tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post1481078267511059880..comments2023-10-29T06:32:19.009-04:00Comments on The Keystone Speculator™: Keystone's Midday Market Action 5/15/13Keystone Speculatorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comBlogger36125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-69194297508404593522013-05-16T04:55:27.789-04:002013-05-16T04:55:27.789-04:00Simply keep an eye on Keybot. If VIX moves above 1...Simply keep an eye on Keybot. If VIX moves above 13.20 and the SPX drops under 1647 (for Thursday session), that will likely flip Keybot to the short side and indicate market selling ahead.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-41696201058133974682013-05-15T17:40:47.786-04:002013-05-15T17:40:47.786-04:00Thank you V, appreciate your thoughtfulness.Thank you V, appreciate your thoughtfulness.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-8539383160278696622013-05-15T17:10:23.210-04:002013-05-15T17:10:23.210-04:00@ underwater Anon:
one more thing: respect the tr...@ underwater Anon:<br /><br />one more thing: respect the trend, the trend really is your friend. <br />If you don't respect it, how should it respect your holdings? <br /><br />V.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-85456511941593091172013-05-15T17:07:24.019-04:002013-05-15T17:07:24.019-04:00@ underwater Anon:
The up-movement from November ...@ underwater Anon: <br />The up-movement from November 2012 (3rd wave after the 2009 correction) developed 5 waves according to Elliot waves theory.<br />We are now in the 5th up wave.<br />Itself was divided in another 5 subwaves. I consider we are now in the 5th subwave, but there are traders that consider that now we are in the 3rd subwave of the 5th wave of the 3rd November '12 wave. <br />There are different final targets for 5th wave (and the up movement from Nov'12): <br />- the fibo resistence cluster area 1658-1675<br />- the 1680 pivot (1673-1687 area).<br /><br />The Nov'12 grand up wave was only the 3rd. So when this up-movement from Nov'12 will finish (target areas written above) a 4th down wave will follow, having only 3 internal sub-waves due to it's corrective nature. Target minimum: 1550 / maximum target: 1480. If it's getting lower than ~ (aprox.) 1480 it will tresspass one Elliot wave rule that doesn't allow the 4th wave to get lower than the peak area of wave 1. <br /><br />In that case (of trespassing) all the notations of the waves should be made once again and everything might be possible at that moment (including a target of 545-600 on spx in the worst case or 1210-1266 as a fibo retracement of previous structures- best case). But the chances for this are very, very thin.<br /><br />After the 4th wave down, we will get a final 5th wave up (with 5 internal waves) with a target of minimum 1780 and maximum 2100 on spx. <br /><br />OK, I will not give you any advice, you have the numbers and the road-map. It's your money and you are responsible for it. <br /><br />take care, I know how's like to be underwater, been there, done that!<br /><br />V. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-88069856059922718952013-05-15T16:40:53.814-04:002013-05-15T16:40:53.814-04:00Hi, your target is spx 1558, today's close is ...Hi, your target is spx 1558, today's close is 1658.78, so basically about ~100 points correction, that's only 6%, you don't think we will get at least a 10% correction during this Summer? I am expecting most investors will sell and go away, be on Summer vacation. May be not this Summer then...<br /><br />I've been really deep underwater with shorts, not sure whether I should stop loss or wait for that correction. If no correction, my holdings will eventually disappear over time. I see the market getting very close to correction but every time it gets close, it just shoot higher, I feel so dreadful with all these going on in the market and yet couldn't get out with such a big loss. I will be very thankful to someone who can give me a tiny piece of advice or a small hint or even just 5% of what you know about to come. Thank you all.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-9048657074775511812013-05-15T16:12:10.566-04:002013-05-15T16:12:10.566-04:00Yes, I do think it will sell off unless it breache...Yes, I do think it will sell off unless it breaches SPX 1670. If it does, then we will see above 1700. If it stays below 1670 until May 21 - 23rd at least, my target is SPX 1558. I wasn't expecting any big correction today but was thinking it will close in negative territory. It went down at one point but as usual there was a huge spike near the closing. I think next 4 -5 trading days are crucial. Happy trading to all!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-69213951507593534622013-05-15T16:03:04.647-04:002013-05-15T16:03:04.647-04:00Huge spike at the closing as usual. Bulls are goin...Huge spike at the closing as usual. Bulls are going very strong.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-3196856979831363242013-05-15T15:48:55.010-04:002013-05-15T15:48:55.010-04:00You can see what's happening with the volumes....You can see what's happening with the volumes. <br />You see this huge spike every day near the close, where the big players come into the market and decide the direction. It's almost as if what happens between 10:00 and 3:30 is irrelevant. Shanehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01954464003473160571noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-71205747221756377132013-05-15T15:11:00.489-04:002013-05-15T15:11:00.489-04:00KS, I have a dumb question..I know the Central Ban...KS, I have a dumb question..I know the Central Bankers control the market, but can they really control VIX, volatility? Thanks!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-86453064972861165922013-05-15T15:06:30.981-04:002013-05-15T15:06:30.981-04:00I'm still all shaked-up :) ...exactly from the...I'm still all shaked-up :) ...exactly from the moment when out friend Anon started to post those comments the market curbed , pointing down. Graphically, today it's something like that /\ .<br /><br />Pure Twilight zone :) <br /><br />V. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-52567777625117073172013-05-15T14:57:18.289-04:002013-05-15T14:57:18.289-04:00Interesting comments by all. Markets are taking a ...Interesting comments by all. Markets are taking a stair-step path lower but the low TRIN is a bear-killer. Bears need VIX back up over 13.20 again and at the same time pull that TRIN back up to one and higher. Otherwise, the bulls will be able to keep things elevated into the closing bell.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-26530313657134401912013-05-15T14:55:00.520-04:002013-05-15T14:55:00.520-04:00Price is running up the upper band, it probably do...Price is running up the upper band, it probably does not tell a whole lot, only that the touches of the upper extremes continue to want to lead to a price move to the 20-day MA at 1602, and rising, at a minimum. So, the 1602-1610 area. Negative divergence should spank things down but bulls keep finding a way.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-29531812527047193292013-05-15T14:51:36.455-04:002013-05-15T14:51:36.455-04:00They took a wild ride lower. You have to decide ev...They took a wild ride lower. You have to decide everything for yourself Anon. The daily and weekly charts are positively diverged or setting up that way. It appears that anywhere here or lower, and for the most part with many miners, may be a good entry for all these plays. It is speculative bottom-calling.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-32388201876111361012013-05-15T14:50:58.906-04:002013-05-15T14:50:58.906-04:00Thank you, Mr. Anonymous.
V.Thank you, Mr. Anonymous.<br /><br />V.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-349106050784309132013-05-15T14:49:33.505-04:002013-05-15T14:49:33.505-04:00Boy-oh-boy, everything is melting up. The 80/20 ru...Boy-oh-boy, everything is melting up. The 80/20 rule says 980 would want to lead to 1020. And 988 would want to lead to 992, the high for today so that was achieved. The door is open so you cannot say it will not go higher, and over 1K, but the markets need to take a rest.Keystone Speculatorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15343512310307344717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-87848095709987107162013-05-15T14:49:20.545-04:002013-05-15T14:49:20.545-04:00S&P climbed 13 points in under 2 hours today. ...S&P climbed 13 points in under 2 hours today. I think the bulls scared even themselves today. KS, BBs on the daily chart have been widening. Is that not a sign of more volatility and wider price swings?Weavernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-15888263307214606282013-05-15T14:44:43.532-04:002013-05-15T14:44:43.532-04:00Hello Mr. V,
I don't think market has start c...Hello Mr. V,<br /><br />I don't think market has start correcting yet. I hope it will stay between those targets until May 21 - 23 and it won't cross SPX 1670. If it does, then your targets are very possible. If I feel comfortable, I will share my work with you.<br /><br />Have a good day! <br /><br />ThanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-73514907038453035632013-05-15T14:40:33.242-04:002013-05-15T14:40:33.242-04:00Au and Ag got beaten down today, how far down do y...Au and Ag got beaten down today, how far down do you think it will go? Thanks! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-15183175150230787192013-05-15T14:26:36.482-04:002013-05-15T14:26:36.482-04:00KS, do you think Russell 2000 will reach 1000? To...KS, do you think Russell 2000 will reach 1000? Today's high is 991.55Anoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-31941545460680760042013-05-15T14:22:03.681-04:002013-05-15T14:22:03.681-04:00@ Anon:
Ok, feels like "the twilight zone&q...@ Anon: <br /><br />Ok, feels like "the twilight zone" series ... from the moment you wrote all the messages up-here the market started to correct.<br /><br />Based on what have you determined those targets, if you can please tell us?<br /><br />V.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-43667905497868242662013-05-15T13:31:19.000-04:002013-05-15T13:31:19.000-04:00Ok, thank you, good luck to you too!
p.s. Sorry, b...Ok, thank you, good luck to you too!<br />p.s. Sorry, but I can't take as granted what I can't understand. You didn't convinced me.<br />Cheers, <br />V.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-86334553131215277302013-05-15T13:27:33.211-04:002013-05-15T13:27:33.211-04:00I am not trying to convince anyone. This is the ve...I am not trying to convince anyone. This is the very first time I ever put my comments out there. I am not a day trader. I am long term investor. I do my own research and based on that I put my comment out there. Maybe you are right and you should do what make you feel comfortable. I am not planning to explain my work here. Maybe one day when I feel more comfortable. But I really enjoy reading Mr. KS blogs and appreciate his work. Good Luck to you!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-85036679584334391582013-05-15T13:18:28.260-04:002013-05-15T13:18:28.260-04:00:)
I dont't believe you :D
this market spx wi...:)<br />I dont't believe you :D <br />this market spx will rise to 2000 or more! <br />based on what you have reached those levels and projections?<br />:D<br />Using Elliot wave the next wave interm. 4 cannot get lower than 4-5% ,maybe 7% maximum - but with those central bankers interventions , I doubt we will see -7%.<br /><br />So, what kind of research has led you to those results? <br /><br />thanks, <br />V. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-7182764176941656942013-05-15T13:13:10.938-04:002013-05-15T13:13:10.938-04:00Once correction starts there will be some resistan...Once correction starts there will be some resistances at various level. Mr. KS really does a great job with all that. My first target will be SPX 1558 and if it breaks then way lower. I think we may have to wait another week or less before it starts. But this market is a controlled by the central bank so anything is possible.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8084606426992105990.post-60238627551640464512013-05-15T13:11:52.772-04:002013-05-15T13:11:52.772-04:00@ Anon:
why 21-23 May?
why not June?
or December...@ Anon:<br />why 21-23 May? <br />why not June? <br />or December? <br /><br />V.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com