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Tuesday, May 26, 2015

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 5/26/15.

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 5/26/15. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R. The SPX all-time intraday high is 2134.72 on 5/20/15 and the SPX all-time closing high is 2130.82 on 5/21/15. The low for this year is 1980.90 which identifies the starting point of the huge February rally.

For Tuesday after the Memorial Day holiday with the SPX starting at 2126, the bears only need a smidge of weakness to create downside acceleration and the S&P futures are down -6 three hours before the opening bell. Bulls need to retrace Friday’s down move to regain their mojo above 2132. A move through 2127-2131 is sideways action to begin the week. The SPX began the year at 2059 so stocks are positive on the year up +3.3%.

The last day of trading for May, EOM, is this Friday, 5/29/15, only four trading days away so the 2086 level is important since it determines an up month, or not. The SPX is elevated above its moving averages so a mean reversion lower is definitely on the table like prior market tops over the last few months. Direct critical support levels below are 2131, 2126, 2123, 2121, 2118, 2110, 2108 and 2091. The support gauntlet at 2108-2110 is key since the 20-day MA at 2109.95 and the 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart at 2108.72 is within this range. Bad things will happen to stocks if 2108-2110 fails.

Looking at the big picture the strongest S/R is 2135, 2131, 2126, 2123, 2121, 2118, 2110, 2108, 2091, 2081, 2076, 2067, 2061, 2046, 2040, 2038, 2032, 2030, 2023, 2019, 2011, 2002-2003, 1997-1998, 1993, 1988, 1985-1986 and 1982. The SPX moves choppy sideways through the 1990-2120 for the last six months with price attempting to break out above at 2120-2130 for the last seven trading days.

Bulls win big above the 2126-2135 level. Bears win big under the 2108-2110 level. The battle continues between 2111-2125. Pay attention to May’s starting number at 2086. If the 50-day MA at 2096.18 fails then the month of May will surely end negative.

2135 (5/20/15 All-Time Intraday High: 2134.72)
2134.72 Previous Week’s High
2132.15 Friday HOD
2132
2131 (5/21/15 All-Time Closing High: 2130.82)
2129
2126.06 Friday Close – Tuesday Starts Here
2126.06 Friday LOD
2126 (4/27/15 Intraday High: 2125.92)
2124
2123
2122
2121 (4/24/15 Intraday High: 2120.92)
2120.01 Previous Week’s Low
2120 (2/25/15 Intraday High: 2119.59)
2118 (4/24/15 Closing High: 2117.69)
2117 (3/2/15 Closing High: 2117.39)
2115
2114
2113
2111
2110
2109.95 (20-day MA)
2108.72 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2108
2107
2104
2103
2100
2099
2097
2096.18 (50-day MA)
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089
2088
2087
2085.51 May Begins Here
2082
2081
2080.66 (20-week MA)
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2077.99 (100-day MA)
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2063
2061.45 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2061
2058.90 Trading for 2015 Begins Here
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2054
2052
2050
2049.91 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2041
2040
2038.02 (200-day MA)
2038
2034
2032.50 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
2032
2030
2028.29 (50-week MA)
2024
2023
2021
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2018
2016
2014
2012
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2009
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2004
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
2001
1999

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