2019 Market Predictions Template

Here is a template for anyone interested in recording your own predictions for 2019. The task is useful in developing your long-term forecasting ability and of course may provide comic relief come December 2019. It is very difficult to forecast markets and the economy 12 months in advance which is all part of the fun.

The Keystone Speculator was the top forecaster on Wall Street in 2018 predicting SPX 2440 for the end-of-year and price is currently at 2485 with tomorrow the last day of trading in 2018. Not too shabby especially considering that the majority of Wall Street, traders, investors, analysts, strategists and money managers were calling for the S&P 500 to be above 2900 and 3000 right now (humorously, the Einstein pundits only missed their SPX targets by 500 or 600 points).

Comically, Ma and Pa investors look to the same pundits for advice when none of them predicted the stock market top this year. Keystone accurately forecasted both the January 2018 and late September 2018 stock market tops using negative divergence techniques on the weekly and monthly charts. Some analysts predicted SPX 3100, 3200 and higher for 2018 which are now a world away. Most of the analysts are now saying they were too early and are simply extending their same SPX 2900, 3000 and higher targets from 2018 into 2019. That’s convenient for them.

Fill out the template below and wager a friend to see who has bragging rights as the most accurate forecaster at the end of next year. Revise the list adding or deleting other parameters of interest. Closing Prices are for end of year next year 12/31/19. The Price Range is the high and low during 2019.

Keystone will assess the successes and failures on the 2018 Predictions over the coming days and also post his 2019 Predictions in the days ahead. All the ticker symbols below can be typed into www.stockcharts.com to view the charts.

2019 Broad Market Predictions
SPX High for 2019:
SPX Closing Price for 2019:
SPX Low for 2019:
Dollar Range ($USD):  
Dollar Closing Price ($USD):
Dollar/Yen Range (USD/JPY):
Dollar/Yen Closing Price (USD/JPY):
Euro Range ($XEU):

Euro Closing Price ($XEU):       

2-Year Note Yield Range ($UST2Y):
2-Year Note Closing Yield ($UST2Y):  
10-Year Note Yield Range ($TNX):
10-Year Note Closing Yield ($TNX):  
2-10 Spread at End of Year:
30-Year Note Yield Range ($TYX):
30-Year Note Closing Yield ($TYX):  
Will Yield Curve Invert for the 2-10 Spread?
Unemployment Rate % Range: 
Unemployment Rate % December 2019:
GDP Average for 2019: 
WTIC Oil Range ($WTIC):
WTIC Oil Closing Price ($WTIC):
Brent Oil Range:
Brent Oil Closing Price:
Natty Gas Range ($NATGAS):
Natty Gas Closing Price ($NATGAS):
Gold Range ($GOLD): 
Gold Closing Price ($GOLD): 
Silver Range ($SILVER): 
Silver Closing Price ($SILVER): 
Copper Range ($COPPER):
Copper Closing Price ($COPPER): 
Commodities Range ($CRB): 
Commodities Closing Price ($CRB):  
China Growth Rate % Average for 2019:

2019 Sector Predictions
Financials (XLF or KRE) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Technology (XLK) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Semiconductors (SOX, SMH or XSD) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Communications (XLC) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Airlines (XAL) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Energy (XLE or XOP) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Industrials (XLI) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Materials (XLB) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Transportation (TRAN or IYT) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Retail (XRT or RTH) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Consumer Staples (XLP) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Homebuilders (XHB) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Home Construction (ITB) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Health Care (XLV) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Biotech (IBB or XBI) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Real Estate (XLRE) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Utilities (UTIL or XLU) Higher or Lower in 2019?
Telecom (VOX) Higher or Lower in 2019?

2019 Predictions for the 26 Multi-Year Bull Market Leaders
AAPL (Apple) Higher or Lower in 2019?
ADBE (Adobe) Higher or Lower in 2019?
AMZN (Amazon) Higher or Lower in 2019?
AVGO (Broadcom) Higher or Lower in 2019?
BA (Boeing) Higher or Lower in 2019?
BKNG (Booking; Priceline) Higher or Lower in 2019?
BLK (Blackrock) Higher or Lower in 2019?
CELG (Celgene) Higher or Lower in 2019?
CRM (Salesforce) Higher or Lower in 2019?
FB (Facebook) Higher or Lower in 2019?
GE (General Electric) Higher or Lower in 2019?
GOOGL (Google) Higher or Lower in 2019?
HD (Home Depot) Higher or Lower in 2019?
INTC (Intel) Higher or Lower in 2019?
JPM (JP Morgan Chase) Higher or Lower in 2019?
MA (MasterCard) Higher or Lower in 2019?
MSFT (Microsoft) Higher or Lower in 2019?
NFLX (Netflix) Higher or Lower in 2019?
NKE (Nike) Higher or Lower in 2019?
NVDA (NVIDIA) Higher or Lower in 2019?
RTN (Raytheon) Higher or Lower in 2019?
SBUX (Starbucks) Higher or Lower in 2019?
STZ (Constellation Brands) Higher or Lower in 219?
ULTA (Ulta Beauty) Higher or Lower in 2019?
UAA (Under Armour) Higher or Lower in 2019?
V (Visa) Higher or Lower in 2019?

List Further 2019 Prognostications Below: