tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post3904451858220946180..comments2023-10-29T06:32:19.009-04:00Comments on The Keystone Speculator™: Keystone's Evening Nightcap 9/5/13; Monthly Jobs Report On TapKeystone Speculatorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comBlogger45125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-66904808495197862272013-09-09T16:37:35.072-04:002013-09-09T16:37:35.072-04:00So even if the bot flips long, scaling in shorts s...So even if the bot flips long, scaling in shorts should work out, despsite the short term climb higher, right?<br /><br />FeS2Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-30815029438756047932013-09-08T14:00:32.786-04:002013-09-08T14:00:32.786-04:00Thanks KS. The insanely low CPCE prints made me f...Thanks KS. The insanely low CPCE prints made me feel confident, but I held some VIX derivatives, which fluctuate wildly, so I freaked out a little and puked on Friday. However, I agree the CPCE print should make shorts feel safe here. Really appreciate your input. Thanks!<br /><br />FeS2Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-14678285884593832872013-09-08T06:33:15.767-04:002013-09-08T06:33:15.767-04:00Yep, still short 88-90%. Remember, however, that c...Yep, still short 88-90%. Remember, however, that can change in a heartbeat. Keybot will likely flip long if the SPX moves above 1657, only 2 points higher. The algo has been latching on and off at this number. Keybot the Quant is in charge of 65% of the total portfolio. So if Keybot flips long, the port will drop to about 23% short, and about 74% long, and about 3% cash (neutral). So for now, the overall picture remains in the bear camp but it can change quickly. The low CPCE should make bears sleep easy no matter what happens VST and it provides confidence in holding shorts.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-75614765316216790682013-09-07T13:57:32.473-04:002013-09-07T13:57:32.473-04:00KS-
I stopped out of my shorts on Friday. I see ...KS-<br /><br />I stopped out of my shorts on Friday. I see the CPCE and TRIN numbers, but I suspect another upsurge to stop out the bears. If the market climbs another 30-40 handles, I would love to reload at that time, this sideways actions is a nightmare, it really tests your patience and nerves. Very difficult environment to trade in. I had to get out of the way. Are you really 88% short here or has that not yet been updated?<br /><br />FeS2Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-86594951010356244332013-09-07T10:22:04.182-04:002013-09-07T10:22:04.182-04:00No reason to be excited either way. Equities are f...No reason to be excited either way. Equities are fighting to and fro but neither side wants to take control, hence a lot of sideways slop. The SPX moved over 66 handles yesterday, about 4% of its points, thru 1640-1665, a 25-handle range. Just think what things will be like when the VIX moves above 20. Note how intraday high touched 50-day exactly at 1665.51 and closed a hair under the 20-day MA at 1656.79, two days in a row closing just under the 20-day. Price is respecting the moving averages so they carry more clout moving forward. Remember, trading is all about time frames. You can be bullish short term and bearish intermediate term, or visa versa. The low TRIN's continue to need higher prints (market selling) to relieve the uber bullish pressure. CPCE at an uber low 0.50 which illustrates the uber bullish optimism since the Fed will always save the day. If short the markets and willing to be patient over the coming month or so, the CPCE at 0.50 allows you to sleep very easy each night since a selloff is on tap. In the VST markets can bounce violently higher first, as evidenced by Friday's action, and if the VIX climbs again, the erratic behavior will only increase.<br /><br />Keep the comments only geared to market calls and commentary.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-81623419057570974302013-09-07T04:02:18.990-04:002013-09-07T04:02:18.990-04:00The NYSE summation index is putting in a bottom, i...The NYSE summation index is putting in a bottom, implying the market goes "up" from here.<br /><br />The SP500 MACD has turned up with positive divergence.<br /><br />The market is respecting a trendline it's followed for almost a year, since "QE ta da moon" was toggled off.<br /><br />September is typically bullish, at least the first half.<br /><br />Scott's charts seem to be pointing "up".<br /><br />Congress returns next week. Hopefully, they vote down Mr. Obama's proposed Syrian War. I'm not sure if that would be bearish or bullish. Mr. Obama shapeshifting into a neocon and aligning himself with recycled Bush2 foreign policy ME initiatives has me confused. I "hope" Congress voting the operation down will light a fire under the market and give us a boost up to 1725 or higher. Current polls seem to indicate the House will vote against Obama.<br /><br />With a boost higher into middle or late September, that should free up October for the bearish flipside. Just in time for the latest round of debt ceiling concerns that have tripped the market before.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-73303098789318817552013-09-06T16:10:39.778-04:002013-09-06T16:10:39.778-04:00ok - it must be so since you say so - the followin...ok - it must be so since you say so - the following was posted earlier but I forget that bullies dont read<br /><br />anon, whats your target besides my back that is? lol what a bunch of little whinny children <br /><br />scottSeptember 6, 2013 at 12:26 PM<br />I must have slept through the "crash" this morning...lol<br /><br />the waves so far indicate that nominal new highs are possible (not certain;POSSIBLE)before the big decline.<br /><br />the gap fill at 1685 is fairly certain now.<br /><br />Delete<br />Replyscotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-80242152813603739432013-09-06T16:04:50.605-04:002013-09-06T16:04:50.605-04:00Scott, case closed.Scott, case closed.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-877777599211130562013-09-06T16:02:22.879-04:002013-09-06T16:02:22.879-04:00no wonder humanity cant stop hurting each other wi...no wonder humanity cant stop hurting each other with you as it's representative <br /><br />without substance indeed<br /><br />dont tell me what I can say and why dont you simply read what I posted earlier<br /><br />scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-44676456116308986502013-09-06T15:29:11.231-04:002013-09-06T15:29:11.231-04:00Scott, most of your posts have no substance. Don&#...Scott, most of your posts have no substance. Don't say a chart worth a thousand words. What is your target?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-60648157749295402402013-09-06T14:51:36.920-04:002013-09-06T14:51:36.920-04:00look at the left sidebar..
and at this
http://ww...look at the left sidebar..<br /><br />and at this<br /><br />http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/richard-russell/market-s-main-trend-remains-bullish<br /><br />and then wait for the hate to spew towards poor ole Russellscotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-57191542097036122312013-09-06T14:34:20.053-04:002013-09-06T14:34:20.053-04:00Is Keybot long?Is Keybot long?Alex Rednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-1643177201472264042013-09-06T14:33:47.454-04:002013-09-06T14:33:47.454-04:00brilliant!
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC...brilliant! <br /><br />http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.pnf?chart=$SPX,PLUADANRBO[PA][D][F1!3!5.0!!2!20]&pref=G<br /><br />scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-29027803132954234332013-09-06T14:24:17.044-04:002013-09-06T14:24:17.044-04:00James the Third (James the Turd) it ryhmes and in ...James the Third (James the Turd) it ryhmes and in the UK turd means SH*T!<br />A bit of English humour but never mind..!<br />JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-13527415292060911542013-09-06T14:13:30.533-04:002013-09-06T14:13:30.533-04:00Sorry for the friendly fire! when I start swingin ...Sorry for the friendly fire! when I start swingin in a bar fight I get so excited! lol<br /><br />JAMES THE TURD! WOW - this is far from a dead blog.<br /><br />thanksscotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-87330046623033484162013-09-06T14:10:01.946-04:002013-09-06T14:10:01.946-04:00even jimmy should see what this chart is saying......even jimmy should see what this chart is saying...<br /><br />http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p51262049966&a=307800791&listNum=6scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-72737202395350113702013-09-06T14:07:34.583-04:002013-09-06T14:07:34.583-04:00No it wasn't him Scott. I was talking to James...No it wasn't him Scott. I was talking to James the turd it is just unfortunate that we share the same first name.<br />I'm on your side mate i love your charts so please keep posting them!<br />JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-59863933274684583222013-09-06T14:03:36.630-04:002013-09-06T14:03:36.630-04:00you become illiterate when you get angry james the...you become illiterate when you get angry james the III! unintelligible at least!scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-87005992890021344282013-09-06T14:02:10.877-04:002013-09-06T14:02:10.877-04:00james the III, is that you?
! is jimmy what mom c...james the III, is that you?<br /><br />! is jimmy what mom calls you when dinner is ready?<br /><br />lol<br /><br />nothin but a bunch of scare little bullies.scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-48229537641111299072013-09-06T13:59:33.908-04:002013-09-06T13:59:33.908-04:00one to anger and confuse poor James the 3rd! Doesn...one to anger and confuse poor James the 3rd! Doesnt his being "the III" and proud of it make him a knock off of the original and arent most duplicates faint imitations of the original?<br /><br />http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$TRIN:SPY&p=D&yr=10&mn=7&dy=0&id=p71681089447&a=304515706&listNum=4<br /><br />what do you think this chart says mr. III'd?scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-86583401757823238422013-09-06T13:58:21.422-04:002013-09-06T13:58:21.422-04:00Why do you come on it then you fool? If you don...Why do you come on it then you fool? If you don't this dead website then go find another one to troll on!<br />You must have a really sad little life!<br />JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-73452468684974629872013-09-06T13:54:44.269-04:002013-09-06T13:54:44.269-04:00so I post and you anonymous folks reply and yet so...so I post and you anonymous folks reply and yet somehow I'M a LOSER and you are all winners???<br /><br />humans funny<br /><br />IN A MINUTE DAD! I'm talking to my friends! lolscotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-37213140204583286632013-09-06T13:52:38.805-04:002013-09-06T13:52:38.805-04:004 anonymous posters and millions of angry bears wi...4 anonymous posters and millions of angry bears with tight shorts! scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-84742479010594561132013-09-06T13:49:21.782-04:002013-09-06T13:49:21.782-04:00Scott = Nostradamus to 4 anonymous posters on a de...Scott = Nostradamus to 4 anonymous posters on a dead website. <br /><br />LMFAO Thank you.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-59638102626855173352013-09-06T13:39:35.993-04:002013-09-06T13:39:35.993-04:00my dad says its time to clean my room and get off ...my dad says its time to clean my room and get off the computer! lol<br /><br />at least I'm not in a bunker with Elvis any more!scotthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13178732477945523027noreply@blogger.com