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Sunday, March 12, 2017

SPX S&P 500 Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Key Levels for Trading the Week of 3/13/17

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for the trading week of 3/13/17. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R.

For the S&P 500 in history, the all-time record high print is 2400.98 on 3/1/17 and the all-time closing high is 2395.96 on 3/1/17. The all-time record intraday low is 666.79 (the infamous 666) on 3/6/09 and all-time closing low is 676.53 on 3/9/09.

For 2017, the intraday high is 2400.98 and closing high is 2395.96. For 2017, the intraday low is 2245.13 from the first trading day of the year on 1/3/17 and the closing low for the year thus far is at 2257.83 on 1/3/17. For 2016, the intraday high is 2277.53 on 12/13/16 and closing high at 2271.72 on 12/13/16. For 2016, the intraday low is 1810.10 on 2/11/16 and the closing low for 2016 is 1829.08 on 2/11/16. The intraday low in 2015 is 1867.01 on 8/24/15 and closing low for 2015 is 1867.61 on 8/25/15.

The upside orgy in the stock market hit a peak on March 1st when the SPX tags the 2400 round number printing the highest price in the S&P 500 in history. The Dow Jones Industrials print above 21K. The band is playing, “Happy Days Are Here Again.” Stocks retreat the last few days and  bounce off the 20-day MA at 2361 and rising.

The SPX price remains above the 20-day MA above the 50-day MA above the 100 above the 150 above the 200. The moving average ribbon is stretched to the upside and price needs a mean reversion lower. The S&P 500 has not touched the 50-day MA since early November when the big-time Trump Rally started. The 50-day MA is 2310.

The full moon peaked yesterday; stocks are typically bullish moving through the full moon. The epic Federal Reserve rate decision and Chair Yellen press conference is on Wednesday afternoon. Typically, stocks are bullish moving into the FOMC meeting decision. The week ahead is OpEx with Quadruple Witching on Friday so a Tuesday low in stocks should lead to a Wednesday high. The seasonality factors favor bulls early in the week into the Fed decision. The NYMO is super low and hints that a recovery rally should occur for stocks in the daily time frame.

The month of March begins at 2364. The year began at 2239. The week begins at 2373.

For Monday, 3/13/17, with the S&P 500 beginning at 2373, the bears need to push the SPX under 2363 to accelerate the downside; price will quickly fail into the 2350’s to test the strong support at 2355 and 2351. That is a huge air pocket from 2322 to 2351 so if the 2351 fails, look out below, price will probably flush very quickly to 2322 causing trader angst. The 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart is at 2343; if this level is lost, stocks will drop like a rock.

The market bulls need to push up through that 2375-2377 resistance and price will accelerate to 2380 in a heartbeat then try to chomp through the 2380-2384 resistance gauntlet. If price sneaks above 2384 then it is likely going to 2395-2396 for new record highs. A move through 2364-2376 is sideways action to begin the week.

The Federal Reserve rate decision is historic on Wednesday. It will be an epic day in market history. Trading between 2 PM EST and the closing bell at 4 PM EST on Wednesday, 3/15/17 will be a circus. Strike up the calliope.

The strongest support/resistance is 2401, 2395-2396, 2380, 2373-2375, 2368, 2365, 2363, 2355, 2351, 2322 and 2311.
Note: If the list below displays any blank spaces, view it in a different browser. The data is current up through 2/20/17.

2401 (3/1/17 All-Time Intraday High: 2400.98) (3/1/17 Intraday High for 2017: 2400.98)
2396 (3/1/17 All-Time Closing High: 2395.96) (3/1/17 Closing High for 2017: 2395.96)
2395
2384
2383
2382
2381
2380
2379
2378.80 Previous Week’s High
2377
2376.86 Friday HOD
2375
2373
2372.60 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
2370
2368
2367
2366
2365
2364
2363.64 March Begins Here
2363.04 Friday LOD
2363
2361.37 (20-day MA)
2361
2359
2358
2356
2355
2354.54 Previous Week’s Low
2354
2353
2351
2350
2349
2347
2343.02 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2343
2340
2339
2338
2336
2335
2332
2328
2326
2322
2321
2319
2316
2312
2311
2310.28 (50-day MA)
2308
2301
2300
2299
2298
2297
2296
2293
2290
2289
2286
2285
2281
2280
2279
2278 (12/13/16 Intraday High; 2277.53)
2277
2275
2274
2273
2272 (12/13/16 Closing High: 2271.72)
2271
2270
2269
2268
2265
2263
2260
2259.44 (20-week MA)
2258 (1/3/17 Closing Low for 2017: 2257.83)
2254
2252
2249.32 (100-day MA)
2249
2245 (1/3/17 Intraday Low for 2017: 2245.13)
2241
2239 (12/30/16 Closing Low: 2238.83)
2238.83 Trading for 2017 Begins Here
2238
2234 (12/30/16 Intraday Low: 2233.62)
2221.07 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2219.06 (10-month MA)
2214
2213 (11/25/16 Intraday and Closing High: 2213.35)
2212
2211
2210
2209
2207
2206
2205
2202
2200
2199
2198
2196.07 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2195.08 (200-day MA)
2195
2194 (8/15/16 Intraday High: 2193.81)
2191 (12/1/16 Closing Low: 2191.08)
2190 (8/15/16 Closing High: 2190.15)
2187 (12/1/16 Intraday Low: 2187.44)
2185
2183
2182
2179
2178
2175.53 (50-week MA)
2175
2174
2173
2170
2169
2166
2165
2164
2163
2160
2157
2155
2152

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