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Saturday, October 1, 2022

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Chronology Article 90 Published 10/1/22; US Wave 7 is Ending; Asia Improving; Europe Worsening; New Global Hotspots Are Germany, France, Italy, Austria, Slovenia, Poland and Czechia; Germany Imposes Strict COVID-19 Rules; 1 in Every 5 New Covid Cases Worldwide Are in Germany; Over One-Half of World’s Covid Cases are in Germany, France, Italy and Austria; World Reports 623 Million Total China Virus Cases and 6.55 Million Deaths; US Reports 98.2 Million Total COVID-19 Infections and 1.085 Million Deaths; New COVID-19 Variant Named BQ11 (BQ.11.); 5 Variants in Play Worldwide Are BA5, BA275, BA46, BF7 and BQ11; Former Beatles Drummer Ringo Starr Tests Positive for COVID-19; US Daily New Cases Drop Below 30K Per Day; COVID-19 Outbreaks in Germany, France, Italy, Austria, Slovenia and Czechia Are Worsening; Singapore Begins New Infection Wave Identifying New BA210 (BA.2.10) Subvariant; Dr Fauci Receives 5th COVID-19 Vaccination Shot After Catching Covid Twice; 1 in Every 3 New COVID-19 Infections Worldwide Are in Germany; New Infection Wave Begins in UK











By K E Stone (Keystone)

It was hoped a month ago that Article 90 would be the final publication of the Coronavirus Chronology since the pandemic would be in the endemic phase. No such luck. In fact, Europe takes a turn for the worse and is once again sucked down the covid rabbit hole. On the positive side, Asia is recovering although communist China’s pandemic status is a constant mystery due to their state-run media. US wave 7 is ending in the United States.

The WHO will provide a fancy proclamation in the weeks ahead that will announce the official transformation of COVID-19 from the pandemic to the endemic phase but we are not there yet. The Coronavirus Chronology uses data, charts and mathematics to accurately explain and forecast the ongoing COVID-19 saga for the last 33 months.

The medical talking heads and politicians have not provided any guidelines on assessing the transition from the pandemic to the endemic phase. How will we know that COVID-19 is endemic rather than a pandemic? As usual, Keystone has to identify a logical set of metrics to verify that the pandemic is finished and the endemic phase begins. The metrics were presented in Article 89 and may be tweaked here and there over time.

The Coronavirus Chronology provides eight metrics to identify the endemic phase; two for the world and six for the United States. The suggested metrics for identifying the end of the pandemic phase and start of the endemic phase are; (1) the world’s daily new cases dropping below 360K per day, (2) the world’s daily deaths dropping below 1,300 deaths per day, (3) the US daily new cases dropping below 10K per day, (4) the US active cases dropping below 730K, (5) the US hospitalizations dropping below 10K COVID-19 patients, (6) the US deaths dropping below 180 souls per day, (7) the CDC Community Transmission map turning all green and yellow, and (8) the public moving on with life accepting that it is time to live alongside the virus like the seasonal flu.

How are we doing so far? 2 for 8 so there is work to be done. The global death rate is below 1.3K souls per day comparing back to the start of the pandemic in 2020 so this metric receives a check in the endemic column.

Also, Americans have moved on with life so public acceptance that the pandemic is over is another check mark in the endemic column. There is a lot more work ahead to earn the endemic status, especially with Europe sliding down the covid rabbit hole again. The other 6 metrics need pulled into the endemic column.

The world’s daily new cases chart is shown above. The world’s daily cases were in a downtrend for 2 months but the cases bump higher last week and the 7-day MA is flattening-out at 433K cases per day. Lousy news. The 7-day MA briefly slipped below 400K cases per day a few days ago but jumps higher again due to the covid trouble expanding in France, Germany, Italy and other European nations. It sucks.

To prove that the pandemic is transitioning into the endemic phase, as stated above, the world’s cases need to drop below 360K cases per day to take out the February 2021 low and compare back to 2020 during the first months of the pandemic. There is work to do with the cases at 433K per day and the new China Virus outbreaks in Europe are making the goal more difficult to achieve.

The world’s daily new deaths chart is shown above. The global death rate drops to 1,186 souls per day trending lower for 6 weeks a great development since saving lives is always the key. In addition, the drop below 1.3K deaths per day compares back to the start of the pandemic in March 2020 and meets the criteria above for the endemic phase.

The sick man of Europe steps into the covid rabbit hole again and is stumbling across the yard trying to regain his balance. France, Germany, Italy, Austria, Slovenia and Czechia are seeing a substantive rise in covid infections in recent days. The pop in daily new China Virus cases stops the downtrend in world cases sending that chart sideways.

European authorities say 14 of 27 European nations are experiencing rising cases currently; not good. Data also shows that the elderly are making up the bulk of the sick patients.

The epicenter of the European outbreak is France and Germany so that is the logical starting point to assess the charts. France’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Sacrebleu!

France reports over 51K cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA is up to 43K cases per day rising sharply with a parabolic (vertical) move on the table. The new infection wave is verified by the rising active cases chart for France a lousy development for the global COVID-19 pandemic. Several European nations will be added to the bad country list below.

France reports 74K cases on Tuesday, 9/27/22, the peak for the new infection wave thus far. It was lousy news because the Tuesday cases are the most robust of the week and the 74K cases are well above the prior Tuesday. The French need to pray for the daily new cases to come in below 74K on Tuesday, 10/4/22, to provide hope that the infection wave will be a short-lived outbreak so they can get back to the cafés to enjoy wine, baguette and cigarettes. Daily cases over 74K in France on Tuesday would be a disaster and signal that Europe is in major trouble.

Germany’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Oh no. Thwack. Bad news. Germany reports over 96K daily new cases on Thursday, 9/29/22, the most in nearly 2 months. The beer festivals must have been a blast with lots of hugs and kisses from the beautiful maidens in their dirndl dresses. Unfortunately, COVID-19 is in heaven also, along with the humans, enjoying those hugs and kisses.

The 7-day MA for Germany’s daily new cases is parabolic at over 62K cases per day more bad news. Germany’s active cases chart has also gone parabolic. It is bad news for Europe and the world. It is key to know the subvariant breakdown in France, Germany, Italy and Austria but the information is not available. Elderly folks are getting hit the hardest by the new infection wave. Germany crosses the 150K total China Virus deaths grim milestone.

Italy is in the same boat as France and Germany with rising daily new and active cases charts. Ditto Austria. These charts are all the same showing new infection waves underway and worsening.

Slovenia’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Slovenia? Who cares about Slovenia? Well, for starters, the Slovenians. The world has to pay attention as well since there may be a new subvariant or other problem at play in Europe. Slovenia’s 7-day MA for daily cases rises to 2.2K per day continuing higher.

Slovenia’s daily cases chart is interesting since it displays a double-hump pattern like the US did with wave 7a that was BA2 and wave 7b that was/is BA5. It is important to know the subvariant breakdown in Slovenia right now for that second hump since it may tell a lot about the covid bug impacting Europe. Czechia’s cases are on the rise with its chart similar to Slovenia.

Belgium and Switzerland are on watch to see if the COVID-19 infections are spreading. Belgium’s daily new cases chart is shown above. Belgium reports 3.8K cases for Thursday the most in 7 weeks and the 7-day MA is up to 2.4K cases per day and rising into a new infection wave.  The numbers remain tiny but tiny numbers grow into big numbers. Belgium’s active cases move higher from 47K to 58K over the last 3 weeks.

Switzerland displays an upward bias in daily cases but for now the snow-capped nation is okay. Netherlands is also in the neighborhood and cases remain very small but show an upward bias like Switzerland. Place the UK in this group as well with rising daily new and active cases albeit tiny numbers.

Europe is not looking good entering the last quarter of the year (October, November, December) especially facing an energy crisis this winter due to Russia Dictator Putin’s heinous war against Ukraine.

The European map (the map image is taken from the ‘Nations Online Project’ on the internet and annotated by Keystone) is shown above with the new COVID-19 infection zone highlighted covering a major swath of the continent. Covid is spreading along the major road and train routes across central Europe. The new infection waves across the pond will dictate the coronavirus path forward for the rest of the world.

Getting back to the United States, the US daily new cases chart is shown above. The US reports 37K daily new cases for Thursday a great number maintaining the downward path of the 7-day MA trendline to 39K cases per day. A lot of work remains for America to attain the 10K cases per day that will signal the endemic phase. The US daily cases peak in late July so the downtrend is 2 months strong and continuing. US wave 7 is ending but taking its good ole time.

The US active cases chart is shown above. Active cases drop to 2.1 million one-half of the peak 7 weeks ago.  It is great news but will be better when active cases drop below 2 million and 1 million. The July 2021 low is 730K active cases so taking out this number would signal the endemic phase.

Perhaps some leeway should be given to the active cases goal of 730K cases since long-covid comes into play and some patients simply never get better. Therefore, a better judge that the endemic phase is here may be when US active cases go sub 1 million. We can adjust the metrics for the endemic phase as the days roll along. Keystone is figuring it out in real-time so mental flexibility is required.

The US daily deaths chart is shown above. It Is sickening to watch the American bodies stack up month after month as Sleepy Joe Biden spends his time on windmills, solar cells and glorified golf carts (EV’s). The rich and powerful people do not give a sh*t since it is the poor and old dying of covid. 277 Americans continue dying from COVID-19 each day.

It is shameful that the Biden administration is incompetent and unable to decrease the US covid death rate. Biden was elected to handle the pandemic but he has mismanaged the virus response just like Trump. Politicians are most worried about the next election and staying in power so the business of the people always plays second fiddle. The only people that are happy with the China Virus death rate in America are the casket makers and funeral directors.

With wave 7 ending, the US death rate will continue moving lower without help from Biden and the CDC. The US covid death rate needs to drop below 250 souls per day to take out the July 2021 low. It will be a great day when the death rate remains below 250 bodies per day. Further, to compare COVID-19 to the seasonal flu, about 180 deaths per day and lower are needed.

People will calculate many different numbers to compare COVID-19 to the seasonal flu to judge if the China Virus is endemic, but remember, the bulk of the seasonal flu deaths occur in the 6-month period from October through March. Scientists anticipate that COVID-19 will also become seasonal in nature but this will have to be confirmed over time.

About 180 deaths per day, and hopefully far lower, from now into springtime 2023 will set COVID-19 on the endemic path forward. Other people providing comparisons to seasonal flu say the covid deaths need to drop below the 120 to 160 deaths per day range. Any dip into the 120K to 180 deaths per day range will signal success going forward especially a drop below 120K deaths per day if that would ever be attainable going forward.

US hospital admissions continue lower verifying the demise of wave 7. US COVID-19 hospitalizations are also coming down nicely at 21K patients and dropping. The data is 3 days old so the numbers are even better. The Whitehouse and CDC are in an interesting position with US wave 7 ending and hospitalizations dropping because if the good news is touted, people will not bother with the new booster shot.

As per the metrics above that are judging when the endemic phase begins, US covid hospitalizations need to drop below 10K patients to take out the April 2022 lows. The current number of patients at 21K need cut in half to signal the endemic phase, however, like the active cases discussion above, some patients will not recover over time and remain sick adding to a baseline of patients. Perhaps a US covid patient load of 10K to 15K would be low enough to support the move into the endemic phase.

The US vaccination rate sneaks only a hair higher over the last 2 weeks in contrast with the parabolic uptake in the new booster shots in early and mid-September. The shots are at nearly 500K jabs per day so the Whitehouse and CDC should be happy if they can maintain this pace. Many Americans have moved on from the pandemic and vaccines are not even a thought nowadays.

Other folks that chose not to be vaccinated, about 1 in 5 Americans, are obviously not planning to take the shots going forward. Parents have done their homework and a majority thinks that the vaccines pose a greater risk to the child than getting covid (and the studies support this conclusion).

In addition, the people that hide under their bed each day for fear of catching covid, and wear masks when they are alone in a car with the windows up, sprinted to the doctor’s office to receive the new Fall booster jab as soon as they were available. This activity will likely not continue since these folks were first to get the boosters.

For some it was the fourth shot, the booster-booster, and others took their fifth jab, the booster-booster-booster, but the CDC says the new Fall booster is good enough for anyone regardless of their booster status and it should just be called the booster shot. The folks most afraid of covid accounted for the sharp take-up in shots early in the month so this pace is likely not sustainable.

Many Americans know people that have had adverse conditions from the shots. Keystone related the story of a loved one, a breast cancer survivor for 30 years, that got the booster shot early this year (third shot) and experienced swelling in the lymph nodes and other scary complications. She is okay now but obviously wants nothing to do with a mRNA shot again.

Then there is the 4-shot club that gets COVID-19 as if they are not protected at all. We all know people that are vaccinated and got sick with covid. Dr Fauci, President Biden, First Lady Jill and Pfizer CEO Dr Bourla are all members of the 4-shot club that have used Paxlovid and have had COVID-19 twice. It’s funny. Bourla is mixing up the mRNA in the back room with Fauci bottling and selling the elixir from the back of the covid carnival wagon. Biden is the ringleader of the vaccine-only operation bringing in billions in profits for Big Pharma. Who’s  getting a cut of that action?

For the reasons above and more, the Whitehouse and CDC have an uphill battle selling the new Fall booster shots. Vaccination kiosks will appear at the local, college and professional (American) football games this Fall trying to coax Americans to roll up their sleeves. The fans, however, will be more interested in nachos, fries and beer.

The nurse at the vaccination site will be interrupted from her boredom now and then by a Casanova that does not want a jab instead he is trying to put the moves on the pretty healthcare provider. Tumbleweeds roll by the vaccination sites and crickets can be heard in the background.

The pharmacies are active trying to convince people to take the jabs. Walgreens Pharmacy continues running an ad targeting children training them to embrace vaccinations. It works with the toy commercials that target kids that then ask Mommy and Daddy for that toy so why not vaccinations and medical treatments? Is this the society you desire?

The CDC Community Transmission map is a beautiful shade of green. Holy smokes. That was not expected. America is lit up like a beautiful Christmas tree which means happy times ahead. Keystone is surprised since the CDC data, charts and maps are always bringing up the rear time-wise. The data is up to date within 2 to 4 days so good on the CDC for providing a timely map update.

Only 3% of the country is the high-risk orange color. That is fantastic news. 23% of the US counties are the medium-risk yellow color and 74% of the counties are the low-risk green color. What a great improvement as US wave 7 is shown the door.

The idea behind the map is that if you live in a green area, masks are not needed for indoor settings. If in a yellow area, a mask may be advisable indoors and it is best to talk to your doctor for advice, and if in the high-risk orange area, the CDC recommends wearing a mask if in a crowded indoor space.

Most Americans have gone maskless for a few months including unvaccinated folks. Of course, every American is respectful to someone that is masked; they may not be comfortable with the virus as yet or they may have a weakened immune system perhaps due to cancer treatments. No one makes fun of them; everybody goes about their business.

The folks that do not want to wear masks do not care if others wear masks but the people that wear masks want everyone to conform to their thinking and wear a mask. It will be good for the country to move beyond this petty garbage. Numerous studies show that the detrimental effects and impacts of wearing masks outweigh the benefits. COVID-19 is not Ebola.

One of the metrics to identify the endemic phase is the CDC Community Transmission map turning all green and yellow and it is only 3% away from that goal great news for America. Again, the Whitehouse and CDC are faced with a dilemma because how do you tout the good news with wave 7 ending and things getting back to normal when you want people to roll up their sleeves for the new booster shots?

The new jabs are going to be a tough sell. The talking heads will give all the credit to vaccines and tell people to keep taking the jabs but that is a flimsy argument when 3 hundo Americans or more continue dying every day from COVID-19 all year long. Wasn’t the shots supposed to protect against serious illness and death? Half the covid patients in the hospital are vaccinated. The new Fall booster vaccine vials may end up in the pharmacy’s sale and bargain bin by Christmas.

The USA has the greatest number of total coronavirus cases in the world at 98.2 million. India is next with 44.6 million total virus cases. France, Brazil, Germany, South Korea, UK, Italy, Japan, Russia, Turkey, Spain, Vietnam, Australia, Argentina, Netherlands, Iran, Mexico, Taiwan, Indonesia and Colombia round out the top 21 worst nations for total COVID-19 cases. Over the last 10 days, Taiwan leapfrogs Indonesia and Columbia to appear on the list.

COVID-19 has infected 623 million people worldwide. China (the CCP) owes reparations to the world for its sick heinous crime against humanity. 6.55 million people on Earth are dead from the China Flu a grim statistic. 603 million global citizens have recovered from the virus.

Something that stands out in the numbers because of watching them for over 2 years is that the moves higher are incremental these days definitely in keeping with the vibe that the pandemic is transitioning into the endemic phase.

96.8% (603/623) of the people that become infected with COVID-19 recover in a reasonable time frame. The percentage has a slight upward bias over the last few weeks great news for the planet.

Worldwide, 1.1% (6.55/623) of the people that are infected with covid die; 1 in 95 (hit the 1/x button on your calculator). This number was 1.2% for over a year so slippage to 1.1% for the last few months is great news (less people are dying after they become infected compared to prior waves).

8.1% (623/7670) of the world’s population of 7.67 billion people have been infected with coronavirus; 1 in every 12 people on earth. Picture an egg carton with a dozen eggs and the eggs represent people. In every egg carton that you pick up and open for the world, one egg is cracked representing 1 in every dozen people on earth getting infected with China Virus over the last 2-1/2 years.

0.09% of the world’s population (6.55/7670) died from the pandemic so far; 1 in every 1,171 people on earth died from China Virus over the last couple years.

In the United States, 98.2 million people have been infected with covid. 1.085 million Americans are dead. 95.0 million Americans have recovered from coronavirus. This equates to 97% (95.0/98.2) of US citizens recovering after becoming infected with COVID-19. Those are good odds. Most of the COVID-19 deaths are old or fat people and heaven help you if you are both.

In the US, 1.1% (1.085/98.2) of the people infected with COVID-19 die. 1 in every 90 US citizens that are infected with coronavirus die. 0.3% (1/330) of Americans have died from COVID-19 which is 1 in every 306 Americans over the last 2-1/2 years.

29.8% (98.2/330) of the American population of 330 million people have been infected with covid. That is less than 1 in every 4 Americans (3.4 to be exact so call it 2 in 7). It is likely 60%, or even 80% or more, of the US population has been infected with the omicron and prior bugs and have some level of natural immunity.

The United States has 16% (98.2/623) of the COVID-19 cases in the world. 1 in 6 people that become infected with covid on the planet are Americans. The US vaccination program made an impact month’s ago, but not so much in recent months.

The US accounts for 16.6% (1.085/6.55) of the China Flu deaths in the world. 1 in 6 people that die from COVID-19 around the world are Americans. 1-1/2 years ago, it was 1 in 5 so vaccinations helped.

The Keystone Speculator Coronavirus Infection Rate Model, the Keystone Model for short, is a simple model that predicts when the active cases (bell-curve) chart will flatten-out and roll-over lower. The active cases chart is the ‘flatten the curve’ chart that represents the maximum stress and strain on the medical system and healthcare workers. Once the active cases chart rolls over forming the bell shape, the virus is being defeated and healthcare workers can breathe easier.

The worldwide pandemic phase is trying to end but just as the trouble subsides in Asia and Russia, new COVID-19 outbreaks occur in Europe. Coronavirus wants to linger for a while longer.

The Keystone Model is very effective and reliable in predicting the peaks in active cases for countries and US states as shown over the last couple years. The bad country list below, however, is expanding again due to covid trouble in Europe. The US state bad list is gone since wave 7 is ending and Americas is on the mend.

Another 10-day period passes and more data and information become available to push the China Virus story forward. The Coronavirus Chronology identifies the real-time hotspots occurring around the world and within the United States. The chronology serves as a historical document that will be referenced for decades to come by those that want to experience the entire pandemic as it unfolds in real-time.

The Coronavirus Chronology compilation of articles will be published in the future by Amazon and others and distributed internationally. This is Article 90 in the Coronavirus Chronology that provides real-time information for historians, teachers, students, journalists, economists, market participants, corporate executives, financial managers, Wall Street, doctors, nurses, medical personnel, first responders, psychologists, psychiatrists, counselors, neurologists, researchers, public officials, news organizations, traders, investors and politicians studying the COVID-19 pandemic both domestically (USA) and internationally.

This ninetieth article is published on Saturday, 10/1/22. The Coronavirus Chronology series of articles are the only real-time source of information available continuously chronicling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic from early 2020 into and through 2022; it is the China Virus Bible.

Readers live and breathe the pandemic, the worst in a century, as it occurs in real-time, experiencing the daily virus zeitgeist, good or bad, devoid of political correctness. This is not revisionist history-telling. It is the raw pandemic truth and human emotion occurring, recorded and chronicled in real time, without any allegiance to political parties or media sources. The information is direct and unapologetic. A chronology can be written no other way.

All 90 Coronavirus Chronology articles are archived on The Keystone Speculator blog. The last couple articles are linked below if you want to remain up to speed with the never-ending COVID-19 saga that may actually be ending (moving into the endemic phase).

The eighty-eighth article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 88 Published 9/10/22; US Wave 7 is Ending; All 50 States DisplayFalling Active Cases (Bell-Curve) Charts; Fall Booster Shot Campaign is Off andStumbling with US Vaccination Rate Lowest Since Jabs Started in December 2020;US Reports 97 Million Total COVID-19 Infections and 1.075 Million Deaths; WorldReports 613 Million Total China Virus Infections and 6.5 Million Deaths;World’s Daily COVID-19 Cases Drop below 500K Per Day Not Seen Since November2021; Worldwide Pandemic Transitioning to Endemic Phase Like the Seasonal Flu;Remaining Global Covid Hotspots Are China, Hong Kong and Russia; “Covid’sOver”; President Biden Unable to Stop Hundreds of Americans Dying from COVID-19Each Day but Proclaims He Will Cut Cancer Deaths in Half; BA46 SubvariantFlexing Its Muscles but Not Posing a Threat As Yet; Long-Covid an OngoingConcern; Senator Pal and Dr Fauci Battle On Capitol Hill Over Secret RoyaltyPayments, COVID-19 Vaccinations and Lack of Scientific Interest In NaturalImmunity; COVID-19 Cases Rising in France and Germany Threatening a NewOutbreak in Europe; PRESIDENT BIDEN DECLARES PANDEMIC IS OVER BUT AT THE SAMETIME PROCLAIMS THERE IS STILL A PROBLEM WITH COVID??; Bus Carrying QuarantinedPeople in China Crashes Killing 27Injuring 20; Fauci Warns of Potential BA275Threat Ahead

The eighty-ninth article is the Coronavirus (COVID-19)Chronology Article 89 Published 9/20/22; US Wave 7 Downtrend Continues; FauciWarns that BA275 Subvariant May Create Fall Infection Wave; Metrics AreProvided to Assess and Verify the COVID-19 Pandemic to Endemic Transition; PresidentBiden Proclaiming that the Pandemic is Over Stirs Controversy; US Reports 97.6Million Total COVID-19 Infections and 1.079 Million Deaths; World Reports 618Million Total China Virus Cases and 6.5 Million Deaths; Remaining Global CovidHotspots Are China, Hong Kong and Russia; COVID-19 Cases Rising in France butPop May Be Temporary; New COVID-19 Variant Identified and Named BA5217 (BF7);Europe Likely Beginning New Infection Wave with France at Epicenter; US CROSES1.08 MILLION COVID-19 DEATHS GRIM MMILESTONE; US Vaccination Rate IncreasingDue to Booster Shots; Hong Kong Loses Status as Asia’s Top Financial Center toSingapore Due to Lingering COVID-19 Problems and the CCP Takeover; New “Khosta”Virus Appears in Russia; Pfizer CEO Bourla Tests Positive for COVID-19 a 2ndTime; German Chancellor Scholz Tests Positive for COVID-19; New Infection WavesWorsen in Europe with COVID-19 Cases Rising in France, Germany, Italy, Austria,Slovenia, Czechia and Poland

The Worldometer web site tracks coronavirus (COVID-19) around the world and its link is provided. Many charts in the coronavirus series of articles are provided courtesy of Worldometer and annotated by Keystone. The CDC COVID Data Tracker is another excellent source of information. The Worldometer, Johns-Hopkins and CDC data track each other well.

New outbreaks are occurring in Europe so just as the global pandemic was subsiding, earthlings are slapped in the face with more COVID-19. The active cases curves are moving higher (hospitals are seeing an increase in COVID-19 patients) for the nations below.

Poland (Seventh Wave)
9/20/22 New Case Peak Date
10/1/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days) (active cases continue higher)
 
France (Eighth Wave)
9/27/22 New Case Peak Date
10/8/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Italy (Eighth Wave)
9/27/22 New Case Peak Date
10/8/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Slovenia (Seventh Wave)
9/27/22 New Case Peak Date
10/8/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Taiwan (Second Wave)
9/28/22 New Case Peak Date
10/9/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Czechia (Sixth Wave)
9/28/22 New Case Peak Date
10/9/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Austria (Eighth Wave)
9/28/22 New Case Peak Date
10/9/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Belgium (Ninth Wave)
9/29/22 New Case Peak Date
10/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
Germany (Eighth Wave)
9/29/22 New Case Peak Date
10/10/22 Projected Active Case Peak Date (based on 11 days)
 
China continues to struggle through lockdowns and never-ending mass testing. Dictator Xi is to convene a meeting of the dirtbag CCP on 10/16/22 to name himself dictator for life. Xi will want things to go well so he will crackdown harder on the Chinese folks over the next 3 weeks.

Hong Kong is taken off the list since its active cases chart is dropping and starting to form the coveted bell shape. Taiwan’s active cases, however, continue higher. Russia is taken off the bad list because its active cases have flattened and curled over to the downside heading lower.

Europe dominates the list and the trouble may only escalate going forward. Switzerland, Netherlands, UK, and Israel require close watching over the coming days. UK and Israel have shown an increase in cases in recent weeks but the numbers are tiny and now moving sideways, and the active cases charts are not yet moving higher. Perhaps there remains the slight hope that the trouble in Europe is a minor blip in cases that will quickly retreat. Wishful thinking?

As long as Europe remains in trouble, the global pandemic remains a pandemic. There are 433K cases per day in the world.  96K are in Germany. 73K in France. 50K in Taiwan. 45K in Japan. 40K in Russia. 38K in Italy. 37K in the US. 31K in South Korea. 13K in Austria.

Percentage-wise, the most COVID-19 cases occurring in the world are in Germany at 22% of the new global cases.  1 in every 5 new covid cases worldwide are in Germany.

France accounts for 17% of the new covid cases. Taiwan 12%. Japan 10%. Russia 9%. Italy 9%. US 9%. South Korea 7%. Austria 3%. These 9 nations account for nearly all the infections in the world right now. They are the major culprits and COVID-19 hotspots.

Fortunately, Japan and Russia are on the mend with cases dropping not rising. Ditto the United States and South Korea. Taking the European nations, Germany, France, Italy and Austria account for 51% of the new covid cases. Over one-half of the new China Virus cases on Mother Earth are in these 4 European countries.

As mentioned above, the US list bad state list that typically appears here is gone and hopefully no longer needed. All 50 states show active cases curves that are dropping so America is on the mend from wave 7. It is fantastic news.

The chronology is going to use the 8 metrics explained above to assess the pandemic to endemic transition. Let’s recap. (1) The world’s daily new cases should be below 360K per day to claim endemic status now at 433K per day. (2) The world’s daily new deaths should be below 1.3K per day and they are so this is a win for the endemic phase.

(3) For the United States to be in the endemic phase, the daily new cases should be below 10K cases per day and are now at 39K per day. (4) US active cases should be below 1 million cases now at 2.1 million. (5) The US COVID-19 death rate should be below 180 bodies per day now at 277 souls per day.

(6) To declare the endemic phase in America, US hospitalizations should drop below 10K patients and are now at 21K. (7) The CDCCommunity Transmission map should turn completely green and yellow to usher in the endemic phase and 97% of US counties meet these criteria with only 3% remaining in the high-risk zone. (8) Lastly, the public needs to accept that the pandemic is over and this is already in the endemic column since most Americans have resumed their normal lives and ignore the COVID-19 news.

There is much work to do to declare the endemic phase. A lot depends on Europe so all eyes are focused on Germany, France, Italy, Austria, Slovenia, Belgium, Poland and Czechia as the European infection map displays above. The COVID-19 pandemic rests on the shoulders of the sick man of Europe. Good luck.

A new variant is discovered in the UK called BQ11 (BQ.11.) The BQ11 bug accounts for less than 2% of the cases in the UK but scientists are monitoring it closely. Since BA5 is being given the bum’s rush out the back door, the COVID-19 stage is set for the Fall/Winter production starring BA275 (Centaurus), BA46, BF7 and BQ11. Hopefully, it is not a Greek tragedy.

The latest data from the CDC shows the following breakdown of the infections in America; 81% are BA5 and this number is moving lower, 13% are BA46 moving higher, 3.4% are BF7 moving higher and 1.4% are BA275 moving higher. Last winter and the move from 2021 to 2022 resulted in the heinous US wave 6 which was the BA1 omicron bug.

This year as we start into the last quarter (October, November, December), scientists are most concerned about a barrage of bugs infecting folks (BA5 remnants, BA46, BA275, BF7 and BQ11) rather than one specific strain such as BA1 during wave 6 last year. Humorously, all those covid bugs are on the B team so how good at transmission can they actually be?

It is critically important to know the variant breakdown for the countries in the European infection zone to get to the heart of what is going on. Keystone has looked high and low for information but cannot find anything worthwhile. It will be fascinating to see what bugs are at play in the European infection zone.

Dit … dit …. dit …. BULLETIN …… Germany is enforcing new COVID-19 rules as authorities realize the new infection wave is underway and increasing. Europe is finally getting the memo. Of course, Germans are mad at the new rules especially because the edicts will interfere with beer drinking. The German government says 96,367 cases are reported over the last 24 hours jiving with data reported above.

German Health Minister Karl Lauterbach is taking a cautious approach and proclaims that all train passengers over 14 years old shall wear a FFP2 mask (equivalent to the N95 masks in the United States). Masks must be worn on all local buses and trains. Airlines will not require masks to match other international guidelines.

Germans must wear masks in nursing homes, hospitals, doctor’s offices and any medical setting. Proof of a negative covid test must be shown to enter the facilities. Further restrictions are planned if the outbreak worsens. Germans are angry because Oktoberfest events may be in jeopardy. It is an unforgivable tragedy if the men cannot receive hugs and kisses form the lovely ladies in their cute dirndl dresses.

The fate of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic is in the hands of the sick man of Europe and he wants to go to Oktoberfest.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/2/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 423K daily new cases for Friday and the 7-day MA is at 419K cases per day moving sideways. If the world's cases move higher this week above 430K per day and increasing, that means Europe is falling apart with covid infections running amuck. If the world's cases bump along at 420K per day and roll over lower, that means Europe's new infection waves are short-lived bumps that will quickly resolve. Everyone wants the latter outcome but will it materialize this week? The global COVID-19 death rate drops to 1.1K bodies per day moving lower. Russia crosses the 21 million total covid infections milestone. 15% of the Russian population has been infected with China Virus or 1 in every 7 Ruskies. The number seems far too low. The data out of Russia and China is always suspect. Czechia crosses the 4.1 million total COVID-19 cases milestone. 38%, call it 40%, or 2 in every 5 Czechia citizens, have been sickened by China Virus.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/2/22, at 3:30 AM EST: Europe is the global covid hotspot. Germany reports 74K daily new cases for Friday and the 7-day MA is parabolic at 62K cases per day. France reports over 48K cases  for Friday and the 7-day MA trendline is heading higher at 45K cases per day. Italy crosses the 22.5 million total infections milestone and, like Czechia, 40% of Italians have been infected with COVID-19 over the last 33 months. Italy reports 34K cases for Friday and the 7-day MA is up to 31K cases and rising. 37%, call it 40%, or 2 in 5 new covid cases worldwide, are in Germany (Scholz), France (Macron) and Italy (Meloni). Central Europe is a covid-infected nest. The peak days for the new infection waves are on Tuesday's so the 10/4/22 data is critical for assessing Europe's path forward (and the case numbers will be known on Thursday morning). The world is watching the sick man of Europe coughing and wheezing because his fate impacts the entire planet over the coming weeks and months. It is critical to know what the variant breakdown is in Europe to see what bug is causing all the trouble.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/2/22, at 3:45 AM EST: The US reports only 28K daily new cases for Friday a great number since Wednesday's and Friday's have been the highest numbers for each week. The weekend numbers will be low so life is good and US wave 7 is dying. The 7-day MA drops to 35K cases per day heading towards the 2-handle. With Friday's cases at 28K and lower numbers expected for the weekend, even through Monday, the situation is bueno for America. US active cases drop to 2.05 million so come on baby, a 1-handle is going to occur this week and further solidify the bell shape on the active cases chart above. 250 Americans continue dying each day from China Virus as Sleepy Joe Biden sleeps.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/2/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world is on the mend from COVID-19 and on track to transition from the pandemic to endemic phase. However, Europe is the covid snake in the woodpile threatening to ruin the positive path forward. Hopefully, the sick old man of Europe will recover quickly so the planet can celebrate the end of the pandemic phase by year's end. The next 2 weeks in Europe will tell the covid story for the world going forward.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/2/22, at 7:00 AM EST:  Moderna is running a television ad encouraging people to take the COVID-19 vaccine. Pfizer has been running ads for its vaccine. Walgreens Pharmacy is running the most television ads trying to bring people in to take the shots and buy other stuff while they are there. Everyone wants a piece of the vaccine pie.

Note Added Sunday Afternoon, 10/2/22: Arizona Cardinals (American) football player JJ Watt, only 33 years old, is playing today but says his heart went into atrial fibrillation (A-fib) on Thursday and it was shocked back into rhythm. Watt and healthcare professionals downplay the event even calling the procedure routine. The Cardinals are 100% vaccinated for COVID-19 as per team rules. The conspiracy theorists are already talking in the background suggesting the vaccines may have something to do with Watt's mini-scare. Maybe Watt had an adverse effect from the COVID-19 mRNA vaccines? The shots circulate spike proteins in the body that are likely active months longer than the scientists originally expected. If a cluster forms in the heart tissue, it can create myocarditis and other heart complications. Ditto if the spike proteins cluster in the lung or brain tissue. The doctors and scientists will have to figure things out over time. As for Watt's condition, nah, it's probably just a coincidence, right?

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/3/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 303K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 411K cases per day providing hope that the European outbreaks may not get out of control. Germany's data has stalled as the 7-day MA for daily new cases points straight higher at 62K cases per day. France reports 47K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA continues higher at 45K cases per day. Italy reports 33K daily new cases for Saturday pulling the 7-day MA trendline higher to 32K cases per day. Austria reports 13K cases pulling its 7-day MA up to 11K cases per day. Slovenia's infection wave continues higher at 2.3K cases per day. Ditto Czechia at 2.6K cases per day and rising. Switzerland has not updated its data since Thursday and Belgium not since Friday. Nations around the world play games consistently reporting daily cases but when a new infection wave hits, some countries will stop the data flow. Then after 2 or 3 weeks, when compromised leaders know the infection wave is subsiding, the data will be reported daily again. All countries on earth are corrupt to the core it is only a matter of degree. The new COVID-19 infection wave continues across central and western Europe. The daily new cases are flatlining at small numbers for Spain and Portugal so they are succeeding in keeping the German and French covid stink away from their borders, for now. There are several news stories in the UK reporting that hospitals are filled and the covid patients are increasing. The daily cases for the UK, however, remain small numbers and continue a flattish posture. The UK requires close watching but for now, the island nation is not experiencing a new infection wave like central European nations.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/3/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The United States reports only 16K cases for Saturday and Sunday should be even lower. The chariot's a comin', good news. The 7-day MA drops to 31K cases per day on the verge of a 2-handle. Case numbers like 16K will pull the 7-day MA lower. Things are looking good for America. Cases trail lower and kids are back in school for a month or more already so three is no spread from in-person learning. If Europe can get their act together and beat back the new infection waves in quick order, the world may slide into the endemic phase before the holidays. Yee-haw. Hurray! The US active cases drop below 2 million to 1.98 million cases. Sure, it is great news that the numbers keep falling and the bell shape is in full view verifying that wave 7 and the virus is being defeated, but more importantly, the drop in active cases means people are recovering and feeling better so they can return to work and normalcy. Long-covid will probably be the story in 2023.Therefore, it is great to see the active cases continuing to drop sharply lower because it hints that long-covid may not be as big a deal as feared. 198 Americans die from COVID-19 on Saturday. It is good news the deaths are under 2 hundo, but the 7-day MA remains above at 225 deaths per day. Since wave 7 is clearly ending, the deaths should begin dropping at a faster rate, again, for the umpteenth time, without any help from the Biden administration. No one cares since it is only old, disadvantaged and poor people dying of China Virus. Welcome to America.

Note Added Monday Afternoon, 10/3/22: The CDC continues to relax covid travel restrictions and is doing away with the country travel advisory list. The pandemic is being defeated or held down in Asia and the America's. Europe is the covid headache right now and its fate cannot be predicted until Thursday morning when the daily new cases for the euro nations for Tuesday are known. Dr Fauci is receiving criticism on social media after it is revealed by a New York Post (republican-run media) article that he and his wife, Christine Grady, banked $5 million in net worth during the pandemic for a total of nearly $13 million in net worth. Fauci is the highest paid federal employee. He is not worth it. While Dr Phony Fauci was stuffing his pockets with payola, he and King Donnie Trump imposed the unconstitutional lockdowns and other covid restrictions on Americans.

Note Added Monday Evening, 10/3/22: Vaccine commercials are becoming more frequent on television and the radio. Pfizer and BioNTech are promoting the shots telling folks to 'stay up to date on your covid vaccines'. They are talking their own book trying to grab as much of the covid profit pie as possible. US military leaders are concerned over the readiness of the armed forces due to the ongoing COVID-19 vaccine mandates imposed by President Biden. Some of the best soldiers and pilots remain sidelined or were discharged over the vaccine mandate garbage. An increasing chorus of military leaders are calling for an end to the covid vaccine mandate especially since Biden said the pandemic was over. In New Orleans, a federal appeals court is hearing a case on whether Biden overstepped his authority when ordering all federal contractors to take the COVID-19 vaccines. Sleepy Joe Biden said he would never impose a vaccine mandate, until he did. Just another lying politician.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 10/4/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports only 250K cases for Sunday and the 7-day MA drops to 390K cases per day below 4 hundo. It is great news and mainly due to the cases in Japan and the United States subsiding. The jury remains out for Europe until Thursday morning. The global death rate drops to 1,084 souls per day on the verge of sub 1K. It is great news today so far but let's see what is going on in Europe. Germany is not reporting its data since Friday. The 7-day MA for France's daily new cases rises to 45K cases per day heading higher. Ditto Italy with its 7-day MA trendline up to 33K cases per day and rising. Ditto Austria with its 7-day MA up to 12K cases per day and rising. Belgium is not reporting its data since Thursday. Switzerland is not reporting its data for the last week. If nations are not reporting their data, one can only assume they do not want to suffer politically from negative news about the new infection waves, so they lie. Such is the world nowadays. Greece is not reporting its data for the last week. The UK is not reporting its data since Thursday so any potential infection wave cannot be assessed properly. Since Germany is playing games hiding their data, France and Italy are going to tell the story for Europe this week, actually today. The new infection waves for both nations show a peak thus far on Tuesday, 9/27/22, so today's numbers, that will not be known until Thursday morning, are key. If the daily cases come in lower than the peak days, it will be sweet news and proof that the European infection waves will be short-lived. If today's cases in France and Italy exceed the numbers from last Tuesday, Europe, and likely the world, is screwed. Keep your fingers crossed. We will know the story for Europe in 48 hours.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 10/4/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 13.5K cases for Sunday. Perhaps next Sunday will be single digits. It is great news especially since kids are back in school and Americans are spending more time indoors due to the colder weather. We have got covid, and the blues, on the run. The 7-day MA for US daily cases drops to 30.5K cases per day on the verge of a 2-handle. US active cases fall to 1.93 million. US covid deaths remain stubborn averaging 211 souls per day. Oh no, Ringo. Former Beatles drummer Ringo Starr, 82 years young, contracts covid and has to cancel several shows. He is multiple vaccinated. Ringo will get by With A Little Help From His Friends. For the Jewish folks, Yom Kippur begins at sundown today and ends at sundown tomorrow.

Note Added Tuesday Morning, 10/4/22, at 8:00 AM EST: The Kaiser Family Foundation reports that 32%, one-third, of Americans plan to get the new Fall booster shot as soon as possible. 5% have already done so. On the flip side, 68%, two-thirds of the United States, are hesitating at taking the new booster shot. 18% want to wait and see, 10% say they will only take the shot if required, 12% say they will definitely not take the new booster shot and 27% are not eligible (the unvaccinated or people that took one of the initial shots and never went back for the second). Humorously, and expectedly, the democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS,NBC, PBS, NPR, Washington Post, New York Times, etc...) cheers that one-third of Americans cannot wait to get vaccinated with the new booster shot drumming up enthusiasm for the jabs, while the republican-run media (Fox News, Newsmax, OANN, Breitbart News, AM talk radio, New York Post, etc...) proclaims that two-thirds of the country is not interested in the new booster shot. The republican and democrat tribes display the same deceitful behavior on every issue picking sides. People need to learn to agree to disagree again. The same garbage is on display with using HCQ as a treatment for COVID-19. The studies prove that hydroxychloroquine is an effective pretreatment and early treatment for covid but is pretty much non-effective as the disease proceeds. Thus, the democrat tribe calls HCQ snake oil and dangerous elixir that does not treat covid basing their statements on using it when the virus has progressed too far, while the republican tribe touts HCQ as the best thing since sliced bread in treating covid. Both sides distort the truth. Politicians embellish. The democrats degraded HCQ, ivermectin and other treatments because they are pimping Biden's vaccine-only strategy. It is difficult to wade through the human deceit these days but Keystone will keep you on the straight and narrow. The KFF polling news for the senior population shows more of a willingness to take the booster jab. 8% of people over 65 years old have already received the booster jab and 37% want to get the shot as soon as possible. However, over one-half the folks over 65 years old are taking a blasé attitude on the new booster shot. Most Americans have moved on from the pandemic and are not concerned about covid anymore. And the more that folks in the community are out and about each day interacting directly with one another, maskless, exchanging money and conducting commerce hand to hand, with no one getting sick with China Virus, the more the population becomes emboldened to return to normalcy and forget about the covid monster. The US vaccination rate is rolling along flat at 465K jabs per day.

Note Added Tuesday Afternoon, 10/4/22: A new controversy occurs at the NIH and its subcontractor EcoHealth Alliance. Dr Collins, now retired from running the NIH, and Dr Fauci, are up to their eyeballs in the gain of function research scandal that has come to light during the pandemic. Fauci and Senator Rand Paul spar on Capitol Hill when the Fauch has to provide testimony. The NIH funneled money to EcoHealth that then funded gain of function research at the Wuhan Laboratories in China. The US had outlawed that type of research. Fauci is trying to parse words saying the research was not technically gain of function. The  problem is that the nefarious tests on bats and viruses occurring at the Wuhan Labs, that is jointly run by the CCP military, likely led to the lab leak and origin of COVID-19. If the republicans win the House, Collins and Fauci are going to need some good lawyers. Fast forward to today when The Intercept reports that the NIH awards a new contract for bat and virus research to EcoHealth and Peter Daszak that was in charge of the last fiasco. Are the *ssholes at the NIH tone-deaf? This is why the medical profession loses credibility and why many Americans no longer trust institutions and organizations. Common sense is that you do not give EcoHealth a dime until the truth is known about the likely Wuhan Lab leak that started the 3-year once in a century pandemic. Obviously, new worldwide safety protocols are needed for laboratories and scientists playing around with viruses.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/5/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports only 184K COVID-19 cases for Monday and the 7-day MA is down to 390K cases per day. The news gets better each day as the planet marches from the pandemic to endemic phase. All eyes are on France and Italy since Germany is not reporting its data. France reports only 9K cases. Fantastic news. The 7-day MA is up to 48K cases per day but the low 9K number will stall the advance. 62 French die from covid on Monday the most in a month. Italy reports only 15K cases for Monday with its 7-day MA trendline heading higher at 37K cases per day. Like France, the daily cases will be leveling-out and dropping if the lower numbers are maintained this week. Ditto for Austria reporting only 8K cases for Monday with the 7-day MA moving higher at 12K cases per day. The numbers are very encouraging for Europe especially since things were not looking good the last few days. It is weak that Germany, Belgium, UK and others are either delaying or hiding their data the last few days. Dirtbag politicians. Tomorrow morning is the big reveal when Tuesday's cases will be known for France and Italy that can be compared back to the peak highs for the current waves from the prior Tuesday. The low Monday cases hint that tomorrow is going to be good news and provide confidence that the new infection waves in Europe may be short-lived and roll over quickly. It is vital information to know the variant breakdown occurring in the European nations but that data is inaccessible. It would be great to know what bug is in play in central and eastern Europe.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/5/22, at 4:30 AM EST: Taiwan remains challenged at 44K covid cases per day. Conditions need to improve in Taiwan for the world cases to continue dropping. As Hong Kong travel restrictions are eased, residents are leaving the commie city looking for new homes in Japan, UK and Taiwan. Hong Kong folks likely brought the new infection wave to Taiwan. In mainland China, 22 million residents in Xinjiang are forbidden to leave the city. The CCP is going to clamp-down hard on the Chinese folks going into the major Politboro meeting 10/16/22 when dirtbag Dictator Xi will be appointed dictator for life. It will be the coronation of another murderous Mao; a new Red Emperor. History repeats and rhymes. Is starvation in China's future? Full and partial lockdowns and mass daily covid testing continues in China for at least two more weeks to get through the Politboro meetings. Xi does not want his coronation ruined by talk of new China Virus infections. A new subvariant BA2320 (BA.2.3.20) is identified in Singapore, Australia and Denmark.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/5/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US is at 98.3 million total covid cases and over 1.085 million deaths. The US reports only 18K daily new cases for Monday a beautiful sight. The 7-day MA trendline for daily cases drops to 27K cases per day a 2-handle!  Hurray! US active cases drop to 1.88 million. Deaths are averaging 202 bodies per day. The news is positive taking America further towards the endemic phase. The best part about the numbers is that they are dropping nicely despite the kids returning to school and people flocking indoors as the weather chills (you would think the infections would increase due to the close human contact but the herd immunity in play is doing its job). For the endemic phase, following the guidelines presented above, the US daily new cases should drop to 10K per day and lower now at 27K per day. The US active cases need to drop below 1 million to proclaim the endemic phase is here now at 1.88 million. The death rate needs to drop below 180 souls per day and preferably below 120 per day to compare to the seasonal flu now at 202 deaths per day. America is moving in the right direction putting the pandemic in the rearview mirror. Millions of Americans already have.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/5/22, at 6:00 AM EST: A Cornell University study says more republicans have likely died from COVID-19 than democrats. Note the 'likely' disclaimer. Tell us something we don't know. What moron spends money on a study when you know the result ahead of time? The KFF has reported for 2 years about the under participation of republicans concerning COVID-19 vaccinations. Conversely, the majority of democrats sprinted to the doctor's office to roll up their sleeves. The vaccination participation likely accounts for the difference in deaths mainly in 2021 not so much in 2020 since the vaccines were not available. The data in the study stops at January 2022. The study reveals nothing new and only confirms what anyone knowledgeable about the pandemic would tell you without the study. So why spend time on a study when you know the outcome? Simple; to further divide the country along political lines. Cornell is a liberal college named one of the top most friendly colleges to LGBTQ students and are in bed with the democrat tribe. The nature of corrupt American politics these days is for the political tribes to sling dirt at each other while ignoring the people's business. The study simply provides an opportunity for democrats to berate republicans. Both corrupt tribes place their narratives, agendas and philosophies ahead of what is good for the United States as a whole. New voters are registering as independents declaring a pox on both corrupt political houses. Cornell could have performed companion studies showing that democrats spend more time hiding under their beds during the last couple years, and also showing that republicans are less willing to wear masks than democrats. Duh.

Note Added Wednesday Morning, 10/5/22, at 10:00 AM EST: AstraZeneca jumps into the television advertising game marketing its long-acting monoclonal antibody treatment  (mAb). Modern society wants to inject chemicals into everyone's bodies to feed Big Phama instead of first promoting healthy food and eating habits (less gluten and wheat; eat like an Asian), daily supplements, exercise, a good mental attitude and sunshine. Such is America's drug and surgery medical model.

Note Added Thursday Morning, 10/6/22, at 3:00 AM EST: The world reports 535K daily new cases for Tuesday a bad number. It is well above the descending 7-day MA trendline at 404K cases per day. The elevated cases tell you that Europe is likely going to Hell in a covid handbasket. France and Italy are going to tell the story. The Tuesday data in Europe are typically the highest numbers of the week and the prior Tuesday, 9/27/22, is the peak in cases for the new infection waves for France, Italy and Germany. Oh no Sacrebleu! France reports over 89K daily new cases for Tuesday exceeding the prior Tuesday's peak at 74K cases. Terrible news. It means the European infection waves are worsening. A happier outcome was hoped for with cases below the prior 74K but no such luck. President Macron and the gang are sliding down the covid rabbit hole again. The 89K cases are the most since mid-July almost 3 months ago. France's active cases are also heading higher so the hospitals will see more covid activity going forward. 74 French die from China Virus on Tuesday the most since August. Thwack. Italy is beaten with the same covid stick as France. The boot-shaped nation reports 59K daily new cases, a big 2-month high, overtaking last Tuesday's peak and pointing to lousy times ahead. Italy's infection wave is worsening. Boom. Germany updates their data with a huge 134K daily new cases for Tuesday. That's a big number but the problem is that Germany's data stopped, now started again, so some of the cases may be from the weekend through Tuesday? Nonetheless, Germany is in the same lousy boat as France and Italy. Austria reports 14K cases for Tuesday but its number is below the prior peak at 15K but that occurred last Wednesday. Thus, Austria's story will be told tomorrow morning and there will likely be a spike in cases like Germany, France and Italy. Czechia reports 4.8K cases for Tuesday a 6-month high so its infection wave is worsening. Thwack. Slovenia's daily new cases pop higher to 4.1K cases the most since March so obviously its infection wave is worsening. Belgium, Netherlands, Switzerland, Portugal and Spain are not showing any appreciable increase in cases but the worry is that if Germany, France and Italy, the epicenter of the new European outbreak, are worsening, it is probably only a matter of time before other countries are sucked into the covid mess. The UK has not updated their data since last week.

Note Added Thursday Morning, 10/6/22, at 3:30 AM EST: The world is beating back COVID-19 pushing it towards the endemic phase but the coronavirus snake in the woodpile is Europe. The world's daily cases for Tuesday are 535K an elevated number but a bright spot is that the 535K is below the prior pop in cases on the prior Tuesday at 575K cases. In a nutshell, it means the planet is healing from COVID-19 sans Europe. Will the increasing infections in central Europe spread to other European nations? Will the infections spread out from Europe impacting the world from November through January 2023?  Germany, France and Italy dictate the COVID-19 pandemic path forward for not only their continent but for the world. You know the drill now. The Tuesday cases numbers are the peaks in the data for the week for Germany, France and Italy so the next key date to focus on is Tuesday, 10/11/22, to see if those daily cases come in lower than the 10/4/22 numbers. All eyes will be fixated on next Thursday when the Tuesday numbers are known to see if Europe continues worsening. Of course, if any day forward, the daily cases exceed the numbers for Tuesday in Germany, France and Italy, that would mean conditions are deteriorating quickly. For now, there remains hope that the new infection waves in Europe will be short-lived but today's data is a punch in the face.

Note Added Thursday Morning, 10/6/22, at 4:00 AM EST: Taiwan reports 50K daily new cases for Tuesday testing the peak highs for the current infection wave. Not good. Singapore reports 7.1K daily new cases a big spike higher the most in 2 months. Singapore is in a new infection wave. The world's total COVID-19 infections cross the 625 million milestone. The total global China Virus deaths exceed 6,555,500 bodies. It is interesting that Hong Kong has been relaxing travel restrictions the last few weeks with folks leaving the CCP-controlled region for Taiwan, Japan, Singapore, UK and Europe so perhaps this activity creates the new outbreaks. Also, Japan and Singapore have been removing travel restrictions to promote business activity which explains the rise in infections.

Note Added Thursday Morning, 10/6/22, at 4:30 AM EST: The US reports 34K daily new cases and the 7-day MA continues lower at 34K cases per day. US wave 7 is in its final throes but 304 Americans continue dying from COVID-19 each day. Fauci performs a mea culpa so the pandemic must be nearing an end point. Fauci declares that he should have been "much more careful" with the COVID-19 messaging. Ya think? But in true Fauci fashion, he actually puts blame on everyone else including the media saying sound bites are edited and misinterpreted. Maybe he did not explain things properly? Maybe he lied when he and others said the vaccines will stop you from getting infected with COVID-19 or transmit it to others? He was wrong. Fauci continues making the case that the data he follows is more righteous than any other data. To illustrate his hubris, Fauci, that is retiring soon, proclaims, "There will be another Fauci" portraying himself as if he is a deity. Fauci's net worth climbs over $5 million during the pandemic. The dude, that is not that good at his job, is a public servant that became a multi-millionaire feeding off the government teat.

Note Added Thursday Afternoon, 10/6/22: The CDC is ending the daily reporting of COVID-19 cases and deaths instead going to a once per week update. It is a pathetic move by a pathetic organization that proved its incompetency over the last 34 months. Comically, their data is always from 3 days to a week or more behind so it will be hard to notice a difference. The official CDC statement declares that the change will "allow for additional reporting flexibility, reduce the reporting burden on states and jurisdictions, and maximize surveillance resources." States and hospitals will continue to track the daily data. That is their job and routine so it is hard to understand why it is an issue. With modern technology, the data should be uploaded to the CDC effortlessly on a daily basis. The CDC is simply too stupid to figure it out. And how is surveillance of COVID-19 maximized when you do not plan to report the data as often? It is sickening what passes for leadership nowadays. One of the major problems of the pandemic has been the lack of real-time data from the CDC. The numbers are always a few days old, moldy, like stale bread. This is why the Coronavirus Chronology has used the Worldometer data during the last 2-1/2 years. Their updates have slipped to 2 days but for the first six US waves, and all the worldwide infection waves, the Worldometer data was only one day behind in reporting useful data that aids forecasting. For proper technical analysis of the infection waves, the most up to date data is needed; it's just like trading stocks. The CDC has failed miserably at presenting data in a timely fashion adn now they are gong backwards. The medical talking heads, mainly on democrat-run media (CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS,NBC, PBS, NPR, etc...), warn of a Fall surge in COVID-19 infections but they cannot have it both ways. Do not warn of impending doom, for the purpose of pushing people to take the booster shot, while at the same time saying that timely covid data is no longer needed for the pandemic. We have idiots steering the covid ship for these many months with two unworthy captains at the wheel; clown Trump and bozo Biden. Will the CDC revert back to daily updates if a new infection wave hits the United States? If so, what is the criteria? There is none. The scientists, doctors and politicians make it up as they go along. Americans have lost confidence in the medial profession during the pandemic due to to the many missteps, misinformation and disinformation from the CDC, NIH, WHO, FDA, Lord Fauci and the two incompetent managers steering the covid ship King Donnie and Sleepy Joe. It is not surprising that the CDC plans to delay its data reporting further than usual since it likes to drive the COVID-19 bus while looking in the rearview mirror.

Note Added Thursday Evening, 10/6/22: Speaking of Fauci, a man that is attracted to cameras like a moth to a flame, he appears on "The Late Show" hosted by comedian Stephen Colbert. Do you remember the sickening vaccination song "The Vax Scene" a spoof on the tune, "Tequila?" Truly nauseating. The Hollywood crowd, including Colbert are overwhelmingly liberal (democrat) so Fauci is feeling at home receiving softball questions from a left-leaning pal (everything is politics nowadays). The two partake in a new nauseating, but funny, covid sketch where Colbert takes Fauci to the pharmacy to receive a booster shot. When did medical procedures become part of the daily lexicon? Maybe Keystone should have filmed Nurse Goodbody and Dr Ben Dover removing the hairy mole from his arse last week? Fauci receives his fifth mRNA jab; that is a lot of spike proteins circulating through his 81-year old body. In addition to 5 shots, Fauci has had COVID-19 twice, and has taken Paxlovid twice. This is the model for others Americans to follow? Millions are saying no thank you. Colbert kisses Fauci's *ss proclaiming that the doctor's "level-headed guidance has taken us through the pandemic." Gag me with a spoon. Fauci decrees that the pandemic will "feel like its over in a real sense when it gets to such a low level in society that it doesn't disrupt the social order." In essence, the idiot is saying the pandemic will be over when it is over, like declaring the winner of a football game after the end of the game when the point total is known. Where is the foresight? Experts are in these jobs because they can tell you where things are going not where they have been. America is not as intelligent as it was decades ago. Fauci runs cover for President Biden concerning Sleepy Joe's comment at the auto show that the "pandemic is over." Fauci decrees, "What the president was referring to, is that the very acute stage of the outbreak, where we were getting 900,000 cases a day and 3,000 to 4,000 deaths, that's not where we are right now. We're way down in cases, but we're also way down in deaths. But the level that we're at, Stephen, is not really acceptable. I don't feel comfortable saying we can live with 400 deaths a day. We have got to get the level of infection and the level of deaths and hospitalizations far, far lower. So it's not eradicated, we're not going to completely get rid of this, but we want to get it to a level that's so low that it just doesn't disrupt society."  

Note Added Friday Morning, 10/7/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 550K daily new cases for Wednesday and 560K cases on Tuesday terrible numbers. The 7-day MA for the world's daily cases starts edging higher again to 426K cases per day. This is due to the European outbreak and ongoing covid trouble in Taiwan. Damn it! Taiwan reports 55K daily new cases a new peak for the current infection wave and not seen since June; terrible news. A Taiwanese infant tests positive for covid one day after birth. Nearly 50 Taiwanese are dying per day from COVID-19 and the trend is higher. Taiwan plans to relax travel restrictions despite the infection wave worsening. The BA5 subvariant is the main culprit at play in Taiwan. Singapore reports nearly 6K cases on Wednesday and the 7-day MA is up to 4.6K cases per day threatening to go parabolic. Singapore is falling down the covid rabbit hole. Travel restrictions are lifted in Singapore as it takes over as the new financial hub for Asia. The CCP controls Hong Kong now so international business people do not want to conduct meetings in bugged rooms and it loses its status as a trusted financial hub. Obviously, the relaxed covid restrictions are creating a new infection wave in Singapore. Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines are fine with daily cases remaining low and not an issue.

Note Added Friday Morning, 10/7/22, at 4:30 AM EST: France reports 67K cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA is up to 52K cases per day. Italy reports 45K cases for Wednesday and the 7-day MA is up to 37K cases per day. Germany reports a huge 132K cases matching Tuesday's 134K cases and the 7-day MA is over 73K cases per day. Bloomberg reports that 800 million unused covid masks will be burned because the use-by date has expired. This sounds stupid. People eat food past the sell-by date. Humans are doomed if the waste of money and resources continue. Boom. Austria reports 18.5 daily new cases for Wednesday, 10/5/22, overtaking the prior peak for the infection wave the week before at 15K cases. Austria exhibits the same lousy behavior as France, Italy and Germany. The European infection waves are worsening. The world cannot move into the endemic phase with the trouble ongoing in Europe, Taiwan, China and now Singapore. Russia is on the mend but the death rate lags. 113 Ruskies died from China Virus on Wednesday the most since May. It is becoming more difficult to identify the subvariants at play around the world since many nations are paring back testing and data collection. People are testing at home and going unreported. Covid funding is being cut around the world as the pandemic diminishes. The covid monster may bite the world in the butt going forward since the scientists are having difficulty tracking and monitoring the dozens of variants at play.

Note Added Friday Morning, 10/7/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 42K daily new cases for Wednesday a great number because the Wednesday and Friday numbers are typically the highest of the week. The 7-day MA is down to 36K cases per day continuing the too-slow trek lower. US covid deaths remain elevated at 328 souls per day a glaring example of the CDC and Biden administration ongoing incompetence.

Note Added Friday Morning, 10/7/22, at 6:00 AM EST: Not even 6% of the Americans eligible for the new booster shots have rolled up their sleeves. What?! Americans do not want to take a shot based on a study involving 8 mice? How dare they! Fauci says his data is the best data. A full court press (basketball talk) is occurring for the booster shots mainly on democrat-run media. The medical talking heads and surrogates of the Whitehouse and CDC are fear mongering to promote the new bivalent booster shot. The term 'mRNA' is not mentioned anymore instead 'bivalent' is bandied about perhaps based on a focus group that was scared of the mRNA word. Humorously, pro-vaccine folks are now calling people that do not step up for the new booster shot anti-vaxxer's. That's funny. People in power want their asses kissed constantly independently of what you did for them in the past. Americans are far smarter than most of the talking heads on television. Americans are gifted with common sense and wisdom to assess the information and come up with a logical conclusion. Trump and Biden are both beholding to, and pledge allegiance to, their political narratives and agendas rather than doing what is good for America. One of the problems of the pandemic is the aloof medical folks treating the American people like children as if they are not smart enough to think and make decisions on their own.

Note Added Friday Morning, 10/7/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The vaccine mandate garbage claims another victim. Aviation Survival Technician Second Class Zach Loesch, a highly-trained Coast Guardsman skilled at rescues, receives a congratulatory call from President Biden for saving a 94-year old man in Florida during Hurricane Ian a week ago. Ironically, Biden's vaccine mandate policy (Sleepy Joe promised that he would never institute a vaccine mandate in the US until he did; liar) will force Loesch out of the Coat Guard because he will not take the stupid COVID-19 vaccine that is really not a vaccine. Isn't it sickening? Phony Biden praises Loesch proclaiming, "I told him how proud of him I was and thanked him for all the work he and his Coasties are doing to save lives." Yeah, sure, buddy. You are so grateful that you are kicking the highly-trained dude from the service. That is pure jackass. Professional that Loesch is, he did not mention his pending expulsion on the phone call that is due to Biden's asinine vaccine mandate policy. Loesch opines, "If I had asked any of the people I saved yesterday if they wanted to come with me even though I am unvaccinated, every single one of them would have said yes." And he is exactly correct. So when you are in a flood disaster and stuck on your roof seeing nothing but water around you waiting for help, realize that Loesch is not coming to save you because he was sh*t-canned for not taking multiple covid shots that go against his religious beliefs and do not prevent him from catching COVID-19 or transmitting the virus to others. America is going downhill fast because of narcissistic control freaks in leadership positions. It is Our Destiny as the rigged crony capitalism system crumbles under its own corrupt weight.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 542K daily new cases for Thursday the third consecutive day of elevated numbers no doubt reflecting ongoing covid trouble in China and Taiwan and the new outbreaks in central Europe. The 7-day MA for the world's cases curls higher to 431K cases per day. The direction forward of the pandemic depends on Europe. Global COVID-19 deaths are at 1.3K souls per day now with a sideways bias instead of down. Taiwan continues struggling at 46K cases per day not yet able to control the rising infections. Hong Kong folks fleeing communism and Dictator Xi's control are likely extending the infection wave in Taiwan. Japan is on the mend but cases continue averaging 32K per day. Ditto South Korea but cases continue averaging 29K per day. Singapore reports 6.2K cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA is up to 4.9K cases per day going parabolic. Singapore has a new nasty infection wave to deal with as they relax the covid travel restrictions. Singapore officials blame the new outbreak and sharp increase in infections on the BA275 subvariant (unofficially called Centaurus) and also BA210 (BA.2.10) that has not been mentioned in the media as yet. Fortunately, the new infections do not appear to be resulting in severe illness. There are dozens of subvariants at play monitored by scientists all over the world and BA210 is the latest that wants its 15 minutes of Andy Warhol fame.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 4:30 AM EST: The CCP, that rules China, is only one week away from naming dirtbag Dictator Xi dictator for life at the start of the 10/16/22 Politboro meeting. Xi does not want any disruptions to ruin the festivities but China Virus infections are on the rise again and many cities remain in lockdown. People are stranded in cities and tourist destinations unable to return home. Airline flights are cancelled as the communist party clamps down on the population ahead of the important Politboro meeting in Beijing. The mass testing requirements and quarantines are increasing. China lies about its COVID-19 data so it is hard to gauge what is occurring in the commie nation. 1.4K cases occur on Friday in China as reported by the filthy CCP so in actuality, the cases are probably 5K to 10K or more per day. If one of the whitecoats (CCP henchmen) drags away a Chinese citizen that tests positive for covid placing them in a concentration camp, er isolation facility, they are not counted as a daily case. The commie numbers cannot be trusted.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Europe is the major hotspot with France, Italy and Germany are the epicenter of the continent's new infection wave. Oh my. Pray for Germany where the daily cases spike over 174K on Thursday a horrendous number. Where's Chancellor Scholz?  Sleeping? The 174K daily cases are the most since April almost 6 months ago! The 7-day MA is going parabolic at over 80K cases per day. This is devastating news for Europe and the world. All Germans over 14 years old must now wear FFP2 masks (comparable to the N95 masks in the States) for any long distance train trips. In addition, the FFP2 masks are required at all hospitals, doctor's offices and  medical facilities. Germany is going backwards with the pandemic descending into covid Hell. Germans complain that the authorities do not appear to know what they are doing always reactive instead of proactive. Sounds like the United States and many other countries. Michael Osterholm, director of infectious disease research at the University of Minnesota, USA, warns, "In the past, what's happened in Europe often has been a harbinger for what's about to happen in the United States. I think the bottom line message for us in this country (US) is 'we have to be prepared for what they are beginning to see in Europe'."

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 5:30 AM EST: France's wave is up to 54K cases per day rising higher. Italy's infection wave is up to 39K cases per day and rising. It is interesting that Malta is fine with only a couple dozen cases per day. The bulk of the infections may be in northern Italy mating up with southeastern France, southern Germany, Austria and Slovenia. The tiny nation of Liechtenstein reports a spike to nearly 100 cases on Thursday with a new infection wave underway. If you get a chance, the vineyards of Vaduz, as well as the castle, are wunderbar. Switzerland remains okay but their data is delayed about 4 days. Switzerland must have tight restrictions on its borders since it is holding its own against the rising European COVID-19 infection waves encircling the nation. Cases rise in Slovenia and Czechia but Croatia is hanging in there, for now. Austria's infection wave worsens to 13.5K cases per day. 15 Austrians die from China Virus on Thursday the most in 3 months. Russia is on the mend but over 100 Ruskies continue dying per day from COVID-19 and the total coronavirus deaths cross the 388K grim milestone. Oh no. The UK reports 8.9K daily new cases for Thursday the most since July. The 7-day MA for UK daily new cases is at 7.6K cases per day and rising. Bad news for the UK and the world. As Osterholm opines above, the infections in central and eastern Europe, that now spread to the UK, are likely destined for the US. The UK started new infection waves in June 2021 and June 2022 and the US followed about 3 or 4 weeks later with waves 5 and 7b, respectively. UK cases have been rising for 3 weeks but not with the sharp uptake seen the prior 2 times. The sharp climb higher in UK infections may be starting now from late September, for a better comparison to past fractals, thus, the UK is about 1-1/2 weeks ahead. This means the US may start to see a rise in Fall cases starting in 1 to 3 weeks (new US infection wave 8 starting before Halloween (10/31/22)? Let's hope not but it is hard to ignore the writing on the wall. Obviously, if a new US wave 8 begins, the expected move to the endemic phase for the United States, and world, will be postponed. The UK will be added to the bad country list. The dark covid clouds hover above planet Earth for 34 months and counting.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The US reports only 33K cases for Thursday and the 7-day MA is down to 36K cases per day; great news. US active cases are down to 1.84 million. COVID-19 deaths remain a tragedy in the United States at 322 bodies per day with Biden ignoring the issue all year long hoping it goes away on its own. Well, it's not Sleepy Joe. What else ya got? The FDA says AstraZeneca's Evusheld drug for treating COVID-19 is ineffective against the BA46 subvariant. Over 80% of the infections in the US are BA5 but the BA46 cases are over 6% and increasing. BA46 is in play in Europe so the news on Evusheld is not welcome.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 7:00 AM EST: Eight countries account for the majority (83%) of the daily new covid cases in the world on Thursday with the following breakdown; Germany accounts for 32% (one-third) of COVID-19 cases worldwide, France is 12%, Italy 9%, Taiwan 9%, US 6%, Japan 6%, South Korea 6% and Austria 3%. The US, Japan and South Korea are on the mend but the news is lousy going forward. The never-ending pandemic is never ending.

Note Added Saturday Morning, 10/8/22, at 11:00 AM EST: The European outbreak is finally receiving proper attention from the worldwide media. Scientists are concerned about a new COVID-19 outbreak coming to America in the weeks forward based on the trouble developing in Europe and the UK. WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, try to fit that on a business card, is tracking the omicron subvariants at play in the UK, France and Italy. Countries are relaxing covid restrictions, reducing covid testing requirements and the cold weather in the northern hemisphere is chasing people indoors. The close contact increases the chance of spreading the virus. Considering the current COVID-19 landscape, Dr Tedros proclaims, "Tracking this virus (is) like chasing shadows." He asks countries to "increase surveillance, testing and sequencing, and to ensure that those most at risk are vaccinated." There is still no clarity on the exact breakdown of the subvariants running amuck in Europe. It would be helpful to pinpoint the exact cause of the new infection wave with its epicenter in France, Italy and Germany.

Note Added Saturday Afternoon, 10/8/22: The CDC Community Transmission map is a pleasant sea of green. 77% of US counties are at low risk for COVID-19 (green), 20% are at medium risk (yellow) and only 3% high risk (orange). Keystone, also an artist, will continue to lobby for changing the orange color to red (a pastel rose color would work) since the 3 colors would compare to a streetlight and people would connect to the message better. As per the CDC guidelines, only 3% of the counties in the United States should be implementing mask use in crowded indoor settings. The Americans living in the 20% medium-risk counties should consult their doctors and healthcare providers to see if they recommend that a mask be used indoors due to their specific health concerns. The news is good and it will be better if the whole map turns green. The map can be very useful for future virus outbreaks and pandemics but a few tweaks are required including changing the orange color to red and updating the data faster in real-time. The CDC may also want to rethink the criteria and place more emphasis on daily new cases which remains the most important metric for forecasting infection waves. It is inconsequential that some Americans test at home and do not report results. The absolute daily new cases numbers may be lower than the actual numbers but that does not matter in forecasting. Instead, the trend matters, and the daily cases remains the best predictor of any infection wave's appearance and progression as proven by Keystone and the Coronavirus Chronology for the last 2-1/2 years. Note the big orange infection blob in southern Texas no doubt due to President Biden's border crisis. There is also higher rates in the northeastern and northern states. Is this due to infected Canucks entering the US? We can take a look at the East Coast states below to see if there is any increase in daily new cases in New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts and a few others. Wave 7 started in these states (infections coming from Europe, the UK and Canada) so the same behavior will likely occur if the US faces a new wave 8. For now, all is good with America. Wave 7 is ending and the high herd immunity, a combination of vaccination protection and natural immunity from prior COVID-19 infections, may keep America in the happy place and avoiding a new year-end covid tragedy.

Note Added Saturday Evening, 10/8/22: Europe reports important EU/EEA (European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control) pooled data on the new COVID-19 outbreak. Daily cases are rising in 19 of the 26 European nations that reported data. Covid is negatively impacting the folks over 65 years old that are accounting for the bulk of the increase in hospital admissions and hospitalizations. The summary blames the increased mixing of the population for the new outbreak (covid restrictions are eased and people are enjoying the last of the summer especially the August through early September vacation period) decreeing that there is "no indication of changes in the distribution of circulating variants." This is big news. Happy news. In Europe, 98.7% of the new infections are BA4/BA5 (12 countries report BA4/BA5 at 97.7% to 100.0% of the new infections), 0.9% are BA275 and 0.7% are BA2. This is great news. It reinforces the idea that that the new European infection wave is mainly due to population mixing and perhaps can be directly equated to the August through early September vacation season. This data provides hope that the new outbreak in Europe may be short-lived and roll over in quick order. Further, this same situation is not in play in the US. Europe is different. Businesses shut down in August and Europeans flock to the beaches or enjoy other holiday experiences during the month. It is interesting stuff and provides the first glimmer of hope that the world can maintain the path to the endemic phase in the weeks ahead.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/9/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world exceeds 626.5 million total coronavirus cases and 6.56 million total deaths a grim statistic. The world reports 461K daily new cases for Friday at least it is not over 5 hundo like the prior 4 days. The 7-day MA for the world's cases is at 421K cases per day moving sideways and deciding to move up or down depending on the data from Europe and Taiwan. France reports 61K cases for Friday and the 77-day MA is over 55K cases per day and rising so you will not find good news here. Ditto in Italy, Germany and Austria where daily new cases continue higher expanding the new infection waves. The peak infection days thus far for France and Italy are 10/4/22, last Tuesday, so Europe's fate rests on the 10/11/22 data which provides a direct comparison to the peak of the waves thus far. Germany's huge spike in cases above 174K was on 10/6/22, Thursday, so the 10/13/22 data will be key in the week ahead but the cases will not be known until Saturday morning. The UK's new infection wave is up to 6.4K cases per day but remains tame and nothing like the rapid rise in infections occurring in Germany, France and Italy. Taiwan remains in covid trouble with the infection wave expanding to over 46K cases per day. Singapore worsens with its new infection wave going parabolic at 5.3K cases per day. The wave came on fast with cases doubling in less than 2 weeks. Singapore officials likely do not even realize what is happening as yet.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/9/22, at 5:00 AM EST: The US reports only 25K daily new cases for Friday when numbers are usually the largest of the week. The good news keeps on coming and the Saturday and Sunday numbers will be lower. Is a single-digit daily new cases number on tap for this weekend? The 7-day MA trendline for US daily cases is down to 32K cases per day. Americans continue dying from COVID-19 at a pace of about 3 hundo bodies per day. If a new infection wave 8 hits American shores, it will likely first appear in New Jersey, New York and other northeastern and East Coast states like wave 7. Joisey is okay. No sign of trouble in New York. Massachusetts, Vermont and New Hampshire do not show any jump in daily new cases. The Carolina's are fine and over on the West Coast, California, Washington and Oregon are okay with cases flatlining. America, and the world, is transitioning from the pandemic to the endemic phase for COVID-19 but Taiwan, China, Singapore, UK and central Europe must cooperate. Singapore needs monitored to note the progress of the BA210 subvariant.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/9/22, at 6:00 AM EST: The CDC reports that 79% of the new US infections are BA5. This percentage moves steadily lower over the last 3 weeks from 85% to sub 80%. Since the 900-pound gorilla at play is diminishing, something has to take its place. The BA46 cases rise over the last week from 13% to 14%. It is bad that the BA46 bug is increasing but at the same time, the increase is small. The US likely has a handle on the current bugs but it is the subvariants that may be hiding in the bushes that are the worry. The headache with BA46 is that the subvariant is resistant to AstraZeneca's Evusheld a key treatment.

Note Added Sunday Morning, 10/9/22, at 7:00 AM EST: A Florida Department of Health study says men 18 to 39 years old are at increased risk for a cardiac event within 28 days after taking the COVID-19 vaccine. The data does not lie but the Fauch will tell you to only listen to his data. Highly-respected Dr Peter McCullough is suspended from Twitter as America's sick censorship and crushing of rights continues. McCullough is outspoken on the pandemic and appeared on Joe Rogan's podcast last December. Someone at Twitter does not like his truth-telling. They can't handle the truth. McCullough says the incidents of myocarditis and other complications after the vaccinations are grossly underreported. The social media platforms do not explain why accounts are banned or suspended. As has occurred with the Coronavirus Chronology, someone on one of the platforms (Twitter, Google, Facebook, etc...) will get their panties in a bunch and screw the content provider with a tap of the keyboard. COVID-19 content providers that do not tout and cheerlead the Biden pandemic agenda are harassed and algorithms are programmed to ignore the content. Such is America in 2022 with the rigged crony capitalism system in its last throes.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/10/22, at 3:00 AM EST: It is a Manic Monday in China. Major political meetings are occurring ahead of dirtbag Dictator Xi's coronation as dictator for life at the National Congress meeting starting 10/16/22 (Sunday). The COVID-19 infections in China are rising at a faster pace than recent weeks. Perhaps it is karma for Xi the murdering thug and Mao wannabe. China reports 1,645 new China Virus infections on Saturday and 1,878 on Sunday the most since August. The case numbers are far higher, probably 5K to 10K per day or more across China, because the CCP lies. Eight cases appear in Beijing on Saturday where Xi's Politboro meeting is located. Cases are also rising in Shanghai. Jackass Xi wants to tout his asinine zero-covid strategy as a success at the National Congress. It does not matter that zero-covid is a failed strategy. A dictator can never be wrong since showing weakness is the kiss of death for an authoritarian regime. The trouble is widespread but Xinjiang remains a major hotspot and there are reports of cases rising in inner Mongolia although the COVID-19 infection data does not reflect trouble as yet. News reports and social media say the Mongolian capital of Hohhot is in lockdown and over 2K China Virus infections have occurred over the last couple weeks. Boom. The CCP is imposing new lockdowns on cities starting today. Travel is restricted as the CCP will pull all the stops out to make sure Xi does not look like an *ss when the National Congress meets on Sunday. Entertainment venues and cinemas are closed. A negative test within the last 3 days is required to enter most any building in China these days and those rules will likely be stiffened as the Xi coronation approaches. This is a period of celebration and holiday in early October in China but no one is in the partying mood. China's economy is going down the tubes due to the zero-covid strategy. The tourism industry is dead putting small shop owners out of business. Chinese folks are losing patience with the endless daily mass testing, lockdowns and isolation facilities. You know people are fed up because they are speaking out and in communist China if you lip off about the government, the CCP will knock on your door and take you away to prison or put a bullet in your temple. The world is not a pretty place.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/10/22, at 4:00 AM EST: The world reports 297K daily new cases for Saturday an encouraging number with the 7-day MA trendline at 414K cases per day. France reports 57K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 56K cases per day heading higher. Italy reports 44K cases for Saturday and the 7-day MA is at 41K cases per day heading higher. Italy's China Virus death rate climbs from about 40 souls per day to over 50 deaths per day over the last couple weeks. Germany's infection rate is over 80K cases per day and parabolic. The Oktoberfest beer parties are spreading lots of virus. Austria's new infection wave worsens to 14K cases per day. As previously explained, the Tuesday cases are key for France and Italy; the Thursday cases are key for Germany. The numbers will be known on Thursday morning and Saturday morning, respectively, and at that time Keystone can tell you the direction of Europe's infection wave. Taiwan's total China Virus cases exceed the 6.9 million milestone. Taiwan's trouble continues at over 46K daily new cases per day. Boom. 76 Taiwanese die from COVID-19 on Saturday the most since July. Singapore reports 6.2K cases for Saturday and the new infection wave has gone parabolic at 5.6K cases per day. Do Singapore officials understand what is happening? No. Singapore continues to remove covid restrictions and reopen the region to travelers.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/10/22, at 4:30 AM EST: Covid cases in Australia pop over 9K on Saturday. There is also a subtle rise in cases off base levels in New Zealand. It is no biggie as yet but the two nations in the southern hemisphere, going into their springtime season, may be facing new COVID-19 infection waves and require monitoring. Australia reports that its flu season was one of the worst although it was shorter in duration than expected. This is important since the land Down Under is used as a bellwether for the flu season in the United States. The medical talking heads tell Americans to take the flu shot and covid booster shot at the same time.

Note Added Monday Morning, 10/10/22, at 5:00 AM EST: Happy Columbus Day in the United States. The US reports only 15K cases for Saturday. Sweet. Maybe single-digits for Sunday? The 7-day MA for US daily new cases is down to 28K cases per day the solid 3-month trend lower continues. US active cases drop to 1.7 million. Each drop in active cases means more Americans will be able to return to work. The US remains on a happy path defeating wave 7 but will European infections cross the pond and ruin the fun?

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