases nudging ever so higher. The CDC is
concerned about 19 US states that are seeing slight increases in infections.
New York’s daily cases chart is shown above and the cases
are running over 3K per day with the 7-day MA ramping higher to 2.7K cases per
day the most cases in a month. Is this the BA2 bug raising its ugly head? The
CDC says about one-third of the US cases are the BA2 Omicron Subvariant and in
some locations and states the numbers are over 50%. The northeastern states are
a concern.
The week ahead will dictate if BA2 wants to make a
statement, and if so, New York will become the poster child case for other
states. Also Colorado, New Jersey, Massachusetts and other states are hinting
at similar trouble but perhaps the increase in BA2 cases will be a subtle blip.
America has a high vaccination rate and a huge number of folks that have gotten
COVID-19 and have natural antibodies so it will be interesting to see how BA2
proceeds in the States.
The US active cases chart is shown above displaying the
coveted bell shape that verifies the omicron wave is being defeated. Active
cases fall from 28 million at the peak in early February down to 16 million a
-43% reduction so the healthcare workers, medics, nurses, doctors and support
staff receive a much-needed rest. Hopefully, the beautiful drop in active cases
creating the bell shape will keep falling instead of lining out sideways if the
BA2 bug begins causing trouble.
The US daily deaths chart is shown above. 656 Americans die
from COVID-19 yesterday the lowest since early August. It will be great to see
the US death rate continue lower to about 250 souls per day at the lows of last
July.
The US total coronavirus deaths chart is shown above. SADLY,
THE UNITED STATES CROSSES THE 1 MILLION DEATHS GRIM MILESTONE ON 3/22/22. The
current death count is at 1.003 million Americans. That is a lot of dead
bodies. 436K Americans died under former President Trump and 567K are dead thus
far under President Biden.
The first 250K dead Americans occurred in 268 days. The next
250K dead bodies came quick, in only 93 days, because of the wave 3 horror show
as Trump left office. Then it took a long 245 days for the next 250K deaths
totaling 750K. Then it took 160 days for
another 250K souls to hit the 1 million deaths mark.
Deaths accelerate as per the lethality of the strain in play
which is no great revelation. Waves 1, 3, 5 (delta) and 6 (omicron) see appreciable
accelerations in deaths.
The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases
in the world at 81.6 million. India is next with 43 million total virus cases. Brazil,
France, UK, Germany, Russia, Turkey, Italy, South Korea, Spain, Argentina, Vietnam,
Netherlands and Iran round out the top 15 worst nations. Germany leapfrogs
Russia. South Korea leapfrogs Spain and Argentina. Vietnam leapfrogs
Netherlands and Iran.
COVID-19 has infected 480 million people worldwide. 6.1 million
people are dead from the China Flu a grim statistic. 414 million global
citizens have recovered from China Flu. 86% (414/480) of the people that become
infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame. This percentage had
been at 90% to 92% for many months, and then dropped to 80% now rebounding to
83%-86% over the last 2 months.
People are not recovering as fast from COVID-19 as one year
ago despite all the vaccines available around the world. About 20% of the
people that contract coronavirus (1 in 5) have lingering health effects such as
long-covid or die.
Worldwide, 1.3% (6.1/480) of the people that are infected
with covid die; 1 in 79. This number sat at 2.1%-2.2% for many months but
trends lower for the last 4 months to 1.3%. The vaccinations and natural
immunities are helping to lower the world’s death rate albeit by small increments.
If people are not dying as much and taking longer to recover, if they recover, it
hints that long-covid cases may be increasing.
6.3% (480/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion
people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 16 people on earth. This
was 1 in every 24 people a couple months ago and 1 in 18 about 3 weeks ago. This
behavior verifies the contagiousness of the Omicron variant.
0.08% of the world’s population (6.1/7670) died from the
pandemic; 1 in every 1,257 people on earth died from China Virus.
In the United States, 81.6 million people are infected with covid.
1.003 million Americans are dead. 64.1 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus.
This equates to 79% (64.1/81.6) of US citizens recovering after becoming
infected with COVID-19. The recovery percentage has been between 76% and 84% for
much of last year but over the last 5 months drops to the 61% to 69% range and
in a heartbeat over the last 2 weeks jumps back to 79%. The recovery percentage
is also dropping for the world as shown above. Vaccines have not improved the
recovery percentage.
America’s rampant obesity problem has greatly added to
deaths, hospitalizations and long-covid problems. If you are overweight or obese,
and unvaccinated, call your doctor. For the last 2 years, people have put off
medical procedures so their bodies are weaker. China Flu kills the old and the
fat.
In the US, 1.2% (1.0/81.6) of the people infected with COVID-19
die. This number was sticky at 1.6% to 1.8% for many months but has sagged to
1.2% over the last 5 months. 1 in every 82 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus
die. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 330 Americans
over the last 2 years.
25% (81.6/330) of the American population of 330 million
people have been infected with covid; 1 in every 4 Americans. The minority
communities are impacted disproportionately. The 25% that now have natural
immunities solidly contribute towards herd immunity. The number of people with natural
immunity are likely far higher than reported. Many Americans had covid at home
and never saw a doctor or reported the illness and they have some level of natural
antibody protection.
The United States has 17% (81.6/480) of the COVID-19 cases
in the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on planet earth are
Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so
much in recent weeks and months. This percentage was 22% about one year ago so
it is flatlining for a long time.
The US accounts for 16% (1/6.1) of the China Flu deaths in
the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans.
9 months ago, it was 1 in 5. The numbers are stalled at the same level for the
last few months.
The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model,
the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active
cases chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the
‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the
medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over
forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can
breathe easier.
The Keystone Model uses the peak in the daily new cases to
forecast the peak and flattening of the active cases curve. The ‘flattening of
the curve’ only pertains to the active cases chart. For communist nations where
the populations must do what they are told or they receive a bullet in their
heads (China), and for smaller authoritarian nations (Eastern European
countries, Africa and Middle East nations), and many Asian nations where
citizens follow government rules without questioning authority (South Korea,
Japan, Singapore, Australia), the active cases curve will peak, on average, 11
days after the peak in daily new cases.
For the Western countries, such as the US and European
nations, the so-called free societies, the active cases curve will peak, on average,
28 days after the peak in new cases. It takes about 2 weeks longer for a free
society to tamp down a virus wave than a communist or authoritarian state
because lockdowns are not strictly followed or enforced.
All projections below for countries and the US states
continue to use the 11 and 28-day periods for forecasting for consistency. When
the peak in daily new cases occurs, if a subsequent day is within 8% of that
peak top, it is identified as the peak in daily new cases day in reference to
the Keystone Model.
The peak in the daily new cases is easily seen on the bar
charts provided by Worldometer, the CDC and Johns-Hopkins. The daily new cases
bar charts are shown on television news channels with a 7-day moving average
(MA) line which is a smoothing mechanism that identifies the trend.
An update for The Keystone Model is provided since another
10-day period passes, actually 11 days this time, and more data and information
become available to push the China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus
Chronology identifies the real-time hotspots occurring around the world and
within the United States. The chronology serves as a historical document that
will be referenced for decades to come by those that want to experience the
entire pandemic as it unfolds in real-time.
With the pandemic hopefully subsiding and entering an
endemic phase, the Coronavirus Chronology articles may end soon. If the country
and US state lists below dwindle down to only a handful of names, that will
likely be time to end the chronology. For now, Article 72 continues and it
looks like the BA2 Omicron Subvariant may extend the pandemic pain.
The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be
published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This
is Article 72 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information
for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market
participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors,
nurses, medical personnel, first responders, researchers, public officials,
news organizations, traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19
pandemic both domestically (USA) and internationally.
This seventy-second article is published on Saturday, 3/26/22.
The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of
information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from
early 2020 into 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.
Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century,
as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad,
devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is
the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in
real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The
information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other
way.
All 72 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The
Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want
to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga.
The seventieth article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 70 Published 3/5/22; 6 MILLION DEAD FROM CHINA FLU; 984KAmericans Dead from COVID-19; Global Hotspots Include Vietnam, Hong Kong,China, South Korea, Thailand, Singapore and New Zealand; China Reports HighestCOVID-19 Cases Since Pandemic Started; 2022 Paralympics; Russia Wages WarAgainst Ukraine; US Omicron Wave 6 Ending; Americans Putting COVID-19 inRearview Mirror; “Peoples Convoy” Reaches Washington, DC; Companies Hiring BackUnvaccinated Workers; Mask Requirement for US Public Transportation (Airplanes,Trains, Busses, Transit Hubs) Extended Until 4/18/22; China Outbreak Worsening;South Korea and Hong Kong Report Deadliest Days Ever; US Almost Below 10K CasesPer Day Fauci’s Magic Number; Former President Obama Tests Positive forCOVID-19; BA2 Omicron Subvariant Cases Rising in Europe; US Death Rate DropsBelow 1K Americans Per Day
The seventy-first article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)
Chronology Article 71 Published 3/15/22; China Flu Infects 460 Million People
Worldwide Killing 6.1 Million; Wuhan Virus Infects 81 Million Americans Killing
991K; US Wave 6 Ends; Global Hotspots Include China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, South
Korea, Thailand, Singapore and New Zealand; Northern Europe Especially Germany
Hit with BA2 Omicron Subvariant Wave; US Therapeutic and Treatment Centers Map;
US County Community Transmission Map; US Wastewater Surveillance Map; US
Vaccination Rate Tumbling; South Korea and Hong Kong Report Deadliest Days
Ever; BA2 Spreading in Europe; President Biden Replaces Whitehouse COVID-19
Coordinator Jeff Zients with Dr Ashish Jha as Endemic Phase Begins; Dead Bodies
Stack-Up in Hong Kong; Whitehouse Press Secretary Psaki and Former New York
Senator Hillary Clinton Test Positive for COVID-19; UNITED STATES EXCEEDS 1
MILLION CHINA VIRUS DEATHS A GRIM MILESTONE;
Worldwide COVID-19 Daily Deaths at 2-Year Low
The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around
the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of
articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The
CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The
Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well with the
Worldometer data leading the others by a few days. The Worldometer data is far
superior for forecasting since it is updated more reliably in real-time.
The countries with rising active cases charts are
highlighted below with the worst nations at the bottom. The peaks in daily new
cases are shown and the projected peaks for active cases are based on the
Keystone Model. The peak and flattening of the active cases curves are
extremely important since it represents the maximum stress on healthcare
workers and the medical systems.
It will take longer for the active cases charts to roll over
to form the bell shape for the troubled nations at the bottom of the list since
they are still experiencing highs and peaks in their daily new cases.
Hospitalizations lag the daily cases by a week or two and deaths lag
hospitalizations by a week or two.
Finland (Continuous Wave
Higher/Fifth Wave)
1/25/22 New Case Peak Date
2/22/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 28 days) (curve continues higher)
Iceland (Fifth Wave)
3/7/22 New Case Peak Date (highest
daily cases ever)
3/18/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve continues higher)
China (Second Wave)
3/15/22 New Case Peak Date
(highest daily cases for omicron wave)
3/26/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days) (curve continues higher)
South Korea (Sixth Wave)
3/17/22 New Case Peak Date
(highest daily cases ever)
3/28/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Luxembourg (Seventh Wave)
3/21/22 New Case Peak Date
4/1/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Slovenia (Seventh Wave)
3/22/22 New Case Peak Date
4/2/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Greece (Sixth Wave)
3/22/22 New Case Peak Date
4/2/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Germany (Seventh Wave)
3/24/22 New Case Peak Date
(highest daily cases ever)
4/4/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Canada (Sixth Wave)
3/24/22 New Case Peak Date
4/4/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Cyprus (Sixth Wave)
3/24/22 New Case Peak Date
4/4/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Laos (Fourth/Continuous Wave)
3/24/22 New Case Peak Date
4/4/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Taiwan (Fifth Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Australia (Fifth Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Cuba (Seventh Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Ireland (Seventh Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Malta (Tenth Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Israel (Seventh Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Thailand (Fourth Wave)
3/25/22 New Case Peak Date (record
highs)
4/5/22 Projected Active Case Peak
Date (based on 11 days)
Some of the smaller nations were not added to the list for
the sake of brevity. Many were added including Slovenia, Luxembourg, Malta,
Greece, Ireland, Cyprus, Israel, Cuba, Canada, Laos, Taiwan and Australia.
Norway, Singapore, Hong Kong, New Zealand and troubled Vietnam are removed from
the bad list since their active cases curves are falling (the worst is over but
they must remain vigilant).
China is having a tough go of it with infections rising
daily and several cities including parts of Shanghai in lockdown. Chinese folks
are losing patience with endless tests and being jailed at home like animals.
Folks are complaining about lack of food and access to medical treatment and
drugs. They live in a communist state; they have no voice. The CCP is their
voice.
Countries to keep an eye on for rising daily new cases
include Spain, Romania, Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Kuwait, Saudi
Arabia, UAE, South Africa, Zambia, Uruguay, Suriname, French Guiana and Panama.
Austria is trying to improve but their recovery remains on shaky ground.
Generally, despite the addition of many countries to the bad
list and bad watch list, the infection wave across Asia may improve over the
next week or two. In addition, the BA2 bug in Europe, although spreading,
remains as a smaller bump in cases as compared to the initial omicron virus
(big sister/little sister).
Also, despite being from 30% to 80% more contagious than
BA1, the BA2 subvariant is not contributing to more deaths. This is the
positive spin and with a little luck BA2 may turn out to be a minor
inconvenience and the world will resume healing. Tell that to Germany where
something went terribly wrong.
The next list shows the 15 US states that have not yet
rolled-over their active cases chart. The
peak in daily new cases and projections for the peaks in active cases are
provided as per the Keystone Model. The flattening and roll over of the active
cases curve forming the bell shape indicates the virus is being defeated and
the caseload on healthcare workers will quickly improve.
Rhode
Island (Sixth Wave/Continuous)
1/7/22
New Case Peak Date
2/4/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat but needs a wee bit more to roll
over)
Massachusetts
(Fourth Wave)
1/7/22
New Case Peak Date
2/4/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat but needs a wee bit more to roll
over and BA2 may be raising its ugly face)
Virginia
(Sixth Wave/Continuous Wave)
1/8/22
New Case Peak Date
2/5/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat but needs a wee bit more to roll
over)
Maryland
(Sixth Wave/Continuous Wave)
1/9/22
New Case Peak Date
2/6/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat but needs
a wee bit more to roll over)
Louisiana
(Fifth Wave/Consecutive Wave)
1/12/22
New Case Peak Date
2/9/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat only a single hair away from
dropping)
Michigan
(Fifth Wave)
1/14/22
New Case Peak Date
2/11/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening)
Pennsylvania
(Sixth Wave)
1/16/22
New Case Peak Date
2/13/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat but needs a wee bit more to roll
over)
Wisconsin
(Sixth Wave)
1/17/22
New Case Peak Date
2/14/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat a hair away from dropping)
Nebraska
(Fifth Wave)
1/17/22
New Case Peak Date
2/14/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat only a single hair away from
dropping)
Idaho
(Fifth Wave/Continuous)
1/19/22
New Case Peak Date
2/16/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (chart is rolling over but give it a couple
more days)
Hawaii (Fifth Wave/Continuous Wave)
1/20/22 New Case Peak Date
2/17/21 Projected Active Case Peak Date
(curve is flat but needs a wee bit more to roll over)
Alabama
(Fifth Wave/ Continuous Wave)
1/22/22
New Case Peak Date
2/19/21
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flat only a single hair away from
dropping)
Washington
(Sixth Wave)
1/26/22
New Case Peak Date
2/23/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening)
Kentucky
(Continuous Wave)
1/28/22
New Case Peak Date
2/25/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening)
Maine
(Second Wave/Continuous)
2/21/22
New Case Peak Date
3/21/22
Projected Active Case Peak Date (curve is flattening)
The list above is in suspended
animation unchanged from 11 days ago. All the states on the bad list are trying
to flatten and roll-over their active cases charts but having difficulty. Why
are daily cases down to nil and yet a state shows active cases flat or higher?
Something is wrong with that picture. Is the Whitehouse and CDC purposely
testing less so there are less cases? It may be a data collection or reporting
issue but it would have to be that way for all the states.
Trump wanted less
testing so there would be less cases reported which is laughable. There are
still people that become sick with covid regardless of whether or not the
politicians want to count the daily cases. Biden may be trying to employ the
same stupid strategy to spin the messaging. Something is causing the oddity
where daily cases drop to almost nothing but the active cases remain elevated at
record levels inching higher.
Some of the states
continue holding on for several weeks refusing to roll their active cases
curves over to the downside. In other words, the hospitals and clinics in these
states, may be already experiencing lingering BA2 affects. Lots of Americans
may be receiving COVID-19 treatments but remaining at home.
They are active
patients but not in the hospital. At the same time, are the hospitals, clinics
and other facilities may be told to test less? Or report less test results? Or
not count the patient as a positive test if they receive immediate treatment?
Who knows?
Perhaps less testing
is occurring, or less reporting of testing, causing the daily cases to drop but
people are still going to need treatment if they contract COVID-19, and active
cases remain elevated. Maybe this partially explains why several US states show
plummeting daily new cases down to low numbers but the active cases curves
continue sloping higher. Something is amiss. It will come to light over time.
The numbers always reveal the truth.
States to watch, in
addition to those on the bad list, for potential BA2 Omicron Subvariant trouble
include New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, North
Carolina, Tennessee, Wyoming, Arkansas, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Vermont,
Delaware, North Dakota, South Dakota and Alaska.
Colorado is ugly and
immediately shares the BA2 potential poster boy status with New York State. As Colorado,
New York and Massachusetts go, so go the other US states. Time will tell.
North Dakota oddly
shows active cases wanting to curl higher but daily new cases are nil. Perhaps
North Dakota is experiencing infections from Canada that has been added to the
bad country list. Canada’s BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave is underway with
tyrannical Trudeau, the boy king, in charge of the show demanding that all
Canucks kneel at his feet each day. And they do.
Adding the 15 bad
boys on the list to the 17 on the bad watch list in the above paragraph, is 32
states that may be experiencing some initial impact from the BA2 bug. The
coming days and week or two will tell the story.
If you only have
time to watch 3 states, watch the daily new cases in New York, Colorado and
Massachusetts for any early indications that BA2 is coming out of the bushes
and crawling through the screen door.
States are not added
to the bad list until the active cases curves curl higher so some of the 17
states may end up on the bad list next time. A rising active cases chart indicates
that the caseloads at hospitals and clinics are on the increase and Nurse
Goodbody will likely have to work some overtime for a few weeks. That’s good
because Keystone can always use a few more red Speedo’s.
Ohio is in fine
shape with daily cases but the CDC’s wastewater map has been showing red
glitter dots (worst level of infection) for the last month. The map shows the
highest levels of infection at Arapahoe, Adams, Boulder and Larimer Counties in
Colorado so this jives with the daily cases that nudge higher. Two methods of
identifying hotspots agree so the CDC and Whitehouse need to focus on Colorado
to find out what is going on there and if it can provide key insight into the
BA2 bug.
The United States is
surprising in that the daily cases are not worse. There are 17 states
potentially about to show BA2 outbreaks but it may be a pig in a poke. If BA2
hits the States like Europe, the jury is out if the daily cases chart pattern
will follow the same big sister/little sister pattern.
At least now there
is a roadmap for the ongoing complexity. A month ago, the world was on the mend
and the US looking good. The outbreaks in Asia linger, however, and the BA2
waves hitting European nations add to the world’s daily new case count.
As explained, many
new nations are added to the bad country list including Canada, Israel,
Slovenia, Greece, Australia, Taiwan and Cyprus so it is important to see how
the daily cases chart patterns evolve for these nations. Canada is key since it
is at the US northern border. The border states including New York, Michigan,
North Dakota, Minnesota, Montana and other northeastern states should remain
vigilant as to what nastiness the Canucks are sending south.
The behavior in
daily cases of Canada, Colorado, New York, Massachusetts and New Jersey are
important in the week ahead because they likely set the table for what
Americans will be eating in April and May.
A few hours ago, the
Whitehouse, FDA and HHS pull the licensure of the GlaxoSmithKline and Vir
Biotechnology Sotrovimab monoclonal antibody treatment in 8 states including
Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, New Hampshire, Vermont
and Rhode Island. The GSK mAb treatment is said to be not too effective against
the BA2 subvariant. It sounds like GSK can solve the issue with a higher dosage
but the treatments are paused in these states.
Where are the
studies on how effective the vaccines are against BA2? Don’t hold your breath. If
a study is provided, it will be a rosy rendition describing vaccinations as the
Second Coming. The Eli Lilly mAb therapy is still available as is the Paxlovid
pills and the GSK mAb treatment is still available simply not in the 8 states
mentioned. The HHS and CDC need to look at the Colorado data to see how the Glaxo
Sotrovimab treatment is doing in this US BA2 hotspot.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 3/27/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's 7-day MA trend line for daily new cases drops to 1.5 million cases per day a great start to Sunday. It is important that the world's cases continue lower and take out the 1.5 million cases per day support from a month ago. Once cases drop to 1.4 million per day and lower it will verify that the downtrend in daily cases for the world is reestablished. This would also hint that the BA2 bug may not be as bad as feared. The world's death rate drops to 4.3K deaths per day. The UK's daily new cases trend drops to 68K cases a day dropping sharply so the top may be in for the BA2 wave (see UK chart above). Tuesday's UK cases are key because they provide the comparison number for the 108K cases peak on Tuesday, 3/22/22. Ireland reports 9.1K daily new cases the most in over 2 months. Scotland and Wales are reporting elevated cases. The infections spread out from the UK. The Channel Islands and Isle of Man also see a bump higher in cases. Cuba reports nearly 1K daily new cases the most in 5 weeks.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 3/27/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The United States reports 15.5K daily new cases for Saturday a low weekend number and today's cases should be sub 15K hopefully in the single digits. Last Saturday was 25.4K cases so the drop to 15.5K cases this Saturday is happy stuff. Likewise, Friday's number is 32.5K cases and last Friday is 35.9K cases again, things are going in the correct direction. Also, the 7-day MA trend line, which smooths out the daily choppy data, is down to 26K cases per day continuing to move lower albeit gradually. Trouble occurs when the 7-day stops moving lower, for now, everything is groovy and looking beautiful, like spending days in Itchykoo Park many years ago. Do you want to get into the weeds with technical analysis and find out the exact conception date of BA2 in the States should it occur? Sure you do. Everyone's a voyeur. Watch the 3-day MA trend line. The daily data is jumpy up one day and down the next so moving averages are used to smooth-out the data and establish a trend line. The 3-day MA smooths out the data but the trend line remains bumpy only averaging the last 3 days of data. The 7-day MA trend line is smoother but you have to wait several days longer to identify the trend (up, down, sideways). The 3-day MA is useful as an early warning signal of potential trouble ahead. On 3/18/22, the 3-day MA for daily cases is 36.4K. Watch the peaks and the bottoms on the 3-day. Next comes a bottom on 3/21/22 at 21.2K cases a lower low than the previous low so all is right with the world. Next comes 3/25/22 when the 3-day MA peaks at 33.4K and this is great news since it is below the prior 36.4K peak. The downtrend in daily cases continues. That brings us to the latest data, yesterday, at 27.5K cases per day for the 3-day MA. The 3-day MA is going to print one or two more lower numbers today and Monday and it is for all the marbles. The 3-day MA number must be below the prior bottom at 21.2K cases, otherwise, the ugly BA2 baby is hatched in the United States. If the 3-day MA places its bottom, say, at 22K or 23K cases per day that is not good enough; it will prove that the downtrend in daily cases is broken. For now, everything is happy. 597 Americans bite the covid dust yesterday it is great to see sub 600 deaths per day another positive development. The Pfizer Paxlovid oral pills and Glaxo and Eli Lilly monoclonal antibody treatments are finally in adequate supplies to save lives. Too bad the GSK treatments are paused in the northeastern states because of questionable efficacy against the BA2 Omicron Subvariant. GlaxoSmithKline needs to figure things out and it sounds like a higher dosage is the easy fix. Regardless, the vaccine-only approach was an unwise strategy over the last year. The US government, under both Trump and Biden, knew that 20% of the population would not take the multiple death prevention shots (vaccines), and lo and behold, 20% do not plan to take the shots. Duh, as Billie Eilish sings. Far more treatment and therapy options, that have been proven effective around the world and in numerous studies, should have been provided to Americans. Instead, many died.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 3/27/22, at 6:00 AM EST: New York's 7-day MA of daily new cases continues higher to 2.8K cases per day; not good. Colorado's 7-day MA for cases is at 1.2K per day with an upside bias. Massachusetts and New Jersey cases are flatlining which is good. All eyes remain on New York State. There are likely Europeans flying into NYC daily bringing BA2. The CDC's wastewater surveillance map shows 2 red dots for New York one in Schenectady County and the other in Duchess. The 2 red dots in northern New York at the Canada border from a few days ago have turned grey. Any wastewater data along the Canadian border is key since the Canucks are beginning their BA2 wave unless the course changes over the next couple days. Interestingly, Ohio has been a sea of red wastewater glitter dots over the last month which shows the highest COVID-19 infection rates in water samples but nothing is going on in Ohio. The latest wastewater map does not show the same amount of red dots anymore in Ohio so that was a false dawn. Some Ohio dots turn blue which is low infection. The CDC should only consider the wastewater surveillance as an extra tool and instead focus on daily new cases and getting their data to update in near real-time. That would be a wise use of money instead of spending it on the wastewater glitter dots. Clearly, as explained above, using the US and New York as examples, the daily new cases are pointing the path forward for any new wave coming along. For forecasting, the daily cases data is far superior than the wastewater glitter dots; it is obvious.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 3/27/22, at 11:30 AM EST: Al Jazeera media reports that Shanghai, China, with a population of nearly 30 million, will go into a two-stage lockdown so universal testing can be performed. Tesla's auto production plant is closed for a few days. Dirtbag Dictator Xi vows to hang on to the zero-covid strategy, if it can be called that, considering the rampant outbreaks in progress and occurring across the communist nation. The eastern half of Shanghai city goes into lockdown now through April Fool's Day, 4/1/22, and it is not a laughing matter. Shanghai citizens must kneel before the CCP and take however many tests their masters demand. The western half of Shanghai will go into lockdown between 4/1/22 and 4/5/22 when it is their turn to kneel before Xi to be poked and prodded, and some in a non-medical way, especially the pretty ones. Such is communism. Chinese folks are smart and fed-up with the zero-covid strategy, complaining that the endless lockdowns, testing and strict COVID-19 measures are killing the economy, businesses and livelihoods. It is the same stuff the United States and other nations experienced. After 2 years of endless lockdowns and restrictions, many Chinese figure it is easier to simply get the virus and then move on with life instead of spending month after month in a zombie existence subject to isolation at the drop of a Mao hat.
Note Added Sunday Evening, 3/27/22: Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, 50 years old, tests positive for coronavirus. How are those shots working out for you, Nafty? Bennett is working from home and says he is feeling well. Bennett has been interacting with other diplomats the last few days including US Secretary of State Blinken. Israel is reporting a steady increase in the BA2 Omicron Subvariant daily cases over the last couple weeks. President Biden's approval rating continues to hit new lows with only 40% or less of the country saying he is doing a good job. A big majority of the US considers the country on the wrong track which is the kiss of death for a political party (think mid-term elections only 7 months away; republicans will likely trounce the democrats in a cake walk unless their overconfidence and sick blind allegiance to loser Trump turns voters away).
Note Added Monday Morning, 3/28/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports daily cases below 1.5 million per day going in the right direction. The world's death rate drops below 4.2K deaths per day so a 3 handle should be coming in the days ahead. The COVID-19 death rate is the lowest in 2 years. The UK, Netherlands and Switzerland show nice pullbacks in daily cases creating the BA1/BA2 big sister/little sister wave pattern. Belgium's 7-day MA of daily new cases rolls over lower an encouraging sight and hinting that the little sister wave may have peaked. France reports 110K daily new cases remaining well below the peak last week but the 7-day MA trend line continues higher. Ditto Italy but unlike France, the 7-day MA of daily new cases rolls over lower a great sight. Thus, Italy and France daily cases may have peaked last week. No wonder the world's daily cases are resuming a downward bias; the cases in Europe are subsiding. Even Germany, mired in BA2 Hell and perhaps XD Variant (deltacron) Hell, reports 162K cases on Saturday and only 81K cases on Sunday, numbers well off the highest cases ever at 306K last Thursday, 3/24/22. Germany alone is pulling down the world's case numbers a fantastic sight to begin the week. Spain reports 3 days of cases at 25K per day, the most in a month. Spain's daily cases chart is moving sideways not yet committing to a BA2 wave higher. Ditto Portugal. It would be nice to see the BA2 garbage trail off and die in Europe. Ireland's BA2 little sister wave for daily cases may be peaking. Cyprus remain a mess with daily cases at record levels. Israel, land of four vaccinations per person, reports daily new cases on the rise with the 7-day MA trend line over 13K cases per day and climbing. How's all those shots working out? At least Big Pharma got rich. Canada's cases subside the last couple days so perhaps its BA2 trouble will only be a blip on the chart with conditions already improving. This would be great news for the US and hint that BA2 may not be a big deal.
Note Added Monday Morning, 3/28/22, at 4:30 AM EST: Shanghai's lockdown receives worldwide attention in the press. China continues claiming only a couple thousand China Virus cases per day. The videos show healthcare and other workers donning protective gowns, face shields, masks and other PPE. Millions of people across red China are in lockdowns subject to endless testing. Millions of Chinese folks are standing in line outdoors in dozens of cities across the commie nation waiting for tests or shots. All this craziness is occurring in a land of 1.4 billion people but the filthy CCP wants everyone to believe there are only a couple thousand new cases per day. The CCP dirtbags are probably not counting the Chinese tossed into concentration camps, er, isolation facilities, once they test positive. Mainland China is blaming Hong Kong for the outbreak. The once great Hong Kong is now a dirtbag communist city serving as China's whipping boy. The world is constantly changing. Thailand continues reporting daily cases over 26K per day at all-time record levels. Australia's BA2 little sister daily cases wave continues higher. South Korea appears to have finally peaked with daily new cases. The 7-day MA trendline is dropping to 349K cases per day still a massive number but it is heading in the correct direction. The South Korean death rate is trying to peak at 350 dead bodies per day.
Note Added Monday Morning, 3/28/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US 7-day MA for daily new cases drops to 24K cases per day getting better every day. Wave 6 is in the rearview mirror so America waits to see if there is a BA2 little sister wave 7 coming. So far, so good. New York's 7-day MA for daily new cases continues higher to 2.8K cases per day; not good. Colorado, New Jersey and Massachusetts are maintaining a sideways bias with daily cases a good thing. Sideways is better than up. Keep your fingers crossed. BA2 may be a pig in a poke in the States. Alaska is reporting a slight uptick in daily cases for a few days. Nothing serious as yet but Alaska has to be watched as a key BA2 indicator. The northern US border states look good with no appreciable rise in cases. Keep an eye on Washington state. 559 Americans are dying per day as per the 7-day MA trend line so perhaps we can go sub 5 hundo this week. America looks good but a hairy eyeball must remain on New York, Alaska, Massachusetts, Colorado, New Jersey and Washington. You do not want to jinx things, and perhaps it is premature to expect the BA2 subvariant to already be wreaking havoc in the United States, but things look real good right now for America. No wonder the majority of Americans believe the pandemic is over. BA2 is a non-issue in the States but is it the calm before the storm?
Note Added Monday Evening, 3/28/22: Tesla CEO Elon Musk says he tests positive for COVID-19, again. The flamboyant Musk had covid in November 2020. He is vaccinated so the breakthrough cases continue. The inside skinny from the pharma analysts is that the FDA will approve the fourth vaccination (booster-booster) for those 50 years and older in the US over the next week or two. The US vaccination rate is down to about 150K shots per day the lowest rate since the shots rolled out in December 2020 and January 2021. Getting a vaccination shot is about as popular as going to the dentist. At least the dentist gives you a free toothbrush and dental floss. The booster-booster-booster shot will probably be next in the Fall. Maybe they will call it the turbo-booster.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 3/29/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The world is at 1.5 million daily new cases per day and about 4K deaths per day. The lockdown in eastern Shanghai, China, is underway. The 7-day MA for daily new cases in several European nations are rolling over a great development but the week will need to play out. Asia is also improving with daily cases peaking for several countries. China and Thailand are the worst. South Korea and Vietnam are slowly improving. The US reports over 1.004 million Americans dead from the China Flu. The US daily new cases are flatlining across the 25K to 27K cases per day range. The sideways move in daily cases may be due to BA2 infections preventing the numbers from falling further. The US reports 16 million active cases that continue dropping. 215 Americans die yesterday with the 7-day MA at 559 deaths per day. The 7-day MA for New York's daily cases climbs above 3K cases per day on a steady upswing. Massachusetts daily new cases are above 1K cases per day moving higher. Alaska reports 312 daily cases yesterday with the numbers starting to bump higher.
Note Added Tuesday Morning, 3/29/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The FDA approves the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna fourth shot, the booster-booster, for anyone over 50 years old. The fourth shot is also available to the immunocompromised in younger age groups that had three shots thus far. People are eligible for the fourth shot 4 months after the first booster (third shot). Some Americans have 4 shots of mRNA coursing through their veins and some have none. Big Pharma is swimming in money since the US government bank-rolls the millions of vaccines. BioNTech issues a dividend for BNTX shareholders and also implements a share buyback. America's wealthy, that own the US stock market, have made out like bandits on the pandemic with big gains in BNTX, PFE and MRNA. Money and inside connections make money in the rigged crony capitalism system. US officials begin vaccinating the migrants crossing the southern US border. The Title 42 law was implemented that can deny entry into the US due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As conditions ease, the people crossing the US-Mexico border will increase and the US government is likely trying to get ahead of the mess. The US expects to inoculate 6K border crosser's per day in April. The COVID-19 cases in children are at the lowest in nearly one year.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 3/30/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The world's death rate drops to 3.97K deaths per day below 4K. The UK reports only 45K daily new cases yesterday and this is the important comparison number back to the peek at 109K on 3/22/22. The UK's little sister BA2 wave for daily new cases is confirmed on the downside. The UK's active cases curve should top out in the days ahead and also roll over. Ditto Switzerland that is now relaxing its covid restrictions. Germany's 7-day MA for daily new cases is rolling over but there remains a mess for another couple weeks or so. The news in France is opposite of the UK. France printed a peak in daily cases for BA2 on 3/22/22 at 181K cases so this Tuesday needs to be below the peak number to prove the wave is rolling over. Nope. France reports an explosion of over 217K cases yesterday. The pain continues and hopefully, next Tuesday's number will be lower (as long as this week does not bring higher numbers). Italy is a bit more encouraging reporting 99K cases matching the 98K cases from last Tuesday's peak. This behavior hints that Italy will likely improve over the coming week. Spain and Portugal is not showing any spike in daily cases as yet. Belgium is reporting lower cases than the BA2 wave peak last Thursday at 16K cases so check this on Thursday to see if the number is lower which proves Belgium is healing, or not. Australia reports elevated cases for its BA2 little sister wave but the cases are likely peeking. China remains in China Virus trouble. A man is filmed on his knees begging a guard to get into a hospital for his cancer treatments but he realizes it is futile because he lives in a communist country. Thailand continues reporting elevated cases.
Note Added Wednesday Morning, 3/30/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The US is at 81.7 million total COVID-19 cases and 1.005 million deaths. 64.9 million Americans have recovered from the virus. The US reports 24K daily new cases yesterday continuing to nudge the sideways 7day MA lower to 26K cases per day. The 3-day MA of daily new cases continues printing lower lows and lower highs but the numbers are only slight beats. Nonetheless, it confirms that America continues to move in the right direction with daily cases in a sideways to sideways down bias. New York's 7-day MA of daily new cases continues higher to 3.1K cases per day but the trend may flatten out. BA2 is not creating problems in the United States as yet. The CDC says 55% of the cases are the BA2 Omicron Subvariant and some areas of the northeast are over 70% of the cases. So far, however, the daily new cases are behaving themselves. America has the advantage that 255 million people (77%) are vaccinated with at least one shot and over one-quarter of the country has had COVID-19 and have natural immunities (and this number is likely far higher). Compare this to China that tried to shield itself with the zero-covid strategy. China uses inferior Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines and there is an extremely low portion of natural immunity in the population since everyone was always locked-down at the first sign of trouble.
Note Added Wednesday Afternoon, 3/30/22: CDC Director Walensky and Surgeon General Murthy testify before the House subcommittee on COVID-19. Walensky says the messaging about the "importance of vaccinations and boosters to save lives" must be reinforced to Americans. Only 29% of Americans have received the booster (third shot). What about the importance of monoclonal antibody (mAb) treatments and Paxlovid oral pills to save lives? A new covid.gov website is available for people to find and access to tests, masks, vaccines and treatments with the click of one button. A mini-scandal surfaces as Walensky is grilled about the CDC coordinating with the teachers union to keep schools closed in 2021. Documents surface showing contact between the CDC and teachers union in developing line by line school guidelines. Welcome to crony corrupt America. Walensky knew the questions were coming because her nervous response shows her reading from notes. The teachers unions are big donors to the democrat party while ignoring the republican tribe. It is a case of the CDC and Whitehouse appeasing the teachers union with a quid pro quo for the big money contributions to the democrat election campaigns. Isn't it sickening? Do you need more proof that the pandemic is based in political science rather than actual science? Walensky says she started the job in February 2021 and there was an immediate need for guidelines for schools. The teachers union's comments helped draft the rules that kids should stay home and learn remotely. When asked what other organizations, unions or experts were consulted for the rules for the schools, Walensky could not provide any. This is not to discredit the great and noble teachers that wanted to return to classrooms knowing that kids are negatively impacted by the inferior remote learning option. These great teachers are silenced by the union. In a nutshell, the CDC, Whitehouse and democrat tribe are in bed with the teachers union and this led to the shutdown of many schools for 2 years. The mini-scandal is not surprising and simply another example of America's corrupt crony capitalism system that is on its last legs.
Note Added Wednesday Evening, 3/30/22: President Biden receives his fourth shot, the booster-booster, and takes the opportunity to ask Congress for more COVID-19 funding. He received the booster (third shot) last September. Biden says the covid testing program will end in June and there is not enough money to supply the booster-booster shots to everyone that is eligible. He is concerned about new variants and the need for funding to develop new vaccines. The jackass US government, under Sleepy Joe, is cancelling orders for monoclonal antibodies. What?! Huh? In other words, Biden is telling Americans that are not vaccinated, that become sick with COVID-19, he does not care if they die. Way to go, Joe. Nice guy. Biden has all his eggs in the vaccine basket a major blunder over the last 15 months. Why not ditch the funding for vaccines? Big Pharma is swimming in money, let them take care of it, and the health insurance companies, and then the monoclonal antibody treatments and Pfizer Paxlovid pills should be heavily stocked. If you contract COVID-19, you can take the pills or receive the mAb infusion treatment. The vaccines do not stop infections or spreading the virus but the scientists say they prevent severe hospitalizations and preventing death. If the vaccines are actually COVID-19 death prevention shots, why not simply use the mAb treatments and Paxlovid to prevent death if someone becomes infected? The people in charge will tell you that they do not want you to get sick in the first place, but considering the waning vaccine efficacy, and fact that the multiple shot series does not stop infection, or virus spread, what's the difference? There are 20 million Paxlovid oral pill treatment courses on order that are not cancelled. Biden proclaims, "Americans are back to living their lives again. We can't surrender that now. We're now in a new moment in this pandemic. It does not mean that COVID-19 is over. It means that COVID-19 no longer controls out lives, that's what it means." The new covid.gov website is promoted that helps Americans find and access tests, masks, vaccines and treatments.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 3/31/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world remains stuck at 1.5 million daily new cases per day due to the ongoing outbreaks in Europe and Asia. Israel is reporting 16K daily new cases per day the highest of the little sister BA2 wave. How's those four vaccines going, Israel? Maybe a fifth will help? France reports 169K daily new cases a lousy number but at least it is below the prior day's 217K cases. France is struggling to contain its BA2 little sister daily cases wave. Italy reports 78K cases below the prior day's revised-lower 93K cases, both lower than the peak BA2 day at 98K cases on 3/22/22. Italy's 7-day MA for daily cases is moving sideways at 1K cases per day an encouraging sign because the data has to flatten before it rolls over lower. Italy is doing a better job at containing BA2 than France, so far. Germany continues struggling reporting 267K daily new cases. Cyprus is a mess reporting 6.5K daily new cases on Monday the most ever. China's lockdowns in several cities continue including Shanghai. The lockdowns are negatively impacting the economy which will ripple through the world's economy. China's purchasing index drops below 50 which means the economy is contracting. Volkswagen is the latest company to suspend operations in China due to the lockdowns. South Korea and Vietnam slowly improve with daily cases. South Korea crosses the 13 million total infections milestone. Vietnam is in good shape with both the daily cases and active cases charts dropping. Laos is lousy reporting 2.7K daily new cases only outdone by 2.8K cases last Thursday the most ever. Vietnam infected Laos. Just when it looked like Australia was getting a handle on its BA2 little sister wave, 67K daily new cases occur yesterday the most for the Omicron Subvariant wave. New Zealand is on the mend with both the daily and active charts moving lower. South America remains relatively unaffected by BA2. Suriname cases have retreated after a mini spike. Ditto French Guiana.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 3/31/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US sadly crosses the 1.006 million deaths grim milestone. America reports 31K daily new cases yesterday and the 7-day MA is at 28K cases per day still moving lower albeit by a hair. Damn. The 3-day MA for US daily new cases prints its lows at 22.5K cases on 3/14/22, 21,096 cases on 3/21/22, and 21,123 cases on 3/29/22. Bummer. It is splitting hairs between the last 2 numbers but very important from a technical analysis standpoint since the last drop in the 3-day MA occurs with a higher case number. The 3-day MA does not make a lower low so the downtrend in US cases is likely ending. This may be the actual conception of the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave in America. The 3-day MA is now on its way back up and will dictate whether the downtrend is ending, or not. The 3-day MA peaks at 36.3K cases on 3/18/22 then prints 35.4 cases at the next peak on 3/25/22. You should know the drill by now. It is great that the 3-day MA continues to make lower highs but the big test is in a couple days when the next peak in the 3-day MA is reported. It must be below the 35.4K cases to maintain the sideways to sideways down bias for US cases. If the 3-day MA moves above 35.4K cases, that will be one higher low and one higher high and tell you that the downtrend in US cases is over. US daily deaths are down to 579 per day a positive development considering that 2.7K to 3.6K Americans were dying per day in late January early February. The mAb treatments and Pfizer Paxlovid pills are working their magic especially for unvaccinated folks but Biden is cancelling the mAb orders stabbing the unvaccinated folks in the back. Such is life in a politically corrupt system. Biden wants everyone to buy into vaccines and nothing else even if it kills you. New York is serving as the potential test case for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave and reports 3.4K cases yesterday; not good. On the positive side, there were 2 days last week when the numbers were higher. New York's 7-day MA continues higher at 3.1K cases per day. There is a concentration of cases in Manhattan where all the wealthy folks hobnob. The highest number of infections are occurring in the 25 to 34 years old New Yorker's. They are the partiers and the folks on the move each day interacting with many people. When you are old, you sit home and watch television. Oh no. Massachusetts cases pop to 1.4K yesterday the most in 6 weeks. New York and Massachusetts are the focus to see if the BA2 bug wreaks havoc in America, or not. For now, the US continues looking good except for the discussion on the 3-day MA above and the higher cases in New York and Massachusetts.
Note Added Thursday Morning, 3/31/22, at 11:00 AM EST: CIA Director Burns tests positive for COVID-19. Burns was with President Biden yesterday but wearing a mask. Burns is triple vaccinated. Breakthrough cases are as common as the spring daffodils. A study in the New England Journal of Medicine says ivermectin does not prevent hospitalization. It took 17 idiot scientists to come up with the conclusion. Their study only lasted 3 days and it was on people already sick with covid for 7 days. That is to late for ivermectin to be useful. They know it. People that understand ivermectin's effectiveness would have told the 17 dolts that would have been the conclusion of the study before they wasted their time. They just want to discredit ivermectin. The medical profession has lost serious credibility during the pandemic some of which will never be recovered and will permanently hurt society. Ivermectin has been used all over the world with great success. The corrupt United States disses ivermectin and all other treatments during the pandemic because vaccines cannot be approved for emergency use if other treatments exist. Ivermectin is a preventive and early treatment for COVID-19. If you wait until a person is completely infected and far along in the illness, ivermectin is not going to help at all as the stupid study shows. The focus was on hospitalizations. Deaths is the key and if taken preventively and within the first couple days of the infection, ivermectin is a proven treatment for COVID-19 that prevents serious illness and death. It appears the study was set up to fail. The so-called scientists should have consulted with the doctors in the Great Barrington Declaration for guidance on creating a proper research study for ivermectin. It should have been in drug trials 2 years ago but ignored because Trump and Biden put all of America's eggs in the vaccine basket that is now up to four shots with the efficacy continuously waning. The pandemic remains a confusing and chaotic mess because of the compromised and corrupt people making the decisions. Speaking of which, Lord Fauci discusses lockdowns in and interview and says, "You know, I don't think we're ever going to be able to determine what the right balance is." After over 2 years, this is the words of wisdom from Fauci. In addition, the celebrity doctor that never saw a camera he did not like, proclaims, that the US may never know if the lockdowns were "worth it." Thanks a lot buddy. Fauci was unequivocal in the beginning of the pandemic sending the country into lockdown destroying lives, jobs and careers, not to mention the emotional and mental damage, now admitting that he never had a clue. Why does Fauci still have a job? Senator Paul, Fauci's nemesis, says the chief doctor for the pandemic continues to stonewall over providing information on the gain of function research at the Wuhan Labs he and Collins funded through EcoHealth. America is corrupt on all levels like all other nations on Earth. 21 US states are currently suing the government to remove the mask restrictions on public transportation. The current mask guidance for trains, planes, busses and terminals ends 4/18/22 so CDC Director Walensky will either announce an end to it or continue it another month.
Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 3/31/22: The CDC lifts restrictions on cruise ships after 2 years. The notice warning people against traveling onboard cruise ships is removed form the CDC website. The CDC says passengers should be vaccinated and consider their own risk tolerance. The cruise liner's rules, guidance and vaccine requirements should be referenced by anyone planning an ocean voyage. A $10 billion COVID-19 aid package is nearing a deal in Congress.
Note Added Friday Morning, 4/1/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world's 7-day MA trendline for daily new cases drops to 1.4 million lower than the 1.5 million cases per day low in early March. This is encouraging news and means many countries in Asia and Europe must be defeating their BA2 Omicron Subvariant little sister waves. World deaths drop to an average of 3.8K deaths per day. France had the big spike in daily cases on Wednesday to 217K cases per day but yesterday the cases subside to 169K cases per day. Italy reports 73K daily new cases and its flat 7-day MA for daily cases starts to curl ever so lower. Perhaps France will follow Italy's lead. Malta, however, reports 760 cases yesterday the most for the BA2 wave. Germany continues reporting elevated cases at 267K yesterday but at least it is off the 300K cases per day high a few days ago. Italy says its state of emergency restrictions will be lifted in May. Greece remains a mess with 29K cases reported on Tuesday the most for the BA2 wave. Greece, Italy, France, Spain and Portugal are European travel destinations the first three are dealing with their BA2 subvariant little sister waves while case counts remain low in Spain and Portugal. It will be interesting to see if BA2 spreads to Spain and Portugal, or, if it stops at France, Italy and Malta. Cyprus reports 4.3K daily new cases remaining elevated but at least it is below Tuesday's 6.5K cases the most ever. Malaysia and Singapore open their cross border. People flock in mass wanting to catch-up with family, loved ones and friends. However, the 2 nations are mismatched. Both show daily new cases dropping, a good thing, but Malaysia's active cases curve is moving lower proving the nation is on the mend and Singapore's active cases are still rising. It probably would have been better to wait a couple more weeks to open the border but the natives were likely restless. Malaysia may get the short end of the stick becoming reinfected from Singapore but since the daily cases are dropping nicely, the border opening can have a happy ending. China continues struggling. The west side of Shanghai is now in lockdown with over 16 million people confined to their homes. The lockdown on the eastern side of Shanghai is extended for another 9 days in selected areas. Buildings are locked down if the infection rates are high. Citizens cannot leave Shanghai without a negative covid test. 239 daily new cases are reported for Taiwan the most for the BA2 wave and highest cases in 9 months; not good. China and Taiwan are a concern because there is very little natural immunity in the populations since the two nations (screw communist China; always refer to Taiwan as an independent country to the ire of dirtbag Dictator Xi that says Taiwan belongs to China) have shielded themselves from the world over the last couple years. Also, the vaccines in use are not as good as the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna mRNA shots in the US so time will tell how bad the outbreaks progress.
Note Added Friday Morning, 4/1/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US crosses above 1.007 million total deaths a grim milestone. 0.3% of Americans (1/330) have died from China Virus; 1 in every 330 US citizens. Johns-Hopkins reports 981K total US deaths from COVID-19. The CDC COVID-19 Data Tracker is at 977K deaths. The IHME data is at 974K deaths. The US death rate is at 582 cases per day. Despite over 1K deaths occurring in America every couple days, the numbers remain stagnant for J-H, CDC and IHME. What does that tell you? The Biden administration, democrat tribe and these data outlets are all lying in bed together. All these data sources should be reporting independently but in actuality are likely looking at each others spreadsheets. The deaths used to track well with Worldometer and the other 3 sources, but over the last few months, the numbers are diverging. There is far more confidence in the Worldometer data since it updates in semi real-time no more than a 24-hour delay. Compare this to the CDC, that should be ashamed of itself with all that money and manpower, that reports data on a 3-day to a week or more delay. That is incompetence considering the technology available. The US reports 35K daily new cases yesterday with the 7-day MA moving sideways at 27K to 29K cases per day; not good. We need the 7-day MA to drop not move sideways and definitely not move higher. The US will know in the days ahead if the BA2 Omicron Subvariant will be an issue in the US, or not. New York and Massachusetts are two key states that serve as the poster boys for the BA2 wave. Oh no. New York reports 4.8K daily new cases a terrible development the most in 6 weeks. The 7-day MA for New York daily new cases is heading higher to 3.3K cases per day; not good. New York is in a clear uptrend albeit the case numbers remain relatively small. This is likely the conception of the BA2 wave in the United States. Let's hope it plays out as a minor bump instead of a big inverted V pattern for daily cases. Massachusetts reports 1.6K daily cases yesterday the most in 6 weeks; not good. The 7-day MA trend line for Massachusetts daily cases is up to 1.1K per day on the increase. As Jack Nicholson warns, 'here's Johnny, come out, come out wherever you are, BA2 wants to play'. New Jersey reports 1.5K daily new cases on the upswing. It looks like BA2 is starting to bite in the US. That sucks. Rhode Island reports 303 cases yesterday the most in 6 weeks. Maryland's daily cases begin inching a tiny bit higher. California reports 5.4K daily new cases yesterday the highest in 2 weeks. Florida reports 2.4K daily cases the most in 5 weeks. BA2 is now an unwelcome house guest in America but hopefully it is easier to get it to leave than Uncle Bob that is staying in the guest room downstairs for the last couple weeks.
Note Added Friday Morning, 4/1/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The CDC says Title 42 at the southern border will end on 5/23/22. This is the law where immigrants can be prevented from entering the US due to COVID-19. The democrat tribe wants the mass of bodies to cross the southern border believing that most will vote for their party in the future. The democrat tribe, Whitehouse, CDC, NIH; it's all the same. The southern border is going to be chaos from late May through the end of the year. Craziness. The United States will not be able to handle the sea of bodies crossing daily from Mexico into America. Sleepy Joe knows what he is doing and what will happen this summer. He simply does not care because his allegiance is to the democrat tribe rather than the United States. Same-o with King Donnie. Trump's allegiance is to the republican tribe and narrative rather than doing what is right for the country as a whole. it is easy to understand why the rigged and corrupt crony capitalism system is in its last throes.
Note Added Friday Afternoon, 4/1/22: The CDC COVID Data Tracker shows US hospital admissions for covid down to 1,600 per day far off the peak at 23K admissions per day in January at the peak of omicron. US hospitalizations are down to 12,696 as per 4-day old data well off the peak of 145K hospitalizations in January 3 days after admissions peaked. Hospitalizations lag the admissions by 3 to 4 days. If admissions move higher, or lower, for a day or two, you will likely see hospitalizations pop higher, or lower, respectively, in a day or two after that. A drop in hospitalizations from 145K to 13K in the last 10 weeks is a -91% retreat. ICU beds for COVID-19 patients are also way lower under 2,000 across the US. Triple-vaccinated Nurse Goodbody is happy now that work is less hectic. Goodbody has more time on her hands so she is spending it trying to convince Keystone to get his first shot, but she says she may as well talk to the wall. Hello wall. 77% of the US population is vaccinated with at least one dose. Over 25% of Americans had China Virus and have natural immunity. The US has to be at herd immunity. 45% of the fully vaccinated (2 shots) people have taken the booster (third shot) which means 55%, over half, of the vaccinated folks are blowing-off the third shot. 30% of Americans are triple-vaccinated.
Note Added Friday Evening, 4/1/22: The CDC releases a study claiming that the risk of myocarditis is greater in people that have been infected with COVID-19 rather than those that received the Pfizer/BioNTech or Moderna mRNA vaccines. How convenient that every study released by the CDC has the same-o message; vaccines good everything else bad? Most Americans are on to the game as the credibility of the medical profession during the pandemic is in tatters. People want reliable non-biased information and are not going to find it anywhere except here; the pandemic bible. The study is a data review over the last year. Spreadsheets of numbers can provide many different interpretations; just ask a mathematician or data analyst. The study only focuses on the first 2 shots, which the CDC still calls fully vaccinated even though they are on the fourth shot currently, but the third shot causes an elevated risk of myocarditis and pericarditis; another convenient omission from the research. Maybe they should look at triple vaccinated young men? The greatest risk of the heart inflammation is with boys and young men. The study says 40 healthcare systems data was tallied but where is each located? Did the CDC put more weight on data, say, in the southern states that had far lower vaccination rates? The myocarditis trouble, which is rare, typically begins after the second shot and more so after the third. Educated parents are likely not taking their sons in for the third shot since they are well-informed and young men may also be avoiding the booster due to the myocarditis concern. These are likely a couple of the reasons that only 30% of the fully vaccinated (2 shots) Americans have taken the third shot. A positive aspect of the study is that doubling the time between the first 2 shots from 4 weeks to 8 weeks can reduce the occurrence of myocarditis. Do not be stupid; never try to fool a mathematician; the truth is always in the numbers. The goal of the study is likely to encourage people to keep receiving shots of the mRNA serum. US technology corporations Meta Platforms (Facebook), Microsoft and Apple have reopened their offices in California. Apple continues requiring a booster shot for employees but Meta ditches the booster shot only requiring the first 2 shots for employees to return to the office. Don't you love the so-called 'science' that is different at Meta than Apple? The pandemic is political science. Trump's republican tribal narratives took precedence over the COVID-19 science in 2020 just as Biden's democrat tribal narratives dictate the science in 2021 into 2022. King Donnie cared more about his reelection campaign than the pandemic just as Sleepy Joe now shifts his focus toward the midterm elections which will likely sway his covid decisions going forward. The CDC study says the 'overwhelming majority' of Americans developing myocarditis fully recover but numbers would be more credible than words. Isn't it sickening watching the crony capitalism system become more corrupt daily?
Note Added Friday Evening, 4/1/22, at 7:00 PM EST: Speaking of corruption, the WHO, that lies in bed with the CCP, is trying to invoke an international treaty among the 194 member nations where they would control the response and dictate controls for future pandemics. Screw this. The jackasses at the medical institutions continue highlighting misinformation in social media as the reason for the chaos and confusion during the pandemic without accounting for their own directives that have misled the public. For example, when the vaccinations rolled-out in late 2020 and early 2021, people were told to get vaccinated and they would have nothing to worry about because the vaccines would stop infections and transmission of the virus. Wrong. Never trust people that will not admit their mistakes such as Lord Fauci or Queen Walensky who are often wrong but never in doubt. The WHO, with its allegiance to the CCP, covered-up the pandemic as it broke out in 2019 and early 2020. The World Health Organization is the last outfit that should have anything to do with dictating protocols to sovereign countries. Forget the treaty nonsense. It is the WHO employees trying to insure their jobs remain in place into their retirement. The misinformation and conspiracy theories do not have the impact on society that is touted. Think about it. When someone tells you to jump off a bridge, do you do it? Of course not. Most people read the crazy stuff on the internet because it is entertainment, nothing more, nothing less. If people believed the stuff in mass, you would not have 256 million Americans, 77% of the country, vaccinated with at least one shot. Taking away the minors that are not eligible for shots, the percentage is pushing 80% or more.
Note Added Friday Evening, 4/1/22, at 10:00 PM EST: Vanity Fair releases a highly critical article of Dr Fauci and Peter Daszak at EcoHealth Alliance. The article chastises the NIH saying it was an organization that was supposed to prevent pandemics rather than having a hand in starting one. Fauci and Collins provided taxpayer funds to EcoHealth that then directed money to laboratories in the US and Wuhan, China, for dangerous virus research. Funds were provided to labs depending on how much Fauci and his friends were wined and dined. It is no surprise in crony corrupt America. On Fox News (republican-run media), host Laura Ingraham interviews Senator Rand Paul, Fauci's nemesis, discussing natural immunity. Comments are made that Fauci has played dumb about the contribution of natural immunity to achieving herd immunity until recently. A videotape from 2004 is shown where Fauci is asked about natural immunity during a flu outbreak. Fauci proclaims unequivocally, "The best vaccination is to get infected yourself. It is the most potent vaccination." This is 100% true. What happened to Fauci in recent years? Blinded by power and greed? The Fox News comments are partially correct. Fauci often mentioned natural immunity and herd immunity during 2020 and 2021. He was grilled early last year about his flip-flopping on different percentages to reach herd immunity. Fauci clarified the situation early last year proclaiming that 70% to 85% of the population needs vaccinated, or have natural immunity from prior infection, to reach herd immunity. This was the gospel. He touted this talking point often into April 2021. At that time, in late April 2021, President Biden set the goal of trying to vaccinate 70% of adults by Independence Day 7/4/21. This is when things changed. Biden, to boost lagging interest in vaccinations, said the only way to get to the herd immunity goal is having 70% or more of the population vaccinated. This is the exact time, late April into early May 2021, that Fauci stopped mentioning natural immunity all together. Perhaps he did not want to contradict his boss, Sleepy Joe. Obviously, the narrative changed to encourage people to get vaccinated and treat natural immunity as if it does not exist. Fauci no longer said the herd immunity goal of 70% to 85% is based on both vaccinations and natural immunity. This is exactly when the mentioning of natural immunity was dropped from the messaging by Biden, Fauci and the entire Hee-Haw gang and the new inference was that herd immunity can only be achieved if 70% or more of the US is vaccinated. Fauci never mentioned natural immunity's contribution to herd immunity again until recent weeks. This is all documented in the Coronavirus Chronology; the pandemic bible. Keystone is intimate with these details since Article 41 dated 5/4/21 was deleted from the Google platform a victim of cancel culture. To this day, the algorithms bury the Coronavirus Chronology on social media to prevent Americans from reading the truth. Such is crony capitalism; it exists because of human corruption and non-transparency. Keystone explained the vaccination and natural and herd immunity situation in detail back then, as summarized above, and it rubbed the Whitehouse the wrong way because they thought it would deter people from taking the shots. Keystone told Google and all the other cronies to go to Hell. Since when is truth banned? That is when you know the country is officially lost. There are multiple back-ups of the Coronavirus Chronology since it is such an important document for future decades so Google's desire to hide the truth failed. Keystone reposted Article 41 and it remains up to this day. Fauci's change in commenting on natural immunity occurs exactly in the April/May 2021 time period. Consult the Coronavirus Chronology archives for this time period, specifically Articles 38 through 41 to understand the topic in more detail. America's crony capitalism system is falling apart because the democrat and republican political tribes place their needs, narratives and desire for control above what is good for the United States. The examples are endless. Open your eyes.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 4/2/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The world crosses the 490 million total coronavirus infections milestone. 6.2 million earthlings have perished from China Virus. The world reports 1.39 million daily new cases yesterday below the 1.4 million infection level not seen since late December. Perhaps Asia and Europe are turning the corner with their outbreaks. Not in China. Lockdowns continue. Some Chinese are committing suicide due to the isolation. The CCP will be glad that there are less elderly mouths to feed. The communist's are separating parents from children when they test positive since the concentration camps, er isolation facilities, are set up independently for adults and children. Parents are having difficulty accessing communication with their children once separated; such is communism. China is lying about the COVID-19 death numbers as anecdotal evidence verifies deaths but the CCP does not report them. Are you surprised? If so, you are stupid. Communists lie; get with the program. China has lied about the pandemic since the summer of 2019. Homes for the elderly are getting hit hard with infections what all other countries on earth have already handled. It is left to the reader to wonder if covid is a convenient excuse for the CCP to kill off the old folks that are a burden to the communist society. In communism, an individual is always expendable for the greater good of the sick commie state. Dirtbag Dictator Xi will likely take advantage of the pandemic and kill off a bunch of the elderly (via neglected care) using covid as a convenient excuse. Hong Kong is on the mend but about 150 people per day continue dying mainly the elderly. Thailand reports over 28K daily new cases the worst day of the pandemic. 92 Thailanders die yesterday the worst day since last October. China and Thailand are the two worst covid-infected nations in Asia. In Europe, France remains a mess but Italy is likely topping-out with daily cases for the BA2 Omicron Subvariant wave. Germany's daily cases are slowly subsiding but they have a ways to go as the total death rate crosses the 130K grim milestone. Israel shows signs of potentially topping-out with daily cases for the BA2 wave.
Note Added Saturday Morning, 4/2/22, at 9:00 AM EST: The US is knocking on the door of 1.008 million total China Virus deaths as the data at Johns-Hopkins, CDC and IHME say what deaths, we don't see that many deaths? They remain at 975K to 980K deaths. The US reports 30.5K COVID-19 cases yesterday below the 37K on Thursday. This is important because the Friday data is typically the worst of the week; an encouraging sign (over 40K cases would be expected). The 7-day MA for daily cases is flatlining at 28K cases per day which is better than moving higher. The 3-day MA is coming up for its next peek, currently at 32K cases, below the 36K cases from the last peek, so far. The next couple days will prove whether the 3-day MA makes a higher high, or not. If not, that will be great news hinting that the BA2 outbreaks potentially starting on the East Coast may not have much oomph. Let's see. New York reports 3.8K cases yesterday less than the big 4.8K cases on Thursday an encouraging sign but it is only one day. The 7-day MA for New York's daily cases rises to 3.3K cases per day sporting the upward bias. Massachusetts reports 1.6K cases yesterday the highest for the BA2 wave with the 7-day MA trend line at 1.2K cases per day with an upward bias. Rhode Island reports 246 daily new cases the most for the potentially new BA2 wave. Next week is big for the United States since it will show if the BA2 cases are breaking out into a new wave 7, or not. It is important and good news that the Friday case numbers slip below Thursday's for the US and New York. It would be expected to be the opposite. Fingers are crossed that the BA2 Omicron Subvariant will be a pig in a poke for America. We should know the answer this time next week.
Note Added Saturday Afternoon, 4/2/22: Daniel Craig, the James Bond movie actor, tests positive for COVID-19 delaying the start of the Macbeth play on Broadway for at least one week his latest project. Other actors test positive so Broadway is a covid-infected nest. Everyone is vaccinated under New York's strict edicts and patrons have to be masked. How's all that working out for you? The waning vaccine efficacy creates breakthrough cases galore. Craig is resting comfortably proclaiming, "By the pricking of my (covid) thumbs, something wicked this way comes."
Note Added Sunday Morning, 4/3/22, at 8:00 AM EST: Shanghai continues reporting rising cases despite the lockdown over 400 daily new cases in the city yesterday. The communists are counting the infections differently than other nations. They pull out the asymptomatic cases which are in the thousands so the so-called 'confirmed' case numbers will be small. Never trust a filthy lying communist (CCP). Shanghai residents are frustrated and angry over subpar and delayed food deliveries and lack of access to medical services. Chinese folks are locked up like animals in their apartments. Of course they are; they live in red China, a communist state. Residents must test for COVID-19 daily or a CCP agent will tap on your door. Kids that are separated from parents due to positive test results are crying all day long for Mommy and Daddy. They are learning what it is like to be a communist at a young age. A CCP bigshot, Sun Chunlan, knows that breeding social unrest is not wise especially within a nation of 1.4 billion people, and considering the dynasty history, she promises immediate improvements in the Shanghai situation and elsewhere. China is experiencing all the headaches and problems most every other nation has already worked through. Humorously, although the pandemic is obviously a deadly serious matter, Sun follows up her happy talk saying that China must stick to the zero-covid strategy. The is because dirtbag Dictator Xi does not want to look like he failed so after omicron works through the country killing off a bunch of elderly Chinese folks (which he is happy about), he will declare that the zero-coivd strategy works. Are you beginning to understand the way the world works and the deeds of humans? South Korea's daily cases and deaths charts are dropping, finally, so good on them. They still have a tiger by the tail but going in the right direction. South Korea is easing its social distancing rules which may be premature. Thailand remains a nightmare reporting the highest daily new cases ever the last 2 days. 96 Thailanders die yesterday another record high for the current BA2 wave and the most since last October. Vietnam is recovering fast. Australia reports an average of over 57K cases per day ramping higher for the BA2 wave. Down Under has a big problem but in America there isn't any news coverage of the Aussie's current covid dilemma.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 4/3/22, at 9:00 AM EST: In Europe, Germany continues its slow painful covid recovery. Something went terribly amiss in Germany over the last couple months. Maybe everyone has fake vaccination cards? Fresh from the jackass department, a man in Germany accepted multiple shots of different vaccines to provide valid vaccination cards to people that did not want the jabs. Idiots like him were prevalent in the US last year. Humorously, now he can sit in jail and be used as a test subject by the medical folks to see if anything happens to his body after dozens of injections. France's cases continue higher while Italy's and Belgium's cases move sideways. The UK and Ireland are recovering with daily cases but still have work to do. Wales and England are still reporting high infection rates. Cyprus struggles but may be topping-out with daily new cases. Greece remains challenged with elevated cases moving sideways. Israel's daily cases appear to be peeking. Brazil is at the 660K deaths grim milestone and about to cross 30 million total COVID-19 cases but South America in general so far is escaping the BA2 Omicron Subvariant.
Note Added Sunday Morning, 4/3/22, at 10:00 AM EST: The US reports 13K daily new cases a nice low number and Sunday will be better. The importance of the 31K cases on Friday cannot be overstated. That case number should have been over 37K to maintain an upswing in the potential new BA2 wave since Friday's are the most robust data, but it did not; good news. The week ahead tells the tale for BA2 in America. Less than 500 Americans die yesterday from China Flu, 10 per state on average, which means many states have zero deaths. The 7-day MA of US covid deaths is at 505 deaths per day ready to sport a 4 handle. The pandemic news is good the best since last summer's short-lived joy. But, let's see how the potential BA2 poster boy states are doing. New York reports 3.3K daily new cases now above 3K cases per day for 6 days running. The 7-day MA for New York's daily cases is 3.4K cases per day heading higher; not good. The 3-day MA of daily cases prints a higher high which means the uptrend in cases is likely to continue; not good. It is a key week ahead for New York. Broadway is a covid-infected nest again with BA2 starting to bite. Mayor Adams is monitoring the uptick in cases no doubt concerned over the potential new wave. This worry clouds his decision to maintain the mask mandate on children 2 to 4 years old; lunacy. It is pure jackass. The COVID-19 death rate among children is nil. Masks cause serious educational, social, emotional and mental damage to the kids and the tradeoff is not worth it. Don't force those toddlers to try and keep masks on their faces, moron. Adams is another bought-off corrupt politician in America's failed crony system. They all are. New Jersey's 7-day MA for daily cases is at 1.2K per day heading higher. The Massachusetts 7-day MA of daily new cases moves higher at 1,045 cases per day. In the week ahead, New York, New Jersey and Massachusetts will tell you if the BA2 bug is going to wreak havoc in the US, or not. Let's hope not.
Note Added Monday Morning, 4/4/22, at 4:00 AM EST: It's a variant Monday; a pandemic Manic Monday. In the British Medical Journal, the UK says the BA1 Omicron Variant (original B11529 Botswana/South Africa Variant (omicron)) and BA2 Omicron Subvariant are forming a new recombinant dubbed "XE." It is a mutation of the two omicron strains. Here comes the ambulance-chasing WHO proclaiming that the XE recombinant variant, that they know next to nothing about thus far, may be more transmissible than the first two highly contagious omicron pathogens. Isn't that a fine how do you do on a Monday? The new XE variant may account for as many as 10% of the current cases but UK scientists are unsure. XE is discovered on 1/19/22 and there are over 600 cases identified in the UK. The WHO does not take it too seriously as yet since it is not mentioned as a VUM on their variant web page. The XD variant, known as deltacron, that was discovered in France, is a variant under monitoring, but XE is not listed. XD was discovered in January just like XE. The XD variant is the combination of the B1617 India Variant (delta) and the B11529 Botswana/South Africa Variant (omicron); hence, deltacron. The original B11529 omicron strain is now also called BA1 (BA.1) and BA2 is the Omicron Subvariant. BA1 and BA2 now create the XE love child no one wants to love. Both XD and XE variants are not creating severe worry or concern at the moment, however, the XD bug is likely the reason that Germany and France have difficulty shaking off the latest waves of cases. Not to be outdone on variant Monday, China, the commie nation where the pandemic originated during 2019, says a new variant is discovered in Suzhou, a city about 40 miles inland from Shanghai. China, or more correctly the lying CCP, says the new variant does not match other variants circulating in China. Who trusts China? China and the WHO screwed the world in early 2020 conspiring to downplay the coronavirus when they knew it was deadly. This gave time for the dirtbag CCP to buy up every virus-fighting drug, mask, PPE, gown, ventilator and other medical equipment available around the world. Worse, the human filth then put infected people on airplanes knowing the virus would spread around the world. Sickening, isn't it? That's what communists do. China likely figured that if their whole country is going down at the hands of the virus, the rest of the world better go down as well (China would be in a weakened state and fear takeover). If the dirtbag commies would have contained the outbreak at the start, owning up to the likely Wuhan Lab leak that occurred during risky gain of function research, they could have dramatically altered the course of the pandemic over the last 2 years for the betterment of humanity. Instead, the filthy CCP always chooses the path of deceit and lies and the WHO provides the blessing.
Note Added Monday Morning, 4/4/22, at 4:30 AM EST: China's outbreak continues. Over 13K cases are reported for 2 consecutive days across China but the numbers are higher. 9K cases are reported in Shanghai a record. China claims most cases are asymptomatic. The entire city of Shanghai and its nearly 30 million people are now in lockdown. The CCP is implementing a mass testing plan on the entire population of greater Shanghai and bringing in thousands of medical professionals to assist with the gargantuan task. The Sinopharm and Siniovac vaccines are junk. On the mRNA vaccine front in China, the communists claim that two drugs are approved for trials and two others are already in clinical trials. Hong Kong's daily new cases are down to 6K cases per day well off the peak at over 78K daily cases. Hong Kong folks, mainly the elderly, keep dying at a pace of 131 dead bodies per day from the China Virus. Dirtbag Hong Kong executive Carrie Lam does not plan to seek a second term. She likely figures that she did enough damage already. A successor will be named in May. It doe not matter who is appointed since it will be another communist puppet from the mainland and under control of the CCP. Some retirees say they 'want to spend more time with the family' but Lam likely wants to spend more time under the desk favoring dirtbag Dictator Xi. Lam destroyed Hong Kong turning it into a dirtbag commie city. She does not care like all the other greedy humans in the East and West because she will live like royalty in her remaining years. Would you sell out fellow humans for your own gain? If so, you have a future in politics, and perhaps in Hell.
Note Added Monday Morning, 4/4/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Thailand remains at record cases levels over 27K cases per day. It's ugly in Thailand with the death rate increasing incrementally each day. Australia's average cases continue higher at 57K cases per day. In Europe, Belgium is improving with daily cases starting to finish its smaller BA2 little sister wave. Germany's daily new cases are making headway lower so better conditions are on the come. France may be peaking with its daily cases. Italy, too. The XD variant bug may be sneaking around central Europe still creating mischief. Israel is in better shape on the downside of its BA2 little sister wave of daily new cases. Both Europe and Asia are improving. It shows in the world's daily new cases that are down to 1.289 million infections for yesterday under 1.3 million. Worldwide deaths from COVID-19 are below 3.6K per day.
Note Added Monday Morning, 4/4/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports the 7-day MA for daily new cases dropping to 24K cases per day. The trend was flat at 27K to 28K for several days but now takes a dip lower; great news. America continues improving but you know the drill by now; how is NY, NJ and MA doing? New York reports 3.4K daily new cases another day above 3K with the 7-day MA at 3.5K cases per day; not good. The BA2 bug is going to bite New York State if the cases this week start running over 3.5K and 4K and higher sending the 7-day MA skyward. Conversely, BA2 will be all bark and no bite if the cases remain at 3.4K to 3.5K and lower. If cases in New York fall below 2K per day, that will certainly be a welcome sight and point to an extremely bright future ahead. Europeans flying to the US and bringing along BA2, and perhaps XD and XE. Fortunately, new variants do not appear more deadly, so far. New Jersey reports 1K cases yesterday a touch below the rising average of 1.2K cases per day but it is Sunday data that is typically lower. Massachusetts, like New Jersey, hints at a sideways posture but a couple days of weekday data are needed to see what is going on. After over 2 years, you keep expecting to see the negative, but the United States is looking bueno right now and only getting better.
